Pick n Pay Stores Limited (PIK) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 26, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Sean Summers
executiveOkay. Well, good morning, and welcome to everybody in this beautiful Monday morning. It's just a great honor, Wendy, to have you with us here this morning and some of our colleague NEDs from the Board and some of our staff, and then obviously, our very, very important supporters and investment community and commentators that are here today. It's been an interesting year, if one can put it that way. In fact, it's been a remarkable year. And in a nutshell, it's been one of stabilizing the journey that we're on. It's been one of sequencing and getting to grips and getting an understanding of where we need to go forward in terms of Pick n Pay. There was a very well-known conservative philosopher -- English conservative philosopher, Roger Scruton, who said, "Great things are easily destroyed, not easily built." And I think to a degree in companies, if we look back and we are really honest with ourselves and we have a look at one of the challenges that did beset us and I said over time that we fell out of love with really running retail, was that we lost, to a degree, some of our core institutional knowledge, what I would call muscle memory. We all know that in sport, you have to go and practice your game and you have to go and hit thousands and thousands and thousands of balls or whatever your particular choice is in order to create that muscle memory. And in the same way, organizations and corporations, too, have a muscle memory. And for us, the journey of really getting an understanding of that and now rebuilding on the core capabilities and competencies of the company is the journey that we're on. And that's, of course, been done in a year where we've just had to do 1 or 2 other minor things like just debt restructure and rights offer and an IPO. So I think at the start to just call out the people in our finance division under Lerena's leadership and everybody in the finance department for the most remarkable, remarkable year that has taken place. It's been extraordinary. And then to Dallas Langman who heads up our core Pick n Pay retail piece of the business, to Dallas at this stage for the extraordinary leadership that you've shown in terms of getting a regional infrastructure and the backbone back into our core operational piece of Pick n Pay because that's obviously where our major emphasis has had to be. In life, I only have one chart, but I think in life, it is true that you can only be as happy as you're unhappiest child. And when we have a look at the Pick n Pay family that we have, it is but our core Pick n Pay Retail business that has been our ailing infant. So it's been an extraordinary year where we've had to deal with all of these. And I'd like to call an Lerena because I know that numbers is the major thing that interests the bulk of you sitting in this room here today. So I'll call on Lerena to come up, share some of the numbers with you and then we will get on to having a bit of a chat afterwards about where we are. Thanks. Lerena.
Lerena Olivier
executiveThank you, Sean. Good morning, everybody, and thank you for joining us here today. It's been a milestone year, Sean has alluded to that. Not only did we recapitalize this business through 2 significant corporate actions in record time, we have also outdelivered on our operational commitments for the past financial year. Before I spend some time on unpacking the actual FY '25 result, some housekeeping matters. For your pleasure, we've added a 53rd week to our results this year. The impact on the group as a whole on an earnings level is immaterial. We have presented pro forma 52 on 52-week turnover numbers to assist with your analysis. But every number in this presentation will be 53 on 52 weeks, unless otherwise stated. We have also listened to the requests for increased disclosure and we have again expanded our segmental disclosures between Pick n Pay and Boxer. The Boxer team has presented their results to the market already. So in this presentation, we will largely focus on the Pick n Pay business. This segment is us, as a management team, Sean and I and Dallas, this is our primary focus. This is where we need to get the business back to an even keel. The group delivered solid performance metrics across the entire income statement and balance sheet. Our turnover grew by 5.6% 53 on 53 or 3.2% on a 52-week basis. The strong improvement in earnings was driven by improvements in both Boxer and Pick n Pay. The main drivers, however, of our group loss before tax and capital items of ZAR 237 million is a ZAR 1 billion improvement in trading profit in Pick n Pay and a reduction in net funding interest year-on-year of ZAR 166 million. The group attributable loss before tax, including capital items and now recording a minority interest relating to Boxer of ZAR 85 million, recorded a loss of ZAR 736 million. This is an improvement of ZAR 2.6 billion on last year. The reason the 2 items I've just mentioned as well as a significant reduction in the impairments recorded in the Pick n Pay segment, ZAR 3 billion last year and less than ZAR 300 million this year. Our strategic priority remains the like-for-like sales growth of our Pick n Pay owned and franchised stores. Our Pick n Pay South Africa Supers company-owned like-for-like sales excluding Clothing stand-alone stores delivered continuous improvement throughout the FY '25 financial year. The owned stores like-for-like sales growth in H2 was now at 3.6% and this has also continued to improve into the new financial year. The growth in our franchise issues has been slower to recover. Our franchise partners are a critical part of our business and a critical part of the Pick n Pay future. Turnover from our franchise businesses have more recently improved. We recorded a like-for-like growth for H2 of 1.1%, compared to a decline of 1.4% during the first half of the year. This metric has also continued to improve into the new financial year. Our omnichannel sales were up 46% on a like-for-like basis. That is supported by growth in both asap! and Mr D and that is of a growth of 74% last year. The total of our Pick n Pay South Africa business delivered turnover of ZAR 71 billion. This is a very important point. We delivered ZAR 71 billion of turnover, exactly in line with the number that we delivered last year. This is notwithstanding the closure of 40 loss-making stores. The growth of Pick n Pay is supported by its like-for-like growth. The business has not gotten smaller, it has gotten stronger. As I've mentioned, we have expanded our segmental reporting across Pick n Pay and Boxer. And I will now take you through the 2 segments separately. Very briefly on Boxer, our Boxer business grew turnover by 10.4% on a 52-week basis and delivered an increase in trading profit of 19.7%, based on how we consolidate the segment into Pick n Pay. There are still some nuances this year, but by the FY '26 financial year, the Boxer segment in the PIK Group results will largely equal the Boxer published information. Marek and David has presented their