MasTec, Inc. (MTZ) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 16, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Adam Seiden
analystAll right. Great. Thanks, everybody, for joining us. My name is Adam Seiden. I'm the U.S. Machinery and Construction Analyst at Barclays. Joining us for this presentation is the MasTec team. We have Jose Mas, Chief Executive Officer. We have George Pita, the Chief Financial Officer; and we have Marc Lewis, Investor Relations, joining us from an icy Texas. So the format of this presentation here is a fireside chat. For those that are familiar with our conference, you'll know that we normally do audience response questions during the event. Given that this is virtual, it won't be quite like that, but we are asking for your participation, where you'll see on the side of your screen, there should be some -- the exact survey questions that you're used to and accustomed to. If you have a moment, please take a second to fill those out, and we'd be happy to share the results with you as the conference concludes. So to start off, like we always like to do, I'll pass it over to Jose just to give a quick 30 seconds for those folks that are new to MasTec and the MasTec story. And then we'll jump right in with questions. The one actually -- one other caveat, sorry, Jose, is that if you have any questions, please feel free to shoot me an e-mail at adam.seiden@barclays.com, and I'll be happy to ask that for you. So Jose...
Jose Mas
executiveIs this being webcast? Sorry. Is this being webcast?
Adam Seiden
analystIt is. Yes.
George Pita
executiveOkay. Thanks. So please take note of our forward-looking statements in our presentations available on our on our website as far as the www.mastec.com, we have our presentation with our forward-looking statements. Thanks.
Adam Seiden
analystExcellent. Jose, over to you.
Jose Mas
executiveThat was our legal requirement. So thanks, George. Thanks, Adam. Thank you for having us, Adam. Appreciate the invitation and time -- getting time to spend with you. So to everybody on the call, thanks for joining us. For those of you that aren't familiar with MasTec, MasTec is an infrastructure construction company that specializes really in 2 areas, communications and power. On the communications side, we really grew up by building fiber networks and building networks for the different telephone companies across the country. Today, we're very active on those builds. We're very active with the cable TV operators, and we've got a very large wireless business. We think we're the largest wireless constructor in the country working for the carriers, deploying towers, doing maintenance on their towers. And obviously, with 5G coming, we think that's an important part and aspect of our business. On the power side, we've got a high-voltage transmission group that focuses on the transmission grid. We've got an Oil and Gas business that specializes in pipelines. About 95% of what we do is gas pipelines. We do everything from distribution work going to people's homes to midstream to long-haul pipe. And then we've got a large Clean Energy and Infrastructure business, which is really growing very rapidly. It's gone from about $300 million in revenues to $1.5 billion in 2020. It should exceed $2 billion in '21. And there, we do everything from wind, solar, biomass and then some infrastructure-related projects as well. So very bullish on the end markets that we serve between what's happening in Clean Energy, what's happening on the transmission grid and what's happening in the telecom sector. We think we've got tremendous opportunities for growth. We've had a really good run over the years. I became CEO of the business in 2007 at the time we were doing about $900 million in revenue and about $60 million in EBITDA. Now we're -- we should be north of a $7 billion company, doing north of $800 million in EBITDA. So we've really been able to grow the company quite nicely over the course of the last 12 or 13 years. And I think more importantly, we find ourselves today in a position to be able to transform the business yet again. The opportunities that we're seeing in front of us are probably bigger in size and scope and scale than what we've ever been able to enjoy before. It's an exciting time to be part of MasTec, and it's really exciting to see what we could do with the opportunities that are afforded to us. So pretty excited to be here.
Adam Seiden
analystGreat. Thank you, Jose, for that. And look, I think the financial performance and the stock performance certainly speaks for itself, particularly most recently. So one thing I wanted to do is maybe start off here and think strategically a little bit about the business. You have a lot of growth in a lot of your -- in a bunch of your segments here, and you touched on a few of those, and we'll get to those later. But I want to think about the portfolio a little bit and really also about valuation. The stock is getting at an all-time high. It's getting close to $90 a share. What are -- how do you see the future growth of the company along the portfolio? And when you think about assets that are out there, what are private multiples like for types of businesses that generally would be attractive for a company like yourself or are comparable to a company like yourself?
