Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 24, 2021

New York Stock Exchange US Health Care conference_presentation 39 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#1

Hello, everybody, welcome back for the last medtech session of the day, and we are here with the management team of Penumbra. And Adam, thank you so much for joining us as well as the rest of your team at the Citibank Virtual Healthcare Conference.

Adam Elsesser

executive
#2

Yes. Well, thanks for having us. Glad to be here.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#3

Good. It was -- one of the things you and I talked about briefly last night after the earnings call was this sort of subtle but polite, "Joanne, our vascular revenue was greater than our neurovascular revenue now." And I was like, yes, I know that. I know that. But it was a really polite way of reminding me of saying the company has changed a lot. I mean this isn't the stroke company that IPO-ed a couple of years ago. It's evolved.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#4

And so reflecting back on that, what surprised you the most?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#5

Yes. That's -- it's a great question, what surprised us the most. We -- first of all, it's been 5-plus years since we IPO-ed, which when I think about that, sort of causes me, I guess, to reflect on a few of my gray hairs. But we -- our first quarter after we went public, the -- one of the big things that people talked about was that we had just launched CAT 8. And CAT 8, which was our first big peripheral thrombectomy catheter, provided a nice bit of early-launch revenue, and people we're surprised at that in our first quarter as a public company. And so if I look back on that moment and then I compare to where we are today, I'm not actually surprised because it was sort of part of what we had wanted to do. But it -- but plans don't always work, and it sort of has here. What is exciting for us, and I think everyone at Penumbra, is just how many people we can still help in the peripheral space in thrombectomy, it's dramatically larger number of people that have some serious medical issues, both on the arterial, venous PE side. And now with Lightning 7 as well as Lightning 12, we've brought that technology, this really kind of extraordinary proprietary technology that really took us 4 years to do, is really sophisticated to -- maybe this is the wrong term, but it helps proceduralize or automate the procedure of it. It helps you know when you're in clot, how you can function in that. It still, of course, requires the great skill of physicians, but it allows for the kind of success that we're seeing in getting this clot out in a routine way. And that's pretty exciting. It comes at a time, particularly in COVID where needing to have single session treatment, getting the patients in and out of the hospital fast is at an all-time high. And the alternative for the most part is a longer-term, several-day drip of tPA in the ICU. And so when we compare that, I think we're in pretty good shape and providing something that really matters. So it's exciting to see. I think the biggest thing that surprised me maybe is the fact that we have 3,200 people at Penumbra. I wouldn't have guessed that we have that many people 5.5 years ago.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#6

So many directions to go from here but I'm going to go with the one on vascular. And so many of our conversations early on with the company, post IPO, was the development of the stroke market and aspiration and stent retrievers and competition, competition, and then we talked about competition. And what I have been really surprised by is how much the vascular portfolio has evolved. And so just briefly, if you'd just give a mile-high or maybe even less, view of what is in that bucket today? And then when you and I are talking in 3 years, what do you think is going to be in that bucket then?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#7

For peripheral. So for peripheral, our business is made up of really, let's call it, 3 buckets. Most of the time, we talk about it in 2, but I want to pull out coronary for a second. So we have the thrombectomy part of the business, which obviously, just the sheer numbers, are the largest. The way I talk about it is there are about 450,000 people in the U.S. alone that have some form of intervention or surgery for their clot in their body. And most -- that's not done with years and massive amounts of clinical data. That's done by physicians because they really have to. That clot is there. It is going to create some very serious issue, and they have to do it. The majority of those patients, about 250,000, are on the arterial side. And then the DVT, PE and dialysis patients sort of make up the other subsets of those. But that work, the majority of that treatment, that intervention is through dripping tPA over a several-day period. And I think we were offering a much better and easier and, we think, safer solution. So that's sort of that part of it. The coronary, which is really a separate device designed for rapid exchange, is a little different in that in most of the patients that it's used in, it's not the main cause of the issue. It's ancillary. The patient has other things, a STEMI case, plaque, and the product is used sort of in a different way. It's a much faster procedure. The clots, usually much more acute and soft. But that alone, we estimate about 200,000 patients potentially could benefit from aspirating in their coronary. So it's kind of -- that's almost the same size as the stroke market or is the same size as the U.S. stroke market that we're talking about. And then the third sort of leg, in addition to the arterial, venous and PE side on thrombectomy, is the embolization business. And that's been a real exciting sort of bright spot in that we designed a series of embolization tools, coils that most people, and we can feel that way too, sometimes is they're just coils. Lots of coils, lots of big companies have coils. But the coils are unique in that they're larger than typical coils and they're softer than typical coils. And the combination of that allows you to do the work necessary in a much more efficient and better way. And then we've built that out with other parts of the line to anchor in high-flow vessels and things like that, that allow you to do things that you weren't able to do with coils before. And as a combination of those sort of unique tools, that, I think, has allowed us to sort of stake out our place that we're providing sort of very specialized tools that don't exist in other portfolios and have made procedures easier and better for physicians. And it's been pretty satisfying to watch that grow. I think there's a lot of room, as I said on the earnings call yesterday, for that to continue for many, many years. We're in the earliest stages. There's still 90% of the patients that are being intervened or surgically treated today that we're not helping with our tools. So we got a lot of work ahead of us.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#8

