Marqeta, Inc. (MQ) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 24, 2023
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystAll right. Great. I think I get the thumbs up, so we can get started. Happy to kick off the day with Marqeta. Simon Khalaf is here, CEO. We have a lot to talk about. I've taken a lot of questions from the investment community. So I'll go through that through the fireside chat, but we'll take questions as well and through the portal. So Simon, welcome. Thank you for being here.
Simon Khalaf
executiveThanks for having me. Appreciate it.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystNo. I'm excited for the conversation. So yes, I start out with the obligatory sort of question or statement around you taking over the lead for just over a quarter now. I believe, right? So talk to us about the transition and maybe rehash some of your priorities as you've taken over the seat.
Simon Khalaf
executiveSure. So it does actually help that I was in the insider. So I didn't just join as CEO, I came in to look after product then took over go-to-market. So it was kind of like try before you buy. So I did actually get a good perspective on where the company is. And very pleased with a phenomenal product market fit, great customer base and immediately identified go-to-market as an area where we need to be much better at. So in terms of priorities, I'd say the first one is strategic. So to be able to expand Marqeta's customer base and market from fintech into a broader market, which is embedded finance and probably we can talk about that later. And then the others are operational. First one is go to market, which is the ability to reorganize in terms of pods, which have done that in my career, so to give end-to-end control to smaller teams that have autonomy, and they can work much, much closer with the customers. Then we did the Powered acquisition, so a focus on bringing credits in to complete our solutions to -- because in embedded finance, you want to provide a full solution versus a point solution, which was the case in the pure fintech. And then last but not least, I say, operational efficiency. That's code name for you got to be profitable because that's the name of the game. It should have been the name of the game over the last 15 years, but I think we opted not to do that as a -- not as a company as an industry. So I think we're back into the good fundamentals. So putting the company on a path to profitability is, I'd say, the fourth priority.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystGood. So I know a lot of new CEOs come in. We've seen a lot of new CEOs come into the sector over the last 3 years or so. They like to make change for the sake of change. I'd say it's probably too early to ask you that. But I'm curious sort of your stamp on the company of Marqeta or your legacy to preview that, I know you're still trying to organize your thoughts but what do you think that might be?
Simon Khalaf
executiveYes. I mean I'd say, I always think of brand affinity which is what are you known for? Like, I mean, when you think of Google, no matter what Google does, it's a search company. You think of Oracle, it's a database like the brand affinity of Marqeta has to become the operating system of embedded finance. And that clarifies everything you do because there is a playbook for operating system. Example, when I think the new CEO of Uber took over, he said, I'm going to be your operating system of your daily life. And people did not understand what he meant, but it's actually a playbook. It's not that he's going to ship an OS to compete with Apple and Microsoft, but it's more of the playbook, which is you go win the large accounts, you improve your solution, you go to the mid-market, then you go after developers and you win -- you basically build the long tail. So that's kind of the -- I think, the [ stem ] that I like to put on the company.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystOkay. No, good. I like it. So we've seen and learned a lot in the last couple of years. We heard from Jamie Dimon. He's been -- I went through the last 2, 3 years, and it was fun to hear it in his way. But with fintech valuations coming in and now there's a lot of stress in the banking system, you're talking a lot about embedded finance, right? You just mentioned it, Simon. So tell us what does that mean exactly? And why is now the right time to bet on embedded finance? .