Jose Mas
executiveYes. So first, I'll address the valuation part of the story, right? Because I know that our stock has run. I know that, that's -- it's on people's minds as they just look and focus on price. I think it's important to understand what's happened in the overall market. Obviously, there's been a significant run-up in the stock market. But if you look at relative performance to where we are versus our peers, we still think we're dramatically undervalued. As our '20 results come out, we're trading somewhere around low 8s from an EBITDA multiple perspective on total enterprise value. If you look at our peer group, right, and it's a wide peer group, it could be everyone from Dycom to Quanta to Jacobs, to AECOM, to Tetra Tech. I mean those guys are trading at 11, 12, 13, 14, 15x EBITDA, trailing EBITDA. So I do think that we have an opportunity for significant multiple appreciation. One of the things that has obviously kept our multiple lower has been our exposure to the oil and gas market, which I think we've really tried to explain how our business continues to diversify, how we look different over the course of the next couple of years. And I think that -- I think it's been well received. But I also think it's -- we have to execute and we have to perform. And if we do, and then I would suspect that our multiples are going to reach the same multiples that our peers are getting, there's no reason why it shouldn't. Quite frankly, I think we're a really well-diversified story that deserves those kind of multiples. So just on multiple appreciation alone, I think there's dramatic opportunity for the stock to move, right? If we were trading at the low end of that peer multiple that I talked about, we could be a $120 to $130 stock today at those multiple levels. So while I do -- while we completely appreciate the fact that our stock has run, that it's done well, relatively, we still think there's a lot of room based on where the multiples are in the industry. With that said, right, how does that play into M&A, because I think that's the second part of the story, right? We've been more vocal about M&A than we've been in the past, right? When I first became CEO, we did a lot of M&A between the 2007, 2011 time frame since then. It's dramatically been a -- more of an organic growth story. As I look today out, I mean we're -- the best part of being where we are today is just the amount of opportunities that are in front of us, right? The truth is that we're trying to figure out how we manage them, how we take advantage of them, how we don't grow too fast that it impacts our ability to perform, but at the same time, take advantage of what the marketplace offers us. And I think M&A plays an interesting role in that. So I'd say there's 4 focus areas for us on M&A that we're really keen on. One continues to be clean energy because it's such a big part of what we do and really being able to scale that so that we can take advantage of the opportunities is important for us. Everything related to the grid, right, because irrespective of what the generation sources, the grid needs a lot of activity and work. We look at what's happening in telecom with 5G. There's opportunities for us there. And then just infrastructure-related work, right? Maybe even some things outside of what we've historically done because we think they're going to be large drivers of future revenue growth opportunities. So that's where we're focused. Historically, we've paid low up from multiples. We've targeted a very specific kind of business. We continue to target those. We continue to think that there's deals to be done in that space under the same profile that we've done in the past. One of the challenges in 2020 was the PPP loans, right? So if a company got a PPP loans, and these are generally smaller companies, although some fairly large companies got PPP loans. If they were to close the transaction by December 31, they would have had to potentially repay those. I think there's been rules that have come out since. But at that moment in time, the thought was if you actually sold your company prior to December 31, it was -- those would not have been forgivable. So that created a lot of issues with closing transactions in '20. So I do think you'll see some transactions closed in '21, just specifically on that issue. The pipeline today is as good as I can ever remember from an M&A perspective. We're looking at really good targets that I think would ultimately really move the needle for us in all of those different sectors that I talked about. So I do think that '21 is going to be an active year from us on an M&A front, right? We're focused on performing and executing on our business, which is offering us so much opportunities. But to the extent that we can add on pieces that help us accelerate what it is that we're trying to do, I think the opportunity has never been the way it is today. That's exciting for us. So I do think we'll be active. I think we have an opportunity to transform the business yet again. We kind of laid that strategy out on our third quarter call as we target a $10 billion revenue number in a much more diversified environment. I think we have an opportunity to get there a lot faster than what we probably thought would have been possible 6 months ago. So that's -- strategically, that's where we're at, right? How do we take advantage of the organic opportunities that are in front of us? How do we use M&A to help us expedite that at fair values, right, albeit maybe values today are a little bit higher than they might have been 6 months ago or 9 months ago because they are in the general market. But how do we take advantage of that? We're obviously in a very low interest rate environment. We think that, that's going to continue. We think that, that really helps from a valuation perspective. So again, I think the things that you can control, we need to control well. And the things that you can't always control, which is the demand of your -- of the end markets that you serve in, I mean we're blessed to be in a position today where our end markets are doing unbelievably well and the opportunities arising from that are abundant.
