Pegasystems Inc. (PEGA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 7, 2023

NASDAQ US Information Technology Software conference_presentation 42 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Steven Enders

analyst
#1

Thank you, everybody, for being here. today. I'm, Steve Enders, part of the software research team here at Citi. With us for this next session, we have Ken Stillwell, CFO and COO at Pegasystems. So Ken, thank you so much for being here.

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#2

Thanks, Steve.

Steven Enders

analyst
#3

Maybe just to start off, I know Pega has been around for a long time. I want to say almost 40 years at this point. I guess maybe can you talk about what's new with Pega today? And kind of what's been the journey over the past few years going through a subscription and cloud transition?

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#4

I think let's start there. So when I went -- the company -- when I started the company had been very successful for over 30 years, getting from a true roll up your sleeve start-up to -- at the time I started, we were probably doing $600 million or something like that of revenue. So I mean, pretty amazing run. And that was largely done in a non-cloud perpetual license model, like many companies had done. With professional services being -- at the time was probably about 1/3 of our business was professional services. So what was -- what you ended up kind of what happened was every year, you'd have your maintenance amount, and you'd have some term license, but you had to resell the perpetuals and you had to essentially resell all the professional services. So it was really kind of a dead lift every year. And so one of the observations I had was, listen, the market really is looking to buy subscription to build predictability for customers and for vendors. And we really need to think about whether it's the right time to make that shift. And at that time, our management team and our Board was very supportive and said, we've been kind of doing a little bit of that over the years, but there's no reason why we shouldn't. The market demand is there, our retention rates are high, et cetera. So we started that journey on moving to a subscription business in 2017. What happened was at that same time, there was so much momentum about moving to SaaS that, that trend -- that subscription transition we started, which was really more of a perpetual to term license became quickly, let's move to cloud. At the time we started, we had about $20 million to $30 million of Pega Cloud revenue, and it really wasn't true cloud. It was more kind of hosting kind of situations where we helped clients manage their applications in AWS environments, but it was -- we were not that sophisticated. And we went out, we hired a leader, Frank Guerrera, who started in the summer 2017. We built out a really mature operation center that we use to manage Pega Cloud. We changed all the comp plans. We changed the messaging. We talked to all our clients, got our clients on board. And now 5 years later, we're done with the transition. And we have a business that is all recurring or 97% recurring. We have a business that's 60% to 70% of growth is Pega Cloud. Most of new workloads much higher than that number, our Pega Cloud. Pega Cloud is now $0.5 billion, up from $20 million or $30 million that it was less than 5 years ago. And the last part of the transition is really that profitability free cash flow transition, which you've seen happen in the first 2 quarters of 2023 and will continue to happen as we go forward over the next 2 years. We'll be a little bit -- we were a little bit behind on the profitability where we want it to be 5 years ago as a combination of 2 things. One, the move to SaaS happened in a much greater way than we first anticipated. And second, we had made some strategic bets on go-to-market to try to accelerate our growth going -- broadening our coverage going into some new areas, even a few new verticals. And it just really didn't pay the dividends that we expected. And so we had to kind of correct some of those decisions that we made. And so now I think what you're going to see is really, a really solid operating model of [indiscernible] business, SaaS becoming a bigger piece and really kicking off quite a bit of free cash flow. So it's mission accomplished there.

Steven Enders

analyst
#5

Great. No, great to hear. Great overview there. Maybe we can talk about a little bit about where the macro end market is today. I guess how would you kind of describe where your current customers and potential customers are thinking about their budgets for Pega and how they're thinking about their kind of broader IT budgets?

