Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
June 5, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Patrick Davidson
executiveGood morning, everybody. Welcome to our 2025 Investor Day. I'm Pat Davidson, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations at Oshkosh Corporation. Thank you very much for joining us today. We're glad you've chosen to spend some time. It is a great time to be here at Oshkosh. So this is our first Investor Day in a little over 3 years, and we're very excited to be back. We're here to share, who we are, what we're building, how we're creating value through innovation, culture and disciplined execution. Our focus, growing revenue, improving margins and delivering shareholder value. Before we get started, we've got our forward-looking statements, right? I want to highlight that this presentation contains statements that we believe to be forward-looking statements and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of federal securities law. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. We probably all know that, but we invite you to review our risk factors and consider them when you evaluate our company as an investment. I also want to make one comment on your tables. We've got this sort of funky looking brick block thing. This is charging, right? So if any of you get low on the battery on your computer, your phone or whatever, there's USB, there's 3 pronged plugs. So please use this. We all kind of looked at them. They're kind of interesting. I did want to make one more announcement before I hit our speakers, and that is we had a press release earlier this week where we made 2 announcements. First, we've renamed our defense segment transport, right? It's a better fit. It more accurately reflects the business we have. And secondly, more importantly, Steve Nordland, who comes to us from Boeing Corporation after 25 years of experience, will be heading up that segment. He's held senior roles at Boeing and also started a technology company that they successfully sold. Now Steve brings strong, strong people-first leadership and execution focus. And until then, John will continue to run the segment and we'll be discussing it here today. So our presenters John Pfeifer, President and CEO, will talk about our strategy, our focus on the future and what differentiates Oshkosh. Jay Iyengar, who I think a few of you have gotten to speak with today, she's our Chief Technology Officer and Strategic Sourcing Officer. She's going to talk about our advanced technologies and the innovations that we're doing. Mahesh Narang, President of our Access segment will discuss the company and our resilience and what we're doing at the Access segment. We're going to have a short 10-minute break. Following the break, we'll come back in. John will hit defense for us, right there. I just did it, at transport. We're going to talk transport and what we're doing to improve the performance. Mike Pack will then come on and talk about our vocational segment and what he's doing with capacity to feed very, very strong demand. And then Matt Field will follow up, Mike, with our financial targets and talk about capital allocation, which we all know is a very popular part of the Investor Day. After that, we'll have about 30 minutes or so of Q&A and you'll have an opportunity to ask questions here in the room and online. And after the Q&A, we do have box lunches and a bag for those of you that have attended here in person. Take that box lunch with you or eat it here. We welcome you to do whatever you like. So with that, welcome to our 2025 Investor Day.
John Pfeifer
executiveGood morning. So here we are at the New York Stock Exchange. And I will tell you, I love coming to the New York Stock Exchange. I think it's a really, really special place. When I come here, it kind of brings out the feelings of freedom, democracy, free enterprise capitalism, we really, really are happy to be here. Thank you for joining us, and we're excited. We are excited to talk about our business, as always, and we're excited to give you some insight into what we expect and what is happening over the next few years with our business. So let me start by rewinding to 2022. Pat said, last time we did one of these, it was about 3 years ago. And in 2022, we set at that time what was perceived to be some pretty ambitious targets. And I have to point out that we delivered on those targets, on our top line, on our operating income and on our earnings per share targets. 1 year early, we delivered on them. 1 year early. So we built up momentum, of course, as we always do. And we're going to show you what that means, what that momentum means for the future of Oshkosh Corporation. So today, you're going to hear directly from the leaders of our company that are driving Oshkosh forward. Those are people shaping our strategy, driving our operational performance and leading innovation across the entire enterprise. So we're going to outline our vision. We're going to showcase the strength of our products and technologies, and most importantly, show you how we make a difference in the lives of everyday heroes that we all depend on in our communities. This is all going to drive strong gains in both revenue and operating margin for our shareholders. So when I talk about today, there's key takeaways on this slide, there's really two things. If you only take away two things from what I'm going to tell you in the next few minutes, it's this. You're going to see strong revenue growth through 2028, and you're going to see transformative margin expansion, strong revenue growth, transformative margin expansion. So let's start with growth. We're positioned to deliver meaningful gains driven by strong execution of just -- if you just look at our existing backlog, especially that's true in vocational and in transport. And these are large multiyear programs that are really already in motion, and they're a major engine that drives that top line growth. At the same time, we're executing with a lot of discipline. We are transforming our model to unlock 200 to 400 basis points of margin expansion. That's not dependent -- that is not dependent on any outsized expectation of something that's going to happen, some sort of an assumption. It's grounded in work that's already underway and there's even some upside when you look at favorable macro trends, and you'll see some of that in our presentation. So again, if you walk away with just two things, revenue growth, transformative margin expansion. So here on this slide, there's some foundational pillars that really powers our momentum and drives the growth and the margin expansion. We bring when we come, we bring the full strength of our enterprise to every single challenge that we have. You'll see that throughout today's presentation. We have a united strategy. We're focused on real solutions and committed to driving real value to the people that we serve in the end markets that we serve. And they're the reason that we're executing today these foundational pillars. And the reason that we're really confident in what comes next for our business. Quick glance as to where we are right now in time, in 2025. So we're about an $11 billion publicly traded. We're on the Fortune 500 list. We are an industrial technology company. We have more than 108 years of innovation, and we have been solving complex challenges for the world's most critical industries, underscore the word critical. So our business is structured to serve critical markets, markets that communities that we all live and work in, they can't live without what we do. It's job sites, city streets, defense missions, airports, all of these contributing to the momentum and the story that you're going to hear about as we go forward this morning. We have about 18,000 team members that power that work. And those 18,000 team members are really united by a single purpose. And I always have to talk about our purpose because of how powerful it is. We make a difference in the lives of people in communities who build, serve and protect communities around the world. These are the people that are doing the toughest work in challenging environments. And we are completely focused on making that work safe, safer every day that goes by, intuitive for the operator doing the tough work or for the fleet owner, if that's the case, and absolutely more productive with every day that goes by, because productivity is critical in our communities. And that purpose also shapes our culture. It defines how we lead, how we work, how we show up for one another and most importantly, for our customers. It's also reflected in the core values that we have as a company, and we have as a management team, it guides us across the entire organization. It's why people choose Oshkosh. And it's also why they stay with Oshkosh. They believe in what we're building, and they believe that they're helping shape what comes next. So we've been on a journey the past several years. If you go from the left side of this slide, I'll talk about the left slide first. Before 2022, we -- what we saw was the opportunity to really leverage competitive advantages across our enterprise. And we saw the opportunity in that period of time to move faster and to scale competitive advantages. And there's a lot of examples of this. If you look at say, the Pierce business. We did the Ascendant aerial, which has been a blockbuster product for Pierce. That Ascendant aerial was developed by leveraging technology and competitive advantage that we had across the enterprise. You look at major program milestones like you all know, we won the NGDV for the U.S. Postal Service. The U.S. Postal Service NGDV program was designed and developed using the full might and technology across the enterprise of the organization. Those were examples of the foundation of something a little bit bigger. Then we get into the '22 to '25 period of time, the most recent period of time. We made deliberate moves to do something even more to become an industrial technology company where we leverage technology and develop technology that can be used across the entire enterprise which really helps us drive resilience in our business. So here's what kind of happened during that period of time, the '22 to '25 period, we activated our M&A pipeline. You saw some of that happen. We reorganized our segments to drive much sharper focus on what we're trying to do. We invested in resiliency in our businesses across the manufacturing footprint, supply chain and even the overall operating discipline. And we focused on the technology vision, scaling our innovation across the enterprise and integrating here's a key thing we've been doing a lot, integrating software with our vehicles and equipment to unlock new intelligent capabilities. This is a really powerful time for us, because of the software and intelligent product capabilities that we have been building and you combine hardware with software and connectivity and you really can accelerate how big of a difference you can make in the end markets that you're serving for customers that are doing really important work. Now we're building on that foundation, the right-hand side of the chart. So you're going to hear from Jay, our Chief Technology Officer, next. And we're going to talk about how we're really leveraging technology advantages in three fundamental areas, not exclusive to these three, but the autonomy is a big one. The more autonomous, we can make things more safer and productive, it becomes. Electrification is another big one. Electrification is not right for every single end market, but it's right for a lot of end markets and intelligent systems, software and analytics and these make a big impact across our portfolio. So by combining our leading positions in vehicles and equipment with this software and intelligent integration, we're opening, again, new ways to solve real customer friction points and problems. And we're doing it in a way that continues to position us, continues, to position us as a long-term partner and the #1 player in the end markets that we serve. It's purposeful evolution for us. And the center of it all, of course, for us, we always remember who we're serving, and it's the everyday hero that's doing the work every single day in our communities. So let's talk about that a little bit, because we play a critical role, as I've been talking -- we mentioned a couple of times in neighborhoods, in airports and in job sites that we see all around us every day. And you might not always see us, you might not always see Oshkosh and Oshkosh brands, but we are there. And we're working behind the scenes and we are embedded in everyday life. So our vehicles collect reuse and recycling. Our vehicles deliver mail and packages. Our vehicles put out fires. Our vehicles lift material to build homes, hospitals and schools. We -- our vehicle support travel, powering, airport ground operations. And in moments of crisis, it's there. That's the power of our portfolio, and that's the power of Oshkosh Corporation. We're not just showing up today we're shaping what comes next. So that's at the airports in the neighborhoods and in the job sites. And we -- if you went to the CES show in Las Vegas in January, we were at the CES show. We had a pretty big display at the CES show. And you saw us unveil at CES, the way that we see the future of the markets that we're serving. So you saw us unveil the airport of the future. And you saw us unveil the job site of the future. And you saw us unveil the neighborhood of the future and how we're transforming these end markets that were -- that are so important to all of us. This is an example of why we are a different kind of company as we go into the future. So let me talk about those three, and you'll hear about this throughout today's presentations from our entire executive management team. So I'm going to start with the airport of the future, and I know every single one of us, every single one of us can relate to this. Let me put our minds in place here. So just think about this. You just landed at an airport. And the good news is, you've landed on time. But you're stuck at the gate. That never happens, right? No, it never happens. The jet bridge isn't ready, a cart of some kind, blocks the path of the airplane, ground crews are improvising, frustration builds. Every extra minute at the gate or trying to struggle to get to the gate, not only cost airlines money, and quite a lot of money, but it also delays travelers, you and I from getting to where we need to be. That is the challenge. Now picture this. Every jet bridge, every vehicle, every piece of equipment is automated, in some cases, electrified and connected and it's all working together through a single intelligent system, with the goal of the perfect aircraft turn, every time. That's the breakthrough that we are solving. With our advanced jet bridges, a full suite of ground support equipment and our iOPs intelligent connected system, we are uniquely positioned to enable faster, more efficient aircraft turns. The result is fewer delays and superior service for travelers and lower cost, higher uptime and better performance for our customers. Our customers want this technology that we are bringing to them and the uptake is high. This is the airport of the future. Mike is going to talk more about it when he comes up to talk about our vocational