Max Healthcare Institute Limited (543220) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
August 14, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Max Healthcare Institute Limited Earnings Conference Call. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Anoop Poojari from CDR India. Thank you, and over to you, Mr. Poojari.
Anoop Poojari
attendeeThank you. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on Max Healthcare's Q1 FY '27 Earnings Conference Call. We have with us Mr. Abhay Soi, Chairman and Managing Director; Mr. Yogesh Sareen, Senior Director and Chief Financial Officer; and Mr. Keshav Gupta, Senior Director, Growth, M&A and Business Plan of the company. We'll begin the call with opening remarks from the management, following which we'll have the forum open for an interactive question-and-answer session. Before we start, I would like to point out that some statements made in today's call may be forward-looking in nature, and a disclaimer to this effect has been included in the earnings presentation shared with you earlier. I would now like to invite Abhay to make his opening remarks.
Abhay Soi
executiveGood morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for -- today for Max Healthcare's Q1 FY '27 Earnings Call. We started the financial year with healthy momentum across the network, recording year-on-year growth of 16% in revenue and 15% in operating EBITDA. We continued to execute well on our ongoing capacity expansion plans. At Max Smart, we have currently operationalized 50% capacity of the 400 barebone feet tower. The remaining 50% are expected to be handed over to operations during the course of the current quarter. At Nanavati Max remaining 50 beds will also be operationalized in this quarter and work on the Phase 2 expansion has commenced. . Coming to our recent acquisitions, the integration of Max Bones into the network is proceeding as planned. The hospital contributed INR 19 crores in revenue and INR 2 crores in EBITDA during the post-acquisition period in Q1 FY '27 with an occupancy of 50% and ARPOB of INR 35,000, both of which provide significant levers for growth going forward. Prior to the acquisition, the hospital generated revenue of INR 154 crores in FY '26. Going forward, our focus is on integrating operations, renovating infrastructure, upgrading technology and enhancing clinical programs to turn around the hospital over the next 12 months. In relation to the Pune Greenfield, we have acquired the SPV, and it is now a subsidiary of the company. To further strengthen our existing network, the Board has approved a capital expenditure of INR 425 crores for a new brownfield tower at Max Super Specialty Hospital, Vaishali. This will add 202 improved beds to the hospital's existing capacity of 387 beds. The building plans have been approved and the construction activities have already commenced. The project is expected to be comisioned before FY '30. Alongside our capacity expansion, we continue to strengthen our research and academic ecosystem. We have recently established a stand-alone Max Research Center, marking a landmark milestone in our research journey. Over the years, we have built an integrated clinical research ecosystem and have conducted over 750 clinical trials completed over 2,200 investigator-initiated studies, published nearly 3,500 papers in index journals, secured over 30 competitively funded research projects generated patents and established capabilities that translate scientific discovery into better patient care. In recent months, we have secured several research grants and awards from the prestigious institutes, including ICMR Center for Advanced Research and Precision Diabetes, the ARF, MAH MedTech Mission, the DBT European Union Dengu program and India AI initiatives and the National Cancer Grid, amongst others. Our research capabilities are complemented by a dedicated education arm, the MAX Institute of Medical Education. This institute trained over 12,000 health care professionals annually, spanning across 180 programs and our post-graduate ecosystem has over 600 BNB students across clinical specialties, emboldened by the above and the change in recent guidelines of the National Medical Commission we have decided to embark upon the medical education business and have received in-principle approval from the Board for the same. We believe this to be a significant line of business in years to come. Now moving on to the Q1 performance highlights. Average occupancy for the network continued to be more than 75% despite the 13% increase in operational bed capacity year-on-year with most units continuing to operate at near optimal capacity. Occupied bed days were up by 10% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter. Average rental stays reduced by 4% over trailing quarter, reflecting consolidated efforts on this front. Average revenue per occupied bed for the quarter stood at 81,900 growing by 5%, both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter. Network gross revenue stood at INR 2,982 crores compared to INR 2,574 crores in Q1 last year and INR 2,664 crores in previous quarter. This reflects an increase of 16% year-on-year and 12% quarter-on-quarter. Due to the discontinuation of select high-value chemotherapy drugs for institutional payments, the share of