Portmeirion Group PLC (PMP) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 16, 2021

AIM GB Consumer Discretionary Household Durables earnings 46 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Portmeirion Group PLC Interim Results Investor Presentation. [Operator Instructions] I'd also like to remind that this presentation is being recorded. Before we begin, we'd like to submit the following poll. I'd now like to hand you over to Mike Raybould, CEO; and David Sproston, CFO of Portmeirion Group PLC. Good morning.

Michael Raybould

executive
#2

Good morning. Thank you, Mark, and welcome, everybody. Thank you for joining us this morning for our interim presentation. I think this is the fourth presentation we've done on this platform. It's worked very well so far, and we hope you get the most out of this session. Again, just to repeat what Mark said, please do post any questions you have using the functionality of the platform. And Dave and I will get to as many of those as we can at the end of the formal part of our presentation. Okay. So in terms of what we're going to cover today, if we just look at the agenda slide. I'm going to give a brief overview of our first half and our outlook for the remainder of the year. Dave is going to talk in some detail about our financials for the first half and our sales by market. I'm going to come back and talk about the progress we're making on the key parts of our long-term strategy. I'd then like to talk briefly about the progress we're making on ESG and our sustainability and environmental impact projects. And then we'll come back and really pull it all together, summarize where we are and talk about the forward view. Okay. So in terms of an overview of our first half, really, really pleased with our first half results. Actually, a record first half revenue, just over GBP 43 million, obviously substantially up on 2020. I think the most important statistic here, the biggest takeaway that I would emphasize is the performance against pre-COVID 2019 and we're 7% up like-for-like on 2019. And that really shows the benefit of the long-term strategy that we're working and the increased investment we're putting behind online, in particular, but also other parts of our business. What's driving this performance? Again, at its heart, strong online growth is a key part of our strategy, and I will pick this up later on in the presentation. Good growth again on top of the growth we achieved during the various lockdowns last year, combined with a really substantial improvement in gross margins with that channel as well. Also strong contributions from new product launches, strong contribution from our focus on growing new markets and rest-of-the-world markets outside of our core markets. That means that we have an immediate return to profitability for the half. And Dave will take us through the balance sheet. We have a strong balance sheet, good net cash positive position. And we're also in the process of where we can recommit to hitting our market expectations for the year. Again, strong first half in terms of sales, where we are today with order book and demand is in a good place. We have good demand and order books across all of our key markets. We are aware of and impacted by the well-publicized disruption to supply chain and some of the cost/price inflations that are coming through. This affects us like everybody else in a number of ways in terms of some delays on shipping, global shipping around the world and unloading at ports in terms of labor shortages and short-term price inflation. We've mitigated these effects very well so far in our first half numbers and are focused on continuing to mitigate them in the second half. And we have a lot of people pointed at that part of the business right now. So that's an overview of where we are. We're going to move on to the financial review, and I'm going to hand over to Dave, our Finance Director.

