MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 9, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Stephen Volkmann
analystAll right. It looks like we're going here. Welcome, everybody, to Session 2 for the Jefferies Industrials Conference. I'm Steve Volkmann, industrials analyst at Jefferies. We're going to be doing a bit of a fireside chat here today with MSC Industrial and very pleased to welcome Martin Maisach Ryan Mills, who is VP of IR, will keep us all in line here. We're going to do sort of a fireside chat format here if anybody wants to get involved, certainly happy to share the weight, I'll come up for air a couple of times and queue you guys. But if you don't, I'll keep going and we'll have an interesting conversation. So Martina, welcome. Thanks for coming.
Martina McIsaac
executiveThank you. Thanks for having us.
Stephen Volkmann
analystGreat. So you've been at MSC now, I think, around 4 years or coming up on 4 years -- you've been the CEO since January. And since you took over in January, you've been working on some sales force restructuring, and we've seen margins expand so far so good, it seems. Maybe you can talk about sort of your big picture, sort of what your goals are, how you're trying to manage the business and where you think it can go? .
Martina McIsaac
executiveSure. Thank you. Well, thanks for having us, Steve. So yes, I've been at MSC for just about 4 years. I was able to start as the COO and really get under the covers of the company and then did a year as President. And we were able to lay the groundwork for a turnaround that we're really -- we're in the middle of executing. We're very happy with our progress. We intend to return the company to mid-teens operating margin framework. We're in the early innings of the game, but we've made a lot of progress so far? I mean our sales force restructuring is what we talked about the most this year.
Stephen Volkmann
analystThat's my next question. .
Martina McIsaac
executiveYes. We've -- but we've also -- we've completely revamped our pricing structure -- we have invested a lot in network optimization, so managing our -- the balance of freight versus footprint, optimizing within the 4 walls of our distribution centers. And there's a lot of early wins to be seen in our numbers already. If you look at what's happening with fuel cost, we've been able to offset most of that because of what we've done already in our network -- on the network side of things. So whether it's contracts or AI-driven planning and inventory placement, we have built a lot of fundamentals in the first 3 years that I was at the company and now we look to accelerate organic growth with the sales restructuring.
Stephen Volkmann
analystSo just in case people aren't in the weeds here, the goal is mid-teens EBIT margin Today, we're around 10%. So that's a pretty good hill decline...
Martina McIsaac
executiveYes. We ended last year at 8.4 -- so it's a climb...
Stephen Volkmann
analystWhat are the tools that get you there? .
Martina McIsaac
executiveTo get us to the mid-teens I mean, there's a couple of things. I'll dive kind of right into the gut. So the first thing that we did was we aggressively benchmarked our cost structure against our competitors. Now -- there's no perfect proxy competitor to MSC and industrial distribution. So we looked across the competitive set to kind of hold ourselves accountable to what we think best in class is. And we identified that our cost structure to give you kind of a representation at the same sales level, we're about 1,000 heads heavy to deliver the same sales results as our competitors. So that gave us sort of the north star of where we want to go. So certainly, tackling that, and we have a road map to do that to basically looked at ways to take out manual work, to change work, to automate processes, to introduce AI, and we're on the road map to do that. And then the other side of the equation is, of course, to accelerate organic growth. So we have looked hard at our sales structure, which customers we cover, how we cover them with what resources, and we feel we've now designed a structure that covers the right potential. And now we look at kind of putting in place the sales discipline, sales execution to get us there.
Stephen Volkmann
analystSo the 1,000 heads comes up a lot. I'm sure it's a nice round number. What is that? Remind me as sort of a percentage of total MSC? .
Martina McIsaac
executiveNo, we're about 7,000 .
Stephen Volkmann
analystAll right. So you're looking at a reasonable chunk of folks. And is it a situation where you think you can operate without these folks? Or is it more you want to grow into that type of cost structure? .
