Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 15, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystOkay everyone, we'll go ahead and get started. Welcome to the 2024 RBC Capital Global Healthcare Conference. I'm Shagun Singh, Senior Medical Device Analyst at RBC. And I'm very pleased to have Penumbra here with us, kicking off day 2 of the conference. Joining us from the company are Adam Elsesser, CEO; as well as Jason Mills, EVP of Strategy. Adam and Jason, thank you so much for being here today. I appreciate it.
Adam Elsesser
executiveThanks for inviting us.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystGreat. So I thought Adam we'll start with some high-level questions. It appears to me that there has been a shift in strategy at the company in recent quarters and really positioning it for the long term by streamlining commercialization. You've talked about a focus on clinical as well as market development and improving profitability. So maybe you can level set investors and just walk us through this transition and how you think about Penumbra over the next maybe 3 to 5 years as well as 10 years?
Adam Elsesser
executiveYes. That's a great question and an appropriate observation. The only caveat is if you go back 20 years ago when we started the company, we started the company with this idea that could we come up with a safe and fast and simple way to get caught out initially of the brain and then the rest of the body. And it's really hard to do that, and it's taken us lots and lots of time to continue to innovate and improve the products. And we now, with last year's launch of our CAVT platform have gotten to the point where those 3 things have -- had generally been satisfied. So with that comes the next phase of work to make sure that the scales have sort of tipped from "Yes, it's good to get clot out, but there are lots of ways to do it" to "this is the best way to do it" and now we have to go after making sure everyone knows that through the work that you've outlined, both with enough people in the ground to talk about it with the support, the data support and of course, the effort in the field that the health economic data, everything else to say, now is the time to really get that clot up using the CAVT platform.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystGot it. And how do you think about the company over the next 3 to 5 years versus 10 years? Any key strategic priorities there?
Adam Elsesser
executiveWell, the clear priority and that reflect -- is reflected in the way we sort of recast the revenue streams and so on of the company is around -- and around the thrombectomy that is using CAVT. So starting in the U.S. and going to the international markets after that. That is what's going to drive the company's growth, but equally importantly, it is the mission of the company. Let's -- we have 10% of the patients getting this technology. And we now have the information that says there's 90% more that should get it. That's an amazing thing. We can do an awful lot of good. Obviously, the company will do well if we do that. But most importantly, there'll be an awful lot more people who feel better when they have clot in their body and it becomes less of a catastrophic crisis.
Jason Mills
executiveAnd just to add on to that. You asked about the work we've talked about over the last several months, but -- and you also asked about profitability. So one thing that is true is the work we're doing in market, access market development, this is really -- now is the time to do that because the product, CAVT and the platform, is here. To have done that work 5, 6, 7 years ago, it wouldn't have been the appropriate or exact right time. We didn't have CAVT. CAVT, this platform is the right platform to be doing all of this work to try to drive access. And then the other thing is Adam often says he likes to run a profitable company. I think, I wasn't at the company then but the company was profitable well before it went public. And we're enjoying, and we expect to continue to enjoy really strong growth, but the other word we'll talk about is profitability. So growth and profitability are both important.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystThat's really helpful color. I wanted to dig in a little bit deeper into this initiative. So on the commercialization front, I think you began to expand the footprint more meaningfully at the end of Q3. What kind of expansion have you driven within your vascular and neurovascular businesses? And then how should we think about productivity? I think a lot of your territory managers were put in place in the first part of 2024. So do we see productivity improvements in the back half?
Adam Elsesser
executiveYes. It's a really good question. So we philosophically have always had a relatively smaller sales force than a lot of our competitors. There's just a difference in philosophical view. And last year, given the scale of new customers that we're interested because of CAVT, to be very candid, we were a little late in sort of pulling that trigger and saying, we need more help. We just had a lot to do with new accounts coming in and getting through that process. So we started that. And you're right. This -- the first quarter, people were still coming up to speed. They were finishing their training. They were getting organized and so on. I think we're going to see the benefit of that in the back half of the year, and our guidance even reflects that in terms of the cadence of that. So we're pretty happy we did that. I think we now have a team that's in place for this next phase. I think we'll be a little more careful watching those numbers and making sure we don't get caught again, but so far, so good for this year.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystJust to -- I think you had indicated 25% more territory managers on the vascular side. Is that where you've got the head count that you need to be? And anything you can share in terms of productivity metrics?