results on the 12th of May, and I would really like to congratulate both of them on a job very, very well done. The full results presentation of Boxer is available on their website, and us as a PIK team are in full support of the Boxer team and its growth objectives. The real important part of the result is Pick n Pay. The Pick n Pay trading loss reduced by 2/3 during the year to ZAR 0.5 billion down from the ZAR 1.5 billion last year. This is an outperformance of our market guidance of halving the ZAR 1.5 billion trading loss in the base. The most important point is the momentum of the improvement. I will illustrate on the next slide that the improvement has all come during the second half of the year. The new management teams under Dallas's leadership has now started to get embedded into the business and are driving the turnaround plan, and it is clear from the momentum in our results. This has resulted in a trading margin improvement of 130 basis points for the full year, now at minus 0.7%. As I've mentioned, there are 2 main drivers of the improvement in the result: the trading profit improvement and the interest reduction. This slide illustrates it very clearly. On the left-hand side, we indicated that there was a ZAR 1 billion improvement in the trading profit of the Pick n Pay segment. However, the positive momentum in the second half is illustrated with a ZAR 1.1 billion trading profit improvement in H2. It is important to note that, that trading profit was supported by a ZAR 430 million ECL or bad debt provisioning in the base that wasn't repeated in the current year. But it was also supported by a gross profit margin improvement in the second half of 120 basis points, and I will detail that when I get to the gross profit detail. On the right-hand side of the slide, we indicate the improvements of the interest reduction. Our loss before tax and capital items have improved during the second half by ZAR 1.4 billion. The delta between the right-hand side and the left-hand side is basically ZAR 300 million. That is driven by the interest reduction, specifically in the second half of close on ZAR 300 million. The interest savings came in Q4 post the Boxer IPO and the debt repayments. These we expect to annualize in the FY '26 year. We have made great progress, as you can see here, but it's very important for me to note that there is much more to do and that this will take time. We are focused on building a sustainable Pick n Pay for the future. We will not chase quick gains. We will focus on making sure that we do the sustainable growth support. As I've mentioned, we have had improvement in our gross profit margin during the year. The Pick n Pay gross profit percentage has approved 20 bps during the year. But you can see from the chart that it's heavily weighted towards the second half of the year. Pick n Pay has achieved equaling price competitiveness during the year while still improving its GP margin. Our Pick n Pay internal selling price inflation was 2.1% compared to CPI food of 3.9% for the period. Load shedding savings of close on ZAR 200 million has been reinvested in margin to offer our customers the best possible value. The improvement in the H2 GP margin of 120 basis points was supported by improved mix in key categories, such as our general merchandise, our clothing and our fresh produce as well as a notable reduction in our waste. Our trading expenses illustrates strong cost control. Pick n Pay trading expenses were down 2.2% for the year. On a like-for-like basis, 3% increase. Key items that were driving the reduction of 2.2% is the ZAR 307 million VSP and restructuring costs in employee costs in the H1 base as well as the ZAR 430 million ECL or bad debt allowance largely in H2, as I have already indicated. We've excluded both of these items from our like-for-like expense analysis. If we then look at our employee costs on a like-for-like basis, it increased by 5.7%. This increase reflects selective hirings to support our operational execution in our store base as well as our increased regional structures to support the turnaround plan. Great care have been given to make sure that these additions does not unduly increase our cost base, but that they're all in support of driving top line. Our like-for-like merchandise and administration costs increased by 4.1% and this is reflective of our increase in target marketing, again, in support of our like-for-like sales targets. Notwithstanding the positive momentum in the Pick n Pay business, specifically during the second half, we have still burned cash this year of ZAR 2.6 billion. We have utilized ZAR 2.6 billion of cash flow from our free cash flow. This has been in line with our forecasts. Our future cash utilization in Pick n Pay, however, will be less. This will be supported by incremental improvements in operational cash generation. This will take time, but we are in a positive trajectory. Full elimination of the funding interest in FY '26, you will see that, that is circa ZAR 600 million, steady working capital improvements and a moderate increase in CapEx spend that I will detail on the next slide. Through the highly successful recapitalization program, we have raised ZAR 12.5 billion this year. This has enabled us to settle all the Pick n Pay debt. At the end of the FY '25 balance sheet date, the Pick n Pay business had ZAR 4.4 billion of cash reserves on its balance sheet. We are well positioned to invest ahead of the Pick n Pay turnaround plan. We have utilized working capital of ZAR 0.6 billion during the year on a group level. And in line with our normal seasonality, we had a buildup in the first half and a build-down in the second half. The Pick n Pay segment working capital utilization was ZAR 0.5 billion. This reflects tight inventory management, up only 3.8%, notwithstanding the reinvestment in ranges in support of our like-for-like sales growth. We have had substantial improvements in the quality of our franchise debt. Our bad debt or ECL provisioning is now at 4.6% of our gross receivables, down from the 13.9% in last year. This is now again closer to the average of FY '21 to FY '23 of 3.6%. We also have a decrease in our payables relative to that of inventory. This is as a result of the week 53 cut-off impact. The addition of the 53rd week fell over a month in payment cycle. As a result, we had more payments of our creditors during FY '25 relative to FY '24. I am very comfortable with the control and level of working capital in both Boxer and Pick n Pay. The group invested ZAR 1.5 billion of CapEx in this financial year, well down from the past year, but largely in line with our forecasts. Both Boxer and Pick n Pay continues to invest for FY '25 as well as the forecast for FY '26 to support their growth plans. In Pick n Pay, we contained the CapEx spend ahead of the recapitalization program. We are forecasting a spend of ZAR 1 billion for Pick n Pay in FY '26, an increase of ZAR 500 million of the spend last year. This spend will be focused on the refurbishment of key stores as part of the turnaround plan. Our key investment is to make sure that we do targeted CapEx investment to optimize our ROIs. The