Martina McIsaac
executiveIt's an excellent question. So the metric that we've given you to watch is the trailing 12-month revenue divided by total headcount. Because, obviously, there is a numerator and a denominator in this game and growth will help us. But we actually intend to attack the cost structure and take those heads out. Now -- just for clarity, over the last year, we took about 400 people out of our field-facing team. So we -- we eliminated some redundancies, some overlapping teams, some duplication. That's not included in the 1,000. This is an additional 1,000 that is primarily in the back office and our warehouses right now. So how do we do without them? We change the way we work. So we're looking at increasing the level of automation in our supply chain and in our back office and leveraging some AI as well.
Stephen Volkmann
analystOkay. So if my math is right, which is always a big question, that probably, if you can do that gets you 20 to 250 basis points, so maybe halfway to your 15% goal? Do you want to -- correct me before I go to the next part of the question. .
Martina McIsaac
executiveThat's probably fair. Yes, you want to...
Ryan Mills
executiveI'd say directionally, that's right, but there's also some fixed cost leverage to be had to on the top line. So we also have margin benefit from us attacking our cost structure and reducing heads, but also as we grow too because there's a lot of fixed cost in the business to leverage.
Stephen Volkmann
analystOkay. Yes, you don't have to go easy on me here. It's okay. I can take it, if I'm wrong. But -- so the other half of the gain then is more about what you're talking about, Ryan, the sort of fixed cost leverage. Is there anything else that we should focus on in terms of opportunities there? .
Ryan Mills
executiveI think 1 of the best ways to look at it is we gave the incremental margin framework, mid-single-digit growth, incrementals should be at or close to 20%, high single, low double digit. The incremental should look upper 20s or potentially a little bit better than 30%. That's the baseline. So as you model out the out years, that as we attack our cost structure and take heads out, that will be additional or incremental to that incremental margin framework, if you will. .
Stephen Volkmann
analystOkay. Good. And for some reason, distribution investors seem to obsess about gross margins. So talk about how the gross margin sort of reacts to this whole process. .
Martina McIsaac
executiveSo we have starting in '23 and ending in '24, we revamped our whole pricing structure. And we have now, I believe, put in place a very logical competitive and reliable pricing system. So we're producing pretty stable and predictable gross margins right now. We have not yet started to use gross margin as an offensive weapon to grow volume, which is the next step for us. So we are not really looking to expand gross margin anymore. We'd like it to be stable in that 40% to 41% range. So that's what you can count on what you're modeling. .
Stephen Volkmann
analystOkay. Great. So you talked about pricing, so let's dive into that a little bit. I mean, pricing has been pretty good this year. We've had this backdrop of tungsten being sort of crazy, just lay the groundwork for what you're seeing in terms of pricing and what the outlook is? .
Martina McIsaac
executiveOkay. So for -- just some a little bit of background, if you don't know our business well. So cutting tools represent about 15% of our total revenue. And so the tungsten carbide affects cutting tool production and the inflation there has been extreme like in the neighborhood of 500%. So there's been a lot of price activity on the metalworking side of our business. And of course, the rest of our business impacted by geopolitical events. So there has been inflation but tungsten is -- has been the biggest driver. And it's not our whole business, but it's a chunk of business, and it's not behind us. So we're still hearing from suppliers based on their own control of their own supply chains and their access to -- so tungsten is an input to carbide, which is an input to cutting tools. And based on their own supply chains, they're still taking and seeing inflation that they'll pass through.
Stephen Volkmann
analystAnd it's been significant. I think you had 7.5 points of price and 50 bps of volume, right? And -- was that the second quarter Or second quarter.
Martina McIsaac
executiveThird quarter. Third, yes, sorry. Third quarter, yes. the calendar second quarter.
Stephen Volkmann
analystExactly, yes. So the fact that we're seeing sort of 50 basis points of volume, do you think there's any demand destruction from all this price that's being pushed through? .
Martina McIsaac
executiveNo, there's -- if you think about the metalworking business, it is complicated to change the way you make a part to change the way that part is designed to change the inputs to it. So it's relatively inelastic, the demand there. It's also a relatively small part of a customer's inputs, right? So even though the cost is going up in an extreme way, it's not a big piece of their cost structure. So, so far, we haven't seen we're still seeing units growth on the metalworking side. We are going to look at redesigning their applications and MSE has all of the resources to support that. So so far, not a big issue from customers. It's hard for them to switch when they do switch they stay within the MSC house.
