MedPlus Health Services Limited (MEDPLUS) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 16, 2022

National Stock Exchange of India IN Consumer Staples Consumer Staples Distribution and Retail earnings 65 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to MedPlus Health Services Limited Q3 FY '22 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference to Mr. Gangadi Madhukar Reddy from MedPlus. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#2

Thank you, Neerav. Good afternoon. On behalf of MedPlus Health Services Limited, I extend a very warm welcome to everyone who's joined us on our call today. I'm Madhukar Reddy, and I'm the CEO of MedPlus. I'll now request our CFO to make the necessary disclosure statement.

Hemanth Kundavaram

executive
#3

Thank you, sir. Please note that anything, which we say, that refers to our outlook for the future is a forward-looking statement, which must be read in conjunction with the risks that the company faces. The complete statement is included in our investor presentation dated February 16, '22, which is available in our website and the BSE and NSE website as well.

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#4

Thank you, Hemanth. I would like to begin by thanking all of our 16,000 plus colleagues for their efforts and diligence that go into providing an essential service to our customers. As you know, MedPlus was listed on the Indian Stock Exchange on 23rd of December '21, and this is our inaugural analyst presentation. So before we move to the quarterly update, I wanted to cover a few overview points for those who are new to the MedPlus story. MedPlus operates in a very attractive space, the pharmacy space. It is one of the fastest-growing retail segments out there, faster than, I would say, even the food and grocery now, which typically have been at the forefront of the whole retail revolution in India. There's a large headroom to grow. The business is expected to go up to INR 2,00,000 crores by 2025 for a variety of reasons and these are going to be largely affordability, access and various lifestyle reasons for which the business continue to actually be on the rise and on top of that, the other main reasons for making this space a very attractive one would be the unit technology services itself. Not only is the ROCE, one of the highest out here, actually the highest. The revenue and the cost. The revenue of per square feet is among the highest. Pharmacy basically stands anywhere between 35,000 and 55,000 per square feet and the cost of setting up the business itself is not very high. We typically, set up a store. CapEx for our store is around INR 7 lakhs and lot of the people actually end up doing it in pretty lower cost in some of the mom & pop stores. So all in all, this remains a very attractive space for new one to enter and the good thing about this is not only is going fast, the penetration that organized retail is among the lowest in the overall retail industry. Today, less than 10% of overall industry is in the hands of a couple of large organized retailers and the rest of the online players. So that said, the MedPlus story itself, we started in 2006 at Hyderabad and over 16 years have been trusted brand across seven states and 280 cities. And since inspection, we have, in fact, more than 750 million bills across our 2479 permanent store. Today we have over 16,000 employees and across all the pharma and non-pharma, we have 43,000 plus active SKUs which we've sourced from over 10 all countries. So, what this has done for us, this cluster-based network has actually enabled us to do very well in the omnichannel side. By omnichannel, I mean, not only that included in a physical retail side, we have also been online, we have also been enabled by software from network and we have one of the most profitable omnichannel presence out there. For us, this network, hence, we actually serve online only in the cities in which we are selected. What this does for us is reduces the overall customer chain cost. We actually spend almost nothing on marketing out here. Second, given that we are present both in the physical and on the online side, we are able to take care of both the acute and chronic customers. Now acute has been less than 1,000 now. Typically, we will do it for order to break up in part of the year, so we are in the process where we can actually get this working and given the fact that we are present everywhere in some cities, we are in the three main cities in which we have four consumer stores and in the fourth city of Hyderabad. We have over 250 stores, we are able to supply almost 90%, 95% of our products in less than 2 hours. Actually 70% of our orders are supplied under an hour. And not only does this allow us to actually reach our customers fast, it also reduces the overall cost of delivery to us. So what this means is, all in all, omnichannel service, which is -- goes on the back of a dense network, allows us to actually run one of the few profitable omnichannel services in the country. The scale not only allows us to do this, it also allows us to present a very large private play in our space. Today we have over 800 SKUs and we have started off as a small part of our business at the start. Today, we are spread across 800 SKUs and several different categories out there. We have pharma, almost all both chronic and non-chronic medication as well. We have complete health related and other foods. We also have skin care, hair care, and everything, and we also have a very significant amount of sales coming in from products which are like baby needs, home, health monitoring devices and rehabilitation kind of kits out there. So what we have achieved over the last 15 years is set up a fantastic platform, which allows us to actually grow rapidly and that is what we have seen in the last few years right now. Today, the key pillars of growth for us would be, a, growing existing clusters and go deeper into this small area completely, leverage our leadership in the omnichannel platform while increasing QR delivery to all the -- to more and more locations. To that point I will come back to you with the number of pin codes which you are actually sharing and everything else. And finally, continue to expand the share of private label. Here I would like to just point out a couple of things. India is one of those few places where the overall pharma retail has actually been extremely fragmented. So, this is one of the few places where you actually see literally 50,000 distributors more than 500,000 retailers