People Incorporated (IAC) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 15, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Justin Patterson
analystAll right. Thank you very much for joining us this afternoon. I'm Justin Patterson, Internet analyst at KeyBanc. Really excited to have Glenn Schiffman, the CFO of IAC, with us today. Glenn, thanks so much for joining us.
Glenn Schiffman
executiveThank you, and thank you for your initiation report last night, well-timed on ANGI and IAC. So look forward to discussing that and a lot of other topics.
Justin Patterson
analystYes, absolutely. And we'll definitely hit that shortly. But maybe to level set, just at the start, it's been an exciting year for IAC with the Match spin. Talk about the vision for the new IAC and how you envision the business over the next several years.
Glenn Schiffman
executiveGreat. It's a great question. I'm thrilled, you didn't start with our monthly metrics. And I love the long-term question because that is how we think about things. Well, obviously, the Match transaction was a terrific accomplishment for IAC and then, therefore, our shareholders. And now it's about rebirth and growing again and being small enough and agile enough to grow. We obviously have a handful of terrific assets and a long growth trajectory, we think, inside of each of these assets. And we also have a pretty large cash balance here to once again reinvent ourselves. The analogy -- we've made the analogy many times to the quad spins in 2008. And coming out of that, I think our market cap was $1 billion -- was under $2 billion. I think it was $1.6 billion, and we had a fledging little business in there called Match that I think was under competitive pressures from maybe Yahoo! at the time or AOL or Facebook -- or sorry, pre-Facebook, of course. And we invested a lot in that business, and there's a ton of terrific organic growth. So I think we have a couple of different assets inside of new IAC that hopefully will compete to be the next Match. We'll talk about ANGI, but a terrific transformation is going on there. Vimeo is having an absolute breakout moment now that looks like it's going to sustain for a long while, which we're excited about. Dotdash is doing -- is also doing incredibly well this year, continued strong double-digit growth, if not this past -- these last couple of months, greater than 20%. And we also have a couple of other emerging stars, we think, in the portfolio with Care.com and the list goes on. And then, again, we have about $2.9 billion of cash. We're looking forward to putting that to work. So -- and I'm sure we'll talk about the MGM asset, which we think is a really, really interesting opportunity one -- opportunity for us. The form and nature of structure of that investment is a little different. But a lot of the themes are the same, off-line to online conversion that we've done and have done well in and have a history in. So the vision is to compound capital like we always have. We will look at it and do it creatively. We will look at a lot of different opportunities. The easiest area, we think, is obviously with our existing assets given they have such low penetration in such large addressable markets and sit fortunately in such a leadership position. That's, in some respects, easy insofar as we have a knowledge advantage, we have an asset advantage. But equally, the story of IAC from 2020 to 2030 will also be determined by how we use that cash, and that's an important component, important focus of ours.
Justin Patterson
analystGot it. So let's stick with that theme at the start before going into the monthly metrics, uses of cash. You mentioned MGM. It's a bit of a different investment, I mean, traditionally made. So talk about just what was attractive about MGM to you and then how you think about the types of businesses IAC invests in going forward, since I imagine this one is a bit more of a unique situation for you.
Glenn Schiffman
executiveMGM is a unique situation for us, for sure. First, we've done a lot of work on different categories that are right for off-line to online conversion. And we felt the iGaming and the sports betting opportunity was a really, really interesting one, very large, hundreds of billions of dollars large, similar to some of our large marketplace businesses that we operate in right now and very early days, less than 10% online penetration. So from a macro perspective, that lined up really, really well and really, really interesting. Second, natural tailwinds in the business. And then we tried to figure out what's the best way of playing in the space was. Of course, in this area with iGaming and sports betting, you do have to be tethered to a land-based operation. So the incumbent actually has an advantage we feel and we felt. So that led us towards something more incumbent-like. And then we looked at MGM, which is an iconic brand. And based on some of the math we did and we're very familiar, as you know, with the sum-of-the-parts story, and we have a history of and ability to unlock value in sum-of-the-parts as we've done throughout our history, we found that sum-of-the-parts valuation framework where we were not only getting this online business for free, we thought, but also getting the domestic business for free. Vegas will come back. MGM, we think, will come roaring back. And we think there'll be an opportunity obviously when regression to the mean and that will be accretive for sure. And MGM as the leader in Las Vegas, I think, will lead out of that -- out of the COVID resurgence. And they also have some really interesting growth engines inside their business as well as the online. So if you look at the whole package from an upside opportunity, from a valuation perspective and what you're seeing play out right now is they're very receptive to our involvement. Our CEO, Joey Levin, and Chairman, Mr. Diller, will -- or have taken 2 seats on the Board. And that's exciting to have MGM receptive to us, our involvement and giving us the opportunity to take a shot at adding value. There's a lot we don't know. It's early days, but we're looking forward to learning. And yes, we think there's more to do in this space. And there is more capital, hopefully, to invest. As you know from our history, we like to invest into strength. And hopefully, as with Match, as with ANGI Homeservices, the first step was the smallest step. And that as we see success and as we get invested to that strength, we put more and more capital to work, and we hope that happens here. More broadly, we do like marketplace businesses. We've talked about businesses where scale makes the product better, not just price, businesses in large addressable markets, businesses with natural tailwinds, businesses that benefit from off-line to online conversion, businesses that benefit from the expertise we bring to bear, not only in the off-line to online but in consumer marketing, in subscription acquisition and conversion, in having to navigate the Internet's large platforms, which includes partnerships and at times competing with those platforms. So those are the categories that we'll look to invest. We're not -- money is not burning a hole in our pocket. We'll be judicious because as we've talked about many, many times, we behave -- this management team behaves as owners because we are owners.