David Sproston

executive
#3

Thank you, Mike, and good morning to everyone on the call. So as Mike has laid out there, I think record H1 revenue, GBP 43.1 million and that was 35% up on 2020 and actually, 24% ahead of pre-COVID levels of 2019. Since the first half of 2019, we've made a couple of acquisitions that we're benefiting from in terms of top line revenue growth. So we acquired the Nambé business in the U.S. in July 2019. And we also bought the other 50% of our longtime joint venture, Portmeirion Canada in August 2020. So we benefit from additional sales of both of those businesses, in '20 -- the first half of 2021. And that did mean though that we were still like-for-like ahead 7% of 2019. So very pleasing to see that we're actually ahead of pre-COVID levels when there is still -- we're still seeing disruption in some of our sales markets, particularly the U.K., where retail was closed for 3.5 months of the first 6 months of the year. And that dropped through, revenue improvement dropped through into improved profitability, so operating margin growth, pre-COVID 1.9%. We've grown that to 4% for the first half of the year. And that meant that the headline profit before tax grew from GBP 0.5 million in 2019 to GBP 1.5 million for 2021. We're continuing to see positive operating cash flows, and that's allowing us to continue and accelerate our investment behind our growth strategy. And we're recommitting to reintroducing the dividend for full year '21. We're not paying an interim dividend, but we expect to be in a position to pay a final dividend, and we'll be updating on that in the first quarter when we announce our full year results the first quarter of 2020. Okay. Moving on to balance sheet. We continue to maintain a strong balance sheet. We're cash positive GBP 9 million at the half year. And in addition to this, we have GBP 15 million of unutilized borrowing facilities. So we had about GBP 24 million worth of headroom to allow us to continue to invest. We've actually spent about GBP 4 million in net CapEx over the last 12 months pre-COVID levels for the group. We're spending about 3x the annual run rate from pre-COVID. So continuing to invest in a number of operational and strategic projects, and we'll update on that in a bit more detail in terms of some of the progress against some of these projects. Stock levels we're continuing to focus on. We've got a small walk in there in terms of laying out the progress that we've made in the last 12 months. And we've actually been able to reduce inventory levels by about 8%, which is worth GBP 2.5 million in cash terms. So very pleased and able to increase the -- and improve our stock turn, and that's something that we're continuing to focus on in terms of leveraging our working capital in a better way. On to sales breakdown by geographical market. And I think the most pleasing thing that we've seen in the first half when we compare to 2020, we're really seeing growth across all of our key markets. So the 3 biggest markets, the U.S., the U.K. and South Korea, growth against prior year in all of those markets. The U.S., 44% up year-on-year. And we're now actually trading like-for-like above pre-COVID levels in FY '19. So really pleasing to see growth in that key market, and that's really driven by new product introduction now that we continue to invest in during this period. And the strength of online sales, both in our own websites in the U.S. but also third-party platforms as well, which have seen significant growth during the COVID period. The U.K. marketplace continues to be resilient. Increase in sales year-on-year and really set against the disruption to physical retail, which was closed for all of the first quarter and up until mid-April. In the Korean marketplace, very disrupted by COVID, certainly through the first quarter of 2020. We're starting to see sales out in this marketplace increasing year-on-year, and our sales into the market have grown over 2020. And we're now at a level where we believe we have a sustainable level where we can continue to see growth in that marketplace. And then finally, in rest of the world as well, we've seen growth over 2020. And actually, I think, more pleasing 40% growth over pre-COVID levels of 2019 in rest-of-world markets. So we're aiming to establish 2 or 3 other key international markets. And we're starting to see benefits of that strategy where progress against Australia and in the Middle East, and then we're benefiting from the full ownership of Portmeirion Canada that we fully acquired in August 2020. Anything you want to add, Mike, to...

