NRC Group ASA (NRC) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

August 19, 2021

Oslo Bors NO Industrials earnings 28 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Hello, and welcome to the NRC Group Second Quarter and First Half 2021 Results Question-and-Answer Session. [Operator Instructions] I will now hand the conference over to Lene Engebretsen, Head of Communications in NRC Group. Please go ahead.

Lene Engebretsen

executive
#2

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. By now you will have received a copy of the earnings and investor supplement for the company's second-quarter and half year results. If you have not, the copies are available on our website, nrcgroup.com. The speakers we have on today's call are Henning Olsen, Chief Executive Officer; and Dag Fladby, Chief Finance Officer. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Henning Olsen. Please go ahead.

Henning Olsen

executive
#3

Thank you, Lene. I'll start with a short summary of the announced results from this morning. During the quarter, we made good progress with our main priorities, improving profitability and winning the right projects at the right price. In quarter 2, the activity level is picking up, and we report a revenue of SEK 1.5 billion. Adjusted for currency, the growth rate was minus 3%. We delivered an EBITDA of NOK 47 million, significantly better than last year. And we see that improvement work we've done for the past 2 years is starting to yield results. The improved results are driven by a very strong performance in Finland. We see continued strong performance in Rail Construction, and we see improved results in the Maintenance business. In Sweden, we delivered results at the same level as last year. The volumes are low due to a tough market condition. We continue to work with our improvement initiatives, but we also need to see better market conditions before we can return to our targeted margin levels. The results in Norway are weaker than the same period last year due to low activity in Civil and weak margins in our Recycling and Demolition business. This is a consequence of the low order intake last year in Civil and the ongoing turnaround process in the Demolition and Recycling unit. However, we made good progress during the first half of 2021 in both areas. Although the results are not at the level we want in Norway this quarter, I'm confident that they're moving in the right direction as we continue to build the foundation for improved results and future growth in Norway. We had a very strong order intake of NOK 2.2 billion in quarter 2 with a book-to-bill of 1.5 in the quarter. We also won the material supply contract for the Finnish transport agency with an estimated value of NOK 2 billion, which is not a part of the reported order intake and order book. So in the quarter, we actually secured orders for more than SEK 4 billion. I'm confident that we are moving in the right direction with a strong order intake, a solid tender pipeline, and many interesting projects coming up, we are on track to return to profitable growth. As a part of the quarterly presentation, we also published our sustainability target and an estimate of how our business will align with the EU Taxonomy. Now we will open up for questions.

Lene Engebretsen

executive
#4

Operator, are you available? Operator, are there any questions from the audience. Let's hold for 2 minutes.

Operator

operator
#5

[Operator Instructions] We will now take our first question from Bendik Engebretsen from Danske Bank.

Bendik Engebretsen

analyst
#6

Happy to see the improvement in activity. It seems clear that the company is on the right path towards profitability. I just wondered if you could provide a bit more color on the order intake in Finland this quarter. You were granted a EUR200 million contract, but this doesn't appear to be part of the backlog. Could you provide a bit more color on this contract and how it differs from the rest of the company's contracts?

Henning Olsen

executive
#7

Yes. As this is a frame agreement without any minimum volume in the contract, it's not recorded as a part of the order book. And this is also how this contract has been treated in the history in NRC. This has been a contract that has been operated by our Finnish organization for many years already. So as we said in the presentation earlier today, we have a lot of experience with this business. From our point of view, there are no insecurity with regard to volumes. This is a highly predictable business where we supply rail technical materials, tracks, et cetera, to the Finnish transport agency as the sole supplier. So as long as the activity level in the Finnish rail segment is continuing, the volumes here are very predictable as such. But due to technicalities, it's not a part of our order book.

Bendik Engebretsen

analyst
#8

All right. That's understood. Second question and then final question from me. Recently, we have been reading a bit about tender processes in Sweden, and I believe the newspaper was Dagens industri. And it appears that some competitors -- their bids in certain projects in Sweden have been lower -- significantly lower perhaps than those -- the bids from NRC. Can you comment on this? Is this a result of higher costs in NRC or higher requirements for profitability? Could you comment on this at all?

Henning Olsen

executive
#9

We can for sure comment on this and the article you are referring to is an article relating to the maintenance contracts that have been awarded in the Swedish market this year where 4 contracts have been out for tender. And Infranord, a company owned 100% by the Swedish state, has won all 4 contracts. And in 2 of them, they have priced significantly lower, not only lower than NRC but lower than all other competitors. So in one of the contracts, I think they were 25% lower than us and we were number 2. And in one contract they were, I think, 45% lower than us, but still 25% lower than #2. And that contract was really not a contract that we were aiming to win. It was not a part of our prioritized contracts, but still, we did an offer. But as the article states, without saying it directly, we are, of course, wondering a lot of what's happening in Infranord and how they act because there are no chance at all that they will have any profits on these contracts. So this is price [indiscernible], and that is what we tried to say without saying it in the article directly.

Operator

operator
#10

We will now take our next question from Hans Jacobsen from Nordea.

