Skydance Media, LLC (PARA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

July 8, 2024

NASDAQ US Communication Services m_and_a 55 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Good morning. My name is Michelle, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to turn the call over Dan Gagnier, Founder and Managing Partner of Gagnier Communications and Investor Relations representative for the Skydance Investor Group. You may begin your conference call.

Dan Gagnier

attendee
#2

Thank you very much, and thank you all for joining today's announcement presentation. On the call today, we have David Ellison, Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Skydance; Gerry Cardinale, Founder and Managing Partner of RedBird Capital; Jeff Shell, Chairman Sports and Media at RedBird Capital and former Chief Executive Officer of NBCUniversal; Andy Gordon, Partner at RedBird Capital; George Cheeks, Paramount Global Office of the CEO and President and CEO of CBS; Chris McCarthy, Paramount Global Office of the CEO and President and CEO of Showtime and MTV Entertainment Studios; Brian Robbins, Paramount Global Office of the CEO and President and CEO, Paramount Pictures & Nickelodeon; Naveen Chopra, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Paramount Global. Before we start, I want to remind listeners that a presentation for today's call is available on Paramount's website in the Investors section under Events and Presentations. I would also remind you that certain statements made on the call are forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties are discussed in more detail on Paramount's filings with the SEC. Some of today's financial remarks will also focus on adjusted results and reconciliations and non-GAAP financial measures can be found in Paramount's financial disclosures also on file with the SEC and available on the Investors section of the company's website. Now I will turn the presentation over to David Ellison to walk through the transaction overview and highlights. David?

David Ellison

executive
#3

Thank you, Dan. It's a genuine pleasure to be here today. First, we want to thank our Paramount Special Committee, National Amusements, Shari Redstone and the Paramount management team for the continued partnership throughout this process. We cannot be more excited to build on the future of New Paramount, and we'd like to begin with an overview of the transaction. First starting with this guidance consortium led by the Ellison family over capital. We'll be investing $8 billion in connection with the proposed transaction. There are three key components of the transaction. The first is an acquisition of National Amusements for $2.4 billion in enterprise value, $1.7 billion in equity. There'll be a $6 billion cash infusion into Paramount, $1.5 billion will go directly under the balance sheet to help the company delever and position for future growth, and there will also be $4.5 billion in the form of cash stock elect. In addition, Skydance will be merged into Paramount in equity value of $4.75 billion. The key thesis behind this transaction is our desire to inject Skydance as a pure-play content company to double down on Paramount's prowess as one of the worldwide storytelling enterprises and also ensure that the company is positioned to be able to expand into a tech hybrid to be able to transition to meet the demands and needs of the evolving marketplace. Additionally, the management team will bolster obviously in addition with Jeff Shell and myself.

Jeffrey S. Shell

executive
#4

Hi, everybody. It's Jeff. Thanks for being here this morning. We're excited about the transaction and I think it's a New Paramount, it's not just a catch phrase. We think it's going to be a new day for this company with the combined assets.

David Ellison

executive
#5

While in addition -- agreed, and while in addition to that, obviously, the deal will strengthen the balance sheet while enhancing our free cash flow. We'll align voting economic interest in newly treated Paramount pictures. This deal will unify all of the key intellectual property held by both companies and position the company for future growth across our animation, sports content, interactive and technological enterprises. Before we get further into that, I'd like to hand it over to George to talk more about Paramount.

George Cheeks

executive
#6

Thanks, David. Paramount Global brings significant value to this exciting merger with Skydance. We're the home of invaluable brands, a combination of entertainment, news and sports that consistently resonates with audiences globally. We've got a vibrant creative culture that fuels our hit making and our assets are among the most compelling in the industry. CBS has been the #1 U.S. broadcast network in total viewers. NCB has been the #1 network for young adults for the last 20 years. Nickelodeon has been the #1 kids network for 29 years. Paramount+ has attracted more sign-ups than any other service in the U.S. for 4 years running, making it a top 5 service in the U.S. And Pluto is a lean global free ad-supported streaming service.

Brian Robbins

executive
#7

This is Brian Robbins. Yes. Thank you, George. And our content strategy at Paramount is rooted in our stable of durable franchises across multiple genres. And whether it's the NFL on CBS or in reality shows like Survivor, RuPaul's Drag Race, The Challenge and The Amazing Race and in kids' franchises like SpongeBob and Sonic, or news franchises like 60 Minutes, and scripted drama, including Yellowstone, Dexter and NCIS, which is one of the most popular and longest running TV franchises in the world. Also Paramount Pictures continues to create genre-defying film that thrive at the box office, most recently with A Quiet Place: Day One, which is the latest addition to our 100-year-old film library. Now those are just to name a few, but we also have one of the largest libraries of iconic and irreplaceable IP, including more than 200,000 TV episodes and over 4,000 feature films.

Chris McCarthy

executive
#8

Thanks, Brian. And I'm Chris McCarthy. And our content is some of the most popular in the world, reaching millions of viewers across theatrical, linear and streaming platforms, and it's all possible because of the people at Paramount. On-screen, offscreen and across all of our staff, we work with the most talented, creative and dedicated people in the industry, and we feel so honored that they've chosen to call Paramount their home. The three of us would like to thank each and every one of them for everything they've done and will continue to do to help make Paramount home of the most popular content. Thank you.