at all. And for that reason the retailer and distributor have had almost no leverage at all and that is the reason why brands actually play such an important role. And for that reason, we actually have a situation where there are hundreds and hundreds of different companies producing the same products and that is selling them as branded generics to the pharmacy. Unlike a place like in U.S. or U.K. or wherever you have got a Walgreens and CVS and a couple of other large chains where they sell only a couple of different things. They sell either a product, which is completely based on a patent or it is a CVS or a Walgreens or something the brand is catered. So as the brand continues to grow, we expect our share of private label will continue to grow as more and more people accept the product, we will continue to increase this overall private label. And those are the three things on which the company will continue to grow forward. For us, we are well equipped with all the things, which need -- which are needed to actually make this happen, our operating cash flow is at around INR 37.5 crores in Q3. There is a lot of headroom for leverage, since we almost have 0 debt. And today, we have cash and cash equivalence to the tune of INR 695 crores. So, this was something which is lacking in the cost for us, there is something which we have. We have the platform we expected to continue to grow going forward. So now on to the highlights for Q3. So for us now on the latest quarter's performance, our revenue was INR 933 crores and this led to a gross margin of INR 193.8 crores in an operating EBITDA of INR 36.6 crores. So for us, we continue with our store expansion program. We have opened over 537 stores in the last 12 months and out of which 183 stores were open in the last quarter itself. This is the largest quarter with store openings in our history and we will maintain this space. The highest additions here in Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu, 43 and 36, respectively. Also, 50% of store opening this quarter has been in tier-2 and beyond. Our ability to grow and operate in this market is proof of our ability to scale and an important element of our cluster-based growth strategy. We have 906 of our 2,479 stores in Tier 2 and beyond. This year -- this quarter, there were 32 store closures, but most of them mostly on account of franchise, which were withdrawn by us. And if you actually look at it something like 19 of these stores where relocation stores where typically, we have a store lead, which stands for 9 years at the end of which, we typically are able to renegotiate and stay in the same place. But in some cases where we are not able to do it or where we find that the market has moved, we typically end up moving. And that is accounted for nearly 19 of the 32 stores, which has been relocated. Please note that these stores' -- average age of these stores were 9.4 years, and it is not something, which we opened yesterday and we made a mistake and then we moved on. These are cases where there was a genuine need for us to move, 9 of them were franchise stores, which were shut down and 4 of the stores were moved for various other reasons including for reasons like some global disturbance or this could have been just selection mislead or something like that, but the small portion of our overall stores. So our store network now is, overall, I would say a pretty young store network, 25% are less than 12 months if you look at it. And 36% of our overall stores are less than 2 years. So typically our stores end up reaching a plateau at the 36 months and beyond this, they start contributing 10% and more EBITDA, which is more at the company level. So for us, given the fact that 36% are still not at this stage, we have a lot of time for us for further stores to actually start going out there. The pharmacy part. The network store size. We have close of 2,477 stores with 1.45 million squares feet. Last quarter, this was -- last year's Q3, this was 1,940 stores with 1.1 million square feet, an addition of around 537 stores overall. The average stores size is now 588 square foot, which would be your center spread in store sizes. We have 1,615 stores less than 600 and 862 that are greater than 600 squares feet. Now, on our same store performance, we measure this as stores that have been in operations for 12 months and more as in the last day of the reporting quarter. Revenue from these stores have grown by 4.2% year-on-year. We continue to maintain a store-level EBITDA margin in the range of 10%. The store-level operating ROCE of these stores are 69% per annum. Revenue mix. As I mentioned earlier, with scale, the better poised to increase share of revenue from private label. In Q3, 12% of our revenue came from private label and this compares favorably with 11.1% in Q2 and 10% in Q3 of last year. The trajectory of increasing share of our private label in our customers market continues. Our increasing presence in Tier 2 and beyond it is affecting in our revenue mix. Typically, we expect more sales of private label to come from the Tier 2, Tier 3 and that is getting reflected here. This quarter, 29% of our pharmacy revenues came from stores in those tiers and this is up from 26% in Q3 of last year. On the omnichannel side, we continue to extend our coverage has been coursed from where we take orders online. Given that we supply only from where our physical presence is there, this is a slightly slower addition of pin codes, but every pin code we add is a profitable addition to us. Almost every order which we do, we make money on that. So the orders are acquired because there is a store, which basically is attracting customers out there, some of whom basically then decide to go online and start interacting with us through the online channel and some of them basically continue to do both online and offline over a period of time. Now what this does is they are all coming from a small area. We are able to deliver it in the shortest possible time in less than 2 hours and we are also able to do it profitably. But that said, slow, but steadily we continue to reach the overall pin codes in our area of service for us. Overall, our online strategy is driven by our conviction that omnichannel is the most suitable and profitable approach in the pharmacy space. We find greater stickiness in those customers who interact with us the omnichannel than those who interact with us purely via the online route. That concludes my update. Now, let me request Hemanth, our CFO to give the financial update.