oncology for inpatient revenues dropped to 22% from 26% in Q1 FY '26. Excluding oncology, gross revenue grew by 20% and ARPOB grew by 9% year-on-year. International patient revenue was INR 247 crores, registering a growth of 18% year-on-year and accounting for 9% of the revenues from hospitals. Digital revenue from online marketing activities, web-based appointments and digital lead management was INR 941 crores, accounting for approximately 32% of overall revenue. We have set up across 97 lakh sessions during the quarter, growing by 41% year-on-year. Network operating EBITDA stood at INR 704 crores, reflecting a growth of 17% year-on-year and 3% quarter-on-quarter. Network operating EBITDA margin was 24.8% for the quarter compared to 24.9% in Q1 FY '26 and 26.8% in trailing quarter. [indiscernible] relatively muted due to the recent commissioning of new brownfield capacities and the acquisition of Kalinga Hospital. Annualized EBITDA per bed for the network stood at INR 7,100,000 versus INR 6,800,000 in Q1 FY '26 and INR 7,300,000 in the previous quarter. Profit after tax per net worth was INR 357 crores against INR 345 in quarter 1 last year and INR 387 crores in the previous quarter. The network generated free cash flows of INR 397 crores during the quarter INR 386 crores was deployed towards the acquisition of Kalinga Hospital and Lowara Property Private Limited and INR 337 crores was invested in ongoing capacity expansion projects. Net debt for the network stood at INR 2,384 crores compared to INR 1,908 crores at the end of March 2026, while the net debt-to-EBITDA ratio continued to remain below 1. The increase during the quarter includes INR 153 crores towards Kalinga and the put option liability for the balance stake in Jawara, which is the Pune project. Continuing our efforts to support the local communities, we provided pretreatment to over 56,000 patients from economically weaker sections of the society worth INR 78 crores as hospital tariff. We also spent around INR 6 crores towards various CSR initiatives during the quarter, which include provision of medical scholarships to underprivileged students, promoting maternal and new pot health, vocational skill training and environmental projects such as bond rejuvenation and transplantations. Both our strategic business units continued to deliver steady growth in revenue and profitability. Max at Home reported revenue of INR 78 crores, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32%. It offers 16 specialized service lines across 15 cities with over 56% repeat transactions. And reported revenue of INR 58 crores, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20%. It provides services in over 60 cities and served over 6 lakh patients during the quarter. . Now moving on to the status of our expansion projects coming on stream over the next 2 to 3 years. 100 beds at Max Lucknow, additional 100 beds in the existing 468 bed facility will be commissioned over the next 2 quarters. 500 beds at Sector 56 Gurgaon, we expect to start create commissioning of this facility by end of this year. 250 beds at Bhuvaneshwar renovation of existing facilities should be completed within 12 months. 100 beds in Nagpur project will continue to be on track, and we expect commissioning by FY '28. 400 beds at Jaipur Mohali project is on schedule, and we expect to commission it in FY '28. Onc block at Max Dwarka. This is the second phase project work is complete, and we are awaiting occupancy certificate. It will be commissioned by FY '30. 200-bed Pizza Pura project is on track, and we expect commissioning in FY '29. 271 beds at Nanavati in Phase 2 project was started and will be commissioned in FY '30. 400 beds pans Bear work has started, we expect commissioning by end of FY '29 and 450 beds at Pune, we have received IOD project is expected to be commissioned by FY '30. With this, we open the floor for any questions that you have. Thank you. .
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Damayanti Kerai from HSBC.
Damayanti Kerai
analystMy first question is, if you can share your thought around the resin parliamentary outstanding recommendation for the health care sector. So any initial thoughts on the recommendation, which came .
Abhay Soi
executiveI think the recent committee report speaks about affordability. But I think 1 needs to look at another important aspect, which is going to be a need for new hospital beds and viability I think both need to go hand in hand. So I think once you take that pace into account, I think while mines will think otherwise.
Damayanti Kerai
analystOkay. And are you like involved in some of the discussions, which could have gone for these recommendations? Or do you think it will be more in the future? .
Abhay Soi
executiveNo. I don't think there's been any reach out to hospitals on this committee. I mean I've read it as much as everybody else. It speaks about certain FDI caps and so on and so forth. So like I said, it's a sector we believe that we require a lot more capital. And you have to have an environment which is both liable and conducive to investment hospitals to be built. I think all in all, this report is about -- this is 176 report by the committee. And I think you'll need to look at it in the balance and I'm sure the industry is well located in the balance.