David Ellison

executive
#9

So if we can go to Page 13 of the deck. As Skydance has been a privately held company, I'd like to start with an overview. We started the company nearly 15 years ago on the thesis that basically, the world of the technology and media were going to converge, and we wanted to build a pure-play content company that could be the tip of the spear for that disruption, which continues today that we very much find ourselves in. We built the company on three thematics. First is that quality will always be the best plan, creatively aim high and never stop working until you get there. The second is where entertainment is heading. We're big believers in the Wayne Gretzky quotes, "Skate to where the puck is going, not where puck has been." And the third is the only way to accomplish those incredibly ambitious goals is to bet on people, and I'm incredibly proud of the team that we've assembled at Skydance. In addition to that, we built an incredibly robust financial profile that is forward-looking and highly predictive. And to date, the company stands at 1,300 people across five different verticals. So if we can jump forward to Page 14, I'll take you through the first two verticals, which is Skydance's live action common television studios. I think it's really important to note that Skydance is a studio where we own or co-own all of our content. On average, Skydance produces six feature films a year, including 10 television series this year, and we've consistently delivered hits across all the platforms that we worked on. Very thankfully in partnership with Paramount, we produced Top Gun: Maverick, which is the most successful wholly-owned film in its history in addition to Star Trek Into Darkness and the most successful film in the Mission: Impossible franchise. For Apple TV+, we produced the Family Plan, which was released in December and was the most successful film in the history of their platform. We produced The Adam Project with Netflix and consistently delivered #1 film on their platform, including The Tomorrow War with the Amazon Prime Video. And the point I would like to make for that is regardless of distribution platforms, Skydance has consistently delivered global entertainment across all of our partners. The television studio obviously has delivered Jack Reacher, which is the #1 streaming show on Prime Video. Grace and Frankie, which is the longest-running series in the history of Netflix and in addition, in partnership with Paramount, the Jack Ryan series. Our upcoming slate includes Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol, The Gorge, Miles Teller and Anya Taylor-Joy on Apple TV+ and Mayday with Ryan Reynolds and Ken Branagh. Our television slate is Alex Cross for Prime Video in addition to Season 3 Foundation as well as the second season of Food War with Arnold Schwarzenegger. And again, it's a truly scaled independent, both feature film and television and studio. Our third vertical is Skydance Animation, which we built in partnership with John Lasseter. Our ambition was to -- our mission was to aim incredibly high and build a studio that could stand alongside Pixar's and DreamWorks Animation. We've been able to recruit one of the most talented artist in the world over to the studio. Just a few examples. Brad Bird who's the Director of the Incredibles and Ratatouille as well as Nathan Greno, who's the Director of Tangled. We're also building a cutting-edge studio on the cloud in partnership with Oracle and have a multi-picture partnership with Netflix, where we're scaling to two feature films a year that will be delivering starting in 2026. Our fourth vertical is Skydance Sports. We launched Skydance Sports in 2022 to capitalize on the growing demand for sports and entertainment content across platform. Our vision for the studio was to create the world's first all sports storytelling content studio. And we thought -- and we are incredibly honored that after a year-long process, we were selected by the NFL to be their key entertainment partner for all of its storytelling. In a very short period of time, Skydance Sports has quickly become a leading studio for leagues, teams and athletes alike. Our first picture, we released in partnership with Matt Damon, Ben Affleck and Amazon Prime Video Air was nominated for best picture for Golden Globe last year and our upcoming documentary, the Dallas Cowboys Project, is one of the successful docs sold in the history of the business. Our fifth vertical, Skydance Games is comprised of two leading interactive game teams. The first is run by Dan Prigg, which is a virtual reality development studio. Our most recent titled The Walking Dead: Saints & Sinners has sold over 3 million units. Our second is a AAA interactive studio that is run by Amy Hennig, who is responsible for the Uncharted franchise. And we are -- our first title is Marvel 1943: Rise of Hydra, which is partnership with Disney and Marvel. And then our title behind that exists in the Star Wars universe. And one of the things we're also doing there when we talk to technology thematic is really pushing the boundaries of what's possible in narrative game play, where we have created a proprietary AI camera system that allows you to have all of the fun of the moment to moment and second to second game play, but present like you're in a cinematic.

Jeffrey S. Shell

executive
#10

Yes. So this is Jeff. I just want to jump in, David, before we go on for a second and just say, if you look at it from traditional media perspective or from a Paramount perspective and say, what would you want as a partner for Paramount, Skydance is literally designed almost ideally for -- I'm excited for everybody to see now behind the curtains of Skydance because it's really designed for Paramount. Number one, from a financial perspective, it's gotten no leverage. So it helps delever the transaction. I know Andy is going to talk about that later on. But more importantly, it's got all the elements to make Paramount stronger. It unifies the IP because of the long history between the two companies. From a theatrical perspective, animation is so important, and Paramount is already very strong with Nickelodeon, but you add John Lasseter and what David just talked about, we're going to be immediately a leader in animation. Sports is critical for the whole company, particularly CBS and add the sports capabilities of Skydance to what David Bernstein and his team are already doing at Paramount, it makes us a leader in sports. And then one of the big problems of this business, which I know I've spoken to many of you forever about is growth and Skydance takes a bunch of parts of the business that Paramount needs to get into, including games, as David just talked about, and adds the growth engine to the company. And then not to embarrass David, but since it's audio, I can do it. I've been in this business for a long time. It's been a long time since a creative executive ran one of the big Hollywood companies. And I think it's really important when creative is the core, working with artists is the core of our business, to have somebody like David running the business. And actually, if you went into a lab and design the perfect executive for the next-generation Hollywood company, you would literally spit out David Ellison because he not only can go to a table read, but he can go to the next room and code 2, and this business is heading towards a technology media hybrid, and David is perfect to lead it. So I don't know if you can hear my excitement over the phone, but Skydance is the perfect addition to Paramount, and it's going to make us really strong in combination. So back to you, David.