Michael Raybould

executive
#4

Yes. I mean I'll just round that one off, Dave. Thank you for that overview. Again, I think what I'm really pleased with on this slide in terms of our geography, is the fact that we are substantially in growth across so many different markets, across our core markets as well as making a really good -- are getting a really good traction with some of our rest-of-world new markets. And in particular, in South Korea, we've spent a lot of time in the last couple of years stabilizing that market. We've made a lot of progress. Stock overhangs that we maybe had a couple of years ago have gone. The sales out and the demand in that market is now very, very strong for our brands, particularly the Portmeirion brand, which is very, very encouraging. Okay. So that is our overview in terms of financials. I'm now going to move on to the next section, which is an overview of our strategy, long-term strategy and in particular, the progress that we're making. So this is a slide that we put in for the last 2 or 3 presentations. And just as a recap, we have a 6-point strategy that the whole group is focused on. The first 5 are about targeting consistent and accelerated sales growth. And the final sixth one is about improving our operating margins by investing in capacity and efficiency within all of our operations. So briefly, in terms of sales drivers, we're focused on a massive online and digital transformation. We're really getting penetration in online sales channels, including our own websites. Two, unlocking new geography to complement the 3 core markets we have in the U.K., U.S. and South Korea. Three, driving new product launches to really drive sales growth in our markets. And four, developing our brands, underweight brands and leveraging the benefit of new brands that we've brought into the group like Wax Lyrical and Nambé. In terms of operations, as I said, as we grow, we have to develop the capabilities of our operations, our factories and our warehouses to cope with that growth. Those investments are going on now. I'll update that in more detail. Do you want to move the slide forward, Dave? Just in terms of how that strategy then plays out into our numbers, how do we see this playing out in the next few years? Well, those sales drivers that I've just gone through are all pointed at, again, accelerating our top line growth, our top line performance. And very quickly, we want to get back to 2019 pre-COVID levels. Well, we've already done that in the first half of this year. And then going forward in future years, we really want to be driving 10%, 10% plus double-digit sales growth. And then as we leverage that extra volume across our business, across our operational base, we're also looking to drive up operating margins. So the benefit of that sales volume going through our factories, going through our organization, the benefit of our own website sales growing, which are accretive, above average gross margin drives up the margin. And again, as we invest more money in automation projects in our factories, and we're going to come on to that, all of these things are going to drive improvements in our operating margin. We want to get back to 10% as soon as we can in 2022 and then grow beyond that, up to 13% and even beyond in the coming years. A little bit about digital and online. This is the single biggest opportunity that we believe that we have. We're partway through the journey. But I want to talk a little bit about the benefit of deepening our relationship with the end customer. Bear in mind that a couple of years ago, our business really was focused and developed around servicing trade and wholesale and distributors around the world, still an important part of our business. But with the brands we have with over 750 years of combined history, products that already exist and are loved around many, many homes, millions of homes around the world, the benefit for us of deepening that relationship with the end consumer, the customer, is massive. And this is really about telling the story of our brand, the quality of our products more to the end consumer. We want to reduce the friction in all the touch points we have with that end consumer, whether it be when they place an order on our websites or on someone else's websites, how they engage with the brand, how we deliver to that customer, how we follow with aftersales and customer service. So we're building our own customer lists, our consumer lists. We're expanding the reach that we have in terms of new product launches, new markets and targeting new categories like gifting. As we do that, we know already from our own websites that we have a very high percentage of customers that buy from us and then come back, this repeat customer, returning customer KPI is certainly 50% or more. So that means that we can leverage, we build traffic and we build transactions, we can leverage and build and get repeat transactions. All of this is going to feed through to stronger sales and stronger margin growth. So I'm going to talk for a couple of slides about our targets within digital and online and the progress we've made in the last 6-months period. So firstly, in terms of our own websites, and our own websites are only part of our online strategy, but in terms of our own websites, we want to get to 15% to 20% of our total group sales going through our own websites. Those sales are well above average margins, they will take up our group margins. In terms of progress, in the last 6 months, we've added another 15% growth on top of all the growth we made last year when retail was shut. And we've also taken our gross margins up by 900 basis points at the same time through higher average pricing. In the period, our website sales -- our own website sales represented about 12% of the group sales. We're delighted with the performance we've had during this period, hanging on to the gains we made last year, keeping those gains and growing again despite retail, physical retail reopening. The performance improvements we made to our sites in America, in our American market last year, we relaunched all of our websites in October last year has really shone through this year, and we're seeing much improved site performance from our U.S. websites this year, which is great. We've launched a new Canadian website in July of this year. And again, at the end of the half, we launched a new Wax Lyrical U.S. website, too. There's a huge road map of work going on, and we're partway through that, and I'm going to come and talk to some of the key parts of that in a moment. If we move on now to our wider online and digital strategy, so outside of our pure own website sales. Again, our target is to take our U.S. and U.S. markets, which account for roughly 2/3 of the group sales to a level of more than 50% penetration through online channels. And that will be a massive shift from where we were 2 or 3 years ago where we were very, very focused in physical retail. In the period that we're reporting