Planet Fitness, Inc. (PLNT) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
June 1, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Sharon Zackfia
analystHi. So I'm Sharon Zackfia with William Blair & Company. I'm really happy to have with us today the team from Planet Fitness. I do need to remind everyone that there's a full list of research conflicts and potential disclosures on williamblair.com. And also, we are doing this interactively. So as you have questions, please feel free to put them in the chat, and I will ask them as the 30 minutes goes on.
Sharon Zackfia
analystSo I guess to start out, I mean, it's obvious that membership is the lifeblood of Planet Fitness, and it was great to see that sequential growth that you had during the first quarter. Can you talk about the rate of membership recovery you've seen and the differences, maybe based on parameters such as geography or the amount of time the clubs have been reopened?
Chris Rondeau
executiveSure. Yes. Sharon, thank you again for having us on. We had -- in the first quarter, we had some good growth. We had 14.1 million members end of March, and then we released our April results as well and we ended up with 14.3 million members. So the real positive news there was that the rate of growth in March and April. We definitely saw some unseasonable momentum there. January, we had net member growth was a fraction of what we normally see in January. But as the quarter progressed, as more vaccines, we believe, were rolled out and broadly distributed, we saw more momentum pick up later in the quarter. March was ahead of March of 2019 for mature stores as far as net member growth, and April was on par with April of 2019. In April of 2019, we had a 10-day national sale, which we did not have this year. So you'd argue it was actually a better April for the mature store. So definitely seeing some momentum. Normally, we had it in April sale, we actually pushed it into May because we felt as though the further we get into this year the more sense of normalcy, I guess, that the U.S. would feel and began to get more and more growth throughout the later part of the year. So we pushed the national sale of April into May, which I'm glad we did that. So I think we'll continue to see and capitalize on some good trends here in the future. We also then began also to see the Gen X and Boomer join rate begin to turn the corner. They had definitely been slower to come back, as you can expect, and we started to see that trend change now. Not back to what we normally see, but they're definitely going in the right direction now. So I think that's also another positive step in the right direction. Some other interesting trends we saw through April was that about 30% of our joins were rejoins. So they were a member of Planet Fitness in the past and they're coming back. That typically runs 20% to 22%. So they're coming back faster than we've seen in the past. And about 4% to 5% of our joins are coming to us from close competition. The industry reports that about 17% of the stores in the industry have permanently closed. Thankfully for Planet based on the unit economics of our model, we've had 0 store closings -- closures from COVID. That's great. And we've got nearly 100% of our stores open now. The only ones left to open, we've got a number of stores in Canada that have reclosed again. Hopefully, we'll reopen shortly here. But everything in the U.S. is now currently open.
Sharon Zackfia
analystThat's super helpful. Can you talk about usage as well at the clubs and how you've seen that evolve during 2021?
Chris Rondeau
executiveYes. We're at about -- throughout the system, we're about 80% of 2019 usage. And for the store, geographically to your questions, the stores that were opened first. So call it last May, they begin to reopen in states like Georgia and throughout the Midwest, those stores were accomplishing just north of 90% of 2019 usage. So they're definitely starting to pick up even more so. And the other thing, too, we've talked about in the past, in a typical pre-COVID month, about 50% of our members would use the store in a 30-day period. We were typically running about 30%, 35% we use in the store. In March, we saw about 40% of our members use it in the 30-day period. So we're seeing more and more of our member base begin to utilize the locations. And the average usage is about the same. The average member uses the store about 5 to 6 times a month, and that's still holding true about today.
Sharon Zackfia
analystAnd I know in 2020, as we went throughout the year, there was a lot of discussion amongst investors about cancellation. So can you talk about what you saw in 2020? And again, how those trends have ebbed and flowed in 2021?
Chris Rondeau
executiveYes, sure. So one interesting thing that happened in 2020 is you would expect that there'd be incremental 1 million or 2 million cancels because of COVID. And if you look at the entire full year 2020, we had no more or less cancellations in 2020 than we do in a typical year. So it was more of a join problem. And for the first time in company history, we went 6 months with 0 marketing or acquisition marketing. So a lot of it was a join issue more so than a cancellation issue. So here, we have to kick our flywheel back on towards the tail end of last year, starting in September and began to start driving some acquisition marketing and began to start to see some positive results, especially in the states that were open the soonest. But in January was when we started our New Year's Eve in New York city and our national January sale, and that was the first month since COVID we began to have net member growth and have had sequential net member growth every month through April.