David Ellison

executive
#11

Jeff, thank you much for that. That's also a perfect segue to Page 17. We really want to outline the vision for New Paramount. The first in core thematic, as Jeff talked about, is we really want Paramount Pictures to be a creatively first studio and the first stop for best-in-class storytellers. In addition to that, we need to transition New Paramount to a world-class media and technology enterprise. The first thing we need to do is double down on the core competency of storytelling across mediums. But also when you look at the landscape of the business today, there are a lot of technology companies that are rapidly expanding into media companies and believe it is essential for Paramount to be able to expand its technological prowess to be both a media and technology enterprise. We're going to reorganize and restructure the business to prioritize cash flow generation. This transaction will align the first time the economic and voting obviously, ownership to the benefit of all stockholders with the management team with a track record in both entertainment and technological expertise to be able to transition the company through this period of time to ensure that Paramount's brightest days are all ahead of itself. So to dive deeper into that, first, if we go to Page 18. Skydance and Paramount, we've been fortunate enough to produce 30 feature films together. And basically, this transaction will unify the key rights to several of Paramount's most iconic franchises. One of those is Top Gun: Maverick, which gross $1.5 billion in the worldwide box office. We've been fortunate to produce four films in the Mission: Impossible franchise including the most successful Mission: Impossible - Fallout. We produced two Star Trek films together as well as have a deep history in partnership with Hasbro that includes the G.I. Joe franchise as well as Transformers. This transaction will unify the key rights to all of that to allow us to expand franchise management. If you move forward on to Page 19. By bringing all these brands together, we can create an incredibly powerful entertainment flywheel that expands upon Paramount's capabilities in both feature film and television, but also allows us to plug in our interactive engine into this business so that we can do what we're doing in partnership with Disney with both Marvel and Star Wars for several of the key Paramount franchises and also expand into consumer products, location-based entertainment and other. And my viewpoint with consumer products in any ancillaries is you have to be passionate enough about the characters to want to exist with them outside of the boundaries of the film, and really doubling down on that creativity first and quality is the best business plan will ensure that we can expand upon our consumer products and other ancillary businesses. If we can move forward on to Page 20. This transaction by bringing Skydance Sports in partnership with CBS will create an incredibly compelling offering for NFL fans through unifying both the licensed games as well as the storytelling capabilities of the NFL. By adding our interactive business into this, we can, as I discussed earlier, unlock and build a significant robust interactive vertical within Paramount. The addition of Skydance Animation to Nickelodeon creates an animation powerhouse that will immediately make us one of the best and most powerful within the industry. The combination of Skydance Television in addition to Paramount's and CBS' television studios, creates a best-in-class studio and also unifies the key franchises across the film and television slate. As we talked about, as we move forward to Page 21, having had the privilege of being mentored by Steve Jobs and getting to watch and build picks off from the ground up. One of my favorite quotes of him and John always had was the art challenges the technology and the technology inspires the art, and believe that, that understanding of the symbiotic relationship between art and technology is essential to be able to meet this moment in time for storytelling. And with that, our intention is to rebuild the Paramount+ platform and believe that with the technological prowess and relationships that we have, we can expand our DTC business. We can improve our algorithmic-rec engine to basically increase time spent on platform, reduce churn and drive lifetime value for all of our shareholders. We can optimize the ad tech and improve the buy side for transparency and audience reach. And we also intend to unify the cloud providers across all the distribution services for significant efficiencies. One of the things I'd like to talk about that we're already doing in partnership with Oracle and Skydance Animation is an initiative we call Studio in the Cloud. As many of you may know, animation has largely been an on-premise business. And it has been difficult today to be able to transition that to the cloud because the common wisdom has been that, that would be too cost prohibitive. We've already proved on Spellbound which we just delivered to Netflix by producing part of that movie in Studio in the Cloud that we were able to not only dramatically increase efficiencies, we're also able to significantly reduce costs. And we intend to scale that business across all of our production workflows in animation and other and also utilize artificial intelligence tools to enhance creativity and drive production efficiencies. And again, it really is that combination of art and technology that we believe is the cornerstone of this business and is going to be essential towards our future. And with that, I will hand it over to Jeff.

