MasTec, Inc. (MTZ) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 16, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystGood afternoon. This is Guru Gupta from Morgan Stanley's investment banking team. I'm here with the MasTec management team for the fireside chat session. Please note that this webcast is for Morgan Stanley's clients and appropriate Morgan Stanley employees only. This webcast is not for the members of the press. If you are a member of the press, please disconnect and reach out separately. For important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley research disclosure website at www.morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. If you have any further questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative. With that, this afternoon, I have with me Jose Mas, the CEO of MasTec; George Pita, CFO; and Marc Lewis, Head of Investor Relations. George and Marc have been at our conference over the last few years. It's the first time for Jose. So welcome to all 3 of you and special welcome to Jose for your first time at Laguna conference.
Jose Mas
executiveThank you, Guru. Thank you for having us. I think we wish we were in Laguna, though.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystYes. Me, too.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystSo with that, Jose, maybe I'll start with you. There are a lot of investors who may not be familiar with MasTec's story. Can you give us a short introduction and overview of your segments?
Jose Mas
executiveSure. So MasTec is an infrastructure construction company. We specialize primarily in 2 areas, one being communications and the other being power. Within the communications sector, which is kind of where our history started from, my father started the predecessor company to MasTec in the early 1960s. I joined the company in the early '90s. I became CEO of the company in 2007. And our Communications businesses are made up of everything from wireline construction. So we support all the wireline operators across the country, building their plant, maintaining their plant. We're the largest wireless contractor in the U.S., supporting the wireless carriers with their wireless build-out. So we work for AT&T, Verizon, T-Mobile and, hopefully, in the not-too-distant future, DISH, and building out their network and then really supporting and maintaining what they do. We've got a fulfillment business that goes out and visits people's homes and does everything from security installations to DIRECTV installations, and that kind of comprises our telecom business. And our telecom business is roughly just under 40% of our total business, and then the balance is what we would call Power. Within Power, we operate in 3 different segments. The first is transmission. So we build high-voltage transmission lines and substations for our customers, which are everyone from the investor-owned utilities to the municipal-owned utilities and some private investors. We've got an Oil and Gas business, which is predominantly a pipeline business, where we build pipelines into different basins across the country and some interstate pipelines. And then we've got a large, what we call Clean Energy and Infrastructure business, where we are focused on renewable build-outs, both wind and solar and then any form of waste to energy. So we build biomass. We build biofuels and then we do some infrastructure-related work around really supporting industrial manufacturing. We do a little bit of road work and things like that, but it's predominantly Renewables business. We're fortunate. Since I became CEO of the business, we were just under $900 million in sales. EBITDA was around $60 million in that year. Fast forward to today, last year, we did just over $7 billion. This year, our EBITDA guidance is $800 million. Last year, we did just over that. So we've had a phenomenal run in the last 13 years. We've been very blessed to be in markets that we think are really strong and have great growth profile for a long period, and we're really excited about what the future holds. We think that the opportunity for us going forward is just as good as it's been in the past. And we've got a lot of growth drivers. I'm sure we're going to get into them individually, but we're very excited about where the company stands today.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystJose, that's a fantastic story, and congratulations on such a phenomenal track record since 2007.
Jose Mas
executiveThank you.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystYou talked a little bit about your Renewables business, and I was surprised how much that business has grown over the last 2, 3 years. So what's all the excitement and growth that's coming in that business now?