Stephen Volkmann
analystDo you get a gross margin tailwind, albeit perhaps temporary with the sort of inflationary conditions?
Martina McIsaac
executiveWe have been price/cost positive on metal working for the year. We try to maintain rate when we pass through inflation. We've been successful doing that. We also have tremendous scale in the market. I mean, I think we're the biggest metalworking player. So we've also been able to use our cash to pre-buy some product. We have great cooperation with our suppliers to navigate this.
Stephen Volkmann
analystOkay. And you said that it wasn't over yet, but I believe tungsten prices have kind of flattened out a bit. .
Martina McIsaac
executiveThey have stabilized, but the ripples through the supply chain aren't over yet. So some suppliers, for example, depending on where they source their tongues in powder and how much they had on hand. -- the cadence of their increases is all different. So every supplier is behaving a little differently, but there's still a way to come. I think we said in the third quarter, we expected late our late fourth quarter, early first quarter, there would be another price increase.
Stephen Volkmann
analystOkay. All right. Good. So let's talk about the other 85% or so of customers. The -- just give us sort of the lay of the land? What are you seeing in terms of demand? You guys have a lot of various verticals that you serve?
Martina McIsaac
executiveYes. I mean we have been positively encouraged by the way the landscape looks right now. If you look at the sub-IP indexes of most of our end-use markets, they're positive, some barely positive, but after a long sort of trough, we're starting to see indications. We look for things like sales through individual vending machines or sales through in-plant programs. Why we were so confident that we were not losing share in the downturn that our business has gone through is that our people are on site in our customers every day. And so drop in demand was more a drop in their production. And now we're starting to see the throughput increase on those machines and in those programs, which means that our customers' actual demand is picking up. So we're most excited. Aerospace has been strong for this whole period, but we're most excited. We're starting to see machinery and equipment get turn positive Automotive. We had some early signals heavy truck. So we're optimistic.
Stephen Volkmann
analystAnything lagging that we should know about? .
Ryan Mills
executiveAnything line. No. It just feels like broad-based improvement.
Stephen Volkmann
analystAnd since we're talking at that thread, and we're on a webcast, any update you might want to provide relative to the current quarter? .
Ryan Mills
executiveNo.
Stephen Volkmann
analystNo, that's good. That's a good answer, too. The last one, it was funny. I was -- I don't know if any of you guys were in this, but I did the whole thing and at the end, he joe.Can I just say the third quarter is looking good. So -- all right. I guess I should have asked...
Martina McIsaac
executiveClosed at the end of August, so we'll report at the end of October.
Stephen Volkmann
analystPerfect. We'll be ready. Let's talk about capital allocation and sort of your plans for that going forward? .
Martina McIsaac
executiveCan I first tell you how excited I am that we have. We announced it yesterday. So we have been looking for a new CFO to join our team since last August. We've been extremely picky -- and so we announced yesterday, Rob Koons, who was the CFO of TopBuild. -- will join us next Monday. So very, very excited about that. And if you look into Rob's history at TopBuild, really, really excellent and strategic management of his balance sheet and the way he supported aggressive growth, both organic and inorganic during that time, I think a 16% CAGR while he was with TopBuild. So obviously, we'll let him take a fresh look at our capital allocation priorities. But right now, what I would say is the best opportunity that we have is still organic reinvestment in the business. So continuing to drive the supply chain improvements, this automation that we're doing and to go after our turnaround objectives. And then obviously, we support continued growth in the dividend and buyback of share-based comp. But besides that, I'll wait and let Rob tell you when he's on board.
Stephen Volkmann
analystWe look forward to having him next year maybe. So fine, we can leave that. Let's talk a little bit then about some of the technology stuff that you guys are working on because it feels like technology and perhaps AI, maybe there's an overlap there in terms of your path to getting your cost structure where you want it to be. Talk about some of what's happening there? .
