Nurix Therapeutics, Inc. (NRIX) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
March 12, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Peter Lawson
analystGreat. Thank you so much. My name is Peter Lawson. I'm one of the biotech analysts at Barclays. I cover mid-cap, predominantly oncology-focused companies, but it's also interesting to see many oncology companies pivoting and move a little bit to other areas and other indications. So, up on stage with me, I've got Nurix's management team. So, we've got Arthur Sands, President and CEO; and Hans van Houte, CFO. And I'll be moderating this. But if you have questions, do e-mail me, [email protected].
Peter Lawson
analystAnd with that, first question I've been asking series of companies and then mostly no impact kind of questions, but supply chain disruptions. Anything your kind of thinking through and worried about just with tariffs? Or are you kind of prepped from COVID in a sense?
Arthur Sands
executiveSo we've -- our supply chain is based in U.S. and Europe, primarily, and it really has to do with starting materials and production of the drug. So we don't really have issues that we can foresee at this point with that. We have carefully moved things out of Asia in terms of starting materials, et cetera. So production of our clinical trial drugs looks fine. There's no issues.
Peter Lawson
analystYes. Okay. Perfect. And then, FDA, I know it's kind of early days and fear of cuts there. Are you seeing any change in the speed of communication with the FDA, or do you anticipate?
Arthur Sands
executiveWe've seen no change. And of course, we're in the oncology division. I don't think there's going to be a lot of changes there. But no, things have been moving along really at a good clip, actually.
Peter Lawson
analystOkay. Perfect. And then, I guess, a longer-term impact, very likely on innovation would, of course, be NIH budgetary cuts. Whether you share that view? And do you see there's kind of near-term or mid-term impacts around that?
Arthur Sands
executiveSo, as a drug discovery company ourselves, we really are pretty much independent of NIH and considerations there. So we don't really see that impacting us in the near term; in the long term, perhaps, but that's the long term.
Peter Lawson
analystSo, on your pipeline, so the CLL study, so your BTK inhibitor, and I guess, the first question is like what we've seen so far? And what are we going to get from the next update, which I presume is probably kind of an ASH time frame, year-end-ish kind of time frame for the updates?
Arthur Sands
executiveYes. So our lead candidate is NX-5948, which is a BTK degrader. So it removes the protein from the cell. It's a small molecule, once-a-day drug that is currently completing our dose expansion study in Phase Ib. So we've been on a cadence of every 6 months having updates on the program. So we target our European colleagues and audience at EHA and other conferences in Europe midyear, and then also ASH at the end of the year, and there, again, providing updates on the trial as it progresses and the data. We've had terrific data, I think, as we've gone forward from ASH '24, where we're looking at a 70% to 80% overall response rate with 5948 in very advanced CLL patients. And so, we expect that to continue. And of course, we're wholly focused on starting our pivotal trial this year, as well as a randomized controlled trial to go with that. So that's kind of the pace we're on. So it's a very vigorous pace for 2025.
Peter Lawson
analystGot you. And what should we look at for the next update, so I guess, mid-2025, EHA-ish kind of time frame?
Arthur Sands
executiveWell, our data continue to be solid. I think we'll give a data update. But I think most people will be interested in our regulatory approach for the pivotal trials. And so, it will really be an update about how do we progress this from a regulatory perspective towards registration. And so, we hope to have clarity midyear on that and be able to share that.
Peter Lawson
analystWhat are the things -- what are the outcomes we should be thinking about as you think about the regulatory strategy and path?
Arthur Sands
executiveYes. So in CLL, in third-line plus, so post BTK inhibitor therapy, post BCL-2 inhibitor therapy, this is a Fast Track status population that we have been granted from the FDA. We have prime status from the EMA now, which was excellent. And so, the question really is what is the -- is there an accelerated approval pathway and what is that pathway? What is the trial design for accelerated approval? And what would the confirmatory trial be and what is that design? So that really is the key, I think, the key questions for us in the next 6 months.
Peter Lawson
analystWould that confirmatory trial kind of move you into an earlier line? Or how do you think about that? Do you think about it as kind of additive potentially to the label or just confirming that label?
Arthur Sands
executiveSo we think of trying to move it to an earlier line, so from third-line for the accelerated approval study to a second-line setting for the confirmatory trial. So, that would be essentially a label expansion from the third-line setting to the second-line. We have designs also for first-line trials, but those are more in the future. Right now, 2025, it's the accelerated approval pathway for 5948, and then, the confirmatory trial.
