Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
July 30, 2026
What were the key takeaways from Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.'s July 30, 2026 earnings call?
In the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. reported record revenues of $1.5 billion, a 16% increase year-over-year, driven by strong demand in infrastructure and heavy nonresidential markets. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to a range of $7.2 billion to $7.4 billion, while reaffirming adjusted EBITDA guidance of $2.36 billion to $2.5 billion. Management highlighted operational efficiencies and strategic acquisitions as key contributors to performance, despite challenges from elevated energy costs and pricing pressures.
What topics did Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. cover?
- Record Revenue Growth: Martin Marietta achieved record second quarter revenues of $1.5 billion, a 16% increase year-over-year, supported by strong infrastructure and heavy nonresidential demand. CEO Ward Nye noted, "Our results benefited from favorable demand in infrastructure and heavy nonresidential markets, disciplined execution across the organization and contributions from recent acquisitions."
- Acquisitions and Strategic Growth: The company completed the acquisition of New Frontier Materials and announced a transformational agreement to combine with Lhoist North America. Nye stated, "The planned combination builds upon our aggregates-led foundation and is expected to substantially broaden our differentiated upstream Specialties platform."
- Operational Efficiency Initiatives: Management identified approximately $350 million in run rate pretax cash flow improvement opportunities, driven by enhanced asset utilization and network optimization. Nye emphasized, "Disciplined inventory management and reductions in capital spending alone have unlocked more than $200 million of cash flow benefits."
- Guidance Revision: Martin Marietta raised its full-year revenue guidance to $7.2 billion to $7.4 billion, reflecting strong first half performance. CFO Michael Petro reaffirmed adjusted EBITDA guidance of $2.36 billion to $2.5 billion, stating, "The contributions to EBITDA from New Frontier should largely offset continued elevated diesel costs."
- Pricing Pressures: Average selling prices decreased by 2%, but increased 3.7% on an organic basis. Petro noted, "The impact of acquisitions on headline ASP is expected to become more pronounced in the second half of the year as NFM contributes for the full period."
What were Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.'s July 30, 2026 results?
- Revenue: $1.5B (vs $1.29B est, +16% YoY)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $636M (up 15% YoY after adjustments)
- Full Year Revenue Guidance: $7.2B - $7.4B (raised from previous guidance)
- Adjusted EBITDA Guidance: $2.36B - $2.5B (maintained guidance)
- Organic Shipments Growth: 2.3% (fourth consecutive quarter of growth)
- Average Selling Price Change: -2% (decreased due to acquisition mix, but +3.7% organically)
Martin Marietta's strong performance in Q2 2026, driven by record revenues and strategic acquisitions, positions the company well for future growth. The raised guidance reflects confidence in operational execution and market demand, though pricing pressures and energy costs remain areas of concern. Investors should monitor the integration of acquisitions and the impact of legislative developments on infrastructure spending as potential catalysts for growth.
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, welcome to Martin Marietta's Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's call is being recorded and will be available for replay on the company's website. I will now turn the call over to your host, Ms. Jacklyn Rooker, Martin Marietta's Vice President of Investor Relations. Jacklyn, you may begin.
Jacklyn Rooker
executiveGood morning, everyone, and thank you for joining Martin Marietta's Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. With me today are Ward Nye, Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Michael Petro, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. As a reminder, today's discussion may include forward-looking statements as defined by United States securities laws. These statements relate to future events operating results or financial performance and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. Martin Marietta undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, except as legally required, whether due to new information, future developments or otherwise. For additional details, please refer to the legal disclaimers contained in today's earnings release and other public filings, which are available on both our own and the Securities and Exchange Commission's website. Supplemental information summarizing our financial results and trends is available during this webcast and in the Investors section of our website. Definitions and reconciliations of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure are provided in the appendix to the supplemental information in our SEC filings and on our website. Today's earnings call will begin with Ward Nye, who will discuss our second quarter and year-to-date accomplishments, 2026 outlook and supporting market trends. Michael Petro will then review our financial results and capital allocation details, after which Ward will provide closing remarks. Please note that all comparisons are to the prior year's corresponding period. A question-and-answer session will follow. Please limit your Q&A participation to one question. I will now turn the call over to Ward.