Martina McIsaac
executiveYes. One of the things during the past year that we've done is we completely revamped our leadership team. So in the past 12 months, we have a new SVP of Sales. We have a new SVP of Customer Experience. We built a whole customer experience ecosystem. We have a new General Counsel. Now we have a new CFO. We also have a new CIO, who has been assessing over the past quarters what the strategy is around our tech stack. So we are lucky, I think, that we have a lot of legacy technology. So we have a real opportunity to leap ahead there. And so we gave John Righilto, his name, our COO. We gave him this time to kind of do an assessment, and we'll be sharing more in the coming months of where we're going with that. But clearly, AI is an opportunity. And I do think we're 1 of the fortunate that can we don't have a lot of an anchor, we can leap forward into new possibilities. So automation in our warehouses is ongoing. We have fully automated our picking operations in half of our network. We still have more to do there. So all across the business, there's opportunity for that.
Stephen Volkmann
analystIs your fulfillment footprint sort of what you think it should be today? .
Martina McIsaac
executiveI think we certainly have capacity. We can double our revenue without needing to add any capacity. And we -- another ad who's been here about 1.5 years on my team. We have an outstanding SVP of Operations, who comes to us from Amazon and Walmart, and he continues to build internal capacity, bring new processes. The wear of our network, I think, will be something that we'll look at as we go forward, and it will certainly be something that we take into consideration before we invest, but capacity is not driving a change in network.
Stephen Volkmann
analystOkay. Interesting. Are there -- is it your dream to expand more in other geographies? .
Martina McIsaac
executiveYes I have a lot of dreams, though.
Stephen Volkmann
analystAre all those geographies in North America. .
Martina McIsaac
executiveRight now, our focus is North America. We have a highly fragmented environment in North America. We have a unique role to play in the distribution market because of the strength that we have in metalworking and right now, that's our focus.
Stephen Volkmann
analystOkay. Do you think it makes more sense to focus more on metal working and sort of do what you do best and be the player there? Or do you want to be more diversified overall? .
Martina McIsaac
executiveIt's an interesting question. So 1 of the reasons that we looked hard at our sales structure is the fact that we actually have businesses that touch almost every part of a customer's operation. So we have metalworking. We have an equal size business that is what we call MRO. So obviously, MRO is our whole category, but then you're thinking about things like safety and janitorial and power tools and that kind of thing. We have a C parts business. So think fuses, fittings, fasteners, hydraulics, and then we have an OEM production fastener business. These have been run relatively separately up until now. So when we did our sales force redesign, the goal was to say, how do we leverage the whole portfolio across the whole sales force. And we're already seeing a lot of fast growth there. That's where I think our fastest organic growth will come in the next -- in the coming months. So the benefit to that is -- it lets us play everywhere in the plant. And when you are trusted to be a metalworking partner, metalworking is usually the break on throughput through a plant. So when you're trusted to be the metalworking partner, doesn't take too much to be the paper towel partner, right, or the maintenance crop partner because we are trusted at the heart of a customer's technical operations. So do we lead with metalworking? Yes. Do we want to sell the full portfolio Yes. And so now we compensate our sellers on selling that full portfolio that's new since last December. -- but we've been growing 18%, 20% in OEM fasteners as a result. So I expect you'll see us talking more about the rest of the business.
Stephen Volkmann
analystOkay. And on the metalworking side, -- what do you think your market share is roughly? .
Martina McIsaac
executiveWe still have lots of room to go -- it's highly fragmented, yes.
Stephen Volkmann
analystSo why do people pick you instead of somebody else because there are some other distributors out there? .
Martina McIsaac
executiveYes. I mean, I'll give you my opinion. We've been doing this for over 8 decades. And we have a reputation for not only technical competence, but what I call technical integrity. So we respect very much the choices that customers have to make in their metalworking production. We are brand agnostic. We have the technical capability to optimize production and to make the right recommendation. So we are not tied to any 1 brand. And so a customer sense that, and they understand that we're really there to be a productivity partner. We returned $500 million of documented productivity to our metalworking customers last year. So our sellers and our technical team have the goal to optimize applications for customers, and we actually track that. So it's part of their performance metrics and customers have to sign off on the recognized profit that we drive. So I think that's unique.
