MIND Technology, Inc. ($MIND)
Earnings Call Transcript · April 16, 2026
Highlights from the call
In the fiscal fourth quarter of 2026, MIND Technology, Inc. reported revenues of $9.8 million, slightly below internal expectations, and a full-year revenue of $40.9 million, reflecting resilience amidst macroeconomic uncertainties. The company experienced a net loss of $271,000 for the quarter but achieved a net income of $750,000 for the fiscal year. Management signaled a cautious outlook for fiscal 2027, expecting revenue to decline compared to fiscal 2026, while maintaining optimism about long-term growth and cash flow positivity.
Main topics
- Revenue Performance: MIND reported fourth-quarter revenues of $9.8 million, which were flat sequentially and slightly lower than expectations due to order delivery delays. Management noted, 'We continue to find ways to generate resilient results.'
- Backlog and Order Trends: The backlog as of January 31, 2026, was approximately $13.9 million, up from $7.2 million a year prior. Management indicated that 'many customers are taking a wait-and-see approach to larger system orders.'
- Aftermarket Revenue Contribution: Aftermarket activities accounted for about 60% of total revenues in fiscal 2026, providing a stable revenue stream. Management emphasized, 'This component of our business has become increasingly important.'
- Future Guidance: Management expects fiscal 2027 results to be down compared to fiscal 2026, but remains optimistic about cash flow positivity. They stated, 'We believe this will still be a positive year for mine.'
- Market Conditions and Opportunities: Despite current uncertainties, management sees a long-term positive outlook for the marine technology industry. They noted, 'The long-term pipeline of opportunities continues to be very positive.'
Key metrics mentioned
- Quarterly Revenue: $9.8 million (vs internal expectations, flat sequentially)
- Full Year Revenue: $40.9 million (up from $40.0 million in fiscal 2025)
- Net Loss (Q4): $271,000 (compared to net income of $750,000 for fiscal 2026)
- Net Income (FY): $750,000 (after income tax expense of $2.2 million)
- Adjusted EBITDA (Q4): $1.1 million (compared to $1.5 million in Q3)
- Adjusted EBITDA (FY): $5.3 million (up from $4.9 million in fiscal 2025)
MIND Technology's performance in Q4 2026 reflects resilience in a challenging environment, but the cautious outlook for fiscal 2027 raises concerns. Investors should monitor order trends, geopolitical developments, and management's execution of their acquisition strategy as potential catalysts for future growth.
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
OperatorGreetings. Welcome to Mine Technology Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Zach Vaughan. Thank you, Zach. You may begin.
Zach Vaughan
AttendeesThank you, operator. Good morning, and welcome to the Mine Technology Fiscal 2026 Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. We appreciate all of you joining us today. With me are Rob Capps, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Mark Cox, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Before I turn the call over to Rob, I have a few items to cover. We would like to listen to a replay of today's call, it will be available for 90 days via webcast by going to the Investor Relations section of the company's website at mind-technology.com or via a recorded instant replay until April 23. We Information on how to access the replay was provided in yesterday's earnings release. Information reported on this call speaks only as of today, Thursday, April 16, 2026, and therefore, you are advised that any time-sensitive information may no longer be accurate as of the time of any replay listening or transcript reading. Before we begin, let me remind you that certain statements made by management during this call may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are based on management's current expectations and include known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which the company is unable to predict or control, that may cause the company's actual future results or performance to materially differ from any future results or performance expressed or implied by those statements. These risks and uncertainties include the risk factors disclosed by the company from time to time in its filings with the SEC, including in its annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended January 31, 2026. Furthermore, as we start this call, please also refer to the statement regarding forward-looking statements incorporated in our press release issued yesterday, and please note that the contents of our conference call this morning are covered by these statements. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Rob Capps.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesThanks, Zack, and thank you all for joining us today. Today, I'll touch on our results for the fourth quarter and the full year and discuss the current market environment. Mark will then provide a more detailed update on our financials, and I'll return to wrap things up for some remarks about our outlook. A lot has transpired since our last earnings call. As you all know, we're a global company. Our customers work all around the world. We have not experienced any material impact to our operations or prospects due to the current conflict in the Middle East. However, this is a situation that we are following closely. Overall, our performance in fiscal 2026 reflects our ability to deliver resilient results despite the evolving and highly turbulent macro environment. All things considered, I'm pleased to report another year of meaningful cash flow from operations and positive earnings and adjusted EBITDA. We are capitalizing on pockets of demand maintaining our consistent execution and benefiting from production efficiencies. There's been a good bit of uncertainty in the market for some time now. But our Seamap revenues remain elevated compared to historical levels, and were essentially flat in the fourth quarter compared with the third quarter. As we discussed last quarter, overall interest and engagement remains positive, but we've