on today, we've now reached 51%. It's the first time we've gone through that 50% barrier. I think there's further gains in these channels to come. So we're delighted with that progress. And again, what we're seeing on retailer websites that we are present on is that we are hanging on to and growing the online channels and getting the benefit of the physical stores reopening as we go through this pandemic, which is fantastic. Customer list, another important part of what we do, our own customer list, our own consumer customer list, as I said, we have a high percentage of customers that buy from us and then come back. And so our focus on growing those lists is important. We've added another 60,000 in 6 months and 120,000 customers over the last 12 months throughout our traffic acquisition strategies. So again, a good performance in terms of online channel penetration. And then finally, in this area, I just want to look at where we are on this journey. I'm not going to go through this road map in a huge amount of detail, but really, just to get over the breadth and how comprehensive the transformation that we are pushing through our business in terms of people, in terms of systems, both front end and back end, in terms of new websites in terms of our warehouses, building additional direct-to-consumer ship capabilities and developing our data systems so that we can better service our new consumers, our direct-to-consumers in the future. As I said, in terms of the last 6 months, we've made progress on this road map. We've launched new websites in Canada, a new website in the U.S. for Wax Lyrical. We are underway with some very big pieces of work in terms of new product information management systems. We've launched and we're working on a significant overhaul for all of our U.K. websites right now, and hopefully, they will be ready to launch in the first quarter of next year. We learned a lot from the work we did relaunching the U.S. websites last year, and we expect to get the same level of performance improvements on the U.K. websites when they go live next year. We're also partway through projects on implementing new eCRM data systems and e-mail campaign systems, so a lot of work going on there. And then on the back end in terms of delivering to the consumer, we have a big project going on right now in our warehouse in Stoke in the U.K. So it's going to more than double the capacity we have to ship direct-to-consumer and drop-ship orders, not only for our own website but for some of the retailer websites where we do the order for them. And we're engaged with our U.S. warehouse and systems to add similar capacity improvements and efficiencies as well in that part of the world. So very comprehensive road map. We're making good progress. We're happy where we are. This has always been about a 3- to 4-year program, and so we're in a good place. So moving on from digital and online to second big area of focus in terms of driving sales, new product launches, new product vitality. My challenge 18 months ago to our teams was I wanted more contribution from new products in more areas where we operate. And I'm really pleased that despite the pandemic, we've managed to launch great new products so far this year. And indeed, that new product has contributed more than 10% of the group sales in the period. Launches have included our new Sophie Conran Portmeirion range that complements a very successful range that we have around the world already with that partnership and there's a photo in the center there. Also new ranges for Spode, Creatures of Curiosity on the left-hand side, has been a big new launch for us and has worked and resonated really well with the end Spode consumer, too. All parts of our business have had successful product launches, and we expect this engine to continue through the second half with some Christmas lines as well as into next year. Moving on to the next area of our strategy, which is about driving and developing new rest-of-world export markets to complement the positions we have in the U.K., U.S. and South Korea. I think the real headline here is having reset the teams and reset the focus kind of 12 to 18 months ago, it's really pleasing to see that in the period we're reporting, we're now 40% up in these rest-of-world markets on where we were pre-COVID, and that's a really good start to generating growth. Where is this coming from? Well, we're pleased with progress in the Middle East, within Europe, Germany and Scandinavia. We've just signed up a new distributor actually in China, so it won't be in these numbers, in the last couple of weeks. We've been working on this for about 6 or 7 months. That distributor will be responsible for taking all of our brands out within the Far East and the Chinese market. As Dave said, in Canada, we acquired, last year, the joint venture distributor that we had in the Canadian market. That market has been locked down in the first half of this year in terms of physical retail but we've launched new websites. We've integrated that into our business very successfully, and we're very confident of getting a very good return on that acquisition in the coming months and years. So moving off export growth into the next area, which is about leveraging some of our new brands, and I'll talk briefly here about Wax Lyrical, our home fragrance business. Again, a made in U.K. brand, factory based up in Cumbria in the North of England. Tough first half in this division in the U.K. It's a U.K.-centric business at the moment and obviously, impacted by the most recent lockdowns we had in January through April. What that meant was that many of our customers were shut and this business has a lower level of online penetration at this stage than our tableware businesses. We've managed to get that online penetration from close to 0 up to about 20%. But that 20%, if you remember, compares to the sort of 51% average we have across the U.K. and U.S. So we have some way to go. The good news is that retail obviously in the U.K. has reopened and as it has reopened, our order books have started to swell again in terms of where we are now in the second half. We're pleased with where our order books are for this business, and they're ahead of where we were last year at this stage. In addition, we've spent the last 9 months investing in a new part of the factory there, a new production process to give us access to a new revenue stream, and that is to make Hand & Body products under the Wax Lyrical brand, hand soaps, hand pump soaps, hand pump lotions and cleansers. There's a couple of pictures there on the third -- on the right-hand side of those new parts of the factory. We had some delays in getting this over the line due to COVID and contractors having to go off and self-isolate due to the pandemic and also delays to getting these very crucial electronic chipboards, chipsets. They're in such short supply around the world at the moment. But we finally completed that end of August. We've now started