Stephen Volkmann
analystInteresting. Okay. let's say, working capital. It's interesting. I get questions from investors about how distributors can manage that more tightly. But at the same time, your whole kind of goal in life is fulfillment, right? And In for being .-- exactly, right? . So how do you strike the balance with that? Is there an opportunity? .
Martina McIsaac
executiveThere is. I mean, I think if you look at the last 18 months, we've made a significant reduction in our inventory. One of the first changes that we made in our supply chain optimization was to bring AI into our planning process. So we do sell 2.5 million SKUs. It's a complex business to manage. And inventory is our weapon. And especially in metalworking, we are very proud of the fact that we have what customers need, and we can get it to them next day. But that doesn't mean that there can't be optimization in terms of the way we plan and what we stock -- and so we're going to -- we're continuing to focus on that, and that's a big area where AI is supporting us. I think there's also, obviously, on the DSO side, This is, again, a complex business, and it's the 20% of our customers' world, so it doesn't always get their attention. So I think again, bringing order there to the chaos, we should have an opportunity to improve.
Stephen Volkmann
analystOkay. There's been a lot of sort of discussion around 80/20 optimization in distribution. I don't know if you would characterize yourselves as doing that or not. But would you expect to have more SKUs or fewer SKUs in 5 years? .
Martina McIsaac
executiveWhat we call recognizing inventory is about the right assortment. So in distribution, you don't necessarily grow because you add SKUs, you grow because you add categories. But within a category, you need to have the right assortment and not too big in assortment. And so we've been working with our supply community for about 1.5 years to kind of define what is the strategic assortment. And so that would actually narrow the SKU count instead of increasing it inflating it.
Stephen Volkmann
analystOkay. Interesting. So maybe a growth question and then I'll see if there's anything here in the audience. But you talked, I think, about a February event where you have like a $500 million sort of funnel of opportunity. And I think you converted maybe 10% of that as of the last quarter. Talk about that process and how that drives some growth. .
Martina McIsaac
executiveSo in distribution, you hear a lot of times that we're a short-cycle business. So the word pipeline doesn't come up very much. Like if I were making airline turbines, you would have this long backlog and you would know what your pipeline is. And historically, I think people shy away from that in something like distribution, I completely disagree with that. I think if you think about 1 of our customers, yes, we don't know when they're going to need something, but we've better know that they're going to come to us when they do need it. And so white space management becomes critical to our strategy, and that's new for -- so what we did in February was we had basically a supplier conference, not a typical supplier conference, which is like a trade show where you walk around and pick up swag, but actually more like what you're going to do today. We analyze together with suppliers white space. So to give you a reference, what's white space, if you're buying metalworking tools for me, but you're not buying PPE there's -- that's white space, right? You need PPE to run your machines, why aren't you buying it for me. So we were able to map that with our core suppliers. and linked to individual customers and then every seller got a list of opportunities that they had to work with the suppliers. Then we rolled that up to a pipeline. Like you said, it's about $500 million. of vetted opportunities that the supplier signed off that they were going to support us and our sellers signed off that the opportunity was real. And now we're just working that pipeline. So we'll give you an update on it in October. But after the first quarter, we had closed about 10% of it. This is -- these are new muscles for MSC. But to me, that's how you I know I've told you this before, but I have an expression. You had to get wet when it rains or you make it rain, right? So we want to get wet when it rains. We want to cover the right customers and be there, but the real growth will come from bringing some of these techniques into our business so that we can actually drive the result.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd's Martin, I think the supplier console is a key enabler for that. So maybe if you wanted to give some us...
Martina McIsaac
executiveYes. So obviously, suppliers are a critical stakeholder for us, and we have a very active flyer council that works with us. And together, what we're talking about is what does industrial distribution look like in the future right? How do we professionalize it together? What processes do we want to bring it's things like how do we more effectively commercialize their innovation? Or how do we jointly work together to capture more share. And so they've been really, really instrumental and they helped us plan that event.
Stephen Volkmann
analystGreat. Let's take a second. Anybody in the audience would like to ask a question. . Right maybe not.
Martina McIsaac
executiveit's too early for industrial distribution.