Jeffrey S. Shell

executive
#12

Thanks. And on Slide 22, for those of you following. So obviously, we love the creative engine of this company. But obviously, a big chunk of the company is in the linear world, and we know linear is challenged and declining. We like these businesses, particularly CBS. We think it is a very, very, very strong business with more reach than any other business, the most watched, as George said, network for decades now. However, I think a lot of us in the business know we got to run these businesses in a different way as they decline. So we've spent a lot of the last few months really building a bottom-up plan, and our goal is to manage the businesses, particularly the linear businesses, for cash flow generation. We've identified -- we work with Bain and others, and we've identified literally to the $0.01 to $1 billion of cost efficiencies and synergies that we're going to not only deliver, but attempt to deliver pretty rapidly, trying to get more than half of them in the first year to reposition. And over time, as you manage these businesses, you got a manage them for margin as they decline. There's powerful businesses, but you have to make tough decisions. So we've identified it. We know what we want to do. And we plan to do this fairly rapidly, and you can see on the slide some of the areas that we're going to focus on. Turning to Slide 23. I want to just kind of take a step back and look at a different way to look at the company and talk about how we do it. Obviously, you can kind of divide it into four pieces. One is CBS, which is an unmatched asset and for content producers like us having that reach is amazing. And so we will continue to fuel that reach, and we're really happy about not just CBS, but the whole ecosystem, the stations and the affiliates and everything that gives us that reach. And our plan is to continue to kind of -- to fuel that because it will drive our content for decades in front of us. And obviously, sports is the rock solid foundation of that platform, anchored by the NFL and other partners. And that's going to be a very important business for us as we go forward. But as I talked about in the previous slide, we're going to manage that with a particular focus on cash going forward. The cable networks are obviously challenged as well, but there are some wonderful brands within there and MTV, Comedy Central, Nickelodeon, BET, our goal is to maybe bring a little bit of a fresh approach to the brands and look at a way to bring them across platform. The studio side, in addition to, as David said, making it creative first and making the best content, maybe bring a bit of a more analytical approach to the slate and slate strategy here. And then, of course, animation is going to become an anchor. And that animation can then, as David about fuel the whole kids and family ecosystem, which is incredibly important onto these businesses going forward. And then lastly, of course, a lot of us have spent a lot of the last decade talking about DTC, very encouraged by the progress that the team has made with Paramount, with Paramount+, and don't forget they have Pluto, which is a very strong and powerful asset. Our approach to DTC is going to be kind of threefold. One, we're going to take a look at how much money we're generating from our content and what content belongs where and what content we should license to ourselves and what content we should license to others. I'm a big believer in windowing strategy. And I think there's maybe a more efficient way to maximize the value of our content and will continue to be in the DTC business. The second thing is we don't -- all of these businesses, our goal -- David and my goal and the rest of the team is to win. We want to make this company the leader in entertainment and that goes for DTC, too. And so we're going to be evaluating all options to the winner in DTC. And to be winner in DTC really means being in the ultimate bundle that's coming. We've got a bunch of inbound from a number of people about partnerships that could involve a partnership with another player or players. And so we will evaluate all that. And then lastly, as David already talked about, we intend to be the technological leader in this space, which is really the next frontier in DTC as these businesses evolve. So that's really the kind of the four parts as we look at this business. So I don't know, David, if you want to add anything or shall we go to Andy to go into the transaction.

Andrew Gordon

executive
#13

Great. Thanks, Jeff. Before I discuss the transaction, I really want to take a moment to express our enthusiasm in continuing our long relationship with David, his family and RedBird's significant investment partnership in Skydance, which will now extend into New Paramount. I met David over 12 years ago, and I can honestly say that his creativity, technology savvy, entrepreneurial spirit and humble ethical character make him the ideal new generation leader for the combined company. Coupling Jeff's long-term results oriented proven track record at NBCUniversal make this dynamic deal the perfect leadership team for the people of New Paramount and its shareholders. Further, our initial investment thesis was predicated on Skydance being a platform for further investment opportunities in the entertainment ecosystem. Our style of investing focuses on investing capital with world-class founders to monetize and better exploit owned intellectual property. Our new investment of $1.8 billion will make this RedBird's largest investment to date. So now let's just turn to Page 25. On Page 25, we've outlined the key deal terms that you've seen in the press release and during the Q&A period, we're happy to answer any clarifying questions that you might have. I would just say a couple of things about the deal. One is it really is a full recapitalization of Paramount with the new underwritten business plan. And given the $8 billion we're investing across National Amusements and Paramount, we believe that it will position the company for not only further growth and stability, but allow investors to continue to ride along with the upside that we predict will occur. The second thing is it's important to know that this transaction does not rely on any financing contingency. In fact, all $8 billion will be equity commitments from the Ellison family and RedBird and its partners. So with that, let's turn to Page 27, and let me talk a little bit about our plan. Our plan is for all transparency for you all to hear is a bottoms-up plan that we've taken over the last 6 months, a detailed due diligence of not only Paramount, but how Skydance and Paramount together will perform going forward. One, we're going to manage a difficult linear decline from a secular perspective on the top line, but at the same time, better manage those businesses for cash flow generation and growth along the lines of a DTC platform as well as film entertainment and television production. If you see on the slide, our EBITDA projection for '25 is $3.4 billion. We assume the transaction closes sometime in the third quarter of '25, and therefore, our synergy calculation of $2 billion would only have a fraction in 2025 of roughly 10% of that $2 billion. You can see going forward that we expect to grow over 20%, '26 over '25 and 8%, '27 over '26. One of the things that's critical to the stability of the company and be able to compete in the current marketplace is a very strong balance sheet. Part of our capital commitment, approximately $1.5 billion will go directly to delever the company and provide for future growth as well as our investment in the synergies and efficiencies that Jeff has already mentioned. We expect to be investment grade by all rating agencies sometime in 2026, and you can see the deleveraging profile from approximately 4.3x today to 2.4x by 2027. We now turn to Page 28. As David mentioned, Skydance is a private company. You all don't have visibility into its revenues and EBITDA, so we wanted to highlight some of that here and how the Paramount's Board thought about the valuation of Skydance, which we think is quite compelling for all of its shareholders. One, Skydance will produce $2.3 billion of revenue in 2025 and $2.5 billion in revenue in 2026. The EBITDA from that revenue projection for '25 will be approximately $340 million before synergies and $540 million before synergy in '26. There's a level of synergy by combining Skydance into the Paramount Studio system and other components of Paramount that will lead to, at least $130 million in our estimation during the first full year of operations. And if you look at how the multiples stack up, at a 10.5x synergized multiple for '25 or 8.6x for '26, we believe that's an incredibly compelling valuation compared to other acquisitions of pure-play content studios with contracted revenues like Skydance as well as third-party investments in entertainment companies look very similar to guidance. I would also mention that given the large growth in EBITDA, that Skydance was scaled to basically create operating leverage as all the different levers that David mentioned, come online. And 2026 is the year that we not only produce two animated films, but we also will have all of our video game assets at full deployment. So I would now like turn your attention to the pro forma company on Page 28 -- or sorry, 29. And it's important for us to again, to understand that we're reengineering the business. We've looked at the numbers that I just mentioned of $3.4 billion in '25 and $4.1 billion in '26 and looked at the valuation based on our $15 price for Class Bs and $23 price for Class As. When you look at that combination, and look at the current multiple of 8.2x in '25 projected but more importantly, 6.8x in 2026, we believe that this is a very compelling valuation for our investors to continue to ride with us, but also for new investors to invest in the company. We're very excited that these types of multiples have a lot of upside relative to where they stand today. So with that, I'd like to turn it back to David, who will then provide some concluding remarks.