Adam Seiden
analystGot it. So maybe touching on a couple of things that you said there. So when you think about 2021 being a bit more of an active year on M&A, and does that fall into the bolt-on category or something that's a bit more transformational? And then when it comes to how you would go about acquiring these businesses, in the past, I know MasTec has preferred using earnouts and certainly bolt-on structure. Generally, is that how you would be looking at any prospective M&A coming down in 2021?
Jose Mas
executiveLook, one of the things that I think have made us successful is the fact that we understand that every deal is different, right? So while the majority of our deals have been bolt-on acquisitions under the same format that you've talked about, the reality is that we're flexible enough to do whatever we think we need to do to get the right asset at the right price that we can -- for us, it's -- price is obviously an incredibly important part of the transaction. And buying it right upfront makes a huge difference on whether it's ultimately successful or not. But more importantly is what can you do with the business post acquisition? What does the business do for you? How do you grow it? What do you bring to the table to really help that business achieve things that it probably couldn't do on its own? So when you take it all into account, I mean, I think we're in a position today where we can do any and all of those that you talked about. I think they're all on the table. I think we'll continue to evaluate and hopefully make -- find the right businesses that make the right sense for us. And I think it's going to be a combination of all those things you talked about.
Adam Seiden
analystGot it. And then one last one here, and we'll move on to the businesses. If you think about the valuation equation and story and you laid out that path like $120, $130, just if you go to the bottom end of the range, and you talked about oil and gas and how The Street has to get comfort on the strategy that you'll be able to match business just as you've done it in the past. So is there any thoughts to the opposite about what -- how you guys are viewing the pipeline business and that impact on your valuation? Is it -- is the impact on the valuation greater than the financial benefits of the business, [ bringing ] sort of thing internally, whether it's in cash flow, et cetera? Just trying to get a sense there of the long-term commitment to that business.
Jose Mas
executiveYes. Look, I think we're -- things are always changing, right? So I don't think any of us could have predicted what was going to happen last March, both from COVID and what it ultimately did to the economy in general, more importantly, commodities and what those fuel sources have done. So what we've always said is we're never going to overreact. The pendulum swings in lots of different directions. I think if you look at what's happened in the last 48 hours in Texas, it's -- what I think we need to better understand as a country, really as a world, is we need energy diversification. There is no right single story, right? We need all forms of energy, and renewables are incredibly important for lots of reasons. But it -- they're not the only solution, right? So I think that we can't lose sight of that. I think there's -- we're going to continue to be in a diversified state. I think gas, especially because gas is a much cleaner source of energy than even what people give it credit for today, and I know it depends on who you talk to, but we're still a big believer that gas improves the carbon footprint of the country relative to where we are today as the -- as a source of use. So we don't think that business is going away. We think there's a very solid sustainable business behind that. That's going to be around for a long time. We understand that at different points in times, The Street might have a different perspective on that. So we're trying to build a very repetitive, repeatable business on what that means to us, and that's why we've kept talking about it being $1.5 billion to $2 billion business. Quite frankly, I think there's a chance that it isn't as bad as we all think, and it's going to actually be a little bit better. But that's not where we're focused as a business. We're focused as how do we create a business that we feel can sustain itself over a long period of time at those revenue levels, which would represent a 10% or 15% -- maybe 10% to 20% of our portfolio at any given point in time. We think that's a very reasonable number that people will get behind and people will value fairly because they'll understand the importance of that over a long period of time. That's not where we are today. That's hopefully where we'll get to. And I think that -- I think part of being well diversified for a company like ours that's infrastructure-driven has to include a piece of that to be involved in that sector depending on where that pendulum swings at any given point in time.
