Pentair plc (PNR) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 16, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystGood morning, and welcome to Day 2 of Morgan Stanley's Laguna conference. I'm Josh Pokrzywinski, the firm's U.S. multi-industry analyst. Joining me for the last of the morning session from the Pentair management team, CEO, John Stauch; CFO, Bob Fishman. Before we get started and we welcome these guys to the virtual stage, I do need to read a quick disclaimer. Please note that this webcast is for Morgan Stanley's clients and appropriate Morgan Stanley employees only. This webcast is not for members of the press. If you are a member of the press, please disconnect and reach out separately. For important disclosures, please see Morgan Stanley research disclosure website at morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. If you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative. With that, gentlemen, welcome. Appreciate you taking the time. I'm sorry, no beach this year, no opportunity to work on the tans for any of us. But glad to hear you on the line all the same.
John Stauch
executiveWell, Josh, thank you. I mean I do look forward to the conference, and I do look forward to the venue, so we'll have to hope that we'll be back there next year. So Josh -- go ahead.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystPlease, if you wouldn't mind, just -- John, just give us a little bit of the lay of the land and what you're seeing out there to open us off.
John Stauch
executiveYes. So Josh, first of all, thank you for having us, and I appreciate you allowing us to have this conversation. I think, first of all, I just want to start with, I think a lot of us feel this way, at least we do here at Pentair, that coming from where we were thinking we might be in February, March and heading into April, it certainly feels like a much better place to be. Clearly, it's still hard to predict with accuracy revenue forecasts and understand certain trends in certain slices of our business, I think the clarity is getting better. And I think we're all doing the best we can to work through this. I mean where we are now is focusing on our longer-term strategic growth and longer-term value creation opportunities, which I feel good about. So we went from a -- starting, how do we react, how do we minimize the expenses within the year, how do we shore up our best financial results while also making sure we can get our customers, their products and keep our employees safe. I think now we're back into strategic growth mode, Josh, and really thinking about where do we lean in and where do we long term take the business. And we've got some -- a strategy or framework around that, which is, first and foremost, just making sure that all of our businesses do no harm and they at least grow with the markets. And we stabilize the ultimate performance of our 5 external businesses under the 2 segments and making sure that our product leaders are winning through differentiation and innovation of their products. Then we think we have the ability to grow high single digits or double digits in Consumer Solutions. We got great growth platforms, like pool, residential filtration products and services and ultimately, commercial filtration products and services. And then in IFT, it's really about choosing a growth platform or two, primarily around sustainable solutions, CO2 and biogas as well as smart membranes for Beer. And then ultimately getting the complexity reduced, a lot of different disparate businesses and reducing SKUs and really driving the margin performance in IFT. And then we think over the longer term, we have some really big value creation themes around leaning into G&A and getting our enabling functions to the businesses rightsized and more productive, which we think there's a lot of margin there to be had over the next 3 to 5 years. And also from the factory, rightsizing our factories and distribution centers over the next 3 to 5 years to align with the business growth needs. And then that gives us the ability to take that money and really accelerate our growth into our digital customer experiences as well as more technology and R&D over the long haul. So Josh, that's the framework we're working to now, and I just wanted to summarize it. Pleased to be there again, talking strategy and investing in growth from where we were just 3 to 4 months ago, just trying to shore up and do the best we could for the balance sheet, our employees and our customers.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystUnderstood. And I think that's a helpful framework. Just to kind of bridge us from maybe where we are today to some of those longer-term imperatives. I think no surprise that the Consumer Solutions segment held up better than IFT during the kind of depths of the downturn. Pool, I think, with some of the near term kind of macro overlays as well as maybe people just tired they're not being in apartments as much is probably holding in a little bit better. Certainly, inventories roll out. Maybe comment on what you're seeing in what is probably an overly emphasized segment externally, but still important, all the same, kind of how that has evolved as maybe we get to the end of the season here.