C. Nye
executiveThank you, Jacklyn. Good morning, and thank you for joining today's teleconference. Martin Marietta delivered another strong quarter, highlighted by record second quarter revenues and adjusted EBITDA. Our results benefited from favorable demand in infrastructure and heavy nonresidential markets, disciplined execution across the organization and contributions from recent acquisitions. During the quarter, we also took significant steps to thoughtfully advance our SOAR 2030 priorities positioning Martin Marietta for its next phase of growth. Specifically, in May, we completed the acquisition of New Frontier Materials, or NFM, a complementary bolt-on to our aggregates position along the I-70 corridor in Missouri, creating opportunities to further leverage our existing scale across our differentiated Central Division footprint. Most recently, we announced a transformational agreement to combine with Lhoist North America, Inc., or LNA, the nation's leading producer of lime and industrial mineral products. The planned combination builds upon our aggregates-led foundation and is expected to substantially broaden our differentiated upstream Specialties platform. The strategic fit is compelling, like construction aggregates, lime production begins with limestone reserves and relies on many of the same core competencies that have long defined Martin Marietta's success, including quarry operations, mineral resource management and reserves optimization. With nearly 200 heritage limestone quarries across our portfolio, we're uniquely positioned to unlock significant value through recognizing the full potential of the combined limestone reserve base. LNA brings to us leading positions in key geographies and end user markets, an advantaged Sun Belt footprint and more than 200 years of high-quality limestone reserves. Its products possess unique properties, making them mission-critical across industrial, infrastructure, manufacturing, environmental and other applications. With limited substitutes and a modest share of customers' overall production costs, lime benefits from attractive and durable demand fundamentals throughout economic cycles. Upon closing, the combination will diversify our end market exposure, enhance free cash flow conversion and create significant opportunities to realize commercial and operational synergies across our aggregates and specialties businesses. Taken together, the NFM acquisition and planned LNA combination demonstrate our disciplined approach to capital allocation and continued commitment to executing a strategy designed to enhance the quality, durability and long-term growth profile of Martin Marietta for the benefit of our shareholders, customers and employees. Importantly, our SOAR 2030 priorities extend far beyond portfolio optimization and acquisitions. They encompass a wide range of operational and commercial initiatives. Operationally, we identified approximately $350 million of run rate pretax cash flow improvement opportunities driven by enhanced asset utilization, network optimization and lower sustaining capital requirements. Year-to-date, as compared with the prior year period, disciplined inventory management and reductions in capital spending alone have unlocked more than $200 million of cash flow benefits. Combined with our organic second quarter cost performance, we've already made meaningful progress toward our efficiency and cash generation objectives with additional runway ahead of us. It's important to note that these benefits are not the result of deferred investment or actions that may negatively impact the business long term. Rather, they reflect a more efficient alignment of our footprint production capabilities and capital requirements with our current and evolving portfolio. Commercially, I'm pleased to report that in June, we completed the enterprise-wide rollout of our Precise IQ mobile quoting application and associated pricing algorithm. Precise IQ enables greater customer responsiveness, enhanced pricing precision, improve commercial insights and more consistent execution of go-to-market strategies. Turning to our year-to-date results. We delivered the best first half safety performance in our company's history as measured both by total injury and lost time incident rates. Safety is the foundation of everything we do and remains our most important measure of success. I'm grateful to every Martin Marietta employee, long-term team members and recent additions alike for embracing our shared responsibility to care for one another and ensure that every team member returns home safely each day. Based on our strong first half performance and continued momentum, we're raising our full year revenue guidance to $7.2 billion to $7.4 billion and reaffirming our adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations guidance of $2.36 billion to $2.5 billion. This guidance does not include contributions from the pending LNA transaction, which we will update following the closing. Looking at our end markets. Infrastructure remains the most durable and visible source of aggregates demand. Recent legislative proposals and continued bipartisan support for transportation investment reinforce our confidence in the long-term funding environment. Although a short-term extension of the current surface transportation authorization appears increasingly likely, we do not expect it to materially impact project activity or funding flows. State Departments of Transportation continued to advance large multiyear construction programs, supported by elevated state revenues and the over $150 billion of federal infrastructure funds yet to be invested. As a result, we remain confident in sustained infrastructure demand over the coming years. Having nonresidential construction continues to provide an important source of growth supported by investments in data centers, warehouses, power generation and domestic manufacturing across our markets. According to Dodge Construction Network, more than 70% of planned or under construction data center square footage and 70% of manufacturing square footage are located within 55 miles of a Martin Marietta facility. This proximity advantage positions us to participate meaningfully in several of the secular growth trends reshaping the United States industrial economy. Upon closing, the planned LNA combination is expected to broaden our participation in these long-term growth opportunities while adding exposure to other durable end markets. LNA's high calcium and dolomitic lime products are essential to steel production, soil stabilization, water treatment and other industrial applications. With its advantaged Sun Belt footprint, LNA is uniquely positioned to benefit as domestic steel production capacity and data center construction continues to migrate to the Southeastern United States and Texas. Taken together, these end markets provide an attractive balance of demand, a durable infrastructure base, compelling secular growth in heavy nonresidential construction and meaningful upside from an eventual residential recovery. I'll now turn the call over to Michael to discuss our second quarter financial results and capital allocation. Michael, over to you.
