Nuvation Bio Inc. (NUVB) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

April 9, 2025

New York Stock Exchange US Health Care Pharmaceuticals conference_presentation 24 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Soumit Roy

analyst
#1

Thank you, everyone, for joining this session, a fireside chat with Nuvation Bio. I'm Soumit Roy, Head of Healthcare Research at Jones. And with me, we have the CEO of Nuvation Bio, David Hung; and the CFO, Philippe Sauvage. Really appreciate you coming here despite the challenging times in biotech. It's tumultuous, but you have seen the cycles many times, so really appreciate you coming here. David is well known in the biotech space. He has led the development and commercialization of XTANDI, which is now the standard of care for prostate cancer and for the successful acquisition of Medivation by Pfizer for $14 billion. So he has seen developing a drug from ground up all the way to commercialization and acquisition. So definitely a test case for us to learn from. Nuvation Bio is a global oncology company, solving some of the toughest challenges in cancer treatment by developing therapeutics that create a positive impact. The company's lead programs are 2 potentially best-in-class drugs for lung cancer and glioma. Compared to peers, both drugs are showing durable responses and prolonged survival. We really believe these are potentially 2 best-in-class drugs. Nuvation is on the cusp of becoming a commercial stage company by mid-'25. The PDUFA date is June 23, and we'll ask something about how the FDA is doing in that regard for certainly, the company's ROS1 inhibitor for ROS1-positive non-small cell lung cancer.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#2

To begin with, David, maybe if you can give a brief intro on the Nuvation Bio and what we should be focusing on in 2025?

David Hung

executive
#3

So we have 4 drugs in our pipeline. The most advanced one is taletrectinib, which is a ROS1 inhibitor. We anticipate FDA approval on June 23. This is a drug for a kind of lung cancer driven by a mutation called ROS1. It's extremely aggressive, a normal standard of care, which is IO chemo generally gives you a progression-free survival in the range of 6 to 12 months. And our drug -- our median progression-free survival is 46 months. It's almost 4 years. We've had patients on our drug that are still on drug approaching 8 years now. So we think it's an extremely robust benefit. So that will be -- should get FDA approval in June. We've gotten priority review and we were already granted breakthrough designation by FDA, and we anticipate a line-agnostic full approval. So that -- we're excited about that. We have a second drug in development called safusidenib. It's the only other drug currently being developed for a kind of glioma or brain tumor called IDH1 mutant glioma. The one drug approved in that space is vorasidenib made by Servier and about 6 months ago, Royalty Pharma did a deal paying almost $1 billion for a 15% U.S.-only royalty of vorasidenib, which values vorasidenib at around $6 billion. Vorasidenib's pivotal study showed an 11% response rate in low-grade glioma and no responses in high-grade glioma. In our first study with our partner, Daiichi, safusidenib showed a 33% response rate in low-grade glioma, triple the vorasidenib 11% response rate in their pivotal study. And in high-grade glioma, safusidenib has now shown 17% responses. 1/3 of those responses are complete responses. Complete response in oncology means the tumor has disappeared. One of those tumors that disappeared was a very high-grade aggressive brain tumor known as glioblastoma. These are virtually untreatable. That patient's tumor has been gone for now 3.4 years. We have a second patient with another high-grade glioma and that patient's tumor has now been gone for 95 weeks. We think this drug is extremely promising and are now in discussions with FDA to take that into a pivotal study in '25 as well. Then we have a third program in something we call a drug-drug conjugate program. It's kind of like an ADC without the A. It's 2 small molecules used together. We've shown activity that appears quite interesting, and we anticipate further data in '25 as well. So 3 major things. So we have taletrectinib approval in June. We have safusidenib entering pivotal studies in glioma and potentially more data on our DDC program this year.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#4

It's very exciting, especially a lot of people are looking forward to launch of, which is kind of the name of the session, is launching a drug in a crowded space. We have 3 approved ROS ones, one getting off-label use by the Pfizer's drug, in the Pfizer XALKORI sales, but at the same time, Roche has pulled back, BMS has pulled back. So really curious when you reach out to clinicians, if you have done some kind of survey to gauge their level of interest? And what are the key points you try to focus on, any pushback you get?