seen some customers defer new order commitments. Given commodity price volatility and the current set of geopolitical affairs. This is not uncommon in periods of broad economic uncertainty. However, as the past would indicate, we continue to view this as a short-term disruption, expect that customers will resume normal activities once conditions stabilize. Our long-term growth trajectory and operational momentum are still intact, and our large pipeline of opportunities supports our optimism for future -- for the future. Our backlog of firm orders as of January 31, 2026, was approximately $13.9 million compared to $7.2 million as of October 31, 2025, and and approximately $16.2 million as of January 31, 2025. As a reminder, during the fourth quarter, we received long anticipated orders totaling about $9.5 million. We were able to deliver roughly half of these orders during the fourth quarter and expect to make the remaining deliveries early in fiscal 2027. While backlog is only down slightly year-over-year. we are finding that many customers, regardless of industry or end use are taking a wait-and-see approach to larger system orders given the current climate. For the reasons I mentioned, this is not unexpected. However, there are signs of recovery and the long-term outlook for exploration and surface work is trending in the right direction. We believe this bodes well for additional orders in future periods as the geopolitical instability in the Middle East may well drive exploration activity in other parts of the world. We've yet to see any immediate impacts from the dramatic increase in oil prices but it's something our customers are monitoring closely, and has the potential to drive incremental activity. As a reminder, aside from the protracted customer decision-making process stating from macro uncertainty and geopolitical turmoil it' also not uncommon to see positives in order activity throughout the year in a normal environment. We continue to monitor various external factors that might impact our business but we maintain our belief that the long-term outlook in the marine exploration and survey industry is very positive and an uptick in activity is inevitable. Outside of our backlog, which is defined as orders for which we have a purchase order or a signed contract in hand. The pipeline of potential orders remain solid and at several times greater than our firm backlog. We are pursuing certain significant projects. Some of these opportunities involve new vessels for governmental organizations. These projects are often relatively large, $10 million more to us and require that successful bidders provide security bonds. You may have noted that we recently entered to a trade finance facility with HSBC. This facility provides flexibility to help pursue these more significant projects. We remain cautiously optimistic in our ability to convert opportunities into firm orders in coming periods. Our backlog and pipeline of potential orders consist primarily of our 3 main product lines. Like source controllers, buy length positioning systems, ceiling streamer sets. However, our backlog also contains some aftermarket orders. Together, these serve as the foundation for our business. As a whole, our Seamap business continues to enjoy a strong market position. We've worked hard to carve out a niche within the marine technology industry and have established strong relationships with our customers. We also pride ourselves in finding innovative ways to capture demand. Growing contributions from our aftermarket activities are also providing a stable and recurring revenue stream that is supporting our overall results. This component of our business has become increasingly important. This aftermarket activity consists of spare parts, repairs, service and other support activities. While this business is influenced to some degree by the general activity level within the industry, this were recurring in nature in order for new systems. Our customers might be slow to purchase new systems but their existing equipment will need maintenance to keep operating. This benefits mine. We've established ourselves as a company that do this kind of service and repair work quickly, efficiently and reliably. Additionally, expenditures for aftermarket activity are generally operating cost as opposed to capital expenditures. Therefore, customers allocate funds for these activities differently than they might for a new system. Contribution of this activity as a percentage of revenue fluctuates from quarter-to-quarter based on product mix and the timing of larger assistant deliveries. However, in fiscal 2026 aftermarket business accounted for about 60% of our total revenues. Margins for this business also tend to be better than larger system sales that might attract discounts. Their installed base of semi products continues to expand with it comes the prospect for increased aftermarket activity. Additionally, we continue to ramp up activity at our newly expanded Hetsville facility. The additional floor space at this facility enables us to efficiently take on larger manufacturing and product repair projects. This increased capacity will be used to further support our existing Seamap products, newly developed products and services to third parties. Now turning to our results. Baring technology product revenues for the fourth quarter and full year 2026 were $9.8 million and $40.9 million, respectively. Quarterly revenue was flat sequentially and slightly lower than our internal expectations due to the delivery of a few orders being pushed into fiscal 2027 but we continue to find ways to generate resilient results. I'm pleased with our ability to navigate uncertainty within the market, and we believe MIND remains well positioned to capitalize the opportunities in future periods to stimulate order flow and generate sustainable results. We have a differentiated approach best-in-class suite of products and a unique aftermarket business that will continue to give us a competitive advantage and support our financial results for years to come. Now I'll let Mark point you through our fourth quarter and full year financial results in a bit more detail.