success of the Pick n Pay future is not spending CapEx at all costs, it's about optimizing the estate that we have. We will invest with care, and first and foremost, ensure that we invest in our operational excellence. We will first invest in our people and then in bricks and mortar. The accumulation of all our efforts this year delivered an improvement in our loss after tax of 80.3%. Our headline earnings per share improved by 64%. Through the ZAR 12.5 billion capital raise, we have sold 34.4% of our Boxer subsidiary in November of last year. We now have a 65.6% stake in a listed entity with a market cap of close on ZAR 30 billion. This was a significant value unlock for shareholders. As a result, we have now recorded a minority interest of ZAR 85 million, that was all relating to the fourth quarter and this will also annualize in FY '26 results. We are, however, expecting that the interest benefit of that will annualize will more or less offset the annualization of the minority interest for the full 12 months of next year. In closing, we have moved very quickly over the last 18 months to recapitalize and stabilize the business. We've had multiple corporate actions, all completed in record time. We've moved from a net funding position of ZAR 6.1 billion last year to a net cash position of ZAR 4.2 billion this year. That is a delta of ZAR 10.3 billion. That is unheard of in corporate South Africa, and it was made possible by a motivated and dedicated team that is highly invested in the success of Pick n Pay. And I take great comfort that, that same team is now solely focused on the operational success of the business as well as supporting Boxer in their growth trajectory. I hand over to Sean.
Sean Summers
executiveThanks, Lerena. So I think you can all agree that there has been some steady progress in the year past in terms of achieving what it is that we laid out. And if we have a look at what we've shared here a year ago in May when we said this is our plan for Pick n Pay, the company going forward, we said that we were going to focus on these critical areas in the organization. And if you have a look at where we are, the recapitalization is obviously done. And I'm now going to deal with the various elements of what remains to be done in the company. So when I speak about the leadership roles in people, we continued to invest in the training of our people. We continued to invest in the various campaigns that we have internally within the company. One of the things that I've always passionately believed in is that you need an internal marketing budget because if you cannot get your people to be your primary advocates themselves, well, you're not going to win the war in terms of getting consumer advocacy. So we've been really focusing a lot of our energy and effort in this regard. And you know what, for me, is really telling in this is that if you look at the brand loyalty for Pick n Pay that exists out there, it's real. It's real. When I have a look at monitoring customer complaints coming in and we see how customer complaints have just dropped off, and we're now having an extraordinary phenomenon because it's very rare that people actually give you a compliment these days. But when we have a look at the volume of compliments that are now coming into the call center, and I think one always needs to be realistic in life about these things, so is it perfect? No. But our real, real focus, and here, if we look in the year past, and thank Lerena, we'll take your Chief Sales Prevention Officer title away from you now because you're giving us a bit more capital next year, but if you have a look at just a paltry ZAR 500 million that's been deployed in capital in the year past and you have a look at the real fact that we've shown this positive trend into strong, solid like-for-like sales, it's sweaty equity, by and large, it's just in human endeavor and application and our beautiful people of Pick n Pay. And as I said for me, one of the most important things is when we have a look at like-for-like customer growth. And I'm pleased to be able to tell you that for the first 2 periods and now we just finished our fourth week of a 5-week period now, it's even above that at the moment. So we're seeing like-for-like customer growth coming back into the store. And we have to be honest with ourselves. Over a period of time, we disenfranchised a lot of our customers that used to shop with Pick n Pay where they just kind of discontinued us. Consumers are brutal today. They have many, many options and they can take decisions to take their business elsewhere. And I think that too many of our beloved Pick n Pay customers did that. And we're seeing now this trend reverse. We're seeing the urban narrative start to reverse as well because it was almost in fashion to talk about the ills and the ailments. So we're seeing that, that cycle has really, really improved and turned. Franchise, which is central to our business. It's about half of our revenue today. And very importantly, franchise has also now moved into a positive like-for-like growth trajectory. And it stands to good reason why franchise would lag behind a little bit. Because if you have a look at how we're starting to reinvigorate the core corporate business that we have in the company, it just stands to good sense that the beneficiation or the uptick would be quicker in corporate than it would be in franchise. And I'm pleased to tell you that franchise is now coming on solidly step after step. And we're also doing more and more asap! delivery into the franchise network as well now. Clothing, Hazel and her team have continued to perform ahead of the market, and again, market share gain. We know that last winter in the clothing industry was particularly challenging, and we're also annualizing again some extraordinary growth from the year before. And when we have a look at where we are trading at the moment in the company and we have a look at the last while, trading -- Clothing has been hitting it out the park. The modernizing of our estate for growth in the future. And you've heard me say this here before about retail that as retail is evolving and as we have a look at how we're going to craft a future-fit company going forward, the art is not how many stores, it is truly about which stores where. And for us, that is where we are really, really focused in the company. So the conversions that we've done over to Boxer have been absolutely fantastic and they've really shot the lights out. And that's where you've seen significant changes in demographics in areas where you may have a store that's been there for 40 years, Kimberley is a classic example. If you go, Wendy, if you think back to our store in Kimberley in the middle of town today, Kimberley is a profoundly different place. But the only thing that's growing in Kimberley is the size of the big holes that's crumbling. But we've converted that over to Boxer and we've just seen extraordinary uptick in sales there. The closing of the loss-making stores in the structurally challenged sites. If you've got a store that just does not have a chance of ever making it, just deal with it. I know that it garners a lot