production in the first half of September and indeed, in the last week or so shipped first orders, which is great to our first U.K. customers. So that's going to give us access in the future to a new and interesting category and potential revenue stream. Okay. So that section in our strategy is about how we're progressing with these key areas of strategic focus from a sales point of view, how do we accelerate our sales and top line growth. I now want to turn to what we're doing within our operations, how we are going to drive that operating margin gain that I talked about earlier. And really, it's about investing in our factories in terms of efficiency, taking our capacity out so we can get more output through as the growth comes in. Again, our target here in our factories is to take 10% cost per unit out by year 3, where in year 2 of that plan, there's a detailed road map here, and I won't go through it line by line. You can look at it off-line. But again, we're making substantial progress. In addition to the initiative that went live during last year at the top of this sheet, we have 3 or 4 programs that have gone live this year or about to go live. Heat release automation adds key capacity within our Stoke factory as well as efficiency in cost of unit savings. Clay lifting automation, the same and gives health and safety benefits. In-line spraying automation, again, gets us more efficient, enables us to put more product down key parts of our factory. That went live at the end of August. And I've already mentioned the Wax Lyrical, Hand & Body extension. These are big pieces of CapEx investment for us. They will have a long-term benefit to the business. It's been tough delivering capital projects in factories because of COVID, again, keeping contractors on site because of the pandemic, but also the shortage in key electronic circuit boards. But we are either there or very close to being there on all these 3 or 4 projects, and they will benefit us back end of this year, but particularly next year. In terms of what this means in terms of financial progress, then I think we're on track end of this year to be at a cost base cost per unit around 5% below where we were when we started. And we're also -- believe we're on track by the end of year 3, end of next year to be 10% down. At the same time, we'd have built a significant amount of extra capacity that will enable us to grow the business. Okay. So that is a quick tour through the progress we've made on the key parts of our strategy, both the sales-facing parts as well as our operating parts. I now want to move on to sustainability and ESG. We have a great track record in this area. Clearly, we're very aware as a manufacturer, as a business that ships product around the world, the impact that we have on the environment and the communities that we both operate in and sell in. As I say, we've had a track record over many years of getting better. And this year is no exception. A number of new initiatives being put in this year, both in terms of reducing plastic packaging within some of our factories; also in terms of recycling and recirculating, improving heat flow within our Stoke factory and the kilns that we have that fire the product. And that's got us to a place in the last couple of months where we are now 10% better in terms of our energy efficiency per tonne and lower carbon emissions per tonne, which was a great improvement. We're going to continue to work and develop in this area. And in fact, we're working right now with a consultancy on auditing all of our supply chains globally in terms of impact on the environment, so not only our suppliers, but our suppliers' suppliers and really following right back to first principles. And once we have that map and that audit, then we can set some challenging ambitions in this area for how we again improve and reduce our impact on the environment while growing the business. Within people, worth saying that we've continued to work safely and really look after our teams, keeping everyone safe during the COVID pandemic. Our factories, our warehouses are operating at full capacity, which is fantastic and in a COVID-safe way. And I'm really delighted in the U.K. that for the first time this month, we've achieved Platinum Investor in People accreditation. I think only 4% of people that are accredited are Platinum, so it's great to be in that small group of people that have reached the highest level. Okay. So that's sustainability and ESG. If you want to move on, Dave, I want to try and pull all of this together and then we'll ask for questions. And Dave and I will try and get to as many questions as we can. I can see that a number of questions have already come through. So thank you for those. So in terms of our first half, again, just to reiterate, we're delighted with the sales number. It is a record for the group for the first half despite ongoing drag from COVID and closures of retail in certain parts, particularly U.K. and as I said, Canada. I think the fact that our like-for-like sales are now comfortably up on 2019, pre-COVID, is really a good indicator of the change and the potential that we are building into our business through those kind of strategic programs that I've just updated on. We're sitting on good and strong order books for the second half, which is great. We are a seasonal business. We do more volume in the second half and produce more profit in the second half in a typical year. We are cognizant of the challenges that I talked about right at the start in terms of supply chain disruption, moving products around the world, inflation in global shipping rates as well as short-term labor shortages and pressure on labor rates. We have dealt with that very well so far. We have built those short-term on costs that we can see into our second half forecast and again, are recommitting to hitting our full year expectations. At the same time as executing on our sales and our profit, obviously, we are making a significant investment in our business for the future. We're investing roughly 3x our historic average run rate in terms of capital projects, both on front end, online digital systems, but particularly in our factories and warehouses to develop capacity and efficiency for future growth. I think that's fantastic. Because of that, again, we're confident of the future. We're confident that we're going to be delivering sustained sales growth and improved operating margins. We've talked about, as we've gone through this presentation, those targets that we're aiming for. We have a strong balance sheet, and we are delighted to commit to resuming dividends for this year as well. So that's our overview. What we're going to do now is I'm going to pass you back to Mark from IMC for a moment and give you a chance to log any questions on the right-hand side of the screen, and then Dave and I will come back and hopefully, ask -- answer as many of those questions as we can get to. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#5