Mark Cox
ExecutivesThanks, Rob, and good morning, everyone. Revenues from Marine Technology product sales totaled approximately $9.8 million for the quarter [indiscernible] full year revenue amounted to approximately $40.9 million. As Rob mentioned, this was up both sequentially and when compared to the same quarter a year ago. The sequential and year-over-year increases are due primarily to higher stock-based compensation. Our research and development expense for the fourth quarter was approximately $389,000, which was down both sequentially and compared to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025. Consistent with prior periods, these costs were largely directed toward the development enhancement of our streamer systems and source controller offerings. Operating income for the fourth quarter and full year 2026 was approximately $78,000 and $2.9 million, respectively. Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA was approximately $1.1 million and full year adjusted EBITDA was $5.3 million. Net loss for the fourth quarter was approximately $271,000 after income tax expense of $471,000. This resulted in net income for fiscal 2026 of approximately $750,000 after income tax expense of $2.2 million. Our income tax expense results primarily from our operations in Singapore. As of January 31, 2026, we had significant working capital of approximately $37 million including $19.1 million of cash on hand. The company continues to maintain a clean, debt-free balance sheet with a simplified capital structure. We believe our solid footing significant liquidity and operational flexibility will allow us to make moves in the coming quarters that will enhance stockholder value in future periods. I'll now pass it back over to Rob for some concluding comments.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesThanks, Mark. We're operating in a complicated market environment that has fostered uncertainty. In some ways, that uncertainty creates opportunity for us going forward. But for now, it has slowed customer decision-making and delayed order commitments for larger systems. Despite this temporary pause in order activity, the underlying fundamentals for the marine technology industry remain intact. The long-term pipeline of opportunities continues to be very positive. Our prospects are plentiful, and this presents compelling opportunities for mine to address demand, capitalize on new areas of focus within the market and deliver improved financial results. We remain very well positioned for the future, and I'm optimistic that any near-term softness will abate in coming months. We remain focused on controlling what we can. In recent years, we've strategically structured the company so that we are operating lean and efficiently. This allows us to be more responsive to changing market conditions. As a reminder, it really doesn't take much to move our needle in a positive direction. As 1 or 2 large orders materialize, we have a very different outlook. We continue to drive technological innovation and expand our capabilities to address new opportunities. We are also constantly evaluating ways to repurpose our existing technology for new applications. Given our current visibility, we expect our results for fiscal 2027 to be down when compared to fiscal 2026. Despite this view, we believe this will still be a positive year for mine, and we may grow in other ways that may not immediately present themselves in our financial results. We recognize, so it will be difficult to replicate the order volume that we've enjoyed over the past 2 years, given our recent customer discussions and a prevalent uncertainty. However, I believe we will be cash flow positive for the year even with lower revenue. We've built a better, more resilient business with a solid foundation and simplified capital structure that is equipped to weather periods of reduced order activity. We've also meaningfully grown our installed base over the last few years, which lends itself to our aftermarket activity and provides a substantial stream of recurring revenue. We will use our enhanced liquidity to position the business for improved financial results is activity across our end market returns. For the last year or so, you've heard me talk about the needs for mine to add scale. We recognize that we are a small company and this presents challenges. I firmly believe that we need to be bigger to realize our full potential and enhanced shareholder value. That being said, there are different ways we can achieve this growth. We can execute identified organic growth opportunities -- we can acquire assets or businesses that are similar to our existing business, we can combine with other organizations. These are all options that we are considering and actively pursuing. While we are motivated to add scale and we have ample liquidity to act quickly and efficiently should an opportunity arise, we will not jeopardize the immense progress that we've made on mind to chase an opportunity that does not fit with what we do. Our significant liquidity has broadened our opportunity set. However, we intend to be very disciplined in our approach to our capital allocation. When to expect a return with the cost of capital. That brings me to our capital allocation strategy. The goal of this strategy is to add accretive scale and expand our offerings in order to enhance our value to our shareholders. I've outlined the various levers for growth that we have at our disposal. These include mergers and acquisitions, investment in organic growth opportunities, such