of commentary out there, why is Pick n Pay closing stores? But if you've got a store that is a negative contributor, just get rid of it because the other reality is that you still have to deploy good human energy, good human capital against the loss-making store. Silly, get rid of them. Our store standards, we continued to elevate our store standards in the store. And I suppose this cuts a little bit to when I talk about the muscle memory, and we have to restore a lot of the things that we lost. So if we look at fresh because we need to get Pick n Pay back to being the fresh food people, that's where we were, it was a space that we owned. And despite the fact that we live in this new fast-moving world with AI and all of these wonderful things, people still predominantly want great fresh food and a great experience. And then as I said, we will continue now to refurbish our key stores that we've identified going forward. So executing our store estate reset plan, this is kind of what we've stepped through and done up until now. But the good thing about this is that some of the stores that we've targeted where we believe we can get them closer back towards a breakeven and the contribution to the overall enterprise, so this is a bit of a dynamic situation. Very importantly, we've appointed a Head of Innovation and Digital, Vince sitting at the back there. So you've got a lot of work ahead of you, my friend. And the first thing you can work out is exactly what is artificial intelligence because everybody that I ask battles to define it. So enhanced machine learning is certainly here for us, and Vince is going to be heading that up as well as part and parcel of this. We've just launched our new asap!. Today, there's a release that went out today, so our new asap! app is there. And what that does is a combined smart shopper and it brings everything together under one roof, out of one pen. And then Retail Media is growing where we are, in fact, now engaging and selling to our supplier base, marketing opportunities within our network that we have. And then very importantly, Deven, the work that's been done under value-added services. So there's going to be a lot of focus on what we're doing in this part of the business. I'm pleased to say that we've received some great marketing awards. Vincent and Enrico were in Johannesburg recently at the SMARTIES award and they did a clean sweep there. Our Price Palooza advert had over 40 million views. So just amazing stuff there. But here is what we are about at the moment, establishing a future-fit structure. And when I talk about a future-fit structure, it's ensuring that the Pick n Pay that we recreate now can go the distance. My success in this company is not going to be while I'm here, it's going to be 5 and 8 and 10 years from now with the real success, the real long-term success of Pick n Pay will ultimately be able to be judged. Our support offices, we are focusing very much in streamlining the functions in our support office infrastructure as the business has evolved, and we do have all of these tools today that are available to us where we can use technology to do a lot of stuff more efficiently. We really need to sit down and have a look at what is the structure that we have within the organization to run it efficiently. Store operations, as we said, we're really getting stuck into the store operations and the underlying skills there. Shortages is another area within the company where we have made some progress this year, but more to come on that side. And then in supply chain, we are almost weeks away. I would say, within the next 2 or 3 months, we'll get to be taking some decisions that we're going to be doing within supply chain. But we're not just going to rush this decision just to take a decision because this is a profoundly important thing for us going forward into the future and we know in areas like the Eastern Cape where we really have no supply chain infrastructure there, so to speak. So there's a lot of stuff that we've got to do across this. So it's not just about Eastport. And Eastport as a building and as an operation is truly, truly world-class. I mean, the team, Marcel and his team, what they did there, creating that was absolutely extraordinary. It's just overcapacity for us. So we have solutions to deal with it. This is amazing. And Peter is here with us today from eBucks FNB. We all know that we announced last year that we were going to join up with FNB. And again, Peter, congratulations to you and your team who just won the Best Global Loyalty Program, an extraordinary accolade. An extraordinary accolade. And we can see how this is starting to grow within our company, and we've done some really cool stuff here, some really cool stuff, but we've got some good stuff coming. We're just getting out of the blocks. This was a very important decision for us. And part of the journey that we're on now is that you have to invest ahead of the recovery. You can't fix the business and then have money to do stuff. You have to invest ahead of the recovery and you have to have the faith and the confidence of where you're going. And the opportunity for us to become one of the Tier 1 sponsors of the Springboks was vitally important. So we signed up a 4-year deal with a 2-year option to extend it from there. But if we think about this beautiful country of ours, despite everything, there is one thing that brings this country together and that's the Springboks. And it's just amazing when you have a look at Springbok Friday and Green Friday and what have you, it's incredible. So for us to reengage, very, very important. But more importantly, this sponsorship cuts right the way across rugby in South Africa. And it's going to allow us to actively reengage back in the school programs, Jonathan, you know all of the school programs and stuff that we started many, many years ago. So we can really properly get back into this and start reactivating all of this again. And perhaps most importantly, as we are in this phase that we've been through this year, there have been some changes in the company vis-a-vis the family and a slightly changed role for the family and the company. Raymond and Wendy's legacy will simply be this: it will be the conduct that we have as a company going forward also for 10, 20, 30 years and forever. So getting back in community involvement again and really doing this stuff properly. We have a WhatsApp group in the company for these endeavors. And I mean, all the stuff that you get there every single week where you just see our people across the length and breadth of this company and what they do in their communities. It's just too beautiful and vitally important. Boxer, as you said, Boxer is an extraordinary, extraordinary business. It's something that's always obviously been very close to my heart, having been at the scene of the acquisition 22 years ago. And the listing and everything has gone well. Marek and his team have been absolutely phenomenal, and David. And we are making a slight change in Boxer that's been communicated. So at the end of this financial year, I will take over as Chair of Boxer. James will remain on the Boxer