Mister Car Wash, Inc. (MCW) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 13, 2022
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Peter Keith
analystAll right, we will get started. Thanks, everyone, for coming. My name is Peter Keith, senior research analyst at Piper Sandler, cover hardlines and leisure-related companies. Thrilled actually for our inaugural Growth Frontiers Conference in Nashville. My first fireside chat. We have the Mister Car Wash team here. So joining us from Mister Car Wash, we have John Lai, CEO; and Jed Gold, CFO. So welcome, and thank you so much for coming.
John Lai
executiveGood morning. Thank you for having us.
Peter Keith
analystMay be less important to the audience here, but we did have a great tour at a local Mister Car Wash yesterday in the area. So thanks for hosting that. It's great to see the operation live.
Peter Keith
analystSo I sort of know the answer, but maybe for the audience, I thought it would be great, John, just to ask you, very fragmented, but there's a lot of car washes out there, what makes Mister Car Wash different, what makes Mister Car Wash special?
John Lai
executiveTerrific. Yes. Well, good morning, and welcome, everybody. Just had a curiosity, who in the audience went on the tour yesterday? I see a couple of faces. Okay. For those of you who didn't, you missed out on probably the highlight of the entire conference. All kidding aside, if I'm in your shoes, making a material investment in the business, I would highly encourage you to go, just kick the tires, but we say taste the burrito and actually feel the magic of each business that you're looking to invest in because what you would have seen yesterday was what we consider a beautiful business, but the business is clicking on all cylinders. We focus very mightily on quality, speed. Customer service has been kind of our calling card. And we do that across 410 locations in 21 states, and we're doing it at scale to the degree that no one in the industry has done before. And we've done that by building out our systems and our processes and procedures. But most importantly, it's our team and the team that we've developed to be able to execute across from coast to coast. So really proud of that. And so at the very core, our value proposition is very fundamental and basic, but we execute and deliver upon that value promise day in and day out.
Peter Keith
analystOkay. Great. And then obviously, there's a lot of concerns around the economy and inflation. What have you seen year-to-date? Do you have -- remind everyone you're about 2/3 subscription, 1/3 retail, how is the economic pressures, elevated gas prices impacted your business so far?
John Lai
executiveYes. So I think it's a curse to be categorized and put in a consumer discretionary category because there's this fear, this macro fear of consumer demand and what's going to happen to our particular service. What we have seen throughout this last 2 quarters is very resilient, very steady demand side for our service, and Jed can quote some of the numbers Q1, Q2, I think we performed beautifully throughout. And so we're on a really good track right now. At the very core, if I can just boil it down, everyone loves a car wash. Everyone loves to keep their car clean and in good times and in tougher times, cars will always get dirty and then they always need to get the dirt off of them. Our service is very affordable. You can get a car wash for $10. You can get a membership for $20. And with that membership, you can wash as often as you like every single day. So it offers tremendous value. It's a very accessible price point to all consumer segments. And the fact that we have this wide appeal across this huge car park in the United States, we feel very fortunate.
Jedidiah Gold
executiveAnd I think one of the things that makes the business unique is that subscription model, which helps insulate us to a certain extent against these economic downturns, some of the weather, the regional movement that you'll see that will have an impact on some other companies. So when you look at the Q2 comp, up 2.4% relative to our guide of 0% to 2%. So pleased with how overall the quarter performed. And that was on top of a very large lap, and over 90% comp that we're lapping. So coming over strong comps, comping positively. Overall, we're pleased with the performance of the business.
Peter Keith
analystOkay. We'll stick on the economy. There's inflationary pressures on the consumer then there's inflation pressures on your cost structure. Maybe Jed, could you address that with labor and some of the chemical costs and things like that, how has that impacted your company this year?