business. Now let's go to our neighborhood. We all hear the sounds and the sites and the sounds of our neighborhoods every day. Refuse trucks are stopping at every house fire engines race to the scene of an emergency delivery vans, we've in and out of streets through our neighborhoods. It's all familiar scene to us, but for the people who are behind the wheel, is long demanding shifts in most cases, noisy outdated and uncomfortable vehicles and a job that's increasingly difficult for our customers, the fleet owners to fill. That's a challenge. Now imagine the same neighborhood. It's just as active, of course, but it's safe, it's quiet. It's clean for people in the communities, people around the vehicles. And for the operator at work, the experience is comfortable by design. It's intuitive, so simple to use and it's productive. That's a breakthrough. Features like our AI-powered bin and contamination detection or advanced safety systems like our collision avoidance mitigation system. These systems deliver real impact for our customers and for the users of the equipment. If you look at the NGDV to the Pierce Volterra electric fire truck to the McNeilus Volterra electric RCV innovations like [ Harry ] that we showcased at CES. We're building solutions to protect people and property, keeping neighborhoods safe, quiet, clean and helping customers retain and boost productivity. Boosting productivity is ultimately critical. That's what customers want to pay for. That's what they want us to be doing and investing in. And so we're not just reshaping how communities function, we're rethinking how that work is done, and we're thinking about how the building of communities as well. So I'll go to the job side of the future. Job sites, when you look at them, they're everywhere. And they always will be everywhere. They're tough environments to drive productivity and safety. Every job site is different. So crews are waiting on materials, machines are sitting idle workers search for tools or equipment, materials that are uncertain where things are and whether a piece of equipment is ready to run. It's difficult to know what's needed on job sites to track usage and to stay ahead of maintenance. It's all -- this all is reflected in lost time, lost productivity and ultimately, higher costs than there should be for construction companies. That's the challenge that we're focused on continuing to solve. Now imagine a job site that works very differently, where every machine and every element is connected via software and intelligence. That's what I'm talking about, the connectivity of this, I'm talking about people, equipment, tools, even material, think about pallets of material at a construction site. Crews and operators will know exactly what's available, where it is what it needs, this is all the breakthrough in productivity on job sites. Our equipment, if you look at JLG equipment, just take the JLG equipment, it's usually or always the first on the site in the last to leave the site. So with ClearSky, smart fleet technology, it can connect people, tools, materials and equipment across the entire job site to deliver real-time analytics and real-time actionable insights for our customers. Remote operation and autonomous features are also important. They enhance safety, reduce training time, increase uptime, increase productivity. Predictive diagnostics are also really important as well. We want to make sure that it's known exactly what needs to happen before anything bad actually does happen, and that's another element of our ClearSky intelligence system. The result is a job site that's connected, versatile and far more productive. This is the job site of the future. It's powered by Oshkosh innovation. You'll see more and hear more about this morning when Mahesh talks about our fantastic access segment. So supporting long-term trends, we've talked about our strong demand, the significant backlog that we're executing against today that's driving that alone is driving growth for our business and across the business. These trends -- the trends on this slide go beyond our backlog. They represent long-term structural demand across markets, and they align directly with where we are focused at Oshkosh. These are not short-term spikes, they are long-term demand drivers, and they are tied to technology because what we're driving in terms of technology drives demand and it drives shifts in how work gets done. That's where we stand out at Oshkosh Corporation with all of our businesses. Across infrastructure, fleet, air travel demand is accelerating for high performance, connected and tech-enabled equipment that's driven by the need, again, for productivity advancements. So the future is right there with what we're developing. You'll hear more about these technologies, again, from Jay, our CTO, when she comes up. What is our right to win at Oshkosh? What are the competitive advantages that we see? What are the strengths that we have as a company? Well, what matters most, first and foremost is how we show up for our customers and why they choose us, and we think about that every day. The advantages that we have in many cases have been built for over 100 years, and we continue to build on them every day. I think they all start with technology. We have the most advanced technology. It's relevant for our end markets and we have a technological lead pretty much in every end market we serve, and we innovate with the everyday hero in mind, you always have to keep the end user in mind if you're going to do the right thing. This includes a vast portfolio of intellectual property. And we have more than 1,000 very, very powerful patents. We've also got brand strength that drives a premium in all of our end markets. Our brands are highly recognized brands. They are sought-after brands. They are preferred brands. In some cases, our brands are so strong that they actually have become household words in their end markets. I mean you can look at the picture I've got on the slide here, right? I mean that's not a doctored photograph. We see firefighters all over the country with our fire brand Pierce, tattooed on their arm. That's not an unreal thing -- that's a real photograph. I mean that shows you the power of our brands. The brands mean quality. They mean performance. They mean uptime. They mean we know that we can get uptime because the after-sales service is so strong and the reliability is there for us to do tough work. That's why the brands are so strong. We also have a manufacturing footprint, which we think is a big advantage for us. But more importantly, we've got advanced capabilities as well as the capacity to get trucks delivered to serve customers at scale. This footprint gives us a lot of versatility, the footprint that we have, even to adapt to things that come at us like today, we all know tariffs are coming at us. Every day, there's a little bit of new news about tariffs. We've got a manufacturing footprint that gives us a level of versatility to respond to those kinds of changes that we need to respond to. This is something that smaller competitors from a manufacturing standpoint simply cannot match. They can't match the flexibility. They can't match the capacity, in many cases they can't match the execution. I think perhaps what might be most important is we've got the people. People are everything in any organization, certainly a big business like ours. We have incredible engineering talent, really, really strong technical expertise across our engineering groups. Incredible management talent, and we're aligned around a strategy, and we're all focused on execution for those everyday heroes. These are real lasting competitive advantages that I've talked about. Again, communities cannot function without us, and we're going to be here to serve them for another 100 years as we've surpassed our first hundred. Our strategy is clear. We're focused and aligned across our entire enterprise. We call it, innovate, serve and advance. And this is really how we turn purpose into action. This is not a new strategy, many of you, if not all of you have heard it before, but it's been delivering for us year after year. It's designed to scale with us well into the future. So you'll see this chart continue to pop up over the next period of time this morning. So let me just give you the lay of the land on this. It starts with innovate. We're an innovation company. We're an engineering company. We're a technology company. This is the first pillar of our strategy. Shaping tomorrow with technology that solves real-world problems. It's how we stay ahead and it's how we drive customer delight. And what that means is that we drive premium margins because of our innovation capability. It means safe, smart and productive equipment. So everyday heroes can do their job better with every day that goes by. And we go further now -- we go further now as I'm standing here today with intelligent connectivity and software. This makes the vehicle or the machine and everything around it, intuitive, safe and efficient, more so than it's ever been. Later today, Mahesh is going to talk more about connected products with ClearSky [ Smart Fleet]. And Mike will talk more about our iOPS technology. This is part of that intelligent connectivity and breakthrough that I've been talking about in terms of software capability. In electrification, our vehicles are purpose-built for a full shift on a single charge. This helps manage operating costs, promote safety and deliver an exceptional operator experience. Now I want to make something really clear for all of us with electrification. So you hear a lot of different things about electrification. Some people even turned it into a political issue. With us, electrification only means one thing. If we believe that we can provide a significant economic benefit to a customer, we will electrify a vehicle. And when we see that we can drive real total cost of ownership and a customer is willing to pay for that superior propulsion system and the performance and the productivity that it provides, we will do it, and that's where you see us doing it. So there is real gains to be had in some of our end markets, most of them route-based where you can -- we drive real returns for customers by electrifying. That's when we electrify. There are also other ancillary benefits, it's cleaner, it's quieter, but it's all about driving economic benefit for our customers. Autonomy and active safety. Autonomy is a real skill for us. We've got incredible engineering around autonomy. Autonomous functionality drives productivity. Our customers want productivity. You can take jet dock, going back to the airport of the future using onboard sensors to align aircraft automatically speeds up turnarounds and makes it better for everybody involved. This is how we innovate. It's purpose-built technology. Serve is the second pillar. It's how we build stronger customer relationships, and it's how we build a more resilient business. by supporting customers throughout the entire product life cycle. Some of our products last 20 years, a lot of them last 20 years. We deliver parts, service. Now, we've gone way beyond it. We're delivering connected software that supports uptime and extends performance. So this creates value for us and for our shareholders at every stage of ownership, not just at the original sale. It generates stable, high-margin and recurring revenue streams as a result of this activity. So ClearSky and [ Smart], which is an intelligent product software, iOPS technology software in our airport businesses, this all helps our customers drive better productivity, drives the airport, the job side of the future. This is a big part of how we're serving customers better throughout that entire life cycle of the products. So you're going to hear about how each one of our segments is also driving continued fundamental difference in our aftermarket life cycle serve strategy. And this is true for our McNeilus dealer network for the -- how we've structured the NGDV or the postal aftermarket. Those postal vehicles will be in the market for 20 years. How are we going to make sure we're serving the duty cycle of those vehicles, every year that goes by. And even JLG, which has superior service in the end markets that they serve, how are they driving better after-sales service year after year. This is how we deliver on serve. It's about standing with our customers, and that means real value for shareholders. Advance when we see the opportunity where we can take advantage of our existing capabilities and take them into a new end market that has substandard solutions, we call that advancement. So advance it's the third pillar of our strategy. It's kind of about scaling our reach into adjacent markets with everyday heroes who need a better solution. So this includes a great example is our AeroTech acquisition, where we brought Oshkosh innovation to airport ground support, which unlocks a major opportunity in a growing mission-critical industry, where our technology and AeroTech's business is a perfect fit. It also includes advancement, for example, into agriculture. This brings JLG's innovations to a new everyday hero, the farmer. We've strengthened our European footprint through this strategy with our acquisitions of both Hinowa in Italy and AUSA in Spain, it expands our capabilities and gives customer access in key markets. Mahesh is going to talk a little bit more about these businesses later this morning. And of course, one of our bigger advancements recently were in production. They're delivering mail with a next-generation delivery vehicle for the United States Postal Service. This is another example of our step into an advancement strategy into last-mile delivery, we have provided the most advanced last-mile delivery vehicle ever designed anywhere in any country in the world and we've designed the first one for United States postal carriers. This is how we advanced its disciplined, targeted areas where we can make a real difference. So we have a purpose-built portfolio. We serve the most critical end markets that allow our communities to operate, and we're united by that purpose to make a difference in people's lives to do the toughest work. This purpose fuels that strategy I just talked about, innovate, serve, advance, and it drives our commitment to strong, sustainable returns for our shareholders. We operate as a team. We share technology across our enterprise. We scale innovation and drive performance. And you'll see that reflected here in how we deliver across segments today. We believe that we have a very compelling investment thesis. I want to button up my opening remarks here. I opened with two primary points, revenue growth and transformative margin expansion. So we're growing our top line with strong backlogs and healthy demand for our products and there is strong visibility and sustained momentum. We are driving more resilient transformation of our operating margins. We have a balanced portfolio, robust contributions from all of our segments and positioning to continue to accelerate significant free cash flow. We are not just built to compete. We're built to lead and drive sustainable value for our shareholders over time. And with that introduction to today, I want to introduce Jay Iyengar, our Executive Vice President and Chief Technology and Strategic Sourcing Officer to the stage. Thank you.