Hemanth Kundavaram

executive
#5

Thank you, sir. Our quarterly performance we clocked Q3 revenue of INR 933 crores versus INR 800 crores last year, which is a healthy growth of 17% growth year-on-year, mainly driven with an increase of -- accuracy increase of new stores. On a gross level, we have added 622-odd stores at a gross level so that has helped increase our majorly a 17% growth. Secondly, on the gross margin, we have registered 20.8% gross margin versus 20.1% last year, mainly driven with the private label increase of 10% to 12%. Operating EBITDA of 3.9% this quarter was 5.1% last year again the decrease, which was majorly contributed as aggressive growth of stores which means that the cost associated with the number of stores like salaries and rent, have brought down the overall EBITDA margin, majorly driven by a rental cost and salaries by closer to 100-basis point on sales. PAT of INR 17 crores versus INR 23 crores of last year that is on the P&L. Coming to the balance sheet, on the inventory, the total inventory as of December is INR 848 crores in absolute terms with an increase -- net increase of INR 124 crores in the last one year. We are at net cash positive of INR 600-odd crores. In terms of the CapEx, for Q3, we spent around INR 28-odd crores out of which INR 13 crores only for the new store and INR 4 crores to INR 5 crores for the work in progress which are in line for the new stores. Coming to the working capital days. Earlier, I have touched upon the inventory in absolute terms. Now on the days, the networking capital days are 62 days, which has increased from 60 days last year. This networking comprises of inventory days and payable days. Inventories, again, we would like to present further breakup with low level inventory and warehouse inventory. The store-level inventory days has increased from 39 to 45 days, majorly due to the number of stores that have been opened in the last 1 year. In the last 1 year, stores have inventory of 85 days versus 1-year-old stores, which are 38 days and warehouse inventory has decreased from 45 to 39 days. Coming to the payable days, we are at 23 days, which is we were 24 days last year and now it is 23 days. Coming to the cash flow from operation. So we have a healthy cash flow from operations this quarter which is at INR 27 crores, which was touched upon earlier from an EBITDA of INR 36-odd crores with a conversion ratio of 75%, so which means that 75% of our EBITDA is converted into cash from operations. Finally, ROCE, while we are up to 16% at corporate level ROCE as on December end, but if you look at the stores, which are one year or more, we are at 69% ROCE now.

Operator

operator
#6

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Prakash Agarwal from Axis Capital Limited.

Prakash Agarwal

analyst
#7

My first question is on the store-level growth that you are showing. So this is the same store growth, SSG, 4.2% and is it in line with your expectations?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#8

I would say it is slightly muted. Couple of reasons out there. If you look at it, I would say it is more or less than in the lines which we thought it would be. If you look at, in the last year, we have added 537 stores. That is almost 20% -- 25% we have added to the existing store base out there. And 200 of these stores have come in just 4 cities. All these cities require these stores. And we have seen the business need for that and once we have gotten set these stores up. But there is going to be some level of split sales, no matter what we do and how far we actually set up the store from each one. What we have done is we have set up the stores in markets and in micro markets which where we have seen new aggregations and then new densities coming up, one and wherever the stores are even if the store is let us say actually 1 km and a half away from the existing store, that will tend to give away some small portion of customer from the existing store given the fact that we have 20% discount and 60% of the customers who come for their needs for chronic medications and all. These people typically tend to come. Most of them come from a small area around the store, but some of them also come from slightly farther area. And so when we set up a store like this, we are bound to see some other stores sales filling out of this new store. And so that has been the reason why same store sales growth have not actually taken off to the level one would have expected normal year. In a normal year, we have been doing somewhere 150 stores per year. But as I told you it has gone a little bit further. So when we do this, when we actually add these stores and we basically see the overall sales growth in stores, but that is something, which we can leverage. We are in the markets in which we are. We expect to actually gain bigger and bigger market share and that's what basically reach us the power in the overall market and more influence in the overall pharma market, one. But more importantly we are driven by only two things. When we set up a new store is it actually getting to break even in the normal expected size? Is it basically getting to break even? And that answer is always has improved for us over the last year and year 2. 60% of all our stores now break even within three months. That continues to give the same and the trajectory for them to actually get to the normal sales level, continues to be more or less same. That is one. And two, we also then make sure that when we are doing this, are our existing stores continue to be profitable? Absolutely. As long as both these two criteria are there, SSG or no SSG, we will continue to put in more stores to gain more market share.

Prakash Agarwal

analyst
#9

Fairly elaborate answer. And just clarification, you mentioned 150 net store addition, which is there in the presentation what I want to reconfirm you said we want to sustain this momentum, I mean, 600 for this year, and what could be the outlook for next year?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#10

I just want to tell you that every quarter and quarter, except for the one full quarter, we have absolutely increasing the number of stores per quarter, the number of new stores which have proven. We will continue this acceleration, so which definitely means that it is going to be a much larger number than 600.

Prakash Agarwal

analyst
#11

And my second question is on this quarter, we saw some trend reversals, so topline growth of 16.5% and our other expenses are up 31%. So this is partly due to the additional store expansion, a, and are there any other reasons to it which you would like to call out? Just one more if I may add, do we see this trend for the near term given your expansionary store addition plans?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#12

Unfortunately, Prakash, the last 6, 7 quarters have always come with some kind of a commentary. It has been COVID this quarter, no COVID this quarter, COVID this quarter kind of stuff. Even the last quarter was -- the Q2 also had some element of that. In Q2 we had something like INR 30 crores of sales coming in from vaccines and that is the reason why that went up a little bit otherwise it would have been slightly lower and the growth would have been more in line with what would one expect quarter-on-quarter.