Jose Mas
executiveLook, obviously, there's a shift in energy focus. We have significant renewable standards across the country. We have a lot of companies talking about clean energy, trying to dedicate more resources to clean energy. This is a business for us that, 4 years ago, it was about a $300 million business. This year, it'll be about $1.5 billion. So we've almost quintupled the size of that business in 4 years, which is pretty remarkable. Even more remarkable, we expect to have really strong growth next year. We expect to be around $2 billion in sales next year. So the growth drivers continue to be there. We started the business primarily as being a wind contractor, right? So we got -- we were in the -- it's a funny story. We were building gas pipelines a long time ago and saw that a lot of the prices of renewables and wind were around where oil was trading, and that's where a lot of the PP -- power purchase agreements were getting priced. So we got into the wind business. We really got into it by just building the conduit structures for the electrical that was being built on them. We figured it was a business we could be fully involved in. So today, we do everything from the site prep work, so we get on to a piece of land. We'll prep it. We'll put up the towers. We'll put the turbines on the towers. We do all the electrical components. We build the substations. We tie in the transmission line from that generating source to the existing transmission line system. So it's been a great business for us. It's evolved. Today, we're doing a lot more than just the typical wind and solar. We're doing stuff in the biomass fields and the biofuels. We're seeing just about a lot of the waste companies looking at how they can turn their waste into energy. So just about everywhere, we're seeing small plants being built. That's kind of our bread and butter. So we've done a good job of really diversifying the type of work and mix that we do within that group. That's led to a lot of our growth. We've continued to gain market share in the markets that we started in. And that solar has become a big component of what we do, which is a relatively newer piece of our business over the last couple of years. So I think we've done a good job of not only managing the existing business we started in, but more importantly, diversifying out to having a really broad-based business. And I think that's part of the reason we have so many growth opportunities in front of us because we touch so many different parts of that business.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystAnd Jose, in your Communications segment, 5G rollout was the big theme. Has the pandemic really slowed down that growth? Or what trends you are seeing now in the Communications business?
Jose Mas
executiveYes. No, look, I think 5G is going to be a driver of growth for our business for a long time. I don't think spend is necessarily slowed down. I just don't think spend has ever started the way we all anticipated it to start, right? So I think we're on the cusp of seeing dramatic growth. You almost have to go carrier-by-carrier and understand their strategy and what it is that they're doing. We have some big spectrum auctions that are coming in December that are important for some of our customers that I think will be a catalyst for future growth. But look, our business has been solid. We've been growing north of 20% a quarter for a while now in our base wireline and wireless business. We've been training significantly from a resource perspective to really get ready for the growth. Some of that training slowed down via COVID. When COVID hit, we kind of slowed down a little bit of that training. Our customers were committed to deploying as fast as they can. We need fiber to be able to deploy on the wireless side. So we're -- we've been impacted a little bit by some of the permit delays across municipalities all over the country. If you think about how our work works, you've got to get permits in a lot of local jurisdictions. When COVID hit, a lot of those jurisdictions moved to remote. In some areas, they did a very good job of switching over to a remote permitting facet, where you got permits in a timely fashion. Other municipalities didn't work as smoothly. So we've been battling really a permit issue through most of 2020. A lot of the backlog that we've had, we were able to work through. We've been building backlog. Things have gotten dramatically better. We had a really good second quarter in our Communications group. Margins exceeded what our plan was. Part of that is due to our slowdown in training, right? So we've been training for a big uptick in revenue. We've slowed down the training during COVID. At some point, we'll start training back up, but there's definite -- so we're having a really good year. We're having an excellent margin year relative to what we did in 2019. There's a lot of growth coming. I think we're super prepared for it. I think we're incredibly well positioned for it, and we're very excited about what the future holds. 5G is going to be revolutionary. It's going to be unlike any other build we've done. It's all about densifying the network. So it's about taking the network from the number of touch points that exist today, and it's going to be a multiple of those touch points. All of those touch points creates opportunities for us to not only do construction activities in the next couple of years but, over time, to maintain their networks. A lot of the revenue that we've driven over the last 4 or 5 years have all been maintenance driven. There hasn't really been a shift in technology. So we're excited to know that, in 5 or 7 years, we're going to be maintaining a network that is vastly greater in size than the one that we're maintaining today. And I think just in that, from a long-term perspective, there's some awesome maintenance opportunities for us from a revenue perspective around maintaining much larger networks than what exists today.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystGreat. And you did a QuadGen acquisition recently. What was your thinking for that service offering?