What does Lightning 7 bring that Lightning 12 didn't have?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#9

Yes, that's a great question. So on the -- so Lightning 12 is really designed for use in the veins, and now it has a PE indication as well. It's a bigger catheter, obviously, and can remove a fair amount of volume of clot pretty quickly. When you go to the arterial side, we have what we call CAT 6 and CAT 8. CAT 6 and a few other smaller sizes for smaller arteries, CAT 8 for some of the bigger arteries. But the goal, just like in stroke, was as big a catheter as you can logically use. But one of the hurdles that we ran into for a number of years in converting and, I should say, convincing physicians to go from using tPA, dripping tPA over a few days, to try our system is the size of the -- the French size of the hole that you need to make in order to -- the puncture hole to do the procedure. And going up to an 8 French size, we're asking a lot of those doctors. And we really wanted to be able to stick with a smaller French size to address some of their concerns. But to just do that and make a smaller catheter would have impacted its effectiveness. The smaller the catheter, the less clot you get out. So we waited until we had the technology that we developed for CAT 12 and our neuro guide catheter, BMX, which is a very novel technology that allows us to go down a whole French size in the outer diameter, but increase the inner diameter in ratio, so that we're just a little bit smaller, but not much than our CAT 8, but a whole French size smaller in our outer diameter. So that's, on the catheter side, the benefit. You're getting a whole French size smaller, which I think will answer a lot of the concerns to try the system. At the same time, keeping most of, if not almost all the power that you get from the bigger catheter. And then we address the issue of blood loss or the risk of blood loss by adding Lightning to it, which sort of automates that part of the procedure and makes it, we think, much more efficient and streamlined. So it's the combination of those things that I think will allow us to approach the physicians that might have been reluctant to move away from dripping tPA to try this. And we haven't launched it yet. We've just done evaluation cases. So let's wait and see. Last time we launched our Lightning system, Lightning 12, 2 weeks into the launch, I declared that it was the best launch in our company's history, and I know that got a lot of attention. It turned out to be true. And I knew that from just the reaction early on to the use of it. So let's see how the reaction goes in the launch, and we'll report back. But we're pretty optimistic about it.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#10

When you say we added Lightning to it, for those of us not in the OR, what does that mean?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#11

So Lightning is a tool that goes with the catheter, it's not actually the catheter itself. It doesn't actually go in the body at all. It's, in effect, sort of automated tubing that connects from the catheter to the pump. It's got a valve and a whole series of electronics that sense when you're in clot, when you're not. It has an auditory signal to tell you that your catheter tip is in the clot. And then the valve goes on and off in rapid fire only when you're in clot. So if you're in free-flowing blood, it's off, and you won't be just sucking out blood. It's a very sophisticated tool. We spent, as I said, 4 years developing it. It's -- you can, on the website, see a picture. It's got a whole electronic component, and it plugs into the pump. To go back historically, about 3 years ago now, we launched a new pump in neuro, and there was a lot of conversation about that. And people said, pumps don't matter. This pump added higher vacuum power, that's what we sort of said, and it's why we did the pump for the most part. But the other reason we did the pump is that we added a USB port in the back of the pump. And that USB port, which we didn't have in our prior pump, is what allows you to plug Lightning into the pump and power it. So without that, Lightning wouldn't work because you need the power source. And that was a critical part of our thinking for having that pump. Obviously, I didn't want to share that at that time because it would have shared what we were working on in a way that I didn't want to. But the combination of those, the power plus the power source, the USB port, were part of the reason for that product, for the change in it.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#12

And one of the things you were talking a little bit more, maybe because we're talking more about Lightning, is the CAT RX product line. And at what stage does that coronary revenue become significant enough that I add a third line in my revenue model?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#13