Prakash Agarwal

analyst
#13

Sir, question was on Q3 that we see a 16% growth versus an expense line of 31% growth. So one is the 16% growth versus your presentation slide to where you are saying that organized pharmacy retail growth is about 25%. So commentary one there. And the other thing is on expenses which is higher than the sales growth and do we expect this in the near to medium term?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#14

Right. So the organized sales of 25% will probably being compounded over several quarters. I don't think we can just put it only to one that is one and that is to also -- that would also be more -- I would say you would have to spread over a much larger area. There are several parts of the country in which organized retail is not there at all, so while new investments go in out there and all, I am pretty sure some of these areas will see a much larger growth and so you may see that 25% out there. For us, the expenses have gone up mainly because of the new additional stores. We have added nearly -- we have grown by 25% overall the number of stores and that's basically been the costs for increase in overall costs for us. And if you look at it, something like 537 stores over the last one year is what has basically increased the overall cost and these are all stores less than a year. And when they are less than a year they are -- when we looked at it the overall cost at the store level are at around 19% versus stores which are more than a year are at an overall cost of around 9% to 10% overall. The EBITDA for stores which are over one year is around 9.7%, 9.8% overall. So what this means is while 19% is breaking even given that our gross margin is around 20.7% or 20.9%, it is breaking even, these stores are contributing extremely less and they are also showing the overall cost to be on the slightly higher side.

Prakash Agarwal

analyst
#15

Can near to medium term outlooks, sir, on this trend of higher cost versus revenue?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#16

For us we continue to expand the overall private label share and that will continue to increase the overall gross margin for us. I am pretty sure that the one-year-old stores will now start to contribute more as we go forward. So, while the near-term thing or near to midterm thing could be flattish, we know that we are investing for the long term and all these stores will actually become super profitable as we go forward.

Operator

operator
#17

The next question is from the line of Anubhav Agarwal from Credit Suisse.

Anubhav Agarwal

analyst
#18

Some questions, one is that taking from Prakash question, sir. From the same store sales growth, if you minus the 1 year because 4% is including the stores which are just above 1 year. If you talk about more mature stores, let's say, 5 years, 7 years, what would be number there if it's 4% for everything what will be the number for matured stores?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#19

So we will have to come back to you on that, Anubhav. For us again we are less fast as a company about the same store sales growth as we are about gaining and keeping our market share and increasing our market share actually, one. Two, we also more about making sure that every store contributes. See, in a business in which convenience is more important than anything else. A physical retail which is close by would be visited by people more I would say. Now as the city grows and cities become more and more dense and more pockets of commerce come up, it is important for us to actually have stores that take the business out there and we continue to maintain the market share. So for us, as I said again, unlike most retail, we worry more about profitability of the store -- existing store one, and the break even and coming to profitability of any new store we set up. So while we can come back to you with those numbers, those are not numbers which we look at, I would say.

Anubhav Agarwal

analyst
#20

My suggestion will be that just taking cue from your point only that it's not for an individual store basis even on a mature basis, even if you want to give out a cluster wise number that should be good as well because otherwise, if you look at your numbers which are reported for past quarter also, in 3Q last year we have 5% growth rate SSG, 4Q was a decline of 7%, 1Q was the only exception which had a lot of COVID sales otherwise 2Q was 3%, now it's 4%, so this number is not making sense that because the drop size increase itself on an average this much, so that's the reason we are asking for a more clearer number, this metric is not helping us to gauge the performance of the business. So you can come up with a cluster number as well which will even take care of the point that you are saying that some of the stores which are opening in the same region and they are drawing away sales from some of the older stores which is fine, you can define them as a cluster if that is possible, actually that would help.

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#21

I am happy to actually start talking about the city wise sales and everything else, but I think a more relevant number, Anubhav, would be this. Our one-year-old stores contributing 10% EBITDA at the store level of our and our new stores basically getting to profitability very quickly or not. Those are the two things which we talk about. And yes you talked about the overall growth. The inflation itself basically contributes to increase in sales, that's right. But over the last 8 quarters we have seen a lot of ups and downs. Q1 of this year was extremely good because of COVID, and because of fears of bandh over the next two quarters, a lot of people ended up buying ahead of time. So as much as it was related to, let us say, specific items being sold for COVID, it is also equally true for people who just bought ahead of time so the next quarter would automatically look back. And then again -- and this has been happening in the last 8 quarters every third quarter. So there is a scare of one, there is a scare of actually people shutting down, there is a scare of supply chains being broken down for which medicines may or may not be available. So, people who buy chronic medication for us -- for chronic therapies and all, they ended up buying more. So we have seen a lot of spikes and these are not natural and these all have to be explained. So nothing in the last 2 years has been usual. This is as usual, I would say. And in addition to that couple of other reasons have also contributed to, I would say, slightly muted sales growth across all the places. We are a company, which is very strong in the 4, 5 metros out there, most of our stores are there in Hyderabad, Bengaluru, Chennai and Kolkata. Almost all these places have a significant population, which has been asked to actually go home and work from home. So that is something which we have also seen. Those cities are yet to return to normal, one. And two, as I said, never before addition of stores in our own company has actually led to a muted growth. What we take heart from is only one thing, everything is going on schedule as far as breaking even is concerned and everything is basically delivering the way we actually wanted to at the store level.