David Hung

executive
#5

Yes. So we've done an extensive market research. And if you look at -- and it will make sense, this is common sense. If you look at a patient or a doctor, the #1 attribute of a drug that they care about and that determines prescription and use is your progression-free survival. That's by far, number one. And the second most important number is your response rate. Our progression-free survival of 46 months is -- and our response rate of 89% is actually unique. In the history of oncology, there are no drugs in any solid tumor that have been able to match an 89% response rate and 46-month PFS. Even XTANDI, the drug redeveloped with Medivation, which is almost a $7 billion a year drug today, XTANDI's response rate was 59%, PFS was 20 months. So with an 89% response rate and 46-month PFS, we think this is a one -- just an extremely promising drug, and we think it will do very well.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#6

So the data that supports -- so you're -- like you mentioned, you're going for the line-agnostic label from the 2 of these Phase II trials. Any risk you see? I'm curious about the conversations that went into FDA. When you showed the data, they are like, yes, go for line-agnostic or like you know what, file first, let's see, and then maybe you will get later lines and front line you have to do.

David Hung

executive
#7

Yes. So the FDA has been extremely helpful and positive. And in fact, despite all the turbulence in Washington, I would say the FDA has been incredibly responsive to our application. We've been really, really happy with the amount of attention we've gotten and the efficiency with which they've interacted with us. As I said before, if you look at our response rate and PFS, there are no drugs in solid tumors ever that have been able to match that. So we think that their responsiveness is appropriate for the potential that we could be offering patients with this therapy. So we've been very, very pleased with our FDA interactions. We are going to get a line-agnostic full approval. So that's clear. And as I said, our PDUFA date is June 23, so we should be approved on schedule.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#8

And you get ready to go hit the market right after...

David Hung

executive
#9

We have our commercial team fully hired. We're -- many of them are with -- from my Medivation days. So I know them well. They know me well, and we're ready to go.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#10

Yes, that is exciting. Going back to the previous year of the surveys when you did with the physicians, have they talked about the sequencing of the drug? How they want to handle where should...

David Hung

executive
#11

So if you think about the value proposition of our drug for patients, right now, if you look at first-generation TKIs for ROSl-positive lung cancer, there's only 2, crizotinib and entrectinib. And entrectinib is the only one that gets in the brain. And that's important because brain metastases are a common place that this cancer appears. The average PFS of entrectinib is 16 months. So if you start with entrectinib as a first-generation TKI and you fail in 16 months on average and you go to repotrectinib, the only approved second-generation agent, you get another 9 months of PFS. So 16 plus 9 gives you 25 months. If you start with taletrectinib, you get 46 months as a median PFS, which means that if you just start with taletrectinib, you get almost 2 years longer PFS. That's what the data shows. So I think that's a very compelling argument for physicians and for patients.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#12

At the hospitals, do you see kind of Roche or BMS a major competitor? Or still Pfizer is the main drug you have to beat?

David Hung

executive
#13

No, I think -- certainly, Pfizer's drug was the first drug to get approved, crizotinib. But crizotinib and entrectinib are both coming off patent shortly. So they're not being actively promoted. And as you know, BMS's repotrectinib has struggled because of the really high incidence of CNS toxicity with that drug. We know from IQVIA scripts that 30% of repotrectinib scripts are not being refilled every quarter. They're falling off every quarter. So we think that taletrectinib is very well positioned. Our CNS side effects in our pivotal studies have been very manageable. Our efficacy, as I've mentioned, is 46 months and an 89% response rate. We think that this is a really robust choice for patients when it becomes available.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#14

So what do you say to the market? Because as you are -- this is a $1 billion-plus drug at the least, and it feels like line agnostic is baked in. Approval is baked in. You will launch, and it will be at least second or third drug in the market. So...

David Hung

executive
#15

I think the markets are -- right now, it's a very difficult time in the market. So I think that it's probably a lot of distractions. And I'm sure we're not at the top of the list for attention in markets as turbulent as these. But we're fine. We have -- as you probably all know, we had over $500 million on our balance sheet as of the last quarter. We just announced a deal with Sagard where we raised another $200 million when we get approval of the drug in June and option for another $50 million to draw down on top of that gives us access to about $750 million in cash, which should be enough to take us through the profitability -- to easily take us through to profitability. I think our stock is really -- we're trading below cash. I just -- there's a Form 4 went out last night. I just bought 0.5 million shares myself last night. One of our directors also bought shares last week. So we think -- we don't -- we're not raising money. So we're happy to just let things calm down in the markets. We're going to launch our drug. We're very confident that we'll do well. So we're not really at all swayed by what's going on in these markets.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#16

Any pushback you get from investors in terms of safety concerns like...