Sharon Zackfia
analystI mean it's a really good point, obviously, on kind of the relative quietness of Planet for part of 2020, which is highly unusual from a marketing standpoint. Have you changed your go-to-market strategy as it relates to marketing, either where you're marketing, kind of what media you're marketing on or the message?
Chris Rondeau
executiveI'd say probably the message is probably what's changed the most. As far as the marketing mix is really -- it's TV, it's network television as well as cable, a lot of digital and out-of-home, it's post cards, billboards locally with the franchisees and doing local radio even. So that's the same. But the message is definitely different. But the message is definitely around cleanliness and sanitization practices, how we've amped up that in the facilities. We have always been meticulously clean in our stores. We just never really highlighted that in our marketing. And I think really any public place here for the near future, for sure, cleanliness will be top of mind for consumers. So we'll continue to touch on that on top of the Judgment Free Zone in our $10 price point, which is hugely important. And I think coming out of COVID, and I'm sure we'll get to this even more so, but some of these reports coming on with mental health and weight gain throughout COVID is really substantial and sad in a lot of cases. And 60% of adults reported to gain an average of 29 pounds from COVID. It's an average of 29 pounds. And the fact is that 70% of adults were overweight going into COVID. So I just think it's going to be a huge tailwind for the industry. And with that $10 price point and with 17% of the industry permanently closed, I think we just have tons of tailwind here for our brand.
Sharon Zackfia
analystAnd one of the -- you touched on this a little bit, but one of the really interesting evolutions of Planet during 2020 was kind of that the pivot to digital as a way they continue to talk to your members at a point when they could not go to the clubs. Can you talk about a genesis of PF+ and how that's helped you with member engagement as well as member acquisition?
Chris Rondeau
executiveSure. Yes, Sharon. So we were luckily going down this digital road even pre-COVID. And it started off with the fact that we would see people -- members in our stores working out following their phone on a workout, but they weren't getting the workout from us. They were finding a third-party to supply them exercise routines in our clubs. So it makes sense that Planet Fitness should be supplying our members with the content. So that started that road a couple of years ago. And luckily we were because then COVID hit, not knowing what's happening. So then we accelerated that focus and strategy, partnered with iFIT, who's -- they've been in the industry as long as we have, but in the home fitness content world. So we want to partner with best-in-class to produce premium content. So we have basically free content in the app, about 500 workout videos and instruction. And then premium content, which is a $5.99 subscription that you pay for Digital unlocking of the premium content. We launched that side, testing that in November. We see some really interesting trends there. We really think that the Digital in our app could be a gateway to bricks-and-mortar membership, and it's really proved to be, in a lot of ways, a whole another channel in our marketing mix. About 70% of our joins are joining digitally. It's almost double from what we saw in 2019. So people are really downloading the app and joined through the app. So the old days of going to the website and finding out about Planet through the website, they're actually going to the app, downloading it and joining through the app, which is really intriguing, never thought that would happen. But then with the premium content side of things, it allows us to hopefully give people a taste of Planet Fitness before joining our facilities. And what we're seeing is about 30% of the subscribers to Digital that weren't bricks-and-mortar members have gone on to join bricks-and-mortar after. So people are tasting a little bit of Planet and then joining bricks-and-mortar after the [indiscernible]. And that was 20% in the fourth quarter. So we're seeing an acceleration there, which now lead us to the next test we're doing, which is a bundled membership in the Black Card. So the $5.99 PF+ Digital subscription. If you're a Black Card member paying $24.99, just $2 more, you unlock the entire digital experience as a $5.99 digital customers. So a bundled offering to see if we can drive some Black Card acquisition or Black Card pricing through that mix. So that's still in test phase. We'll test that the rest of this year, Sharon, and then probably have more data for some first quarter. But I guess the overarching 30,000 foot view that I really look at digital for us is that in this industry, and unless somebody walked through our front door, and even though they pay us every month, right, unless they walk through the front door, we can't service the number, right? We can't provide them any benefit of being a member of our gym. With the digital strategy today with Planet, putting focus on it like this, we can actually service our member, give them some benefit of being member, whether they use the facility or not use a facility, which at the end of the day, can only drive retention, right? Keep your stickiness. Platform is there. It is now just fitness oriented. But now the Platform is built, it begs the question we get into nutrition and diet, we get into medication. Just gives us ways to talk and engage our customers if they don't happen to use a facility this month. And if people's lives are busy, they get tied up at kids soccer or whatever -- whatever goes on with life and to provide some level of benefit as being a member is hugely important for us.