Adam Elsesser
executiveWe don't really do that historically. We -- I will tell you that we -- to give you some sort of sense of numbers, the average, I might have this slightly off, but generally it's accurate. The average territory size before we hired or account size before we hired this was about 18 to 20 accounts per rep. I think we're averaging around 12 now, give or take. So don't hold me exactly to those numbers. So there's some definite benefit. But again, that's still a lot of accounts per rep. And as more and more people want to use our products that, one, it makes for very productive territories and cost effective, but it does stretch people to be out there and doing the work.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystAnything you can share in terms of the number of accounts that you're targeting?
Adam Elsesser
executiveWell, we're -- it's every account in the U.S. that can, does or can do thrombectomy. I had an interesting opportunity. Recently, we were doing a joint marketing event with Shockwave, they had -- it was a group of interventional cardiologist. And I've met a cardiologist who's using our product called CAT RX, where the coronary clot removal loved it, had never done PE, had never done DVT and was talking throughout the day to a bunch of his colleagues who were also doing PE. And he said, this is amazing. I should start doing PE. I haven't been doing it. I see those patients. We just haven't, in my practice, taking them on. And he then spent the better part of 45 minutes on our simulator in the back of the room, sort of getting the hang of it. And so it's a small one person story, but it gave me some confidence that, again, that was the time the products have gotten good enough that we're going to see that kind of transition happen.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystThat's helpful. And then with respect to market access, and I think you've indicated that you're collaborating with some of the large hospital systems to validate clinical benefits as well as health economics. Any timing you can share there? Are you seeing any impact of those initiatives?
Adam Elsesser
executiveYes. Well, that's a longer-term strategy. We've been very clear about that. But what is important and the reaction that I should share is, everyone that we've talked to so far gets it. They have already done their own math. They've already looked at the data in their own systems for the most part. There's not a lot of disagreement that, okay, things have changed. With CAVT, outcomes are better and the health economics are positive. And that, to me, is the most important thing because if that wasn't true, and it wasn't true back in 2013 when we first came up with our first thrombectomy product for the rest of the body. It just wasn't true. The product wasn't good enough to have that reaction. But now, it is. And so now it's just a question of, what is the work they need to do. Again, we can help support with content and all but what do they need to do that in the various vascular beds, whether it's in arterial, DVT or PE. The work is slightly different. Patient flow comes then slightly differently. And we can help talk to them about the work they need to do to make sure they're capturing all of those patients in their region. And so it's early. It's again, not going to happen overnight, but the reception to that discussion is extremely different now with CAVT than it was before.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystThat's very encouraging. Let's talk about innovation a little bit more. So with respect to Lightning Flash, I think you've indicated you have about 46% share in DVT and about 20% in PE. You're launching Flash 2.0 as well. And you've talked about pent-up demand there. So can you tie it all together for us and talk to us about what does this mean in terms of the adoption of your Lightning Flash franchise?
Adam Elsesser
executiveYes. I'm not going to quantify yet the adoption around numbers and sure, obviously, I think that will continue to shift. I think we saw that in the first quarter numbers. But most importantly, it's what is the product doing? And if you look at the way Flash 2.0 is performing, it's pretty extraordinary. Flash 1.0 was a great product, obviously. It totally transformed the -- our place, particularly in the VTE market last year, 2.0 is just that much better. And to sum it up the right way, you get more clot out faster than ever before, which is kind of extraordinary. We've had people who are new to the Flash portfolio, to the new product line doing their first cases with device time in a complicated PE case of 2 minutes, 3 minutes of device time. That's just unheard of. And again, in those cases, particularly PE, but it's true in all vascular beds, the faster you can do it usually means the less complications, the less mucking around, the less stuff is happening. So we feel pretty good about it. Again, early. We're weeks into it, months into it. But I think there's a lot of interest and momentum. And I think there are people who were watching Flash 1.0 going, okay, that's pretty intriguing, but I've been doing something else for a while. And now with Flash 2.0, it's hard to [indiscernible].