Jedidiah Gold
executiveYes. So when you look at the cost structure of the business, it's different than what you would see in retailer or a restaurant. If the cost of goods sold makes up a much smaller portion, the cost structure more resembles a consumer services company. So when you look at the largest investment that we make, it's on the people front. And so people and the direct labor makes up about 26% to 28%. It's about 26% to 28% of sales. And then we have some chemicals, chemical soap and then also some utilities. And we are seeing some inflationary pressure, particularly on those light items, but they make up a much smaller percentage of the overall expense. So we believe in investing and treating our people right, and a lot of the pressure that you see in the P&L right now. So you have the inflationary pressure, you've got a little bit of public company costs when you look at it year-over-year, where we're just crossing the anniversary being a publicly traded company, but then also the investments that we're making in future growth. So there's a lot of white space in front of us and so investing ahead of that to capitalize on what we see as a fragmented space and a lot of opportunities continue to grow.
John Lai
executiveOkay. Can I add to the investments on the people front? So what we have done, and really, it's one of the secrets behind the magic that we're creating at store level, is we treat labor not as a cost, but as an investment. And we believe, to Jed's point, in paying a fair wage and paying people top of market, offering them comprehensive benefits, training them and supporting them, and then treating them well culturally. But when you do all those things, what you have is a more productive workforce and you have a workforce that delivers an exceptional level of customer service. And so we believe there's a direct correlation between profitability and productivity and wages. And so when folks look at -- I famously asked one of our topnotch FP&A guys, can you measure productivity down to the individual level? He said that's really difficult to do, but we can see it in our stores when people are moving with a quick clip with a smile on their face and a bounce in their step, that's a powerful thing. And that's hard for all the quantitative folks in the audience to measure, which you can feel it, and our customers most importantly feel it, and they love it. So for us, every dollar that we invest in our team members, we think has a direct line to our bottom line, and we're happy with those investments.
Peter Keith
analystOkay. Maybe we'll expand on that for us analysts to do the numbers, John, you've cited eNPS as one way to measure your employee satisfaction. Maybe give a breakdown on how you view your eNPS versus others out there?
John Lai
executiveSure. So just as a level set, eNPS for those that either are skeptics or a little leery around how do you measure employee happiness? How do you measure levels of engagement? There's one measure out there that is employee Net Promoter Score, so Net Promoter Score on the consumer side is would you recommend this business to a friend or family member? The same simple question is asked of team members, would you recommend Mister Car Wash as a great place to work? And when we asked our team members, over 7,000 team members, their response was resounding, "Yes, this is a great place to work." We scored at 55. Costco is typically considered the gold standard in the mid-60s and that rates us kind of in this upper echelon of premier service providers. So there's data out there to support what we're doing and it kind of supports what we see every day.
Jedidiah Gold
executiveOkay. And the other data that you can look at to support this and write the return on the people investments that we're making is when you look at the turnover figures. So recently, we've been relatively flat. But when you look at turnover today relative to where we were in 2019, we've seen about a 30 percentage point increase in our turnover rate.
John Lai
executiveYes. Peter, I think the other thing, too, is we're a growth story, right? We're growing at a rapid clip. We're trying to scale this thing to even greater heights. The investments that we're making today for the future on in-human capital are material to our management and training program, our operations leadership development program, those are all front-end loaded to be able to support this accelerated growth. So one of the questions we get asked all the time is, why can you just [ turn ] them out quicker and grow at a faster clip? And so we've been growing at this kind of 50 store per year rate, and that's -- every year, we kind of push the envelope and say, how can we get there even quicker? The bulk of our growth has been historically through M&A, but more recently, we've pivoted and shifted our focus towards greenfields, which is much more attractive from an economic standpoint model for us in many, many levels. But in order for us to continue to grow and continue to expand, we have to have the team members ready. And for any of you that have ever built the business, staff the store, had to build the team and build a culture, you know that it's critical that you invest in leadership development, selecting the right people and then really supporting them.
