NeoGenomics, Inc. (NEO) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 10, 2023
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Derik De Bruin
analystGood morning, everyone. Welcome to Bank of America's 2023 Global Healthcare Conference coming live from Wynn Encore Hotel here in Las Vegas. I'm Derik De Bruin, you guys know me, and along my colleague, Mike Briskin, we cover the life sciences and diagnostics tools space. And our next company up is NeoGenomics. And with us today is CEO, Chris Smith; and Jeff?
Jeffrey Sherman
executiveSherman.
Christopher Smith
executiveBefore a user here, thank you. Good to meet all of you. [indiscernible], sitting in the back.
Derik De Bruin
analystMy apologies, definitely I have a mental breakdown there for a minute, but thanks for being here. Thanks for coming in and doing this. You just reported Q1 results on Monday, -- good quarter. Stock responded nicely, good rebound in the business. Do you want to recap that? Or do you want to jump right in the certain Q&A?
Christopher Smith
executiveLook, I think whatever works best for you. But look, I think it was a great quarter. A lot of the initiatives that we started to put in place in Q3 we saw pay some dividends in Q4, and then that continued into Q1, and we did a really great job.
Jeffrey Sherman
executiveYes. I think we had strong clinical volume growth of over 7%. We had strong revenue per test growth of over 8%, 17% overall revenue growth. We saw a very strong flow-through on the bottom line. We converted over 60% of the revenue beat on the adjusted EBITDA line year-over-year. So I'd say we thought it was a very solid start, a strong start to the year and positions us well for the remainder year.
Derik De Bruin
analystGreat. So Chris, let's start. You -- since our conference last year, NEO has had a really big transformation. It's completed a leadership transition, [indiscernible] organization, you launched with new products. Can we sort of talk about what were some of the main issues you found since you joined?
Christopher Smith
executiveSo to be fair, I wasn't at your conference last year.
Derik De Bruin
analystI know you weren't. But I mean the transition was I think you've been announced.
Christopher Smith
executiveWas announced in the summer and started in August.
Derik De Bruin
analystOkay. So but anyhow.
Christopher Smith
executiveMaybe around that time.
Derik De Bruin
analystSo -- but anyway, since the last year, the company has had a massive change because doing this one last year to your predecessors that were here were stumbling, shall you say when they were having it. I mean so the business has gone through a lot, and you've had really good strong results in the first quarter. I guess the question is like what were some of the issues that you saw and what's fixed? And I guess is -- how much more work needs to be done in the business?
Christopher Smith
executiveYes. So look, thanks for that. I would say a lot of transformation. One of the things that we really like when you looked at the business, it did have a great franchise. And if you think about cancer and the ability to do cancer testing, that market, depending on the data you see is anywhere from 6% to 8% in volume and 8% to 10-plus percent in revenue. So coming in a good franchise. It was really in an underserved and growing market and so there was no reason why the business probably shouldn't perform given especially our franchise with pathologists. And for those that don't know the business, NEO and business over 20 years had really always been a pathology or hospital-based business. And I would say there are many reasons why they've gone south, but one of them was the business had started shifting to being more of oncology driven, especially with next-gen NGS technology. And I would say, candidly, the biggest issue is people and culture. And I think when you go into a transformation, it has to start with people and culture. And so we spent a lot of time starting in August around the culture and also the people. So we changed out almost the entire leadership team and a lot of reasons why. But some is that what got you here is not going to necessarily get you there. And I think the business had been built to probably $250 million, and we were at $500 million. We really want to be on our way to $1 billion. So I think, brought in a relatively new leadership group, and we focused a lot of time on our teammates. A lot of people that come to work at NEO are there because of the mission, and we really focused and set up, for example, in the old days you could find the share price everywhere in the company. And today, you can't find it anywhere. But what you can find is the ticker talking about the number of patients that we help per day. And you -- I think sometimes companies lose focus on why people want to be a part of it. I think the second thing was, I mean, I would say it was a company yearning to be led, yearning the high levels of transparency and communication. So we became very transparent with our teammates. We have about 2,200 teammates. And the last one was we lost this will to win. And I think the company was playing not to lose instead of playing to win culturally. And so we set forth really focusing on 4 key strategic pillars and underneath those pillars that what we've talked about publicly is kind of our growth drivers, which is really around we had to get back to driving the base business, making it profitable, and that was really around commercialization and operating efficiencies. We had to accelerate advanced diagnostics, which meant we had to plan the NGS in the MRD market. And the last one, the fourth one is people, but the one we talked about publicly in our earnings was we had to create value for our shareholders, for our teammates, for our patients. So I would say all of those created path -- really work streams that we started to work on. And I think the nice thing about this business it's very different from other businesses in diagnostics where you put an analyzer in the basement of the hospital, and there's a 5-year contract. Here, there's not, right? So you can move business pretty quickly. So if you start to get things right, improve turnaround time, improve service, bringing in strategy around pricing. There's a lot of things you can start to do to move the business. And so look, we still think it's early days. We'd say we're probably only in the second inning. But I think the building blocks now are being put in place for that long-term sustainable growth, and that's what we keep talking about. It's not about a one-hit wonder. It's how do you consistently build a business for the next 20 years, not the next 20 days. I can have a long answer.