Jose Mas
executiveYes. Look, we made that acquisition almost a year ago. When we think about our traditional services, we've been more on the building and maintenance side. QuadGen is more of a technology driver within the space. They use a lot of software and engineers to do optimization and integration of network. So every time -- so if we think about what's happening to these networks, when we just talked about it, there's going to be a lot more touch points on these networks. They're going to be much more complicated and much more vast. The amount of optimization that's going to be required on these networks continually to make sure that those signals are optimized, that the traffic is optimized, is going to be a huge service. It's a huge service today, and it's one that we think is going to dramatically increase over time. We've got a significant number of engineers that came with that acquisition, a lot of them based in the U.S., and a big portion of them also based in India. So what we like about this business is lots of things, right? One is it's a different service offering we offer our customers. It integrates perfectly with the work that we do. We've seen great response from our customers and their desire to use us for those services. And then it also gives us the opportunity to expand, quite frankly, internationally. Because it's a service, it doesn't require a lot of on-site people. So it's not a construction heavy workforce. It's a software engineer-based service. So we're able to offer to customers, wherever they are, optimization services, integration services, with very little on-field resources. And that makes it something very exciting for us to be able to grow into, not just in the U.S., but quite frankly, internationally, with lots of our customers that are doing things outside of the U.S.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystThen moving on to your energy and pipeline segment, like the natural gas pipelines have been the biggest profit center for MasTec for a long period of time. But with the commodity price volatility, how is that segment doing? It looks like you still have a record backlog. So what are you seeing? What's the outlook in that segment?
Jose Mas
executiveYes. Look, I mean, we're predominantly based on natural gas. So 95% of our business has been in gas-related pipelines versus oil. There's no question that COVID has had a big impact on demand worldwide of some of the commodities and the natural resources. So it's going to have an impact in the business, right? We're seeing a slowdown in the amount of activity of new projects as a lot of our customers really try to figure out what their ultimate CapEx plans are going to look like. A lot of our customers are working on reducing debt today, especially with where commodity prices are. We're lucky that most of our customers have good cash flow profile. So we feel confident that they'll make it through the cycle, and they'll come out stronger on the other side. We're also blessed in that we have a lot of backlog, right? So we're sitting on some large projects that are -- that we're going to be working through probably the first half of '22. So that gives us an enormous amount of visibility in a troubling time. We also are confident that, over time, pricing is going to improve. So we do think in talking to our customers that there will be a lot of opportunities that start to come out middle of next year in '21. Again, since a lot of what we do is natural gas related, we're going to see a shift of where natural gas comes from. When we think about this winter season, a lot of the natural gas has been coming from the Permian. That's been -- a lot of the gas related to the oil production that's been happening, that's kind of stopped. So we're going to see natural gas start coming from different parts of the country. A lot of the things that we do are transportation related. So they're switching to a pipeline from truck and railing, which is much more cost effective, especially in a declining commodity price environment. So we think that's where a lot of the activity is going to drive from in our business second half of '21 into '22. Our Oil and Gas business will be down this year. It'll be down about $1 billion versus where it was last year. Yet our EBITDA is virtually flat, just down a couple of percentage points from '19 to '20. So we think that's a great story in and of itself. We think '21 is going to be a good year because of the backlog that we have. So we think it'll be a very similar year from where we were in '21. We would expect some decline in '22 without a changing price environment. And we think we're well served in the rest of our businesses where they'll more than offset whatever challenges we'll have in our Oil and Gas business. So look, we were very bullish on the long-term nature of that business. We think we're in a great place. We think we have a great brand. We know it's going to be a challenging environment for the next couple of years. Luckily, the rest of our business is going to more than make up for it.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystAnd then electric transmission, which is a smaller segment for you, what sort of growth trajectory are you seeing in that segment?