Simon Khalaf
executiveSure. Yes, there is -- I mean, when I guess, the fiscal policies or interest rates were going in one direction for 15 years, you stop and you go on 180 degrees at the same speed something will break. I mean it's natural, of course, it's physics actually. So there is a lot of stress on fintech. But I'd say, independent of that, fintech will actually do very, very well. I mean it's showing to everybody they are not possible. But to us, and it's something that as a human as a person, I've been thinking about for the last decade, which is taking everything that financial services firms have done really, really well and embed them into daily workflows. I mean as a kid, I mean I can tell from my accent, I didn't grow up in the States. And we had -- I mean, we lived for a while in Paris. And the local grocery store was my first lender. So you go to the local grocery store. They know you. I mean, you pick up like chocolate bars and whatever, and then he has this tiny notebook. He writes down and then my dad would come on a weekly basis and settle with them. Well, that's my first BNPL, basically, buy now, pay later. So -- and it was embedded. It's local knowledge. They know you. They know who you are. You're not going and getting cash. So you take that concept and you look at it for thousands of years, right, finance was actually embedded. The concept of going to the bank is kind of newish. So the bank comes to you has always happened. So that's -- we define embedded finance as organizations that move a lot of money, a lot of money, but they're not financial institutions. And we're getting a lot of traction in that. I'd say -- I mean, I give a couple of examples to simply anchor this. You look at our U.S. GDP, U.S. GDP is $23 trillion, I think, this year. 46% of that is wages and compensation. So that's $10 trillion, out of which $3.7 trillion is shift and gig work. And we have a phenomenal, accelerated wage access that is unique. So $3.7 trillion is not a small number. Then you move into marketplaces as another example, we're getting traction. So much money is moving between supply and demand between buyers and sellers. And just the 3 online marketplaces moved $3.25 trillion of flow between buyers and sellers. And people think it's just Amazon or Etsy and whatever. There's a lot more in B2B marketplaces. So a lot of that money is -- can stay in the marketplace. We can actually do marketplace financing, cellular financing, co-brands. So -- and that's like a second market would focus on in embedded finance. And the third one, I'm going to call them Neo ERP systems. I mean you're rebuilding the entire corporate stack, whether it's rippling or ramp or many of these companies. I mean, they've vertically integrated the operations, the analytics, the human workflow, company workflow all the way down to the banking layer. And that's another segment that we're focused on.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystOkay. Good. Look, we agree. I think we've been talking about this concept that everyone wants to bank their users, right? So whether it's a consumer platform or a merchant platform, the opportunity to provide making services there. And it feels like Marqeta is surely going to benefit from that. So I like the way you described that. So maybe just to rank it for all of us here. And I'd like to think Marqeta helped to invent a lot of the back end around on-demand delivery. You've mentioned buy now pay later now embedded finance. How would this rank in terms of some of the other, let's say, segments or verticals that have come out of Marqeta?
Simon Khalaf
executiveYes. So I mean, again, I think fintech has demonstrated the [indiscernible] possible. So venture funded very smart people. They understand the banking system. They understand payments with a lot of people say it's complicated. It's actually not that complicated, but it's not. And they build phenomenal technologies that should be, in some cases, embedded into other flow. So the way we think about it, fintech is almost like ISVs or resellers of Marqeta solutions that go into large companies and deliver something really good. Example in our relationship with Uber, there's a great partner called Branch, who build actually the Uber card that the Uber drivers can get instant payment on those cards, and that's powered by Marqeta. So in terms of priorities, I'd say the -- we -- since with a platform, our solution is very diverse, but we got to focus. So go into a segment, do a great job, move to the second one. I'd say accelerated wage access is something we're seeing great traction on. And we've made a couple of announcements around that. I mean, Walmart being one of them, we made another -- a couple of other smaller marketplaces. We will do more of that. And the traditional, I'd say, retail marketplaces through co-brands, point-of-sale funding as well as seller financing is an area where we expect to see a lot of traction in.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystOkay, good. So I know the bookings have been quite strong. So you've had some good success there right out the gate. What's driving that? I know you made some changes in the sales motion and the sales org. Can you walk through that? Is there more to do?