Yes. Well, so yes, it's hard to know what that threshold for you is. We'll continue to talk about it. It's not insignificant to us, but it's our same sales team. And it's part of that process. The interventional cardiologists not only do use CAT RX, but they do roughly about 25% of the peripheral cases out there, with a lot of focus on PE. So there are customers anyway, and CAT RX sometimes is the way we get to know them, and sometimes CAT RX follows them using our peripheral work. But it's our same sales force. We haven't built a separate team. So that's why it's all sort of part of the vascular part of the business.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#14

What else do you think you need in vascular?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#15

Yes. It's a good question. As -- the way we always think about our product portfolio is we don't think about what else do we want to sell, what kind of -- we think about what products really matter that don't exist. We don't want to sell the third or fourth version of a product. We want to sell things that really are unique and matter to the physicians. So we're always looking and we'll continue to look at medical issues and conditions that need solutions through technology and try to address that. Unfortunately, I'm not going to share what we think those are right now.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#16

A surprise.

Adam Elsesser

executive
#17

But it won't be adding versions of other -- of products that already exist, unless they're fundamentally better or different. It will be focusing -- and the coil is a good example where coils existed, but we've really done something with that technology that I think has pushed in advance the field pretty dramatically. And I think our share of that market and the reaction to that coil over the last years has shown that. So it doesn't have to be totally novel, it just has to really push the field forward and matter.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#18

And how do you look at your vascular portfolio versus competitors?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#19

Well, we're -- it depends on what competitor you're talking about. Sometimes larger companies have a broader portfolio. We, and sometimes smaller companies, have a very single-product portfolio. I think we are just very purposeful on working on things and developing products that have significant opportunity. Thrombectomy, that opportunity is one of the largest, I think, untapped markets where it's just a matter of us doing our work as the technologies evolve. And we're not done in innovating. Lightning is great, but we can make it even better. And I think over the years, we'll get to the point where, I've always talked about it with our customers this way, we're caught in the body, whether it's in the arteries, veins, lungs, it's not a thing anymore. You just take it out and don't worry about it. Right now, it's still a thing, like it's -- it requires focus and energy. And PE particularly can have devastating outcomes. People lose their legs or limbs because of clot in their arteries. We got to get to the point where that's not the case. It's just, "Hey, I've got some clot here, let's get it out." It's a routine procedure. So that's our goal. We're making progress with Lightning there. But until we get there, we're not going to stop.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#20

So is it safe to say your real competition is people not doing anything? Or people reverting to pharmaceutical lysis?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#21

Yes. I think the competition today is people using tPA or open surgery as their sort of main historical treatment and us, again, just going to them, educating them, bringing them up to speed as to what new technology exists so that they can give it a shot. With Lightning 12, one of the reasons I was so confident it was such a good launch 2 weeks into it is once you use it, it's pretty hard to go back. It's a pretty effective tool. And that's what I saw and heard in those cases. And that's the goal, is to just make this a very easy thing to do, is to get clot out of your legs or your arms or your torso pretty easily. And that's going to be our work in that field for quite a while. But as you know, we're not going to limit ourselves to one thing. We can do several things at once. And we'll add some more over the next years.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#22

So before we leave vascular, is there anything you would like to add to that section?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#23

No. I -- it's just been a real great experience. And I know our whole team has felt that way, particularly this year with COVID and the issues that have come with clotting, to be in the middle of having a solution that has helped so many folks and physicians in those situations. It's one of those rare moments where the combination of all those pretty bad situations, we were able to be there to help and it's exciting.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#24

Good. That's good. Let's switch back to or switch towards the neurovascular business. And one of the things that really struck me on last night's call was how would a large percentage of physicians maintain using either the JET 7 standard tip or another JET -- ACE68 type product, to the point where the JET 7 standard tip is on back order. Could you just spend a little bit of time talking about what's happened in the post-recall environment for the JET 7 Xtra Flex?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#25

