MGM Resorts International (MGM) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 10, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Thomas Allen
analystGood afternoon, everyone. I'm Thomas Allen, Morgan Stanley's U.S. gaming, lodging and leisure analyst. I'm very happy to have MGM Resorts joining me here. We have in front of you Bill Hornbuckle, the CEO; Corey Sanders, who just walked through the door, the CFO; and Jim Freeman, SVP of Strategy; and Cathy Park from IR. So thank you all for joining. Before I get into our discussion, I do have to read a disclosure if I can find it. Here it is. Please note that this webcast is for Morgan Stanley's clients and appropriate Morgan Stanley employees only. This webcast is not for members of the press. If you are a member of the press, please disconnect and reach out separately. For important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley research disclosure website at www.morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. If you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative. So with that, we're going to get going. Bill, again, thank you very much.
Thomas Allen
analystSo COVID has obviously had a meaningful impact on your business with every one of your properties closing down at one point. Now all reopened, which is great. Can you talk about what you were doing to get customers comfortable going back to your resorts?
William Hornbuckle
executiveYes. Sure, Thomas. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you. A lot of things. We put together a comprehensive 7-point safety plan. It was important. And I think if you reflect back now, we've been open since late May in Mississippi. We've transitioned our way all the way through Park in late September. We've not been the epicenter of any challenges. Our industry, I think, has treated this with reverence and respect. I think we've helped lead the way, put together a comprehensive 7-point plan, everything from social distancing to all the appropriate cleaning protocols. We put a lot of technology in play with digitization of checking in on a mobile device and other things that enabled us to -- while it hurt occupancy at times, particularly during the summer, we had restrictions around pool capacities and therefore hotel occupancies, I think we ended up in a good place in terms of safety. Obviously, we've all seen and are very focused on the last 3 weeks now, the rise in our various markets in terms of COVID, take it all very seriously. The other thing we focused on -- and we just actually hosted -- I think you maybe talked -- I talked about this in my last conference call. We hosted a group last week, 2 weeks ago now, with the Convene with Confidence program. And what it is, it's a testing protocol environment that we put on top of everything else that we're doing that we tested this group -- it was 220 members. They came in. They were tested on arrival. It was a partnership we put together with CLEAR. And so they had on their phone a pass. The pass was good for 24 hours. They got tested the following morning, then they were allowed to go back in to various meetings and conferences that they were hosting. It was amazing. It worked exceptionally well. And it's -- look, it's not going to bring back large-scale groups. Right now, the state is still restricted to 250, but it's clearly a step in the right direction. So staying focused, keeping our employees healthy and safe, ultimately putting things together like Convene with Confidence. We're in a better place. But as I think we all know, we got a long way to go.
Thomas Allen
analystI think New Jersey and Pennsylvania have been putting out stats on the number of employees that have actually caught COVID in the casino industry, and it's been remarkably low, like, I mean, under 1%. So the industry is obviously doing things to stop the spread. Can you just highlight a couple of those things?
William Hornbuckle
executiveWell, look, we do a massive tracing, tracking program. Well, let's go by if we find somebody who does -- and interesting, to your comment, got me thinking about it. Half the time, we find it's activity that occurs outside of the buildings, not the workplace, whether it's home, family, friends, other activities that some of our employees do. And half the time, it's potentially work-related. But staying focused on the protocols, every time they come in, their temperature is checked. They have to wear a mask. They have to wear -- in certain environments, we have Plexi everywhere if you haven't seen the casino floor of late. In terms of kitchens, in terms of restaurants, it's all socially distanced. You can't touch a paper product in a restaurant now. It's all mobile technology to order. Same with room service. The room service of old is basically it's a drop-and-go environment, mobilely order it. We drop -- we leave you -- it's mostly paper product or plastic product. But it's doing exceptionally well. It's actually changed the economics of that department, which is much needed, I might add.
Thomas Allen
analystSure. So hopefully, one day, we will be an environment where COVID is no longer the main discussion point. And with recent updates, hopefully, it's sooner rather than later. Can you talk about some of the things that you think are going to last post-COVID, right? I mean I -- hopefully, we're not going to be having to get our room service dropped off in front of our rooms forever, and we're not going to have to wear a mask in casino forever. But some of the initiatives that you've put in place that you think are going to be long-lasting and will help the profitability of the company?