Justin Patterson
analystGot it. So effectively, more of the same at IAC, which brings us to the current business today and your monthly metrics update that I am obliged to ask you about. So I'd love to hear just any particular call-outs on the strength of ANGI, Vimeo, Dotdash. So it was pretty remarkable that you got accelerations across the board this past month.
Glenn Schiffman
executiveYes. Look, we did -- so it was the third question. We made it to the third question until the monthly metrics, but that's all good. Obviously, we published them last night, giving you and I the opportunity to talk about them in this forum. We were strong across the board. We saw acceleration. Look, we're not going to harp on and overly pat ourselves on the back on any one month that's strong, just like we don't take any one month that could be a little off is -- portend a tale of woe because these are monthly figures, so a lot of exogenous factors can impact them. We'll start with ANGI Homeservices. Obviously, some nice acceleration there from July. Remember, I said July was the tough comp. Obviously, August was an easier comp. Labor Day was late this year versus last year, so that contributed to a stronger August on a relative basis. We grew ANGI Homeservices 9% in the second quarter. We said at the time, we think it's going to accelerate into the third quarter. And we'll see what September brings, but we're clearly in the hunch for that 9% to accelerate to 10% for the quarter. But again, it will depend on what September brings. But August, again, we had I think an extra Monday in August. We had Labor Day being late, so that helped us. Vimeo, it's hard to be anything but really positive on what's going on at Vimeo. That was pure acceleration month over month. We're still waiting for the deceleration, and we're still waiting for the COVID-induced high to wear off, and it hasn't yet. So I think we're seeing a step-change in people's use of and the importance of video for businesses, the importance of video across the board. Live is doing particularly well. Obviously, you and I are doing this live, and that is replacing in-person. And I think this -- that our Vimeo and our video solution will be an end solution, not an or solution, in the future. And that will portend well for continued growth at Vimeo. We've talked about COVID. Even when COVID -- we anniversary COVID, that we think Vimeo will be north of a 30% top line grower, and our challenge is to see if we can get even higher than that. We'll see. But the trends are really exciting at Vimeo, and bookings continue to grow faster than revenue. So at least we got another little bit of time where these elevated growth rates should remain. Dotdash on the back of the performance-based marketing, another great quarter -- sorry, another great month. The fourth quarter is so important for Dotdash and so important for the advertising business. So its last fourth quarter was incredibly strong. So that'll be a really difficult comp coming off. But it's nice to see the display business really recovering there. And then in Search, Search continues to be challenged, and it will be challenged. We talked -- we hoped in the category, the second quarter was the bottom, unclear if it will be the bottom. We talked about on the call and in our public disclosure that there's another change to the ecosystem that just happened at the end of August. And I think that'll create -- I think the headwinds in that business will continue to be stiff. Our team is obviously no stranger to those headwinds and are navigating through that. Emerging and Other, hard to kind of unpack that. But the gem inside of Emerging and Other is the Care business, which we continue to make real, real progress. I guess the only thing I'd -- the only other thing I'd add to the takeaways around all this is in the third quarter, we talked about this on the call, we talked about this in the last letter, because we've really been investing in these businesses. So second quarter EBITDA was artificially high. Third quarter EBITDA will be a little lower. Across the board, we're investing in marketing and depending on the business sales. So ANGI, in particular, we're leaning into the third quarter from an investment perspective and all of our businesses, we are. So don't be surprised when obviously we report EBITDA in the third quarter, it will be an investment quarter for sure as we begin to think about what's the best competitive position for each of our businesses rolling into 2021, and that's kind of what we're planning for right now, 2021 and beyond.