David Ellison

executive
#14

No, Andy, thank you so much for that. Again, before we turn it over to Q&A, I just want to state, obviously, our excitement and enthusiasm for being here today. Basically, as we discussed, this transaction will align the economic and voting interest of the company, strengthen the balance sheet of Paramount to ensure that it is positioned to be competitive, obviously, in the future dynamics and ensure that obviously, there is upside for all shareholders. And really, with that, I'd love to turn it over to questions and kind of restate that our goal here in the acquisition of this iconic institution is to ensure that Paramount brand stays ahead.

Jeffrey S. Shell

executive
#15

Thank you. So I guess we'll take questions now right?

David Ellison

executive
#16

Yes, Dan?

Dan Gagnier

attendee
#17

Operator?

Operator

operator
#18

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Benjamin Swinburne with Morgan Stanley.

Benjamin Swinburne

analyst
#19

Congrats to the Skydance and RedBird team on getting this to this point. David, maybe just on sort of your vision. Skydance has built -- you built this great technology-driven studio really capitalizing on the appetite for great content in the industry. But you didn't launch a streaming service, and I'm sure there are a lot of reasons for that. And Jeff sort into that planning to win. Have you thought about getting out of the DTC business? Is that on the table? Like why do you believe improving the technology around Paramount+ and sort of leaning in there is the right strategy? And then I would love just to ask maybe Andy, just on the numbers. Andy, just to help us clarify the '26 and '27 pro forma EBITDAs that you show for the new company, just tell us what the synergies are baked into those estimates? I think $2 billion is the goal, but I just wanted to make sure we got it right on the next several years.

David Ellison

executive
#20

Great, and I appreciate the question. First, I think definitely, when you look at where the audience is heading towards, I think we all know, obviously, streaming is an incredibly important part of the business and very much the future of the business. The way we plan to look at it is both from a profitability standpoint and getting to profitability and streaming obviously as efficiently as we can while also obviously continuing to scale the company. To do that, you have to do two things. One is creatively execute at the highest level. And secondly, one of the things that I think has maybe potentially been slightly underappreciated when you really get into the tech stack of some of these companies is how effective their algorithmic-rec engines are in terms of creating time spent on platform, looking at the discover -- obviously, the discovery engine and how that content is delivered. There are significant efficiencies that can be obviously yielded at Paramount+ to create a better basically user experience, obviously, which will also reduce churn. And so we believe the combination of those two things are essential to obviously continuing to build and scale Paramount+. As Jeff said, we are also open to exploring partnerships, to exploring licensing to ensure that we can do that in a manner that is profitable. And then Andy, I'll turn that over to you to answer the question on synergies.

Andrew Gordon

executive
#21

Ben, yes, for 2026, we're layering in $1.2 billion of synergies in our pro forma. Over '27, that would be $1.6 billion. I should also mention that in '25, since we won't be closing based on our presentation until the third quarter, the bulk of the $500 million of efficiencies that the three CEOs have outlined is part of that $3.4 billion total number as well. So you have that.

Jeffrey S. Shell

executive
#22

And that's about $1.6 billion of onetime costs associated with those synergies that don't go ratably across as those synergies roll out.