William Hornbuckle
executiveYes. I think -- well, there's several different fundamentals. Again, I mentioned to you earlier, 40% of our customers now are checking in on a cell phone. So we've managed to digitize that. It ultimately becomes your room key. But if you really think about that, we now have direct connectivity with 40% of our customers. At a place like Park MGM this past week -- and it was literally over 50. As you skew younger in demo, there's more people using mobile devices. I think when we get the business and convention environment back, it will even grow more. And so now it kind of got you. And so now when you talk about things like wallet share and you talk about how I can connect to you, when you talk about personalized offerings in terms of what I know you like to do and how I can reach you while you're here, Las Vegas average visitation is 1.2 times a year, give or take. I might not be able to get you back quick enough, but I can absolutely drive to you while you're here. And so we're highly focused on that. We think that will last forever. Virtual queuing is another great bonus. You don't wait in line anymore -- not that there's a lot of buffets open but any restaurants. We virtually queue you, which means you go wander around the casino. We've seen that be productive. Obviously, mobile gaming, sports betting -- we'll talk about that hopefully a little bit -- have all taken off. We're all -- we're absolutely 110% behind all of that. And so we see a lot of things. Yes, you'll be able to get room service, but it will be different. It will be -- you'd be staying in a high-end resort. You'd be staying in a suite. If you stay in a value property, it will probably stay drop and go for a very long time. I think the day of the buffet, with a couple of exceptions, has come and gone, and they were cash burns for all of us. And then we've been very focused on the crime of this year, and there are many. Anyway, February for us was a great start. Our margins have begun to return. 2020 was working. The additional programs we've now put in play during COVID, on top of 2020, we let go another 80-odd senior executives. So we now work in an environment where one property lead oversees 2 actual properties. And we've spread that across the organization. And what it's also done is it's forced their reliance and need to use our centers of excellence. And then we've tightened all of those up. So when we get out of this, and fundamentally, we will, we believe that, we think we're going to be much better shaped economically. So if you just put all this together, it just adds up, we think, to a great difference.
Thomas Allen
analystSo with the third quarter results you just put out for your regional properties, the non-destination regional properties, your revenue was down about 15%, your EBITDA was up about 7%, your margins were up about 770 basis points, right? I mean those are pretty amazing numbers given everything that's going on. Can you talk about how you're generating those kinds of results?
William Hornbuckle
executiveLook, well, couple of things. At top of the funnel, obviously, there's not a lot to do in various markets. So people are coming in and spending more time on device, more time in the environment. Labor, labor, labor. We've been extremely focused on labor. And frankly, we've only offered services and amenities that are ultimately very meaningful to today's environment. And so we question down the road -- as we think about entertainment, as we think about the phases, as we think about some of the ancillary things we do, do we continue them? Do we modify them? And do we stop them? And frankly, there's some that fall in each one of those buckets as we go forward. We've learned a lot in -- places like Tunica, Mississippi are off the charts right now. Springfield was actually making some money for the first time, which was encouraging. That's all about labor. And so we've learned a lot about what we can do, how we can tighten up the floor, how we can tighten up the times around games, restaurants and activity case. And we hope to push -- I don't hope. We're going to push that forward into the future.
Corey Sanders
executiveAnd the other piece, Thomas, is just the marketing efficiencies...
Thomas Allen
analystWe can't really hear you.
Corey Sanders
executiveYes, sorry. Let me move closer. The marketing efficiencies especially in the regional properties. From everything -- it used to be older customers snail mail to now mailing through electronic forms, not having to do all the events that we would have had in the -- not putting the reinvestment in because these are some of our better customers. They're still getting the investment they used to get to some degree, but they're the most profitable customers we have, the higher-spending customers. That marketing efficiency has helped the margin also.
Thomas Allen
analystSo as we think forward, you obviously have a really big presence in Vegas, and you have taken costs out of that. But I'm often asked the question, where will there be a bigger opportunity long term compared to history, Vegas or regional markets? How would you answer that question?