Board there. And as we know, the announcement has gone out now that James will now take over from Gareth as Chair of Pick n Pay. And Gareth sends his apologies, he's away chairing another meeting out of country at the moment. So it's really appropriate at this stage because Gareth will officially step down at the AGM, but the AGM is online today, just little talking heads on a screen. So I think it's appropriate to pay tribute to Gareth for what he's done. And I want to thank you, specifically, Gareth, I know that you're listening in today, for all of the support that you've given me personally in the last 2 years. And that comes to the family as well, Wendy, the support that I've received personally from you and the ongoing interest has really been inspirational and a major help as has been from all of the various family members. So Gareth, thank you for everything, my friend. And it's not goodbye, we'll be seeing you around because you'll still be on the Board driving us crazy. So in closing, before we get to questions, I'd just like to say this that it has been a fantastic year. And I think that the greatest growth in life comes out of the toughest of times. And if I have a look at just how this team has come together against all odds with everything stacked up against it, a lot of negative sentiments here and there earlier on in our journey and I just see how this team has grown in competence and I see how this team is growing in capability, it's just too beautiful. It's too beautiful to see. So for me, it's with a great honor and pleasure that I've extended my contract through to May 2028. And I can tell you right here now, that would not be possible without the support of my beloved wife, Lorna , and my daughter, Leanne, and Max, our little Yorkie. Hazel, you always said that when Max came in the house, Max is going to be the boss. He is, but I can assure you, without their love and support it would not be possible for me to do this. I am inspired, though, because I am the baby in this new subset. Last week, there was an article that went out talking about the age of CEOs. And I'm only 71, I mean, we've got one CEO out there at the age of 79. So I've still got a long way to go yet. But we'll have an orderly succession process over this period. And as I said, it's with great pride and energy and passion that I'm privileged to be able to do this. So I want to thank everybody for your attention. I want to thank all of the audience, we've got about over 220 people online. So thank you all very much, indeed, as well for the interest that you show in the company and the journey that we are on because it is only on and on from here onwards and upwards. So thank you very much, indeed.
Sean Summers
executiveAny questions? Yes, sir. Mic, where is the mic? Yes, to ask.
Michael de Nobrega
analystIt's Michael from Avior. I've got a couple of questions on the strategy going forward. So the first one is on the stores that were closed. So maybe we deal with each franchise of the Boxer conversion. How were those transaction structured? Were there any costs for Pick n Pay? Did you receive any compensation?
Sean Summers
executiveCompensation for Marek. My Turkish corporate salesman. Lerena?
Lerena Olivier
executiveSo the stores that we've restructured during the year had some once-off costs. There's often some staff restructuring costs that's involved as well as some lease settlements. However, how it's reflected in our results, there's actually some profit on lease terminations in terms of IFRS 16 that largely offset the once-off costs. So in the results, there was nothing specifically in the base to look out for.
Michael de Nobrega
analystMaybe the future stores that are going to be closed [indiscernible]
Lerena Olivier
executiveWe hope so. It's a dynamic process. As Sean has said, each negotiation is on its own. So it is very difficult to model. But currently, the trajectory looks like that could be the case.
Michael de Nobrega
analystSure. Just on the refurbishment of stores. So you said that you're going to spend ZAR 1 billion, a portion of that will be able on refurbishing stores. Could you elaborate on your vision of how you in the future Pick n Pay stores being differentiated to customers. So what would draw customers to a Pick n Pay store over competitor, how do you see playing out?
Sean Summers
executiveIt's a very good question, and I'd like to share it deeply with you so that our opposition can know exactly what we're going to do. You see that's a simple beauty of retail is that everything that we do is on display. There are no secrets. If I think for me and now -- that was, have been and that was -- still are to me, the finest retail chain in the world, it's a company called Wegmans in the U.S.A. They're based out of Rochester, Upstate New York. And they're now at the fourth generation, now Colleen is now running at Danny's daughter. And when you have a look at what Wegmans do, they just continue to evolve. And the reason why they are so good is that they do the difficult stuff because groceries and packaged goods today, with the evolution of home delivery and scooters running around and what have you, that more and more that's just going to be a functionary operation. So our focus, and I said it earlier on, is to get Pick n Pay back to being the fresh food people. Everything has happened in this country, I'm not bragging, we set the bar. There's a reason why in 2008 pick n Pay was -- I'm sorry, 2008 Pick n Pay won the Global Retailer of the Year for a reason. So all of the work that we'd done then to really get the theater of fresh food into our business is where we have to go back and we have to do that properly. But this is where it takes time to build that corporate muscle and that corporate instinct because people in this space we have to train. They're just not readily available. Unfortunately, some of them are working in other chain stores because it was a protracted period where we had people leaving us that shouldn't have left us, but people are coming back. So if you have a look at where we need to get back to, there were 2 things that made us great and they do not change in the new world of retail. And that's -- everybody is looking for the next big strategy, the next big shiny, bright object. No, no, no. Retail remains. The key fundamentals of retail remain the same, obviously while you take into account the evolving dynamic of the combination between the brick and the click. Shane, you said 5 years.
Shane Watkins
analystShane Watkins, All Weather Capital. Congratulations, Sean. Quick 2 questions for Lerena. Do you think you can get the minus ZAR 900 million cash flow from operations back to kind of a break-even number over the next 12 months? Second question, you're investing ZAR 100 million in Clothing and I would imagine your return on invested capital in Clothing is well north of 20%. So crudely, [ 1 odd more ]. And then, Sean, if you don't mind, just on the Hypers. Your Hypers are about 50% bigger than your competitors. It's been a bit of a process to rightsize them. Can you just update us on the strategy with Hypers?
Sean Summers
executiveSure. We'll let Lerena go first.