Sharon Zackfia
analystYes, every time something we talk about, Chris, for I think, years, has been the ability to unlock data. I mean, at first, when we would have those conversations, it was about knowing what machines and for how long people use them in the clubs. But I'm wondering now with the digital interface, how much of a kind of holistic data pattern you'll be able to achieve for your members, both at home, at the clubs and how that might influence how you can help your members kind of achieve their fitness goals, which then would lead to, yes, obviously, better retention? How long of a journey? Or is it even possible to have kind of that frictionless interlock between the app and the clubs themselves?
Chris Rondeau
executiveYes. I think if you look at the wellness journey that people take today is you've got to kind of figure out yourself, right? You've got to -- you figure out what bricks-and-mortar gym you're going to join and then figure out where you're going to get your nutrition or diet help. And if you want a meditation or you want Yoga, I mean certain things you want to do, you've got to go download 4 different apps to accomplish that and hopefully figure out the right way to do it, where -- and as you know, it's 40% of our members never gone to gym in their entire life. They're newbies to the wellness world. They don't even know how to put it together. So I look at us is how can we close the circle and kind of serve it up on a platter exactly, your entire wellness journey is a one-stop shop and for a fraction of the price of what you would find it otherwise, right? So I think you can just -- we can dumb it down and dummy proof it so that it just makes it simple, right, and bring them through their journey. And if you can't make it to the club, then maybe you're doing some nutrition or diet at home or maybe using some yoga or some meditation at home through Planet, and we're providing that service to you so that you keep the membership longer term. The vast majority of our cancels are just not in use. They went 6 months or 9 months, they haven't used the facility and just enough is enough. So I think any level of service we can provide them outside the 4 walls can only drive or only help retention longer term.
Sharon Zackfia
analystIs there anything as well that you can tell from the PF+ members that do not join the clubs? I mean is there some intimidation factor there? Are they out of reach convenience wise from a club? Is there any kind of takeaway there?
Chris Rondeau
executiveYes. We haven't seen anything yet there, but you're right. I mean is there a level of -- even though we cater to first-timers and the Judgment Free Zone, but is there a level of super intimidation that maybe this helps unlock, right, or maybe it allows us to see -- we're just not quite in this person's neighborhood just yet that they have access to Planet this way. So nothing yet, but you're exactly right. I think that's a -- it's definitely something that we can learn from as well as what routines people are doing, what equipment people are using, what age and gender people are that are driving that so that we can then start the recommendation engine that now says, well, your age and gender, we know that 300,000 of the people like you like this machine or just did this exercise at home, they like this trainer, right? Otherwise, our industry would then lock the doors for decades, and we just -- you kind of figure out yourself, right? This allows us now to finally be able to help -- handhold but also learn from it to then recommend for the future.
Sharon Zackfia
analystGetting a lot of questions from the attendees about the franchisee health. So obviously, one of the big positives about Planet over the years has been your strength as a franchisor. But obviously, as well, when the clubs were closed, there were some debt covenant issues that came up with some of your franchisee base. Can you touch on kind of the time line to compliance for the majority of your franchisees with those debt covenants? And then there are some questions as well about the average leverage ratio of your franchisees.