Jose Mas
executiveLook, today, it's around $0.5 billion segment. We've talked about winding all of our segments to be north of $1 billion. We've done a good job from a backlog growth perspective in that segment as well. We had a couple of slowdowns this year relative to COVID in some areas, where some permitting got delayed. But we're bidding a bunch of things right now. We're really excited about what '21 is going to hold for us. We expect a nice year of growth in that business in '21 relative to '20. We think that, that segment organically has the opportunity to reach the $1 billion sales mark in the next few years. We think there's a lot of M&A opportunity there as well. So we're -- again, it's -- when you look at all of our segments, with the exception of our Energy and Oil and Gas segment, we feel really good about where we're headed. The Clean Energy and Infrastructure segment is going to have a ton of growth in the next couple of years. Communications, mostly driven by 5G, is going to have great opportunities. Transmission is going to have great opportunities. So again, I think our diversified model gives us a lot of opportunities in times like these to really take advantage of those areas where we have significant growth opportunities and really manage through whatever down cycles we see in any of our others.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystShifting to financials and the balance sheet, George, a question for you. You've refinanced your senior notes maturities, which was due in 2023, and that was a big success. What was your thinking around the timing and refinancing?
George Pita
executiveWell, I mean, I'd like to talk about the balance sheet because, obviously, we feel like we're in an incredibly strong position there, and our liquidity shows that and so does our leverage metrics. And obviously, the way that we generate cash flow each year is a strong point for MasTec that we feel is important to note. Relative to the actual bonds and the refinancing, it was truly opportunistic. We were -- we've been looking at the market for quite some time this year, trying to determine we had bonds that were not near maturity but certainly coming to that point, and we were able to refinance them at a lower rate. The demand was such that we had to upsize the offering. We initially came out at $400 million and ended up at $600 million because the demand was so strong, and we felt that was a good opportunistic trade to extend maturity of fixed cost paper and have it out in a longer period of time. We've mentioned before that as -- from a cash flow perspective, MasTec generates significant cash flow each year. We think about ourselves as generating somewhere in the neighborhood $200 million to $400 million a year of cash flows that's to be reinvested back in the business. We talked about M&A. We -- Jose talked about a diversified model. That diversified model is not by happenstance. It's strung by Jose and the M&A team, really looking at opportunities within infrastructure. And I would anticipate that, going forward, we will continue to use our capital prudently in order to maximize shareholder value, whether, again, selective M&A in either existing markets that we're in or other trends that we think will materialize and make a difference; or share repurchase; and obviously, lastly, deleveraging, if that wouldn't be a factor. But right now, given where our balance sheet at, I'd say that's a low probability.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystAnd George, given how strong your cash flow has been outside of M&A, do you think about returning capital back to the shareholders through buyback or dividends?
George Pita
executiveI mean we've done sizable buybacks over the last several years, and we think there's enough of a displacement between the trading of our stock and where we think the opportunities are. So yes, we've done -- obviously, we've done both M&A seen over the years as well as, I want to say, we probably purchased $700 million, $800 million or more of share repurchases in the last 3 or 4 years, including $120 million in the first quarter this year. So again, from our perspective and the Mas family and our management have significant ownership, our interests are very much aligned with our shareholders. When we look at this cash opportunity, and if it's M&A, we're doing so because we truly believe that the opportunity is there. I think Jose mentioned earlier on, we've had sizable growth over the last 12-plus years as we've been doing selective M&A. And we've gone from $900 million to this year $7 billion. That's not been acquisition coming solely from M&A. Really, what you've seen is significant post-acquisition growth, and that's the mantra that we do. So if we're doing M&A, it's because we think that there's either a trend in the market that we can anticipate. And that together with our acquired company, we can take advantage of that trend and really grow that opportunity. But it's always about maximizing shareholder value, and that's going to be the case, whether it be M&A or share repurchases for us.