Damayanti Kerai
analystMy second question is your plans for turning around of Kalinga Hospital. So you mentioned around 12 months to set up in social, et cetera. So once these changes are implemented, what is the headroom to improve in terms of the profitability profile ARPOB at this point of time, it looks very low compared to the corporate updates. .
Abhay Soi
executiveYes. I think there's -- because there's -- the occupancy is 50% and ARPOB is INR 35,000. I think there's significant room in these. We should be able to effectively have a 50% to 80% enhancement in both of these. And in order to do that, we have a current hospital. So you have a head start, which makes a marginal amount of profit. But we have to renovate it, you have to get the technology, you have to get the clinical programs we include all of this over the next year or so. And then, of course, alongside, we'll be building another 200 beds over here, 250 beds here. So we've been through this route before whether in Lucknow or in Noida with our acquisitions, we've done it many times. So it's the same sort of got that we intend to sort of follow .
Damayanti Kerai
analystOkay. My last question is on Maslak where you commissioned 50% of that, and you mentioned 50% per tonne this quarter and beyond. So on the commission bank, what is the current occupancy? And which is the focus segment or focus specialties which are offered in this particular.
Abhay Soi
executiveYou have oncology, I mean, it's running whatever been opened is running to 80% occupancy quite full. And the rest of the beds are not going to come in this quarter and the next quarter. They are all coming in this quarter. So we'll have all the bad operations in this quarter. And yes, so I think we're expecting good occupancy there. Like I said, whatever been opened is already at 80%. But it's been opened in a phased manner through the quarter also. I mean I'm talking about half the beds are open now. A lot of them got opened in the last 1 month. And as they are coming on stream, they're getting occupied.
Damayanti Kerai
analystOkay, so one last question. So in terms of your insurance empanelment renegotiations et cetera anything pending in the near term?
Yogesh Sareen
executiveSo there are ongoing in and some other insurance companies. Also, the insurance company that we had a discussion last time. So those are for renewal in September to her. So we hope we will get some price increase going forward in the sort segment.
Damayanti Kerai
analystOkay. So when reverse. .
Yogesh Sareen
executiveThis is demand last time when we had this stalemate with the insurance pen. So we had agreed a 6% automatic price reason and that's what going to happen. Also, on the CI side, there have been engagement with the Derandalso. And there, more or less, we have agreed that the level of inflation that hospitals have and some kind of recommendation to IDA in terms of automatic price reasons.
Abhay Soi
executiveYes. So we have -- at the end of this period, we have automatic renewal at -- and price inflation, which is built which is a part of the previous negotiation.
Damayanti Kerai
analystLike 6% revision, which was earlier agreed upon, that will come in. p.
Abhay Soi
executiveThat's right.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Neha Manpuria from BofA Securities.
Neha Manpuria
analystAbhay, on the Max Smart bed, given that we are seeing such good bump up in the bed that you mentioned that they're already at 80% occupancy incremental EBITDA from these beds be very high, and therefore, are contributing to EBITDA significantly starting from quarter itself. When should we start seeing that EBITDA improvement from these new .
Abhay Soi
executiveWhat happened is a very standard sort of any new hospital brownfield otherwise or whatever. -- the trajectory is very simple. First, you ramp up occupancy, right? You ramp up that occupancy using low ARPU or any ARPU, whatever is sort of coming your way, but you focus on revenue. while you're bearing the cost of the place. And as you sort of ramp up, you start also improving your RPO. So you hit breakeven with occupancy. And once you do that, you start improving your sort of bottom line, everything keeps as you kind of distill your payer mix, it starts coming down to the bottom line. And we've been through this in Targa. We've been through it in other sort of brownfields that we opened up. The trajectory is the same. First, revenues, then the profitability is sort of this thing. So -- I mean the revenue also, the occupancy will be high. The revenue ramp-up will be lower relatively, and EBITDA ramp-up will be more even more so relatively, right? Then the second thing will start happening, your revenue ramp-up moves beyond your occupancy ramp-up cost and your EBITDA start picking up and then your EBITDA RevPAR is going to overtake your revenue ramp up as well. So that's -- it's a very standard sort of operating book as far as occupancy is concerned.
Neha Manpuria
analyst1 Okay. So in which case, when do I start seeing the revenue ramp up. Like you said, a couple of quarters, should that start happening, let's say, by third quarter for what or is it a little more phased out in .
Abhay Soi
executiveBy the second, third quarter of operations you are there. .