Yes. So that's a fluid situation but it definitely has been -- it was a very pleasant surprise that as many people wanted to exchange out their Xtra Flex for either 68 or JET 7 standard tip as they did. And that's why the -- we put out a $20 million number as the total maximum sort of financial cost of the recall, and it was much lower in large part, driven by the request for exchanges rather than credits. And that was, for sure, heartening. I think what -- I'm not sure we were totally surprised but maybe physicians were. If you think about JET 7 standard tip, which is what we used to call, I guess, original JET 7, when it first launched, it was the first .072 inch, if I recall correctly, and the people liked the size, but there was a little bit of sort of knock on its tractability as it compared to our ACE68 catheter, which has been one of the most used -- well, probably the most used reperfusion catheter in the world. It's had huge success. It's still used in many places. But -- and it tracks really well. But people kind of really wanted a little bit bigger, it has the ability to remove more clot faster. But its tractability compared to that was not in people's minds the same, which led us to design Xtra Flex. What has happened now is lots of companies have an .071 or an .072 or an .074 inch because size and a little bigger has mattered in these cases. But now the physicians are not comparing it to 68, they're comparing it to other catheters. And as they do that, the original JET 7 or JET 7 standard tip is a pretty darn good catheter, and it tracks really well in that comparison. And I think we hope for that. We kind of intuitively knew that. We do all kinds of competitive testing ourselves, but to see that play out is helpful. But let me be really clear. This -- neuro stroke is -- we've known this for a long time. We've been talking about it for years. So I'm not saying new information. It's a highly competitive space. We have new entrances all the time. I -- last time I counted, 10, 11, 12 companies, all trying to sell catheters here. It's -- and the market didn't really grow in 2020 because of COVID, which I talked about on our call. So that's -- that, by definition, is not ideal for a company trying to grow alone by that, which is why we're lucky enough and had the ability to build other parts of our business to continue to grow. But that dynamic is not forever, we talked about on the call. We think the market will grow, it's inevitable that we'll be back in growth. And we will keep innovating. And so our hope is that we will come back to a more dominant position. We think we will, with both updating our catheters and technology that we've alluded to as more of a paradigm change. But in -- and how we see our business, certainly for this year, we're not relying on that, in stroke as the means of our growth. And I think the rest of our business will carry us fine, and I think we'll hold our own in neuro for now. And again, that's not meant as a negative or any kind of feeling. I think we're incredibly passionate about the work we have ahead of us in stroke. But we're -- we -- as you pointed out, way more than a stroke company, and that will carry us in times like this.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#26

So do you think the stroke market grows in '21?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#27

I certainly hope so. My -- what I said on the call yesterday, in the earnings call is what drives that growth is -- has been sort of the local work that people do in their communities to make sure patients are getting to the right hospital. Whether it's visiting fire departments and going to all the ambulance services, holding those kind of awareness things, that kind of group work is what drove the stroke market for many years. You can't really do that now. I mean I'm assuming -- I don't know this because I haven't tried this, but I assume if I showed up with my stroke coordinator and a few other people at the fire house and say, "Hey, we're here, we want to have a big discussion," we might not be welcomed right now. Maybe, I don't know, but I don't think that's -- that's just not in the cards. So we need to get back to a time when we can have those kind of interactions and those kind of things because that's what's driving it. Now some of that's being done virtually, obviously, like so much other things have moved virtually. But it's not quite the same as the community-driven work that really drove stroke. The work being done in state legislatures by the Get Ahead of Stroke Committee is still going on. But again, I don't know the specifics on a day-to-day basis, but my impression is state legislatures are pretty busy right now, focused on lots of other things and may not be the highest priority, albeit it should. But there is some bright spots. We're seeing some hospitals invest and build stroke programs that may not have had them before and didn't have them and rather than transfer those patients, starting to develop the capacity to treat those patients directly. And that could be another solution, to continue to try to treat more patients in the interim.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#28

And you talked on the call last night about having another aspiration catheter behind or next at some stage this year.

Adam Elsesser

executive
#29

Yes.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#30

You just have a whole pipeline, like do you think we're going to launch one, 1 a year or 2 every 18 months? I mean how do you approach this development? Because you've come a long way.

Adam Elsesser

executive
#31

Yes. So on the catheter side, our -- one of the -- we've talked about the technology that's coming after that, that's sort of a paradigm changing technology. That the whole paradigm now is bigger and bigger catheters, more and more tractable. So if that's the paradigm and we're changing it, the answer would be pretty obvious that maybe it's not a catheter every year as we get that technology out there. I think for us to add a new tool now, I think it's important. I think our customers will appreciate and like it. But our focus is on this new technology that I think will make the cases easier. They'll go after the issues that are still there, which is cases aren't all the same. We want to be able to get all the clot out in all of the patients in as short a timeframe as possible. And there's still room. Some cases are really amazing that way now, but certainly not the vast majority, and we have to do that work. And I think we've developed technology, it certainly seems that way, in all of our analysis and testing to really aid in that. And so we're excited about getting that out there. I'm careful about not talking about timing and all that because I don't want to be overpromising that. We -- I don't have the certainty on that. We have a regulatory process and also -- so let's wait and see. But in terms of what we see in the technology, we're optimistic about it.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#32

Okay. Anything else we should talk about in neurovascular?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#33

I think you got it.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#34

Got it? Okay. The REAL System, and I used to run the joke, REAL is real. So -- but REAL has been delayed and obviously, because of the pandemic. What has this time period allowed you to do to make it even better?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#35