Jayanthi Iyengar
executiveJohn, thank you for the kind introduction. Good morning. Hope you can hear me. I am delighted to be here. I met some of you at CES and glad to see you again. Welcome. Thank you for coming. Before I begin, a quick introduction, I come from a diverse industrial technology background from automotive, I grew up in the auto industry, automotive to aerospace to ag and construction. And I've got -- I've been a part of technology-driven transformation of those sectors, bringing into market several new technologies into production and delivering on the business growth. Here at Oshkosh, I have the privilege of overseeing one of the key growth pillars that John talked about. Innovation is driving our revenue and growth and shaping the future. And you will see this come to life as we -- in the airport of the future, the neighborhood of the future and the job side of the future or delivering a future that is safer, more efficient and more productive. I'm excited to share some details here with you today, so let's jump in. We take a practical and a very pragmatic approach to innovation and my three key messages for today. One, we always start off with the why right? Our innovations are always centered around customers, both operators of our vehicles and our business customers. We start by listening, observing and understanding through close collaboration, we engineer very targeted solutions to address their pain points. Second, it's the what. And John mentioned this, it's the electrification, autonomy and active safety and intelligent connected products, fueled by AI. I'll talk about that later, are all focused on unlocking significant customer value and hence delivering growth for Oshkosh. So think of it as purpose engineered technology for our purpose-built vehicles. And the third is the how, right? It's our enterprise scale and our approach. Through our harmonized technologies, tech stacks, technology stacks, we share proven architecture, hardware and software as appropriate across all our products. Additionally, we leverage tech partners, strategic tech partners to deliver high-impact solutions with precision and speed. So what sets us apart? Our competitive advantage to me starts with our DNA, right? A strong engineering team with a long legacy of innovation which has the scale and the bench strength and the deep expertise in multiple core engineering domains. We share technology and expertise across our portfolio of market-leading products. We've established centers of excellence, enterprise-wide centers of excellence in our core tech pillars ensure effective sharing of technology and know-how. We are also tech entrepreneurs. Our Pratt Miller organization is a technology powerhouse driving disruptive innovation. So with all of this, we excel both in disciplined product execution, design and execution and technology development. And lastly, we recognized innovation doesn't always only happen within our 4 walls. We follow an open innovation framework. We partnered with top tech innovators, start-ups, VC firms, academic institutions, and we leverage our corporate venture capital for tech scouting. All of this helps us drive speed, agility and helps us be future-ready. So with over a century of experience, I repeat that with over a century of experience we have pioneered numerous firsts as demonstrated by our rich patent portfolio. So majority of our 1,300 patents -- 1,300 plus patents are concentrated in key domains that help drive growth for Oshkosh, such as electrification, autonomy, connectivity and mobility, and it's important to note that these patents are applied directly on our products, helping create meaningful differentiation. And I'll share some examples of what that is as I go through my presentation. So recently, IEEE, I'm sure how many of you know IEEE, it's the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, the largest technical professional organization in the world, released the report in their spectrum magazine on the patent power ranking of companies in various sectors. So they actually assessed patent portfolio of global companies to identify the most influential IP holders, right? The metric used for this study was not about the number of patents, but a measured impact the patents have on the company's growth and business. We are very proud -- let me repeat that. I'm actually ecstatic to have been recognized as the #2 ranked company among -- in the automotive sector, among global automotive companies including major OEMs. I said to me, this external recognition plus what drives us, creating breakthrough innovation that makes a real difference in delivering growth. Speaking of growth technology-driven transformation happens when the efforts are aligned in the right direction. So our customers, including those who operate our products, drive our vehicles are at the center of everything that we innovate. They engage with us, our business customers and those who actually operate our vehicles engaged with us throughout the product life cycle. So it all starts with a thorough VOC, Voice of the Customer, which includes getting insights into both their spoken and unspoken needs and pain points and the priority of needs of each of these customer types. As an example, a job site operator working at height. The most important priority is to prioritize safety. Environmental workers, the refuse collection workers and the last mile delivery, the value productivity, ergonomics and comfort, because their vehicle is essentially their office. They spend an entire day in their vehicles. And across the board, TCO, total cost of ownership, remains the critical factor in decision making, and that's what drives the business case for our technology and our products. It's important to note that we take a wide lens approach. John touched on this. We focus beyond the vehicle, supporting our customers through the entire product life cycle. From planning, deployment to service aftermarket, ensuring that we have -- we are entitled to a full life cycle revenue. So you also heard this from John, right? We are very unique in the sense that our unmatched product portfolio where -- we serve end markets with multiple products, right, our technology strength, position us very well to go up in value chain and to transform entire end markets. Throughout the course of today's session and in between speakers, you will see videos that our vision of such end market transformations. Airport of the future which maximizes revenue opportunity for airlines by keeping aircraft in the air longer with what we call as a perfect aircraft turn from landing to take off at the airport gates. The neighborhood of the future, which is quiet, environmentally friendly, safe, clean, where all the essential services are efficiently coordinated. Job side of the future, which redefines productivity by connecting and streamlining jobs to be done in an otherwise very chaotic environment. So to me, a true technology company is defined by its ability to envision and shape the future. And that's what we do at Oshkosh every single day. So now let's look at how we scale technology and bring that to life. I mentioned this earlier. Our technology stacks are the foundation affordability to scale. Through a harmonized tech stack, we share proven architectures, hardware and offers are appropriate across all our products. We intentionally retain ownership or form strategic partnership using our open innovation framework of the elements of our technology stack all with the intent of driving meaningful product differentiation and maintaining competitive advantage. So next, we'll explore each of the core technology areas for a deeper look at how they're powering our portfolio, starting with electrification. So we bring decades of proven electrification experience beginning -- starting in the mid-1990s and continuing to lead the industry today. So our expertise spans from low voltage systems, advanced battery technologies and hydrogen fuel cells and architectures from hybrids range extenders to all the way to full battery electric vehicles. Our purpose-built route-based vehicles with frequent start stops are ideal application for electrification. So we are now concurrently launching production electrified platforms across our product portfolio, demonstrating the scale of Oshkosh. While each platform is tailored to its specific application, they leverage common know-how and expertise, systems and components as appropriate, highlighting our modular approach. So next, I'll share a real-world example of electrification in action. This is the Pierce Volterra electric refuse collection vehicle, ERC builds on the success of the Pierce Volterra fire truck sharing a common electrification platform. So in this case, early in the design, we engage directly with our customer, Republic Services, to understand their duty cycle and mission. So with these insights, we tailored a solution to meet their operational and business needs. We also deployed early prototypes in the for real-world testing, which helped us refine and arrive at a final design validated solution. So as the industry's very first fully integrated electric refuse truck. It delivers full days range on a single charge. So the vehicles leave in the morning and they can come back after a full day's work, and they don't need to be charged in between. And the vehicle's advanced driver assistance systems, provide safety equivalent to a modern automobile, supporting our customers to attract and retain driver operators. So the Volterra eRCV boost efficiency cuts maintenance cost and sets new standards in mobility, ergonomics and driver comfort. So we also built a comprehensive TCO, total cost of ownership model to support the deployment plans and to validate real-world benefits. The eRCV is backed by 90-plus patents. Let me repeat that. The eRCV is backed by 90-plus patent, highlighting our innovation leadership. And you'll hear more about the business value of eRCV and Volterra from Mike when he comes up on stage. So looking ahead, the first part of the eRCV is electrifying the propulsion system. We're going beyond that. Looking ahead, we are introducing the electric [ Zero ADS ] arm. I'm going to use the word [ Ezra]. It's a pretty cool thing to say. I'm referring to the arm that picks up the refuse bin that you see on the side loader. So [ Ezra ] replaces traditional hydraulics with electric activation, making the system lighter, quieter, more energy efficient and easier to maintain. So when you combine this with AI-powered bin detection, the card seeker technology they'll address, I'll talk about later. It can reduce the route times by up to 45 minutes per vehicle per day that is real, measurable efficiency for our fleet operators and for our customers. So next, let's dive into how we are advancing autonomy and active safety. So our work in autonomy began in the early 2000s. Through collaboration with the U.S. military, where we pioneered by wire systems, and laid the groundwork for advanced driver safety technologies and off-road autonomy. So our work in defense applications have given us a head start in autonomy and continues to keep us at the cutting edge even today. So our key differentiators in this space right? We are focused on targeted deployment of autonomy, what we refer to as moments of autonomy, right, with the intent of automating and simplifying complex vehicle operations or jobs to be done, again, designed with the customer value as the guiding post. So our advanced driver assistant [ ADAS ] systems such as automatic emergency braking, 360 camera, cross traffic alert are rapidly becoming a standard feature across all of our products. And these are purpose designed for the specific application, ensuring optimized design and overall system cost. Our perception and motion planning, which is a key element of autonomous systems. It's a software stack built on AI and machine learning algorithms, and they support cross application deployment, scaling across a range of our use cases. So with thousands of miles of real-world testing across successive development cycles, our solutions are grounded in real-world validation and engineered for high reliability. Here is a real-world example of autonomous technology in action. So John highlighted this in the airport of the future. -- most of us who travel experienced delays waiting for a [ jetbridge ] operator. And I can tell you, [ jetlag ] docking is a complex operation. Just think of the complexity of moving the building, a large building towards an aircraft in a very precise way to a multimillion-dollar aircraft. It's not an easy thing to do. It can be slower times and requires significant operator training. Our Oshkosh [ Jet Dock ] technology uses advanced sensors and AI to detect the aircraft door, plants the docking path and autonomously moves the bridge with a real time height adjustment for a fast, precise docking. Again, we brought customers in the loop during the development. We collaborated both with both airports and airlines to conduct real world testing of our preproduction pilots at 2 airport locations. These trials enabled us to refine targeting, positioning and auto parking capabilities, resulting in a final precision docking system that is in production today. So designed for efficiency and safety, [ jet dock ] reduces turnaround times, supports cost-effective operations and mitigates aircraft damage while docking. To me, the future of autonomy, the future of moments of autonomy holds the vast potential from smarter baggage systems, on-demand refuse collection, which we saw -- which had demo at CES, to enhance roadside safety systems, which is a tech transfer from our motorsports technology. autonomous training robots for the military and productivity solutions for jobs to be done at height in the access segment. So the third pillar of our advanced technology team is the intelligent connected products, a space we've been advancing since the mid-2000s. So today, every product ships standard with embedded controls, electronics embedded controls, software and capable of being connected, making the intelligent systems a new baseline. So we offer customizable customer portals built on common cloud platform that provide advanced analytics, over-the-air updates and real-world diagnostics capabilities. Our analytics turn data into actionable insights, enabling predictive maintenance, increasing uptime and delivering intelligent fleet management. Together, these systems deliver smarter operations, reduce downtime and ongoing value. Now I'll share an example of how we are applying intelligent connected technology. So John mentioned this, JLG's ClearSky [ SmartFleet ] is the construction industry's first real-time connectivity fleet management platform. It features fully integrated IoT communications with mesh network that ensures seamless machine-to-machine connectivity. It delivers actionable insights across thousands of connected assets, enabling data-driven decisions. The value ClearSky can provide through further connectivity to a chaotic job site is unmatched. Mahesh will share a video that highlights the clear skies value. So connected solutions have the same value proposition across all our applications. Whether it's the refuse collection vehicle, our postal NGDV vehicle, a concrete mixer or iOPS technology that connects the airport ground support equipment altogether. So what's next? Looking ahead, we envision increasing levels of electronics and software. More functionality, more vehicle functionalities delivered through software, resulting in what we refer to as software-defined vehicle architecture that transforms machine intelligence. So we categorize the maturity levels of SDV ranging from basic functionality to vehicles becoming software platforms as shown in the bottom left of the slide. So as we prepare towards higher levels of SDB, so we've developed a proprietary multi-domain etch controller [ MDC], which combines functionality of 4 controllers into one, helping optimize cost and simplifying STB architecture. So intelligent products inherently embody machine learning and AI. In fact, machine learning and AI are applied both in our products and in our operations. And a few examples, the cart seeker, a bin detection in refuse collection vehicles enables smarter bean pickup avoiding missed collections and saves time on routes. The refuse contamination detection uses AI to ensure recycling loads are clean and compliant improving sorting quality and reduce processing times. Third, operator assistance, support route optimization and safe navigation, enhancing efficiency and reducing driver fatigue. Last but not least, AI-assisted maintenance and service simplifies troubleshooting accelerates repairs by providing predictive diagnostics and guided repaired steps. So these innovations are just a small part of our broader commitment to building intelligent products that adapt, learn and continuously improve. So now that you've got a glimpse into our customer-centric innovation and technology, let me switch gears and talk about our market introductions. We have developed a comprehensive road map across all our product portfolio to bring into production key technologies that I spoke of, both for today and into the future. This road map is grounded on unlocking customer value and ensuring TCO, total cost of ownership benefits. This is how we bring to life our vision of airport of the future, job [ side ] of the future and neighborhood of the future. You will hear more about the product introductions from Mahesh, John and Mike. Of course, we are aligning investments to support our execution plans. From 2022 to 2028, we are committing $3.1 billion in innovation and product investment, innovation and product development. fueling our vision for a smarter, safer and more connected solution. So in return, we expect to generate $19 billion in revenue and drive a 2,000 basis points increase in our new product vitality index, a clear signal of our accelerating innovation engine. Most importantly, this investment will power sustainable long-term growth, transforming the industries we serve and delivering unmatched value to our customers and our stakeholders. So in closing, we are a high-tech industrial technology company with a legacy of pioneering innovations and delivering on technology-enabled growth. Our customer-centric innovation starts with deep customer engagement and ends with solutions that are tailored, tested, untrusted, setting us apart in the industry. Our open innovation ecosystem gives us access to a broad range of emerging technologies and accelerate solution development. And we are leading a holistic transformation of our end markets, reshaping how the value is created and delivered. It is a great time to be working at Oshkosh. So with that, I'll turn it over to Mahesh to share access segment update. Thank you.