William Hornbuckle
executiveLook, when you're at 47 million visitors, obviously, we're going to rely on some organic growth. And I said it earlier, I'll say it again, fundamentally, I think conventions come back. The need for people that want to come to a destination like this and be entertained at large scale all comes back. We're not ultimately worried about that. Matter of fact, to the contrary. But there's only so far this marketplace can go and grow. There are some regional markets that continue to entertain, to attract us, if you will. There's not a lot of them. We're not going to replicate the model -- I'm looking at my window at Caesars -- I think that you see in that environment. But there are some opportunities that exist out there. But to me, the growth is really in 2 different verticals, and it doesn't have either to do with Las Vegas or regionals. It's really about Asia. It's ultimately about taking a bigger piece of digitization of gaming, sports betting, iGaming. We've launched BetMGM. We're excited that we're literally third in every marketplace that we're in now, which is 8 of them. We just launched in Tennessee. We're doing exceptionally well in Indiana now. And so we see that as a large-scale future opportunity for the company domestically and over time, hopefully, globally. So we think the real growth, the growth that's going to move our needle when we're doing $3-point-something billion is going to come from Asia, places like regrowing back and growing more into Macau and ultimately, hopefully, Japan, and pushing hard on sports betting initiatives, iGaming initiatives domestically and in other places around the world. We think that has some real long-term potential.
Thomas Allen
analystAnd sports betting and online gambling is an exciting topic and the big growth avenue in U.S. gaming for sure. Can you talk about some of the things you're doing to drive the success you're realizing?
William Hornbuckle
executiveSure. Look, it's going to be interesting. Our general view is there'll be a series of maybe 4 or 5 winners in this space at scale. And you've already -- obviously, you guys follow it very well, so you know it intimately. We got a slow start, although a big start in that we partnered with GVC, obviously a scalable international brand. We gave the business attention, but we almost hurt it more than we helped it in the beginning. And at the end of last year, beginning of this year, we revised our approach. We started thinking about it more, and we went at it aggressively. We both got -- we, GVC and ourselves, got behind the business. We're now investing up to $450 million into it, and presumably, we'll invest more. We like the positions that we've been able to take. We like what it has done in the context of omnichannel for customers. We've already begun to see customers going back and forth. I spit out a couple of statistics last time. We talked about this on the earnings call. In New Jersey, simple example, there are 167,000 customers sitting in BetMGM that have not been at the property within over 3 years. And some we've never -- most of them, we never knew. Inverse of that, the folks that -- we've put 25% of the customers through MGM M life into BetMGM. Then you look at the spend that those people take, and it's 10, 11, 12x more if they're present in every channel. And so we're excited by what all that could bring and what it means. We think it's a long haul. We think we're going to have to invest for the next couple of years in this business. And ultimately, in '24, '25, you'll begin to see some returns. It won't be for the faint of heart. You're going to need real platforms and real differentiation. We think we have that. Our retail experiences, whether it's in sports betting alone or ultimately the opportunity to enjoy these resorts, is pretty compelling. And we think our ability to tie that all out is a differentiator that puts us above and beyond most others. And I also believe as the market stretches beyond 32-year old males who are heavily dependent on sports betting and it stretches itself out when you start thinking about in-play betting and other activity, where my wife starts to play and my grandmother and just people getting excited by a casual bet, much like the lottery, we're positioned as a brand and as a company to really take advantage of that. So we're excited by it. iGaming is even more exciting. For now, we're the lead in New Jersey. We hope to replicate that in every state that it becomes available. Margins on that business are great. Customers last longer. And so we're excited by what that ultimately brings. And obviously, we know that space really, really well, and there's an easy connectivity between those customers and our own brick-and-mortar.
Thomas Allen
analystSo you have obviously the brick-and-mortar side of your business, and you talked a lot about the omnichannel approach. You also have a lot of partnerships you've made with companies like Yahoo!. Can you talk about where you think -- where you are in that -- in all that integration? Are you in the early innings? Are there good anecdotes you can use of what you've done and success stories?