David Hung

executive
#17

No. As I said, we think our drug is incredibly well tolerated. If you look at the discontinuation of our -- discontinuation rate of our drug at 7% with treatment emergent related -- treatment-emergent adverse events lead to discontinuation. That's really extremely tolerable profile for any cancer drug. We feel very, very good about that. If you look at our 337 patients in our efficacy database, only -- only 8 had adverse events that were related to our drug. So we think it's a very well-tolerated drug. And as I said, on the safety side, another point I should make is that by far, the greatest safety risk to any patient is progression of their cancer. Once their cancer comes back and progresses, it doesn't matter what other safety events you have because that's -- you don't have any options. And if you look at our PFS of almost 4 years, that's a year -- I mean if you look at repotrectinib's PFS is 36 months. If you look at entrectinib, 16 months. We think that, by far, the most important safety concern should be, can you keep that cancer away. And we think taletrectinib's profile is a really good answer to that.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#18

Switching to the IDH1 inhibitor. You acquired it last year. Interesting because you found something in the rough at the pricing and showing remarkable data. Tell us a little bit of the back story of finding the product and what really attracted you? Like first comment I get is, does the world need another IDH1 mutant? And then I look around, there's only one approved and so...

David Hung

executive
#19

Yes. I mean -- so we -- if you look at my career, I've made -- most of my career, I've made acquisitions. XTANDI was an acquisition. So we try to find diamonds in the rough. We looked at over 200 opportunities over the last few years. We really didn't like anything. And then finally, we found this company in China in the middle of COVID lockdown in China. It's a private company, had a couple of assets that we really thought were promising. We reviewed -- we did cultural diligence on them. We reviewed the FDA correspondence, really liked it and decided to buy the company. And our first 2 offers in the company were all cash offers, and they're both rejected because they wanted stock because they really liked our other programs. So we ended up doing an all-stock deal. Anytime a company wants you to pay for them in stock, it's also further validation of their assets. And so we ended up paying for AnHeart with $280 million in stock. And with that, we now have taletrectinib that's launching in June and safusidenib, which is entering a pivotal study. We think that was a great return. If you look at the deal we just did with Sagard, we just raised up to $250 million. Our royalty is 5.5%.

Philippe Sauvage

executive
#20

Yes, $150 million of synthetic royalty for only 5.5%, up to $600 million of sales. So if you think about the price we paid for the acquisition of $280 million, we already got $150 million back for 5.5%...

David Hung

executive
#21

And that was our sales. And that would be volatile effective well over $2 billion.

Philippe Sauvage

executive
#22

So you can see the value creation here. It's pretty explicit. And I think to your earlier point about what -- there is a lot of turmoil in the market, and it's probably hard to pay attention. But analysts or investors that really pay attention to us see the value. That's true of Sagard when you do a lot of due diligence to make that deal. And that's true of all the analysts that follow our stocks that all have price targets way above where we currently sit, right? So yes, it's -- that's the reason why we're here, right, talking to everyone and making sure that everybody gets a story because we believe we have something very compelling here in terms of value creation for any investor, just like David yesterday.

David Hung

executive
#23

Right.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#24

Yes, touching a bit on the Phase II data that you already have with the additional one, is there any particular differences we should think about the trial you're running versus the data you have the mutation profile or tumor subtypes location because once you get into that range?

David Hung

executive
#25

So if you look at our data -- so we have 2 data sets -- 2 trials, which -- with safusidenib so far, one has been made public. It's with Daiichi. That's the one we reported a 33% response rate in low grade, 17% response rate in high grade with those 2 CRs. We have a second data set coming out this year with Daiichi, which is even more important in some ways because it's now only one dose, so it's much easier to interpret. And it's only in low grade. And for the first time, we're going to present not only over our response rate, but we're going to show progression-free survival. And that was the basis of approval of vorasidenib. So we're going to show numbers this year, which we think really justify why we're investing in this program and taking it to a pivotal study. I can't talk about what the design will be because the FDA hasn't finished their feedback with us. We want to make sure we are completely -- make sure we have everything designed the way what we need for approval. So we're still finishing our discussions with FDA on that. But as soon as we finish those discussions, we'll announce the pivotal design, but we anticipate starting that trial this year. And we think this drug is -- it's -- there's only N of 2 of competitors in the space. So we think that our drug looks pretty promising from the data we have already so far.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#26

If you peel up a little bit in the data, I don't know if it's a function of a smaller cohort size. There is more activity in the enhancing tumor types versus the non-enhancing. There was no CR versus vorasidenib. When we look at it, it's like they work in non-enhancing type rather than enhancing.