Michael Petro
executiveThank you, Ward, and good morning, everyone. Our core aggregates business generated record revenues of $1.5 billion, an increase of 16%. Supported by strong infrastructure and heavy nonresidential demand across our footprint, organic shipments increased 2.3% while total shipments increased 17% to 61.6 million tons, reflecting contributions from Quikrete and a partial quarter contribution from the NFM acquisition. Average selling prices decreased 2% but increased 3.7% on an organic basis after adjusting for geographic mix. The impact of acquisitions on headline ASP is expected to become more pronounced in the second half of the year as NFM contributes for the full period. That said, we expect strong realization of midyear increases in those relevant markets that are well below the company average. Organic cost of goods sold per ton increased 3.6% inclusive of a 150 basis point headwind from higher pass-through external freight costs, such that our controllable cost growth was notably below the implied 3% in our guidance. This strong performance underscores the execution of our operating teams and the effectiveness of our cost management initiatives. While we expect energy costs to remain elevated through year-end, our focus will remain on what we can control to mitigate the current inflationary pressures and to protect and enhance margins. Reported aggregates gross profit of $418 million was negatively impacted by a $52 million noncash inventory step-up charge, of which $45 million was an adjustment to EBITDA as well as $42 million of higher depreciation, depletion and amortization expenses. With most of the fair value inventory charges now behind us, we anticipate only modest residual impacts on aggregates gross profit during the balance of the year allowing reported results to more closely align with the true underlying economics of the business. Our Specialties business delivered record quarterly revenues of $152 million and gross profit of $50 million reflecting contributions from the July 2025 Premier Magnesia acquisition and organic pricing gains across all products. As illustrated on Slide 7 and 8 of our supplemental information, our single heritage lime plant in Woodville, Ohio has demonstrated the ability to compound profitability through macroeconomic cycles. Of note, during the financial crisis, Woodville volumes declined only 7% as compared to the U.S. aggregates industry's 37% decline. By 2025, Woodville Lime shipments exceeded 2006 levels by 2% while U.S. aggregates production remained 25% below its peak. This consistent demand profile combined with average selling prices compounding at mid-single digits resulted in gross profit compounding at a high single-digit rate for 19 years. This favorable algorithm is continuing in 2026. Specifically, in the second quarter, Woodville's average selling prices increased 4% or 5% on a mix-adjusted basis, while shipments increased 1%, resulting in 7% growth in gross profit to a new record as compared with the prior year quarter's previous record, notwithstanding energy-related inflationary cost impacts. These results demonstrate lime's mission-critical nature and its value proposition to customers across a broad range of essential applications. Looking ahead, we increased our full year revenue guidance and reaffirmed our full year adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations guidance, reflecting our strong first half performance and contributions from the NFM acquisition partially offset by continued energy cost headwinds. As Ward mentioned, we plan to update our 2026 guidance following the closing of the LNA transaction. Turning to capital allocation. As indicated on Slide 9, since 2022, we have fundamentally reshaped Martin Marietta's portfolio. We divested more than $525 million of EBITDA from our cement and ready-mix concrete assets at attractive valuations near cyclical peaks and redeploy those proceeds into aggregates and specialties businesses with more durable and higher-margin earnings profiles, all in a largely balance sheet-neutral manner. What makes this transformation particularly compelling is that despite divesting businesses that contributed more than $0.5 billion of EBITDA, we still expect adjusted EBITDA to compound at approximately 10% annually over the 5-year period ending in 2026. This performance highlights both the success of our portfolio optimization strategy and the exceptional underlying earnings power embedded within our core business. That momentum has continued through the first half of 2026 as organic growth and the acquired Quikrete assets outperformance relative to our initial expectations have more than offset the EBITDA associated with the divested assets and the exchange transaction. As a result, we delivered a new first half record of more than $1 billion of adjusted EBITDA. The announced combination with LNA represents the next step and a natural extension of the portfolio strategy we have executed for years further strengthening Martin Marietta through a broader mix of differentiated mission-critical upstream materials businesses with compelling long-term growth prospects. This transaction enhances the quality, scale and resilience of our earnings base, which expands our participation in attractive secular growth markets. Importantly, our approach remains unchanged. As we have consistently demonstrated through prior portfolio actions, we will pursue value creation with the same disciplined capital allocation framework that has guided our company for decades. Accordingly, we remain firmly committed to maintaining a strong investment-grade balance sheet and expect to delever back to our targeted range within 24 months post closing of the LNA transaction. With that, I will now turn the call back over to Ward.
C. Nye
executiveThank you, Michael. The strategic actions we've taken over the past several years have strengthened Martin Marietta's portfolio, expanded our growth opportunities and enhanced our ability to serve customers across attractive end markets and geographies. As we continue advancing SOAR 2030, our priorities remain clear: operating safely and efficiently, successfully integrating acquired businesses, allocating capital with discipline and delivering superior returns over the long term. Supported by a high-quality asset base, resilient market fundamentals and the dedication of our talented teams, we remain confident in our ability to execute our strategy and create sustainable long-term value for our shareholders. If the operator will now provide the required instructions, we'll turn our attention to addressing your questions.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Adam Thalhimer with Thompson Davis.
Adam Thalhimer
analystCongrats on the solid Q2 print. Ward, I wanted to focus on your organic aggregates business. If you strip out deals, how is the underlying aggregates business performing versus your expectations?
C. Nye
executiveI really appreciate the question because you're right. There are a lot of moving parts in today's release. So let me try to take you through that. So number one, I would say it was very strong, and here are the reasons why organic volume was up 2.3%. So let's put that in context. That's the fourth consecutive quarter of good solid organic volume growth. Mix-adjusted pricing was up 3.7%. So that's more in keeping with what we would have expected. And keep in mind, part of what we've seen this year is portions of the United States, such as the Central and the West, growing at faster rates from a volume perspective than the east and [ southwestern ] scene. so that's going to automatically give us a little bit of an optical headwind as we go through it. So again, mix-adjusted pricing up 3.7%. Here's what I'm really proud of. If I look at the cost of goods sold, they're up just 2.1% if we exclude the pass-through external freight component of it. So that tells me our teams are doing a great job in managing costs, but here's a [ fact to it ]. if we want to go out and say, okay, what would have happened if energy had been even, and we hadn't seen the spike in energy, we actually would have seen cost of goods sold flat for the quarter. I mean to see that type of performance, I think in an inflationary environment, broadly speaking, is really impressive. So what that means at the bottom line is organic gross profit was up about 4.3%, but if we think about what this is going to look like going forward, Adam, I think that's really important. Much of the noncash inventory charges are now pretty much behind us. And that's obviously we're going to see some modest impacts from NFM as we go into half 2. But that's going to make the reported numbers much more easy to see. But as we go through it, and I think as we're just talking about adjustments to make sure we get our heads around it. If we're looking at reported aggregates cash gross profit, and we think about a bridge, I mean, here's the way I [ rank ] it up in my mind. $418 million reported, if we come back and adjust for the fair market value inventory adjustment, that's $52 million. Then if we come back and look at the adjusted gross profit at that number, you're at $470 million. That's 9% over prior year. And then equally, if we come back and take a look at the noncash DD&A of $166 million, that gets us to adjusted cash gross profit of $636 million and that's up 15% year-over-year. And Adam, to your point, I think it's so easy for that to get lost when you're going through GAAP and you're going through reported and you're going through adjusted and all the rest of it. So I really appreciate your question on what was happening in the organic aggregates business. And I know that was a long answer, but I hope it answered your question.