Peter Lawson
analystGot you. And for that second-line setting, would that be monotherapy? Or is it better to combine? Or how do we think about it?
Arthur Sands
executiveSo definitely monotherapy is prioritized. And we're seeing, again, great results with monotherapy, and it's the most rapid pathway, continues to be the largest market segment with a once-a-day medication for CLL. So then, combination would be more of a first-line setting.
Peter Lawson
analystOkay. And then, as we think about that first-line setting, what would be good combination agents? Are there things that are off the list or on the list that they can combine with or can't?
Arthur Sands
executiveYes, there are several options. The main one would be a BCL-2 inhibitor, most likely venetoclax, which is part of the standard of care in the second-line at this point and also in the front-line, so combination with venetoclax, which would combine then the BTK degradation, our drug, 5948, with blocking BCL-2 pathway, which are 2 of the major growth signaling pathways in B cells. So I think that would be a very exciting combination actually. There's been great results with inhibitors plus BCL-2 inhibitors. But to combine it with a degrader, I think, will be really more powerful. So it actually could be a very exciting study.
Peter Lawson
analystAnd I guess, one triangulation point -- it's probably going to be difficult to ask, but like venous data set where they kind of didn't show it functioning in the broader group, but it works well in the ESR1 population. Are there any fears -- I guess, fundamentally, some investors, we were -- some KOLs were thinking, well, it's a different mechanism of action, so it's going to function differently from the other oral SERDs. Are there any worries that as you get into broader populations or earlier populations that it doesn't work as well? Just trying to make a tenuous link between 2 degraders.
Arthur Sands
executiveYes, valid question. So in our trial currently, we have patients with wild-type BTK, and we get a tremendous response rate in wild-type BTK. We also see the same response rate basically in mutant BTK. So in this setting, with BTK, which, of course, every target is different, they're working on estrogen receptor, but with BTK, we see our degrader works on wild-type, as well as any mutant form and any of the resistant mutant forms resistant to current inhibitors. So we see a very broad activity spectrum already in the current trial. And I think there's every reason to believe that would be -- that would translate to second-line and front-line because wild-type is wild-type, and we're seeing responses. So I'm very confident that the degrader mechanism in this setting will translate to earlier lines of therapy.
Peter Lawson
analystPerfect. And kind of as we think about that update, would you, I guess, break out efficacy with the lower dose like the 200 milligram versus the 600 milligram? Kind of what should we be thinking about how that data is broken out at here, whether it's EHA or mid-2025?
Arthur Sands
executiveYes. So I think, with regard to the Ib study where we're looking at 200 randomized and 600 to satisfy Project Optimus that has taken early look at the optimal dose, we see no difference so far in safety profile. That's number one. It's really about the safety profile. That's the goal for Project Optimus. Do you see any safety signals differing between the doses? And we -- so far, we don't see any difference. At the higher dose, we do think that will provide potentially superior coverage, but that has to be -- we have to look at that when we get the results from the randomized study, which is ongoing. So that -- those results will likely be towards the end of the year from the randomized study in terms of reporting.
Peter Lawson
analystGot you. Okay. And then, what's the appropriate bar? I guess, the other BTK inhibitors out there, again, PFS is like 14 months or so. Is that a sensible bar to get to?
Arthur Sands
executiveYes. So the PFS is -- with pirtobrutinib, you're talking about the non-covalent...
Peter Lawson
analystExactly.
Arthur Sands
executiveYes, there -- they seem to be around 14 months. So I think that is one bar. Right now, the -- our overall response rate is in the 70% to 80% range, which is trending above what non-covalents have achieved. So we would hope to trend above in PFS also.
Peter Lawson
analystDo you see a correlation of those response rates in PFS numbers and in CLL? Does that kind of add to confidence around moving the PFS number out?
Arthur Sands
executiveYes, I think it does. Now, degraders are new, and we think that the durability will be superior to inhibitors, but that's what we're measuring right now. It's just obviously going to take time. The enrollment is going well. It's still a relatively young trial in terms of the number of patients that have enrolled recently. So we have to see that duration of therapy and that duration of response. That's really, I think, probably the next major data point to look at.
Peter Lawson
analystGot you. And then, how do you think your -- I guess, the comparison between you and BeiGene or BeOne Medicines, how those BTK inhibitors are kind of shaking out? Is it more similar than dissimilar or...