William Hornbuckle
executiveYes. Look, I think we're in the very early innings. Yahoo! is just getting integrated. Now for the first time you can -- literally, within the last month, go on the Yahoo Fantasy app, click on it and end up in BetMGM. You just had -- you had to go find it before. So the integration of all of that activity is really just now beginning. Same with M life. You now get signed up as an M life customer for the first time in both applications. We have all of the apps now on one app save Nevada because of regulatory. And so ultimately, we'll have a common app and, I think more importantly, a common wallet that you can come to places like here and go -- if your state allows it, go home to your state, use the same wallet and be able to enjoy activity not only while you're here but ultimately back at home. And so we're pushing aggressively in all of that. You've seen us out marketing in every state we're in. We don't do a national campaign -- we can't, which is kind of interesting compared to some of the competitive set, with Fantasy. But we're heavily aggressive in New Jersey, ultimately in the other states, Colorado, that we're in, and we're taking share. And we like what we're doing. We've seen the valuations and what it means ultimately for particularly FanDuel and DraftKings. We've seen what it's done for Penn with Barstool. And we know we have great product. GVC has been doing this for a decade. They have over 350 games on the iGaming side alone. And so product is there. Technology platform is there. And our ability ultimately to connect things like an e-wallet where you can use it here and in sports betting and iGaming and universally have it and then potentially take it home with you, it's something we think will be very meaningful in the long run. So we like the share. We like the increases. We've seen them in every state that we've been in. We hit the ground now in the last 4 states day 1 that just opened. So our platforms, our people, our environment, our regulatory environment is ready to go day 1. And we hope to continue to do that as we think about -- 3 more states just came online, as you know -- or are going to come online, I should say. And so we hope to be there first and make a difference.
Thomas Allen
analystSo when you first launched, you announced partnerships with a bunch of the leagues. You announced a partnership with Buffalo Wild Wings. We've seen over the past couple of months a lot of your competitors also announce other partnerships, with ESPN, NBC, other league partnerships, team partnerships. How important do you see all those partnerships?
William Hornbuckle
executiveI think they are. I think like anything, there's a balance. We were extremely aggressive out of the box, to be blunt. We signed up everyone but the NFL. And at $30 million, we said uncle because that's what the ask was. But none of the others are also for the faint of heart. They involve millions of dollars. We thought at the time that it could be helpful and productive in terms of government affairs and pushing some of the initiatives. Frankly, what we have found over time, not that they're not, but what's more meaningful are the team sponsorships because it's you gaining the heart and mind of the folks that are there. You're given opportunities to set up things, whether -- well, Raiders are a little different here. But no matter where you are -- we have a thing with the Jets. We have now a thing with Broncos. Where that affinity goes a long way. The price tag is a whole lot different than the leagues. And so we think it's important that we're there. We're just about in every sport in one way, shape or form or another. Make sure the present -- and it's a great enabler for the brand to make sure people understand the business we're in and what we're trying to accomplish. And so like anything, it's a balance. So it's got to be modified.
Thomas Allen
analystSo you said that you think it's going to end up where there are kind of 4 or 5 winners in this online sports betting space and the sports betting space. What do you think will drive the people who don't win? Like I think it's clear, omnichannel approaches, databases should help people who like -- what's going to drive people to leave the market?
William Hornbuckle
executiveWell, I think the investment between now and the time of winter is substantive. We're not talking $5 million. We're talking hundreds of millions of dollars. And I think that will be the biggest barrier. I truly do. And then once you've gained share, once you've gained market, once you've got people on your device, it's not impossible, but it's always hard to get them to switch to something different. It's just -- it's painful to go through the process of signing up for some of these things, transferring wallet, et cetera. And so gaining share, gaining device and ultimately gaining connectivity is something that's meaningful to them beyond just the bet. Yes, the bet has to be great. The app has to be great, meaning the odds have to be competitive. The app has to be great. But if there's something else at a different layer that makes it more fulfilling, 365, so if I'm in Maryland and I can go down to National Harbor and what I did last Sunday on my couch has some meaning to me, I think it resonates, and I think it will carry. A couple of others are set up to do it but not at scale. And I think just frankly, the economics to get to the finish line is going to be substantive.