Operator
operatorAnd our next question comes from the line of Kathryn Thompson with Thompson Research Group.
Kathryn Thompson
analystNext up in [ Q ] and focus is acquisitions and more specifically with Lhoist, you now are in the midst of -- you've made the announcement -- you've already had a call that gave some details at the time of closing -- the announcement of the acquisition. But where we sit today, what are you seeing as the risk and opportunities for this acquisition.
C. Nye
executiveThank you, Kathryn. I appreciate the question. I would say several things. If we just look at the opportunities, I'll come back and address the risks too. I mean the opportunity is this is the leading producer of dolomitic lime and high-calcium line in the United States. Look, there's a reason that we put some slides in today talking about what our heritage performances look like at Woodville. I think when you look at Woodville, number one, you think, well, that's an impressive business. It's done really well. And it's done really well in the central and northern tier of the United States. This business that we're picking up. One is the market leader, and it's in the southern half of the United States. So when we think about that geography and think about their network of 20 quarries and production facilities and then 45 distribution terminals and how that's going to click in to what we've had historically, we think that's a great opportunity. We think the leading market positions that they have across really attractive markets, including the Sun Belt, as I said in my prepared remarks, is pretty important to us. we equally think the fact that it's mission-critical products, meaning you're not making steel without it. Water treatment is critical. Flue gas treatment is important, Nonferrous metals are vital. But highways and mega construction projects are going to be very much in this business' wheelhouse now and after we close on the transaction. The other opportunities, I mentioned it briefly, is it's going to change our end market exposure because it makes it even more well diversified. So part of what we tried to build, Kathryn, is an upstream business that's differentiated that has the capacity in up markets to outperform and in down markets to outperform. And I think that's what we're doing. Now keep in mind, part of what I love about this business is it represents about 1% to 4% of our customers' production costs. So when we're looking at something that they have to buy, that's not a big part of their overall cost that looks, feels and sounds to me a lot like aggregates. So again, if we take a look at how this is trending, we continue to have really strong confidence in the synergies that we've talked about already. We hope to come back at some point and say that we will do better than those. Keep in mind, that's precisely what we did with TXI. The other part of your question, I'm not trying to ignore it all is what about risk mitigation. And what I would say is, number one, we've got a proven track record of doing these types of deals and doing them well of scale. I'm not worried about that. We also have shown our ability to rapidly delever following transactions of scale. We've talked about the fact in 24 months, we think we'll be back there. And then several things that we look at that we think mitigates the risk as well. I mean the business is are hugely complementary. Again, that's one of the reasons that we put in there, what you've seen from Woodville today. Lhoist has really operated almost as an independent business here in the United States, which means clipping it into what we're doing is not going to have a lot of a high degree of integration risks that you might see in other businesses. And we've seen the team there. And at the end of the day, seeing the team seeing the talent, seeing how well they performed, that they have a set of values and a culture that I think again joins ours very, very seamlessly. I see the opportunities. I'm never blind to the risks. I think the risks are very manageable. And the primary thing we want to do is get this deal closed. So again, Kathryn, I hope that helped.
Kathryn Thompson
analystIt does. And in summary, it's -- maybe to be said it's a little bit different, but not a whole lot different from Martin's core strategy, is that a fair statement?
C. Nye
executiveYes, that's a totally fair statement. I think what people forget, we have 200 limestone quarries today. I mean what we're talking about doing, as I said in my prepared remarks, our core fundamental things that Martin Marietta has long done and long done well. And again, if we're looking at a business has even better margins than we've had a business that's had a wonderful pricing power business that has come through downturns with remarkable resilience. It's all very much what we do. I think it makes us better. And I think we can make them better.
Operator
operatorAnd our next question comes from the line of Trey Grooms with Stephens.
Trey Grooms
analystSo my question is on the updated guidance for the year. You're taking the revenue guide up $140 million at the midpoint, reiterating the EBITDA range. So maybe if you could discuss some of the puts and takes here. You mentioned you're layering in NFM, but any other details you could give us here around the guidance would be super helpful.
C. Nye
executiveNo, got it. Trey, thank you very much. I'm going to give you some early comments on that, I'll ask Michael to come back and address in more detail. So if you think about what's happening, are we seeing shipments trending toward the high end of our range? Yes, we are. Are we seeing pricing going more towards the lower end of the range? Yes, we are. And a lot of that is explained by what we've discussed before on geographic mix, product mix, et cetera. I think the primary thing that we're doing is we're simply looking at the energy markets, and we're saying -- but let's not bet on that getting better in the second half of the year. And so I think we're taking a very conservative view of the way that we're going to approach cost for the rest of the year. But I'll ask Michael to take you through the guide and give you a bit more granularity. So Michael?
