McKesson Corporation (MCK) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

May 11, 2023

New York Stock Exchange US Health Care Health Care Providers and Services conference_presentation 30 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Michael Cherny

analyst
#1

Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Day 3 of the Bank of America Healthcare Conference. I'm Mike Cherny, the health care tech and distribution analyst at BofA. It's my pleasure to kick off the day with McKesson, fresh off a very newsworthy earnings and guidance update. But we have Brian Tyler, the CEO; Britt Vitalone, CFO. They brought no slides, which is what I'm thrilled with because it allows us to keep this a little more informal. But maybe just to kick things off, especially because I know it's been a busy week with earnings and our conference going on, maybe just level set on some of the key highlights you had from the quarter in the guidance earlier this week before we jump in.

Brian Tyler

executive
#2

Sure. I'll start. We wrapped up very strong Q4 and I think a really good fiscal '23. We were pleased that the growth in the business was really across all of our segments, each of our segments outperforming the long-run growth targets that we had established for them. So it's really kind of broad-based success. We saw good growth in [ PSS ], including our oncology business. We had a terrific year in the U.S. oncology network, adding over 450 providers. Q4 was a big, big quarter for our Technology Solutions business, our so-called blizzard season. We set records for a number of patients that we helped and assisted. Medical business continued to go well. We think we feel good about kind of where volumes are overall in terms of just health care overall. So it was a really good balanced year for us and one that I'm really proud of what the teams were able to accomplish.

Britt Vitalone

executive
#3

Yes. Maybe I'll just add on to that. We've generated record cash flow this year, continue to invest in our business, but continue to have strong cash flow generation out of our core businesses. And that continues to allow us to have a lot of flexibility. We have a very strong balance sheet. And with strong cash flow generation, we have plenty of flexibility to invest in the business and to return capital to shareholders.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#4

And so before we get into recent trends in short term, one of the highlights as well is you updated long-term targets. You tweaked up the medical surg target tweaked up pharmatech solutions. But then the pharma business went from, I think, the official was 4-plus percent to 5% to 7%. So maybe, especially given timing and where you've been growing, talk about some of the recent drivers that allow you to have the confidence to take up those numbers that were first given, I believe, in December of '21?

Britt Vitalone

executive
#5

Yes. well, I think, first of all, what we try to do is be as transparent as we can. And I think it was important for us, the momentum that we're seeing, the growth that we're seeing in our core installed bases, whether that be the scale distribution platform in oncology, like Brian talked about, we're seeing a lot of momentum, consistent, stable momentum. There's good utilization underlying that. We're adding a lot of providers and a lot of scale in the network. So if you put all of that together and we think about the performance and the execution that we've had against our strategies, we thought it was incumbent upon us to increase our targets based on our optimism and our outlook and to be very transparent about that. So we could have waited until another Investor Day, certainly could have done that. But we felt, given the momentum and the outlook that we have in the business, that it was appropriate for us to do that.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#6

And I know it's still 3 days old at this point. But as you think especially about the pharma side, which is obviously the biggest part of the EBIT, 5% to 7% is a pretty decent range when it comes to EBIT dollars. So maybe talk about the characteristics in the dynamics that would get you to, on a long-term basis, the 5% versus the 7%.

Britt Vitalone

executive
#7

Want me to start?

Brian Tyler

executive
#8

Sure.

Britt Vitalone

executive
#9

Yes, I'd start. Again, some of the building blocks on that are we've had good, strong, stable utilization. And if we look at the second half of the year, the second half of the year, utilization was even a little bit better than the first half of the year. So that, for us, gives us confidence that we do have stable utilization going into the future. We're also seeing good transaction and patient volume in our oncology business as well, and that supports the growth that we're seeing there. Strong generics platform and program, very scaled, very strong sourcing operations. And so -- those are the building blocks for us that allow us to feel good about the execution and the momentum that we have.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#10

And along those lines, I mean maybe we'll pick a little further into oncology. It's something you talked about plenty for years, but it seems like -- and correct me if I'm wrong here, the U.S. Oncology has got a bit more focused, a bit more kind of prime time spotlight recently. You talked about the 450 providers. How do we think about the growth of that business and the potential for the new trend line of provider adds, especially given that, obviously, there's other competition in the market that's looking to grow as well?