Andrew Gordon

executive
#23

Correct. That will Impact cash flow, not EBITDA.

Operator

operator
#24

Our next question comes from Michael Morris with Guggenheim.

Michael Morris

analyst
#25

Thanks for all the detail in the presentation. My questions are around the linear networks. The linear networks are clearly the majority of Paramount economics currently. The industry is under pressure, as you know, from coinciding competition. So can you talk about what your outlook is for how that trend progresses from here in your outlook? Do you expect it to improve, get worse? Do you think there's a bottom for cord cutting that provides the valuation for? And then, Jeff, you did mention that you expect the streaming product to be in the ultimate bundle that's coming. Can you expand a little bit on what that is and maybe put the pieces of the linear decline and the ultimate bundle together for us?

Jeffrey S. Shell

executive
#26

Yes. Thanks for the question. David, I'll take this one. So obviously, linear is going to keep declining. I don't think -- I think we're realistic about that. As David mentioned, consumers are moving to streaming as an alternative to linear. And I think in the numbers that Andy mentioned that we underwrote, we took probably a bit more conservative approach on linear decline than management has and that the market has. It's been declining at about 8% a year when you factor everything in. We think that's going to continue. Obviously, as the MVPD universe gets smaller, that adds some toes a bit, right? So it's going to go, we don't know if there's a floor somewhere personally. I personally think that the linear business is going to be a strong business for decades to come. I think we'll be sitting here in 10, 20 years talking about a significant amount of viewership on CBS network but it's going to become part of the equation as opposed to the driving part of the equation, which is why you got to be in both sides. But we think it's going to continue. We don't think it's kind of worsened, but we don't actually think it's going to get better either. That's what we projected. On the second question, remember, second question was about the bundle. Everybody here on this call probably watches television. The experience right now is not great for those, number one. You have all these streaming services. You want to watch something. You don't know if you get it. You have to try to remember where it is, where it is for most consumers, which are price sensitive. It's pretty expensive now. And if you get all these services, it actually ends up being more expensive than the traditional MVPD bundle. So I don't think it takes a rocket science to project that, that consumer situation is not sustainable. But eventually, there's going to have to be some form of bundled solution that's easy and simple for somebody. When people get home from work, have to work in a hard day, they want to watch something. They don't want to spend 30 minutes trying to figure out what -- where they get, what they get. So -- and I think you already see that bundling process starting to happen with some of these new bundles that have been formed. So we think eventually -- I personally think eventually, the streaming world is going to look very similar to the way that the multi-channel world looked in the past, where you're going to have a number of services for consumers. They're going to be -- they're going to have favorite brands, but they're going to want a one-stop shop with a nice EPG and nice technological to find what a look for so they can start watching something as opposed to sorting their way into muck the way it's delivered right now. So that's our view. And if you're in that bundle, you're going to win. And if you're not in that bundle, you're in real trouble.

David Ellison

executive
#27

Jeff, I also mentioned the large reach of CBS network and its importance to the sports leagues and to advertisers going forward as well.

Jeffrey S. Shell

executive
#28

Yes. CBS is a driver. There's a reason why sports is moving back increasingly to kind of a barbell strategy, as Andy mentioned, between broadcast and streaming, and that is because you need reach. And I think for a lot of us, we thought broadcast would decline along with cable 5 years ago. That just simply hasn't happened. Broadcast is declining much more slowly than cable is making broadcast relatively a lot stronger and as sports move is kind of a virtuous circle. The more sports that moves back to broadcast, the slower the decline is going to be. And there's a lot of people watching CBS and other broadcast networks. So that's going to be an important part of the bundle too. People are going to watch CBS as part of their bundle. And so our streaming strategy, whatever ultimately ends up being, CBS is going to be at the cornerstone of that, not just sports by the way, but some of the core shows that George talked about, which really delivered for the CBS audience, many of which are we would call Skydance shows. They're based on IP that Skydance has is made to with Paramount. So I see that is going to be important part of this overall equation.

Operator

operator
#29

Our next question comes from Steven Cahall with Wells Fargo.

Steven Cahall

analyst
#30

Congratulations, David and team. So David, can you just expand a little bit about how you think about Paramount's role in streaming? I think Skydance used to have an output deal with Paramount+. I think you shifted that to Apple a couple of years ago. The animation homes are going to Netflix. So it seems like from the Skydance perspective, you've been a bit more wary of where Paramount is going to fit in streaming longer term. So maybe you could just help us kind of think about the financial outlook for that business and what you think some of the additional investments to kind of put it in the addition, as Jeff talked about, where you're looking to win? And then just another question on the cost savings side. So we think a lot about free cash flow in this business. It looks like some of the costs will be front loaded for those costs to achieve. Overall, when we look at everything that's going on here, the Skydance contributions, probably lower cash interest, is this deal going to be free cash flow accretive immediately? Or will that take some time as all of the synergies roll through?