Neha Manpuria
analystUnderstood. And my second question is on MAX Nanavati. I think you mentioned that the selling to be built with the operations. If you could give us some color on how the beds are that the commissions are doing Phase 2, when do you expect to fund that given that we're just starting activity. So when that should that be ready in commission?
Abhay Soi
executiveSo look, the Phase I, again, whatever we opened up it at about 80% occupancy, it's already waiting for the 50% 50-odd beds, which are remaining over there. soon as they come up, hopefully, we'll have that occupancy also done. It's a little further out on the of the trajectory compared to maximum in the sense that there's already a significant pickup in -- I mean, of occupancy before revenue. And now EBITDA is sort of catching up and is going to surpass that soon. So we already at that curve. And with respect to the second phase, what that means is we need to kind of shut the 100-odd beds over there, which we have, and we've sort of increased -- I mean, we started the works on the second phase. That will take us about 2.5 years. .
Neha Manpuria
analystOkay. So and crematory was lower type of patients that we were able to serve the limitation of capacity -- so the improvement in national at should therefore come once the Phase 2 comes through a meanie improvement, or you start expecting that if you catch up the corporate average, let's say, with the plays?
Abhay Soi
executiveNo, with the Phase I itself. We already see the ramp-up over the -- so we'll have that I mean it's a very high ARPOB business, your EBITDA is already sort of ramping up that you get there, yes. .
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Viraj Shah from PJM India Mutual Fund. .
Unknown Analyst
analystI just have 1 question.
Operator
operatorViraj, sorry, can you speak louder?
Unknown Analyst
analystAm I audible now?
Abhay Soi
executiveYes.
Unknown Analyst
analystYes, Okay, perfect. So I just have 1 question. If you could explain a bit about the changes proposed in the National Medical Commission with respect to you guys setting up the medical colleges, what is the kind of capital commitment or what are you seeing in this area specifically.
Yogesh Sareen
executiveYes. So basically, there's been no infection to say that now even for proper companies than open medical policies. Before that, the renovation was that it's only not for-profit enterprise, which can get into medical. So I think with the draft change, which we assume will also become the law for profit companies and also open etiologies. Now we've done some in actions. And our city that for 150 the medical collar, you need around tones of spend. right? And this is what is the repair. This will be sell in the existing hospitals, right? So for example, we have a 20%, 70%, 17% now. So our plan is to start on a -- and then we come to the other hospitals where we have vast pieces of land and try and create this infusate there.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And just my understanding perspective, what would be the kind of margins which 1 can make why are this for-profit medical area?
Abhay Soi
executiveWe are seeing ROCs of more than 25%. I mean you've been following the leasing meat and the thing you're aware that less than of students who qualify for need to example find places in medical qualities. I think this is the government's impetus to increase seats in medical colleges. Previously, for-profit organizations were kind of curtailed from so also, there were restrictions on the sort of charges, which could be applied to what bills attached to medical colleges as well as the kind of awards and places. There are some infrastructure limitations that were there in the previous listing and all of that being removed. Now effectively, what that means is that if you have a hospital you're committed to have a certain amount of seats for medical education attached to it. So the prerequisite for this business becomes to have a positive because the tools have to train in the hospital, right? The second thing is that at the back end, we're already treating DSD students. So we are already doing the we're already teaching MBBS students. Once you become a doctor, you come and train and sort of we already have the faculties, we have the caticulums and so on. So for us, it's very natural. It's almost cotton for us to get into medical education. We have the campuses in multiple locations in Delhi, in now in Bugleshwar, in other places because we have the campus we have land and we intend to start to get into this business. We are seeing more than 25% to 30% ROC at present. And we intend to do this at scale.
Operator
operatorNext question is from Lena Bino [indiscernible] or Capital.
Unknown Analyst
analystJust a couple of quick questions. One, we have taken the Board approval for additional tower and 200 beds in vessel -- if I look at your earlier presentations, there were already 200 rules for 9 and Vishal, the same? Or is it a fresh down? That is the same one. Okay. . Second, make acquisition in Pune Kalinga. After that, we have seen some litigations started immediately up with the previous promoters. So could you briefly describe what it is about? .
Yogesh Sareen
executiveMotors, these are 9% equity the group that sits out sort of in their own issues, there are regulation proceedings going on against themselves in the parent setup and UAE market. Their shares that per our legal counsels are not transactable. -- their request or suggestion and peas to buy their shares also part of the transition, which we are very okay to and they have gone to the court debt back their shares. And our counter is that Keches of nondutiable please get a court order to buy a discussion going on, they want to force it to us. But motor is not an issue party. We have bought the shares from promoter only. We have the control of the company.