Michael Petro
executiveYes. Thank you, Ward. And Trey, thanks for the question. Ward hit it. But in a nutshell, what we're saying is the contributions to EBITDA from New Frontier should largely offset continued elevated diesel costs. So a bit of conservatism on the cost side, shipments certainly trending towards the high end. In fact, year-to-date, organic volumes were up 4.3%. So you should assume organic volumes certainly trending towards the high end of the original guide. On the ASP front, that's towards the low end organically. We got to the mix of just in the quarter, but where we started the year, just mathematically, it's going to be difficult to get to the higher end, even with mid-years. As we're talking about midyear, what I would say is realization of those is going to be strong in both the New Frontier and Quikrete markets. So we ought to get good momentum there, a, July 1 for Quikrete; b, August 1 for New Frontier, and that really is going to set up coming back January 1 in both of those markets. On the heritage business, we're also quoting work at higher rates. So as Ward mentioned in his prepared remarks, we did complete the rollout of Precise IQ. So we have the quoting tool and the algorithm and all of our sales reps hands that targeted price and the algorithm accounts for elevated inflation. So we ought to see nice new quoted work coming through at higher ASPs. The only segment that was relatively challenged relative to midyears and it probably doesn't come as a surprise is, given what's going on in single-family residential, price increases to the ready-mixed concrete segment was probably not as strong as you would see on the quoted work. From a COGS per ton perspective, what we think, and it does get lost in a lot of the noise is just how strong we've performed year-to-date. If you just strip out external pass-through freight alone. Year-to-date, organic COGS is up 3%. What we said after Q1 was, hey, look, we understand diesel is elevated, but we're not changing our guide on COGS because we're pulling certain levers relative to network optimization that we think we can maintain that 3% COGS per ton guide. You certainly saw that flow through in Q2. We feel pretty good about where we sit going into Q3 and Q4 because we're starting to lap those comps on a COGS per ton basis of last year that were relatively elevated in the second half. And the last piece, I would say, is just the Specialties business. So you saw the outperformance in Q2. The beauty of that business is it's not highly seasonal. So modeling it is very straightforward. So you can almost apply that $50 million of gross profit pro rata across Q3 and Q4.
C. Nye
executiveAnd Trey, the one thing I'd come back on the guide and say it's not so much a granular portion of the guide for the rest of the year. But I think it's really important to look at the guide and try to put that in context to because, again, what we're going to deliver, and we said it in the prepared remarks, this is a CAGR of 10% or notwithstanding over $0.5 billion of divestitures with EBITDA neutral at 2.5x exiting 2021 and 2.5x today. So I'm really very pleased and proud of the way that guide has shaped up in the way that the shaping of the portfolio has gone to put us in this type of position. So again, try a lot of data, but I hope that's helpful because we said coming into this year with the M&A that we've seen, it is confusing. You do have to go through and make sure you're teasing out what's most relevant so you can truly see how the business is performing and the business is performing very well.
Operator
operatorAnd our next question comes from the line of Tyler Brown with Raymond James.
Patrick Brown
analystWard, so there has been quite a bit of noise in aggregates pricing. And I know that '27 is still a bit away, but I was hoping that you could maybe help me out conceptually. So it feels that '26 has been impacted by geo mix, product mix, M&A dilution. But as we look to next year, shouldn't those pricing optics improve because geo and product kind of comp out, the midyear should have a bigger outsized impact. You've got let's call it, commercial harmonization in the acquired operations and you've got this new Precise IQ tool that's going to be fully utilized. So I guess why wouldn't we see reported pricing well in excess of, call it, that 4% longer-term average as we think about next year?
C. Nye
executiveTyler, thanks for the question. And look, as you were going through your bullet points and your question [ mark ], I kept thinking, yes, yes, yes. I think you've got it. I mean, it's fascinating to me look at it. Because, for example, we're looking at New Frontier, which we're so happy to own. I mean, their average selling price is $12 and some change. If we're looking at the Quikrete, again, which we are so happy to own, their ASP is dollars per ton below our average. And then to your point, if we think about the fact that really in Q1, what you saw was a snowless period of time in the West, and the Central division coming out really strongly. I mean what's really happening this year is because of the timing of a really good Q1 for portions of our business that typically are sleepy, and they weren't sleepy because of weather. And then to your point, new acquisitions that are also coming in and the ASPs that come with those, that creates what you rightly said is an optical headwind. So when we're looking reported down to frankly, that doesn't mean anything. What means something is really what's happening relative to mix adjusted pricing, and that's why seeing that trending toward [ 4 ] is more important than that. Now to your other point, as we think about the setup for 2027, here's what I'm excited about. When we go into 2027, we're going to be through all the inventory issues on purchase price accounting with Quikrete. We're going to be through all the inventory issues relative to New Frontier. And part of what happens with Lhoist is, keep in mind, they don't keep a big host of inventory. So they'll actually work through that relatively quickly, which means, to your point, on pricing in 2027 should be a pretty compelling story. I think it should. But equally, when you think about 2027, what I'm excited about is we get to come out and just give you nice clean unadjusted numbers and you get to see exactly what this business is doing. So back to your original question, yes, yes, yes. And yes, as you went through your bullet points. But again, I wanted to make sure that we talked about to what I think the balance of the setup is going into 2027. I hope that answered your question.