Mahesh Narang
executiveGood morning. I'm Mahesh Narang, and I lead the Access segment here at Oshkosh. I'm [indiscernible] to lead a team of extremely talented individuals managing iconic brands like JLG. JLG invented the boom lift over 50 years ago and even today continues to set the standards for safety and productivity for our everyday heroes on the job site. I've been in my role for just over 18 months, and I came to Oshkosh after a career spanning 20 years at Cummins. My last role at Cummins was President of the Components segment. Access, like many businesses at Cummins, is a very global business with still a lot of room to grow. And there are a lot of similarities in what I'm doing in my role at Access with what I did in my past roles at Cummins, like growing share, improving margins and diversifying to build resilience. I'm excited to be here, and I look forward to our interaction today. There are 3 key messages I want to communicate today. The first, we are winning in our core markets with a broad portfolio of product, excellent customer relations and strong innovation pipeline. The second we've improved margins with every economic cycle and continue to have strong momentum to continue that journey and meet the goals that John laid out for us. And third, we are building resilience by growing in life cycle and adjacent markets to reduce the cyclicality we have traditionally seen in our Access segment. Our total accessible market for the Access segment is about $23 billion. And to address this market, we have the broadest product lineup and our innovation leaders in the categories we serve. Both these are huge advantages as we look at the future trends in the market. I'll share a couple. From an industry standpoint, we are seeing an increasing need by our customers to configure products for specific applications based on the regions they are in. As an example, we recently launched the [ EC 450 ] boom that combined technology from our JLG boom, with our [ Hynova ] crawl boom to build a really compact boom for our European customers. Other examples, we again launched the [ Microses ] family offices, configured from our existing portfolio of [ Sess ] to meet the needs of the data center market. We are capitalizing on this trend of configuring products from our existing portfolio and feel we have a huge advantage as we approach the different markets. From a technology standpoint, we see an increasing trend for automation and software services. Imagine trying to find your machine in a yard with hundreds of other machines with just one click or using our machines to automate jobs to solve the problem of skilled labor. With our ClearSky [ smart fleet ] technology, which Jay also spoke about, we can do that today. Our broad product range, strong brands and leadership in innovation are all favorable trends that help us capture the growth in front of us. So what gives us a competitive advantage? We have many iconic brands that are renowned for quality and service which results in better residual value for our equipment. This also helps us get great Net Promoter Scores year after year. Our exceptional product range and exceptional aftermarket support helps with customer stickiness. We are the leaders in innovation in our categories and are transforming our products to becoming software-enabled vehicles to automate jobs for our customers. And lastly, we have an unmatched global footprint which positions us really well to make the right product at the right cost at the right location. At Oshkosh, as John mentioned, our strategies are organized around 3 core areas: innovate, serve and advance. In the next few slides, I will talk about how these apply to the Access segment. Let me start with innovate. Jay gave many examples of how Oshkosh is leading in innovation. I'm going to talk about a few that really resonate with the customers I interact with. I'll start with the next-generation boom. These new booms are software-enabled machines with advanced sensing. And what this does is it helps us achieve precise spatial positioning really transforming our machines into robotic systems. More so, they are available in their modular and available in diesel, in hybrid and in electric. So a customer that buys a diesel product today can easily convert it to EV when the technology changes. And this helps again with the residual value of the product. At DaVinci electric scissors, are completely electric with no hydraulics. This is extremely helpful in environments where cleanliness standards are really critical, like hospitals. We are super excited about our ClearSky smart fleet. And Jay spoke about it, John spoke about it. And you saw glimpses of that in the video as I walked up on stage. I'll share a few more on the next slide. We recently launched an aerospace package that stops our machines from touching the plane if an operator gets too close. Our machines take over and prevent damage to the airplane. We are releasing more such packages in different industries where active safety is a key requirement. And lastly, at CES, we demonstrated that we can have 2 of our machines talk to each other to automate jobs and, again, saw some of it in the job side of the future video. We are working on a lot of these pilots to make the future a reality today. Our ClearSky technology is revolutionary. It has 2 distinct advantages. The first advantage rather than just enabling a job like taking a person to a height to do the job, we can now automate tasks and we can execute jobs. Let me share this through a video. [Presentation]
Mahesh Narang
executiveSo there is also a second big advantage, and John referred to this. We are building connected ecosystems. Rather than just have a product with 2-way communication, we now have an ecosystem that can solve problems for customers beyond just a machine. Again, let me share a video to bring my point home. [Presentation]
Mahesh Narang
executiveJLG has a unique advantage that our machines are on the site from groundbreaking to project completion. We have the ability to connect to any Bluetooth device, like tools, like materials, people with hard hats. And this enables us to do things beyond just the machine on the job site. As an example, we can put cameras on a machine and send pictures of what's happening on the site. We can inform a supervisor about tools missing on the site. We can even provide project updates to our partners based on the operations being done with our machines. For us, the future is about building partnerships to increase the monetization potential for us, for our partners and for our customers. Jay spoke about 120,000 machines connected on ClearSky. We are just reaching scale where we can start monetizing this differentiating technology to solve problems on the job side by creating partnerships and improved safety, productivity and efficiency. So having spoken about innovation, I'm now going to move to serve. Customer support is core to who we are. We have a number of initiatives to advance this strategy. We are expanding our master parts distribution center in Asia and Europe. What this does is it lowers the cost to serve the customer and it reduces lead time resulting in higher life cycle revenues. We are expanding our remanufacturing and resale options. Again, this helps with residual value of our products. We are leveraging ClearSky smart fleet to increase automation and software services as well as building digital service tools for rapid service. All these initiatives, while increasing customer satisfaction, bring customers back to us and provide us with life cycle revenues that are both recurring and resilient. I'll move from serve to advance. I already spoke about how our serve strategy is helping with life cycle and software services. So I'll talk about the remaining 2 on the slide. We've built a complete lineup of low pivot boom telehandlers and acquired dumpers from our [ ALSA ] and [ Genova ] acquisitions to have a broad portfolio for the ag market. It's important to note that traditional players operate on the farm, whereas where Access and JLG will play will be in the [ barn]. We will help the farmers in operations like stockpiling, feeding. And so it's a very complementary play compared to the traditional players. As an American brand, building American products for our American farmers and solving their problems through automation brings us great pride. We are in the process of building out our dealer network and the response so far from our customers has been extremely positive. I'm going to quote Brad, who's a fifth-generation farmer. He says, since we have this, I don't know how we do without it. Our share in North America is extremely high in telehandlers. But we also have a lot of room to grow globally. So the same low pivot telehandlers will be made in our global factories to help us grow the telehandler market globally. We -- and lastly, we've made some good acquisitions over the year, like [ Jordan], like [ Hynova], like AUSA. We have detailed plans, many initiatives each small, but with good margin that help us advance our strategy of building our business around the North America rental market in specialty markets that are more resilient. So we are targeting significant incremental revenue beyond the North America rental channel through some of these initiatives. As part of advance to be more resilient, it's also important that we improve our cost structure. We have a huge focus on accelerating cost reduction and is in efficiency. We have strong momentum on material cost reduction. It's in our DNA. We look at it every day, and we work on reducing cost. At the same time, we are doing a lot of work on fit-for-market products are selling the right product at the right cost to our customers. Our future growth is going to be in existing factories. And we are increasing automation where it makes sense to make our factories more efficient. We also have a global footprint, which gives us the speed and agility to adjust to tariffs and disruptions. This is particularly important in today's environment. As an example, in less than a year, we moved our production of booms from China to our factory in Europe in Italy, which helped us completely mitigate the impact of tariffs. So we are focused on driving higher margins through the life cycle by our focus on diversification and accelerating cost reductions. Our transformation is visible in our numbers. We -- since 2010, we have improved our sales with -- for mid-cycle sales from $3 billion to $4.2 billion. And we've improved our operating margin from 11.1% to 12.3%. Our goals for 2028 are sales between $5.3 billion to $5.8 billion and operating margin between 14% to 16%. We've actually done this in the past. It's now about sustaining it through the economic cycle. So to reiterate the goals. In 2028, we want to be between $5.3 billion to $5.8 billion in sales and 14% to 16% in margins. Even after adjusting for market recovery like we've seen in the last few years, we are growing at more than GDP and a little more than that in our North America and Europe markets. For the Access segment, it's about disciplined execution. We've got the playbook. We've got the talent and we have the technology to get there. So I'll wrap up with the same 3 messages I started my presentation with. We are winning in our key markets with focus on innovation. We are driving disciplined execution to improve margins with every economic cycle. And we are building resilience through growth in life cycle and adjacent markets. We are focused on execution and the best is still to come. Thank you.
Patrick Davidson
executiveAll right. We're doing pretty well. We're a couple of minutes behind, but not a lot. So we are going to take 10 minutes. I got 10:55 all you Apple Watch people, hopefully, you're [ on target ] with me. We'll do 11:05. So 11:05 back in this room, and we'll get started with the second half. Thank you. [Break]
Patrick Davidson
executiveAll right. The break clock is flashing so that is time for us to get back in and continue on with the meeting. So that said, John Pfeifer will talk about our transport segment.
John Pfeifer
executiveSo hello again. Let's talk now about our [ Transport ] segment. You may have seen a little bit earlier this week, and then Pat talked about it as we opened the meeting, we have made a decision that we now are calling what used to be Oshkosh Defense, [ Oshkosh Transport]. And that reflects the changing nature of the business as well as the overall trajectory of where the growth is coming from in this business as we go forward. Now if you look at the segment, rest assured, Oshkosh Defense is still part of it. Oshkosh Defense is a powerful brand name. It is a business that is well known and well respected by the United States Department of Defense and many departments of defense for allied nations that we serve all over the world. It is now a business within this transport segment which has got a changing nature. We are really -- Pat also talked about the background of [ Steve Nordland], who's joining us in July. We're really excited to talk a bit about where Steve's from. We're really excited to have Steve come on board. Steve is the right leader for this business going forward. And more than that, Steve is a great addition to an already strong management team. So we're really excited about that as well. So we now got key people and key capabilities in place. So we're positioned going forward to drive strong performance in a much -- in a very promising future for this business. And I might add -- our backlog supports the growth that I'm talking about. This business in total, in its totality, what's in it, it's built on a solid foundation. I think that starts with its engineering excellence that we have in this business, but it's also known by its customers for reliability, innovation, and really an unwavering commitment to never stopping until we meet the needs of the mission that's there for the customer. Key messages today for our transport segment, 3 things really to take away from this. Number one, we're improving margins, and we are dramatically improving margins. In tactical wheeled vehicles. I'm talking about the Oshkosh defense tactical wheeled vehicles. And this comes through sole-source contracts that offer significantly enhanced pricing, but it's more than just significantly enhanced pricing, it's also economic protection clauses that protect us going forward, make us more resilient in the future. Second, we're expanding into what we call modernization adjacencies. This is -- and this is also got attractive international pieces to the growth trajectory for these modern adjacencies. It allows us to showcase and position ourselves right where the priorities are in terms of where our customer dollars are going. And third, of course, certainly not least, is the beautiful NGDV that you see on the right-hand side of this chart. This positions us not only as a platform for growth but it is a totally transformational vehicle for the entire delivery industry. So those are the 3 things to take away from today's message. Now I want to stop. I want to hit pause for just 1 minute and hit something that I think we'll all find is very important. This segment has been underperforming. And we have taken key actions to position it differently and most importantly, position it for strong and sustainable returns going forward. It starts back to -- I talked about sole-source contracts. It starts with improving profitability through the contracts that we have, and that work is done. And it's significantly improved pricing on key programs that have the resiliency and are backed by economic price protection clauses. We've refined our focus on modernizing the existing fleet for our customer. It enables us to really deliver critical technology that helps the Department of Defense to deploy the best tools and technologies faster, in many cases, without even having to buy a new vehicle and it's in the crosshairs of what their priorities are for those precious DoD dollars. That's what drives margin for our company, those types of modernization programs. And this represents -- might add a growing opportunity to deliver advanced customized solutions meeting today's challenges really all over the world. It positions Oshkosh Defense for long-term success and sustainable performance. So our competitive advantages, we will always lead through technology and innovation in the end markets that we serve. That's what we do everywhere. Our infrastructure is best-in-class and we are certified to the highest manufacturing and quality standards. You heard today, Jay talk about the power of our patents. Well, this segment Transport holds 260 or so of those patents. It really demonstrates the strength of our intellectual property, along with the deep expertise, particularly in autonomy. When you think about Jay talked 1,300, I said 260 a year. When you think about those 260 that generated from this business, we have a specific capability and autonomous functionality development. We do a lot of autonomous vehicles. When you hear about the [ Rome ] fires for example, it's an autonomous vehicle. We are then able to take those patents, and we are able to leverage it across the entire enterprise. And we do that all over the place, not just in this business. But it magnifies the meaning when I say there's 260 patents that got generated from this business. Our vehicles really are at the forefront of modernization efforts. And this cuts across both the defense business and the delivery business, and it delivers unmatched productivity benefits for our customer. A market snapshot for you. In our Defense business, we're seeing dynamic markets shaped by global conflict and battlefield modernization that drives increased demand for autonomous functionality and versatility that I just talked about. Autonomy, autonomy, autonomy is what is happening in the world of defense today. On the delivery side, the rapid and ongoing rise of e-commerce that we're all part of that drives the need for different but safe, productive and clean vehicles to replace what today are outdated vehicles. And that's across the entire sector of that end market. They're all outdated vehicles. Our strengths are in autonomy. They're in electrification, they're intelligent connected products, and they are empowered by connectivity and AI that positions us to really outperform in both of these end markets in this transport segment. Our strategic priorities for the transport segment that are consistent with the whole organization. We talk about innovation, we talk about serving and we talk about advance and advancing our market position. So let's start, and we'll talk about innovating to modernize the defense fleets through programs like the autonomous ROGUE Fires program that integrates payloads and offers expanded versatility. This is a view of what future vehicles for the DoD look like there on the left-hand side of the page. Last-mile delivery fleets, they're all aged with obsolete technology. And I'm not just talking about the United States Postal Service fleet. We're delivering the most advanced last mile delivery vehicle, packed with safety and ergonomic features that allow a transformation of both safety in the vehicle and around the vehicle and product -- big productivity gains for the last mile delivery worker. The NGDV platform, specifically for the postal service that you see on the right, that's a purpose-built vehicle from the ground up. It's integrated with safety. It's [ and ] the flexibility to support that same vehicle comes in either a low-emission internal combustion powertrain or it comes in an electric vehicle powertrain that ensures readiness for whatever application the United States Postal Service needs to fill. And it gives them the flexibility with the same vehicle for today as well as for whatever comes at them in the near future. We're a full-service partner. Our aftermarket capabilities provide end-to-end support, parts and kits and life cycle management. We use analytics and process improvements to increase our support and parts sales and service to the DoD. We provide technology upgrades to existing fleets to modernize them that allows more versatility and better use of DoD dollars. And the largest fleet of delivery vehicles in the world is the United States Postal Service fleet. These vehicles are used 6 days a week up to 10 hours a day, sometimes longer. That's a big time duty cycle. When you think about that 52 weeks a year, these vehicles are built to last 20 years. So as we upgrade and populate the fleet, we've put the structure in place to support the growing need for life cycle support on those vehicles, which is another very strong business for us and for our shareholders. We're evolving our defense portfolio to meet the demands of modern warfare by advancing to meet the priorities of the DoD. We have a collaborative approach with global partners that enables us to develop tailored solutions and leverage our experience to support the rising demand in new categories. You see how we've evolved on this page that we have up right now. We expand our presence to meet rising international demand for mission-ready capabilities and technologies. At the same time, we strengthened partnerships both domestically and globally to extend the reach of these modernization efforts. So let's talk about the NGDV and the delivery vehicles, this is a clear example. This vehicle is a clear example of innovation in action. We took our capabilities across our enterprise, and we applied them to a totally new category of everyday hero, the last mile delivery worker. And that starts the first and foremost, starts with the United States Postal carrier, the hundreds of thousands of people that do this work. This vehicle is equipped with sensors, cameras, intelligent connectivity solutions. It offers maximum ergonomics, including enhanced visibility, comfort, easy entry and exit. It features new advanced driver safety systems. And we built that again on a platform that supports with one vehicle, either electric or internal combustion, depending on what the specific use case is specific region of the United States of America. This is a vehicle that's designed to do the job with the delivery worker, the postal carrier at the center of every single decision that was made. If you look at the total business here for just this specific vehicle, the USPS last mile delivery fleet includes 200,000 vehicles which is just the USPS fleet, 200,000 vehicles. That's just last mile delivery vehicles. They've got over 130,000 of those of that 200, which is the aging -- I could say, significantly aging [ LLs]. That's, again, just the USPS fleet. The NGDV program represents the most significant USPS fleet modernization efforts in decades. It might be ever with the opportunity will deliver up to 165,000 vehicles to deliver what they need to modernize the fleet. Beyond the USPS itself, the parcel delivery market has grown significantly in recent years. We all know why, and it's projected to continue to expand at a 6% compounded annual growth rate over the foreseeable horizon. The here and now of this program, you're going to see a video here. This is an actual video. We're ramping up production on track to achieve full rate production by the fourth quarter or in the fourth quarter of 2025 and we have built a state-of-the-art manufacturing plant. It's in production now, and it's ramping, as I just talked about. Our new vehicles are already delivering mail in 18 states across the country, and that number keeps going up almost every week. As mentioned earlier, we are focused on comprehensive life cycle support for this transformative fleet because it will be in the market, driving productivity for 20 years into the future. Looking ahead, we're targeting our sales in the transport segment to reach approximately $3.1 billion to $3.2 billion by 2028. That's up about $1 billion from where we are today in 2025. So a disciplined execution of the contracts on both sides of this business, we expect to more than double the operating margin, 4% to 10% by 2028. To close, this transport segment is positioned for margin growth. It's positioned for modernization relevance a long-term delivery platform leadership as well. It's a portfolio that reflects the evolving mission landscape and we're doing it with scale and with speed and credibility that our customers expect. So with that, I am now going to introduce to the stage, Mike who's going to talk about our vocational business. Thank you.