Thomas Fitzgerald
executiveYes, Sharon. It's Tom. I'll take that one. So I think in an industry that was really hit hard by the pandemic, and we've quoted what IHRSA said that they believe 17% of the gyms in the U.S. have closed as a result of the pandemic. Thankfully, for us, that number is 0. None of our stores closed as a result of COVID. None of the franchisees struggled financially, declared bankruptcy. None of that. Thankfully, they're all well capitalized, really strong operators. And we've had discussions, as we've talked about with the top -- almost all of the top 30 franchisees here this past go around, we talk to them once or twice a year to get a sense of how things are. And I would say, while we don't disclose it, the pre-pandemic levels of leverage were pretty low. I think there's a bit of a misconception that our system is -- has a lot of private equity, when, in fact, they're only about 10% of our 130 franchisees. But even those private equity-backed franchisees did not have what you might typically see in terms of levels of leverage pre-pandemic at a retailer or other -- I would say, conservative was the caption for their -- how they manage their capital structure. Was there 1 or 2 exceptions? Sure, but they really stood out as exceptions. And then I think during the closure period, there are a couple of dimensions that affect the sort of the pre-COVID view to where they are now. It depends on how long their stores were closed and what percent of their stores endured that closure period because, as you know, many of our franchisees operate in multiple states. So they might have been hit harder in one state and less so in another state. And how much membership they lost during that time period. So the closure impact, the membership loss impact, that ultimately caused -- the majority of them who have debt, they didn't all trip, by the way, but the majority of them trip their covenants to where the lenders then provided waivers, nobody was defaulted, nobody ended up in a bad place because the lenders know, to Chris' point earlier, the strength of the model. And they were going to give -- when we stayed in contact with the lenders, they were going to give them waivers until they could kind of reset things and figure out where the new covenant levels should be or how they adjust going forward. And that's kind of where we are. Some franchisees, as I said, didn't trip and were able to develop all along. Those that did trip might have had different limitations put on them. There's no one size fits all. But they probably had a minimum liquidity threshold that they had to maintain in the business that the lenders imposed on them. And once they reopened, they were generating cash, and EBITDA was not back to where it was pre-COVID, but starting to climb as membership climbed, enabled them to take cash off the balance sheet and invest in development or in reequipping. And others, it will just take a little while longer for them to ultimately get their development lines of credit fully unlocked to where they were before. So we put all of that in our thinking to get to the projection of the 75 to 100 new units this year that we have talked about on top of the 130 that the system did last year as well as more recently, when we talked about on the first quarter call, the reequipped percentage, we believe, will be about 50% of the total. So what it says to us is our franchisees are working their way out of it to the extent they need those development lines of credit. It may -- for some, it will come sooner. For some, it may take a little bit longer. But I would say their overall outlook and sentiment is very bullish across all of the top franchisees that we talk to, whether it's the tailwinds that seem to be strengthening in health and wellness as people just -- we believe will be more inclined to want to take better care of themselves coming out of the pandemic. The industry dislocation that we talked about with respect to IHRSA, and also just the real estate availability as more and more boxes continue to go vacant. The quality and the economics of those real estate opportunities seemingly are only going to be better than they were historically. So their bullishness and their outlook and their appetite to return to those kind of pre-COVID 200-plus new units a year is absolutely there. It's just a matter of kind of the gears grinding, if you will, to go forward to ultimately allow them to get back to that place, which is why we've been pretty consistent saying, it doesn't appear to us to be anything but a question of when, not if that happens.
Sharon Zackfia
analystI guess, to that point, I mean, one of the big benefits of your franchisee is the consistency of that cash flow. And now all of the clubs are open with the exception of some in Canada. So as you sit here on June 1, do you have line of sight yet into kind of how 2022 might start to shape up? I mean it takes a while for permitting and acquiring the boxes and all of those things.
Dorvin Lively
executiveYes, Sharon, you're right. I think the way we look at it is with the stores open, the franchisees had to rebuild their balance sheet and liquidity, as Tom talked about. But at the same time, yes, these guys have area development agreements and they have a schedule of what needs to be built. We gave them some extended periods as you're aware of. But these guys, they realize that they make money by building stores. Yes, you make money on existing stores, but to build up the portfolio with incrementally more ROI on their total investment, it comes through greenfield development. So these guys are just as anxious to get back and build stores, but they have the priorities of the liquidity, the balance sheet and the debt covenants. But the pipeline really takes, quite frankly, 6 to 9 months. I mean they just came to a halt. And some guys are more bullish than others. I mean we had some guys signing leases till last year, and we've opened stores already year-to-date this year, as you know, and then till the guidance that Tom talked about. So I think that as we get throughout the year, as we all see the trends, and Chris talked about our trends earlier in the year and the usage trends and all the KPIs around kind of what makes the model really work, the franchisees are just as anxious to get back into it. I think that as we get towards the end of this year, we'll see how summer activities take place, the school back to normal in the fall. Those are the kinds of things that will continue to kind of build on that momentum, which will give us a lot more insight into '22 as well as how many leases have been signed or certainly how many deals are out there being worked on or negotiated on. But I think the -- one of the last comments Tom made is it's kind of a matter of when, it's not if. And will the flywheel of development and marketing, et cetera, will it all come together kind of to the end of this year or will some of it lag on into next year? And it's going to be, quite frankly, franchisee-by-franchisee specific. But we're certainly very excited about the opportunity and the trends we're seeing and the fact that franchisees are -- they have the same sentiment. So that gives us a lot of faith and confidence we can get back to the kinds of levels we had been historically.