Thomas Allen
analystMakes sense. And then I think Microsoft said it as well as John Glass, our restaurant analyst, said that they think that COVID accelerated the shift to digitalization or shift to digital by 3 years. Do you think that's an appropriate analogy for the gaming industry?
William Hornbuckle
executiveYes. A couple of things. I think for the first time, I was just looking at some stats yesterday, ETGs, electronic table games, are starting to make a difference here. They've been usually wildly successful in Asia. I don't know if you've seen these, but they have stadiums of 200 games in some of the casinos that you have one dealer. It's a pretty efficient way to do it. But we've seen the participation in something like an ETG double. We've seen it go more female. We've seen the young -- age go lower. And so we're -- and we've bought -- in our case, we bought on 31 more environments, that game. We bought a whole lot more games, but just different environments we set these things. So I think there's a push there. I think as we see the e-wallet ultimately be created for all things, I think that's going to be a big deal. I think some of the things that we put in play -- go back to the 3-year thing. We've been putzing around, for lack of a better word, with mobile check-in for a long time. Got in a room and said, "Okay, guys, you got 2 months. Get it done, figure it out, make it happen." And we did at the end of the day finally. And so yes, that's probably a fair analogy. And some of the stuff, like I said earlier, is not going away because it's good and it works. And it's -- and frankly, particularly in a place like Las Vegas where you have mass scale, it just makes the experience that much easier to get around and to do.
Thomas Allen
analystThe strength of ETGs should really help your New York property once capacity constraints aren't such a big issue, right? So...
William Hornbuckle
executiveWe've learned a lot in different markets but particularly here, and we think it will help. Obviously, we've got a large piece of real estate there. We can do some fun things with it, and we will.
Thomas Allen
analystSo do you think that this has accelerated the legalization path of sports betting and online gambling?
William Hornbuckle
executiveAbsolutely. I think many of you guys are from New York -- people, I said guys, I apologize. You clearly understand the state of affairs there. I mean I've been hearing between $14 billion and $1 billion deficits. There's a movement afoot to bring table games, gaming back into play earlier than later. We think it will entail sports betting. Whether it entails iGaming or not, I think time to tell. But it's pretty indicative of what we're going to see, I think, across the country as this thing lingers depending on what kind of stimulus is available to states and individuals. We're going to see a need over the next 2 or 3 years. And this is ripe and ready and fairly quickly. It's not like we have to build a building. The access to this is about licensing, about having the right people in the space. We know how to do it. We have regulatory oversight, and we have things at stake. But all that being said, yes, I would have -- I don't think I know there's -- if you think about it, there's Massachusetts, Ohio, potentially New York, key states with large, large population bases, Michigan, that are going to break within the next year -- next month, in a couple of instances, like Michigan, within, I hope, the next year. And we're actively tracking on all of those.
Thomas Allen
analystWe'll see. We're excited about it. So just moving on to the in-person part of your business a little bit more. Two of your major businesses especially in Las Vegas is the convention business or MICE business that made up about 20% of rooms in recent years and the entertainment business. I mean Lady Gaga and some other amazing shows go on. There is some concern that virtual meetings will cannibalize some level of travel in the future, concerns that maybe people won't want to go in places where people mass-congregate. Do you agree with those concerns? What's telling you otherwise if not?