Adam Seiden
analystGot it. So maybe moving on a little bit. So you talked about the growth prospects or you mentioned the growth prospects in some of your businesses, which is certainly there. And there's a new administration in Washington. Thinking specifically around telco, I'm curious what your thoughts are as far as new administration, their priorities around telecommunication spend and then that relating into your customers' willingness to invest in the network in -- whether it's 2021 or even we could talk long term here how you think that plays out.
Jose Mas
executiveSo a couple of things, right? If you just look at government spending, right, I think the biggest dollar flow as of late has been what's happened with RDOF, right, the Rural Development Opportunity Fund. Over $9 billion got allocated. There's going to be an enormous amount of work just related to that, incremental to what we've seen for a very long period of time. So that in and of itself is going to drive the market to very healthy levels for the foreseeable future, right? But they are obviously the smaller player, right? The -- none of the -- with the exception of a couple of the, I guess, medium to larger-sized carriers, the big, big carriers didn't participate in that. So they're very active in what they're doing, right? The spectrum auctions at the end of last year were really important. They were especially important for Verizon and AT&T. So I think we're getting close to that moment where everybody is going to be spending a lot of money on building out their network, whether it's fiber or wireless and a combination of both. We haven't been there in a long time, right? We've been in an environment where 1 carrier has been dominating the spend, whether it was AT&T years ago on fiber or when they slowed down, Verizon started their One Fiber build; or from a carrier perspective, you had Sprint and T-Mobile shut down for such a -- maybe not shut down, but spending less for such a long period of time because of the merger; you had Verizon. And so everybody is different, right? Today, you have T-Mobile spending considerably on the rollout of their network. So when you get to the end of '21, I think it's everybody, right? I think it's all the wireline providers. It's all the wireless providers. It's all these RDOF guys, and everybody is worried about resources, as they should be, because it's going to get a lot tighter and it's going to get a lot tougher. That's a good place for our business to be, and I think our business is going to be there for a long time. I know that everybody talks about when is it coming? When is it coming? Why haven't we seen it? And there's been a lot of reasons, right? I -- there's no doubt in my mind that COVID significantly pushed back a lot of what was going to happen in '20. But a lot of these other things are the big drivers now, right? The spectrum auctions are huge. You've got the cable TV operators participating in the spectrum auctions, participating some of them in the RDOF side. So there's going to be a lot of capital deployed in that market. And again, I think the industry is going to benefit as a whole and as we think we will as well.
Adam Seiden
analystGot it. So every -- each one of your customers, I think it's worked a little differently in different arrangements of contracts, some turf contracts, not a little bit more. But like maybe for the audience, can you talk a little bit about why are you guys poised to win over some other folks that are trying to get into this industry or building out their own businesses? I think you spoke to labor availability earlier, but curious what are you guys bringing to the table, specifically that gets you the work first?