Lerena Olivier
executiveLet me take the Clothing first. I think, Sean has indicated by the Supermarkets as well as Clothing, it is quality, not quantity. So yes, there is great opportunities to grow highly profitable investments in the Clothing business. But the focus will be on the quality of those. As well, it's important to support the like-for-like estate. If you grow at all costs and you don't focus in on the estate that is actually there. So ultimately, Pick n Pay Clothing is a fantastic growth opportunity, and we believe we're giving enough capital to optimize the returns. It's not a -- Shane, it's not a fact that there's not enough capital. If it needed more, we would definitely allocate more. And on the -- apologies, just remind me your first one?
Shane Watkins
analystThe free cash flow from operations.
Lerena Olivier
executiveThe free cash flow. It is our aim to get that to 0. It will not be within the next 12 months, but that remains our goal.
Sean Summers
executiveSo on the hypermarket chain, we've started off with Faerie Glen hypermarket. Gareth was their opening ops manager when we opened Faerie Glen hypermarket. Faerie Glen hypermarket, we've done a deal, we've sold it off. We're going to completely redevelop the center. Ideal size of a hypermarket today would be about 8,000-square meter GLA with about 6,500 trading, which is the size of what the Checkers hypers are. Durban North hyper, [indiscernible] properties are busy selling at, at the moment to a developer, and we've got 16,000 square meters in that store. So you come back to it, we need half. So the reconfiguration of these hypermarkets is quite difficult, and it will be a process. But under Jarett, if we have a look at the growth in Hypermarkets, I mean they're actually ahead of the Supers if we have a look at their growth year-on-year and their like-for-likes. So that's going to be a journey.
Shane Watkins
analystSean, can ask one more question, if you don't mind, just on food inflation. Food inflation has been trending down and it's now low single digits. How do you see that playing out over the next 12 months? I mean, crude deflation is good for food retailers. And very low levels of inflation, quite difficult for you guys.
Sean Summers
executiveWe've managed these cycles before. Fortunately, for us, we're back in the cycle now where we do have cash back on the balance sheet again. So we earn interest again in the company. So there's always a trade-off in these areas. But yes, so lower inflation rate does make things slightly more challenging and difficult. Inflation is the retailer's friend, as we well know. But it's a cycle that we've managed through many times before. That's what I say to people when you go to work in the morning in your vehicle, you put it in R and D, recession and depression, we learn to manage both of these things. It doesn't matter. [ Tam ] online?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes. Question from Chris Gilmour from Gilmour Research. Congratulations on steady progress. How do you feel about the year ahead?
Sean Summers
executiveHow do I feel about the year ahead? Well, it depends on what source of information you have when you think about the year ahead. Where there's something coming out of the White House last week and what effect that's going to have us, we can't worry about all of these massively global events. And we have to focus on what we can control. So it helps nothing to spend your day worrying about all of these other things. So you have to focus on what you can control at the end of the day. And what we can control is our environment. And if we have a look at the challenges that we have in that environment, Shane has already introduced the first element to that. We have to deal with what this low inflation environment is going to deliver for us in terms of the challenges that, that brings. We have a very constrained consumer market in this country. People are under an extraordinary amount of pressure in South Africa. Huge, and that remains absolutely. And we also have an environment where growth still continues unabated in the opening of square meterage of shopping. We are about to surpass -- we're almost equal and about to surpass the available per square meterage per capita of retail in the world. Doesn't make sense. It does not make sense. So I think that the pace at which retailers currently rolling out is also a challenge. So we need to focus on our core business of where we are. So when I have a look at the year ahead, we absolutely have only one thing at the end of our bonnet when we drive to work in the morning like that Mercedes-Benz target, and that's our business day to day to day. The broader issues must take care of themselves. We're obviously aware if some big black swan event had to come along. But for the rest, we just come to work and buy and sell.
Unknown Executive
executiveSean, we've got a few questions on cash burn, one from Ya'eesh Patel from SBG Securities. Previous been highlighted that cash burn will be around ZAR 1.5 billion per annum. How should we think about this into F '26 and F'27 considering breakeven targets are now pushed out 12 months?
Sean Summers
executiveYes. Go, Lerena.
Lerena Olivier
executiveThank you, [ Tam ]. Building on to Shane's question. We're not giving formal cash burn guidance for the coming year. But a few items to consider. Firstly, if you look at the current year burn, the ZAR 600 million worth of interest will not repeat. As a matter of fact, there might be a slight inflow. The working capital, as I've indicated, was negatively impacted by the week 53 cutoff. So we're not foreseeing that as a drag on our cash flow. And then we have got a slight increase, as we've indicated, on our CapEx. So I hope that helps with the guidance.
Sean Summers
executiveAnd I think another issue, it's crazy. I mean, it's 18 months. I think it was the 18th of October 2023 when I stood up here and presented the first set of results after being back about 2 weeks. And at that stage, I made 2 -- I shared 2 feelings that I had or 2 instincts that I had. And the first one, and Shane, you're sitting right here was that this would be a multiyear journey and I indicated at that stage about 3 years and you texted, why are you putting pressure on yourself, how many years did you give it?
Shane Watkins
analyst5.