[Operator Instructions] We'd like to remind you the recording of the presentation along with a copy of the slides and the published Q&A can be accessed via Investor Dashboard on the Investor Meet Company platform. I'd also like to remind you that your feedback is important to the company. Immediately after the presentation has ended, you'll be redirected for the opportunity to provide feedback in order that the company can better understand your views and expectations. Mike, David, obviously, we have had a number of questions come through from investors today. If I may just hand back to you to click on that Q&A tab and just start at the top and, where appropriate to do so, just read out the question and give your response please.

Michael Raybould

executive
#6

Thank you very much, Mark. Thank you. So thank you for all your questions and please, do add to those as we get on the list. And as I say, we've got time in this presentation. Hopefully, we can answer as many of them as we can. The first question is what do we mean by like-for-like when we're talking about sales growth? Well, by like-for-like, we are excluding the benefit of acquisitions that might be in one period and not the other. So when we report 7% like-for-like growth over 2019 pre-COVID, we're actually discounting the benefit of the Nambé business that we bought in the second half of 2019 and discounting the benefit of the Canadian acquisition we made in 2020. The next question is about direct website sales. Where do we want to get to in terms of revenue? What is the impact of margin? And what do we do in other geographies? So our target for our own website sales is to get to 15% to 20% of the group sales going through our own websites. So we're at 12% now, and that's a massive advance on where we were 2 or 3 years ago. The benefit of that as well as revenue growth is also that it will drive up our average margins. On average, at kind of a net margin level, after the additional cost of kind of warehouse picking and parcel shipment, our own website sales are roughly 15% above average margins in the group, which is fantastic. Obviously, that differs a little bit by range, but that's what's the average is. Do we operate direct sales in websites and other geographies? Our key websites at the moment are in the U.K. and the U.S. We have a small European website that collects some orders in some of those markets. But at this stage, we are focused on the U.K. and the U.S. We may expand that later on in our road map. But right now, it's the U.K. and the U.S. where we're investing. The next couple of questions are about date of dividend and are we concerned about energy price rises? So I'm going to let Dave step in and pick those up.