Operator
operatorNext question is from Karan Vora from Goldman Sachs.
Karan Vora
analystSo the first 1 is with respect to the educational institutions. So -- and is this -- so we have highlighted in the past that doctors or availability of doctors is not an issue, but is getting into medical education coming from the fact that maybe 5 years or 7 years down the line when all the large chains would have expanded meaningfully, we might see a shortage of doctors. And is that a response to that, so that in the future, we don't such an issue? And also, this whole thing to be a part of the consoles, the whole medical college set up? That's the first question.
Abhay Soi
executiveNo. absolutely. It is going to be all part of the list cost's going to be -- I mean, there are no leakages over there. It's 100% all the economic interest is when we sit in. I think that's one. Secondly, unless we do some -- 1 was to do a private equity round or something else outside of that, that may be different. But yes, this is going to be 10 of the list core. So that's one. The second thing is with respect to what supply doctors supply of doctors. So this is a little too far for that. What happens is that you get a good stream of resident doctors, DNB doctors to start with. I mean, obviously, there's no bond which makes them sort of continue at a later stage, they get better opportunities somewhere else. If we are not growing. For us, growth is imperative, okay? Because if you don't grow tomorrow, you don't give opportunities of career growth for clinicians as well as management, then you want to have a problem, people will move out, right? So I think all those things are going to happen. But yes, it gives you a good base of quality resident doctors and DNB who come to your hone.
Karan Vora
analystOkay. Got it. The second question is with respect to CJ's benefits. So are we on track to that INR 140 crore number for this year? And how much have we realized in Q1.
Yogesh Sareen
executiveSo we are on track in the sense that number is flowing ever since, right? So there was some left out part, which are the super specialty rates that also have started to flow from outside June onwards.
Karan Vora
analystGot it. So are we like 140 divided by 4 kind of a run rate numbers.
Yogesh Sareen
executiveYes. From June onwards, yes.
Karan Vora
analystOkay. Got it. And the last thing is maybe 1 request. So till quarter to understand what's happening in or different states for us. So maybe if we can reinstate that from the next quarter, it could be helpful, that's just a request. And also, if possible, to share for this quarter as well.
Abhay Soi
executiveYes. The reason that we sort of pulled it out, I'd be happy to discuss that because a lot of it east, the new cos Bhuvaneshwar. There's 1 hospital that we have over there. So there was too much actual information at the hospital level because some states had only 1 step as of now. And given the competitive request data that gets used there. We can give you other -- some part of it I do think can react. We can do that. I would avoid sold to hospital data, I mean, as you can well imagine. .
Karan Vora
analystSure. That's fine. Maybe others is a good idea.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Vivek Agrawal from Citigroup.
Vivek Agrawal
analystIn IP revenue growth, actually, if you look at non-onco business has done well, but Encore business continues to remain under picture and some kind of challenges. So just want to understand when are you saying the growth of 1 segment back to earlier level or a less the industry peers . And second part is that why we are seeing significant issues only in MAX will give us for reporting healthy numbers, especially in onco.
Yogesh Sareen
executiveOne is that So one is that oncology will start to level from quarter 3 onwards. That means mid of quarter 3 is when we took the exception of not supplying the -- or not using the overseas drugs for the CGHS this new MOA was signed in. So I think that means quarter 4 onwards will be fully normalized and quarter 3 will start to normalize. So that's one. The fact is that we have -- our franchise from oncology was the largest. We got 25% plus revenues coming from oncology. So to that extent, the impact was higher on us. Also High amount of CGS highest amount of institutional business was us. So you have -- we also have the largest share in terms of CGHS. I think that is because of our presence in Delhi, et cetera. So I think that's the reason you see more impact here in.
Vivek Agrawal
analystAnd second question is related to your payer mix. We have seen that, again, institutional sales came down this year. So going forward, how we should look at the share of institutional revenues? Is it going to go back to, let's say, earlier level, 22% or so? Or is it going to come down meaningfully even from here on?
Abhay Soi
executiveNo, it is coming down. We believe it to come down. .
Yogesh Sareen
executiveYes. So it's a result of a concerted effort. It's not -- I mean we already put something in play.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Abdul Kaderanwala from ICICI Securities.