Anubhav Agarwal

analyst
#22

Absolutely. And just 2, 3 more questions. One is on the inventory, just a clarity. Did you say that -- now the newest stores, is there a new trend that you are keeping less inventory at the warehouse and more at the store level?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#23

No. Not really. This is again a COVID-related situation where we have had a situation in which we have seen that things have started going out of stock for a lot of the products and so we are talking a little bit more for some of the products only, that's one. And second, we are also getting geared up to open the 70, 80 odd stores, which are opening every month, so the warehouse itself is actually taking on a little bit more inventory to stock the stores out there. So both these things happen or are happening out there. Otherwise, no, I think it will all come. So while it has come down from 45 days to 39 days, I think it will continue to come down going forward for us. So this is not something which we plan on doing going forward.

Anubhav Agarwal

analyst
#24

So when do you expect the 84 days inventory to, let's say, come down to 70 to 75 days, when do you expect that -- in six months’ time or more than a year timeline?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#25

I think we will start seeing the decrease in inventory as we go forward, Anubhav, right now. Yes, why don't I come back to you on the exact times and all or what we except the time or what we expect the times will be for us on the inventory part.

Anubhav Agarwal

analyst
#26

Just clarity to Hemanth. Hemanth in this segment, segment-wise asset section, you have pathology testing services where the segment assets are up from 30 crores to 66 crores in just a quarter. Do you want to talk about that?

Hemanth Kundavaram

executive
#27

There is an increase of close to INR 27 crores. We are starting to increase our diagnostic stuff so that is the asset that you are seeing there. So majorly the last 6 months -- last 9 months we have incurred almost INR 18 crores in that time and hence you will see an increase on the pathology business. That is nothing but I am sure you would have heard about diagnostic business that we are now focusing or will be focusing to expand in a bigger scale for that we have spent close to INR 18-odd crores.

Anubhav Agarwal

analyst
#28

You want to talk about the way spend, the money which they spend does this mostly creating the large infrastructure care in the collection center because the number is large, it is not a small number.

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#29

Yes, couple of things. We have actually spent money on setting up a small processing center in each of Hyderabad, Bengaluru, Chennai and Nagpur and all. We will continue and we have paid advances for setting it up in Kolkata and Pune and a couple of other places. So these places will process all the samples which are collected from that city and deliver the results and given that we have got a large portion of people who buy medication for thyroid disorders and diabetes and all. These are people who monitors their levels in a regular basis and they form a natural set of people from whom we can draw the clients out there. So that is one. We are also piloting radiology center out there in Hyderabad. And this is something on which we have also spent a little bit of money out there. This is going to be an MRI/CT scan and a couple of other things out there but this is strictly in the pilot stage so we are not really putting out there.

Anubhav Agarwal

analyst
#30

And for collecting samples, collecting the samples mostly at your pharmacy level or you are putting up the collection center there?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#31

No. These are all -- a portion of our pharmacies which have the facilities and which have the space end up actually doubling up collection center out there so there is no additional cost to it. Typically, people who actually monitor these levels do it in the morning sessions, in the morning hours, fasting level and all, and that's the time when the stores are not yet busiest and we find it easy for the store to double up collection center out there. So it's not additional cost, rental or otherwise, a CapEx.

Anubhav Agarwal

analyst
#32

Normally this business runs on asset turn of 3x, 4x. Do you think with an investment of about INR 60 crores to INR 70 crores, this can be INR 250 crores to INR 300 crores business for you in 2, 3 years or 3, 4 years?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#33

So there are 2 parts to the overall business right now. One is we leveraging the network which we have, converting a portion of them to become collection centers, delivering services at, I would say, a lot of value to the customers out there through this, that's’ one. But the second part also is the overall piloting of the diagnostic center, radiology and all, so that's something which we will discuss as we go forward. That's going to be slightly different model. So we will -- once the pilot is done, we will come back to you guys with more details on that.

Anubhav Agarwal

analyst
#34

And just last question and then I will join back the queue back. If you continue expand like INR 180 crores per quarter, let's say, INR 700 crores or INR 800 crores annually, do you think the EBITDA margin of this quarter is representative, means like you have two trends, private labs will increase and because the number of stores also increasing. So would you say this close to 4% margin as what to expect over the next two years something like that?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#35

So the margin expansion is going to be there, that's for sure. And once that kicks in, I think the costs which are there are directly in line with the number of stores which we have added and the percentage of stores which we have added. As we go forward, even if I add, let's say, another 700 or 800 stores also every year or slightly more, it depends on the base of stores which I have. So it's going to be a function of both the amount of private label, which will increase the overall sales and whatever benefits we get on the backend, because as the number continues to grow, I am pretty sure there will be efficiencies both in the warehouse as well as the corporate side. So all these will also kick in out here and go. I do not think it's going to be business as usual or at least it's not going to follow these same trajectory. But if you were to really increase the speed and if it go even faster, then maybe it will be flattish for a while.

Operator

operator
#36

The next question is from the line of Nikhil Mathur from HDFC Mutual Fund.