Jeffrey Sherman
executiveYes. And I would had to just cut -- just from my lens, I've been with the company about 5 months. One is a sense of urgency to get things done; number two is accountability; and number three, really a rigorous disciplined focus on execution as well. I think there are things that have really been enhanced over the last 6 to 9 months.
Derik De Bruin
analystGreat. Well, one of the questions I was going to ask is that given your prior gig at Ortho, which was a completely different diagnostic business than this is.
Christopher Smith
executiveIt was.
Derik De Bruin
analystSo -- but -- and I want to go into the competition things because you have -- I think when we were having these conversations last year and we have been doing some work on the private markets. I mean you were losing some share in this market, right?
Christopher Smith
executiveYes.
Derik De Bruin
analystAnd so I think one of the questions we've gotten asked about the company is like how do you sort of compare to Quest and LabCorp or also in terms of Caris and Tempus for the other 2 ones that come up with it, like what were these companies offering that NEO wasn't? And can you tip that around what do you offer the competition doesn't?
Christopher Smith
executiveWell, I think very different businesses, and we really don't want to be either of those, and I'll kind of talk about the reason why. I think what happened as far as losing market share. One of the interesting things is we really weren't losing accounts. We were losing modalities in accounts, in particular, NGS. We had a weak solid tumor offering. And I think some of the specialty companies, whether it's Caris, Tempus, Foundation, Guardant. I think we're doing a very good job calling on the oncologist where a lot of this cancer market was starting to move, and we were still in the pathologist and our service levels had dropped. So I think we lost market share. I think if you look at the LabCorp and the Quest, those are businesses that are slower growth, but make money and very broad away. And we're kind of in between the 2. Like our goal -- we do -- we offer about 5 to 600 especially oncology tests, so significantly more tests than the Caris, than the Tempus but not the 20,000 or whatever LabCorp. Quest would be like cholesterol and triglycerides. So we're very focused on that niche. And we believe in this world that we can grow 8% to 10% and that we can drive double-digit profitability. And I think that's a lot different Caris's and the Tempus's of the world. That strategy has been to build to burn hundreds of millions of dollars. I think if you look at the LabCorp, it's been very profit but slow growth. We believe we can kind of be in between the 2 and be a high-growth or growth business in that 8% to 10%, but make double digits. And so I think that's kind of where we have focused. We definitely did lose market share. I'd probably say more to the specialty than we did the LabCorp and the Quest. But it mainly was because we were very pathology focused. And when the industry pivoted, we didn't pivot. And that's what's happened really now over the last -- one of our initiatives was to build an oncology sales force. So I think one of the things I love about our business compared to our competitors is that we have 2 very different sales forces because the call points and the selling cycle is completely different with an oncologist that's not in a hospital, than a pathologist who's in a hospital, which has contracting and purchasing. And that's much more of a kind of a gatherer business where this is more of an under business. So now what we've done is we're building a sales force into both. They share a number, they share the same regional manager. So they work together, but it's very different kind of call points.