Peter Keith
analystOkay. One question I just wanted to ask, we get a few questions on pricing. So it's a 2-part. You have taken some pricing, I think, right now...
John Lai
executiveAugust.
Peter Keith
analystYes, so maybe you can just kind of outline what the pricing changes were? And then how do you think your pricing compares to others across the country?
John Lai
executiveWell, I'll start and then Jed, you can support with some of the data. So we're whims when it comes to pricing. We -- I don't know if whims is a technical term, but I'll use it against ourselves. We believe that we're providing a premier service and that our service warrants a premier price. But we've been priced very competitively, in many cases, below par, below the median and within each of the markets that we're in. And there was kind of a strong growing course inside of organization for us to get to par given some of the cost pressures that you had just outlined previously. So gradually, it was like this dragging the whole team to making this decision to get to what is now, on the retail side, a $10 base car wash, which again gets us to where the rest of the market was. And so we were laggards to that regard. So we're right at market right now and $10 is a very accessible price point. And I think it's really important to note back to Unlimited Wash Club that Jed mentioned, we haven't taken a price increase on that program, which is 65% of our revenues since inception, which is over 15 years ago, which is kind of nuts, right? Why would you not take a price increase on the biggest revenue engine that you have? And the reason why is because we get in member growth mode and really trying to drive membership. There will be a point in time in this curve where we will need to take a price increase on our membership. But we're holding off on that until we need to.
Peter Keith
analystOkay.
Jedidiah Gold
executiveYes, as John said, so it was about 70% of our stores where we get the price increase, and it was just on the retail side of the business. And what we expect and what it will equate to is low single-digit impact to our total comp going forward.
Peter Keith
analystOkay. I want to talk about some of your initiatives in a moment, but I just want to talk also about the competitive landscape because that's kind of a concern that's growing because there's a lot of chatter out there around private equity money coming into the space and there's a lot of different car wash businesses that are now claiming they can grow to several hundred units. So maybe just kick-off, what happens, we know legacy Mister Car Wash and a competitor opens up maybe within a 0.5 mile, 1 mile radius of that?
John Lai
executiveYes, before I answer that question. So we were a privately held company. We can make a lot of bold claims. [indiscernible] same standard as we are as a publicly traded company. So any power points that you see are now more measured and definitely, the margins have kind of come in, in that spirit of underpromise and overdeliver. So I do roll my eyes a bit on some of the very ambitious plans that we hear from others because it's taken us 25 years to get to 410 stores. This is not an overnight success story. We grounded out, granted for the first 10-plus years of our existence. There was very much the learning curve and the fundamental building blocks and the mistakes that need to be made. But then we kind of went on this more accelerated ramp. But at the very core throughout that journey, what we learned is to focus on the fundamentals, which sounds very basic. But you can add store, you can build stores, but if you're not delivering an exceptional customer experience, focused again on quality, speed and customer service, over time your business will be impacted. And what we see with respect to some of the new institutional capital has come into the category trying to replicate our success, looking at this thing through the lens, how this is a highly fragmented industry, it's primarily mom-and-pop. This is right for consolidation or some roll-up. We say to them good luck because we also initially saw that as a potential opportunity. As we went forward, we realized that through an M&A lens, there may be businesses that are for sale, but they are not attractive assets or maybe this is better for sale that are not priced reasonably. And with respect to more demand, particularly from private equity that is all competing for the next great platform, there's been multiple expansion. And as a result, prices have gotten a little wonky, another technical term. And as we look at our M&A approach, we think we've been very disciplined, very focused on quality, and paying a fair price for those businesses, and we want to maintain that discipline. So we have not swung at every pitch. There's been a lot of marketed deals in the last 6 months that, quite frankly, haven't realized what the original vision was for the folks that we're selling. And I think that's because some of the smarter money now is realizing you can buy a bunch of EBITDA, but you need to now grow that EBITDA, and what do you have? Do you have a good management team in place, are those quality assets? And given our experience in looking at a lot of car washes over the years, not all of them are attractive. So that has really resulted in our pivoting to greenfield and the greenfield side of our business. We're almost myopically focused on right now, we'll continue to do bolt-on acquisitions, and look for strategic platforms that allow us to get into a new geographic region. But for us, the greenfield model is taking all of the learns over the last 25 years and baking that into this prototype that is just crushing it right now. We're over 70 stores up to wash, super high volumes and generate super high AUVs.