Hans-Erik Jacobsen

analyst
#11

Back to Sweden. It seems like the pipeline still is very good. And the competition, as you just explained, is continuing to it seems likely getting even worse. Do you see any let up here in the short-term in terms of the competitive picture? I would believe that with a lot of tenders, there should be a possibility to receive some orders where you and others could start to make a profit.

Henning Olsen

executive
#12

Yes. We can comment a bit on that. I think I commented on Maintenance. However, when it comes to Rail Construction. There competition has also been fierce in the market in Sweden for the past 12 or 18 months. The tender pipeline is still very high. And of course, we hope that continued high supply of contracts will improve market conditions. But of course, there's no guarantees for that happening. But we feel that we are in very good control of our tender process in Sweden, and our strategy has been and will be to focus on winning robust projects rather than to aim for growth at the current market state. If the market conditions are improving, we will, of course, also aim to grow our business. But currently, we focus on winning robust projects that we can have a profit on and try to defend the revenue we have today, of course. But we see no reason to be very aggressive for growth when market conditions are as tough as it seems today.

Hans-Erik Jacobsen

analyst
#13

Okay. And then to Norway, you have 3 areas there where the Civil Construction and NSS are continuing to show a weak performance, and hopefully, the initiation of all the measures you would have taken here will improve results. But when it comes to rail, is it profitable in Norway in line with Sweden or -- not Sweden but Finland?

Henning Olsen

executive
#14

The Rail Construction unit in Norway is profitable. As you remember, this was one of the areas we maybe struggled the most with in 2019 and one of the reasons for the poor results in 2019. We initiated an improvement program in the Rail Construction unit starting in the late 2019, and that improvement program has been very successful. We are gradually improving the results. We are not at the profitability level as we are in Finland currently. But the progress is very good. It continuously are getting better. So we feel we are on a good track in that business area in Norway.

Operator

operator
#15

We will now take our next question from Carl from Arctic Securities.

Carl Bjerke

analyst
#16

I just had a question regarding the EBITDA margin in the quarter related to your sort of medium-term -- medium- to long-term target of 7% and your guidance for somewhere in between 1.75% and 2.5% for this year. Could you please share some thoughts, Henning, on how you see the progress here going? And what you feel sort of is realistic to expect in the coming quarters?

Henning Olsen

executive
#17

Yes. Let's start with guiding this year. The guiding for the year is unchanged at an EBITDA between 1.75% and 2.5%. And we feel that the results we have delivered today is supporting that guidance and also the progress we have made during our improvement programs across our business is also supporting that guidance. So we are reiterating that guidance. When it comes to what you can expect going forward, we have a clear ambition to return to profitable growth. The order intake, we have seen both in quarter 1 and quarter 2 is supporting that we will return to growth. Our improvement programs are moving forward according to plan, of course, with some exceptions in Sweden due to the very tough market conditions. But our expectation is that we will return to profitable growth. Our target and ambition in 2024 is still the same. We have been quite clear that we are maybe a bit delayed on that road, but the ambition is still there.

Carl Bjerke

analyst
#18

Perfect. And just a follow-up. I would sort of assume that the improvement you have seen in Finland over the past 12 months have to be on track or ahead of schedule. And I was just wondering what will it sort of take in the medium-term to see a similar improvement in Norway and Sweden? Is it a question primarily on overhead expenses? Or do you also have to see a significantly higher activity level to see a similar improvement?

Henning Olsen

executive
#19

To start with Norway, we need to see that improvement program in the Demolition and Recycling business continues with the progress we have seen and all our data points are working in that direction currently. And then it's also about the volumes in the Civil Construction unit, which has been very low this year. And of course, with low volumes, it's also difficult to have a high profit margin due to the fixed cost base. But we have been winning a lot of contracts in the Civil Construction unit so far this year. It takes some time to ramp up the project and activity level, and we also try to be a bit conservative taking out profits in the start. But with the activity level coming back in Civil and the turnaround progress in NSS showing good progress, and as we were also talking about, we see a good progress also in Rail Construction, and as I said in the presentation earlier today, a high activity level in tendering across all 3 segments, I'm hoping that we will soon see a result in Norway at a different level than what we have presented today. So I would say that we are on track to come back to better profitability in the Norwegian market. I think the road for that in Sweden is longer. And it's mainly due to the tough market conditions we see. We still have improvements to do internally, which will improve the results. But before we can get even close to the margins we see in the Finnish market, we need to see a significant improvement in market conditions. And even though we can hope for that with the continuous high tender activity, I think, we need to be prepared for that to take more time.

Operator

operator
#20

We will now take the next question from Harold London from London Holdings.

Harold London

analyst
#21

You mentioned earlier that you had 70% of your business at 7% margin and then there was trouble with 30%. How does that look today?