Simon Khalaf
executiveSure. Yes. There's always more to do in sales, yes. So if I look at my early view on Marqeta is like great product market fit. I love the product, and you talk to our customers, they love the product. 144% net retention rate is dollar based. So that's a really good metric. I mean usually 125% and higher is solid. So -- and I'm like, why don't we have more customers. So we reorganized the sales organizations and on pods. That's something I've done in my previous -- in my career, Google does that Salesforce. So we created those pods, and we put together account managers and account executives and solutions engineers together and they roll up to a segment leader. And then we created a, let's say, leverage compensation plan that actually rewards when, let's say a partnership is established, but also leaves some of the reward to when the programs launch. So -- and then from there, it's kind of rinse and repeat. . And we moved from a hunter-based approach that delivers the farmer approach to one team that's doing the land and expand, start small and expand with the customer. So that has worked, I'd say this is 2 quarters of very solid bookings. We exceeded our numbers. But at the same time, the leading indicators did not drop. So the pipeline grew 80% in the U.S. since Q4. It's 40% in the EU since Q4. And we've taken 20 days out of the sales cycle. That's 32% in 6 months. So I think I'm happy where things are. There's always room for more to improve. And we are definitely looking at many ways where we can add more talent like kind of your traditional SaaS sales that maybe did not come from the industry, but can pick up the industry fast.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystAll right. Good. So I know you're close to the numbers you just went through some of that. So I think of these new deals, 2/3 of them were expansion of existing. And so this land and expand. So just maybe you can elaborate on that. We get a lot of questions around ARPU or how much more product or where can you attach to existing clients? How do you generally think about that potential?
Simon Khalaf
executiveSure. Yes. I mean I always say your best next customer is the one you already have. So you -- there's no question that the land-and-expand strategy has worked across all the industries. So why try something new? I always look at it, you find a formula that works, whether you're making potato chips or computer chips or cards, chips on cards. -- if the model works, you follow it. And in terms of growing the wallet size, I think we have customers, I'd say, 3 of our top 5 has expanded geographically with us. We have many others that have added our risks, products and banking and money movement products. And I'd say most of our thinking right now is around solution selling, which is we don't think product lines anymore. I do believe that companies go into stages. As a start-up, you're selling your technology as a mature, I'd say, [ series D ] company, you're selling products. And when you are truly scaled, you start selling solutions. And I think we're making that transition quite successfully at this stage.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystGood. So let's transition a little bit. I know you monetized through spend on a lot of your portfolio. We heard some updates from some of the companies, including Block yesterday, made trends a little bit better than April, but what's -- can you generally talk about what kind of behavior you're seeing on the spend side across your base?
Simon Khalaf
executiveYes. I mean we started seeing kind of a shift in spend in the Q4 time frame in which most -- I hate to say most of the paychecks -- sorry, the majority of the paycheck is going to nondiscretionary or low discretionary items. So there is a little bit of contraction in the high discretionary items. I mean, it is kind of obvious, but the data is starting to show it. Honestly, it's not as bad as I thought it was going be. I mean I thought kind of the retail -- I mean, you hear all the scare. The retail is going to come to a grinding halt, the debt stack is going to increase. It's not that bad. . But we've seen, I think, some in the March, April time frame, we've seen a reduction in the ATV, which means more money is being spent on nondiscretionary items. The May, early May trends are actually better. So we don't know if this is seasonal or if people are -- they're doing revenge travel, it's what it's called now, and they basically keeping all their money because they want to spend it on vacation. But yes, we did see that, right.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystYes. No, look, that's what we've been hearing. That sounds consistent, and we'll learn a little bit more as the months play out here. But would you say that Marqeta is more weighted towards discretionary versus nondiscretionary. You mentioned it -- I know there's been -- there's on-demand delivery. I'm curious how you thought about it.
Simon Khalaf
executiveSo it's a mix. I mean, one of the things that I was actually surprised by when we announced the Power acquisition is the demand in commercial credit. So I expected the demand to come from consumer credit and that is there. But commercial credit is an area I was not expecting it. And you think about it, it does make sense because working capital is now very expensive and not as abundant as it used to be. So commercial credit in which you can be surgical in how you offer lending kind of like the NPL for our business, you're underwriting a transaction versus an entity. So that's growing for us. And that balances, I'd say, between consumer and commercial. And then within the consumer, I think we have a mixture of, I'd say, the everyday spend that you see in some consumer program, but also BNPL is more travel and retail and ODD is food delivery, I guess, restaurants and services.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystPerfect. So let's go into the results a little bit. I think the quota itself ahead of your outlook on a lot of KPIs, but I know the gross profit outlook and how that landed was a sticking point to the quarter. So tell us what's driving some of the surprises or the slowdown there?