Derik De Bruin
analystGot it. And how -- can you talk about some of the revamps you've done on sort of like some of the new products you launched in genomics. What exactly have you transformed? What you upgrade? And sort of like, once again, how are they differentiated amongst what the other competitors are?
Christopher Smith
executiveYes. So if you look at NGS, which has kind of been -- which is kind of the sexy high-growth area of the market, probably growing 15% to 20%, depending on where you look. We had always been the market share leader in heme and we're actually still are the market share leader in heme. But on solid tumor, which is where a lot of the industry was moving, we did not have a competitive offering. And so I think that allowed also our competitors to start to move share. So in March, we launched NEO Comprehensive, which is a competitive solid tumor, kind of a similar number of genes, 10-day turnaround time. I would say that we did some wraparound services that are pretty unique. You have to remember, this business of the service business. So a lot of times, not a lot of differentiation in the tests. So you have to differentiate on service. And so I would say that it's a competitive product. We did not leapfrog competition with this test. Our view was to get a test to the market that was competitive, which we've done. I think a lot of our innovation will come out in '24. We've talked about kind of our next-gen NGS product, which we do believe will leapfrog. But for this product, it was just more for us to be competitive and really go back to customers that want to do business with us, but we didn't have the turnaround time of the offering. And so hopefully, we'll be able to move back some share.
Derik De Bruin
analystI mean, it doesn't sound like there's much differentiation at the customer level in terms of what the panels are offering from all these different vendors?
Christopher Smith
executiveLook, again, I didn't grow up in the industry. So my view may be different than some companies. But when you really look at it, a patient has cancer, needs to be able to get a broad panel and I think companies -- everybody offers a pretty competitive product now. I would say the other one is really MRD. And as you know, we acquired Inivata with RaDaR. We do believe the industry is in a eventually going to be a $20 billion market. We -- I would say that our sensitivity of our test is significant compared to other players in the market, but that's early days for us, too. We just started to roll that product out.
Derik De Bruin
analystYes. That's right. I was going to go next. I just want to finish one thing on. And your overall, which you would consider your genomics portfolio, NGS portfolio, how much of that is the overall?
Christopher Smith
executiveYes. So a lot of people ask that we've never disclosed kind of what percent of the revenue is. But what we have said is if the market is growing 15% on low and 20% on the high, we need to grow faster than 20%. And so we said, for example, in the first quarter, we grew significantly faster than 20%. And -- and I think as long as we keep growing faster than where the market is, that means we're moving share and growing our business. And so we feel pretty good about that.
Derik De Bruin
analystGot it. And I did want to go on to the MRD, I mean we picked up coverage of NEO right when they were raising cash to do the Inivata deal. So I mean that's sort of how we came into it. And I think at the time, there was a lot of hype in the market and a lot of sort of like aggressive expectations on things. I think one of the things we sort of noticed in looking at the space is, it often takes longer and costs more money than people participated to sort of like bring these products out. So how much are you spending on that product, right? And I guess it goes to the questions like the company was sort of borderline profitable when they did the deal, then it wasn't.
Christopher Smith
executiveBeen very unprofitable.
Derik De Bruin
analystWe've been very unprofitable. But now you fixed a lot of the issues that are there. So just trying -- so it's a question like if we were to back that out, what would be -- what the...
Christopher Smith
executiveYes. So think about it this way. When we bought that business, they're burning $40 million to $50 million cash. I think they did a lot of things well, especially around R&D. As a matter of fact, we've now turned Cambridge into our R&D center, which is really where that product from a technology perspective was created. I'd say they were doing that well. But the challenge was when the acquisition happened, we didn't integrate back office. And if you even go back to -- we did 4 acquisitions in 5 years without a lot of integration. So one thing that we did very rapidly is what I would call all the back-office functions. We integrated it. We went out and disclosed that we had taken $25 million of annualized costs out of the business in the first quarter. Now that number has actually gotten larger because we're finding synergies -- so -- and Jeff can talk more about the profitability, but we've been pretty clear that we'll be profitable by the fourth quarter with Inivata, right? So I think that there were a lot of clinical data that we had done early on that all starting to come out. ASCO will have a lot of presentations on that technology. If you look at the CHIRP data that came out of Harbor, it really talked about the difference in breast, where if you think about our technology, it's really made ideally for very sensitive cancers where it's hard to pick up cancer cells. And so things like colorectal where you have high shedding rates is probably not is because that's -- everything can pick that up. But these places were head and neck, lung, breast, we think that's where it'll be different. And I would say the other great thing about when you talk about the cash burn, I think some of our competitors in front of us have built this MRD market. They've given away hundreds of thousands of tests. That's not our strategy. We're not going to do that. I think that we'll definitely be able to run head-to-head comparisons with clinicians, whether you take [indiscernible] you run your own thing, but we're able -- we think it's good to be a fast follower in this business versus spending hundreds of millions of dollars to burn cash and build -- so we're coming in behind it.