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#6

So I think, in general, the enterprise spending market in 2023 is definitely feeling some -- a little bit of headwinds from what we may have seen over the last few years. I wouldn't say they're material, but I would say you can feel a little bit more scrutiny on buying a little bit more pressure. When you think about where priorities would go, right, naturally, priorities have -- the #1 priority for IT spending is operations. They have to keep the business going. And so many of our engagements with clients are heavily tied to the foundation of what they do. And so I think those relationships are very strong. And there will be opportunity for new workloads and increase capacity on those applications. Then you jump to the next one, which is kind of evolution of moving from maybe legacy applications to something more modern. I would say clients are still putting a lot of wood behind that arrow, but they are a little bit more sensitive to making those big long-term commitments, and really being thoughtful about do I have to do it this year? Can I wait a quarter? Can I wait a year? How fast should I roll that out. And so we -- that's probably where we see some of the pressures on those new workloads, those new systems, something that maybe they don't necessarily need to deploy right now. They could wait a little while, although they will lose some value. It's not something that requires them to disrupt their business if they waited. And then there's the kind of the -- maybe the -- that second bucket in the third bucket, third bucket, which is much more like R&D and testing new things, those 2 things become kind of in conflict at times, right, because only so much money to go around. So clients have to pick what they do. That's what I think AI has probably caused the most distraction. So AI is amazing. It's going to be amazing for Pega. It's super interesting for our clients, but it also is a little bit of a science project right now to understand like what it's really going to look like and how those use cases are going to play out. So we've been working really hard and tight with our clients to say, "Listen, here are the use cases that we believe are really important. Here's how you can leverage Jet AI. Here's how you can improve the applications that you use right now with Pega and even some new use cases." And we've been trying to help them -- help companies like Citi get through that journey and not and maybe try to spend their precious resources and mind share on the right use cases and on the things that could drive the most value. But I think if you asked me like the general spending environment, I would say, it's okay, but it's a little softer in terms of the 2023. But I would say the bigger question is really like the distraction risk of AI and making sure -- and it's not a distraction like it's not valuable. It's more like you want to make sure you're really putting that energy into the right projects and in the right things as opposed to a scattershot approach to AI.

Steven Enders

analyst
#7

Right. I mean I think every company now is talking about AI and talking about the products that's out there and hard to differentiate what's real and what is maybe a project. And I feel like at your Analyst Day in PegaWorld in June, you talked a lot about what Pega is doing in AI. I guess, can you lay out the strategy today, what you've announced and kind of how you're thinking about the impact that AI could have to Pega and your customers?

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#8

Sure. So there's 3 really key ways that we see AI helping our clients. The first, which is probably the one that I would say, most widely accepted and kind of, quite frankly, almost becoming mainstream, which is the conversation -- insertion of conversational AI into managing customer interactions, right? So that could be in the service environment that you're really going away from like the rules-based chatbots, right, where it was like yes or no, and really moving into like a more free-flowing discussion with the client. And that's going to solve so many problems. It's going to reduce the dependency on CSRs, reduce the dependency on processors. It's going to get customer satisfaction up, customers agreeable to interact quickly to all hours of the day, all days of the week, all weeks of the year, like to be able to get that information that they need. And that to me is very real. I mean we use it internally. We've got some test pilots running. We're also using it with our sales team. We're using it to produce content like -- and so that, I think, is I would even put that at the point where that's almost like accepted that that's a value of AI. And really what clients are doing is trying to figure out like what library do I want to use? How do I segment my data? How do I control PII and things that could seep out. How do I make sure that the AI doesn't become kind of flaky in terms of how it actually interacts and the decisions it makes. The second piece of it is really what I would call the ability to create kind of quick start speed, right? I want to start -- I want to get started with a sample work. I want to get started with the sample application. I know it's not going to be what I use, but I don't want to have to spend hours and weeks designing and work -- and mapping out the workflows and requirements documents, everything. And by the time I get 3 months in, I haven't even started anything yet. And that's unfortunately what large companies get caught up in. So if I could just say, I'm going to go to AI and Pega, I'm going to say, "give me an insurance renewal workflow." And it's going to go and it's going to give you a framework. Maybe it's a 3-step, 4-step, 5-step, maybe it's for different lines of business, and you're going to be able to have something to start with, something to even put test data through. And that's kind of that -- that's -- we're really excited about that tool because that helps clients get started, even get things into beta testing or pilots, but it also allows them to start to think about, is this the way I want it to look like, how is this going to look in a mobile environment? And AI can drive a lot of that kind of that first round or even second round. And then there's the question about -- and this is something, I think, that we're more kind of in the earlier stages of realizing of clients really leveraging and using this, which is using AI to actually implement and improve the application, which step should be deleted, which step should be optimized? Where are customers getting hung up? Where do you have rejections? Where do you have people leaving the process? Where do you have a lot of paper, a lot of interaction from processing teams. We're -- and that's actually quite easy to see when you look at the data. And so AI being able to see that, being able to look across different applications and say, "I see a common trend here." And this is what we need to do to fix the application design, and this is the actual changes. And by the way, I'm just going to go ahead and do that. When you come in tomorrow, you can basically look at the new view and you can click accept and now you have a modified workflow. And I think that there's -- we got to work out some of the risks of that. But that, to me, is a -- those are really tremendous opportunities to drive efficiency, some being very straightforward, like conversational all the way through to, we should be able to get to a point where AI is actually building the application and a person is just kind of supervising that build.