Nikhil Mathur

analyst
#37

My question is on the margin front. You are mentioning that the private label share should go up and that will kind of boost margins. My question is that you talked about hyper local being a key differentiator in terms of managing fill rates and then keeping the delivery cost low as well. But doesn't hyperlocal model come with a space or section given that your physical stores are only 400 to 500 square feet. So how will you be able to stock so many SKUs which will be required to increase the share of private label in the overall mix?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#38

I am talking about private label for medicine and this actually don't require so much space, honestly. Today we already have around 800 private labels, and I am pretty sure we will continue to increase these but more profitable addition private label medicines will not take up too much space so that's not a concern, one. And we are not going closer and closer to the customer so that we can basically do slightly faster e-commerce delivery and all. The fact that the business demands that we put up those stores and those happen to be a part of really dense network, allow us to actually do this, but it is not to reduce the delivery time or whatever. We are setting up the stores, half a size, and half our inventory level that the market demands. Our 400 square foot or 500 square foot stores are more than capable of holding the inventory required to actually take care of customers in that area. And secondly whenever an order hits our omnichannel platform, it hits the nearest store and whatever is available in that store or in that hub from where it is getting fulfilled, the customer gets a message saying that out of the 10 or 8 or 9, whatever you asked for, have got these -- if a portion of them are not available, the customer gets the message saying that one or two of those items are not available and they will be fetched from the warehouse and delivered next day. So we won't expect to basically fill 100% of everything from the nearest point out there but typically it is 90%, 95% of all the products required for a customer or maybe slightly less. But mostly the items which are asked for usually by people on emergency need for all these steps.

Nikhil Mathur

analyst
#39

In terms of -- you mentioned that private label is going to be more on the pharma side, so how is it going to work? I mean, If a customer comes to the store and orders on an omnichannel basis, would it be showing alternatives to the customer that these are lower price alternative available, non-branded pharma availability is there and then you leave it to the customer whether he wants to opt for the low priced alternative or not. Or how is it going to work? I mean, is there a demand already for the 5 private label or you are going to create it by trying to actively substitute though there can be some issues around regulations? How that works? So how is it going to work if you can help me understand this.

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#40

Sure, so Nikhil, we really don't do anything on the online side as far as private label is concerned. So the customer uploads the prescription and says he wants X, Y, Z drugs, our system basically detects to see if we have the drugs or not. If we have it, great. If we do not have it, we will tell him about the substitutes out there and all, but that's a long and cumbersome process, we really don't get in to that because you will also need to change the prescription itself, then that would be an extra call. Him basically saying that okay I will need to now get a new prescription, he can either get it from our online consultant out there or he can get directly, but that's not how it works. Typically, when a walk-in customer comes into a store with 10 or 12 or whatever items out there on his prescription list, our goal would be to give him as much if not 100% at least as close to 100%. But no matter what we do given that there are a few million odd branch out there in the country and these are all getting pushed randomly across all the resolutions out there. There is always a new prescription coming with a new drug out there every single day. And so those, I would say, slower moving or newly added drugs to the overall prescription list of a local doctor those who are gone through the list where we basically say this is something which we don't have right now as of now, we could either fetch it for you from the warehouse or we have a substitute and typically we would -- in the pass have substituted with another brand, we would have said, okay, what you have asked for is from Cipla, I do not have it. I will give it to you -- I will give you something else from Lupin. Today it is basically, okay, I don't have this, I think we can either fetch it for you from the warehouse or I have an alternative from my own company or some other different company and that's how we do it. It's not an online side, Nikhil, it is too cumbersome, it does not really make for a great customer experience.

Nikhil Mathur

analyst
#41

And then one final question. Can you give some guidance on where the online sales share will settle in 2 years, 3 years, 4 years timeframe from current 7%, 8% levels. What percentage levels are you targeting for the online contribution?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#42

Honestly speaking, I would think that something like 10% to 15% would be the number, it would be a little difficult for me hazard a guess out there at this point. I will tell you why. In a normal situation we see that level of customers calling on phone and asking for the product or asking for an alternative channel, mainly through your phone or sending someone else or doing online and all the sort of stuff different from walking up to the store and buying the medicine, right? So all the people who are basically now doing it on phone and who are also online and slightly -- as more and more people get online they will probably use this more often and all the kind of stuff, but this is in the absence of someone else basically, no one else doing anything silly. If people decide to basically sell stuff at a loss for a long, long time, so I would think that some of the patients at least would basically go out there for the higher cost and we are seeing a little bit of that. We are not seeing a major dent out there because we continue to take business from the other mom-and-pop stores and all. So our goal would be to only match or beat the discount of mom-and-pop stores and make sure that we are the number one out there on the physical side. Where on a regular everyday low price side also we need that. But we will always see competition basically coming in and doing some promotion thing out there. They all think that it is promotional but everyone's one quarter of promotion becomes a full year of promotion for the customer where 3 to 4 different people are saying okay I will give you 25% or whatever for this quarter and then someone else comes in with something else, so that's going to be a little bit of up and down, so I am not really able to tell you. But I would say in a normal situation anything from 10% to 15%, which is a normal population we should otherwise call on phone or go online with us.

Nikhil Mathur

analyst
#43

If I may just squeeze one final one. With scale growing, would you be in a better position to get some bonus units or some discounting from the distribution channel or irrespective of scale your cost of procurement would remain the same.

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#44

Of all the things that leverage is the one which I think will be the least while we continue to get slightly better sourcing margins out there. I think it will probably be the hardest to actually extract any extra and the reason for that is very simple. We are not the guys who basically are sitting out there and writing the prescription. We are not really influencing the actual sale of the medicine, we are only fulfilling it. And for that reason I would think that any pharma company would hesitate to give out any additional thing. Whatever gains we had, were easy to get earlier in the path mainly because of one thing. These are already increasing the margin of the distributor. We acquired the distributor so we got the full margin as such. Now additional margins purely based on scale, yes, maybe 0.5%, 1%, but it's not going to be substantial jump. And that would remain true for everyone irrespective of the scale, I would say.