Simon Khalaf
executiveSure. So yes, Q2, I mean, from our plan, we knew Q2 was going to be tough. I mean there's many, many factors there. The first one is how the incentives work. They kind of reset every -- I think, they reset in April. So you have to build your way up in order to get the incentives from the network. So that's something that was planned. And then in Q2 -- sorry, in Q3, we would lapse the loss of one of our large customers, volume or partial volume, which is Klarna. And then the third -- so those were things that we expected. And then the third thing is renewals. We've done a lot of renewals in what I would call for overnight sensations in which, like when we closed those deals, they were, let's say, they're doing tens of millions. Now they're doing hundreds of millions if not billions of TPV. So of course, because whether they jumped the renewals have put them in terms of different take rate on us. Well, those are pretty much done. And then the thing that actually changed as we started the year is that ATV, the reduction in the ATV. Although the consumer is spending more but our costs are a little bit higher. I give you an example. If let's say, last year, you wanted to go fill your car with gas. You do a one time and you spend $60 full tank of gas. This time I was like, oh, I can't afford to put all the $60. So you do it $40 and then 2 weeks later, you do another $20. So you spend $60 million, but you do 2 transactions, the cost to Marqeta is higher so that takes some of our gross profit. Now the good thing is we do believe and we're comfortable that Q3 is going to be in the mid-teens and then Q4 is going to be back to the low 20s. So that's kind of what gives us comfort about the balance of the year.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystOkay. Good. And I know, Simon, there's always this question with these renewals in the fear that on subsequent renewals, that you'll see another markdown or a surprise on the gross profit margin? What's your reaction to that?
Simon Khalaf
executiveSo I'd say that will continue in the overnight sensations like -- but if you look -- I mean, most if -- this is kind of the nature of the business, like as your customers grow and grow and grow as a cohort, they are going to drive gross profit pressure. But then you fill with the mid-market that is not that, I'd say, sensitive to gross profit because of the volume they drive. . Now they don't have, I'd say, collaborative negotiating power when they come as a cohort. We negotiate with all of them. So I'd say that the -- for the overnight sensations and we're extremely happy. I mean when your customers do well, we're happy and we're happy with that gross profit contraction -- sorry, reduction. But I wouldn't say it's the norm. I mean, we've had like the folks that like a ramp, like affirm like a Klarna and many others, they grew so fast and they did demand reduction and they deserve it because that's the tier they've had. I don't expect that, I'd say the renewals we did in Q1 did not take any of the gross profit down.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystAnd it's the nature of scale economies, you have to share some of the scale back. But the good news is you're able to support all that growth, with all that volume coming on. So we shouldn't take that for granted. So we'll take questions here after this one. Power Finance. So you closed that. This is the first deal since we've been tracking the name getting into credit. So what's the thesis? What's the vision around Power and any surprises so far?
Simon Khalaf
executiveSo I can -- I'll start with the thesis. So Marqeta was actually in credit. We simply were not the program managers. So we had a nice pipeline, but we have to go to partners to become the program manager on credit. So Marqeta was just the processor. . So you've introduced another player to the sales process, which works in some segments, it doesn't work in others. And then all the embedded finance players want Marqeta to be the program manager across debit, prepaid, banking and money movement as well as credit. So that actually helped a lot round out the solution for us. And in terms of surprises, I think I mentioned, I do not expect commercial credit to be that [ bad ]. So I mean, mathematically, it makes sense. Working capital is at 15%. In companies when they go get working capital, they have covenants, they take the money rather than going to their payables, they go to Google and Facebook and buy more ads. So once you look at how we are implementing commercial credit is it allows an entity, let's say, you're in the marketplace, you've got sellers and you want your sellers to keep building inventory because that's how you fill up your shelves. So you can issue credit and then you -- instead of doing legal covenants, you do technology covenants. You go and say, no spending on Facebook and Google MCC and then put all -- whatever I've given you the money for build inventory, pay your people, so on and so forth. So that's the part that I thought was a very happy surprise because it expanded -- it strengthened what we have in terms of target market and target customers.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystI'm curious, is there pent-up demand on the credit side? You have such a nice book of business as it is on the debit front, many of which don't have a credit product. So can we characterize that as demand?