Jedidiah Gold
executiveOkay. I think -- I mean, the one thing I would add is so when you look at the investments that we're making to build on that, right, it's to further fortress and leverage the scale of the business and looking at how do we better communicate to the customer and build awareness to drive more frequency, particularly on those retail customers giving us more at bat. You've heard us talk about the digital experience and some of the improvements we're making with the mobile app and helping drive even better engagement with our EWC members. So looking at these different areas -- but doing that on top of continuing to execute, continue to do what has got us to where we are today, and then the layering on these different -- and we intentionally stay a little bit vague about this, just because there's so many folks from the competition that listen to these types of things. So we are always a little bit guarded, but there is quite a bit in the pipeline as we look ahead 1, 2, 3 years down the road and the focus on how do we differentiate ourselves even further from the car wash that it's going to open up down the road.
Peter Keith
analystOkay. Well, maybe we'll expand upon that a little bit and talk about marketing. I think John, you characterize marketing as a rounding error, I think, in the past for the business. You are now starting to do some testing and maybe make broader pushes in 2023. Maybe there's some -- you still want to hold back, but what can you share with us today on what you're working on and how the marketing efforts might evolve?
John Lai
executiveYes. So a quick walk through the part and our history of -- and it's really marketing, advertising and then I'm going to throw in discounting, promotional tactics and schemes. And so we come to this conversation with, I'd say, deep scar tissue and issues around what we originally started with was an industry that was riddled with a lot of discounting and a lot of coupons that really didn't move the needle. So we were very successful in winning the entire business off of some very inefficient promotional tactics in advertising to get to almost a zero-ad spend. We're very proud of that fact, right? So we shifted the conversation away from price, price, price and really focused on all the other things that we found are really important to our customers. That said, we may have swung perhaps a little too far. And looking at our retail business, which we do know is the pipeline and the funnel for our membership growth that we still need to do a better job of creating awareness and generating trial and getting folks in the door, but doing it in a smart way. So Jed alluded to our digital initiative, which we're still working on, and we're in the test right now. But we think that through that digital app, we're going to be able to drive not just customer acquisition and member acquisition, but increase our member engagement which is another piece of the equation. So you can bring somebody into the program. But the key is to keep them there for a long time and continue to have them utilize your service on an ongoing basis. So that's the vision. We're not going to get into specifics on tactics and some of the things we're doing inside of that because we don't need to tip our hand. But we're really, really excited about that initiative. And so we will be turning up the dial, but in a smart way. And I think, again, there's some -- there's tremendous value in the learns that we have gone through. So if others are coming into the space right now, and they have a vision of driving traffic through discounts, we wish them luck. And we, actually, are encouraging them to use price as the lever. We know that it's way more than price and price is one piece of the overall value prop.
Peter Keith
analystOkay. So another growth initiatives as we think about next year, you teased it out earlier, you have your subscription tiers. So you're looking at what we call ultra-premium. And then the second thing, and you just alluded to it on the conference call that you also have a new service package. John, you've used the word revolutionary...
John Lai
executiveGame changer.
Peter Keith
analystGame changer...