Michael Pack
executiveWell, good morning, everyone. I'm thrilled to be here today. It's particularly my new capacity as vocational segment President. I've been with Oshkosh for nearly 19 years now. Most recently, I served as a Chief Financial Officer up until the point that Matt joined us back in December. It's great to see everyone today. It's -- I know I've had the opportunity meet many of you over the years had a great time already today, having the opportunity to catch up with many of you. So again, very excited for what's ahead for vocational. It's truly an exciting time in our business. We're driving tremendous revenue growth, as you're going to see today, as well as earnings growth. We expect that, that strong growth is going to continue into 2028 and beyond. In vocational, we deliver innovative, purpose-built vehicles and equipment. And John talked a lot about this. They provide our vehicles provide tangible benefits to our customers, and that's why they keep coming back to us. And we do this under market-leading brands, Pierce fire trucks, McNeilus [ Refuse ] and recycling collection vehicles as well as Oshkosh AeroTech jet bridges in airport ground support equipment. Our customers. They provide critical services within our community. And that's important because it means we're operating in noncyclical and growing markets, really supporting those who are doing some of the toughest jobs in our communities. And with these volume dynamics or strong market dynamics, we're making investments in capacity, and we'll talk a lot about capacity today to unlock the significant volume and growth opportunities that we see in our backlog. We ultimately expect that this is going to drive about a 20% to 30% revenue growth from 2025 to 2028. And that's beyond the roughly 15% we expect to deliver this year. And importantly, what you're going to hear today is our plan is absolutely grounded with a meaningful portion of our backlog already extending out into 2028. So with a bit of a -- with that backdrop, let's do a little deeper dive on our vocational end markets. We operate in 3 markets: municipal, airport and infrastructure. And we're a #1 or a strong #2 player in each one of these markets that we serve. And we -- if you add these 3 markets together, we believe the market size about $19 billion per year. Importantly, we do expect that these markets are going to continue to grow over the next several years. Let's talk a little bit more about municipal. We see elevated backlogs in that portion of our business. And that's really emanating from the strong demand that we saw coming out of the pandemic. So we have great visibility, particularly for fire truck demands with those backlogs. But beyond the backlogs, there's a lot more to the story because we see aged fleets in our communities and as well as the fact that our products are providing critical services. So they're absolutely critical to performing those operations in some of those most dangerous tasks in our communities. And finally, solid municipal finance support that those -- that the markets will continue to grow for the foreseeable future. Let's shift to airports. We expect the airport market is going to continue to grow as well, and that's strongly tied to air passenger travel dynamics where we expect strong air [ passer ] travel dynamics growing at mid- to high single digits through the end of the decade. So we expect the business to be able to grow at least at that rate and perhaps above. And finally, infrastructure. Well, it's a smaller portion of our segment, we do expect that those businesses will continue to be nice contributors to our growth. Now with a bit of a market backdrop, let's switch to what are competitive advantages we have in our markets. And I'm really going to talk about 3. First, we are the market leader for new technology. Our patented technology provides safety benefits, productivity, as John and Jay talked a lot about as well as reliability benefits for our customers. Our customers are asking for innovation, particularly that innovation with tangible benefits, and we're delivering every day on that need. Second, we have a best-in-class dealer network. With the critical nature of the work that our customers are performing within our communities, equipment uptime is absolutely crucial. Well, with our dealer network with unmatched service footprint and service parts availabilities, really fulfilling that critical need for our customers and ultimately drives repeat business. And finally, third, our products have a lower total cost of ownership relative to the competition. And we have extremely sophisticated customers, and they're willing to pay a higher upfront price for that total cost of ownership on a [ bet ]. So now that you have an overview of our markets and our competitive advantages, let's break it down and do what our strategic priorities are over the next few years that are going to drive profitable growth. You've seen Mahesh and John present this slide before for transport and access provides a nice snapshot of our key priorities under each one of these elements of our strategy. And I'm going to begin with innovation. So innovation is our lifeblood. We talked a lot about innovation, but customers want technology, again, technology driving benefits, productivity and so on. So how are we innovating in vocational for the neighborhoods and airports of the future? And I'm going to start with neighborhoods. And first, I'm going to start with electrification. So our Volterra suite of electrified trucks, and you see one of our [ refuse ] collection vehicles and fire trucks up on the screen are operating in our neighborhoods today. We're in production. They're working well. They're great for our customers because they're cleaner, they're quieter. And in many cases, they're more safe and more productive than their internal combustion engine counterparts. Second area of innovation for neighborhoods is moments of autonomy and AI. Our [ card seeker ] technology uses AI to identify refuse and recycling collection bins as well as incorporates automation to really take the collection process down to the push of a button. When combined with the electric refuse arm, that next-generation arm that Jay talked about a dramatically speeds to refuse collection process. That's real value for our customers because it means operators can cover more homes in a single shift. Now let's switch to airports. So in the airport front, we've also -- I'm going to start with electrified products again. We've developed a full suite of electrified products over the past several years from ground support equipment to our electric Volterra RF trucks. That's significant because our customers across the globe, and there's a lot of global airport expansion right now, they're looking for opportunities to reduce the carbon footprint of airports. And our equipment is a critical contributor to reducing that carbon footprint. Second area that we're innovating with airports is jet dock autonomy that both Jay and John talked about earlier, it provides autonomy to both the jet bridges and cargo orders. It speeds the process, reduces training. Training is a big deal as Jay talked about, it's complicated working the jet bridges, and importantly, it also reduces the risk of damage to aircraft, which is a huge issue in the transition in cargo loading operations and so on that can be very, very costly for our customers. Importantly, as we talk about all the technologies on this page, we're developing them once. And we're launching them across Oshkosh Corporation. And that's particularly important because it means we can go faster get these new solutions in the hands of our customers sooner, they're more reliable. And at the end of the day, we're investing less as a company to get these solutions out into the marketplace. So now I want to switch to serve because we have a tremendous opportunity to grow in the life cycle space and vocational as well. Not only does increased life cycle drive resilient increases in parts revenue and margins, but it also has the opportunity to help drive our share because ultimately, winning in life cycle means that we're delivering on that critical uptime needs that our customers have and can drive that share for our original equipment. We see 3 big life cycle growth areas that I'm going to talk about. First is our [ Pierce ] dealer network, which has been a competitive advantage in the fire truck industry for many years with the unmatched sales and parts coverage that we offer. In fact, our [ Pierce ] dealers have increased their service locations by over 30% in the past 5 years alone. One of the key synergies we saw early on of combining Pierce and McNeilus into the vocational segment a few years ago was to really take the great thing that we had with our Pierce dealer network and expand that to McNeilus [ refuse ] and recycling customers. And we've done just that. And what it's allowing us to better do is much better to serve those small and medium-sized [ refuse ] haulers. Historically, we've underserved that portion of the market. So it's opening up a new market for us, for our market-leading products. We're already seeing a tremendous benefit from this move with increased order activity. Second area I want to talk about is iOPS, which is our connected solution for airports. Jay and John both talked about it. But what iOPS does is it really tracks hundreds of data points at the airport gate to facilitate decision-making for operators and enhances productivity, it's ultimately all contributing to that perfect aircraft turn that we talk about in that airport of the future. But it doesn't stop just with iOPS. We see a tremendous opportunity with our large installed base to offer retrofit kits of connected solutions that we're developing. So things like our iOPS system I just talked about or the collision avoidance and mitigation system and other safety systems that we're developing as a company. [ CAMS], in this case, was developed by Pratt Miller and is now being spread out throughout the company. And it's also our rough use contamination scanning detection software or tools is also an opportunity for [ Retrophad]. And the third area I want to talk about is our airport services business. You may recall when we acquired AeroTech, one of the things, and we liked a lot of things about AeroTech. One of the things we liked was that about 30% to 40% of their business is recurring life cycle business. And within that, a big chunk of that is their services business. Our services business, it's really long-term maintenance contracts from everything from baggage handling systems to ground support equipment to jet bridges. Well, we see the opportunity to grow that business. Right now, it's a pretty domestically oriented business here in North America. We see the opportunity to go more global with it. We also see the opportunity to expand the breadth of our offerings. So again, many opportunities in life cycle space to continue to drive growth. Now I'm going to shift gears to advance. And we see 2 big opportunities for advancement. The first one is international growth, particularly in the airport market, which I touched on a little bit in the last slide. But also I'm going to talk about capacity expansion to advance their existing customers. And I know that's a big focus area for -- and I know many of you are aware of that. We've talked a lot about it on our earnings calls over the past several quarters. I'm going to start with international. So what you see is the chart on the right shows that expectation around the global growth of air passenger travel through 2030, again, seeing that mid- to high single-digit growth. And you also see that the growth trajectory picked right up where it left off prior to the pandemic. The great news is the strong dynamics that we've seen has fuel the construction of more airports across the globe. It's also contributed to expansion of existing airports. So demand is strong. The great news is we have a comprehensive lineup of products with broad international appeal, whether we're talking about our airport ground support equipment, our jet bridges or our electric Volterra Arc trucks. In fact, those Volterra trucks are already opening the door internationally in new markets that we've not served in the past. So we've had great success there and expect that to continue. Today, only about 15% to 20% of our airport business is international. So clearly, we see an opportunity to grow that business with our comprehensive lineup of products and are, again, with the great growth opportunities in the market. What it comes down to is really targeting the right growth markets and optimizing our go-to-market strategy. The great news is we do have manufacturing and service footprint in Europe and Asia already today. So it's going to come down to better leveraging our existing footprint, targeting some prudent organic expansion for things like jet bridges where we don't have a lot of international penetration today as well as potentially leveraging some smaller bolt-on acquisitions to speed the process. But the bottom line is we have the right team and strategy to grow in the global airport market. So now I'm going to shift to our biggest growth driver, and that's advancing through capacity expansion. If you look at that 20% to 30% revenue growth we expect to deliver over the next 3 years, about half of that or about 50% of that is coming through capacity. You can see the significant growth in our backlog to $6.3 billion at the end of 2024, and that's tied to the favorable market dynamics on the right side of the page. We have the opportunity to unlock meaningful revenue growth and favorable pricing for fire trucks and [ rock use ] collection vehicles by making prudent investments in capacity over the next few years. And a significant portion of this capacity can be unlocked through operational efficiencies, again, within our existing footprint as well as new manufacturing methods again, within our existing footprint. And that's really what the big focus areas of our investments are going to be targeted towards -- and it's the decisions to grow capacity, we have outstanding visibility with a significant number of our fire trucks already extending in backlog out to 2028. So now let's talk about how we prudently expand production capacity. And what I want to do is I'm going to start with the great work that we've delivered at McNeilus over the last few years. What you're seeing on the video behind me is a video of one of our high flow lines in Dodge Center Minnesota. We've successfully launched 3 of these high flow lines over the last 2 years, 2 in Dodge Center Minnesota and one in [ Murphysboro, ] Tennessee. These lines leverage automated guided vehicles. You see the body on an automated guided vehicle behind me, connected tools and other industry 4.0 technologies. These high flow lines, they improve the safety of the work for our team members. It improves the quality of the trucks that we produce with a lot of that torque tracking and other tracking mechanisms we have as well as improves the efficiency of our manufacturing processes ultimately will driving a significant increase in the volume of trucks that we're producing. We're already seeing a meaningful increase in our output over the last 9 to 12 months. We expect more increases in throughput with the lines we have in place in coming quarters. And we do have the opportunity with the strong demand that we see to add another high full line in Murphysboro, Tennessee over the next year. So now I want to contrast the final assembly line at McNeilus that you just saw on the previous slide to the work that we're doing at Pierce. So notice the trucks are really tightly packed together in our Pierce facility. Our final assembly process, you can think of it more as a moving baybuild process. This is frankly how McNeilus that you just saw in the previous slides with our hypo lines used to build refuse collection vehicles. What we're doing is we're leveraging those learnings from McNeilus to implement high flow lines at peers over roughly the next 18 to 24 months. It's one of those things that it's a process you have to go through. You don't just flip a light switch and you're suddenly producing a lot more trucks. So we're going through a methodical process on this to make sure we're doing it right. This represents a major modernization of the manufacturing process, but our confidence is really high given the great work that we're able to deliver at McNeilus. It will ultimately result in better safety, again, for our team members, better quality of trucks and dramatically increase throughput to unlock that revenue and pricing that's in our backlog. But it's not all about just our final assembly lines to increase production. We're also breaking down other bottlenecks as well. You see here a paint automated paint on the screen as well as we're adding new high-tech fabrication equipment. The bottom line is we have the opportunity to continue to add these capabilities over the next few years to improve these bottleneck areas. When you look at fabrication, we're adding new modern multifunction fabrication equipment where one machine is replacing 2 to 3 pieces of legacy equipment, and it frees up valuable production space. And finally, it doesn't stop just on the shop floor when we look at capacity. We're also working on design for manufacturing projects within our engineering team and that's ultimately to contribute to reduced manufacturing labor hours, improving the quality of the trucks that we're producing again because a lot of that can be built in upfront in the design but also improving the serviceability of our truck. Some of the key focus areas that we're working on right now are the [ Pumps ] plumbing operation for fire trucks, which is one of the most complex areas of a custom fire apparatus as well as we're working on simplifying our electrical systems. Overall, we're really pleased with our progress to date on our capacity projects and look forward to completing these critical projects over the next couple of years. So how do these market dynamics and strategic focus areas translate to our financial results over the next 3 years. As you can see, we see tremendous growth in sales and operating margins over the next few years. We expect to grow revenues by over 20% to 30% from 2025 to 2028, and that's on the heels of a 15% increase this year, so tremendous growth. And we also expect to grow our operating margins from about 15% this year in 2025 to 16% to 18% by 2028. And this is beyond about 160 basis point improvement we expect to deliver this year. And keep in mind, this is a grounded plan given the great visibility we have to our noncyclical markets and our strong backlog. So in summary, we're excited about the progress in the vocational segment over the past several years and the strong outlook for growth through 2028. We have strong market dynamics for our market-leading products and services. We're investing in capacity to unlock our full growth potential. And we're going to continue to invest in technologies that drive safety, productivity and total cost of ownership benefits for our customers. And importantly, and I'm going to repeat it one more time that our plan is grounded with our outstanding visibility and we look forward to delivering on the plan. So with that, I'm going to now turn it over to my good friend and Oshkosh CFO, Matt Field. Thank you.