John Stauch
executiveYes, Josh. So stepping back, I mean, I think it's probably more luck or, call it, experience or gut feel, but we didn't create knee-jerk reactions to the COVID crisis when it came. I think we were patient. We kind of saw how demand was unfolding. I think we knew industrial operations would be hit harder. And we were hopeful at the time that our consumer-related exposure would do better, especially through residential and the migration of people staying in the homes, as you mentioned. So we didn't cut salaries. We didn't address 401(k). We didn't furlough people. And we really just kind of weathered the understanding where it was evolving. I think -- and then -- I think that was, as I said, probably more locker experience than great strategy. But I think it positioned us well to be able to lean into where the growth has happened. And the Pool growth is not surprising. We were expecting a really strong year primarily because we had some difficult comparisons last year and difficult weather patterns, but also because we were feeling that we're starting to create more content on new and remodeled pools, and we were better positioned to take advantage of the install base. And so obviously, that has come to fruition. And some of that was the sell-through through the distributor channel in Q2. And now we're catching up on that demand. And really making sure that we're not only meeting the sell-through rates of our distributors and dealers, but also rebuilding that inventory that was borrowed from, if you will, from Q2 into Q3. From the Residential side, we saw a slight pause as people weren't as comfortable having people coming home to give them the water needs that they were looking for. And some of the big box retail wasn't allowing for people to generate leads, but that's recovered. And we're seeing a really nice strong recovery as we think throughout the rest of the year on where Residential Filtration will be. And then the Commercial Filtration on consumers, that's harder, right? Hospitality, full-service restaurants, certainly a challenged area and quick-serve restaurants and certainly coffee and where we have a really strong position, recovering as we come through the quarter. So overall, I think we -- the portfolio was well positioned. We benefited from some key demographics, and I think we're doing the best we can to get the product out the door and satisfy the consumer demand.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystAnd I think within that ability to meet consumer demand, there were some bottlenecks that emerged in 2Q on the supply chain side, which, I think, given all the complexity of COVID isn't terribly surprising and certainly not unusual. How has that kind of been mitigated and enhanced as we've come out of that quarter? And now we're trying to meet some of the -- that built up or inventory replenishment that needed to happen.
John Stauch
executiveYes, Josh, we were...
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystSure. Go ahead.
John Stauch
executiveI was just going to suggest, maybe I take that from a supply chain production perspective. Obviously, Q2 was the challenge. In some cases, we had single source suppliers and then just ramping production was a challenge in the second quarter. Moving to the third quarter, we've identified and certified a number of second suppliers for key product lines. We've increased the production capacity by adding a second shift, all in the spirit of starting to put a dent into that past due backlog that we entered the quarter with. So I would say, performing well from a production perspective in the third quarter.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystGot it. And I think point-of-sale for some of your customers, obviously, some of them we can have better insight into than others, is still pretty healthy. To be above point of sale implies something pretty strong. Is there an element that we're missing that maybe hasn't recovered as fast or where there wasn't kind of a borrow in 2Q that we need to be mindful of? Outside of Pool, obviously.
John Stauch
executiveNo. We have a full year guidance range out there, Josh. And I think for the full year or for the back half of the year, as we exited Q2, I think we have that framed in our mind towards an internal forecast that I think we feel good about. And we had the cautionary statement out there, as Bob mentioned, that COVID disruption in supply chain at any given time can cause disruption to where we are on a full year basis. But there is clearly, in our minds, a catch-up that had to happen in some of our point of sale between where we were in Q2 and where that customer set was in Q3. And then we're still trying to understand what that demand impact will have in our more seasonal businesses as we exit in Q3 going into Q4. And then we've seen pull in demand from Q4 to Q3 or we're going to experience continued strong demand that will spread across Q4 and into next year. It's too early to say, and we're evaluating that. We're partnering with our channels and trying to understand that the best we can.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystUnderstood. And I guess, maybe bringing it away from the near term and looking out over the next couple of years. I think that's a business where, clearly, you had success for a long time on the Variable Speed Pump side. A leadership position, obviously, makes a lot of sense from a consumer perspective in terms of the energy payback. But I think, really, since the separation of nVent that you guys have talked about, kind of more opportunity around that, whether it's intelligent control or some other kind of creature comforts that go into it. How have those progressed? And I guess, with this bigger focus on home that has been maybe the unintended consequence of a pandemic, how are you guys looking at that in terms of attachment rates, opportunity, some of those longer-term strategic imperatives?
John Stauch
executiveYes. Josh, so it's a huge growth priority for us, and it's really -- it's 2 part. It's -- we're not going to be your home controller. That battle has been fought. There's multiple platforms out there that are really -- spent a lot of money, and they're going to be your whole home kind of platforms. But we want to be at least your pool platform and your residential water platform. And hopefully, maybe even expand into more of the backyard or your overall experiences related to those. And so we spend a lot of time. We partnered with an outside firm who knows all those home applications really well, and we've created a consumer-friendly app. That also allows us to attach our consumers to our dealers, which we really think is a long-term value proposition. Once you're starting to use our smart products, which is the other leg of that, Josh, you have to have products to attach to that experience, and we're really aggressively pushing that platform forward. But as you're using our products, then you're starting to learn that Pentair is your provider of both the pool experience and then separately the water filtration experience. We want to be able to attach you to dealers who can help you with your needs. And we think there's a lot of value in that, not only with our creating our channel intimacy, but also creating consumer pull and demand.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystUnderstood. And then I guess, you do have a regulatory tailwind coming up here next year on the Variable Speed or high efficiency pump side, so maybe creating a bit more of an intelligent installed base going forward. How should we think about that mix of business today that would fall under the new regulatory guideline? And then are you planning for the possibility or think there will be some sort of pre buy? Because it's not as obvious that, that should happen in this market just because it makes sense to go with high efficiency anyway, but any observations would be helpful.