Brian Tyler

executive
#11

Sure. Look, we've been at this oncology business for 12 or 15 years. So it's been part of the underlying strategy. I think what we've tried to do the last few years, looking at the market that we play in, we would size the opportunity in oncology is like a $50 billion-plus market opportunity considering all elements of it from distribution all the way to data services. And what we're really trying to do is lever off some, we would call, pretty differentiated assets, one being the U.S. oncology network itself, which is now approaching 2,400 providers, the largest oncology practice management group in the country. Then we complement that with things that extract value from the insights we get running a practice like that. So whether that's our Sarah Cannon joint venture in clinical trials or the Ontada business that we've been building out, investing in and building out over the last several years, to take those insights and package them so that they're really actionable for our biopharma partners that are developing these products. And so we used to call it an ecosystem, you could call it an environment, but the idea being that each of these reinforce each other. So as we scale the U.S. oncology network, that gives us more data, and it gives us more access points for clinical trial recruitment and things of that nature. And so it's this element of this virtual cycle to it. Now we're in 25 or 27 states today. We have a network that acts like a network. And that's a really important element to us that you join the U.S. oncology network that you're going to operate the same way to operate and we can move together. There's a lot of value in that. And including part of that is you have to be on our EHR, which is iKnowMed. So we've got standardization. That lets us move with speed. And so as we -- as we build out the U.S. oncology network, as you probably know, we have a really big unaffiliated oncology distribution business as well. So we've got practices. We have business relationships, we support with distribution, GPO services. We may sell them from a la carte services. As we grow and learn those practices, it's sort of a natural pipeline to help us identify who fits into this ecosystem that we're building.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#12

And how do you think about that dynamic of the de novo buildout? You've had 2 notable press releases this year adding new groups versus the individual hires within your network already. Like what should we consider as a new run rate for -- should we be expecting like monthly press releases now on new partner groups, maybe I'm getting ahead of myself, but...

Brian Tyler

executive
#13

You are getting excited, but I like that. We do both. So in an existing practice, we are constantly looking to add individual docs or smaller practices as long as they fit our model and our culture and the way we operate. But clearly, as you've seen this past year, we will look to new geographies where we think the landscape fits us. It's a combination of patient demographics, payer landscape, competitive landscape, but where we think we can bring our model to a new geography, and then they will in turn, begin to add local practitioners to their practice. So we grow both ways.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#14

And you mentioned Ontada, I know it's been a big focus from a build perspective. How should we think about the contribution to McKesson. I think about the internal value it provides versus the potential external revenue and profitability. Which do you see as the more important component of what Ontada is becoming?

Brian Tyler

executive
#15

Well, I think they're both very important. I mean, don't forget the backbone of Ontada is iKnowMed. It is the oncology EMR. It's a leading oncology. It's how we manage our practices. It's how we make our oncologists more efficient, get better patient throughput and then extract the data out of that, and that's really -- we talked more about the -- recently about Ontada data analytics insights, but it's all based off of this core engine that's called iKnowMed. And we're really pleased with the traction that we've been having. We've got large strategic partnerships with Amgen and BeiGene and Merck. We start -- we have a long-term project called the MYLUNG Consortium with 7 leading oncology partners. We've launched a first couple of products. So -- but I would characterize Ontada as we're still investing. We still see opportunity. We're going to expand the product offering and portfolio over time. And again, as that network continues to build and scale, that's just more data and insight and breadth for Ontada to leverage off of.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#16

Okay. We'll probably come back to oncology, but I want to make sure I hit on a bunch of other topics before we run out of time. So maybe on the core pharma distribution side, it seems like you and your peers are seeing very stable performance. I feel like there's one theme at this conference, it's utilization is strong and it feels like it's continued to be strong. Maybe give us a sense on the push and pull of utilization and also just general broad-based pricing. Because your business tends to work best when utilization is growing and pricing is stable, at least in the time I've covered your stock. So maybe give us an update on what you're seeing now and how that factors in especially to the '24 guidance?