Operator
operatorAnd our next question comes from the line of Philip Ng with Jefferies.
Jesse Barone
analystIt's Jesse on for Phil. Just for Q2 pricing, could you kind of just contextualize what the different mix headwinds were and kind of which of those you think will abate in the second half and which of those will kind of continue? Obviously, the M&A ones will continue, but of the product and geo mix that will kind of abate in the second half.
Michael Petro
executiveYes. No, happy to do that. So if you think headline was down to 40 basis points of that was acquisition mix. So the reason in the prepared remarks, we said that headline ASP impact will become more pronounced in the second half. Keep in mind, we only had 45 days of New Frontier in Q2. And as Ward just mentioned on the last question, those that product is selling for $12 a ton. So we're going to see that continue and become more pronounced of a mix headwind in the back half, but also understanding that that's where we're going to get very strong realization of midyears as well. So that brings you to organic ASP on a headline basis of 2.1%, of which about 160 basis points was geo mix related. And so as we look at it, if we look same on same geo mix from this quarter to last quarter, adjusted is 3.7%. So getting close to 4% geo mix adjusted, and that's due to the fact that our Central division and actually, what we -- the take away is quite compelling. We're seeing the broadening out of demand, in particular with data centers, energy and infrastructure and what we often refer to as our differentiated central division, and that's what we mean. Not only was it the fastest-growing volume division organically in the quarter is also the fastest-growing ASP division in the quarter. So we actually think that's a tailwind, not a headwind. It's obviously a headwind to reported metrics. But that volume growing at that rate, our West division volume growing at that rate, both of which have ASPs lower than the company average but growing at a faster rate really sets up 2027 to be quite compelling from an ASP standpoint. But keep in mind, I mean, Texas, as some others have reported, I mean, that was in a pretty bad spot with weather. So that just gives you a sense of how strong the Central division and the West division were if we were still putting up 2.3% when our largest state by revenue had the type of weather impact that it had.
Jesse Barone
analystThat's good detail. And then just a quick follow-up. The $350 million number that you kind of calling out for cash cost saves, any way to kind of contextualize that for actual kind of drop down to either earnings or saves on like a cost per ton basis.
Michael Petro
executiveYes. So we put it into 3 buckets. So think about it as OpEx, working capital, in particular, inventory and CapEx -- sustaining CapEx is the 3 buckets of cash opportunity. We quantified what we've already delivered year-to-date just on inventory and CapEx alone, so you can get to that pretty quickly in the cash flow statement. If you think about our CapEx guide for the year, it's nearly -- or a little over $200 million down from where it was exiting 2025. So that gives you a sense of where CapEx will be of that $350 million number. We did not quantify the OpEx P&L direct piece just yet, except to say, "Hey, look, we just delivered 2.1% organic COGS per ton growth in the quarter with nearly a $20 million energy headwind." So that gives you a sense without that energy headwind, we're starting to talk about organic COGS per ton is flat in the current inflationary environment. So the best way to back into a number there would just assume an inflation rate, subtract what we're printing and multiply it by the tons.
C. Nye
executiveJesse, I would add a bit more color to that. I would say, number one, we're anticipating that $350 million, at least in our minds today as an exiting '27 number, just to contextualize it for you. Look, I think before then we're going to come back and probably adjust that for you and not adjust it down. I think we'll likely be adjusting that up. The other thing, as we think about CapEx, and of course, Michael was talking about the heritage business or the going-forward business in those numbers. Something that we're really pleased with as we've gotten to see even more of M&A is how well that business has been invested in. We are not anticipating that's going to be a business that's going to be a significant outsized consumer of CapEx. And candidly, that's different than you would find in most circumstances because it's more typical when you buy a business that an owner might have gone relatively light on CapEx for a period of time leading up to the sale. That's not what we found in that business. So again, some building blocks for you to put some context to the $350 million number, please.
Operator
operatorAnd our next question comes from the line of Timna Tanners with Wells Fargo.
Timna Tanners
analystI wanted to ask, first off, a clarification question on the Magnesia guidance, the Magnesia Specialties segment guidance because of the comment from Michael on the run rate that implies the full year number could be closer to that $200 million to annualize the $50 million performance in Q2. And then I know we made it this far without talking about the weather, but I thought I might bring it up and ask if you can quantify the hit to Q2? And any guidance on the weather impact potential for Q3? Because so far, I guess, continuing to see pretty high range in [ case ].
Michael Petro
executiveYes. Thank you, Timna. Yes, on the specialties business, of course, we have year-to-date already. You saw the $50 million and thereabouts, you can probably plug in $50 million for Q3 and Q4. So that's not a bad modeling assumption. On the weather, yes, the Southeast, I wouldn't say on a comp basis to prior year, it was notably impacted. In fact, in certain portions of North Carolina. We were in a drought until we got to July. Texas was the most impacted by weather in Q2. And what's good about that is a couple of things. One, all of those projects were pushed out. So they're starting to pick up certainly the mega projects into the second half. And those mega projects have certain escalators in them. So they reprice as you start to ship. So that's actually a nice tailwind moving into the second half. What I would say is July shipment trends, notwithstanding, it's probably rained every single day in North Carolina in the month of July, daily shipment trends in July are very supportive of our [ guide ].