Justin Patterson
analystOf course. Really appreciate that level of detail, Glenn. You mentioned ANGI with investment right now. Obviously, there are supply constraints in the market. Supplier capacity varies from city to city, depending on reopening. How do you balance that investment on demand-generating activities versus building supply right now?
Glenn Schiffman
executiveYes. I think we have to continue to balance it because the great opportunity that we have and the great challenge we have opportunity because it builds an incredible competitive moat is, we talked about this, we're in 500 different categories, 400 different geos. So that's 200,000 mini marketplaces. And really, you can crack that up even more in terms of micro locations. So we're running more than hundreds of thousands of mini marketplaces. So you don't -- we're getting smarter about all this, but you don't know exactly -- when you're pushing demand, you can't perfectly target it, and you can't perfectly target the supply. So it's investing in both sides. We've leaned into marketing more in the third quarter than we did in the second. A lot of our investment also was in supply. We are aggressively investing into sales. Brandon's talked about how strong it's been on the gross sales basis. We still have SPs that aren't there. So the COVID-induced supply constraint still does exist. That's SPs that can't hire workers. That's SPs whose workers may not want to go into homes. And that's the supply chain that for some products, and we read about it a lot, is kind of broken lumber and timber, in particular, there's a backlog on that -- a lot there. But our main investment is in the fixed price offering, where we're scaling very nicely there, making real progress, and we absolutely are leaning into that, and we'll continue. We think that's the future of the category. And you can only do it at our scale with our footprint. And it's early days, but we're excited about that. Fixed price is a gateway into payments, is a gateway into subscription offerings, is a gateway into maintenance and packages and really embedding us in the home. And then most importantly, we think it drives repeat usage. And repeat usage, we think, is really interesting. That has obviously revenue implications but margin implications. So the investment is, yes, it's sales, yes, it's marketing to drive supply and demand. But more, it's about trying to frankly revolutionize this category.
Justin Patterson
analystFor sure. And in fact, we got a lot of great information in there, fixed price, repeat usage. I guess how do we think about the duration of investment in those categories and when we start to see kind of some of the benefits flowing into the model? And I know from the investors side, one of the questions that always comes through is, how do you handle that mix shift from net revenue to gross revenue, what that means for the margin trajectory? And talk about just how you envision those financials evolving over time.
Glenn Schiffman
executiveSo look, our investment appetite is large, and we're not optimizing for near-term margin. We think the category obviously is incredibly large. It's right for our solution. So we're going to continue to favor revenue growth and more importantly, category penetration over optimizing for margin. That said, one would think -- and we're still finalizing the plans, but one would think you'll see margin improvement next year that would obviously make sense, but we're nowhere near optimizing for margins. So I wouldn't call -- this year clearly was an investment year. Next year, we still will invest. I will think we'll call it an investment year per se to forsake progress on EBITDA margin, but I don't think we'll deliver robust EBITDA margin improvement because we're still growing. But again, those plans are still being formulated. Longer term, looking at it in 2 buckets, sales and marketing has been in and around 50% to 55% of revenue. And over time, we think that's -- there's 10 to 15 points of margin there. And then product and development and G&A, which includes our ops or operations, that's been kind of 20% to 25% of revenue. And we think there's 5 to 10 points of margin in there. If you add that to our current kind of in and around 15% margin, those numbers get to our 35% margin target, and that's how you get there. Now a giveback on that and a counter to hitting that 35% margin, a slight headwind, if you will, will be if we really ramp fixed price in the medium consideration tasks. And if we're looking at tasks that are 3,000, 4,000, 5,000, our take rate is obviously lower. So to the extent we scale fixed price dramatically into the medium consideration tasks, obviously, that will create a little bit of a headwind to the 35% margin. But there, we'll be swimming in obviously more aggregate revenue and swimming in more aggregate EBITDA because the transaction value was so much larger flowing through our platform, and that opens up other revenue opportunities. So we think the margin opportunity long term is clear. It's in there. It's within our control, but that's not a near-term objective.
Justin Patterson
analystGot it. Switching gears over to Vimeo. I think it's 5 straight months of 40% growth, very impressive. COVID-19 has had a lot of digital acceleration. There's been a lot of signal to noise. How do you think about just how the TAM of Vimeo has really changed during this environment and making sure that you're investing enough behind that opportunity?