Britt Vitalone

executive
#17

Well, maybe I'll just -- again, we've talked about utilization, so I won't hit that one again. I mean it's important and it has been consistent and stable. In the pricing environment, what we've seen over the last several years now, and I'd say, not just several quarters, several years, it is a pretty stable market backdrop. In the branded pricing world, for the last several years, we've seen branded price increases or inflation in that mid-single-digit range. It's a little bit stronger this year, but not something that we think is going to repeat. But in that mid-single-digit range, that's a very stable backdrop. You combine that with how we've gone and evolved the contracts that we have with branded manufacturers, so I'd say 95% or more of the branded compensation we get is fixed fee for service, combine those elements, and that's a stable backdrop for us to operate in. In the generics world, we've had a stable market backdrop for many years, a very competitive environment, but a stable environment. and combine that with our ClarusONE sourcing engine, again, it's a scaled sourcing engine. We think that we source as well as anybody in the marketplace today. We provide stability of supply and low cost for our customer base. And then on the sell side of that, we are very disciplined in terms of how we go about doing that, providing value to our customers and a disciplined approach to that. That's a very stable backdrop for us. It's a scaled operation. We're well positioned across many different channels. And I think that's one that is adding to the performance and the execution that we have.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#18

And on both the buy side and the sell side for generics, you're constantly going through recontracting phases because, obviously, no one is all cliffed at one time. Are you seeing any changes in the dynamics that you're being asked for either on the buy side or the sell side qualitatively as in terms of how you contract, maybe volume for price trade-offs, anything like that, that's evolved over the last couple of years, especially now that ClarusONE has become such a mature business?

Britt Vitalone

executive
#19

I wouldn't say there's anything unusual. But as time evolves, there are things that you listen to from your customers. So as we've gone through the last few years, one of the things that's important to customers is that stability of supply. So we factor that in. It's part of the sourcing engine that we have anyways. But we factor that in. There may be specific molecules that customers are looking at versus another, but there's nothing unusual about that. And so -- as we think about the market and how it's evolving, we work with our manufacturers. We have hundreds of manufacturers within ClarusONE. And that allows us to really continue to focus on stability of supply, low cost for our customers. And the results have been stable and consistent, and we're really pleased with it.

Brian Tyler

executive
#20

And it is an ongoing discussion to your point. It's not like there's an annual event. I mean we're in dialogue with all these manufacturers continuously throughout the year, helping them understand what their issues are for access and growth and finding ways we can use our tools to help support them.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#21

And with regards to ClarusONE, obviously, there's the iterative process of just the generic sourcing side. But especially now this business has been around almost 8, 9 years, I think, I've lost track of time. What other opportunities are there to further expand ClarusONE, either with additional customers or additional services purchasing capabilities?

Britt Vitalone

executive
#22

We're always looking at that. We're looking at opportunities within generics. There's opportunities with injectables as an example. So there's other product categories within generics that we're looking at. But again, we're looking -- we're working with our customers. We're working with our supplier partners. What is the need? And ClarusONE is a strong base now that we can do a lot of different things in that. We've looked at some OTC capabilities and opportunities. So it's a very mature, stable operation that continues to scale and perform well. So there's lots of things that we can do. But we want to focus on what our customers' needs are.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#23

And sticking on the manufacturer side, you touched on this a little bit when going through the piece of Ontada, but the whole dynamics of manufacturer services going more upstream, I think, has become a big theme. Maybe you can you just remind us and level set how broad-based your manufacturing services portfolio is and what you do versus don't need to do, don't want to do for those manufacturer partners?