Steven Enders

analyst
#9

Sure. No. I mean I think the demos at PegaWorld look really impressive and we're, I guess, encouraging. At this point, how are you viewing the monetization potential? And when does AI and what you're doing there begin to impact ACV and begin to really drive customer outcomes and driving that towards revenue?

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#10

So we license not exclusively, but primarily on a usage-based model, on a case-based model. That doesn't mean -- it's not like a pay-by-the-drink bottle where clients literally have no commitment and they just pay each week or month, but they make commitments on a period of time, say, an annual basis. And then there's a certain amount of volume of transactions. So we have an opportunity, which AI can drive more transactions, more use cases really connect really have Pega by the foundation of a lot more of the transactional volumes. So there's an opportunity there for AI to really drive more volume. And when you drive more volume, we actually -- we share in that value creation with our clients. Compare and contrast that to a user model. For user models and -- there are a number of companies that have user models that have went out and just said, we're going to mark up the price of a user 40% or 60% or pick the number. And although that is probably the only option that you have when you have that kind of licensing model, because you don't want to have to have people pay a lot of money just to get the rights to it, but you want people to use it, but you're almost incenting them not to use it by trying to charge more per user, almost giving a client a reason to argue, I don't want to ammo my users, just my power users. Well, then the 40% or 60% doesn't work, right? So it's very complicated when the pricing model to a client is disconnected to the value to the client. And so we really believe transactions and usage and how much the system does is completely connected to the value that they get. So that's why we licensed that way. In terms of the monetization time frame, I would expect very little if any, impact from AI in 2023. And I would say 2024, although we haven't guided for 2024 yet, I would anticipate you would start to see monetization from AI in 2024, probably more in the back half, but maybe in terms of something that we might actually be able to [ come out ] and observe. But it's going to be relative -- this is in a 3-year, 5-year. And by the way, I have -- for those of you that may have known me or heard me talk in the past, like I've always been skeptical of the time horizon, the technology impacts monetization model. I'm always like, oh, I know you say it's going to be 2 years. It's like I'm always a little bit more safe in that. I would tell AI is one of the first innovative areas that I've really been like, I know that this is going to move fast, and this is going to get adopted fast. And it's just -- it's totally different than automation and robotic process automation. It's different than all the other things that have come, even cloud, right? Cloud took time for people to really think about and adopt. It was a commercial model just as much as it was a technology model. I just think AI is going to move very fast, and I think you're going to be at risk to be behind if you're not using it. So that's why I think the monetization is going to happen. We're going to start to see it next year.

Steven Enders

analyst
#11

Okay. So as we think about customer budgets today and they're thinking about investments, like are they opening up new budget for AI? Or is it really coming down to the use cases that you're talking about and just trying to drive more usage to then drive the AI angle here?