Jose Mas
executiveLook, and for us, M&A has been a part of our story long term. I think it's always going to be part of the opportunity set in MasTec. We're -- again, we're in what we think are really good growth segments. So we think we've got a lot of growth in front of us, taking advantage of some of that growth and really some of it is geographic scope, right? So some of it is how do we get some help relative to geographies where we're not particularly strong today, how do we get into customer subsets that we're not particularly strong with today. So we see a lot of M&A opportunity across the different segments that we operate in. Typically, I think we've done a really good job of finding companies that we add a lot of value to. So for us, it's what value do we add to those entities and how do we help them grow and get bigger than they could have imagined getting bigger by themselves. So that's what attracts us to it. The challenge, obviously, is today, we're trading at just over 5x trailing EBITDA or even forward EBITDA, which makes it challenging for us. With that said, we still think M&A is an important part of the investment thesis and one that can really catapult our growth when we add the value that we think we can add to the M&A targets.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystYes. Jose, that's a great point, and you're also a large shareholder of the company. And the stock seems very cheap relative to its history and relative to peers. What is it that investors are missing today?
Jose Mas
executiveLook, I think the challenges around our stock this year have been on the oil and gas story, right? We're seeing a down cycle in oil and gas because of the commodity prices, there's no question. I think that we've been tied to that market because we performed so well in that market over the course of the last few years. But we've also been trying to give a blueprint for what our future looks like in a declining environment. So we're working hard to maintain our Oil and Gas business. We think there's going to be opportunities where we can perform better than what we're saying or what we think. But even if you take a draconian or a negative view into our business, right, we're going into '21 with a significant amount of backlog, which kind of moderates '21 in a sizable way. When we think about '22, if there's no improvement to the market, if there's no pricing improvements to the commodities, we still think we'll be down only 20% off '21 numbers and '22. So when you start looking at that business and the margin profile that we think we can maintain margins at relatively similar levels, when you look at the rest of our business, the rest of our business is going to more than make up for that difference, right? So if you look at the profile that we're going to have in Communications or Clean Energy or even Transmission, we'll more than offset those kind of declines in '22 of what might happen in our Oil and Gas business. Well, so if you fast forward to '22 and you look at MasTec, and at that point, we still have an amazing oil and gas brands, right, that at some point, the cycle will improve and we'll benefit from it. So you're going to have all this option value created or dormant in the company that's not being exposed because the work isn't there. But then you've got a much more diversified income stream than what we have today at similar numbers or better numbers than what we have today. So if you think about the multiple expansion that we should expect if we deliver on what we're saying over the course of the next few years, I think the upside for shareholders is enormous, right? And obviously, our family is the largest shareholder in the company, and that's what motivates us. That's what we're going to work hard at. So I think that's the biggest misunderstanding between where we feel -- why we feel our shares are so undervalued, right? We understand the issues that persist. We understand the concerns that investors have. But fast forward to just the evolution of our business based on the opportunities that we have in front of us, this business is going to look very different in '22. We're either going to be substantially larger with a good oil and gas market, where we're going to be larger, right, with a much more diversified income stream. And I think either of those scenarios, the multiple warranty for our shares would be considerably higher than what it is today. And I think in that lies the opportunity with MasTec.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystMakes sense. There are a couple of investor audience questions here. Jose, the first question is around if you can comment about pricing for each of your segments. Have there been any distinct trend around pricing? Are you seeing some softness or anything like that?
Jose Mas
executiveWe're not. Quite frankly, you'd think that labor would be readily available, and it hasn't been, right? Labor has been hard to come by. I think that is keeping prices relatively high. Right, wrong or indifferent, we're in a market where a lot of our employees are in that $50,000 to $100,000 range that they could earn on an hourly basis. There's lots of areas where, over the course of the last few months, unemployment's been paying anywhere from $50,000 to $75,000, depending on the state. So the labor workforce hasn't been as eager to go back to work as some might imagine because they've been able to gain a substantial amount of their earnings by not working. So it's been a challenge. So because of that, I think that we haven't seen the labor easing that we would have expected in a down market the way it's been relative to COVID. I'm not sure that we will. So I think prices have stayed steady. I think if prices moved, it'll all be labor related. So I think they'll be very manageable either way. Well, we haven't seen it so far. At this point, we really don't expect it. We're -- in some of our areas where we're adding a significant amount of employees right now, it's been more of a challenge than we thought. So we're getting through it, but it hasn't been as easy as you think, considering the amount of unemployment that exists out there today.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystOkay. The other question is around your Transmission segment. Would you ever consider divesting that segment? Or what's your strategic plan around the segment?