Jose Mas
executiveWell, every customer is different, right? So I think for us, it's always been about how do we focus on the fundamentals of our business. So how do we execute, right? And I think at the end of the day, what makes us successful is the fact that we execute for our customers. We provide projects on time, on budget safely. And I think at the end of the day, there's no substitute for that. We can talk about all the business strategies in the world. But if we're out there and we give our customer a quality product at a competitive price, we're on time, we're professional and we're dependable. I mean those are the most important aspects of the work that we do. So we have to do that day in and day out. And that's our performance that ultimately sells our services over a long period of time. So that's a given, right? That's a must. I think we're good at that. I think our customers recognize what we're capable of doing there. And I think that our reputation has built itself to give our customers comfort that we can do that over and over again, and that's important. Beyond that, because I think that's only part of it, right? Beyond that, I think we're very creative as a company. And we're always trying to find ways to maximize our customers' dollars and spend and how do we improve their processes and what they do to ultimately make them better, right? So one is being just a service provider that's responding to something that does it well. But two is how do you end up becoming more than just a service provider and rather being a partner and helping them find solutions to their problems in innovative ways, which could be everything from construction methods to engineering to how do you put a bunch of services together and really offer a true turnkey approach? How do you take costs out of your customers' business? How do you potentially provide financing for your customers in what they're trying to do and in terms of trying to help them find all of the problems and needs that they have to become a better provider? And at the end of the day, I think we bring all of that to our customers. So whether it's a very small customer who's a new RDOF recipient who needs very different things than what an AT&T or Verizon would need, I think our flexibility in being able to provide specialized products and services to those companies is important, right? And I think that's partly what differentiates us. I think, obviously, scale is a big differentiator as well and one that becomes much more important in an -- in a period where resources are scarce.
Adam Seiden
analystGot it. And getting to the build-out in '21 beyond that, and then you had spoken to 2020 without COVID, maybe we would have been moving a little bit faster. So just maybe could you go through some of the key impediments that you think are still out there that would potentially be prohibiting more spend? And then the other side of that would be why do we shape up that -- where -- why does the market shape up to be in a better position today where you have that confidence and that visibility that you believe that folks are ready to really move forward hard here?
Jose Mas
executiveWell, look, I think it's important to note it never stopped, right? So the question isn't activity, its rate of growth. So our business has been up year-over-year for as long as I can remember, right? So it's not like we had a drop-off or we had a decline in our business on a year-over-year basis. That's not valid, right? We've had significant increase, double-digit increases for a long time. The question is how do you get to significant double-digit increases? How do you double or triple your business, right? Because we think that ultimately, that's the opportunity. That's what's going to happen over time. The question is when does it happen? And I think it goes back to you need everybody pulling in that direction, right? So if only 1 carrier is busy and another one is not or somebody is in the middle of finalizing their plans and somebody is deploying, when everybody is in deployment, this business takes off. And I think, again, we've had nice growth. We're going to continue to have nice growth. As we start thinking about when that could potentially happen, right, we're looking at late '21. As all of the spectrum auctions played out and everybody knows what they're going to build and everybody starts actively working towards it, when you have the RDOF monies that are deployed and actual working, when you've got fiber deployments from some of the majors that are out there pushing it harder because of the opportunities and the business benefits that it brings to them, when all of that's happening, you're going to see a material -- I think, a material increase from a revenue growth perspective that exceeds the double-digit growth that we've been experiencing as an industry. But it -- but I do think it's important, right? The business has been growing. It's just rate of growth that can be debatable as to how fast it happens and how quick it comes.
Adam Seiden
analystGot it. So maybe let's shift off of comps for a second. So on to Clean Energy. You guys spoke about your long-term segment revenue goals. Can you talk about the mix of the business today versus how that mix will vary as you scale up to the $3 billion or your long-term rates there?
Jose Mas
executiveLook, so we'll do $1.5 billion in 2020. Of that $1.5 billion, I'd say just over half of it was wind related. The balance -- the -- probably the second biggest piece of that was biomass related, then solar, then infrastructure. I think when we look at what's happening to our business even in '21 and beyond, I think you're going to have a wind, solar and biomass business that are all pretty much the same size. So if we're at a $3 billion level, you're going to -- those 3 businesses are probably going to comprise roughly $2.5 billion, and then the other $0.5 billion would be other types of infrastructure from civil to -- we've talked about all the other things we do in civil, a little bit of vertical, a little bit of roadway, right? So those are -- those would be the other components that make up that difference. For 2021, right, we're -- we've been publicly saying, we think we'll exceed $2 billion. I think it's directionally the ones that are growing fastest are solar and biomass, right, with wind being more stable today without what the new administration does relative to wind. So assuming wind is in a more stable environment, solar and biomass are booming and growing. So how do we ultimately make those 3 relatively similar in size, grow the rest of the infrastructure, and I think that gives you north of a $3 billion portfolio in relatively short order.