Henning Olsen

executive
#22

Well, if you look at our business today, the number is not 70%, for sure. But I haven't calculated the exact percentage. But what has happened since that is that one of the main contributors to those 70% was Civil Construction activities in Norway and the Environmental activities in Norway. And with the lower activity level and volume in Civil, it's impossible to stay at that margin level. The project execution in Civil in Norway is still very strong in the projects we have ongoing, but we have had too low volume to reach those margins. When it comes to the Environmental division in Norway, which was also above 7% margin, we have these challenges in one area on the Demolition and Recycling business. The rest of that business is still on the same high-margin level. So after we have been able to do the -- complete the turnaround of the Demolition and Recycling business, our expectation would be to return to that margin level in this business as well. So based on...

Harold London

analyst
#23

But...

Henning Olsen

executive
#24

Yes.

Harold London

analyst
#25

No, I wonder what were the size of the troubled contracts, i.e., the ones with 0 margin or loss? Is that still around 30%?

Henning Olsen

executive
#26

I think -- I haven't measured it on the 0 margin. When you refer to the 0 margin projects that we have reported on and commented on, that was, first of all, a loss-making project in the Norwegian Rail Construction units. Those are complete to 98% as of now, and we are in good control of those. The rest of that portfolio and the biggest share of that portfolio was, approximately, SEK 400 million in revenue in the Swedish business. And we were clear on that in quarter 3 and quarter 4 2020 that we had to take additional losses on those contracts. But looking at the volumes now, we are also very close to completion of those projects. The construction activity is actually finished in all of them. And the only thing we have rest in those projects are the [ loss ] negotiations with the client. So with reference to these 0 margin projects, we are close to closing that chapter. In the order book, it's around SEK 100 million left end of quarter 2.

Harold London

analyst
#27

Okay. And I'm also a bit puzzled about the tough situation in Sweden because we have a construction boom here like never before, and it's an enormous shortage of capacity here and there. And it seems strange to me that you and your competitor can't find alternative work at decent levels? What's the reason for this strange anomaly that you have one sector with enormous price pressure where everything else is booming, basically?

Henning Olsen

executive
#28

Yes. We see a big difference in how the players are behaving and pricing their contracts in the Rail Construction segment and more traditional Civil Construction segment and the bigger contracts. And I think that has something to do with the size of the players operating in the market. So in the Civil Construction area in Sweden, you have on the bigger contracts, the big 4 players with Peab and Svevia, Skanska and also some foreign competitors. And I think they have more or less the same approach to bidding as we have, where we expect to have some profitability in the end. When it comes to how our competitors have behaved in the rail construction market, it's difficult for us to understand why they are behaving as they are. As you said, the volumes are high, so there should be every chance to have decent prices. But again and again, we see that some players are pricing contracts at a very, very low level. And these are, for most cases, quite, I would say, standardized work that we have a very good knowledge of the cost base. And then you see players pricing 30% below us, we can't follow that. And we need to be patient and let them run into, hopefully, for our stake, quite big problems executing on those projects, so we can see that they general lesson and price in a different way in the future.

Operator

operator
#29

[Operator Instructions] We will now take the next question from Daniel Haugland from ABG.

Daniel Vårdal Haugland

analyst
#30

So I was just wondering a couple of questions on these maintenance contracts that are going out in the market. So my understanding is that 3 of your contracts are coming into the market, maintenance contracts, in the next 9 months. Could you add a bit flavor on how big are these contracts? What type of run rate revenues does that consist for you in Sweden?

Henning Olsen

executive
#31

Yes. Of course, we cannot be specific on each separate contract. Those are commercial sensitive information. But in average, you can assume that one maintenance contracts are yielding approximately SEK 100 million in revenue per year. And these maintenance contracts also have a long lead time from winning it to the start of operation. So if we win a new contract or lose a new -- or lose an existing contract, the financial effects of that will first come during 2023.

Daniel Vårdal Haugland

analyst
#32

Okay. Very good. Another question on the Taxonomy presentation you held. You talked about recycling rates in Finland. Could you comment on where you are on those rates today?

Henning Olsen

executive
#33

We will not comment on what level we are today, but we are on a level quite above 70% in both Norway and Sweden. So we are quite confident that we know what we need to do in order to get there in Finland as well. The reason for why we are higher in Norway and Sweden is the fact that this has been a stricter contract requirements in Norway and Sweden for recycling rates. So this is not a very complicated thing, and we are quite confident that we will reach that level. But it's good to have it identified already now, so we can start the processes now and make sure that we are well inside those rates when we are starting to report on it.

Operator

operator
#34

As there are no further questions at this time, I would like to turn the call back to your speakers for any additional or closing remarks.

Henning Olsen

executive
#35

Thank you. A short summary from our side. During the quarter, we have made good progress with our main priorities, improving profitability and winning the right project at the right price. Results in second quarter is significantly better than last year, and we have secured new contracts of more than SEK 4 billion in the quarter. I'm confident we are moving in the right direction. And with a strong order intake, solid pipeline, and many interesting projects coming up, we are on track to return to profitable growth. Thank you for many good questions, and have a nice day.

Operator

operator
#36

Thank you. That will conclude today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. Ladies and gentlemen, you may now disconnect.

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