as the expansion of the existing product lines and strategic alliances with other industry partners. These levers are intended to be tools that we can use to create or enhance value. Filling on any of these or a combination thereof, as market conditions from it and the return on investment meets our threshold for value creation. Our view is that the marine technology industry is highly fragmented. This creates an opportunity for us to add products and services that fit mine's strategic capabilities and scale our business. We have a robust manufacturing footprint is capable of producing sophisticated, technologically diverse products. This makes mine a natural production partner or buyer for innovative technologies that can be sold alongside our existing suite products continue to evaluate a number of such opportunities. We believe we're unique for a small public company. We have positive earnings and cash flow. We have no debt and a simple streamlined capital structure and no material contingent liabilities and do we have liquidity. We think this positions us well to weather any storm and take advantage of the opportunities ahead of us. In closing, we remain committed to positioning mine for future success, taking steps to strengthen the company and have built a resilient platform with a solid foundation and a growing opportunity set. Our differentiated and market-leading suite of products gives us a competitive advantage as we partner with our customers to address various demand trends such as power generation, energy transition and subsea exploration. Going forward, we intend to use our liquidity to augment our business through additional investments with a focus on developing the next generation of marine technology products to meet the evolving needs of our customers. We also plan to be active participants in the industry consolidation, whether that be adding product lines or something more transformative. These efforts will help us realize that meaningful financial improvement as market conditions normalize, which we expect to drive enhanced stockholder value. With that, operator, I think we can open the call up for some questions.
Operator
Operator[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Ross Taylor with ARS Investment Partners.
Ken Dennard
AttendeesLittle concerned that I'm not following Tyson.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesI'm not sure we can do it this way. .
Ross Taylor
AnalystsYes. I don't know if he's behind me in the queue, and therefore, I don't want to ask a question question Talk to us about what you see where the financing is coming from for your customers? You said you've seen kind of a push off a delay what do you think is really driving this? We're seeing a lot more interest in subsea mining. We're obviously seeing with the Strayer moves is highlighting the need for being able to detect mines and other items under water and things like that. I've read somewhere the Chinese have aggressively mapped around Guam, around Taiwan, around the Philippines and the like, and I would assume the U.S. Navy probably needs to do something similar. Where is the capital coming from? Because you're seeing a pullback on your buyers and yes, it seems like the demand should be growing meaningfully given what's happening around the world right now.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesI think that's right, Ross, in that -- I think what our customers have been doing -- the people have been buying from us recently, they have certainly, the pause last year in the energy markets or the uncertainty in the energy markets had an impact. And therefore, they were -- there were some M&A activity in the market as well. So we built the company who's were consolidating and frankly, looking to conserve cash just from a fiscal conservative basis. in talking to them now, they're seeing improvements in activity. For a while, they saw, again, their customers weren't placing orders. They weren't entering new projects. They're just being more cautious some of the uncertainty in the wind markets caused some of that. That seems to be returning a bit especially outside of North America. So I think it was, again, a pause for them trying to be physically conservative and physically responsible, but they see that on a longer-term basis, there is that need. And that's the reason we think that as they see their pricing improve, they see their prospects improve, they're going to be coming back to us for the fixed and capacity. We see new entrants into the market some new vessels as we alluded to earlier, which is a bit unusual for these past few years. So again, I think longer term, it looks pretty darn positive. But if you go back to the energy side of it, ironically, the situation in the Middle East is probably a positive in that a lot of people think this is going to drive increased exploration activity outside of Middle eased, which is a positive for our customers and for us. As it goes into the military and maritime security side, that has less direct impact on us today. that I think that is also starting to expand the opportunities for our technology being used more and more for ocean bottom survey and not just for exploration activity. It's tough to say when this hits but I think if you look from a macro standpoint, it's got to turn around -- does it happen in 2 months or 6 months or 9 months. I don't know the answer to that for sure. I don't think anyone does. But I think everyone I talked to in the industry is pretty bullish long term but cautious in the near term.