Jose Mas
executiveNo. Look, I think we've done a good job of growing the segment over time. We got into the segment around 10 years ago or so, just maybe a little bit less. We had some issues a few years back where the segment really shrank, and I think we've done a good job of rebuilding it. I think the segment today is a lot different than the segment it was 5 years ago. When we started, we started off the backs of a couple of large projects because it's what we had. It's how we entered the market. Today, we have a much more diversified business within that. I think the margin profile has improved over the course of the last 2 years. I think it'll continue to improve. We had a tough quarter last quarter strictly based on some change orders that weren't approved by quarter end. I think you'll see that reversed in the second half of the year. So we're very comfortable that, today, the performance that we have in that business is as good as we've had in years. We think the growth profile is going to be excellent. I think you'll see -- again, I think you'll see that business become our next $1 billion segment. I don't think we're far from it. I think when the -- if you look at the jobs that we're competing on and where we end up, even on the jobs that we don't win, right, I think the question specifically mentions foreign and MYR. We're competing with them on projects every day. We're right in the home with them. We're getting selected on some. We've been the second or third on others, but we know exactly where we are. And ultimately, we feel we can compete with them. We're smaller in that market today. So there's no question that we're chasing those guys relative to the size of the market. But I think our customers -- the customers, in general, are looking for large companies to come in and give them quality products at good price. When you think about what we're doing on the Clean Energy side and the fact that a lot of the customers are the same ones that are building the transmission lines, we're building great relationships here that I think are going to open significant avenues of growth for us in the future. So I -- we're not thinking about divesting that business. I think today, it's a good part of the diversification story we have, and I think it'll be a growing part of our business in the coming years.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystOkay. It makes sense. I think we have just a couple of minutes left. Maybe Jose or George, you can comment around how would you frame the investment thesis for MasTec today?
Jose Mas
executiveLook, I think we've done a great job of managing our business over a long period of time. One of the concerns when you think about the E&C space is companies that have had inconsistent earnings or have guided considerable misses. I don't think that's MasTec. I think we've done a great job at doing what we say we're going to do. I can't remember the last time we had an earnings miss. It's been years. And we've had year-over-year record earnings for the last 3 or 4 years, both from a top line and a bottom line. So I think we've been extremely consistent. I think from a performance perspective, when the work's been there, we've outperformed, right? So if you look at our margin profile related to our peers, I think we've done a really good job from that perspective. Again, I think we've done a great job from an organic story. A lot of our growth has been organic. We haven't done a lot of acquisitions. So I think we've done a great job managing the business. I don't think you should expect anything different. We're excited about the opportunities that lie in front of us around those growth businesses that we have, and I think we'll be able to deliver on that like we have over the course of the last number of years. And I think we're managing through the oil and gas story, which is a more challenging story. Again, we think we're very well positioned in that business for the long term. And I'm confident that we'll do a good job managing, considering what's in front of us and what's around us there, and have that effect be minimal to the overall MasTec story.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystThank you. So Jose -- you're watching, Marc. Okay.
J. Lewis
executiveGuru, I'm sorry, one last thing I failed to mention -- I forgot to mention at the beginning. I know we're being webcast. Obviously, investors can look at our slides in the Investor Relations section of our site, and please make note of the forward-looking statement disclosure that we have in that. Forgot to do that. Sorry.
Gaurav Gupta;Morgan Stanley;Analyst
analystYes. Thank you. So Jose, George and Marc, thank you very much for joining us this afternoon. MasTec is a phenomenal story. And good luck for continued success. Thank you.
Jose Mas
executivePerfect. Thank you, Guru.
J. Lewis
executiveThanks, Guru.
George Pita
executiveThanks, Guru.
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