Arthur Sands
executiveWell, right now, the -- both agents look fairly similar in terms of efficacy. I'd say that that's confirmatory that this new MOA really is working, and it's working in 2 companies' hands. So that's very encouraging. So I think it's been, again, a confirmatory sort of situation with both compounds and high efficacy rates, again, so far. And the question, I think, will not be differential based on efficacy, but is there a differential based on safety. It's usually the way compounds end up becoming differentiated.
Peter Lawson
analystOkay. At what point do you think that pans out? Or I guess, we've already seen a little bit of that in prior data sets.
Arthur Sands
executiveYes. Our goal is to be best-in-class, and which means both efficacy and safety-wise. But you're going to have to see hundreds of patients worth of data to really see because basically, the mechanisms appear fairly safe already. So you need hundreds of patients to see if there's any differential.
Peter Lawson
analystGot you. And then, is there a difference in CNS activity? I know you showed some. Is that a differentiation point compared to...
Arthur Sands
executiveYes, a very good point. So we have activity in the CNS. We enroll patients with CNS lymphoma and leukemia, which is a very severe state of disease, and we've had some dramatic responses with that and with those patients. And I think that is a point of differentiation. Typically, those patients are excluded from studies, which has been, I think, the case with the BeiGene study to date. So we're seeing good CNS activity. We also opened a cohort in CLL for patients that have autoimmune hemolytic anemia, so -- and autoimmune manifestation of the disease. That's about 10% to 20% of patients. So that's a new cohort. So we see very broad activity against most of the severe disease situations.
Peter Lawson
analystGot you. Before we -- I definitely want to touch upon the autoimmune side of things. The trial start date for the pivotal, is that this year? How long -- what are the gating factors to start?
Arthur Sands
executiveSo we definitely -- our goal is to start the trial this year, our pivotal study, as well as the randomized controlled study to confirmatory study. So those -- that's definitely on deck. The gating factor is really finalizing the clinical trial design plans in discussion with regulatory agencies, both U.S. and Europe. So that's ongoing. And that will be a big step forward. It will make Nurix a late-stage company to actually go towards approval. Also gating would be selecting the dose to take forward. So that's in front of us, too. But it's all on track to happen, I would say, midyear.
Peter Lawson
analystPerfect. And then, as we think about the autoimmune inflammation kind of programs, kind of what are the key milestones we should be thinking about for 2025?
Arthur Sands
executiveSo we're -- as I said, we're opening a cohort with autoimmune hemolytic anemia in CLL. We're also in process to evaluate filing an IND in the non-oncology hemolytic anemia setting. And those would be, I think, 2 key milestones, seeing data from the CLL cohort and also then moving forward with the IND in the non-oncology setting. The beauty of setting, the hemolytic anemia indication, is that we have very rapid readouts there, which, of course, we're looking for elevation of hemoglobin as we block the destruction of red blood cells. And those tend to be at 12 to 24 weeks. We can see rapid readouts. So those would be some of the data we hope to see.
Peter Lawson
analystGot you. Okay. And the -- sorry, the timing around the IND, is that kind of second half?
Arthur Sands
executiveYes. I would say, second half. We haven't specified beyond that.
Peter Lawson
analystOkay. And then...
Arthur Sands
executiveGo ahead.
Peter Lawson
analystI'll make it a long question. The scaffolding function of BTK, how important is that in autoimmunity versus oncology? Is that a key factor?
Arthur Sands
executiveYes. So we've published -- at the American College of Rheumatology meeting in November, we had a poster demonstrating how the scaffolding function creates a much more potent suppression of B cell signaling in wild-type cells. So in normal cells, which, of course, in the non-oncology setting of autoimmune disease, the cells are genetically normal, but we're seeing a 10 to 100-fold greater suppression of B cell signaling compared to BTK inhibitors, which just block the kinase function. So when we take out the whole protein, we're definitely seeing an increased blockade of B cell signaling. And we think that's going to translate to potentially increased efficacy in the autoimmune setting. So that's a really distinguishing factor. And we do think that that's going to be very important. The BTK inhibitors have shown signals of efficacy in autoimmune disease of a variety of sorts. There's been a number of trials done, but we think there's definitely room for improvement by removing the protein, by degrading it.