John Stauch
executiveYes. So Josh, I mean, you know that there's other industries that have experienced this. HVAC is one that comes to mind, probably a decade or more than that ago. And that informs like kind of the way that we've thought about this in the context of -- I do believe pumps represents a little less than 25% of our overall Pool portfolio. It's important, but it's the one that gets the focus, but it's one of several product lines that we create. But as you said, we are leader there in the Variable Speed and that Variable Speed is a better pump, it's quieter and creates this more value. But single speed versus variable, variable slightly more than half today of all of our pumps sold. And we do think over the next several years, there's going to be the transition for sure that benefits us in the form of more dollar sales with a higher, more sophisticated pump and certainly more margin dollars to Pentair. But I don't think there's a point in time when this really happens. I think it's a smoother transition over the next several years as people work around those regulations and begin to understand them better and then ultimately get the consumer at the time the only pump they can get, which is a Variable Speed. So we've been very careful in trying to suggest there's a point in time because I really don't think there is. And even as we look through our mix of offerings this year, we've moved it a little bit between those 2 pumps but not significantly, as that DOE date emerges, which is July of 2021. So I think it will happen over time, Josh.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystThat's helpful. And then I guess, just on the consumer water solutions side. Just with the emphasis on the home, do you have evidence yet that consumer water quality is kind of moving up the priority list? We've seen some other industries that probably fell below the waterline, pun intended.
John Stauch
executiveYes, sure. Pun intended, yes.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystFor folks, but when you're 24/7 in your house, maybe it's something you think about more. I know that getting a contract in your house was particularly tough for a while. But is that a market where you're seeing more inquiries? And what do you need to do to make sure you're striking while the iron is still hot?
John Stauch
executiveYes. So Josh, the facts are obvious. I mean the search engine, search words around water filtration, water treatment, but most of that has really resulted in more of a point-of-use sale or a picture or I'm going to put a new filter on my refrigerator. It's been more of that type of sale to date with ultimately maybe also a point-of-use underneath your sink. And we're very optimistic that those types of leads can result in a consultive experience for you, that takes a look at your whole home and begins to take you to where you need to be, which is what do you really want better water for? Do you want better skin or better -- softer skin? Are you wondering about your vegetables and rinsing them with what type of water? Or is this a drinking water application? And how do we get you the best tailored solution for you? So first of all, we're excited that we're starting to see that demand and the interest level pick up. And then we've got to migrate to be able to give you a solution. And you mentioned the in-home experience. Yes, it was slowed a little bit. But it's back, and we're starting to have those consultant-based experiences. And we want to curate that for you. Our goal would be to make sure that you know Pentair exists, make sure you know that Pentair has the best products and systems for you. And then ultimately, have you come work for us and then have us give you the best channel expert in your zip code to be able to give you that proper answer. And we want to do it in a consistent way across the nation, which is hard to do today across all these different individual dealers. And where we think we have the insights is we know what the water quality is in every zip code from the types of water solutions we provided some of our restaurant partners, and we generally know what has to happen in your particular neighborhood or your street. And if we can get a more tailored solution from you that maybe doesn't oversell you or doesn't undersell you, we ultimately think we can get people to be more excited about a branded offering in their residential home. That's our goal, Josh. That is a longer-term strategy, and I'm excited about that strategy, but it's going to play out in a series of singles probably over the next several years.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystUnderstood. And then just switching to the other side of the house with IFT, I guess a couple of thoughts. In the 2Q deck, I think the segment was called out as requiring more attentive strategic prioritization. And I guess if I'm using your lexicon, John, I think it was betting all the horses and then high fiving when one of them came in. Are there signs that you kind of move past this? And where should we think about as the biggest areas of focus and really checked as far as milestones for results there?