C. Nye
executiveSo Timna, coming back to it. Look, I think the bigger issue relative to winter is we really didn't have major hurricane activity last year. And the fact is we try not to talk about weather as much as possible because it's outside, and we just have to manage through it. And what we've seen is we manage through it really quite well. And to your point, was the Southwest pretty wet in Q2? Yes, it was. And is Texas, our single largest revenue profit state, et cetera? Yes, it is. But here's something I'll say, too. You know what's going to be great in helping stabilize some of those wet soils, a whole lot of lime. And so we're actually seeing some nice upsides in what we think will allow us even to manage weather differently going forward, Timna. So I hope that helps you.
Operator
operatorAnd our next question comes from the line of Angel Castillo with Morgan Stanley.
Esther Osinaiya
analystThis is Esther on for Angel. I guess maybe I wanted to hear more about how backlog and quoting activity has been converting to actual awards that you guys have been working on right now, particularly on the private and commercial side. And on top of that, are you seeing any pull forward or any push out behavior from any of the private customers just to assess like the current private demand market right now this year?
C. Nye
executiveThank you very much for the question, Esther. No, we're not seeing anything pushed off now. We're seeing work just continue to flow through very nicely. I mean if we're looking particularly on the private side and what's happening, of course, there's not that much happening on res right now. So if we think about what the show really looks like it's twofold, right? It's what's going on relative to infrastructure that's very constructive, and we don't see that changing. And it's what's going on relative to heavy nonres. And we continue to see the bidding. We can see the work, we see the backlog there very attractive. I mean, if we're looking at data centers in our world, [ they're ] around 90%. If we're looking at power in our world, it's up 23%. And keep in mind, that's going to continue to chase the data centers for a while. So you would expect the data centers to be up more on a percentage basis and power to be somewhere behind that, but growing. And we mentioned in the last couple of quarters that we continue to see good activity and increasing activity in warehousing. And we're seeing that year-to-date up 53%. and again, that's not on any base that feels overbuilt at all. And part of what I outlined in my prepared remarks, is the percentage of that type of activity that's within a very close geographic proximity of a Martin Marietta location. So again, Esther, I hope that answered your question specifically.
Operator
operatorAnd our next question comes from the line of Steven Fisher with UBS.
Steven Fisher
analystI just wanted to level set the pricing expectation for Q3 compared to that 3.7% mix-adjusted price in Q2. Are we thinking that it's a little bit lower than that? Or just to kind of frame that, if you could. And then really interesting to hear you're able to deliver those flat COGS after adjusting for the fuel and energy, I know, Michael, you said there was some comps that were a factor and you had some network optimization. Can you just give us a sense of what some of the key actions that you took to get to that flat in this broader inflationary environment? And is that sustainable in the second half?
Michael Petro
executiveYes. Let me start with COGS because I think some of these data points by COGS category on the organic business or quite compelling. So if you look at labor per ton, that was down year-over-year. If you look at repairs, contract services, and other plant cost production overhead, et cetera, all down. Really, if you look at line items, the only line items that were up year-over-year on a per ton basis were either energy directly or energy-derived call it, internal rail freight to terminals. So that's the type of cost performance that we saw. Some of it is network optimization certainly flowing through from some of those early markets that we put that into place. Other is just really good cost control and starting to lap some of those comps exactly as we said when we came into the year, we said Q1 was going to be a difficult cost comp and then they got notably easier as we roll through the balance of the year. You started to see that really in Q2. On the ASP -- organic ASP, yes, look, we feel confident in the remaining quarters of our organic ASP guide starting to be in that mid-single ZIP code. That being said, on a headline basis, given that we have New Frontier rolling through for the full back half, the reported and headline numbers going to be notably lower than where it was for Q2 since we only had 45 days in that. But we'll continue to break out the acquisition mix to ASP, we'll be transparent about that so that you can see the true underlying performance of the business. But as Ward mentioned, just aggregates gross profit itself is going to be much cleaner in the back half, notwithstanding New Frontier impacts because all of the fair market value step-up is largely behind us, both for Quikrete and most of it for New Frontier, we have some residual impacts here in July and maybe a little into August and then the rest of the year is just clean reported aggregates gross profit.
C. Nye
executiveAnd Steven, the other thing that I think is so important to say again because I can't underscore it enough. There's opportunity in the fact that the ASPs and those acquired businesses are where they are. So if you're looking at reported again, it's an optical headwind if you're looking at what the opportunity set is, it's pretty significant.
Michael Petro
executiveYes. I mean 50% below the company average, to put it in perspective.
Operator
operatorAnd our next question comes from the line of Michael Dudas with Vertical Research Partners.
Michael Dudas
analystWard, I wouldn't want to have a call end without you maybe sharing a little bit more insight on what might happen in Washington. Then it has been pretty quiet. They've been very busy on other things. Though it seems like consensus [ is a CR is upon us ]. Your sense that something gets done before December 31?