John Lai
executiveYes. Next-gen online extra services. So we have a long history of creating tremendous -- our term for online is not Internet-based, but it's on the line, on the track. So online extra services are the waxes and protections, protected services that you get as extra services in our packages. And we introduced HotShine, which is this Carnauba-based wax waterfall that engulfs the entire vehicle with a silicon-based emulsion that really makes your car pop. We introduced Wheel Polish. There's a very huge wheel culture in America, where not only do you need to get the break dust off of your rims, but you want to make those rims shine. And can you do that through automation and mechanization? And the answer is yes, we have done that. We are now in test and our R&D team has been working feverishly behind the scenes in our next-generation online wax and protection that we hope to roll out in 2023. And with that, while others are taking price increases and creating packages that you can question the value and the efficacy. For us, we want to have products with integrity and then products that have great show and great appeal. And then with that product introduction, we will be able to introduce perhaps a new premium package. And again, I want to stay on soft ground that will be coming in 2023, as we go through our test. And I think the beauty is when we look at our portfolio, today north of 410 -- 420 now?
Jedidiah Gold
executive400 -- just over 400, yes.
John Lai
executiveOkay. That we roll this out on a region-by-region basis. So it's not going to be a January 1 rollout because there's a lot of work that goes into readjusting the configuration of our stores to be able to support the sector service. But when I say revolutionary, you might say, this is just CEO hype that he's talking a big game. You have to see it to believe it and your jaws will drop. It truly is a wow experience.
Peter Keith
analystOkay. Great. So that's interesting. So you've talked about another subscription tier. And so I guess this kind of go hand in hand with new service offering that will be embedded into this new premium subscription tier?
John Lai
executiveYes. And I had a guy years ago, put his arm around me and this is like 30 years ago and said, "Hey, if you're going to take a price increase on the product, give the customer something more, just don't take a price increase." So it's a very simple novel concept, but making the customers excited about what they're receiving is really important to us.
Peter Keith
analystOkay. Great. Let's see, one other big initiative is you were fairly acquisitive right at the end of 2021 if Clean Streak is the big one Downtower or kind of bunch everything together into the Florida market. It seems like there's a little bit of SG&A pressure near-term because you've bumped up wages. But let's just talk about an update on how that integration is going and then progress as you look out to 2023 and to drive average unit volumes.
John Lai
executiveYes. So again, I'm going to be very blunt and direct with this audience. Any monkey can buy a business, it's what you do with the business after you buy it. And so for us, post-acquisition integration is not for the faint of heart, there's a ton of work. And there's the obvious stuff, right? So implementing the technology, training the staff, getting the culture right, refacing the building, getting the point-of-sale systems all in place. All that sounds very basic, but that takes time. And in order to do that, you have to, in many cases, take 1 step back and take 2 steps forward. I know it sounds cliche, but it's true. So with a long time horizon around really connecting all the dots and creating a halo, a unified singular company, for us it's almost a year-long venture. So with Clean Streak at the 9-month-mark-ish, we're still in the swamp digging it out right now and taking the business to where it needs to be. So while others buy and perhaps put up a new sign and take a price increase, for us, that's the last step in the multistep journey of improving the business. And we're doing that again when you look at the Clean Streak and our Florida footprint, and by the way we're very bullish on Florida. We think Florida has just got a huge kind of growth dynamic around it, which is why we elected to pull the trigger on that deal to double our footprint in a market that's already very strong. I think it's our second largest state today behind Texas and close to third, I think, is California. So there's a huge growth dynamic. It really strengthened our position in Central Florida, Tampa, St. Pete. And then with the Downtower deal that you mentioned and Clean Streak, we moved very aggressively into Cape Coral and Fort Myers. And if you move further to the east, the Melbourne and Daytona market is also an area of great interest to us.
Peter Keith
analystOkay. Great. Well, we look forward to hearing more about that. It sounds exciting. Well, that does it for time. So thanks so much for spending some time.
John Lai
executiveNo Q&A? No -- I guess we have no time.
Peter Keith
analystIt's my first fireside chat in this format. I'm still learning myself.
John Lai
executiveNo, no, no. Great. Thanks for having us. Appreciate it. Okay. Thank you.
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