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#12

So what I've seen with clients is take AI off to the side for a second, and then they have -- our clients have problems. What are the problems? They are way too dependent on people. Those people are harder to get, many of those people are aging in the workplace. They're not replacing younger people or not replacing into many of those roles, and you end up becoming this model just becomes very difficult to manage. As you double your customer base, you don't want to double the number of programmers that you have. You don't want to double the number of processing customer at CSRs. So you end up with the situation where clients like Citi or your peers are saying, "I've got a problem. And I've got to deal with this disconnect between my resource allocation and what I can actually afford." Then you have another problem, which is, "I have systems that may not meet the security standards, the modern -- I really can't leverage some of the new technology advancements in some of the systems that I have." So you've got this issue of "I've got to modernize some of my environments. I've got to think about my resource constraints" now layer AI in. And so with AI is not becoming a discrete budget from what I've seen it's becoming, a part of the budget that gets allocated to AI initiatives to solve a problem that you're already dealing with, which is a resource constraint problem and an innovation, kind of a modern innovation -- modernization innovation problem with legacy applications. So I think what AI is going to become is the tool to bridge larger enterprise organizations from where they are to where they wanted to be 5 years from now. So it will become a bigger part of their spend, and they're going to get the savings from that because they're going to actually need less people to support. They're going to have less systems to support. And quite frankly, they're going to have less time to the lag between when you start something and when you go to production.

Steven Enders

analyst
#13

Okay. So maybe as we think about the use cases that customers are investing in caring about today in 2023, how has the mix of the use cases that Pega works on and you target for your customers changed in '23 compared to '22 or '21?

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#14

In 2023, I think a lot of the -- there is a much bigger -- there's a larger amount of our applications and solutions that we're supporting our clients that are requiring real-time integration with all the systems that connect to the workflow. I think real-time integration was a differentiator to value proposition, but not every client leveraged it. And so it was a lot of times if you build a process that was a sophisticated process but might still not necessarily connect in a seamless way with all the pieces. They might send information in more in a cash way or in an offline way to be able to connect. There were humans involved. So if humans shut down their terminal, it wasn't that necessary that they did start the next step until the next morning, right? So there were -- there was a little bit more of an acceptance of a human factor into that. A lot more of our clients are really moving more towards robotics and really trying to create we're talking about and calling the autonomous enterprise, which is an enterprise that the system can operate without any humans, right? I mean that's a little bit of a dream right now, but let's operate with the least amount of human interaction. That's not a dream. So I think that, that's a big shift. Another shift is, a few years ago, clients were moving off of desktop customer service software into like kind of virtual customer service software. I think COVID probably in the whole move to remote location really just made that like, I mean, you have no choice, right? It was more of a decision that clients made about when they move now. It's like I need someone to go to a URL. I need them to be able to manage from anywhere. I can't actually even manage those systems because I can't even maybe even control data depending on the country that they're in or what their access is. So you end up with really this push to say, "I've got to go to cloud systems, and I got to go to vendor cloud systems. So I think the combination of the -- the way the workplace has changed to be people not working in large employment centers to being all over the place to being able to have to access URLs to the -- really the regulatory control around data flowing between countries and regions has really made it so that vendors have to solve that problem, right? Companies like Pega need to go into AWS and GCP and Azure, they need to figure the problem out. And so I think what you've had -- that means all the certifications get pushed to vendors. So what's happening is we're now required to be a true solution vendor as opposed to selling technology.

Steven Enders

analyst
#15

Yes. Okay. That makes sense. I guess maybe if we think about, again, back to kind of demand environment, I think first half was -- I think 1Q was a strong, 2Q was maybe a little softer. How are you thinking about like what the second half of the year looks like? And maybe how is 3Q kind of shaping up from a demand perspective right now?