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystIs this factored to your guidance fully? Or are you still kind of waiting to see how it ramps, given that it was launched just in late April. As I look at your guidance for the [ balance ] so on the thrombectomy side, [ U.S.] you did 35% growth in Q1. It implies a bit of a step down in the back half of the year. So just curious, is this fully factored in? Or is that growth rate just a function of comps or conservatism?
Adam Elsesser
executiveYes, I wouldn't -- what we always do when we issue guidance, and we look at all of the things that we know at the time when we issued that guidance, and we take our best shot at it when you're talking about a projection. We've been doing that since we went public 9 years ago. So I don't think it's -- I wouldn't characterize our guidance other than we look at the information we had. Obviously, as that changes and we performed, we'll take that into account as we go.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystGot it. And then just as a follow-up, I guess, the back half from Q2 to Q4 guidance implies a bit of a step down. Is that conservatism? Or is it a function of comps? Anything to consider there?
Jason Mills
executiveI mean I would just echo what Adam said. We had our earnings call just a couple of weeks ago. And so we factored in everything that we knew at the time into our guidance. Of course, we reiterated what we said 3 months ago. We assessed everything again.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystGot it. And we have very strong U.S. thrombectomy numbers in Q1. On Lightning Bolt side, the market is just 11% penetrated. Can you just talk about what success you're having in driving that conversion to mechanical thrombectomy?
Adam Elsesser
executiveYes. Again, it's Lightning Bolt 7, it is done in the arterial what Lightning Flash has done in DVT and PE. It has sort of reengaged and reset the idea that, oh, hold on, why wouldn't I start with mechanical thrombectomy. If you're a vascular surgeon and you're about to do an open cut down, maybe, but why wouldn't I start first with this because it's going to work and it's a lot faster, a lot less intrusive on the patient and it's more cost-effective for the hospital. So that's the process that people are starting to talk about. Now again, early, the vast majority, as you just pointed out, are still getting open surgery in some cases, tPA, that's historically, people have been doing that appropriately for many, many years. There wasn't anything else to do, and they had to do that. Otherwise, you might lose the limb. So that's been an appropriate method and that's now changing. And that change takes some time. You have to go out there and talk to people, you have to -- physicians talk to physicians. That process is underway. The most important thing, less around time frame and picking an exact time when everything moves, it's the fact that the product is finally performing at a level where that conversation is not only appropriate but necessary. And that's kind of exciting. Again, it took a lot of innovation to get here. But with that, I think we can see the benefit of that.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystGot it. That's helpful. And you have alluded to 3 additional CAVT products that you'll be launching in the next 12 months. And you indicated that we could see one maybe this year. Can you just elaborate on what are these products? How meaningful? Is it in the current vascular beds? Or is it something new?
Adam Elsesser
executiveWell, that's a good question. For obvious competitive reasons and so on, I'm not going to be more specific. But I can tell you, like Flash 2.0 has had a big impact in the first weeks of launch. These new products, they're going to be fun to watch.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystAnything else?
Adam Elsesser
executiveI'll leave it at that. It's going to be fun now. I also want to say, we focused on those initially 4, now 3 because of Lightning Flash 2.0 as new things coming. We always have -- I mean, our list of R&D projects and where they are in the process is even longer than that. This isn't it for us. Those are the ones that we have enough information of confidence around where they are and they're focused on CAVT specifically to talk about. But we have a lot more coming. As you know, over the 20 years we've been doing this, our R&D capacity, R&D machine is really extraordinary, and this isn't the end of the line and/or the only things we're focused on.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystJust curious if you're willing to share, is it going to be in a adoration? Or is it going to be like a brand-new product? Anything? Any color there?
Adam Elsesser
executiveYes, it might be both.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystOkay. All right. Fair enough.
Jason Mills
executiveWhat you can rest assured is that it will continue to try to optimize what we're doing with CAVT in one or all of the 3 things that matter. Safety, speed and simplicity, right? And whatever vascular bed there is clinically significant clot, that's fundamental to what we do with CAVT. That's the only thing that matters to patients and physicians, right?