Operator

operator
#45

The next question is from the line of Anuj Suneja from ICICI Prudential Life Insurance. Please go ahead.

Anuj Suneja

analyst
#46

Sir, my broader question is on the lines of the employee cost that has gone up. So what would be an apt level it should balance upon and how do we see the ESOP expenses going forward?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#47

Till now I don't think we have had any ESOP expenses, which have actually slipped the existing shareholders. Whatever has happened, has happened before the issue. So we see quarterly non-cash expenditure across INR 6.5 crores, and this is based on the allotment we made just before the IPO. This is granted in November 20, 2021. We do not expect it to be significant but we will revisit this at the end of the year when we had to figure out ways of incentivizing us than employees. On the cost of employee itself it remains more or less steady at the 4% to 5% for all stores, which are older than about 2 years, I would say, 1 and 2 years. The new stores of course, as I said, overall expenditure in the store is 19% overall in which the cost of employee should now be around 10% to 11%. It is double of what it should be. And typically they expect our cost in the store to be around 9% to 10%. It is 19%, so it probably double, so probably sitting at around 10% as of now for these stores which are less than a year old.

Anuj Suneja

analyst
#48

So can I treat this ESOP as one off this time and it should not be a recurring item in your financial statements.

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#49

No. Again, as I said it is non-cash. It doesn't affect anything out there. But it is going to be a recurring item. The cost is going to be taken every quarter.

Anuj Suneja

analyst
#50

So when I have to calculate the operating EBITDA I will need to add it probably PAT.

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#51

So it is vested out four years and it has been granted on November 2021. So this is going to basically be there. But the only good thing about MedPlus is cash going out of the company at this point.

Anuj Suneja

analyst
#52

My third question is on the lines of the diagnostic centers that you are planning. So what would be the size of the diagnostic as a percentage of your revenue. And if you are focusing Hyderabad as a radiology market, what is the market size of Hyderabad radiology market because there is other player who already is getting about 85% of share from the Hyderabad market.

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#53

I would very much doubt if anyone is getting 85% of anything out there.

Anuj Suneja

analyst
#54

85% of revenue, it's about INR 300 crores to INR 320 crores.

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#55

85% of the revenue comes from Hyderabad, I know that, but it's not 85% of the overall market. So there is enough and more market out there, but can I take this out to the next quarter. This is the pilot thing we wanted to actually keep all speculation about it right now under control. Why don't I come back to you when I have some more details on this.

Anuj Suneja

analyst
#56

Perfect. Make sense. My last question would be on the lines of -- so what would be the typical SSG that which you see as a going concern. And secondly what would be the EBITDA margin of a mature store, what would be your guidance on that?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#57

EBITDA margin of a mature store at the store level is always going to be around 10% and more. 10% is the usual margin. For us what we do is constantly look at our stores to see which ones are delivering 12%, 13% and 14%, which ones are we getting more than average sales and then look to see from which catchment are the customers coming to that store for. So if there is a significant number of people coming from a catchment which is slightly longer or slightly farther, then it is our interest to actually go set up one more store before competition sets up some other store. We are not the only players out there we have got one another major competitor and couple of other local guys. This is convenience business. And while we are the number one listing for most people for their discounts and everything else, we don't want to just relying only on that. It's always been about quality, convenience and value for us. So we don't want to just rely on one other pillar out there value and say customers have to come us so far. So constant analysis of the places from where the customers are coming in helps us to figure out where the next store is coming in and that one -- 100% take a little bit of the sales no matter what we do. So we are not -- as I said, as hung up. But to answer one question the way we see it for us to maintain a constant EBITDA, whatever is the number is out there, we need to just grow by around 4% to 4.5% every year for us to actually be there in that number given that our typical employee cost grew up by around 10% every year and our rents grew up by around 5% every year and our overall margin is 20%, and the sales we are talking about is on the base of around INR 1.6 crores to INR 1.7 crores a year.

Operator

operator
#58

The next question is from the line of Ritesh Rathod from Nippon India Asset Management.

Ritesh Rathod

analyst
#59

Sir, can you explain -- when I see your store closure data, the relocation being a larger chunk and particularly the matured stores with average age of 8, 9 years. So what kind of effect it has on your same store growth or do you open both the stores parallel when one store is closing. The best store is opened parallel, how it impacts the profitability, if you can share that experience it would be great. And is the number similar on a last 12 months basis also?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#60

No. Not really. I think this quarter we have seen slightly more relocation and closures as usual, 32 overall. Out of 32 as I said, 19 has been closed because we have relocated the store and the average age of these 19 stores is 9.4 years, overall. So what this means is, as I said our typical lease is a nine-year lease. At the end of 9 years we either stay back after renegotiating the rent and lease with the customer or with the landlord or we move. Now we could move if we think that the business has moved or if there is a more, let us say, more attractive location which has come up in the area and we decide to move there and all so it could be for both the reasons. But for whatever, this does not have any effect out there on this and typically though while we open a new store in the neighboring area we usually keep this dark for at least a couple of months to make sure that some other medical store doesn't go back, our competitor doesn't go and set up a store out there and then basically starting up the business. So that's something which we will do anyway. For us though the closures have been mainly because we have shifted because of these reasons or because the market has moved, not because it was a mistake which we made in the selection -- in the beginning itself.