John Stauch
executiveYes. So we have 3 businesses in IFT. We have our -- kind of our residential irrigation or the smaller pumps, and a lot of the residential trends are helping that business as well. And I think we've got good offerings around wastewater and water supply that we feel good about. And I do think that those have been under nurtured, if you will, over the last several years, run as a larger pump organization. So we carved it out, and there's some good spaces that I think we can go win in, and we've got some good partners and some dealer channels. So we feel like that's a GDP-like grower, but it's a consistent GDP grower with expanding margins. I think the rest of it has been how do we focus the larger pumps into where we have our niches and we have the right applications, more of an aftermarket break and fix business. As you recall, sometimes we chase some large projects there. And maybe we won because nobody else wanted it. And then a year later, we regretted having won that project. And so I think that's all out of the system, and I think we can really grow market rates. Our focused growth actions really would be around our sustainable solutions. We have a lot of partners that we produce brewery membranes for that we also capture their CO2 and biogas and turn that into food grade CO2. And then it's quickly become about $100 million business for us. And we think there's a lot of momentum between private and public funding to make the world better regarding that, and we're getting a lot of looks, and I think we're going to see an accelerating growth play out in 2021 and 2022 around that, Josh. And then we have IoT solutions that are really smart enabled that help our customers maximize their membranes in the food and beverage space. And that allows them to feel good that they're getting their money's worth out of the membranes they're buying for us, and that's more of an aftermarket play for us. But we really feel like those IoT solutions are adding value. So that's the focus growth. And then outside of that, how do we reduce complexity? I was -- got my new leader there and we're getting ready to do our strategy longer term. And we think about this business, think about 10% of its revenue needing about 60% of the SKUS. That's a lot of cost. And I know you're going to say, well, why not just get out of it? It's not that easy, but that's the rationalization of SKUs that we need to drive to migrate to other alternatives and maybe letting some revenue go but really reducing the complexity, which allows us to really partner with the supply chain to really take out meaningful cost. So Josh, I have the right leader here. He didn't invent this portfolio. He's is a great strategic Pentair partner. He's been with us a while. He's global in nature, and he's really leaning in. And I'm proud of the momentum he's got and the focus he's driving. And I feel like there's a lot of value to add in IFT.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystGot it. That's helpful. And then I guess one of the areas that's probably not one of the horses that gets bet on and probably more on the rationalization and cost side is, I think in second quarter, you mentioned kind of a muted outlook for the commercial and infrastructure pump business. Just given some deferrals there, is that a business where you're probably carrying a little bit more backlog into the next year than maybe you otherwise would? Or are those just orders that haven't been placed and maybe there's some pent-up demand in the marketplace?
John Stauch
executiveI think we had orders, Josh, and continue to have backlog as we work through Q2 and Q3. And then we're monitoring what that project funnel and the backlog looks like as we head into Q4 and beyond. And that's one of the areas where I would be very cautious about chasing projects. And if we get our normal order patterns in the aftermarket, we'll be well positioned. And if not, we'd probably lean into the cost curve there and rightsize our cost positions to align with the new volume. I don't want to fill the funnel with low-margin projects that create more complexity. I'd rather come up from where we think we are and have a richer set of portfolio with a lot more value contribution over the next several years.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystUnderstood. And I guess just pivoting over to an area that's gotten a lot of attention across the space but -- probably for Pentair as well as the topic of ESG, extremely topical with investors. Some folks in the water space are highly synonymous with it. I think there's probably still some room for evangelization, I'll call it, for Pentair stake. What do you think has been kind of the gating factor there? And where are your focuses in terms of elevating the ESG visibility for Pentair, just given efficiency and water quality are kind of the -- some of the keystones in the portfolio?
John Stauch
executiveJosh, I really appreciate you asking that question because I think we're now poised to really lean in. I think we understand that all companies have to be socially responsible. But we're starting with a really good culture. We've had a win right culture for many, many years. And yes, we have an amplified focus on diversity inclusion, but our culture is really solid. The product portfolio we have and the solution portfolio really geared towards sustainable solutions. And our tagline under Pentair is smart sustainable solutions. And it's broader than just water, as I mentioned, in our sustainable gas applications and how we do beer membrane filtration. But we believe we're building out a portfolio that makes the world better. I also feel like we don't have the legacy of pension, asbestos, environmental. None of those liabilities exist at Pentair. So we have a good platform to speak to. You asked what kind of caused this pause. It was really probably separating from nVent. Nothing against them, but any time you have the oil and gas exposure that you have in a business, it's hard to really pound the table to where you're going. But if you look at what I have left in my portfolio, all of our products are well positioned to really be able to drive -- make the world a better place, and that's where we're focused. And we have to do a better job at telling the story. I think about some of our RO solutions and you focus on that we're making water better, sometimes waste water, we used to waste 15 gallons every 1 gallon produced. Today, we're down to 1:1 in most of our applications. We'll never get that to 0. You need a gallon of water to make water. But at the end of the day, we got to tell the story of how much water that's saving versus focusing on that last technical solution. Look at all the bottled water we've eliminated, not just in our own sites but everywhere else. So there are some platforms here, Josh. You're going to see great sustainability report come out. That's the start and progress against our last one. And I think over the next couple of years, we're really going to lean into this, Josh.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystAnd is there an M&A strategy that pairs alongside that where there are obvious areas to shore up? Or is this mostly an organic story? And just kind of cultivating it and telling it better?