Simon Khalaf
executiveYes, absolutely. And on the consumer side, we shouldn't think of credit as your traditional revolver. There is a lot of demand for credit builder products. That's something that we're heavily working on. We hopefully announce a couple of very strong customers. And then the -- yes, there has been demand on the consumer side. And as I mentioned, the demand we did not anticipate was on the commercial side.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystGot it. Understood. Happy to take questions if we have and if you don't mind, we can repeat the question, but the mic would be great. I'm sorry, I should have warned you. We were coming to the questions. Thank you.
Unknown Analyst
analystA question for Simon. How much of your business is international, and in particular, the largest international markets, Germany and Japan.
Simon Khalaf
executiveSo actually, in terms of revenue, our EU revenue is still relatively small. So I wanted to say it's below 15%. So a little bit less -- actually less than that. So -- and we are in the EU. We actually can process in over 40 countries, which is fast and we can boot up a country into weeks. But we have boots on the ground in the EU. Now the bookings are actually strong in [ EU ], and we expect that to increase.
Unknown Analyst
analystWhat about Japan?
Simon Khalaf
executiveWe're not in Japan. We're doing the [ EU ], we're doing it right.
Unknown Analyst
analystGreat presentation, Simon. Just on the concentration risk, how much your business is dependent on Square because last time it was in 60s and 70% of the revenue was with Square, and it's a great partnership. How do you foresee? Is it a concentration risk from business point of view? What's your view on that?
Simon Khalaf
executiveThere is no question concentration is risky, but it's also an opportunity. So let me start with that. So in terms of -- so Block is about 75% of our revenue. It's about 20 points less on the gross profit perspective. So it's kind of like half of our gross profit comes from Block. So there is -- we actually work with Block on 3 of their ecosystems on Afterpay, on Cash App and on Square. So we have engagement across all these ecosystems. And while I think the majority of the revenue comes from Cash App, there's a lot of very interesting things we're doing with Afterpay and Square itself. So it is something that we are working on strengthening the relationship we have in the same amount of engagements with all their product groups. So -- and we do expect to -- I mean, everybody is asking us, I'll ask it because like when is the big renewal happening? So it's not actually a date. We have tons of engagements, many products in the works. But the one line item will be renewed. We expect to get some -- we have to give some concessions given the size -- I mean, they've grown, I want to say, like 50%, 60% on an annual basis, almost like to, whatever, 50% or more since -- so we expect to give some concessions on that. That will give us some hit to gross of it. And that's why we have not, despite the expense controls that we've done, we have not guided yet to a time line for profitability. But once we get that done, we're comfortable we will get to a clear path to profitability.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystAnyone else? I think we have in the back. If anyone took the over under on 20 minutes on Block, if you win.
Unknown Analyst
analystThanks, Simon. Some of the -- I'll just call the legacy issuing platforms have talked about the investments they've made and some of the key wins they've had there. Can you just help us understand the points of differentiation from Marqeta vis-a-vis some of those other players in the space?
Simon Khalaf
executiveSure. I mean we can tell from the numbers, I mean they're doing okay. I mean the growth between 2% and 7%. That's traditionally what has happened. Look, it's a very different business. That's very different. So you don't -- if you have a system you don't stick an API in front of it and call it modern. So to give you an example, when we look at point-of-sale financing, and you have to make an underwriting decision in milliseconds. When you look at, I'd say, accelerated wage access and instantly receive an API from a labor marketplace after a person has done a shift, take it in and then update the ledger. That is done in milliseconds. So this is not something their systems are doing. The dynamic nature of -- when you talk milliseconds, there is no way these layers can play. So I think we are very well positioned extremely well positioned with a huge moat around against the incumbents. Now as we pick up more steam as we go beyond neobanks or neo credit unions or neo whatever you want to call them, and then the large financial institutions are eventually going to think about upgrading their infrastructure. I don't -- there will be more competition with the incumbents. However, the way I'm seeing it, I think it's going to happen on the commercial cards first before it goes to the consumer card first, given the nature of our credit solution. So I think I don't expect us to bump into those players until that 2025 time frame.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystThank you for the question. Anyone else? Simon, people ask me this all the time also how do all these well-known names, these sensations, as you called it earlier, how do they find Marqeta, right? I mean we hear that Marqeta is very developer-friendly. And so as a result of that, a lot of developers end up building on Marqeta, have you observed that? Has that changed?