Sean Summers
executive5, you said 5. So we kind of split the difference between you and me. We go back a long way so we can split the difference. So has it slipped out by 12 months? Yes. But I also did say then that it would get worse before it got better. And when you're catching a falling, tumbling life like that, you don't just catch it and it stops. And I can say with great confidence that we are at the bottom of that cycle now, and we'll start to move back into the positive territory again. But we're taking investment decisions now that we need to take for the medium to longer term as opposed to just to rush back to meet some arbitrary date that was put in before we really had a real, real, deep, profound understanding of everything that was going on inside the organization. And I think, Lerena, when I came back here, one of the first things I asked Lerena for was the dirty laundry basket and the land mines in the company, those things that can go off with the most unfortunate of times. And I think in the process that we've been through now, we've really, really, really cleaned up. We've got all of those niggly things out of the way. If we have a look at the progress we made in franchise, for example, and the bad debt, you can have a look at how that has come down, how we've cleaned up some problems that we had in that space. We haven't spoken about Africa today, but we're busy. We've taken over the Botswana business now. So that's in our corporate entity. So we'll be able to get that moving in the right direction. So, yes?
Unknown Executive
executiveTwo questions about the estate reset. First one is the 114 stores identified to be closed or converted. What is the cumulative loss these stores contribute annually?
Lerena Olivier
executiveWe -- maybe, [ Tamara ], I can take this. We've previously guided that the store reset program will unlock about ZAR 850 million for us over the period of the turnaround plan. I mean, Sean has indicated it's a dynamic process. It is a moving target. However, it is one that we are committed to. If there is any shortfalls as we go, we do have mitigating items in the rest of our plan.
Unknown Executive
executiveHow do you feel about Checkers taking over your stores? If they feel they could turn them around to profitability, is there no reason for you to try?
Sean Summers
executiveWish them well on the Carlton Centre. Yes, I mean, they must take their decisions. We have a look at situations. One of the classics is Hyde Park because that's front and center for everybody. That center has evolved massively since we first opened there. Its sort of geographic center point has moved away from where we are. We're down in the basement. We had a store there that 50% of the store that we were paying with stock rooms and warehouses upstairs from the old direct store delivery model, so massive canteens, passengers, warehouses and all of this stuff. I don't see any purpose in signing a 10-year lease in the store that we know that at the end of the day, given the significant challenges that it's got, that we would need to keep it. So if we step out of a store and they want to sign up for it for whatever reason, good luck to them. I can't speak for their decisions and their commercial decisions. We are focused on opening the right stores. We're focused on getting rid of the challenged stores that we have. And then we focus on opening the right stores.
Unknown Analyst
analystArriving earlier this morning, I picked up a Stuff Magazine and I was fascinated with the articles and intense competition regarding staff, attitude towards clients and cleanliness of the stores, et cetera, which is very commendable. I don't know if you want to comment on the success of these sort of promotions.
Sean Summers
executiveNo, it's -- I mean, it's important to us. And here, social media, as you know, I think that social media is one of the great diseases of the world that we have today because it really propagates just so much nonsense. You can have one small little issue that gets completely blown out of the water. So we've been on an intense program of really dealing with customer service in the store because some of the level of noise that we were getting in [ inverted commerce ] was well earned. But we have cleaned up phenomenally. And it's just unfortunate when you've got mayors of various municipalities coming to our stores with the whole entourage of TV cameras and everything and on the whole food safety and health safety thing that you just end up getting sucked into this thing vicariously. But we have put an enormous amount of work into ensuring that the organization really, really performs at a completely different level.
Unknown Executive
executiveQuestion from Warwick Bam at RMB. Can you elaborate on the lag and like-for-like sales growth for franchisees versus Pick n Pay corporate stores? And is the strategy different for both?
Sean Summers
executiveYes. I covered it off in my presentation, where I said that it stands to good reason that as we are rebuilding our corporate capability, first and foremost, because that's what I have direct control over. If you think of Pick n Pay is like a Roman chariot in the old days around the arena, you've got 2 lines of horses in front of you. One, I've got the reins of the corporate business. But when it comes to franchise, it's quite loose in terms of the controls that one can exercise in that regard. So it stands to good reason that for a long period of time, as the Pick n Pay corporate business was suffering and going backwards that as we've revitalized that process and got people going there again, it's shown in the sales line. So I think it's actually a huge positive. It's not a negative. It's a huge positive. Yes?
Unknown Executive
executiveAnother question from David Fraser at Peregrine. Please clarify whether your breakeven in FY '28 relates to during or at the end of?
Lerena Olivier
executiveDavid, I'll take out my crystal ball and figure out what's the end of the fourth quarter. I mean, that's our objective. As we've mentioned, there is a lot of dynamic, moving parts. To be so specific, I think it's too early for us.
Unknown Executive
executiveAnd then a question from Sa'ad Chothia at Citi. Well done. How much of the 4% post-period growth in company-owned Supers is driven by the closure of poor stores versus actual improvement in existing stores?
Lerena Olivier
executiveI mean, just to be clear, that is a like-for-like number. So therefore, I'm assuming the question is about moving some of the turnover across. But I think we're seeing that across our entire state, the like-for-likes are increasing.
Unknown Executive
executiveTwo questions about you, Sean. One from Cobus Cilliers from All Weather Capital. Given your contract extension, is there a specific metric such as like-for-like sales, trading margin or any other metric that you would define as successful turnaround Pick n Pay? And the other one relates to whether you'll have time to chair Boxer?
Sean Summers
executiveSo the answer to the first question is, yes, there are performance metrics in my package that's there going forward and that will all be disclosed in the normal route -- in the normal course of events in the publications. And then with regards to time to chair Boxer, I've been involved in Boxer right through. But let me tell you, Boxer runs unbelievably well. So the support that I give Marek at the end of the day is not hugely time-consuming. But there are synergies between the 2 enterprises at the end of the day. Had we not had to list it and that was a reality that was forced upon us, I would be the happiest man in the world with Boxer who wasn't listed and we were just still quietly going about our affairs. So really it's not an issue. I do get up quite early in the morning as well. So I've got a few extra hours of the day.