Matthew Field
executiveThanks, Mike. All right. So every CFO loves an Investor Day. It takes a lot of work. So first of all, I just want to thank the team that helped pull this together. But it's also the chance for the CFO to be the closer and people actually look forward to when he comes on stage. So thank you for your forbearance. We have published slides that include the financial slides that I'm sharing today. So those are up on our Investor Relations website as well as the micro site. So please do pull them down if you want to follow along as I present. So my name is Matt Field. I'm the CFO at Oshkosh. I've been here about 7 months. Prior to my time here at Oshkosh. I was the CFO of an aerospace startup in California. And then I spent a couple of decades at Ford in a variety of domestic and international roles. I'm excited to be here and represent the employees in their finance and strategy, but also the employees of the company and the customers we serve. Our employees and customers depend on Oshkosh to do their jobs and then get home safely to their families each and every day. That's what Oshkosh is all about. I know we're here to talk about the financials but it's the purpose and culture that set Oshkosh apart and are equally important. And that's really why I'm here as well. I'm here to be closer to family, but also I saw the growth opportunities that we're sharing today. And so really happy to be there really happy to dig into the numbers with you. So for me, you're going to hear about 3 themes throughout my presentation. First, we have an outstanding portfolio of leading businesses with advanced solutions and technologies that are going to drive margin in each and every division. Second, we expect to deliver strong financial performance and EPS growth through improved margin expansion sales growth and cash generation. Third, we will maintain a disciplined capital allocation strategy that supports our growth through 2028 and drives value for shareholders. We have a solid financial foundation, and we stand at the cusp of change, a change to the revenue growth trajectory, a change to our margin profile and a change to our products which embrace more technology that can be connected, autonomous and improve the lives of those who do the toughest work. So let's look at -- let's look back at our performance in 2022 and the last time we got together. John touched on this. In May 2022, we set out ambitious targets for 2025, and we achieved many of those targets a year ahead of schedule. We grew revenue $2.4 billion. We doubled operating margin, and we nearly tripled EPS, again, a year ahead of schedule. While ROIC fell short of targets, the investments we made into our business supports this next phase of growth. And you're going to see some of those investments. I'll dig into them in a few slides. So you heard from the team about our strategies on the inner wheel. The innovate, serve and advance initiatives in each of our segments. I'm going to focus on the outer wheel, the financial disciplines that support that strategy. First, diversified growth. Through strong backlogs, we have clarity on near-term revenue growth and with the strategic initiatives, we can deliver balanced, resilient returns. Second, healthy margins. We're driving to expand margins in each and every business, as you heard, through improving our through-cycle profitability with pricing, operational excellence, cost discipline and innovative products. Lastly, disciplined capital allocation. We will maintain a healthy balance sheet, which allows us to allocate capital to drive long-term growth while also increasing shareholder returns in a thoughtful way. Our long-term annual objectives are rooted in growing faster than market. This is supported by our visibility into robust backlogs and the long-term trends that John mentioned. The initiatives discussed across the company in each of the segments, both organic, but also the inorganic ones, we expect to add to that growth rate by 2 to 4 percentage points. And from a profitability perspective, we're at the inflection point to grow our operating margin 50 to 100 basis points per year based off the concrete steps you've heard us outline today. These initiatives and the investments in vocational and delivery are expected to generate strong cash flow and deliver an attractive return on capital over the near term. So what are the actual targets? How do they roll up for 2028. This is the slide most of you asked about during the break. And now it's here. So welcome. We expect EPS to nearly double after nearly tripling since 2022. With sales of $13 billion to $14 billion at a company level, that represents a sales annual growth rate of 7% to 10%. That revenue is generated across the years with backlogs that already extend into 2028. And based off the delivery of those units and existing orders in 2/3 of our segments, the check is literally in the mail when we build them. So as we add capacity and ship units, we already have the orders to support them in 2 of our 3 segments through many of these years. Access growth is modest relative to 2024 after a down year this year. Adjusted operating income of 12% to 14% represents an increase of 200 to 400 basis points. And this reflects an improved mix of business, a robust vocational segment reasonable returns in transport and improved margins and margin resiliency and access. These are all based off clearly defined and achievable plans with cash conversion expected to be about 90% or above in -- through the sector. Now I should note, these comparisons for 2025 reflect our initial January 30 guidance, which was pre-tariff. We feel this provides a more comprehensive and clear baseline for variance understanding. How does the revenue stack up? So revenue growth through 2028, over 50% of that is supported with existing contracts and backlogs including NGDV capacity actions and pricing, including the economic price adjustments that John referenced earlier. Market growth and share gains reflect the action plans discussed today, notably, in international growth and in the aftermarket segment. And then you can see on the right that the growth is sizable, but also balanced across each segment with all contributing to growing our revenue across the period. Turning to adjusted operating income. This reflects strong improvements from scale benefits, cost reductions, favorable price cost dynamics, offset by further investment in new product development. On the right, you can see how that breaks out by segment, which you actually saw earlier, but still, it has a sizable contribution from transport as it returns again to past margins that we've seen, the impact of locational capacity and then resilience in the Access segment. Cash flow, you see returned to strong cash conversion after a relatively low performance over the last couple of years. Our performance in the last couple of years reflects working capital, investments in new products as well as prepayments on fire trucks, which have turned around, which have kind of a long cycle. So we received significant prepayments in the past. And now we're building those trucks. And so we had negative customer advances in the recent past. The 90-plus percent cash conversion reflects a robust performance outlook and return to strong cash flow. In fact, this conversion could be over 100 [ bit ] if those customer advances actually return to what we saw in the past, when our backlog in Pierce was closer to 18 to 20 months. And we do think that's possible at the end of the period. So overall, this reflects a very diversified portfolio. Our revenue and margin growth across the business that creates a business that's strong and better together with technology leadership and industry-leading brands with an operating margin of 12% to 14%, a robust noncyclical vocational segment with returns in the upper teens, a more resilient Access segment with returns in the mid-teens and a defense segment at about 10%, which is what we've seen with past performance. More importantly, and I'm going to spend a little bit of time on this slide. This is a very different portfolio of businesses from when we were here last time. It's a company transformation. On the left, you can see the portfolio of revenue by segment. On the right, adjusted operating income with the data in 2002 and our projections for 2022, sorry, and our projections for 2028. So on the revenue side, you can see vocational is now expected to be 36% execute against our backlog and have our capacity actions. But you see a much more dramatic shift in our operating income on the right. There, you see a balanced operating income basis for the company with vocational and access at 42% and transport at 16%. What's notable on this slide is that compared to 2022, Access was 60% of our adjusted operating income. So much more balanced adjusted operating income into the future. Now I want to turn to our strategy for capital allocation. This starts with a strong investment-grade balance sheet, followed by organic growth, which is our highest return the capacity, the innovation we've discussed are drivers for our future growth. Next, returning money to shareholders, especially if that's our next best return of our investments from our historically low multiples that we've seen in the market recently. So that's a priority for us. And lastly is M&A. Through an always-on pipeline, which we'll discuss is the other element of our capital allocation. So let's talk about our balance sheet. Our balance sheet is in excellent shape. Debt is manageable, maturities are well staggered, and we have ample liquidity for investment, both organic and inorganic but also to manage any uncertainties in the market. Our capital allocation strategy starts from the strong balance sheet. And we pursue disciplined capital allocation over time. And what you can see here is we're preserving about 15% to reflect the paydown of the debt, which is the revolver and the term loan. We could choose to refinance that, but we felt it was prudent to plan for that in our capital allocation over the next 3 years. Then 45% to 55% investing in growing our business and returning 30% to 40% for shareholder distributions. Now this may vary any 1 year. So for instance, this year, we're investing significantly organic growth through some of the capacity actions. In 2023, we acquired AeroTech and you saw it shift more towards M&A. But we are focused on growing this business while supporting shareholders and growing dividends with regular share repurchases. So let's double-click on our recent spending on organics and shareholder actions. So our investment in organic growth. This shows the last 6 years of investment in organic growth. And you can see a considerable step-up since 2022 as we invested in new products. Over the past 6 years, we've invested $2.7 billion in [indiscernible] equipment and new product development. Again, much of it in the last 3 years, which is in part why you saw that lower cash conversion. This investment profile also results in large impact products like the NGDV, the Volterra line at Pierce and McNeilus and some of the products Mahesh mentioned, like the [ micro size scissor ] and a new 60-foot articulated boom, as well as [ casino investments ] across the segment. We've also had consistent dedication to return cash to shareholders. This slide shows the last 11 years of share buybacks on the left, where we've bought back $1.6 billion of shares and reduced our share count by 23%. And we want to remind you, we still have board approval for an additional 10 million shares outstanding for repurchase purposes. We've also consistently increased our dividends for the last 11 years, nearly tripling them with over $800 million distributed to shareholders. We will continue to be aggressive on both fronts, especially if we see returns to shareholders at multiples like today are the best investment without starving our growth opportunities. Turning to M&A. Inorganic investment has been a critical element of our growth strategy. We have a focused and disciplined always-on pipeline where we follow key criteria rigorously. We look for opportunities in markets where we have the right to win and follow our rigorous and defined criteria, both strategic and financial. We've deployed this over the last couple of years very successfully to drive growth. And you can see at the bottom a couple of those examples where we're going to dig a little deeper. So on this slide, it shows our track record of acquisitions since 2021, starting with Pratt Miller. But we also show how we hold ourselves accountable against the metrics we use to make our decisions. And so you'll see some specifics, areas where we're on track or in process with the checkmark, and areas where we're underway with more work to do with the circle. And three detailed examples. So Hinowa. This was -- is still an Italian specialty equipment maker where we had partnered over many years. And as that relationship evolved and the market developed, we felt it was right to acquire Hinowa. This broadened the business for Access, but also provided an opportunity for us to improve their parts business. And so we continue to integrate them with JLG Online Express. More importantly, though, is the example Mahesh talked about earlier. It's the financial improvements this opportunity provided for us to localize production quickly for booms that had been built previously in China in response to European duties. Secondly, AeroTech. We completed this acquisition in August of 2023. This was the second largest acquisition in the history of Oshkosh. This was a category expansion. You heard Mike talk about it quite considerably into the airport products. This has been a fantastic acquisition for us with strong results, and we continue to identify, and we continue to capture synergies over an extended period of time. AUSA, last, is our latest acquisition, which we acquired late in 2024, a Spanish specialty equipment manufacturer, allowed us to expand into the agriculture section there. It's been a good acquisition. We've focused on enhancing the business and capturing margins. Now if you look at our history and figures and projections, we're on a journey of continuous improvement. We're excited about the future and the growth ahead. I just want to look back at some of the metrics, however, and focus on our performance since 2022 and provide relative perspective. This slide shows our performance relative to a subset of peers. You can see our sales grew 900 basis points higher than our selected peer group. Adjusted operating income grew higher as well with average adjusted operating income in line with the peer group. And let me note, we're committed to do better here. You've heard us talk about that a lot. Looking at returns, we had better returns as measured by ROIC. And on the far right, you can see our multiple. And you can see our valuation has lagged relative to those performance metrics. I say this not to complain, although it's notable on the slide. But it's really to share our belief on why not only are we a compelling investment as a company, but we're a compelling investment for our market valuation. And our belief that by consistently executing on the plans you heard us share today and our financial objectives that, that will result in greater recognition in the market. So in summary, I want to reiterate the key elements of our financial strategy that's driving EPS to nearly double to $18 to $22 per share. We have a strong portfolio of businesses, all contributing meaningfully to our growth through existing backlogs and strong brands in strong industries. We're expanding margins through pricing, new contracts with EPA price protections and cost actions. And we have a disciplined capital allocation with a solid balance of organic investment, shareholder reinvestments and M&A to drive strong shareholder returns over the near term and the long term. With that, I want to hand it over to John for closing comments. Thank you very much.