Brian Tyler

executive
#24

Well, we talked a lot earlier about oncology and how we use the assets we have, the network, the clinical trial business, the Ontada business, the reach and breadth. And we've organized it that way because we have such uniqueness in our capabilities in oncology, but there is an element of selling to biopharma services to oncology development companies there. Put that aside for a second and talk about the other part of our biopharma services business, which is our Prescription Technology Solutions segment. There, we're really focused on things that enable access, affordability and adherence to medications. And so in that business, which sort of in parallel to oncology, we've been at for 10-plus years, starting with our RelayHealth network, which connects to 50,000-plus pharmacies, we added the CoverMyMeds business itself, which is connected to over 700,000 providers connected into workflow. And then we take traditional hub services and the clinical depth we've had across multiple therapeutic areas. And as we brought that business together, we're just continually looking for ways to leverage that access to workflow to get insights, to find patients that should be on therapy that would benefit from therapy, remove the barriers to get them started on that therapy and then support them through the patient journey to keep them on that therapy. And that's highly valued to manufacturers.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#25

And I guess along those lines, what I'm hearing is mostly work doing on the commercialization side. Like you're really focused once you get drugs to market and the best way to get right drug, right price at the right time. How do you think about the evolution of that piece of the business? And how much more on that front manufacturers may or may not want you to do, including getting [indiscernible] earlier in the process, launch strategies, et cetera?

Brian Tyler

executive
#26

Yes. So in the core markets, I talked about access, adherence and affordability. We've got a really strong set of solutions. But we do see many near-term adjacencies or additional markets or opportunities for us to either internally invest to develop and innovate into or as we did with Rx Saving Solutions, acquire a capability that we can add to the set of assets -- we like tools that leverage the network connectivity we have. You can think of us as a distribution channel in some way. So if we can find a value-added widget and bolt it into our networks, we can blast that out quickly. But we think there are outcomes. There are near adjacencies to the markets that we're in today that is what gives us confidence over a long, long trajectory, we've got a lot of headroom for growth.

Britt Vitalone

executive
#27

And I'd just remind you, as we talked about our Investor Day access, affordability and adherence solutions is a big market. There's a lot of opportunity within those 3 categories. And so there's the opportunity for us versus a lot of what I would call spot players. We have a spot solution. We can stitch together solutions within those 3 capabilities and, I think, really will make a difference. And again, given the size of those capabilities, there's a lot for us to do.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#28

And so within that and sticking within RxTS, a little bit of a strange year, I guess, from a reporting perspective. Obviously, not every business can be easily modeled back and forth, but maybe some disappointment on your front in some early hiring earlier in the year, followed by a very strong 4Q, strong guide -- long-term guidance update. We also had a restructuring that I know you discussed on the earnings call. So maybe balance where you are from the growth investments right now in that dynamic of spending some time hiring earlier in the year versus restructuring later in the year and where that puts you going forward?

Britt Vitalone

executive
#29

Maybe let me start. We did talk about this advanced hiring for the annual verification season. And as Brian just mentioned, that was a record season for us. So we may have been off by a month or 2, but we are preparing for what ended up being a record season. 24 million patients access their medications during that season. So we -- as we gave guidance at the beginning of the year, we said that the guidance was going to be in that 11% to 15% growth range, and it came out to be in that range. Quarter-by-quarter, given the size of the business and given the number of assets that we have across that business, we're going to have some movements because we have an annual season. We staff up for that annual season. So we feel good about the business. It's performed consistently on an annual basis. We manage the business for the long term. and we feel good about that. We've raised our long-term guidance rates for that. So I think that if you look quarter-to-quarter, you may have some lumpiness just given the assets that are within that segment and given the fact that there are some seasonality components to it. But over the long haul, we've seen consistent growth, and we continue to expect consistent growth.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#30

It's helpful context on that front. And you referenced Rx Savings Solutions. It's a company I've known for a long time. it was one of those interesting ones where you talked about, I think modest dilution with the official term upfront, but then a couple of percent of contribution as it ramps. What does Rx Solutions give you that especially with your broad base of solutions you had before that you weren't already doing or able to do yourself?

Brian Tyler

executive
#31

We really like the business. A, we like the tech backbone of the business. I mean the technology, it's using really advanced AI and those types of tools. We like the fact that it's tied to our mission to improve health outcomes for all. I mean it's dealing with patients. It's Finding Them savings on their prescriptions they have today. So that's very aligned to the things we do with access, affordability and adherence. It opens a new channel for us into the payer. We've got 18 million -- 17 million, 18 million lives now with payers. So that's -- we view that as a bit of a greenfield opportunity as we look at the breadth of the assets we have there and ask ourselves how we combine them to solve new problems and find new growth trajectories. So business is off to a good start, and we're really excited about the capabilities, both from technology and accessing new channels and then the ability to just have more reach and more tools we can more creatively bring together to innovate and solve new problems.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#32

I guess, over time, what are your intentions or desires to go further down that payer partnership route? What else can having that introduction bring you in terms of your current capabilities and what you could do for payers that you didn't already have the ability to do?