Unknown Executive
executiveAnother question from Ya'eesh Patel. How have negotiations with suppliers changed since engaging with them late last year?
Sean Summers
executiveThey've changed a lot, both suppliers. If we look at our partners, we said engaging partners, which is both our suppliers and then also our landlords. So if we just started at the landlord level, I mean, I had our largest landlord in our office with their entire group last week and just the positive sentiment from them. So I mean, they were one of the harshest, most critical of us two 18 months ago. And they were just saying to me that they can see in all of their estate across the pieces how things are all turning in the right direction and things are looking much better. I was actually quite shocked, could have blown me off the chair when they said that. But -- so just to get it from people like that is heartening. And then with suppliers, we've had a lot of engagement with the suppliers. We had a lot of support with suppliers. But these issues at the end of the day are more inside the company. One has to -- in this new transparent world that you live in today, every single thing that you telegraph and talk about goes to another community and another lot of people as well. So I have no doubt that a few of our friends are also dialed in here this morning. Good morning.
Unknown Executive
executiveI have a question from [ Sunji ] at Edge Capital. What is the future of the Mr D partnership given the growth trajectory of asap!, presumably better returns on platform versus partner?
Sean Summers
executiveMr D remains an important part of our execution to market. It really is just fulfilling the final -- the last mile piece of the business. So Mr D remains and it remains an important part of what we do in that space.
Unknown Executive
executiveQuestion from Kabelo Moshesha from Mazi Asset Management. Given that your view is that there is a high level of saturation in retailing, does this imply the Pick n Pay business will be less capital intensive as you focus more on efficiency and IT investments versus store rollout?
Sean Summers
executiveI think that we are still going to have to deploy capital judiciously across the company and primarily inside our existing real estate that's there. We're also starting now in discussions with landlords where there are potential openings coming forward. We look at them and where it makes sense, we do them. But we are not just opening stores for store's sake. This philosophy of carpet bombing in retail of just saying, well, I'm just going to go and own the space. I mean, you can just draw your own conclusions in your own geographies where you live. And you think to yourself, why are these people opening even more stores around here? And then you've got to take the dynamic as well, and it's an interesting thing with the landlords that I've been preaching to them for quite a while. As important as the dynamic of home delivery is, if you've got a store that's now doing 20%, 25% of its sales out the back door, what does that do for the center? Footfall is down. So all of your line shops, the coffee shop, all of those things suffer as well. So this is a very, very dynamic process.
Unknown Executive
executiveQuestion from Carey Leighton at Trade Intelligence. Can you share how many Smart Shopper members are signed up? And any update on private brand performance and strategy?
Sean Summers
executiveSo private brand performance and strategy. We have done a huge cleanup on our private label side of the business. The No Name brand banner that stands outside, there's the old packaging, in fact, but minor detail. But if you have a look at where we're going with our house brand strategy, we've done a massive cleanup in that space. And we really are refocusing and reinvigorating on our house brand program. because it's a key part of our business, and it is something that has gone backwards to a fair degree.
Lerena Olivier
executiveI don't actually have the Smart Shopper number by hand at the moment, but we have seen great progress in our Smart Shopper database, and it's a great opportunity that Vince and team will still leverage in the months to come.
Sean Summers
executiveAnd I think importantly, in Smart Shopper, as we have now put this whole new app together, it's going to be another invigoration of Smart Shopper. And I can just say this that Smart Shopper is currently under review. When I say under review, we're reviewing the benefits, how Smart Shopper is structured and how that's going to evolve. And you'll see some announcements coming in that regard in the period ahead.
Lerena Olivier
executiveMaybe just to add there also, we've launched a new integrated app that integrates asap! and Smart Shopper into one. So it's definitely a key focus area for us and will definitely be evolving.
Unknown Executive
executiveJust 2 more questions. One from Citi. When do you think you will go into net bank debt position again?
Sean Summers
executiveWhen do you think you're going into?
Unknown Executive
executiveNet bank debt position again.
Sean Summers
executiveNet bank debt position again.
Lerena Olivier
executiveBorrowing again.
Sean Summers
executiveBorrowing again.
Lerena Olivier
executiveNot soon. Right now, we've got ZAR 4.2 billion on our balance sheets and we're taking good care of it, but we will invest wisely.
Sean Summers
executiveWe are back, reminiscing a little bit about days of yore because when we had our debt structure last year the banks asked me when we had those horrible meetings, what is it like being back at Pick n Pay, Sean? What has changed? And I said in the old days, we used to worry about having too much money in any one bank. It's a little bit different now. So we really don't want to get back to those days again. I know that the bank is in the room would love us to be indebted to you again, but don't hold your breath.
Unknown Executive
executiveJust a last question from Ya'eesh Patel again from SBG. If we dissect your footprint by income segment regions, which are performing ahead of group or below group?
Sean Summers
executiveSo if we have a look, when you say performing above and below, we're getting growth across the piece in Pick n Pay. I mean, we've got -- I mean, if we have a look at -- we've got a Pick n Pay and put in [indiscernible], which for those of you who don't know where that is, it's in the border of the Free State in a tunnel up near Harrismith, just trading unbelievably. And we've got other stores in the group as well. So it's across the piece that we're showing progress. There's not just any one specific call-out. Okay. So thank you very much, indeed, for your attention, and more importantly, for your support and thank you to everybody online as well. And have a great day, and we intend to have a great year. Thank you. Thank you Lerena.
Lerena Olivier
executiveThanks, everybody. Thank you, Sean.
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