Abdulkader Puranwala
analystSir, first is a follow-up on the CGHS question. So with the reimbursement now other hospitals are also talking about that not being profitable. Have you guys, along with other hospitals started to approach the government and the CGHS guys to roll this back to the previous levels?
Abhay Soi
executiveLook, I think the institutional business has never been profitable, right? It contributes to fixed costs. So that's where we are. I mean you can't -- if you're going to continuously only rely on this business, then you will have a continuing issue in any case. And a little bit of down keeps on payments, there's lumpiness and stuff like that keeps happening, but this is a to. It's part of the business, right? I mean I don't -- I'm not particularly concerned about that. What I -- the issue is that on an overall basis, it is not a profitable business. It's a loss-making business. It contributes to fixed costs.
Abdulkader Puranwala
analystUnderstood. Understood. Got it. And there are certain media articles highlighting that the insurance companies have been now trying to dictate the terms at which patients get and the kind of care should be offered. So with our interactions with the insurance companies, are they kind of pressing a little harder on this aspect? And if at all, especially in the season of fever and flu, which might happen in this quarter, has there any kind of an occupancy impact which you have seen so far?
Abhay Soi
executiveSo firstly, we are not seeing occupancy impact. But more importantly, you have to understand what the role of a hospital is, right? Hospital does not admit a patient. A doctor admits the patient, right? I mean this is a matter between insurance companies and clinicians. If a doctor says admit the patient, we admit the patient. If he says admission not required, we cannot admit the patient. There's a protocol eventually, I mean, the hospital, we are only providing the logistics and infrastructure for it and the services. Once the patient is admitted, the triage, the call, okay, to admit the patient or not to admit the patient lies solely with the doctors. And look, eventually, if the insurance companies are able to kind of standardize that in some manner with the doctors, et cetera, so be it. I mean, eventually, the IMA, the medical council has to agree, right?
Abdulkader Puranwala
analystGot it. Got it. And sir, between, say, just a bookkeeping question between, say, quarter 1 of this year versus last year, would it be fair to assume that the overheads of the new hospitals, along with the onco drugs getting discontinued may have, say, close to INR 100 crores to INR 150 crores kind of an impact on your EBITDA?
Abhay Soi
executiveNo, I haven't really looked at it in that fashion. But what happens is, let's say, if you're opening a 400-bed hospital, right, you're going to staff that hospital. And when you open the first 20 beds, obviously, even the 20 beds is not absorbing it, but it's a brownfield. Maybe the first 50 beds, 100 beds absorb it. And then as you sort of go further, okay, all of it drops to the bottom line. Of course, your breakeven for a brownfield is much lower than a greenfield. -- but your cost will sort of move up in line with that. But it's a matter of a quarter here or a quarter there. You can't look at it as cost going up. I mean if you don't have the cost going up going forward in the next quarter or so, you don't have the revenues coming through either.
Abdulkader Puranwala
analystSure sir. Got it.
Abhay Soi
executiveI mean if I have to open a hospital tomorrow, okay, I have to staff it today. I'm carrying that cost, Right?
Abdulkader Puranwala
analystYes. So I mean we should look at it. It's not an extra cost. Will yield. You'll see it yielding now.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Ashutosh Kumar as Asset Management.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, I just had a question around the bookkeeping of free cash flow. Your EBITDA seems to have grown by 15%. However, your free cash flow -- operating free cash flow seems to have grown by 3%. A similar trend is observable at the EPS level. Can you just explain what is the bridge between the 2 that was causing the...
Yogesh Sareen
executiveSo, basically, there has been a movement in the AR. So there's a lumpiness in the collections when it comes to CGH and other PSUs, right? So there's the DSOs have gone up from 87 days to 95 days. So in a way, there's a buildup of AR of around INR 250 crores in this quarter compared to quarter 4. So that's in a way eaten into the free cash flow operation absorb the working capital changes also, right? And also, you would have seen that the ETR has gone up a bit. So that's also -- so outflows has also gone up compared to last quarter. So that's the reason why we find this cash flows to be lower. So typically, we find -- we generally like it to be in the range of 62% to 65%. This time, it's around 56%. And it's mainly because of the.
Unknown Analyst
analystUnderstood, sir. And do we expect this to normalize in the coming years?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes. So I mean, it should because we have -- the S had a new portal and the new portal, they were not processing business. Now we started to see collections from the new portal. We do think that this should come down going forward.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Siddhar Nandi from [ Chan ].