Brian Tyler

executive
#33

I would say, I'm not sure. Right now, the long-term guidance we provided is really focused on the biopharma and the core bits of the business. Think of this as planting seeds for future growth.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#34

That works. Maybe turning to MedSurg. It's been a business that grew well before COVID -- grew a lot during COVID. I think you've been helpful and transparent in giving us the COVID contribution. So we can understand the underlying growth rate, but it seems like this has been a consistent low double-digit grower and should continue to be. How much of that do you see in terms of the breakdown of market share versus site of care versus utilization? How do we break down those building blocks on the MedSurg side?

Brian Tyler

executive
#35

Well, I think what the medical business has been really successful over the last decades is really following where the patient is going to present. So at one time, we were mainly physician office and nursing home or elder care facilities. And then over the years, we've expanded. We followed the patient into urgent care clinics and retail-based clinics and ambulatory surgery centers and even now home delivery. And so that's been one avenue of growth, and we think we can continue to pursue the -- this low unit of measure distribution, which is what we do to where patients present and where they need the products. But the second thing we've been really effective at doing is just continuing to find how we capture incrementally bigger and bigger share of wallet. So we go from commodity medical products to commodity medical products and a little higher tech medical products, and then you add lab and reagents you add equipment and set up and then you add pharmaceuticals and specialty pharmaceuticals. And so on top of expanding those channels, you're also expanding your share of wallet, so to speak, or the breadth of the products that you offer. And we think that there's a lot of runway left in that playbook.

Britt Vitalone

executive
#36

The other thing that I would say is another example of being disciplined about what your portfolio and strategy is. If you wind the clock back to beginning of my career, go back 17 years, I guess, now, we were an acute care-focused medical surgical company. And so as we set the strategy, the acute care setting was not the place for us to win. And so we have followed the patient, as Brian said, and we've been very disciplined about adding things to the portfolio, capabilities around lab, capabilities around pharmaceutical. So it's just another example of as we think about what is the market need, what do our customers need, being focused on what our assets are and what our right to win is, that has served us very well over a long period of time.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#37

And the work you did for the U.S. government on the kitting side, I assume has to have opened you up to a lot of provider groups that probably were not McKesson customers before. What does that do to your ability to go out and continue to establish share in the market when you were servicing nontraditional customers because you were the exclusive provider of kits?

Brian Tyler

executive
#38

I don't -- look, we're very proud of the work we did for the U.S. government. I do think it was helpful for our brand, so to speak. I mean, certainly, it created a lot of new relationships with government entities and agencies itself. I do think that it's broadly recognized the accomplishment that setting up that distribution operation in several months and then successfully fulfilling it. I think it's been a halo effect, quite honestly, for us and one that we'll look to continue to build off of.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#39

And just one last question on this topic is you talked -- you mentioned a bit about commodity products. And obviously, there's a McKesson brand portfolio. Where do you feel you are in terms of the broadness of that portfolio? And is that something that makes sense to invest in, in terms of broadening out what you offer from McKesson brand going forward?

Britt Vitalone

executive
#40

Yes. I mean we've been investing in McKesson brand for, again, for well over 15 years. Again, it's a response to what our customers need, whatever the site of market -- site of care is, and we've continued to expand that, but we have done it in a very thoughtful way. And so there are opportunities to expand within a category or add a category to McKesson brand, but we just don't make everything a McKesson brand item. We're very thoughtful about where, again, we have the right to do that or where it's better to partner with a national brand. So it's something that has grown in a very consistent way and one that we've continued to invest in and one that our customers have benefited from.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#41

Thinking a bit more about the guidance and maybe turning to capital deployment. I mean, Britt, you mentioned, I think you beat your free cash guidance by $1.2 billion at the midpoint for the year. You're guiding to a healthy amount of repurchase, which I know is part of the 6% nonoperational long-term guidance. How do you think now about that balance given every CFO likes to have more cash than not? But how do you think about that balance, especially on a near-term basis when there might be other companies out there that look like adjacencies to you that, thanks to credit conditions, they may be struggling to have financial capabilities that companies like yourselves and others can provide?