Derik De Bruin
analystSo -- but -- and look, I mean, definitely, the data would suggest that you and many other the companies that are coming on are certainly more sensitive than what's currently the market leader out there, given how that was built -- do they have some sort of like inherent market, basically, is the fact that they've got coverage and they've got this -- are those barriers that prevent them from sort of getting swapped out for technology?
Christopher Smith
executiveLook, I think -- so a couple of things. So first of all, I do think they've done a nice job, especially with clinical trials, and I would say getting coverage. At the end of the day, this is a pretty nonsticky business. No one's signing long-term contracts. What we found pretty quickly is we have relationships in the market as well, and I think people want to try our test. So I would say just because you ran a test with another company for a year, if you can find a better mousetrap doesn't mean that you're not going to move. So I think it's going to come down to relationships, our rep relationships and the outcomes that you get for patients. And I think our customers are driven by outcomes for patients. And so I don't know that just because they were first means that they -- or because they got reimbursement first. I think what you'll start to see, look, we're already working, for example, on third-party payers. We probably have more contracts because of our 600 other tests in the markets with the United and the Blue Cross. So we already have relationships there. And so our ability to -- we believe to get private payer coverage will be good. Obviously, getting MoIDX and Medicare reimbursement will be key. But we think eventually, this market will -- look, if it's a $20 billion market, there's really room for all of us to go, I think, help grow market and treat patients.
Derik De Bruin
analystGot it. And the -- are there going to be -- you mentioned doing some head-to-head studies, is there anything that's going to be published because I think one of the questions that we get a lot from investors is like, my test the most sensitive. No, my test is the most sensitive, my test is most sensitive, right? I think there's just a lot of questions about how do you sort of do this. I mean every day, because I had Quest just bought Haystack, right? I did my fall conversation, they were like, well, no, our test is going to be the most sensitive on the market. We're going to be...
Christopher Smith
executiveSo I think the really data shows a sense like on the Quest thing, I think that's good for the market that they bought them, but that's a pre-revenue company. Look, just I can tell you from learning with Inivata, it's a long way to go to get that product to commercialize the product. But look, I think we'll see on the sensitivity. I think there is some published data. It's pretty easy to take samples from 5 patients and run the exact same test on those 5 patients and see there is some published data that shows that, for example, the [ word ] 10 times is more sensitive than the leading market player. But look, we'll see as the market grows.
Derik De Bruin
analystAnd how do we think about what you're doing in terms of your biopharma relationships? Can you talk a little bit about some of your partnerships there?
Christopher Smith
executiveYes. So you mean -- look, I'd say the whole pharma business. So we are in the pharma business. I would say a lot of people asked when I first started, you going to sell that business? We're not. And the reason being is we believe it's the tip of the spear. So if you think about new technology, and I'll just use RaDaR or MRD product, for example, it starts in pharma well before it gets to community oncologists or pathologists. And so one of the things we like is it helps fund R&D because they want those tests early on while they're starting to run drug trials. So I think, first of all, we like that market and that business because it helps us build products that are going to eventually end up on our other side of the business. I would say that business also was a business that was incredibly challenged when we came in. We had, I think, well over 700 projects and half of those projects were losing money or less than $10,000. So we've cut those projects. We're not just doing projects for the sake of doing projects. We stopped reporting on bookings because we didn't think bookings was a metric. And we don't pay the sales force anymore. We used to pay our sales force on bookings. So guess what, you pay a sales force on bookings, they're going to book sales.