David Sproston

executive
#7

Okay. Thanks, Mike. So yes, the dividend date, the final dividend will need to be approved by shareholders at the AGM. The date of the AGM is the 19th of May 2022. So it was -- it's typically the following week that any dividend would be paid, so final dividends will be going to the AGM for the usual shareholder approval. Rise in energy prices. Gas and electricity, we actually hedge against that, and we bought the main gas and electricity contracts out until the end of the first quarter of 2024. So in the short term, there is minimal risk in terms of energy price increases. Obviously, going further out in the medium term, if there is an ongoing uplift for the next 5 to 10 years, then it will be an impact, but certainly not in the next 2 to 2.5 years when we're on a fixed contract.

Michael Raybould

executive
#8

Okay. Thank you, Dave. The next question is about us entering the Canada market website relaunch and what plans we have for this market. So we've had a long-term joint venture distribution partner for Canada. We bought that partner out in the second half of last year. The first half of this year, the Canadian market generally has been locked down by the Canadian government. I think it's been one of the toughest lockdowns anywhere in the world. What we've spent that time doing is starting to develop our online sales channels in that market. The Canadian market is very similar to the North American market, where obviously our products are very successful. So we see a great synergy there in terms of where we think demand should be able to go. We've developed -- started developing online sales channels. We're doing that using our North American -- existing North American team. So we're leveraging the benefit and skills that we have, particularly in our New Jersey offices over our Canadian market now rather than hiring fresh in the Canadian market. We have launched a Canadian website in the last couple of months. We are going to start working that, acquiring traffic and building up our own website channel. We're also now servicing more retailer websites. So for example, Hudson's Bay is a massive retail chain and big customer, important customer for us in Canada, will be increasingly working with retail partners on their own websites as well. What visibility -- the next question is what visibility do we have on our various revenue streams? I'm not sure whether that means future revenue streams or whether it means kind of till sales out. So I think that we collect a lot of data now, particularly in the U.K. and the U.S., on what I call sales out. So obviously, we know what we sell in to customers, but if that's not the end customer, the end consumer, and it's an intermediary retailer or another retailer's website, then we collect sales out data, which is the sales out to the end consumer. And obviously, we track that sales out data every week, and we compare it to previous periods. So that gives us a good guide about how well our products are selling out, and we're very comfortable with the data we're seeing there and the growth we're seeing in online channels. There's a question about our plans with regard to hand sanitizer and how we compete. Do we want to compete with overseas suppliers? So I think this refers -- in last year, 2020 numbers, we -- and during the first and second lockdowns in the U.K., we were able to convert part of our Wax Lyrical factory in Cumbria to make, in the short term, hand sanitizer. We supplied some of the NHS Trusts in Northern England, some retail customers, and we're a good -- and happy to help with the community into the care homes. That was great. That business has been commoditized and we've not really repeated that business so much this year. We still do a little bit of business. What we have done though is worked on the learnings from that exercise and built out Hand & Body production lines for that business. In terms of how we take this going forward and competing with overseas supplies, there is a huge amount of very cheap product that comes in from China and whatever in hand sanitizer, and it's hard to compete with that if the procurer of that simply wants the cheapest supply. We obviously have marketed our product as being made in England, not having a carbon footprint and having very short lead times. But I think the honest answer is that I think a large part of the NHS still but -- unfortunately, buy Chinese supply. Are we looking at new warehouse sites is a question? Right now, for the U.K. and the U.S., the answer is no. Although as we've gone through investment projects to look at expanding our online facilities and capacity in our warehouses, we have looked at the choice between increasing the size of our own warehouses versus going somewhere else. And at the moment, the investments we're making are in growing the capabilities of our existing warehouses. Do we expect to see a further increase in cost in the next 6 months due to disruption? I think that means supply chain. Absolutely. As I said earlier, we have baked into our forecast for the second half, higher costs in terms of global shipping, higher costs in terms of short-term seasonal labor that we bring on to make the peak factory production, peak warehouse. As