Britt Vitalone

executive
#42

Yes. Look, every CFO likes to have strong cash flow generation. We want to be very efficient with our cash. And so we think about capital deployment, really 3 pillars. The first is we want to grow the company, and we've done a nice job of that, but we wanted to grow the company on the strategy that Brian has talked about here today where we have the right to win, where we have differentiated assets and capabilities. We can do that organically or we can accelerate that inorganically. And you've seen us do the Sarah Cannon Research Institute JV, which has been an accelerant to our oncology and then we talked about Rx Saving Solutions. So growing the company is a priority for us. At the same time, we want to continue to return capital to shareholders. We've been very consistent about that. I've talked about being in the market to repurchase shares every quarter, if we can, be consistent so long as that we have excess capital that can't be deployed elsewhere, so long as that we're buying back shares below intrinsic value, which, again, the company continues to grow and we feel good about the future outlook, obviously, so that's an opportunity for us. Underpinning all of that -- and the last part of returning capital is a growing dividend. We're committed to continuing to grow the dividend. I've talked about the fact that we want to grow the dividend in relation to earnings growth. So you can see how that plays out in the future. Last July, we increased our dividend 15%. So while the yield on that, you can do the math of what the yield is, we are continuing to invest in the dividend and growing it in relation to earnings, which are healthy. Underpinning all of that for us is the importance of maintaining investment-grade rating. And we've done a nice job with that. Our balance sheet is very strong. We have plenty of liquidity. We have plenty of capital from a flexibility perspective. And our credit metrics are strong. So when you put all of that together, we have a lot of opportunity to continue to invest in the business at the same time returning capital back to our shareholders.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#43

And I'm glad you brought back up the Sarah Cannon JV because it's not your only JV, but it's a unique and newer one. As you think about that partner versus buy mentality, given you have a long history, especially of adjacencies, I think of like the $500 million to $3 billion acquisitions that you can list a dozen-plus that I can remember just off the top of my head, but how do you think about that partnering and working with other dynamic companies in the market versus wanting to have full control of assets? And what makes the most sense given your portfolio?

Brian Tyler

executive
#44

So first thing I'd say is Sarah Cannon specifically, we own 51%, and we have operating control. And I will be honest, we probably have a bias to acquire and just own outright where we can. But when you get an opportunity to partner with a great organization like HCA and you get -- we spend a lot of time upfront thinking about governance and how we would manage this together, we just got really comfortable with them. And we think the combined -- having McKesson and HCA behind this thing just opens up a lot of strategic possibility for that venture. So look, we've got to be flexible in this world. I mean the key is making sure you get the operating model right, that you have clarity of what you're going after on the front end as you get into these things. In some instances, it will be outright acquisition. In some instances, it's build and innovate internal, some that's take advantage of a great chance to partner with another organization. So I think what we try to do is just bring logic and rationality and look at each opportunity individually when we think about how best to structure them.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#45

And I guess one last big picture question, which we've been asking a bunch of companies here. Who knows if we're going to be in a recession or recessionary like environment as we go through this year into next? But looking back to '08 and '09, the core pharma distribution businesses seem to be as resilient as anything in health care. How do you think about positioning, especially now with 3 large entities, not the other 2 didn't exist before but into what could be an uncertain macro environment?

Britt Vitalone

executive
#46

Well, I think the consumption of health care is not going to stop because there's a recession. There could be -- some outpatient therapy may vary over time. But generally speaking, health care is very resilient. We expect it to continue to be resilient, and we're well positioned to take advantage of that with the services that we provide. So I think history is a good benchmark. We've performed well through all types of cycles, and I think we're well positioned to do that again.

Michael Cherny

analyst
#47

I see the red light down below. So Brian, Britt, thank you so much for being here.

Brian Tyler

executive
#48

Thank you. Thanks for having us, Mike. Appreciate it. Thank you.

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