Ross Taylor
AnalystsOkay. A couple of different things. Looking at -- you talked about generating having a year that's going to be somewhat under what you saw right now, last year, I assume that's assuming that you don't see any of the improvements in any of the things that are kind of prospects become backlog Correct. That's right. Is there you're talking about being able to generate free cash flow during the course of the year. Is -- am I correct in that assumption that you said you'd obviously be able to have EBITDA, but should we expect cash flow to be positive in the year?
Robert Capps
ExecutivesWe do expect that, yes.
Ross Taylor
AnalystsOkay. And with your acquisition or your strategy to enhance value it strikes me as 1 of the natural things is finding a division of a public company or something in an essence, almost them using the mined platform as a way to get public into to gain value out of it, an acquisition it would effectively be able to pay for itself given its economics. Is that the type of thing that 1 of the things I think we should be looking to see out of you guys as we look ahead? And then also comment on -- because you mentioned the -- it sounds like some of what you think about doing is building for others. And how much -- what are the economics when you build for someone else as opposed to for yourself?
Robert Capps
ExecutivesSure. Let me take those kind of reverse order. We don't want to be a contract manufacturer. Those margins aren't very good historically. But if we can partner with someone and have more of an impact in more input into the technology itself, so we're bringing more to the table, if you will. That's the sort of thing we're looking for from a partnership standpoint, where we can sell to our customer base, produce out of our facilities, things like that. also looking at can we acquire technology or product lines from someone, that might entail actually acquiring an entity a company, maybe a 1 or 2 product company or a Mintia acquiring just the technology from someone. So we're looking at all of those. But the key there from that standpoint is things that are close to what we do now that we can lever our existing capabilities and get those economies of scale and really drive the return on that. That's really important to us. We don't want to do something where we have to do a step out and replicate production facilities somewhere else. That's not the sort of thing we're looking for. The first point you raised, we are a, I think, a bit of a unicorn for small public companies. As I've said in my comments, we forecast positive. We have no debt. We have a pristine capital structure and balance sheet. That enables us to do some things and I think makes us an attractive vehicle to for some entities to monetize what they have. Maybe there's a venture capital firm who has an investment, they'd like to monetize, and this is a way they could do that. So I think there are some opportunities there. That's the sort of thing that we're looking to do.
Ross Taylor
AnalystsYes. And that would fit with how I would a big part of what I'd be thinking, an acquisition that, as I said, basically pays for itself and you allow an exit strategy, but also a way of that entity perhaps going public. Okay. Exactly. Yes. Obviously, at this stage, difficult outlook as we push ahead. Can you talk about -- you've talked about having a number of these very large prospects. Could you talk a little bit or give us what is for you a very large prospect and how long a lead time you need to fill it?
Robert Capps
ExecutivesCall it, $10 million plus is a large prospect. We've moved on several million, $6 million orders but $10 million is large for us. It's -- from receipt of order to delivery, call it, 16 to 24 weeks something like that. But frankly, the process is more -- when the bid is led until actually getting the award, that can be a longer cross time frame. So you can very well chase these things for a year, 1.5 years before you actually make delivery. I would not expect that we would win and deliver a project of that size in this fiscal year, possible but have to happen pretty quickly.