John Pfeifer
executiveThank you, Matt. So what you've seen and heard today makes one thing clear. We have momentum at Oshkosh. Strong backlogs, large multiyear programs. We're driving sustained top line growth near that 10% that Matt just laid out on a compounded annual growth rate, 200 to 400 basis points of margin expansion. We're backed by a powerful portfolio of leading brands, sharp focus on innovation and as Matt just explained, a disciplined capital allocation strategy. So we remain committed to everyday heroes because the work they do is essential, and we'll be helping them do it in a way that's even more safe, more intuitive and more productive. So you have heard from the team, we're sharing market-leading innovations and best practices across our entire enterprise, demonstrating that we, as a company, are truly better together. I want to thank you again for your attention today. And with that, Pat, I'm going to turn it over to you to be the moderator for our Q&A session.
Patrick Davidson
executiveThanks, John. While we gather our chairs up here so we can have the whole -- the team of five, I'll remind the folks that are listening online on the webcast within the Open Exchange platform, you have the opportunity to ask questions. I have a couple of queued up here right now. And when we go here in the room, we're going to go for about 30 minutes here. We're running a couple of minutes behind. We'll do our best to answer all of them. We will keep it to one question. We won't have the follow-up like our earnings call. We'll be -- if you have a question and you want to ask another one, kind of we'll go around the room, all right. So that said, mic runners, I think there's -- go back there. Jamie, we'll go with Jamie Cook. I'll still ask everybody -- I won't call all your names. I'll ask you to state your name and your question. Thanks.
Jamie Cook
analystI guess, John, just within changing the name from Defense to Transport. Just wondering if you could give us an update on the opportunity for last mile delivery, opportunities there outside of -- wins outside of the Postal Service award, where are we? Could we get something by 2028? And just sort of what's embedded in the revenue target, the $3 billion-plus revenue target for 2028?
John Pfeifer
executiveYes. So thanks, Jamie, for the questions. What you see through 2028 is what we've won, meaning it's in delivery, it's United States Postal Service. So we're a very focused company. We believe that we should focus on the job at hand as priority one. We have a lot of opportunities. We talked about that 6% compounded annual growth rate of the total market for last-mile delivery. It's a big growing market because of the way we as consumers are all behaving today. And we intend to continue to participate in it. But we're going to be very prudent about how we take on the next opportunity. We've got the biggest opportunity that there is right now with the United States Postal Service. There will be more opportunities to come, but they are not in our numbers to 2028. So...
Patrick Davidson
executiveAll right. If we can come up front here, Kim. Front table.
Cliff Ransom
analystCliff Ransom, Ransom Research. I'm struck, one of the reasons we all believe in lean thinking and continuous improvement is it generates the free cash flow that you can reinvest for growth and progress in marketing and feeling the Street and everything else. Why should we have confidence that you can go from a 50% free cash flow conversion to 90% in such a short period of time? And I understand the business about prepayments, but is there something else that's going to be materially different over the next couple of years?
Matthew Field
executiveYes, there's two fundamental elements. One, you could see it on the slide of the investments. So our investments in NGDV specifically, the way we account for those, those go through working capital. And so it looks -- it creates negative working capital in that cycle. And with that investment behind us, that won't happen again. And so that will generate greater free cash flow as we have operating returns. So that's one element. And the other element is we've grown our inventories over the last couple of years as we've grown, and we'll work to optimize those as we further expand. And so really through those, we see a higher degree of cash conversion on a go-forward basis than we had previously.
Patrick Davidson
executiveLet's go, Kim, to the middle. Steve Fisher here. I guess I'm helping out in the names.
Steven Fisher
analystSteve Fisher, UBS. I wanted to just ask you what you have embedded in your forecast for nonproduct revenues. I know you talked about all the connected assets that you have and you're getting to the point where you're ready to be commercializing some of these things through partnerships. You put up the $19 billion kind of revenue number. How much is in there for sort of nonproducts that's more services subscriptions? And how important is that to the margin opportunity?
Matthew Field
executiveFrom a margin perspective, it's largely immaterial, I would say. So it's a small portion of our revenues today. It will grow, but the better benefit of those things is the connectivity and stickiness it gets in terms of our products. So it makes our products more compelling to have more of them like on the job site, as Mahesh talked about. Or through ordering parts directly because it's just easier to do or whether that's providing refuse trucks more broadly or with more repeat orders.
Patrick Davidson
executiveLet's stay at that same table, Kim. And Kim, I think either you or Jennifer, maybe stay close because we'll have some here early on. So...
Angel Castillo Malpica
analystAngel Castillo with Morgan Stanley. Just wanted to touch a little bit more on margins. So as you mentioned, I think the 13% to 14% target. Can you talk about that in terms of cadence over the years? There's obviously some investments that you're making in the business, whether it's capacity or technology. Just how we should think about the improvement? I think you laid out 50 to 100 basis points per year, but is it -- should we expect it kind of in -- kind of steadily flowing each year? Or is there something between market growth normalization as well as investments that maybe suggest there it's more kind of '27, '28.
Matthew Field
executiveSure. And just to correct the number, so it's $13 billion to $14 billion in revenue and 12% to 14% margin. So that's our 2028 target. Obviously, many of the initiatives you've heard us talk about are gradual and over time. So the capacity actions in Vocational, that will be more gradual and over time. But like NGDV in the Transport segment, well, that's ramping up this year. So we expect that to be at full rate production. So that will really be almost a step function change for 2026. So it really depends on the elements. So we're not going to provide 2026 guidance yet, but I would just think about those kind of levers as you think about calendarization.
John Pfeifer
executiveYes. Just to clarify it a little bit, Access is performing at a very high level. So the growth there comes mostly from Transport and from Vocational. And that's where you're going to see the step change happen in those operating margins.
Charles Albert Dillard
analystChad Dillard from Bernstein. So I just want to go back to the Access business. It sounds like you're guiding to a little bit over $1 billion increase to 2028. And I was hoping you could break it out between how much is driven by market versus idiosyncratic? And then within that, can you talk about -- a little bit more about how you're thinking about the growth in ag and then on the international side?
Matthew Field
executiveDo you want to take the kind of the operational stuff, and then I'll touch on some of the financial elements.
Mahesh Narang
executiveYes. Why don't you go ahead?
Matthew Field
executiveAll right. So fundamentally, on the revenue side, it's about 2/3 market. And again, this is a down market year is how we see it. And then 1/3 on kind of share and all the other international elements of that is how to think about generally the growth over this period in Access. And I'll let Mahesh talk about some of the operational stuff that support that.
Mahesh Narang
executiveYes. So as you mentioned, there's some market recovery and 1/3 is non-market growth, which is in the three initiatives we spoke about, lifecycle, ag and the specialty brands. I would put them roughly equal, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3 is the approximate mix, I would say, for the growth in those areas.
Patrick Davidson
executiveSo center table here.
Michael Shlisky
analystMike Shlisky of D.A. Davidson. I want to follow up on your ag comments just now just a moment ago. And maybe just share a little bit of detail for us about how you plan to get into the ag market from a channel perspective. Sometimes farmers are used to go into certain kinds of dealers to find their equipment and there's not always a nearby URI or Herc Rentals location in that area. So just some thoughts about whether -- how that might play out, first of all? And then secondly, you mentioned international trying to build some of those new telehandlers in international markets. Do you feel like the opportunity actually is larger internationally, especially in Europe with a lot more dairy and livestock than it is maybe in the U.S.
Mahesh Narang
executiveYes. So on the ag market, we've already started building out a dealer network. That's -- with the farming community, you have to sell the product. So you have to go through dealers because they require good service. We are signing up new dealers every month. And because the product is complementary, we can generally partner with the dealer network of ag partners, which is why I mentioned we work in the barn, whereas John Deere or the other brands work on the farm. So our network -- we can leverage some of the network that is available. For us, it's about identifying the right partners because when you sign a dealer network, you stay with them for a long period of time and then bringing them up to speed with training and development to make sure they can take care of the farmer the way we want it. So we have a growth road map, and we are executing on it. As far as the international growth is concerned, globally, [ low ] pivot telehandlers are more popular. In North America, high pivot telehandlers are more popular. We now have low pivot telehandlers. Europe is a big market. We were there in Europe some years back, but we didn't have the right cost structure. We didn't have the right infrastructure. We've done an acquisition with AUSA, and we focus a lot on improving our cost structure. So that gives us a lot more confidence that we will be able to be competitive as we go back into those markets. And we have the product and again, learning a lot from our AUSA acquisition, which they already have telehandlers today. So that's been helpful.
Tami Zakaria
analystThis is Tami Zakaria from JPMorgan. I saw a price bar in the bridge chart for the consolidated sales target in one of the slides. Could you give a little more color on which segments have what level of pricing baked in? I'm just curious whether maybe Vocational may have more pricing opportunity than, let's say, Access. So any color would be helpful.
Matthew Field
executiveSure. So that price bar, think of it as primarily two segments. So it's the Vocational segment as the pricing in the backlog comes to fruition. And then it's the Transport segment, primarily around the tactical wheeled vehicles that John mentioned as the EPA price adjustments kick in as we build under those new contracts. And it's like -- think of it as a little more than 2/3 Vocational, a little 1/3 Defense -- Transport.
John Pfeifer
executiveTransport.
Matthew Field
executiveWe're going to have a quarter [indiscernible] product. Thank you.
Timothy Thein
analystTim Thein from Raymond James. Maybe one for Mike. Just on the -- with the new capacity contributing such a big percentage of the revenue growth, just how you're thinking about the flow-through on that from a profitability perspective? And to the extent you've baked any sort of cushion to the extent sometimes you have normal issues just as you start up new capacity. So how conservative or not you are in terms of baking in the implied incremental related to that capacity ramp?
Michael Pack
executiveYes, Tim, I think as we typically do, we took a prudent approach. We just got finished delivering a pretty significant volume increase. You saw the video at McNeilus. So I think we're doing a lot of the same things. So it gives us a confidence level around modeling that. So I do think that with the initiatives we have in place, we are between both McNeilus and on the fire side, we're adding sort of from a unit level perspective, about sort of mid- to high 20s percent increase in capacity over the next 3 years. And that is going to come on. There'll be some lumpiness to it. But in general, I would expect it to be fairly linear over the next couple of years.