Unknown Analyst
analystJust 2 questions. How are you looking at the viability of your expansion plans in light of the Parliamentary committees report? Does that sort of bring anything back to the table? Does that require you to reassess any of those? And on the college business, when -- do you also expect to start postgraduate colleges given that Congo specialty is really a big source of revenue for you? And how are you planning to fund this? And when can we see this sort of start commercial operations? Yes. Those will be my questions.
Abhay Soi
executiveI think you'll see starting commercial operations over the next few years. We will obviously be open to doing any meaningful acquisition if it's available to kickstart our process sooner than that as well. But -- and we intend to fund it entirely through internal accruals. Yes, we intend to start PG courses. So no doubt on that front. And what was the other question.
Unknown Analyst
analystThe parliamentary committee...
Abhay Soi
executiveParliamentary Committee report does not put any thoughts or reassessment of expansion plans. My belief is that eventually, you have to believe any sort of policy will be rational. -- we are efficient providers of health care. If there is going to be any sort of risk-free return available and it's going to be a viable proposition for anybody to set hospitals, we believe we will have superior returns relative to that. And therefore, if tomorrow for bids, you have a situation, hopefully, it will become an opportunity for consolidation for us. So I'm focused on providing best of health care and being the most efficient. Eventually, any policy has to cater to the medium -- to the mean, not to the outliers. And I believe as far as efficiency is concerned, we are outliers.
Unknown Analyst
analystGot it. And just one more thing on the direct costs. Most of the direct cost increases, while that's a very marginal one, are most of those because of the increase in crude and hence, the possible increase in your consumable prices? Or is this not giving you any significant impact on your direct costs?
Yogesh Sareen
executiveNo, there's been -- not much of impact, no. I mean we've seen some impact in indirect costs, but not much on the direct cost side.
Abhay Soi
executiveWell, it's contributed to some -- historically to some delays in materials if you're importing furniture for hospitals from overseas and so on and so forth. But a lot of that the delays are behind us, right?
Unknown Analyst
analystIt's coming from the funded revenue. Net revenue has grown by 15% and direct cost has gone by 16%. And what percent is the clinician cost?
Yogesh Sareen
executiveYes, that 1% is the increase in clinician cost really.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. So no impact on account of all the crude prices and therefore, the consumable price increases, et cetera, that's not going to be happening much.
Abhay Soi
executiveYes, that's right. And the good part about increasing clinician cost is over a period of time, as your revenues ramp up, they kind of normalize.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of , individual investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeSo my question is with regards to the opportunity in the market, right? You previously alluded there's a long runway to grow over the next few decades, right? And we also see in the market, there's a huge supply-demand gap for private hospital beds and the consumer preference as well is towards private hospitals. Given that beds, right, what's your view if you look at, let's say, 2 decades from now, 15, 20 years, do you think the top 2, 3, 4 hospital chains in India, they can each be size of 100,000 beds. Is that something which is marking according to you?
Abhay Soi
executiveThe total -- in how many years?
Unknown Attendee
attendeeIn 20 years, 2 decades...
Abhay Soi
executiveNo. I don't think that will be the case because what that would mean is you have at least for the top 3 players, you will be building about 300,000 beds. The total number of beds in India right now are 100,000, okay? And you don't have complete consolidation. That means building 300,000 beds over 2 decades. My belief is that kind of execution capabilities, that kind of capital which is required, it's going to be a big, big, big, big challenge. I don't see any player becoming 10x in 2 decades.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeSo that means like we always have this demand supply gap between what the consumer wants and the availability, right?
Abhay Soi
executiveYes, the large hospital is 10,000, 11,000 beds. -- to be 100,000 beds, they need to be 10x the size. That means I need to be 15x my size. No, sorry, 20x my size. Okay. I don't see building 20x my size. So you need all the FDI, you need all the investments. You need it to be viable for the next person who's setting up a hospital. So he's buying land, he's doing construction cost at that point of time and so on and so forth, right?
Unknown Attendee
attendeeYes. So your growth rate, right, you've been like doubling your capacity -- you're on a trend of doubling capacity every 4, 5 years. So at least do you foresee this continuing for next 15, 20 years?