C. Nye
executiveWell, you're right. It just -- it would just be wrong not to have this conversation on an earnings call. So I appreciate the question so much. Look, just as -- you always got my back. I'm grateful. So look, I mean, just to level set on where we are. Obviously, the House Committee has come out with Bill 250, approximately $580 billion over 5 years, right? So that's going to be roughly -- let's call it, $80 billion of guaranteed funding. To your point, the Senate continues to develop its legislation. We haven't seen any text come out of that yet. I think simply given that, I think it's just pragmatic to you that we're going to get a short-term extension. I think what's important is I haven't found a policy maker in either the House or the Senate who's not focused on maintaining the program continuity while preserving whatever time they need to negotiate a more broad multiyear arrangement. Do I think we'll end up with something before year-end? The short answer is yes, I think we probably will. Do I think it's likely to be something that from a structure perspective is more geared toward highways, bridges, roads and streets? Yes, I think it is. If we look at what Senator Capito has said, who's clearly leading EPW and that she doesn't want to take anything that feels like a step backward on what we've seen from IIJA. I think she's really committed to that. So do I think they'll have something in place by September 30? No, I don't. Do I think there'll be a pretty significant push to get something in place by December 31? The answer is yes. I think they probably will. And do I think that causes any degree of disruptions this year or heading into next year? No. I don't think it does. If we go back over time, and just look at the way this process that's highly imperfect by nature, typically works, this is pretty standard fare. So I think we're going to end up in a perfectly good spot and have that most aggregates-intensive portion of our business that tends to be -- you've heard me describe it before, is the ballast in the boat. It's never something that pops aggregates way up or takes them down it just makes it good and steady for the biggest piece of our business. I think that works very nicely going into 2027. So thank you for the question. I hope that answered it.
Operator
operatorAnd our next question comes from the line of Ivan Yi with Wolfe Research.
Ivan Yi
analystWanted to go back to M&A. And we've heard some concerns potential concerns about the Lhoist deal. While you're digesting such a large acquisition, does this mean Martin is perhaps out of the running for any future core aggregates acquisitions in sort of the near to medium term? And I just want to see how does this change -- this acquisition change your future M&A strategy at all?
C. Nye
executiveIvan, thanks for the question. I really appreciate it. The short answer is it really doesn't. The fact is with the coast-to-coast footprint that we have now, in many respects, the aggregate transactions that we anticipate seeing the most of are nice, steady, consistent bolt-on aggregate transactions. And if you think about the way that we structured LNA relative to cash and relative to equity, we did that very purposely, and we did that in large measures, so we could continue to underscore to the aggregate businesses with whom we're engaged. We're very interested in your business. We're focused on that, and we're in a position that we can move thoughtfully forward with you. And the other thing that Michael and our team have done very well, is communicate clear with great clarity to the rating agencies as well. So we do not see losing our investment-grade credit rating we will continue to be an aggregates-led business. So keep in mind what we've done, we've taken up the specialty side of the house. The 2 different arms of the business. One was a Magnesia arm, the other was a lime arm, and we've made both of those leaders in the United States. And we will see nice deleveraging over the next 24 months that will not get in the way materially towards us sticking to our knitting that's on the aggregate side. And what we'll see over time is the Specialties business will simply serve to further what we're doing on the aggregate side, I think, in a pretty significant, material and attractive way. So Ivan, I hope that helped.
Operator
operatorAnd our final question comes from the line of Garrett Greenblatt with JPMorgan.
Garrett Samuel Greenblatt
analystThis may be part of the $350 million of additional cash generation you called out earlier, but can you give an update on the pilot program you started in Denver at the end of last year, the progress you've seen year-to-date within that particular market and any additional markets you plan on rolling that out to?
C. Nye
executiveYes. No. What you're saying is exactly right. So we basically took what happened in Denver. We've used that as the prototype and pilot for what we're doing on the $350 million. Keep in mind, based on what we've seen so far, really, the $200 million that we've already put really to bet on that has been twofold, right? It's been relative to what's happened on inventory, what's happened on CapEx. What it hasn't fully taken into account yet is what this network optimization can look like. And that's going to clearly be a primary focus of our division presence who are being led very capably by Chris Samborski. And keep in mind, Chris was in large measure the architect of what we did in Colorado. So we will take what we did in Colorado, implement that same playbook, do it on a larger basis. And that was in part what I was referencing before. Look, do I feel like we're probably going to come back to you in the fullness of time and say, look at $350 million that we talked about exiting 2027, we can probably refine that and most likely take that number up. I'd be surprised if we didn't. But again, I hope that gives you a sense of where we are in Colorado, how we've parlayed that into the balance of the organization. And even as we've done that so far, where we've made -- we're taking some ground and where we have more to go.
Operator
operatorThat concludes our question-and-answer session. I will now turn the conference back over to Mr. Ward Nye for closing remarks.
C. Nye
executiveAbby, thank you, and thank you all for joining today's earnings conference call. As we look ahead, we're confident in Martin Marietta's long-term growth prospects through the continued evolution of our portfolio and disciplined allocation of capital, we're expanding our participation in attractive growth markets while further enhancing the resilience of our business. At the same time, our teams are strengthening Martin Marietta every day, building an increasingly differentiated company with a broader set of opportunities and a stronger foundation for the future, guided by a culture of safety, stewardship and disciplined execution, we believe Martin Marietta is well positioned for its next phase of growth and to continue creating enduring value for our shareholders. We look forward to sharing our third quarter 2026 results in the fall. As always, we're available for any follow-up questions. Thank you again for your time and continued support of Martin Marietta.
Operator
operatorAnd ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's call, and we thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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