Patrick Davidson
executiveLet me go to an online one here, just kind of building on Vocational, Mike. So they ask about fire apparatus. Current revenue run rate is about $1.3 billion to $1.4 billion. And they're asking what's embedded in '28? And they're also asking if of that growth embedded, how much -- how would you sort of compare price versus volume?
Michael Pack
executiveYes. I think that we're not going to get into breaking down each one of the individual businesses right now because we're dealing with a range still at this point. But just in general, in my prepared remarks, I said about 50% of our revenue growth baked in is capacity related, then about 1/3 is price and then the balance is sort of market conditions and mix. So that gives you an idea of what we expect over the next few years. Was there a second part to that? Did I get both of them?
Patrick Davidson
executiveYes, you got it. Front table here, Kim. Our first follow-up. All right, Cliff.
Cliff Ransom
analystI can't see the back of the room. So Cliff Ransom, Ransom Research. How important is what I'm going to call lean thinking to Oshkosh in a formal, disciplined programmatic way? And are you using Hoshin Kanri anywhere?
John Pfeifer
executiveWell, we use lean principles all over the business. we use 80/20 simplification principles in terms of refining our focus as well, combined with lean thinking principles. I will say, as I sit up here, Matt talked about the opportunity with cash flow with regard to our inventory. When we went through the supply chain constraint period of time, that was a very difficult period to go through when you're operating lean principles and you have disruptions that are completely unexpected in your normal supply chain that's been established for years, quite frankly. And so we're still working our way back to doing -- to operating in the same lean way that we've historically always operated at post that supply chain constraint period. But our operating -- we've always been -- prided ourselves on having great manufacturing capability, having flexibility with the nature of where we produce what to meet the needs of our customers. But I think that, that's the thing I'll call out the most is that we still have -- this is a big opportunity in front of us that we know how to go and get to get our operations back to the lean nature where they were prior to supply chain disruption entering the marketplace over the 2021, '22 and even into 2023 period.
Cliff Ransom
analyst[indiscernible]
John Pfeifer
executiveYou're talking about the kind of a Danaher style strategy deployment methodology? Well, I'm not sure specifically what you're referring to, but we primarily use 80-20 philosophy to focus where our biggest opportunities are.
Angel Castillo Malpica
analystMaybe just two follow-ups. Again, Angel Castillo with Morgan Stanley. One on capital allocation. I think M&A is 20% to 30% if I -- or 10% to 20%, sorry, of the capital allocation. Can you talk about maybe just expand areas of interest, whether it's technology, whether it's specific segments where you're really looking to deploy that? And then if you could, just follow up on that, just 2025, lots has changed even though you just spoke shortly ago after a quarter, policy implications, any changes to how you're thinking about 2025 results and outlook?
John Pfeifer
executiveWell, we're not updating our 2025 versus our last earnings call. So it's consistent with the last earnings call. And your question was primarily about M&A activity, correct? So if you look at -- Matt laid out kind of a time line of different M&A work that we've done over the past few years. We're a very -- we have an always-on mentality, which means that we're always paying attention to where we might have opportunity. But we're very prudent as well. We don't make emotional decisions. We make careful, well-thought-out decisions when we believe the timing is right. And we like to acquire where we believe there is significant synergies in applying our technological capability or capabilities in total to an end market that has -- as I said, has a substandard solution. And we saw that in some of the areas where -- I talked about AeroTech and the amount of technological fit that there is between us and the AeroTech business, it's pretty significant, and we'll continue to get synergistic benefits from that acquisition for many years in the future. Of the things we talk about today, we're just -- we're just scratching the surface about what's really possible as we continue to unfold the synergies there. So mostly, it's about adjacent -- near adjacencies, we can apply our technological capability and get big impacts on synergies over long periods of time. That's what we look at.
Patrick Davidson
executiveWe'll do an online one here. Mahesh, on ClearSky, can you provide some more detail on ClearSky Smart Fleet's current adoption rates and future potential?
Mahesh Narang
executiveYes. So today, we have about 120,000 assets on ClearSky. Generally, we are launching it by country or by region. And generally, within a couple of years of launching, we've seen an adoption somewhere between 60% to 70% and re-subscription rates, so year-on-year re-subscribing, about 95%. So really high adoption when we look at the benefit that we provide to customers.
Michael Feniger
analystMike Feniger, Bank of America. John, just to ask about the Postal Service contract. There were some headlines coming into the year. Where are we on the Postal Service contract in terms of the mix of what you guys are expecting, if there's any change at all? And in terms of getting to that full run rate by the fourth quarter, what's your confidence level of hitting that? What are the obstacles that you have to kind of keep an eye on to kind of get there? And just lastly, there's been some headlines around steel, aluminum. I know some of your segments, it feels like there's a lot of protection there. Could you guys just remind us, steel, aluminum, how big of that is in terms of the COGS? How do you guys kind of price that? How should we be thinking about that going forward?
John Pfeifer
executiveYes. Thanks for the question. I'll talk about the NGDV and let Matt comment on steel and aluminum tariffs. So NGDV, we're in production today. We -- every week that goes by, we produce more vehicles than the week before. We -- it's just -- it's a specific highly engineered vehicle, and we do this all the time. It's what we do in our business. Launching production of a brand-new product is always hard. If it were easy, anybody would do it, but it's not easy. It's hard. So we're going through the grind. We're confident we're going to be where we need to be because our customer needs us to be at that full rate production in the fourth quarter. And we talk to the U.S. Postal Service all the time about where we are and what our progress is. So we're confident we'll be there. We've done it many times before with other products. When you hear -- in terms of the mix for the Postal Service, we've always maintained for the United States Postal Service, look, we did something very revolutionary for you. We designed vehicle that can take 2 completely different propulsion systems. Nobody else did that, nobody else offered them that type of versatility. So we always maintain, we'll supply you with whatever mix you want, and maintain that today. Right now, with the order releases we've received, the mix is still consistent, it's about 70% battery electric, 30% internal combustion. And we're building to the mix that they've given us to this point in time. Is that mix going to change in the future with following releases? Possibly, I don't know. But I'll also say don't believe in everything you read in the press sometimes.
Matthew Field
executiveJust let me touch on the steel and aluminum. So steel and aluminum, as we've talked about on prior calls, so we've got our -- all our steel prices -- steel buys locked in this year, aluminum this year and in some cases, into next year. So that's across all the segments. There is some esoteric steels we use that are imported, and we're still trying to digest some of the latest announcements that came out last Friday. But -- so most of that is consistent with what we talked about on the, I think, fourth quarter call is when we spoke about that mostly.
Patrick Davidson
executiveJennifer's got two consecutive here, so first and second.
Charles Albert Dillard
analystChad Dillard from Bernstein again. Just going back to the Transport margin guidance, 4% for this year going to 10% by 2028. I was hoping you could help us think through the glide path on that and just how to think about the impact on the renegotiations of the contract, the NGDV ramp? And then what are you embedding in terms of mix of ICE versus EV?
John Pfeifer
executiveYes. So on the path to 2028, most of it is at the mix that we have right now on the current releases, that's 70-30 because of the current -- when I say releases, I'm talking about -- we've got a contract that goes to 165,000 units, and they give us order releases against that contract. So the releases we've gotten so far go through most of the period to 2028. That's why I say most of it's 70-30 mix. But if you look at the glide path from 4% to 10%, it's two fundamental things. It's -- we'll be at full production on NGDV next year. So that's a big step change for margin. And then you've got the new contracts with big -- the bigger programs that we have with the DoD. Those new contracts go into place from the end of '25 through kind of the end of '26 is when they start -- we start to ship against those new contracts. Those also have a material impact on that step change in margin. Those are the two biggest movers.
David Raso
analystDavid Raso from Evercore ISI. Just a quick question. I mean, obviously, your confidence is strong in '28 given how much you feel is already in backlog. I'm just curious, if you're that confident in the targets, why would we not be buying back a lot more shares? I mean you're trading at 5x your target. In '28, you're doing almost $1 billion of free cash flow by the end of the cycle, which right there would cover the 10 million authorization. So just curious how you'd answer that question.
John Pfeifer
executiveYes, I'll answer and maybe Matt wants to answer it, too. So we talked about the M&A question, right? Right now, and we have an always-on process. We'll continue to maintain that. But when our multiple is where it is -- I'm mean, just to be frank with you. When our multiple is where it is, share buybacks are a lot more attractive than going out and doing other things with our -- with the cash flows of the company. So I guess I'm agreeing with your question. We have a very attractive multiple to do share buybacks, and we recognize that. That's what I'll say.
Matthew Field
executiveYes. And just to build off some of the data that's in the slides. So in the slides, it shows we bought back shares to [ 63 million. ] Obviously, that had a projection of share price in it. If we find that the projection of share price we had built into the model is incorrect and that share price remains at lower multiples, then what you would see is mathematically, we would have bought back more shares. And so we do remain committed to aggressive share repurchase if we see that as the best use of capital.
David Raso
analystHow close were you to considering a more proactive approach to that because if you go 3 years [indiscernible] the stock is only at 10% since then. If we're looking to grow earnings a lot again that would stop [ 5x ] the target. So I guess what is the interest to get over the [indiscernible] to say the market is not reflecting [indiscernible]
Matthew Field
executiveSo there's a couple of things to look at in that relative to the guidance we provided. One is we do see better cash conversion going forward. That obviously provides adequate cash to do things like aggressive share repurchases. And so that's kind of the couple of pieces we think through as we allocate capital.
Patrick Davidson
executiveLet me do an online one, and we'll gather maybe what might be the last 1 or 2 here in the room. Asking about the vitality index. Back in '22, we guided for about 600 basis points in vitality index revenues. We're now calling for an additional 14% up to 20%. What are the main drivers of that increase?
John Pfeifer
executiveDo you want to answer, Jay?
Jayanthi Iyengar
executiveYes, I can take this question, and I'll let Matt jump in as well. It's all about the new products. I mean I shared with you -- we talked about many, many new products and technologies coming in across all our product portfolio, whether it's NGDV vehicle or which is actually increasing in -- going to full volume production end of the year. We're in the middle of launching Pierce Volterra, and we are in the middle of launching eRCV vehicles, many new products coming in from Access business. So...
John Pfeifer
executiveAg telehandlers.
Jayanthi Iyengar
executiveYes. Of course...
John Pfeifer
executiveMicro scissor lifts.
Jayanthi Iyengar
executiveI can go on and on. But I think it's a 5-year vitality index that we measure. And it is -- all the numbers are very much grounded on what we know today and what we are going to be launching and their volume projections.
Matthew Field
executiveYes. No, you hit exactly right. The only thing to note is I look at the slide and look at where we've invested and how we've stepped up our investment in the last 3 years. And really, those products are coming to market. And Jay's slide has all the new products that are coming in kind of over time. And so you've got some big high-value products like the Volterras in Vocational, but also the products in NGDV -- yes, so it's really that investment coming to fruition over there.
Jayanthi Iyengar
executiveRipe and rich with new products.
Patrick Davidson
executiveThat's a good segue. Actually, let's do this online, and then maybe we'll finish up over here. So AeroTech, right? How do you grow the Jetway bridge business internationally? What are the challenges? And what are you doing to address them, Mike?
Michael Pack
executiveYes. I think right now, our product is fit for the international market because if you do look internationally, a lot more of the boarding bridges tend to have glass sides on them. We have that product line. In fact, more and more bridges in the United States have -- are that design. So we have the product. We don't have a manufacturing footprint. From time to time, we've done some international work there with some shorter-term contract manufacturing relationships. We see the opportunity over the next few years with our footprint and again, some prudent organic expansion. Really, it comes down to it's not efficient shipping that much air by sea. So we do envision doing some more manufacturing globally. But again, we have some footprint that we can leverage for that.
Patrick Davidson
executiveSo we'll take our last question here.
Timothy Thein
analystOkay. Just one for Mahesh. Just in terms of the -- your forecast from a revenue perspective, we're thinking about replacement demand and just what you're hearing from your customers, where obviously '18, '19 were pretty big volume year. So just how much I guess, comfort or what is baked into your forecast with the assumed support from replacement demand?
Mahesh Narang
executiveSo we haven't guided for '26 as yet because we start talking to customers in Q4, and we'll bring the forecast at that time. For 2028, what I would say is we are assuming the market is not at a trough. It's not at a peak. It's somewhere between mid-cycle to peak. So that's how we forecasted our numbers.
Patrick Davidson
executiveOkay. So that wraps up the Q&A, everyone. We really appreciate you coming out and spending some time with us. Obviously, you can follow up with Victoria or myself after the meeting, I guess, back in our offices and things. We do have the lunches out there. So please grab one, take it with you. There are a couple of standing tables you can stand and eat, and we have a bag with some Oshkosh items in it that I think you'll find enjoyable. So thanks very much for attending, both online and in person. Have a good one. safe travels.
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