Abhay Soi
executiveYes, that absolutely. So I mean, if that you look at INR 5,000 to 10,000 to 2020 to at best. I mean, I'm just crystal ball gazing. We have no such thing, et cetera. We are looking at increasing capacity as much as we can and investing in whatever cash flows we have in the sector.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeOkay. And in terms of your ARPOB growth, right, we've seen 7% to 8%, which is like a couple of percentage points above the rate of inflation. Again, that trend you see going forward, the next 10, 15 years, that trend continuing?
Abhay Soi
executiveLook, hospital growth, top line ARPOB growth will always be superior to inflation because whatever real growth happens in terms of novel treatments, et cetera, okay, that is a part of ARPOB, right? AOB is not only inflation. So yes, I mean, if inflation continues at this, I mean, hopefully, innovation will continue in the sector in years to come and like it has for the past century. So then you should have the same outcome.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Saurabh Kapadia from Sundaram Mutual Fund.
Unknown Analyst
analystJust one question on the institutional patient bed share, which has come off this quarter versus previous quarter. But how we should look at this number given upcoming bed addition capacity additions that we are doing?
Abhay Soi
executiveYou had capacity addition and yet you've seen it come down. So I think trend-wise, that should continue. Unless we acquire significant capacities and we need to do -- then that's a different ball game. But as far as this present infrastructure is concerned, I think this trend of reduction perhaps will continue.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of An Alankar Garude from Kotak Institutional Equities.
Alankar Garude
analystSir, we have seen a sharp sequential increase in operating expenses even if we adjust for Bhubaneshwar. While you will be adding incremental beds at Nanavati and Smart, would it be fair to say that we will not see any material increase in OpEx until Gurugram comes up?
Abhay Soi
executiveThat's right. So rather than Max Bhubaneshwar, the large increase in indirect cost is due to the new capacities, which have been like whether it's Mahi, whether it's Nanati, whether it's. I mean that, along with insurance has caused the big increase in indirect costs. And yes, I think you will not see any significant increase, and you will see increase in revenue, and therefore, you see a higher amount of EBITDA through flow. I mean that's what your point was.
Alankar Garude
analystYes, yes, that was the point. And similarly, Abhay, if you can comment on net debt as well. Would it be fair to say that net debt has peaked out at current levels?
Abhay Soi
executiveI'm still lower than 1 in terms of net debt to EBITDA. And if I can get to 2.5 by doing acquisitions or whatever else, I'd be happy to go to 2.5x net debt to...
Alankar Garude
analystYes. But barring any acquisitions, it should come down from current levels. Would that be fair to say?
Yogesh Sareen
executiveYes. I mean, we have the ongoing CapEx plan, right? So you know we are spending money on the Shah this INR 475 crores, INR 424 crores, et cetera. So I would say whatever cash we generate, we will obviously consume that. And maybe we'll also take some loan to finance the projects, right? So this net debt will marginally go up if you're asking the end of the year.
Abhay Soi
executiveI mean there's no meaningful -- see, I mean, it really depends on what kind of cash flows we are throwing out and so on and so forth, okay? I mean, at present, I mean, if you look at 3 years down the line, effectively, you should have funded your CapEx and paid down the debt 3, 4 years down the line.
Alankar Garude
analystFair enough. The second question was, can you provide some color on how the 3 acquisitions have been doing? It's been almost 2, 2.5 years now for Lucknow, Noida and Nagpur. Any qualitative insight there would be helpful.
Abhay Soi
executiveI think first and foremost is the fact that we are expanding these capacities because what we acquired, if you recall, we were operating at low sort of occupancy levels. So you've seen very high ramp-up in occupancy, obviously, very high ramp-up in revenues and profitability. And now we are moving towards capacity expansion in all 3. And that brownfield capacity expansion leads straight to the bottom line. So I think qualitatively, all 3 have been successful from that standpoint. I mean it's been the playbook, honestly. I think -- yes...
Alankar Garude
analystOkay. Okay. Got it. And one final one. Can you update us on the status of Shah Pat as well as Thane?
Abhay Soi
executiveFor the Thane, regulatory approvals are coming in. We have got Stage 1 approval for the overall master plan for the site, and we have to submit specific buildings now. for both projects after the approval, which is another 6 months from now. After that, they will take about 30 to 36 months for delivery.
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, we'll take that as the last question. I'll now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.
Unknown Executive
executiveThank you, everyone, for joining us today. We appreciate your time and look forward to interacting with you again next quarter. Appreciate it. Thank you.
Abhay Soi
executiveThank you very much.
Operator
operatorOn behalf of Max Healthcare Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.
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