Stephen Volkmann
analystI think that the process -- we're going to go back to kind of the head count reductions and the cost reductions. And I think the process has changed out some sellers, and I think you've noticed a little bit of friction in some of your past couple of quarter calls around people seeing new faces and things like that. Are we done with that process yet? Is that going to continue? How would you characterize that?
Martina McIsaac
executiveYes. So let me take a step back and kind of talk about what we were trying to achieve with our sales force optimization. So MSC has a very large presence in this feet in the street presence, and we intend to keep that. We are committed to a human direct sales force. You need to be standing beside a machine to help an operator optimize it. So we want to do that. But we had legacy structures, overlapping structures, overlapping compensation systems redundancy. And in some cases, we were straight up covering the wrong customers. So customers that were no longer sort of core to our strategy. So over the course of 2025, we implemented a new territory planning model, very data-driven, again, help of to kind of define for us what the structure should look like. And so we did that and we -- that's not in our 1,000 heads. That was before that. But we -- in 3 chunks, we took out about 100 sellers. And what we basically landed on is a model where we have a geographically designed organization where you have a seller and a service person covering a customer. Prior to that, it was possible that you could have 3 or 4 or 5 MSC people calling into the same MSC account, which just led to handoffs and a poor customer experience. And so now you have 1 unified compensation plan and this very clear team assignment. So when we made the final set of changes, we did expect to have attrition in our sales force. It feels very different to sell for MSC now than it did a year ago, and it will feel different a year from now. So we have -- we put telematics on our vehicles. We have a new sales management process. We're asking you to build and manage a pipeline. We're coaching to that. So it's a different environment. And we knew that some people would opt out. We didn't know -- we didn't expect it to be as immediate. And that's what I shared in our Q2 call -- we actually had 90 more people than we expected to leave the company. The overall attrition is less than our total anticipated attrition, but it happened in a more compressed time frame. So we felt the brunt of that in our second quarter because if you're not physically there covering customers, then we lose sales. And so we were able to fill all that vacancy. The team is in place now. And so there was some face change then we couldn't control. We had tried to minimize face change to customers. That's always important in a change like this, but having the 90 people leave kind of on an unplanned basis, imposed some face change on us that we weren't ready for. So now we're building that back up. And I think the culture, we have a fantastic sales leader. Her name is Ji Danai, -- the culture is positive. People are back to growth. They're very excited. People want to win. So we're there now.
Stephen Volkmann
analystOkay. One last chance. Good. One in the back. There's a mic that I think.
Unknown Analyst
analystThanks. If we go back -- sorry, like 10 minutes to the tungsten pricing, -- is that pretty quick for you guys to pass through or roll back? And like what happens if tungsten rolls over for you guys? Like do you hang on to that price for a little bit or no?
Ryan Mills
executiveSo let me answer that in 2 ways. The suppliers, obviously, will have to work through their own supply chain, and we try to anchor our pricing to movements that tie to their published list prices, right? I would give -- if you'd ask me about I would have given you the same answer. Until they move their list price, we don't typically move -- and so we would have to see their reaction time. And like I said, I think that is still in an inflationary mode. On our side, we run an average costing system. So it takes time for higher cost inventories to work through the P&L. And then consequently, any change in lower cost inventory would take some time to work through the P&L. But primarily, it's the trigger of supplier signaling to the market.
Stephen Volkmann
analystBut if it did roll over, you would eventually pass that back year.
Martina McIsaac
executiveYes, absolutely.
Stephen Volkmann
analystWhat about -- the only cost you didn't mention in that short statement was transportation and freight how are you handling that?
Martina McIsaac
executiveIn terms of the current fuel costs .
Stephen Volkmann
analystYes, and there's inflation that you're in. .
Martina McIsaac
executiveYes.. So right now, we're very happy with our transportation performance because -- not that we foresaw this, -- but like I said, we've made so many changes to our supply chain, again, whether it's better contracts better placement, understanding where customers are getting product closer to them, reducing airfreight, the whole bunch of initiatives in our network optimization. And that's offsetting for right now. And again, we move with published freight pricing.
Stephen Volkmann
analystAll right. Good. Well, with that, unless there's any [Technical Difficulties - Please refer to the preliminary transcript that will be posted shortly.]
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