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#16

Sure. I think if you looked -- I think objectively, if you looked at the half year only, you probably wouldn't ask that question, that's a good question to ask about difference between Q1 and Q2, right? Because if you look at the first half, it's largely landed in line with where we thought it would have been. But because we started -- we had such a strong Q1 that Q2 is an obvious question to say, "Well, why was Q1 stronger Q2? I think the reality is in our business, we're selling enterprise clients. We're selling typically larger deals, smaller numbers of transactions. You do get you do get more of a skew between quarters that you might if you were selling -- Starbucks selling coffee where you don't have that kind of variance between the quarters over the times of the year. I think Q3 and Q2 have typically been our weakest quarters in terms of net new activity, just historically, [ nothing ] it has been. Q4 is typically the strongest. And then some deals flow from Q4 into Q1. So that's the reason why Q1 tends to be kind of -- the reporting seems to be a little bit stronger than the other quarters. Q2 and Q3 historically have not been strong quarters. They've just been -- they've been more mediocre, right? And so I think Q3 -- the demand environment in Q3 is certainly no worse than the demand environment in Q4. So I think that's not working. That's not in our face. But I think Q3 is probably not where we make our year, but I also think there's a lot of activity in Q3. But we really are dependent on Q4, right? Like that's just historically we are. It's when enterprise buying tends to happen, it's when a lot of our sales teams have like kind of cutoffs to hit their commission accelerators. It's quite frankly, a lot of our renewals happen in Q4, and a lot of our upsell and expansion happens on the backs of renewals. So when you have a quarter where there's for us. When you have a quarter where there's not a lot of renewal and it's not a seasonal quarter that would be active typically for our clients. And there's not as much of as many compelling events to drive more activity. So I think Q3 feels like a stronger quarter than Q2, but Q4 is where we make our year.

Steven Enders

analyst
#17

Okay. So maybe if we think about that a little bit differently. I think you were guiding to $125 million to $145 million in ACV -- new ACV for the year, I think that kind of implies you need to hit about $100 million or so in the second half of the year or 2 to get there. I guess how are you feeling about the pipeline and the ability to kind of hit those numbers at this point?

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#18

I don't think pipe an opportunity is really our risk. I think our risk is execution and any distraction of execution from some of the actions that we may have taken earlier in the year and recently with our sales team. That's always a risk when you have disruption or displacement of people in your organization, there's a there's a settling period that happens. So that's the reason why we did it this early in the year as opposed to waiting until Q4 because we felt like this was a better time to make that call. But I think that's a risk. I don't think it's pipe or opportunity or client spend for -- but renewals are a big driver. And so if you just use that as a -- it's a driver. And renewals are skewed towards Q4. So that kind of helps you give the color. And then the last point I would make is the organizations that we're targeting, the ones we're covering are the right ones to be able to expand. So I think we do have a little bit more visibility and comfort with the pipe because those are companies that we know well. So that helps.

Steven Enders

analyst
#19

Makes sense. You mentioned the reactivity, which I think happened earlier this year and then in the past couple of weeks. What has changed -- first of all, what has changed in the go-to-market? What's different now that you decided to do this? And secondarily, I guess what does this mean for rule of 40 and how you're thinking about the future margin and leverage that can come out of the model from these changes?

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#20

So the change that we made in December -- December, January of this past year, was a change around organization coverage. So what we did was we said, all right, we're starting the year off -- right before we start the year. But we're starting a year off, here's the [ odds ] that we're going to cover. Here's how we're going to cover them. Here's how much we can spend in coverage based on where we thought the bookings were going to be for the year. So that's what happened at the beginning of the year. We did not go as far as evaluating all the roles that we had across the sales team because we wanted to really anchor it on the coverage model. As we got through the first couple of quarters, we knew that there was probably a risk Unfortunately, that we were going to have to go a little deeper than we did to make sure we were on our Rule of 40 targets and our sales productivity targets. So then when we released earnings in June, in our prepared remarks and in my quote actually in the earnings release, I kind of signaled that this was happening. I don't think you or many people were surprised that it happened. But we were -- because we talked about go-to-market organization, further optimization happening in the second half of the year. Then what we did. So what we just recently did was we looked at roles that should be customer-facing and putting them together under the same management structure and roles that were more technical in nature being part of a value continuum and being kind of co-managed. So we did a little bit of an organizational shift to bring the client success people closer to the account executives. And with that, you're going to have some thinning of managers. You're going to have some thinning. And then we move the sales engineering to be part the continuum with our enterprise architects and some of our implementation and kind of deployment architects. So we felt like that would get people a little bit more aligned for a kind of life cycle of support for clients. And with that, you have some efficiencies that were kind of a next round of efficiency. And that's kind of what happened between the beginning of the year versus the one that we just did.