Sharon Zackfia
analystYes. It's an interesting time, particularly from a seasonality perspective where you guys start to see the light at the end of the tunnel from the pandemic. I mean, Chris, normally, in this business, we see membership kind of plateau or even drop off in the summer. I know you alluded to April and May kind of having unusual seasonality. Do you think -- because we are seeing, I think a number of states now don't even require masks anymore in clubs, which has got to be a big liberator because I don't think anyone likes to workout with a mask. Do you think there's an opportunity here for memberships just to keep building as 2021 goes on or do you think seasonality is likely to manifest itself again?
Chris Rondeau
executiveYes. So yes, mature store typically will grow through April, let's say, and then the rest of the year they pretty much plateau and need some pullback throughout the rest of the year, but maintain some of their winter growth, but will pull back some towards the rest of the year. Yes, I do believe that we'll see some unseasonable changes. I think as the more and more vaccines distributed now and it's all age groups, the mask mainly being lifted, restaurants now at full capacity, 50% of our gyms are at full capacity now, that changes -- change is for the better weekly, it seems like. So I think if just more normal people get back to life that we'll continue to see the pent-up demand continue to flow through. Time will tell, but it'll be interesting to see what happens with the July sale here coming next month and then the October sale. But I think we'll definitely see trends here be different than what we normally see like we did through April. We had -- in January, we had net member growth, but a fraction of what we normally see. And March was ahead of 2019 from mature stores in April was on par, but April had a national sale in 2019, which we didn't have. So I definitely think we're seeing trends here going in a direction we haven't seen before, and it could be a very interesting year for us, especially the really line up first quarter next year.
Sharon Zackfia
analystAnd I know you alluded to the competitive rationalization. And I think since the time of the IPO, you've kind of held out this 4,000 club domestic target. And how does this change your opinion on how big Planet can be in the U.S. because it seems as if with most other sectors all of the demand is coming back. It's just a matter of when, not if. But in your space it's coming back across 83% of the clubs, right? So have you guys done any updated analyses on what Planet ultimately can look like in the U.S.?
Chris Rondeau
executiveYes. We have not done any updated analysis, but you're right, the 4,000 potential, let's say, since the IPO. And even pre-COVID, we've talked about this a lot in the last couple of years is, many of the new units we've sold to franchisees in one of their area development agreements that we sold 7, 8 years ago, and we thought it could fit 10 stores and these franchisees are coming to us and say, I could probably fit 12 or 15 here because we just know a lot more today on how much our market penetration can really get to. Now coming out of COVID, as we mentioned earlier, I mean, 29 -- 60% of Americans burn on average of 29 pounds. The mental health issue that we're going to see today coming out of this. And I think even though we've heard it for years, decades, that people are going to take better care of themselves and eat better and workout and exercise, I think it took unfortunately the pandemic for people to realize we all should've been listening. And some of the stats coming out of the 90% of the deaths in the world were from the most of obese countries in the world. 80% of all hospitalizations in the U.S. were people who are overweight. It can only get people off the couch more so. You can't think people are going to get less healthy, right? So now that because -- now you're right, now you have all these store closings, the big push it is 4,000 the number. And I think you're right. When you think about -- we kind of came out this business model 30 years ago, me and my partners, that number was 15% of the U.S. population in gym membership. It took 30 years in to move 5%. And today, 20% have a gym membership. You've got to imagine that this is going to create a tailwind that I don't think the industry has ever seen, and I think can really be really quite amazing next few years here for our industry and specifically Planet Fitness.
Sharon Zackfia
analystI think we're out of time. I want to thank everyone for joining us, and have a happy and healthy week.
Chris Rondeau
executiveGreat. Thanks, Sharon.
Thomas Fitzgerald
executiveThanks, Sharon. Thanks, everybody.
Dorvin Lively
executiveThank you. Appreciate it.
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