Peter Lawson
analystOkay. Maybe kind of a high-level question. How do you think about entering these marketplaces? Is that something you partner? Is just the process you think about it and how it kind of impacts cash burn?
Arthur Sands
executiveI'll turn to Hans.
Johannes Van Houte
executiveSure. Well, we ended the year with a very robust cash balance guidance is in the first half of 2027. I think as we look at aggressively pursuing 5948, our posture right now is, we're doing that as a stand-alone entity and looking at opportunities for partnering as they arise. But it would have to be on the economic terms that we and our investors would be happy with. But right now, we have the wherewithal to drive these programs, especially 5948, through the clinic, starting the pivotal trial, starting the randomized confirmatory trial and moving that along. We plan on doing it globally. So we plan on basically starting both trials with a global footprint. So the ability to do potentially a regional partnership ex-U.S. is one thing that we've thought about in terms of retaining the U.S., at least in the short term. But if there is significant partner interest at economic terms that are viable for Nurix, where it gets to keep a great percentage of the rights and basically has still a great amount of control over the program, which is the other thing we're thinking about with potential partners, we would look at that very closely.
Peter Lawson
analystFor an ex-U.S. partner, would you go for one that would kind of cover oncology and autoimmunity of anything of all up grabs kind of thing?
Arthur Sands
executiveSo it probably would be difficult to find one partner that would cover both indications. But we have to see how it evolves. It is early for the program in terms of autoimmune indications. I think the more control we can keep, as Hans said, the better, and maximize the value of the asset before any kind of partnership.
Peter Lawson
analystGot you. And then, just using a degrader in autoimmunity, are there any risks of complete removing BTK versus oncology?
Arthur Sands
executiveWell, that's where we're very encouraged by the genetics. So there are, of course, patients, humans lacking BTK gene completely, which is how it was discovered originally. And they have a suppressed immune system, but otherwise, a very safe profile, target profile. So we already know genetically removing the protein is safe, and it will suppress the immune system. And so, there are precedents genetically that give us great confidence that this is a very safe mechanism and a very potent mechanism. And of course, the BTK inhibitors are clinically validated as well.
Peter Lawson
analystYes. How would the BTK inhibitor kind of fit in with hemolytic anemia? Are there other BTKs already in there? Is it displacement, the combinations you would have to be working with?
Arthur Sands
executiveSo there currently is no approved therapy for the warm autoimmune hemolytic anemia. Steroids are given. It's kind of become a standard of care, if you will, but not desirable because of the issues and side effects of steroids. So the -- I think that a BTK degrader, well, it would be the first in the space. There are inhibitors that have been tried in a variety of autoimmune indications. And there, again, are hints of efficacy. ITP and other cytopenia, BTK inhibitors have shown some efficacy. So there's definitely reasons to believe that blocking BTK will be a therapeutic -- of therapeutic value, but again, room for improvement over the inhibitors, and we think degraders can supply that.
Peter Lawson
analystGot you. And before we finish, I'd love to touch upon your partnerships, IRAK4, STAT6. What should we be expecting this year? I know it's kind of always hard when you've got Gilead and Sanofi as a partner and how much you can disclose, but...
Arthur Sands
executiveYes. So these are 2 very important programs, IRAK4 and STAT6, where Nurix has the option to opt in 50-50 in the U.S. ultimately, after human proof of concept. And so, what we expect in the first half is Gilead is in charge of filing the IND for the IRAK4 degrader. And I think that would be a very important milestone if that's achieved. And then second, we are supplying a development candidate package to Sanofi in the first half. These are -- both targets are very important autoimmune targets. And then, Sanofi has the option to take that forward into IND-enabling studies and the clinic. So those are both first half events.
Peter Lawson
analystPerfect. I guess, just maybe a final question of the starting dose for your BTK degrader in autoimmunity versus oncology, what's the delta that we should be thinking about?
Arthur Sands
executiveYes. So we have a wide spectrum of dosing capabilities, and we do think that the different autoimmune diseases will need different doses. So we are currently using the same formulation for oncology in the autoimmune hemolytic anemia settings and starting with the same dose, which would be 200 or 600. But in the future, we're going to do a dose-ranging study. So we'll have to determine what the dose really should be.
Peter Lawson
analystPerfect. Thank you so much.
Arthur Sands
executiveOkay. Thank you, Peter.
Peter Lawson
analystAlways a pleasure talking to you. Thank you.
Arthur Sands
executiveThanks.
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