Simon Khalaf
executiveIt has not changed. I mean it's kind of like I look at it if you want to put a real like what's the brain behind their brand. And you look at folks like [ Max Lufkin ], you look at Brian [indiscernible] , you look at [indiscernible], you've got -- all these folks are highly, highly innovative and why are they coming to you, right? It's actually an honor to work with these people. It's not the first time I build a developer friendly. But they come to you because you're one of them because you think like them, we work like them. I'll tell you when -- I hate to say it, but when the weekend where Silicon Valley Bank was collapsing, I mean I got up at like on the Saturday 5 in the morning, went to the office. I'm like, you know what, who's going to be in pain? And how can we help them? Like Todd, our CRO and our solutions engineers like woke up and like, hang on. Let's get a list of our customers and whoever is funding us from Silicon Valley Bank, how can we start writing code to enable multiple accounts in order to fund the program. And there is massive chaos in Silicon Valley, like people calling each other, especially venture-funded that have working capital from Silicon Valley Bank. And we were on calls like engineers were cutting code salespeople on calls, how can we help you. And I think it's that attitude that attracts that behavior. We were unlike on their side. We were like, what can we do for you? And Marqeta had a little bit of exposure. Some of our money was in Silicon Valley Bank, but the vast majority of our money was not there. But we were thinking about them, and I think that makes a huge difference.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystFor sure. For sure. Anyone else? So thinking around operating expenses then, with that mentality, you've targeted breakeven on the EBITDA front. So can you achieve that kind of culture and spirit at the same time delivering on the profitability targets, as you said.
Simon Khalaf
executiveYes. Yes. I mean there's -- you don't need to sometimes overspend to hit a target. So the stronger a company is, and by strength, I mean, a company is profitable as it's going, growing 30% on gross profit on an annual basis and then pumping about 20% EBITDA. That's the goal that I'd like to achieve. I've done that many times before, while innovating while being developer-friendly, while putting great wins on the board. And it's actually -- it's something that a lot of executives feel it gives them a passion. It gives them something that it's a calling. And I think that I'll call on everybody to go in that direction. I mean growth for the sake of growth is great, but it comes to an end. . The market does not give you -- I mean we got 15 years of -- it's okay, you can do this. But at the end of the day, look at what happened, everybody held the executives down to what I call a sound business. And I think that's something we can achieve. In terms of the culture, you can -- it takes a lot of time to change the culture. And the good news is there's nothing [ to ]market. The culture is great. the product is great, the developer affinity is great. You have dollar-based net expansion at [ 144 ] and NPS is high. So I think we're good there. We just need more of what we've done, and that's something that we're focused on .
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystIt's the race to more. So I know the stock has been weighed by the renewal question. You do have a $200 million buyback, quite a bit of cash on hand, rounded $1 billion. So what's the thinking there in terms of how you want to deploy that, including on the buyback relative to renewal is coming.
Simon Khalaf
executiveSure. So I mean, we're not going to be a programmatic buyer, as in like do this on an annual basis. We thought this is very opportunistic. I mean we've done the math 6 ways from Sunday, and it looks like the analysts have taken 1 of the assets to 0. So if I look at the business we get from Block, the business we don't get from Block and then you have cash. Cash is cash. right? So that's an easy equation. The second one, you look at the medians and the multiples and looks like the analysts have either zeroed either the cash business or the noncash business, then that. And we looked at it, it does not make sense. So that's why we felt that buying our equity is the right thing to do for our shareholders, our customers and our employees. Now in terms of the renewal, when it will happen, we will -- we've done many scenarios and we cannot know which ZIP Code we're going to land in. So we've done scenarios that we feel comfortable that when the renewal happens, we'll be able to provide guidelines towards the time where we will be profitable.
Tien-Tsin Huang
analystWonderful. We should end it there. Simon, I enjoyed the conversation. It's all very thoughtful, and I appreciate it.
Simon Khalaf
executiveThank you so much. Really appreciate it.
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