David Hung

executive
#27

So vorasidenib's response rate in high grade -- so enhancing means high grade, non-enhancing means low grade. So vorasidenib had a 0% response rate in high grade, and we had 17%. In low grade, their response rate was 11% in their pivotal studies. Our first study showed 33%. So whether it's low grade or not, enhancing or not, we think safusidenib shows a higher response rate, which is why we are so excited about taking it to a pivotal study. And we're going to present, as I said, more data this year, which is going to give you, for the first time, a glimpse, not only at another data set for response rate, but for the first-time progression-free survival, which we think is an important metric. As I said earlier, at the end of the day, I think patients and physicians care the most about is long can you keep the cancer away. So we think this is a huge, hugely important metric, and we're going to present that this year.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#28

Is that an ESMO time line or...

David Hung

executive
#29

We have -- we're still working with our partner, Daiichi, to figure out a time frame to present it in, but we'd love to put it out as soon as possible. We think it's important data set.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#30

In terms of the genomics of population, there's going to be pretty similar...

David Hung

executive
#31

Yes. So if you look at subtypes, I think the R132H variant is 98% of our glioma in our trial. That's the most common type. So there are other variants. We don't really pay attention to that. We are -- this is a bread-and-butter glioma study.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#32

Really would love to get a sense from you in the last couple of minutes. Since you're in close touch with the FDA with the recent changes and time line, usually, it used to be a month or even 2 months ahead of PDUFA, there will be decisions made, the positive decisions. Anything?

David Hung

executive
#33

I don't know. It will be early. I mean it could be. As I said, we've been really impressed and grateful how responsive FDA has been. We think they're doing a great job. We're -- we think the review team has been extraordinary, actually. So we're -- we feel really, really good about where we are. We anticipate approval at the latest at our PDUFA date. But could it come earlier? It's always possible. I think that the NDAs have already been submitted or are getting the appropriate attention. I think it may be more challenging for companies that have not yet submitted NDAs. There is a big layoff. So at some point, it's going to be some impact of that on future applications. But for this application, we've seen absolutely no evidence at all of any slowdown at all. In fact, to the contrary, we've been really impressed with the efficiency of our interaction with FDA.

Philippe Sauvage

executive
#34

And of course, we're making are -- making sure, I'm sorry, that our commercial team is ready, in any case. We've hired the commercial teams. They're getting ready, even if we were approved earlier.

David Hung

executive
#35

Yes, we're ready to launch and...

Philippe Sauvage

executive
#36

We're ready to launch.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#37

And in terms of the ex U.S. territory, Europe or something you have indicated, likely going to be partnered out. You don't want to manage that aspect of it.

David Hung

executive
#38

Yes.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#39

Is that a '25 event we should expect? Or there's going to be...

Philippe Sauvage

executive
#40

Yes. We're in current discussion with multiple partners right now. We've been very pleased with the quality of the interactions. For a biotech of our side at our stage, launching in Europe is a bit too complicated. We don't want to bother ourselves with that, even if there is good value to be created there. So we are looking for the right partner, somebody that can help us out there with strong experience and strong local footprint. We already partner in Japan and China, like David was saying earlier. We've had great interactions with Innovent in China and with Nippon Kayaku in Japan. We were actually there last year, and we met them with David. So we're looking for somebody of that quality for Europe.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#41

That's great. Thank you again for joining us. This is great for us to present your story. This is -- if we can't sell this, I don't know what we can.

David Hung

executive
#42

Thank you so much. Thank you. Thank you again.

Philippe Sauvage

executive
#43

Thank you so much.

Soumit Roy

analyst
#44

Next session is with another very exciting area. Wave Therapeutics, Catherine Novak will be moderating the session. So please stick around. Looking forward to it.

For developers and AI pipelines

Programmatic access to Nuvation Bio Inc. earnings transcripts and 32,000+ others is available through the EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments, full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.