Ritesh Rathod

analyst
#61

I got that from your presentation also and usually after 9 years the landlord would ask for a normal rate hike or rental hike. So when you see that what impact it would have on your SSG or anyway you measure this thing, because out of 50% of closure is because of this relocation. And if I assume your closure rate of whatever 3% or 2.5% on last 12 months basis, a decent chunk is because stores are getting matured and you will open a store, new store in that region and the new store cost will be there and we won't shutdown store immediately. Is there any way you like to measure this thing?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#62

Yes. So for us, once we actually shutdown a store, if there is a cost it's only the rent, and rent is a very small portion of our overall expense. Typically our overall network has an expense of around 2.75% on rent. The older stores would actually have around 1.5% to 2%, right? So it's not a big expense for us. Once the manpower is more, most of the cost has actually gone from that place one. And two, when we move to a new store -- see we are already depreciated the overall asset here in the first five years itself most of it anyway. And for us, if we look at it, it costs us INR 6 lakhs to INR 7 lakhs to setup a new store, the CapEx of the store. So it's not a major expense for us and lot of the stuff which we actually take out from our existing store is moved. Most of the cost is towards the fridge, ACs and the computers, printers, and the furniture. Almost all of it is reusable. So there is no big cost when we relocate. We estimate the total cost of relocation to be around INR 2 lakhs, and that is mainly towards some fixed things something which can't move like painting and everything else, hence the cost of getting a license for that location.

Ritesh Rathod

analyst
#63

And maybe second one on your omnichannel. In that 2-hour hyperlocal delivery, is it present across stores which we have 24 or higher or is it still to be experimented and how is the fill rate in the areas where you serve?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#64

Sir, we are in Hyderabad, Bengaluru, Chennai, Pune, Kolkata and all. Any place where we have a reasonable location, we actually do it. In a city like Hyderabad, to give you an example, around 37-odd hubs are there from where we deliver. So we don't deliver from all the 300-odd stores and as you can see from the 14th slide on our listing out there, we have grown this delivery hubs from 174 to 377. So we are looking to actually get closer and closer to the customer but not every stores maybe expense of the stores in a city will be delivery hubs.

Ritesh Rathod

analyst
#65

Over here what would be the customer acquisition cost and number of registered users, any data you provide on the omnichannel or the online?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#66

We don't spend any money on the customer acquisition. We stopped advertising for online. The way it works for us is people walk into a store they buy, there is sometimes they say -- and every store we basically tell them you can either buy online or offline. We give them the access out there and all, and every store has got a prominent thing, which says medplusmart.com is also available online and everything else. So that's how we acquire our customers. We did spend a little bit of money maybe June, July, but I don't think anything much has been spend in the last quarter results on online acquisition.

Ritesh Rathod

analyst
#67

But we have this data of registered users or active users or membership users, anyway you track it?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#68

We track all of those. Happy to send that across to you.

Operator

operator
#69

The next question is from the line of Pathanjali Srinivasan from Mirabilis Investment Trust.

Pathanjali Srinivasan

analyst
#70

Sir, the first thing I'd like to know is that your gross margins have kind of gone up compared to the last year but I am not able to understand correctly whether it's because of your increase in private label or is it because the branded pharma has also picked up comparatively?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#71

Branded pharma picking up does not really increase the margin very much because the incoming margins have been more or less same and we are actually seeing that more and more people are now going above 1,000 and actually getting a slightly higher discount. So I don't think it is because of that. On the other hand, private label has gone up especially for medicines out there and it has actually gone up from 10% to 12% overall price levels with the medicines alone going up from 5.5% something like that to 7% or more.

Pathanjali Srinivasan

analyst
#72

Previously you are saying of 10%, 5.5% was only medicines and now it's gone up to 7.5%?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#73

That's right.

Pathanjali Srinivasan

analyst
#74

One more thing. You have previously mentioned like there was not much benefit we got because of COVID because some segments like operations related medicines and all of that we were not selling because all the surgeries and all had come to a standstill. Has that part of the business picked up in this quarter?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#75

So I think business is coming back to normal. Although I must say that January was not normal at all. But slowly just coming back people are going back to regular consultations and are visiting the pharmacies and everything else, and that's one other reason also why you see a small dip in the overall online customers also. People are now happy coming outside and basically going and buying.

Pathanjali Srinivasan

analyst
#76

Just one last question. Our online business, the share is kind of been little up and down because of COVID and all of that. But will our same stores sales go down or get affected because of this, how do you see that happening?

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#77

We count it all as one. For us as far as we are concerned, whether it is online or offline, it goes into the stores, probably -- that is overall sales. Sales may go up or down in a store because of several reasons but it is not only about online, I would say.

Operator

operator
#78

Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, we will take that as a last question. I now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.

Madhukar Gangadi

executive
#79

Thanks, Neerav. Thanks, gentlemen, for taking the time to be on our first call. You can always get in touch with our Investor Relations team for any further questions and all. Otherwise, thank you and have a good day.

Operator

operator
#80

Thank you members of the management. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of MedPlus Health Services Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.

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