David Ellison

executive
#31

Yes, of course. So first, I'll start with streaming, I just want to clarify. Skydance, we've had a basically feature film arrangement with Paramount Pictures for a little over a decade. We're incredibly proud of that partnership and it continues, obviously, and extend to this day. But just to clarify, we've never had a partnership with Paramount+. So I just want to make sure that clarification is out there. I also think if you look at Paramount+, it's one of the fastest-growing streaming services in the market. What the team has done, we think is pretty remarkable. And obviously, from the Taylor Sheridan content onwards, it's an incredibly powerful platform. We want to be do is obviously double down on, obviously, the creativity on platform but also really rebuild the DTC platform to ensure that it is best-in-class from a technological perspective. That will have the added benefit of increasing time spent on platform and ensuring that it is both a better experience for the user while also reducing cost. And there are technological partners that we do intend and can talk to you more at a later date that we do intend to bring into this. And from that standpoint, do believe we're very well positioned. Do think when you look at international, there are things that can be evaluated. There are potential partnerships that absolutely need to be evaluated, all of which we can't speak to exactly at this time, but believe that by doubling down on P+ is storytelling capabilities and rebuilding basically the platform, we can obviously ensure that the company is positioned to be able to win. And as we said earlier, we do believe that achieving profitability in streaming is essential and believe that you need to continue to scale from the perspective of also being profitable. With that, I'll hand it over to Jeff and Andy to answer some other aspects of that question.

Jeffrey S. Shell

executive
#32

Let me just jump in for 10 seconds before we get to Andy. I want to just make sure just to punctuate what David said. We're not going to be binary. We're going to be fairly agnostic here. We're very proud of the relationship we have with Netflix and also with Amazon. And we're going to maximize the value of our content, whether it's on our platforms or whether it's on our partners' platforms. And we're going to continue to do that across the organization in order to maximize the value of our content. And the platform will still allowing our platforms to get to cash flow positivity in to win. Andy?

Andrew Gordon

executive
#33

Yes. So good question on both. So yes, you're right, we are going to front-load the restructuring charges to achieve these efficiencies that will lead to cash flow accretion by the end of '26 and clearly into '27 versus what we believe are Street forecasts. The second thing that I will mention as well is that the transaction will be EPS accretive within the first year based on current Street estimates and growing from there thereafter.

Operator

operator
#34

Our next question comes from Richard Greenfield with LightShed Partners.

Richard Greenfield

analyst
#35

David, you got P perseverance, I think more than anything else today. You laid out a pretty ambitious plan to build Paramount into a next-gen media tech company with a lot of -- a lot more content than it has today. Can you accomplish that without a joint venture? And I guess when you talk about these joint ventures and partnerships, David, there's like a long history in the media space of partnerships and JVs not working very well. I guess what gives you the confidence that you can execute on a joint venture successfully? Two, can you just give us from a housekeeping standpoint, what are you assuming for revenue of the legacy assets just so we can sort of look at how you're thinking about those legacy broadcasting cable network assets? And then last, the Skydance Animation piece is probably the most exciting part of this transaction in terms of what's being added, but you're tied to Netflix. Do you have the ability to do more with Skydance animation away from Netflix that would go to theaters and Paramount+ over time?

David Ellison

executive
#36

Yes. Rich, first, thank you and I really appreciate the kind words. Please know the plan that we've obviously put forth, obviously, is all presented with Paramount as a completely stand-alone entity. So everything that you're seeing is taken from that. And we absolutely do believe that we can be successful, obviously, as a stand-alone enterprise and streaming across all of our businesses. We wouldn't be here otherwise just to state the obvious. And -- but I do believe that when you look at the media landscape as a whole is where it exists today, is Paramount, as a legacy media company, does need to, as I said, first, double down on the core competency of basically storytelling, but it really does need to make that transition to being a tech hybrid as a company. You've watched some incredibly powerful technology companies moved into the basically media space and in do so very successfully. We believe it's essential that we obviously move towards that direction of the tech company, which also goes back to what my core competency obviously is and goes back to the key thesis in Skydance, which is that by bringing together technology and media, that's actually -- that's what's essential to be able to kind of chart a course forward in this environment. I'll turn it over to Andy to answer the second part of the question around the economics, and then I'll take the third. So Andy, please.

Andrew Gordon

executive
#37

Yes. I mean, look, I mean, I think that from an economic perspective, Rich, and nice to hear from you, I think we think that not only will we be able to grow subscribers, but also to be able to put ourselves in a position to be in a cash flow breakeven to positive within the first 18 months of closing. And so that's kind of running it on our own with some of the initiatives that David talked about. Clearly, if we can form some other business construct, we believe that we can accelerate that very quickly. I would also mention that the three CEOs and Naveen have come up with a plan potentially on the international business, which is likely to be executed between now and closing, which we also think will be quite compelling to the cash flow generation of the DTC segment. There's also probably another real interesting opportunity on the tech platform between Pluto and Paramount+ that we also think we can drive a lot more efficiency and drive further cash flow generation for those two assets.

Jeffrey S. Shell

executive
#38

Let me just jump in before we go back to the animation question, Rich, obviously, we all listen to your podcast every week, and it's hard to argue, take the promise of your question that Hulu, as a partnership, didn't create tremendous value for the partners that we're in it. So I take your point on joint ventures being challenging, but the more scale you can have in content, the better. So as David said, we're perfectly prepared to go it alone and get to cash flow positivity but there are lots of examples, and I'll say Hulu being one of them, where more scale and content can give you a better chance of winning. And certainly, we will evaluate those as the time goes on. So back to you on animation.