Steven Enders

analyst
#21

Okay. And so as you're thinking about it now, what does that mean for productivity rates for sales going forward now? And I guess, secondarily, what does it mean for the margin and your continued push towards Rule of 40?

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#22

So what we just did, will have very little impact on 2023. This is really a '24 activity. That said, we're doing pretty well on free cash flow generation for this year. So I'm very optimistic on where we'll land for 2023. What this really does, the combination at the beginning of the year, which, by the way, will not have a full year impact in '23 either because some of those things didn't even happen until Q2, right, in terms of the timing because depending on the country you're in, et cetera. And the one we just did, which really will have very little impact this year. A combination of those 2 and the combination of our increasing ACV and managing and gross margin going up, et cetera, you're going to end up with a potential for a reasonable jump in our free cash flow levels from where we land in 2023 to 2024. So I mean, this was something that was necessary. It was something that is completely aligned with our journey to drive to being a Rule of 40 company. And I think by the time we get to the end of 2024, I don't like to say we're there, but I would say we're pretty much there, right? Because our free cash flow has a good potential to be in the mid- to high 20s next year, right? And that's not a -- I don't think that's a dream. I think that's very possible. And that will then solidify our $500 million free cash flow number that we talked about in our Investor Day, which was like out there kind of -- in a kind of a 3- to 5-year period, can we get to be a $2 billion company generating 25% free cash flow, which is $500 million. So I think this is all part of that journey and very consistent, and I think we're right on track.

Steven Enders

analyst
#23

Okay. So if we think about the math you just laid out there, I think you said mid-20s margin for free cash flow, exiting next year kind of implies a 15% growth rate then to get to 40%. You're talking about 11% to 13% for this year. And if I remember the medium-term guide, I think kind of in a similar range. So I guess, how do we get to that growth number you're talking about to kind of mid-teens to make the Rule of 40 math work out?

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#24

So what -- so I think 1 or 2 things is going to have to happen, right? One is we're going to have to see growth rate acceleration in 2024 over 2023. And that -- and if that does not happen, which it is not -- that is not a foregone conclusion. That is a risk. If that does not happen, then we should be doing things to manage the business to basically make up as much of that on the free cash flow margin that we can. We really talked about Rule of 40 as we exit '24, right? So we want to be in a position when we enter '25 that we are looking at the business saying, we are responsibly run balanced organization within kind of spinning distance of Rule of 40. I think as we -- if our growth rate is lower in '24, it puts more pressure on us being at the kind of the math of Rule of 40. I think we will be in spirit on our way there, but that is definitely the risk we have. We want to try to -- so -- but I think we can do some things. I mean, certainly, we can -- free cash flow could be higher. There's no reason why '25 some magic number. I mean it certainly can be higher and should be higher if our growth rate is lower. But we just have to think about the combination of is that a terminal growth rate? Or is that just 1 year, right? And could the growth rate be higher in a future year. So we have to just be really thoughtful about that decision. I think that's a great problem to have before within that range because we're kind of close enough that it's -- I think we'll get -- we'll be able to make some decisions without feeling like we've missed in spirit, our commitment that we said we're going to do.

Steven Enders

analyst
#25

Sure. Okay. That makes sense. We have a little bit under 10 minutes left. I just want to make sure if there's any questions in the room that we can address those and we can go from there. Okay. So I do want to ask a little bit, maybe a little bit more towards the long-term guide that you gave at the Analyst Day. So, can you just kind of like break it down what's kind of being assumed in there. And kind of what's being assumed for macro, what's being assumed for AI contribution? Just how should we be thinking about what that looks like and I guess, also the free cash flow component going forward.