Adam Seiden
analystGot it. And just because we haven't talked as much about biomass or solar in the past here, but you guys have been bringing it up. But from -- thinking about it from the angle of profitability to the company, is there any difference in profitability within those 3 buckets, solar, wind, biomass or versus the segment average? Or has that varied over time? Is it project dependent? Maybe if you could just give us some color around that.
Jose Mas
executiveYes. Look, I think the important answer to that is we see margin attainability within all of those to be quite equal, right? Are the margins today, the same across all of them? Of course, not, right? We've been building winds for, well since the beginning of wind. We're really good at it. We make really good margins. The rest of it is at significant -- they're nowhere near our wind margins. Now the reason is they're businesses that are growing, right? They're businesses that we started from scratch. Most of them restarted organically. We've had to make huge investments to grow our -- we took our business from $300 million to $1.5 billion, right? We did that by hiring a lot of people. Today, the amount of money that we're spending on growth is significantly impacting our margins. So what proof do we have that we have a viable proposition to get to double-digit margins in that segment, which I think is an important part of the story, right? We were 3.5% margins in '19, right? We're going to finish it north of 5% in '20. We've talked about being roughly 7% in '21. And all of those numbers, including the 7% in '21, include an enormous amount of money for growth training inefficiencies, where if you would normalize that, we think we would attain double digits. Right now, we're not going to attain double digits because we're going to consider -- continue to grow it, right? We're talking about $2 billion going to $3 billion. And the reality is that we don't know where the top of that range could be, right? We think it's probably substantially higher than a $3 billion annual run rate. So as we get there, we're going to continue to invest in the business. As you get bigger, you obviously have a much bigger portfolio as to which those can share the costs of that segment, which improves your margin profile, which is how we're improving over the last couple of years. But we think that we get to see project performance, and we get to deep dive into what the gross margins in our particular project are. That's what gives us confidence that the attainable of the margins are there across all the segments, but we're definitely not there yet, and it's something that we need to strive to ultimately reach.
Adam Seiden
analystGot it. And maybe one last one before we hit time here. Just on pipeline, you mentioned earlier about potentially being surprised with the direction of the market. Just what I was -- I guess the question is about commodity prices. They're off their lows. Just thinking about are you having any renewed conversations with around particular pipeline spend, just given where prices are today?
Jose Mas
executiveLook, I think that the short answer is yes, but I think it's a -- but it's a soft yes because I think what we're seeing is every company in our space, right, whether you're the producer or you're the midstream company, whoever you are, they've made significant commitments to reduce debt. And I think that everybody is using the commodity price increase to bolster their balance sheets. I think they're going to get there faster than they originally thought because of the commodity prices. That's a great thing, right? None of these companies are going to grow without deploying capital. So their only -- the only way they grow in perpetuity is by more deployment of capital. What's interesting is our customers are talking about opportunities, right? They see opportunities in the marketplace. They're not going to invest in those opportunities yet because they're going to live up to these commitments that they've made. Now the grain of thought on that is if prices keep increasing, right, if we start seeing $65, $70 crude, if natural gas prices go from $3 to $4 or $4.50, right? There's going to be people that have to take advantage of that, right, because the returns are going to be too good to pass up. But I don't think we're there yet, right? I think if these prices sustain over a long period of time, I think the business is going to come back a lot faster than what we thought, but not yet, right? I still think everybody is really focused on improving the health of their balance sheets in 2020 and '21.
Adam Seiden
analystThat's fair. All right, guys. So I think we're about out of time. So we'll finish here. I know we'll hear more about how the year 2020 ended and how 2021 is shaping up next week. So we'll leave that conversation for them. But I appreciate you guys taking the time today and I look forward to chatting in the future.
Jose Mas
executiveI appreciate it. I appreciate everybody joining. Thank you.
Adam Seiden
analystThank you.
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