Derik De Bruin
analystThey're going to book sales.
Christopher Smith
executiveBut guess what, 5 years from now, $5 million on an open PO isn't going to come to fruition. So I think we changed that. And I think you've seen the results. We grew 40% in Q4, we grew 20% in Q1. I think the leader that's come into that business has brought a ton of discipline. And...
Jeffrey Sherman
executiveAnd that also includes our informatics business, which we really think is going to be a future growth driver for us as well, just with the amount of data that we have based upon our historical test volume. And I think as you look at our margin profile, the ability to generate operating leverage at the adjusted gross profit both in the clinical and in our Advanced Diagnostics business, incremental revenue, we're going to generate leverage on. So it is going to be part of our improved path to profitability. And when we drive that revenue growth from the pharma side of the business, that will drive profitability as well.
Derik De Bruin
analystSo can we talk a little bit more about the Informatics business? I was never quite clear what that goal was in the past. And it's like what sort of data you're collecting? Are you selling it to aggregators like rest of the world then, if you're not, then what are your customers doing with information? Can we just talk a little bit about because you hear this from a -- every company seems to have some sort of data planning clear -- it's not clear to me how they all sort of fit together?
Christopher Smith
executiveSo to be fair, so we used to sell through aggregators, we don't any more. We sell directly to pharma. Look, we think that -- so it is primarily pharma, and it is the ability -- I think for us, the great thing is we have so many data points because -- to give you an example, in March alone, we ran well over 100,000 tests, right? So if you think about the number of data points at all those test grades, especially something like an NGS test that's giving you up to 500 to 1,000 data points. And so pharma companies find that, that data is incredibly valuable, especially in the early days when they're looking at developing drug trials and clinical trials. So one of the reasons we push those 2 together under advanced diagnostics, so it's pharma and informatics is that those teams can work together to be able to identify that. So one is it's about our data that we have today and our ability to sell it. But I think a lot of it for us in the future is going to be around artificial intelligence and how can you help from a decision support perspective, but also help identify drug trials for existing patients. So we may test on a patient. We then have the ability to -- through the Trapelo acquisition, which is really around decision support through data to be able to identify drug trials and match patients. So I think there's definitely stuff you can do there. It's still early days for us as a company. We do keep it in the pharma business. It's high growth. It's incredibly profitable north of probably what, 90% profitability. But it's still really early days. It's still a small business for us.
Derik De Bruin
analystYes. And I guess in your Pharma Services business, I mean, have you seen any sort of headwinds in terms of project reprioritization? I have to ask the [indiscernible] small biotech question. Just anything you're going on, any signs of just any changes in the end market?
Christopher Smith
executiveYes. So that comes up a lot. And I think to be fair, a lot of our business is moving towards RaDaR and NGS, and that business really has not slowed down. I think what slowed down is more what I would say, the standard modalities. We still offer those, but I would say that those are less profitable projects, and that's probably, if anything, has been impacted. But as you can see from our results, it really hasn't impacted our business. We're focused primarily on probably at the top 30 pharma. It doesn't mean we don't work with early-stage biotech companies, especially with RaDaR. But I think the top 30 this year will spend $150 billion in R&D. So it's still a pretty lucrative business.
Derik De Bruin
analystAnd -- also speaking of sort of like concerns and I mean cancer doesn't care about recession and macroeconomics. I would assume your business has historically not been something that sort of like fluctuates up and down when people are worried about like that because you have -- I mean you need it, right? So not a lot of macro sensitivity.
Christopher Smith
executiveYes, I would agree with that. Yes.
Derik De Bruin
analystOkay. What about inflation and hiring costs and I mean are you able?
Christopher Smith
executiveWell, that's very real, right? I mean I think at the end of the day, the supply chain, I think everybody knows what the world went through its supply chain to costs going up. I think without question, I would say even lab teammates, for example, during COVID, a lot of labs are paying higher rates, they hire lab techs into their labs to run COVID test. Now fortunately, that started to move away. But look, I think one of the things we historically had not done is use strategic pricing as a lever, and we really be fair, we hadn't even raised prices in 5 or 6 years. And so I think, look, there is a way that you can pass along some of those costs. And so we feel pretty confident in our ability to manage through pricing. And the other thing is continually driving operating efficiencies to improve gross margin every half is kind of what our internal goal is, and we believe we'll do that. I think we talked about Investor Day a 100 points every half on improved...