Ross Taylor
AnalystsOkay. So that is you could win it this year but it's -- given the other factors, it's unlikely that you would be able to fulfill it fully this year.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesRight. Not impossible but unlikely at this stage. .
Ross Taylor
AnalystsOkay. And at what price in the stock do you actually consider the company itself to be a worthy investment.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesI'm not going to touch that. That's something we think about -- and certainly, we said publicly -- if our stock is the best use of capital, that will be our use of capital. But I don't think I want to touch for that point not being.
Operator
OperatorRoss. Our next question is from Tyson Bauer with KC Capital.
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsI don't think the operator like I don't think the operator like me when I tried my Star 1. Interesting that you had talked about new vessels possibly for government entities that could be up to $10 million. Would that be more scientific or what portion of a government structure would that be geared toward. And that $10 million number seems rather large given that 40% of your overall revenues in fiscal '26, $16 million of that was system sales. One order could account for 60% of what you did the prior fiscal year.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesThat's right. So to answer your direct question, this is more scientific research type institutes that we're looking at. That's the type of vessel to talk of the entity that's involved, and there are multipurpose vessels do lots of different things. So we're delivering lots of different stuff beyond just standard streamer systems and gun-control systems for these things. But yes, you're exactly right. Those are large. And as I said in my comments, it doesn't take a lot to move our needle.
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsWere you hopeful that you may have something in place before this call .
Robert Capps
ExecutivesI'm always hopeful Tyson. I didn't expect it, though. I mean, these things do take some time. But again, they happen when they happen.
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsBut there's something in the hopper. You don't know the ultimate outcome, but there's something active right now that may or may not material.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesThere are more than 1 opportunities at here.
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsOkay. Just going to follow a little bit out of order here, but given Ross has got to go first. The deals or potential deals, how important is your tax loss forward asset in consideration as far as the payback of doing a deal or somebody with a related business being able to utilize that.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesYes. It really depends on the nature of the counterparty and the structure of the deal but it could be meaningful in that you could have a tax-neutral transaction fairly easily, I think. But look, as I think you'll appreciate that's a complex situation, which may or may not work out but that potentially could have a significant value.
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsOkay. Is the fact that you are U.S. domiciled a benefit in some of these assets that may want to have that location or that as opposed maybe a foreign entity that may want to enter the U.S. market.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesI'd think probably yes for a couple of reasons. One, you're seeing to the U.S. capital markets are available to us. So that's attractive to people as opposed to other capital markets. From an export or control standpoint, it's probably a positive overall. So I think it's a net positive for sure.
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsOkay. In the quarter of that $9.8 million, what percentage of that was part services repair versus a system delivery. Do you remember the top of your head?
Robert Capps
ExecutivesSo it would have been probably 55%, 60% aftermarket. We have a number in front of it in that ballpark.
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsSo you're trending around that $6 million, $6.5 million per quarter. Obviously, you can have some lumpiness of that recurring base revenue as we go forward.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesYes, we've seen for last year, last really 5 quarters, we've seen that trend really start to pick up. So I think that's right. Now of course, let me give the caveat. They can always switch a bit. I mean spares orders, they can be lumpy, too. So that can switch. But yes, that's definitely been trending up. And it makes sense, installed base has been going up.
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsOkay. And given the comments on the -- before the Q&A, it sounds like $4 million or $5 million may have got pushed into fiscal '21.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesYes, that's about right. They're half of that order, that large order we got in the fourth quarter did not get out the door. And we hope to want that we'd be able to just -- it didn't come in soon enough and lots of factors as to win the customer could pick it up and things like that. So we just not get it out the door.
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsSo the current backlog that you disclosed is that made up entirely of system orders.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesNot entirely. There's some aftermarket step in the table. Again, I don't have the breakdown in front of me, but it's a combination.
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsOkay. SG&A, obviously, we had stock comp of $714,000 in the quarter. You typically have some additional professional fees to start the year. There's a level of closer to 2 million going to be a good modeling number as we go forward?