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystGot it. And Adam, I think you've also talked about integrating procedural and case-specific information within the CAVT platform. Can you just elaborate on that? Are you looking to utilize data better? Like, where are you going with all this?
Adam Elsesser
executiveWell, if you think about -- if you have just a mechanical pump or a syringe or what have you, there's no way to get information in the case. There's nothing to hold that information. But now we have a computer in every single case because of the CAVT platform. So with that, by definition, becomes fairly obvious that you could incorporate, use that computer to get and process information, both in real time. So what if you, while you were doing the case. And I'm just not giving hints about anything. You could look at certain patient data in real time in the case and you're like, oh, that's happening to that particular patient as I do the procedure, that's helpful to me to know. Do I stop? Do I keep going? What's going on with that patient rather than having to do it blindly, stop, get that information separately and then go back to doing the case. Streamlines it. You also -- if you're a physician, and you can look at your case volume and say, okay, I'm going to review the last 50, 60, 80 cases, how have my -- what's changing, what's -- how long is my average time? How -- what am I doing and learn from that so that you can be better and focus your techniques around that. And then the third, of course, is that information benefits us to make the products better and better. Algorithms can be adjusted. Right now, Flash 2.0 got adjusted based on lots of verbal feedback and both from physicians directly or sales reps in the cases. But that's hearing and listening and trying to adjust the work. It's much better. But what if that information was covering lots, all these cases, and then we would be even more able to fine tune algorithms going forward. So those are the 3 large buckets. The issues around how to do that, you have to be connected, there should be patient safety, a lot of those issues which are challenging for lots, we've been working on actually with our immersive health care product and have made huge strides in validating the ability through the various sort of systems to be able to do that. So I think we have a running head start on that part of it because otherwise, that's the part that usually gets you slowed down, and we've made huge strides already on that.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystThat's helpful color. Just a quick one on Thunderbolt. Is there -- when can we expect the data readout? I think March 2025 is the primary study completion, June is the total study completion. And is there a possibility that we could see results from initial patients sooner? Or can you submit a smaller cohort? Just any color there.
Adam Elsesser
executiveWell, I think you would appreciate -- first, I appreciate the question. But I think you'd appreciate, given my over-excitement about Thunderbolt a while ago and talking about the date that I'm not going to change the date that's in clinical trials to come from now. Needless to say though, obviously, on our last earnings call, you heard my enthusiasm for the way Thunderbolt is going, both enrollment, but equally, the anecdotal, we're hearing physicians tell us, my God, that was an amazing case, is that the other. So we're pretty optimistic about how Thunderbolt is going. And will be patient. It's taken a while. Trials are hard to roll in strokes. Some of the competitive products that we compete with, taking many years to roll these patients, given the criteria and how it's hard to get consent in stroke cases, obviously. But that being said, obviously, Thunderbolt is something that we really are proud of. And it's pretty easy to see, Lightning Bolt and Thunderbolt, not exactly different fundamental technologies. We've done so many Lightning Bolt cases. We know the technology works. We've seen it also confirmed in Thunderbolt cases.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystI think we may get some GLP-1 data for PAD next month. Any quick take on GLP-1s and how that might impact you?
Adam Elsesser
executiveI -- we've talked about that last year. I think generally, most people have sort of come around to understanding that it's not going to have a -- I mean, it might have a lot of positive impact on patients who feel better and can get healthier. But I don't think it's going to fundamentally change the number of people that have clot in their body.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystGot it. And now we are out of time. Any last minute messages for investors?
Adam Elsesser
executiveYes, we're in a good spot. We've spent the time building the platform, and now we're going to go out and execute and make sure that everyone who can benefit has the ability to benefit from it. From my standpoint, that's pretty awesome moment in time in the company. Morale is high. People are excited. And we just have to go out and do it.
Shagun Singh Chadha
analystGreat. Thank you so much for being here. Appreciate it.
Adam Elsesser
executiveThanks, Shagun. Appreciate it.
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