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#26

So we are -- in our long-term guide, we were assuming that the market would be slightly better than what we're seeing right now, but not materially better. So I would say more like what we saw in '22. That's kind of -- so I think it's not really a -- we're not assuming a 4 years of like a tougher enterprise spend in that model. The second thing is, we're assuming that we're on our way to getting closer to 80% gross margins in Pega Cloud, which would then drive our overall margins up. We're assuming professional services would become a slightly lower mix of our overall revenue. still probably grow a little bit, but admittedly at a lower pace than the rest of our business. We're assuming that R&D and G&A would actually grow at a slower pace than our overall ACV or revenue growth, which should give us a little bit of accretion there. And then our sales and marketing would be one of our biggest lever of factors, right, which is basically getting us from a 43% of sales and marketing as a percent of revenue, down probably closer to the 30% number, right? I think those are -- that's kind of the -- and we'll have made really good progress in '23 on that measure and certainly in '24. But that's kind of how we're thinking about it at a high level. Now where is the growth going to come from, right? The majority of the growth is going to come from the traditional growth lines that we've had before. AI is going to be a factor in that, but I would say we're still early days to think about AI, probably not going to be a material component of '24 but we will start to see it. I think when you get to '25 and '26, I think AI will help both on the revenue side and the cost side because we'll be leveraging AI to drive a more efficient business. So I think AI will help on both. And I also think Launchpad will be an interesting thing to watch. Like how much of our revenue will come from Launchpad. Because when we get to '24 and '25, we'll now be a year in to Launchpad being live. We'll have providers on there. We have some revenue. So I think -- I don't know that we'll report Launchpad separately in '24 because it may not be big enough to be [ insure ]. But at some point, it may be something that we're talking about as a separate revenue stream, so to speak.

Steven Enders

analyst
#27

Can we talk a little bit more about Launchpad, maybe just for those who might not be as familiar with it. How does the -- I guess how is it different than what Pega has historically done? And how do you think about augmenting the go-to-market from where it sits today.

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#28

So what -- the way that -- so if I can maybe just maybe go back in history just a little bit to connect this. So a few years ago, we started an initiative to sell what we call corporate markets. What corporate markets was our sales teams, but maybe with a little bit of a thinner sales coverage going into more of a mid and a down market. And we were selling Pega Infinity to companies that needed workflow but probably weren't our traditional size of an organization. They might -- I mean they're not talking about companies with 50 people, but more like in the $250 million to $1 billion to $2 billion range, companies that probably wouldn't have the capacity to spend $20 million or $30 million or $40 million with Pega in a year -- every year, excuse me. So we had some success there, but it's an inefficient model. And our product really needed to be multitenancy to be able to sell some of those use cases because our minimum deal size was -- had to end up being like $100,000, and a lot of clients didn't want to spend $100,000, even $100,000 [ RTL ] and margins were not great for us in terms of we weren't going to get 80% gross margins on that. So we didn't shut that down, but we more refocus some of those teams to go after major organizations that were newer logos but still had large kind of spend opportunities. And then we went a different path on that market, which was Launchpad. And so what we did with Launchpad was we essentially took all the capabilities of Infinity. We made it multitenancy, we've tightened up some of the flexibility that may have been native to Infinity and made sure that Launchpad had good controls around what you could do, in other words, not allowing a developer and Launchpad to get in trouble in a multitenant environment, which is, by the way, every multitenant software provider has to do that. If you go to -- if you Google sales force, you'll see 85 pages of all the restrictions that you can't do in their multitenant cloud because they have to do that, right, because it's the only way they can run an efficient cloud. And then the -- if you want to be more of a kind of -- on your own, you maybe go a force.com route or something. You go a different route. So we knew that, that was the difference between Infinity and Launchpad. Then we thought, okay, we don't want to sell this. We don't want to have our own sales team because that's not really our selling culture. So we started to think about how would you distribute this. The way we thought about distributing it was through ISVs or partners or our own clients that may want to sell software subscriptions to their clients. And so if you think about a company like I use this example because I just think it's a little bit more of a clear one. If you have a company like Boston Scientific that's selling equipment to hospitals, those hospitals may actually need to buy some level of a subscription service or an application so they can manage those pieces of equipment and manage the consumables and manage the billing to the patients and the reimbursement and all the -- but they're not going to go hire engineers and try to go build their own platform. By the way, Boston Scientific isn't going to hire engineers and build a workflow platform. So how about if Pega says, we'll loan you the platform, you essentially build your use case on it. You sell that to your customers, and we'll get a revenue share for that. And so you get all the power of Pega into kind of the mid-market, but typically through either a vertical partner or through a company like Cognizant or Capgemini that might actually want, I'm just using those 2, it could be any of our SIs, that might want to actually build an application that they sell us because Accenture and Ernst & Young and Capgemini and Wipro and Cognizant, they all want to build subscription businesses, and they all are not software companies, but yet they have very strong software technical skills. So they don't -- so just letting them almost like white label, so to speak, the intellectual property to be. So that's what Launchpad is. It's a way for us to enter end markets that we couldn't get to with our traditional selling model and we made the product such that it fits that market. So we have a better product market fit. So we're literally in the first year of that. We have less than 10 providers, as we call them, actually working on use cases. But we're really optimistic about that being almost a business that could become a flywheel. Imagine companies like Veeva and nCino and the companies when they started that they could use the Pega platform to actually start their business as opposed to what they did, right?