William Hornbuckle
executiveNo, I don't. And look, I think -- I just don't. I think particularly when it comes -- well, 2 things. Mass gathering in any format, whether it's for entertainment or meetings, I would say this. I think it will take some time for small corporate, 25-, 50-person groups to come back. This mode is so easy, so convenient and, frankly, so inexpensive. We get that. And so we're going to try to tailor some programs around that. We set up some meeting labs at Park MGM, by way of example, that have just a boatload of technology that we're going to leverage into. But I think fundamentally, people's desire to want to network, spend time with people that they're selling a product -- if you think about CES or you think about any consumer show that sells products, you have to see the -- you have to be in front of the product. I think the nature of folks is to want to get together and interact. I mean this is interesting, but it's gotten a little long in the tooth. We opened 8 small shows this week. We had the ability to open shows to 250 people. Every one but one has sold out every night just because people still want -- and by the way, no disrespect to our shows, they're not our marquee shows. Let me say it that way. They're just not our marquee shows. But people want and need to be entertained in that context. It's fun. Do I think it will take us through '21 before we can get back to here's 18,000 people packed in a T-Mobile to see something? Maybe. But I think as we emerge, hopefully, through this thing over the summer and fall, we'll begin to see that activity. I think most relevant on the group space is what we've seen in the second half of the year. People are only canceling groups because they have to, because they realize they've run out of time. Meaning if you go to the second half of the year between the second, third and fourth quarter, we are net par -- the same amount of groups we've always had on the books. And in the fourth quarter, we're actually up. I think it was 11%, as I remember. So they're only canceling as we're pushing them, and they have to make a decision because the state -- in our example, in every example, the state won't allow it to happen yet. Time to tell ultimately then what happens when it's accessible. But fundamentally, long term, I think in both instances, I think we're going to be just fine. I just -- you've already begun to -- I mean look at football. You open up for 6,000 fans, they get it. Open up for 20,000 fans, they get it. Open up for 25,000 fans, they get -- it's just people will come.
Thomas Allen
analystYes. I often -- so we've done some corporate travel surveys that have found that corporate general managers expect to shift 20% of their future travel to virtual meetings. But I often highlight to investors, it's a little different for conferences. And sitting in the investment world, it's a little different, right? Like our meetings and our conferences are typically to do face-to-face, one-on-one meetings like we're doing right now, which you could replicate in virtual in a certain way. But the majority of conferences, like think CES or CON/AGG, people go there because they have a product, and they're a seller who wants to meet a buyer, and then there are middle people in between. And they're all coming together to basically sell things. And that's what it -- maybe we're selling ideas, but it's different from selling actual physical product.
William Hornbuckle
executiveThere is another new market that will emerge, and we've begun to see it. And we're part of this. We've got 2,000 people working from home. We're going to reconfigure some of our office environments and some of our meeting spaces. I think people will do this. Once a quarter, let's go meet somewhere. You can work from home, but I still need contact. I need to see you. I need to talk to you about culture and some other -- show you our new product, show you -- and I think Las Vegas can fill that gap in a very large way. And so while we may lose the -- I don't want to go anywhere travel, there's another side of the coin that says, "I've got people working from home. I need to gather them and bring them together. I've given up my office space for economic reasons, but I got to go somewhere." So again, long term, I'm not overly concerned. Obviously, we've got to get through the next year, 1.5 years.
Thomas Allen
analystSo Bill, just to finish it off, I think we have one more minute. When you think about your major markets of Vegas, U.S. regionals and Macau, when do you think they'll get back to kind of 2019 levels of revenue? At least qualitative comments around that would be helpful.
William Hornbuckle
executiveYes, qualitative you got. My guys are going -- look, Macau is hopefully a push now. Golden Week spurned it. We've seen now several weeks thereafter. We have days we make money. We have days we lose a little money. But on average, we're making money, not a lot, but we are making money. And I think it only grows from here. It will take time for all of the reasons I think you understand and know. But I am hopeful by this time next year that Macau is back to whatever the new norm is. There's other considerations around VIP business, et cetera. The regionals will continue to come back. We've seen -- you've probably heard Mass, there's a curfew. They're going to put one in Maryland in the next couple of days on grave. So I think we're going to see some ebbing and flowing in our -- all of our markets for the next couple of months. But with any luck, obviously, we all start to see a vaccine in March and April. And hopefully, by the back half of next year, we've begun to normalize. The normalization, that doesn't mean all our group business will be back. So as you know, here in Las Vegas, it will take us 6 or 9 months to get that re-ramped. So as we approach '22, hopefully, we're on a normalized environment. What the economy looks like, what people's mindset will be at the time, I don't have a crystal ball. I don't know, but I'm progressive and positive about it. I'll say that.
Thomas Allen
analystAll right. Well, Bill, thank you very much. Thank you for the rest of the team for helping out. And thank you, everyone for listening. This was super interesting.
William Hornbuckle
executiveThanks, Tom.
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