we're baking those in, they will be of a magnitude of somewhere around GBP 1 million. Most of these cost increases, we think, will be transitory, temporary and will soften as we go into next year. And we will, obviously, and right now are looking at our own sales prices in terms of balancing any cost pressures that come through and being able to pass that on to the market. Next question is on outside of our core markets, U.K., U.S., South Korea. The rest of our business is around 11%. Where would we all like to get that to? Okay. That's a tough question. So we do want to grow, and we can definitely see the ability to grow our core markets, U.K., U.S. and South Korea. That's the first thing to say. In terms of developing our rest-of-world markets, and I talked about some of the geography that we were particularly focused on, Middle East, parts of Europe, including Germany and Scandinavia, China, where we've just landed a new major new distributor, Australia and Canada are also countries that we want to go to. In terms of where that's going to go to and that 11% will definitely go up because I see some of that rest-of-world geography growing faster than our core markets. But in terms of the exact ambition, I don't have an exact ambition other than I expect that rest of world to grow faster than the rest of the business. Are your targets for growth based on existing brand or more acquisitions? Our targets for growth and our guidance that we give in terms of forecast to brokers to form consensus expectations are based on the business we have now, the brands we have now. We have 6 great brands in the business, and I think we have a huge opportunity to do a lot more with those brands in the ways that I've described. Online channel penetration, new geography, new products and going after new categories like gifting. That really is where our focus is. If in 18 months' time, we really have made a step change in that, and we see an acquisition that would really drive our strategy forward, then we would look at it. But right now, our priority is making the most out of the brands that we have. A couple more questions unless something else comes through. Can we expand on the inflationary challenges you're facing and how long you see them impacting the business? Again, I think that's about the supply chain pressures that are well publicized at the moment. I have just talked about that in another question. But we are seeing them in terms of short-term seasonal labor around the world, we're seeing them in supply chain shipping, global shipping freight, packaging costs. Again, we're dealing with them, we've been able to mitigate those cost rises so far. They will impact us in the second half. We're happy that we can still make our full year expectations. And we think that those pricing -- that inflation will come soften and we're already seeing actually some of the global shipping rates just start to come off at peaks in the last couple of weeks, which is important. And as the U.K. furlough scheme has begun to unwind the last 2 weeks, we're now seeing considerably more labor coming against some of the vacancies that we have in our factories and warehouses. Right. Are we being affected by the shortage of HGV drivers? That's hard to say. Absolutely, in the U.K. and the U.S., there is a shortage of drivers. It affects everybody, not just us. It is causing some short-term disruption, but not in a way that I think is going to impact our sales number this year. And then another question, final question: do we use any influencers? I think this is social media influencers, particularly. We are starting down that route and Indeed is now working with a number of influencers, both in the U.K. and the U.S. And that was the final question. So look, really, really appreciate the people that have put questions up. I hope that Dave and I managed to give you a satisfactory answer and that through the whole presentation and the Q&A, you've got a good feeling for what we're doing, how we're executing on our strategy and the exciting future that we think we have for all our brands. Thank you. Thank you very much, everybody, for joining in. This is a safe presentation. The Q&As get written up, I think, and can be accessed later on, should you need to see them.

Operator

operator
#9

Absolutely. Mike, David, thank you so much again for addressing all those questions we've had through from investors. If any further questions do come through, of course, the company will be able to review those. And as Mike said, we'll publish all responses where appropriate to do so on the platform. Mike, thank you very much for that. Nice and succinct to wrap up as well. So thank you both for updating investors today. Could I please ask investors not to close the session as you'll be automatically redirected for the opportunity to provide your feedback in order that the management team can better understand your views and expectations. This will only take a few moments to complete and will be greatly valued by the company. So on behalf of the management team of Portmeirion Group PLC, we'd like to thank you for attending today's presentation. That concludes today's session. Thank you, and good morning.

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