John Stauch
executiveI think from the sustainability, it's mostly organic because I think we have most of the technology to solve that solution. But I think there's an M&A governance framework that wouldn't allow us to enter something that wouldn't fit a sustainable framework.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystGot it. That's helpful. And then just maybe a question for Bob. Bob, you've been in the role now for, I guess, almost a couple of quarters. Anything in terms of your priorities and your big focus that has been identified? And I guess, where are you spending most of your time given that the world is probably a bit more of a complex place than when you started earlier in the year?
Robert Fishman
executiveYes, certainly so much different than the April, May time frame when I started. So that focus was very much on free cash flow and liquidity and looking at our balance sheet. And when I quickly became convinced that we did have strength in all of those areas, it was moving to more to support a number of the strategic initiatives that John discussed. So the nice thing as the CFO, we're able to partner very closely with the businesses. So John talked about consistent revenue growth, whether it's every business contributing or whether it's driving that accelerated growth in Consumer Solutions and the focused growth areas in IFT. So we've developed a tracking system around product categories. So think of we have Pentair, 2 segments, 5 business units. And then, call it, 20-plus product categories really trying to drive the growth at that level and providing the information that those category leaders need to contribute to growth initiatives. And that's been a big piece of what we've been doing. And the second is really around the cost structure, understanding what's fixed and variable, very important in the businesses where the volume is under pressure, to take costs out in line with that. So I think we've done a nice job there as well. But more importantly, also looking at G&A and then supply chain and manufacturing. So supporting those initiatives. We had a third party come in to assess our G&A in the company. And frankly speaking, our G&A is probably more sized to a company with twice the revenue that we have. So we have opportunities within G&A. Call it, 150 to 200 basis points of improvement over the next 3 to 5 years. Think of things like spans and layers, think of areas of centers of excellence and efficiencies that we can not only make the spend more efficient, but more effective as well. So I would say trying to drive that consistent revenue growth and looking at margin expansion opportunities is where I've been most focused over the last couple of months.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystUnderstood. That's helpful. And then I guess a final one for both of you, whoever wants to take it or in pairs. Obviously, you've seen some inflation come through recently outside of oil and maybe to a lesser extent, steel. I know that you guys are more on a pricing cycle than kind of continuous price and there's a lot of cost actions that happened in-flight for many companies this year. Putting all that together, how would you kind of initially look at next year in terms of normal incremental margins versus kind of above or below that just based on what you know for temporary cost actions and price costs?
John Stauch
executiveBob, you can take that one.
Robert Fishman
executiveYes. So for us at Pentair, and I don't think next year will be much, much different, our price increases of, call it, 1% to 2% across the whole business, higher in some pieces, those would then offset the cost of inflation. So think of us as offsetting that. And then the productivity improvements that we talked about being able to drop to the bottom line. Or to John's earlier point, to reinvest those productivity initiatives into the digital side of the business to enhance the customer experience, to make the lives of our dealers and distributors easier and to drive better data analytics. So again, I think a very similar pricing environment that then allows the productivity improvements to be reinvested back into the business.
John Stauch
executiveJosh, I'd just say like some of the other companies that you follow, I think the thing that Bob and I are partnered on more than that is we've benefited a lot from deferring costs associated with travel and outside sales and those types of things. And really, the -- making sure that those just don't come back as they historically were. But we take advantage of how we did business this year more productively and more effectively, and we add back only the cost necessary to drive that incremental revenue that we're going to go get. I think that one is probably the one that's on top of my mind and Bob's mind more than anything else, is that people just don't say, okay, we did something in 2019, we've learned a lot in '20, we go back to '19 spending rates. I think that's the inflation I would worry about more than the items that you mentioned for Pentair.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystGot it. Understood. I see we're out of time, so we'll leave it there. John, Bob, thanks to both of you for making the time. Pleasure as always, and hope to see you live next year.
John Stauch
executiveJosh, thank you so much. Yes, thank you, Josh, appreciate it.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystBe well.
Robert Fishman
executiveThank you, Josh.
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