Glenn Schiffman
executiveIt's a great question, and we ask ourselves -- the second half of your question we ask ourselves all the time. The TAM is clearly growing. I mean we've had slides where we said it's $20 billion to $25 billion all the way to $50 billion. The TAM is a lot larger than that. For example, any study that we did on TAM 6 months ago would not have included this conference call, this investor event, this video use in our TAM. It just wouldn't exist. Joey gave that great example on the earnings call of a diner from Montana that's -- as videos and Vimeo customer, that would -- this diner in Montana that's been around since 1950s, that wouldn't be in our TAM. So TAM is being created. I don't know what the answer is. But it's substantially larger than any TAM we thought it would be. Your second -- the second half of your question is the much more important question. And it's how are we sure that we're investing enough? And that's how we're challenging our management team. We're not -- we're clearly not optimized for EBITDA, although they've made great progress in turning negative margins into less negative margins, and we'll continue to make progress in that regard this quarter. And we're looking at ways of investing more in that business. And there's -- I think we've just announced a product or we're about to announce a product, screen recording and screen sharing. One of the things we're all losing in the work-from-home environment is the look over your shoulder, the sharing of the screen, the collaboration. So we're thinking of how to replicate real life and how to replicate those kind of business use cases. And that's just one of many innovations. And then we're also verticalizing the business to make it easier for the church, the synagogue, the house of worship to use us, the video -- the yoga instructors to use us, have a creation capability with our acquisition, Magisto, where the coffee shop, the donut shop, whoever, in minutes can create a compelling video, have fortified e-commerce because e-commerce with video sells better. So it's about verticalizing the use case, and it's about continuing to invest. That said, at some point, obviously, there's going to be some real pull-through margin in Vimeo. We've talked about EBITDA long term getting to greater than 20%. And I think that'll prove to be quite conservative given the scale, the size and where that business is going.
Justin Patterson
analystGot it. Switching gears toward Dotdash, very impressive results in a market that's been challenging for advertising. Talk about just some of the growth vectors you see there, what opportunities exist for that asset as third-party cookies fade away and advertisers want to reach more targeted audiences.
Glenn Schiffman
executiveYes. I mean we're thrilled with -- from a Dotdash perspective with cookies going away. You don't need to cookie our users and chase them around the Internet to figure out what they want. When they're on Dotdash, they're researching something, focused on something. It's high-intent publishing, if you will -- sorry, high-intent visitation. So we know exactly what the users want. Dotdash's opportunity is as big now as it was when we were losing $16 million in that business. And we operate in very large categories. We have well over a dozen brands. And there's a couple -- hopefully, there'll be a couple of acquisitions on the horizon over time to expand our roster of brands. And we are attackers in every single one of those. So we compete against much larger competitors, and it's fun to be the attacker there. So we've got a ton of penetration to go in those categories. We also are diversified from a monetization source, obviously performance-based marketing, where we get paid on a cost-per-action basis versus cost-per-impression basis and we get paid when we deliver a customer in our e-commerce business. So I think we're just scratching the surface there. And I think our diversification in brands will continue. We'll continue to be the impactor, and our diversification and our monetization will continue.
Justin Patterson
analystGot it. And we have less than 2 minutes left. So I'd love to end just on a note on IAC, since we're in a very unique environment with SPACs coming to market and some of the valuations there. When you see that disconnect between the IAC stub and SPAC, what are the conversations you have internally around that?
Glenn Schiffman
executiveI read your research report last night, and you put a 15% discount on us. Understand you put a 15% discount on our cash. So I jokingly said at one of these conferences, I don't know why 75% of SPACs are trading at a premium to cash, yet our cash gets a discount in the sum-of-the-parts, including your own. So I'd ask if you can put the sum-of-the-parts discounts on, put it on the assets, not on the cash, whatever. That's a little pet peeve of mine. Look, I think SPACs are an M&A solution, basically. SPACs aren't really an IPO or a public market solution. That's interesting. That shows investors' appetite -- public market investors' appetite to get into the value accretion that's often embedded in M&A. But we hope and think some people are then therefore going public a little earlier than they should. We hope and think that will be an opportunity for us in the future because the scrutiny that IPO endorse is significantly greater than the scrutiny the SPAC endorse. But we're heads down. We're focused on our opportunity. We're focused on deploying our capital in our businesses, find new businesses. And obviously, we have a history of and an inclination to over time repurchase our securities. And I think based on some of the work I did last night, I think our public stock, our ANGI and our MGM, less our cash, I think we're trading at what, like $1 billion or so for the stock. And I looked at some of these Vimeo metrics and compare Vimeo to some best-in-class SaaS companies, and the market should obviously determine what that assets should be worth inside of us, but I don't think that combined with everything else is worth $1 billion. I think it's worth a little more.
Justin Patterson
analystCompletely agree, Glenn. Thanks so much for participating today. Pleasure to talk to you on these channels again.
Glenn Schiffman
executiveGreat to see you. Thank you for the support, and thanks, everyone, out there.
Justin Patterson
analystTake care. Bye.
Glenn Schiffman
executiveBye.
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