Jeffrey Sherman
executiveI think I mean revenue cycle is another area where we see opportunities to drive pricing strength as well. We are just getting paid more for the work we're doing and just managed care contracting, a more rigorous disciplined approach there to make sure we're getting increases that help offset some of that inflation pressure that all companies in the space are facing.
Christopher Smith
executiveAnd you probably saw this quarter was the eighth quarter in a row where our AUP or average revenue per test increased over the quarter prior. So we believe there's a lot of runway to keep driving up.
Derik De Bruin
analystYes. And so that was sort of my next question. I mean I think it was up pretty significantly and how much more can you push it? And...
Jeffrey Sherman
executiveWell, we said that there's 3 main drivers. One is just the increase in the higher intensity type of NGS testing. So I think as we continue to see growth there, we'll see that revenue per test go up. Second was revenue cycle improvements. We think we have a pretty long runway there over a multi-quarter, multiyear to continue to get better there. And then the third is pricing, where we just hadn't been as disciplined in our approach to getting price increases. So I think all 3 of those were having an impact, a pretty strong growth year-over-year. So I wouldn't extrapolate one quarter and say it's going to continue on that trajectory. But as you look year-over-year, quarter-over-quarter, we continue to expect to see progress there.
Derik De Bruin
analystGot it. Any questions from the audience? No. Then -- so I've got one more I want to hit on before I want to talk about some of the long-term targets. But what are you doing in terms of -- this goes in the cost saving and automation. What are you doing in terms of digital pathology?
Christopher Smith
executiveYes. So we're doing a lot of movement around the digital pathology. One of the things that I like about our business is we have a lot of dry labs in lower-cost areas where we could hire technician so because we've networked that group, I think in digital pathology, we have the ability to, I think, probably be a game changer in that area. The other thing I will say, Inivata was great on automation. They had, I think, a fully automated lab that was very state-of-the-art. We've -- we started some of that in our corporate headquarters when we opened that new lab, but we're a little bit behind on automation. So we think there's a lot of runway to drive operating efficiencies and automate. One thing is we're just starting to break ground on a new large lab in Houston, Texas, and that will start and be built for automation from the get-go. A little bit easier that way than going into existing labs. So I think there's a lot of runway there that can help us with margins.
Derik De Bruin
analystYes. We were in Quest's new lab in New Jersey, and we were in one of the LabCorp's overlaps. You look at the LabCorp, it's like, yes, you can't do this. It's impossible to sort of go back and backward engineer it. So you had your Analyst Day, you put out a long-term guide for base sales, which include pharma RaDaR, but clinical -- excludes clinical RaDaR, something in the 7% to 9% CAGR between '22 and '27, right?
Christopher Smith
executiveThat's correct.
Derik De Bruin
analystThat certainly looks a lot more realistic than what your predecessors were sort of talking about in there. So how do we think about the clinical RaDaR piece, right? I mean that's -- mean I can make up all for numbers, but -- and you don't want numbers to get way out here because you said, I'm always a little bit skeptical of just how long this takes. I mean it's one thing we've learned. So -- so this seems like -- it seems feasible. You're clear above that this quarter. So just help us sort of think about the longer term and what needs to happen to get 7%. What's the 7%, what's a 9%? And then what's the 9-plus?
Christopher Smith
executiveDo you want to take that?