David Ellison

executive
#39

Yes. And back to animation, I really appreciate you bringing that up. I mean our goal is, obviously, at Skydance Animation is to build a studio that can, over time, stand alongside the big iconic studios like both Disney Animation and Pixar. We believe we've got a long way and incredibly proud for the world to see Spellbound when it comes out on Netflix later this year. We've recruited some of the best artists in the world basically over to our studio. Again, I talked a little bit about it earlier, but when you think about Vicki Jensen, who did Shrek, Nathan Greno, who directed Tangled, Brad Bird who directed Ratatouille, Rich Moore who did Zootopia. We have several filmmakers responsible for some of the most iconic animated movies that have thankfully chosen to call Skydance their home. And as Jeff said earlier, we're not myopic in terms of how we look at the world. We have a phenomenal relationship with Netflix that we're incredibly grateful for that a multibillion-dollar pack to where we co-own everything we create in partnership with them. And that obviously expands to consumer products and ancillaries. And that is obviously the core of what we're focused on at Skydance Animation. And obviously, that's a relationship that is going to continue and thrive under this partnership. How it expands out, would need to be able to -- can talk to in more detail, obviously, at a later date. But please note, we believe our relationship with Netflix and Skydance Animation will significantly bolster our family entertainment business and is incredibly additive to all Paramount shareholders.

Richard Greenfield

analyst
#40

I was just going to say, just to be clear, because I think Andy piped in the international JV that's being talked about for Paramount+, that can proceed with the current management team regardless of the current transaction?

Andrew Gordon

executive
#41

That's correct. And there's no clear the exact format of what will happen there, but we believe they have a very good plan to reduce cost and take out cash flow as part of that, and they are talking to us about some of their plans that we think are pretty compelling.

Jeffrey S. Shell

executive
#42

Just -- Rich, let me just take an opportunity to add to that, that we have the three co-CEOs on the phone here. They're all well known to all of us. We've been friends for a long time, Dave and I with all three of them. And you buy these companies, not just for the IP, but you buy it for the people. And so beyond those three, we know we're getting a lot of great talented people at Paramount and we're confident that this team is going to run this effectively during the next period of time as we wait to close this business.

Operator

operator
#43

Our last question. comes from Bryan Kraft with Deutsche Bank.

Bryan Kraft

analyst
#44

Congrats on the deal. I had a few quick ones, if I could. So I guess first, how much is the breakup fee in this transaction? And does it apply if Paramount were to accept a superior proposal during the go-shop period? My second one is, are there any opportunities you see to sell nonstrategic assets? And is that something that is a focus whether it's before closing or after closing? And then the last one is David or Jeff, can you just tell us how you view Paramount Sports rights portfolio today? Would you be looking to add to it, to pair it down or like the balance that you have right now in terms of sports rights portfolio?

Andrew Gordon

executive
#45

Why don't I take the second 2 and come back on the first one. So as far as asset sales, Yes. I mean there are assets. We've taken a bottom-up approach as David and I and the team for the whole portfolio of the company, and there are assets that -- here, which we think are not strategic to where we're going, that if we were to get a buy or to pay a price that we thought was compelling we would absolutely do that. And I know current management is also talking about a couple of transactions that if they get the right price, will be supportive of. So on that, for sure. On sports, I mean I could talk for an hour about that, but we don't have a lot of time. I will say my current job for the past 6 months has been working with Gerry Cardinal, who's here in the room, and RedBird and sports is obviously the cornerstone of what RedBird does. And so Gerry has been in this business for a long time, has tremendous relationships. When you look at the CBS Sports portfolio, it is really pretty formidable, not just with our joint partner between us and Skydance, the NFL, but Big Ten football partnered with Fox and March Madness partnered with WBB and of course, the Masters and Golf and all the international soccer that we have. And so while we're going to be managing the cash flow of the business, sports is the foundation of our business and if there's compelling rights in the future, that we think can bolster us, we are a buyer probably rather than a seller in the sports area. And I think our relationships on the RedBird side, in particular, are going to create some pretty interesting, compelling opportunities in that area. So want to go back to the first question.

Jeffrey S. Shell

executive
#46

Yes. Look, I mean, I think as we mentioned upfront, the special committee has done a full and exhaustive and fair process to land the traction with us. So we believe it's appropriate if at all, anybody comes out of the woodwork to give them 45 days to see if that happens. To the extent that happens and they accept the superior proposal that we don't accept, we will get a $400 million breakup fee. And that is all filed in the 8-K, which you can read.

Andrew Gordon

executive
#47

Thank you, everybody, for being on the call today. We're -- it probably can come across on audio's hard sometimes, but we couldn't be more excited about this opportunity in this company, and have faith in the [indiscernible] of the management. Let me turn it over to David to just -- to conclude. Go ahead, David.

David Ellison

executive
#48

No, I just -- by inclusion, I just want to thank you all for taking the time today, and I really want to thank Shari Redstone and obviously the Redstone family for entrusting us with this incredibly iconic company. We're incredibly excited for this opportunity and look forward to continuing to build Paramount into one of the most iconic institutions in the world. And so just thank you for the time today. It's a privilege.

Operator

operator
#49

Thank you for joining us today. The conference call has now ended.

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