Steven Enders

analyst
#29

That makes sense here. We only have about a minute left here. And I do want to make sure that we ask about some of the lawsuit that's going on here. I guess is there an updated time line on how you're thinking about that? And yes, just what does the future look like of that?

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#30

So the next step is the appeal. And the appeal is in process. And we will -- we don't know when that will be heard. We filed all our appeal briefs as did they. And we expect -- we're guessing a little bit, but we expect in the next quarter or 2 that there would be a hearing for the appeal and maybe some type of a feedback from the appellate court. And then we kind of -- both parties will figure it out from there. There's other levels of appeal after that, that either party can choose to pursue. But right now, we're just kind of waiting for that next step. So it's a little bit kind of no new information right now.

Steven Enders

analyst
#31

Okay. That helps. Lastly, I know you had a convertible from February 2020. I think it comes due in '25. Just how are you thinking about that? And how do you think about capital allocation going forward?

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#32

So the beauty of our situation right now, which is very rare for technology companies that we did convert, is that we actually -- it looks to be that we will have plenty of cash to actually settle the convert if we so chose. Not all technology companies have that option. So what they get within a year, they kind of have to like because of the going concern issues, et cetera, they have to kind of refinance like a year or 2 in advance. I think the good thing for us is it certainly appears at this stage we don't have that -- those kind of constraints. Now that doesn't mean we wouldn't want to consider those. It's just that where the stock price is right now, refinancing and convert doesn't seem like -- I mean, we're essentially issuing new equity, right? So we want to issue new equity when we think that the value creation is so significant that we can have over the next 18 months, just using it to get out to March. So I think right now, the convert is -- it's out there. It's something that we're basically building a cash war chest to be able to settle if we want it or maybe we will decide not to go and refinance it or roll it, so to speak. I think we're leaving our options open on there. The great thing is we have really strong convert holders. And I think our convert holders have a lot of belief in the company just based on where the converts are trading because they're really trading with very little risk. If you look at the yield to maturity. So I think we've got a really strong support from those convert holders that would love to be participate in another convert if we did it. We'll just have to see how that plays out. In terms of capital allocation, I think we're going to have a really fun discussion and probably a year or 2 because we're going to have a couple of years of generating hundreds of millions of free cash flow the convert may not be -- and we're going to really start to think about like, okay, we're a different business now. Before we went to the cloud -- before we went to the subscription transition, I'm not sure Pega generated more than $100 million in any year. I mean, maybe they did 1 year just because of the timing of collections. But most years, we were under that. We're going to now be a company that's generating multiple times that number. And it's going to give us lots of options, acquisition discussions, just buying back shares, distribution -- like it just gives us like lots more to be thinking about. And so that will be fun to have the true capital allocation discussion that quite frankly, right now, it's more just like looking at the convert and making sure that we put that behind us if we wanted to.

Steven Enders

analyst
#33

[indiscernible] problem for CFO to have...

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#34

I look forward to those days.

Steven Enders

analyst
#35

All right, Ken, thank you so much for being here, and thank you, everybody, for being here in the room.

Kenneth Stillwell

executive
#36

Thanks.

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