Yes. It's a great question, Joanne. A couple of things. And the first is we've expanded the technology, and I've said this, to be able to deal with physical work remotely. So you and your therapists don't have to be in the same room together, but could do it remotely. But beyond that, we -- I think -- and you heard this for the first time really in some of the language I specifically used yesterday on the call. When -- we've learned a lot about how one thinks about virtual reality and health care by just being in the marketplace, talking to the users of these systems for a while now. And I think we are pretty excited about what we have already done that allows us to sort of think about this in a much broader scale. So that's what we will start to share in more detail. I talked about it in a much broader series of applications in the REAL System, really the hardware, if you will, the technology that we've invested in is really designed to be sort of a platform for all kinds of uses in health care. And I think we have the capacity to do that, to have that sort of footprint, if you will, as that platform so that there's a ton of applications that can then be part of helping a myriad of patients, whether it's in any form of physical rehab movement, not just stroke, but others, orthopedic rehab, cardiac rehab and so on. And also in sort of a broad bucket of mental health, whether it's depression, anxiety, memory loss, pain management, even all where there's a lot of data to support the use of VR. We bring some of the technology around fully immersive, being able to see and track your own avatar to those experiences that I think are what the field is sort of needing to be there. So we have a lot to prove. There's -- until we start seeing significant revenue, it's still just work that we're doing. And we -- we're very clear that we don't expect a lot of revenue, any sort of material amount in our guidance for this year of 2021. But I think we've learned a huge amount around what is necessary, what is needed, what the health care community is asking for. And I think we can address almost all of that. So again, pretty excited about the future. But this year, it's not going to make an impact financially.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#36

So just push a little bit on this, when you debuted it, I think it was fall of 2019, at an analyst event, it was almost a briefcase-like product that had a headset that you were able to use virtual reality to, at that stage, work on modifying brain, neuro function. Has that changed in concept?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#37

So the concept of -- you still have a headset because it's virtual reality. You need that. You still have the sensors that will track your movement. You may not need it in a brief case because there are ways to -- that came with a tablet and all kinds of other stuff, which may not be as necessary. But at the most fundamental level, that's true. It's gotten better. There's some additions. I mentioned at another investor conference in early January, we've been working with Qualcomm, which is the maker of the chipsets that go into these headsets. They have new XR technology that they're very proud of, and they've been working directly with us as a sort of one of the companies to deal with that technology and a new series of headsets. So there's been a lot of things that have happened that really open up a much broader range of applications. They actually filmed a commercial with us, which is fun. So I think there's an opportunity with the technology to really be helpful to a much broader range of people. But again, we got to prove it. We're talking about a lot. I'd rather, at this stage, just let us do our work and prove it. And when we're able, we'll reveal it and reveal the new economic or financial model that we [ think ] will be how we go after it. But that -- the time has been well spent. And I think it's allowed us to learn what we didn't know, learn things that I think will make the system even more applicable for a lot more people.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#38

So just to level set, should we expect something midyear, a little bit of a reveal?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#39

We'll -- as soon as -- so what I'd like to do -- yes, I will share what I can as soon as possible, hopefully, midyear. I'd love to be able to have an in-person Investor Day type thing, where people can experience it because that's -- that will be helpful. That may not happen midyear. So maybe we'll have sort of 2 different things. So give me a little -- I want it to be valuable. So we'll figure out the forum to do that so that it's a valuable experience.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#40

And then my closing question, we've covered so much already. What do you think investors are missing?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#41

Well, I've been really heartened this year. I think investors have listened and watched our performance. At your conference today, I've gotten questions around the peripheral business, really trying to understand it, unpack it, more questions about REAL. So I think the -- we've sort of had our evolution. And that's hard because we spent a lot of time appropriately and purposely talking about stroke because we had to. The market wasn't guaranteed to develop. There were a lot of hurdles in the way, even after the trials 6 years ago to develop the stroke market. And we should talk about it, and we did. And now as we evolve as a company, I do think investors have evolved with us. And it's really -- it's fun to watch, and it's fun to be part of. So I think investors do get it. My only comment is we're not going to stand still. So we have the work ahead of us, but we're also going to keep evolving. So what we're talking about today may not be what we're talking about in 2 or 3 years, albeit maybe not 2 or 3 years. We got a lot of runway ahead of us with peripheral and REAL.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#42

Wonderful. Well, Adam, Jason, Maggie and Jee, thank you all so much for joining us today. And I'll speak with you soon.

Adam Elsesser

executive
#43

Okay. Well, thank you very much for having us. Appreciate it.

Joanne Wuensch

analyst
#44

Okay. Bye-bye.

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