Robert Capps
ExecutivesProbably ballpark, again, with some variations from quarter-to-quarter. I think the stock-based comp is going to continue for a while to start to trend off. I don't have those -- the trend off in front here right now but it will trend off over the coming quarters. We did have some unusual things last year, early in the year, which skewed the full year amounts, some tax analysis, some franchise tax adjustments, things like that, which won't be recurring. So I think if you factor out the stock-based comp, we will see things kind of stabilize and maybe trend down just a bit.
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsOkay. Order timing, typically, capital budgets are set at the end of years or calendar years. then are gradually released the following year, whether it's in the beginning of the year, spring or early summer. But you typically have an idea, your customers have an idea of the ultimate end customers' capital budgets. Are those -- is that what gives you cause of concern? Or is it that the capital budgets have been allocated or but they're not appropriated and you don't know if they'll get fully appropriated as we go through this fiscal year.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesWell, I think I would caution that the budgets are set in stone and then executed on. I think in this environment, you see things change during the course of the year. So I think capital budgets can go up or down. We certainly saw the win last year during the year. So I think they can go both directions. Also as we're dealing with some of these governmental agencies, they work on a different calendar than we do then a natural calendar year. So I would be cautious to be too much into that. Having said that, I think the general trend I'm seeing is a an uptick in inquiries and interest in additional equipment. What's uncertain to us right now, we're trying to emphasize is how quickly those opportunities materialize. Does it happen next month? Or is it 9 months down the road, Hard to say right now. So I think everyone is being cautious still. But I think they're making some preparations to maybe turn things loose it when things are a bit more certain.
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsOne thing I find interest when you talked about the possibility of new vessels is, given your competitive dominance in certain niches of the industry, new vessels require long lead times, dry dock space, those things, and if you're the only game in town for some of these technologies or systems for those vessels to procure, it's almost a function of when, not if for those orders. Am I framing that scenario correct that?
Robert Capps
ExecutivesTo a point, you are correct that there are certain aspects of the technology that are unique to us. So we're going to get that business almost certainly. There are other parts of those projects that we pursue that we do have some competition on. So those aren't a foregone conclusion. I think also, you have to understand, especially with the foreign entities, governmental agencies, there sometimes there are contractual requirements that we may not find palatable. So we may walk away from an opportunity because we just don't like the terms. They're too onerous. So that sort of thing can happen. So I mean, you're right in that to some degree, if the project happens, we're going to get it but not to the same magnitude of the $10 million order necessarily.
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsOkay. And you're able to work with the CCP or are you working with intermediaries that the ultimate end customer doesn't really impact where your product ultimately ends up.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesOkay. Ask that another way. I'm not sure I understand what you're saying.
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsDo you work directly with Chinese customers? Or do you have to work to...
Robert Capps
ExecutivesThere's some things we can't sell to the Chinese, and there are some things that have to be -- we have to limit the capabilities of what we sell to the Chinese other things, there are no limits at all. But yes, we deal directly with Chinese. .
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsOkay. And the last question, probably the most important question for shareholders is how do we keep 27 for becoming a loss year for shareholders -- now you may have expectations as of today of a lower fiscal 2017 compared to fiscal '20 -- or 26 on financials. But if you grow the backlog throughout the year or if you do other activities, that are favorable for shareholder value. Obviously, the investor community will look forward which would give us a return and a reason to basically weigh out this pause that you're seeing currently. Are you seeing that scenario where yes, we're not saying that fiscal 2017 is a lost year for our shareholders. We are, at this point, saying that financials look like they'll be down. But as we progress through the year, you're going to see that our value proposition is actually growing as we transverse throughout fiscal '27.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesTyson that is absolutely correct.
Tyson Bauer
AnalystsI said that in too much detail. You didn't have to provide any color.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesNo, exactly right. I mean we tried to allude to that in that -- there may be some things happen that just don't reflect themselves in the financials right away. But I think there are lots of opportunities for us to create value, and that's what we're all about. zlz
Operator
Operator[Operator Instructions] We have reached the end of our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to management for closing remarks.
Robert Capps
ExecutivesOkay. I'd like to thank everyone for joining us today and look forward to talking to you again at the end of our first quarter here in a few weeks. Thanks very much.
Operator
OperatorThank you. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect at this time, and thank you for your participation.
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