Jeffrey Sherman
executiveYes. So I'll start. So I think the 7% to 9%, clearly, we've talked about at Investor Day, we're in the early phases of enhancing our sales team and adding sales. So we've added more oncology reps. We're working on sales optimization. So I think that's going to be a driver on the volume side of that as we go forward. And I think as you think about the RaDaR aspect, we had a lot of discussions about it, but what the reality was depending on when you get certain reimbursement approvals or MoIDX approvals, the starting point is hard to find. So I think if you look at what you think the market is, if it's a $20 billion market, we think we have a very competitive product, and we think we'll get our fair share of that market over time. And so I think we tried to lay out the 5-year model and say, we think we can do the core business 7%, 9%. We think we can get back to the company's historically adjusted EBITDA margins by '26, we can return the company to positive adjusted EBITDA in '24. We can return the company in a positive cash flow generation in '25. So it's kind of that incremental approach of building the core business, working to get MoIDX approval, working at commercial reimbursement coverage for RaDaR. And then RaDaR will be incremental. And I think we will -- as we get more clarity on that over time, we'll look to revise that, but we just didn't want to get out in front of ourselves. And put a number out there that was going to be hard to validate and hard to get confidence in. But we do think from a clinical efficacy perspective, our test is been very sensitive and performed very well. So we think it's going to do well. I think the timing of that and how that rolls out, we'll -- we just need a little more time to get more clarity on it.
Christopher Smith
executiveYes. And I think when you think about the multiple disease cancer states that you'll go after MoIDX. And I think we went around and around. And I think what we felt is that our investors need confidence. I think our style, and we've been pretty public about this, is to under promise and overdeliver. And I think we felt pretty confident that we can put out 7% to 9%. I think when you got into RaDaR -- so first of all, no revenue this year, '24 is a building year, you really don't start to see, I would say good revenue until we get into '25. And I think our view was we kind of almost look at it like in my old world with COVID, right? We didn't put COVID in guidance because I think COVID -- I think MRD is so early on that there a lot of things will happen over the next 12 to 24 months that will give more clarity to the industry. But we didn't feel like Jeff said, that we should go out with a number until we have a better understanding. We felt that our investors wanted confidence that you're going to hit a number. And that's been -- that was kind of our reason.
Jeffrey Sherman
executiveAnd that RaDaR ultimately represent an upside to that number.
Christopher Smith
executiveYes, big upside to it, big market.
Derik De Bruin
analystSo when you think about it, I mean, something that comes up and certainly when we have the Quest and LabCorp conversations, PAMA and sort of like the regulatory environment. The genomics market has not had as much headwind from that because there has not been -- pricing has been better. But now you have a lot of people offering panels, a lot of people offering, we'll be offering MRD. How do you sort of think about the whole regulatory framework?
Christopher Smith
executiveWell, there's 2 things there. One is I think pricing. And look, I think at the end of the day, look, I've been in this not cancer business, but healthcare, whether it's medical device or diagnostics for almost 40 years and reimbursement is an issue every year, right? And I think you have to manage it as a strategy of a company. But look, I think at the end of the day, we feel very confident that we'll be able to manage any of those. I think the bigger one in lab developed tests is FDA. And I think look, we are beginning to pivot and become much more of an FDA type run business than a lab-developed test business. And I think that's where you'll see the biggest change is are -- can you run under FDA guidelines because I think that's -- look, I think it's bad for this industry, but I think the reality of life is there's a lot of discussion that FDA wants to get in.
Derik De Bruin
analystThey're going to do something.
Christopher Smith
executiveYes, govern this industry. So I think that's probably where we probably spend more of our time trying to figure things out and the dollar here or there.
Derik De Bruin
analystAnd standard closing question from me, which is what's underappreciated about NEO?
Christopher Smith
executiveLook, I think the sector is trading at pretty low multiples. And I think you think about cancer is not going away. But as I say now, 50% of all Americans will eventually get cancer. I think that market is -- it's an underserved growing market. So I think do you appreciate the market. And I think do you appreciate a player that really has a niche, right? That offers the large number of tests, but high levels of service. The LabCorp and Quest, it's hard to do. and it's hard to get to 600 tests. And look, we think the industry will eventually consolidate, and we think that we will be a player of doing that. So I think that's probably underappreciated.
Derik De Bruin
analystAnd with that, we're out of time. All right. Thank you, gentlemen. Thanks, everybody.
Christopher Smith
executiveAnd by the way, I guess everybody here was getting great because we started with 2, but we grew to more people. So thanks for joining us today.
Jeffrey Sherman
executiveThanks.
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