Praxis Precision Medicines, Inc. (PRAX) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
August 6, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorGood day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Praxis Precision Medicine Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to our first speaker today, Daniel Ferry, Managing Director of LifeSci Advisors. Daniel, please go ahead.
Daniel Ferry
attendeeGood morning, and welcome to the Praxis Precision Medicines Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Business Update Conference Call. This call is being webcast live and can be accessed on the Investors section of Praxis' website at www.praxismedicines.com. Please note that remarks made during this call may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These may include statements about the company's future expectations and plans, clinical development time lines and financial projections. While these forward-looking statements represent Praxis' views as of today, they should not be relied upon as representing the company's views in the future. Praxis may update these statements in the future, but is not taking on an obligation to do so. Please refer to Praxis' most recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for a discussion of certain risks and uncertainties associated with the company's business. Joining us on today's call are Marcio De'Souza, President and Chief Executive Officer of Praxis; and Tim Kelly, our Chief Financial Officer. After providing updates on our key programs, we'll move to a brief Q&A session where Marcio and Tim will be joined by Steve Petrou, President of Research and Development; and Megan Sniecinski, Chief Operating Officer. With that, it's my pleasure to turn the call over to Marcio. Marcio?
Marcio Souza
executiveThank you, Dan. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining Praxis Second Quarter 2026 Conference Call. Three months ago, I told you this would be the year Praxis become a commercial company. This quarter is the one where that stopped being a plan and started materializing into the organization. We have two NDAs in late-stage review with the FDA with both approvals expected in about six months. It's extremely exciting to bring both ulixacaltamide to ET patients and relutrigine to SCN2A and SCN8A patients. We have commercial leadership in place, a field force for the first launch hires and train and a distribution network established and inventory being built. I want to spend most of my time today on some key regulatory developments and what we have been building. Let me start with ulixacaltamide. Essential tremor affects over 7 million Americans, and there is still no FDA-approved therapy developed specifically to treat the condition. With the potential approval coming up by January next year, ulixacaltamide is poised to change that. Speaking about the NDA review, the FDA completed its mid-cycle communications with us and are very pleased with the progress and discussions with the agency. In that meeting, the agency identified no efficacy-related significant issues and stated that it does not plan to request an advisory committee meeting. I would characterize the discussion as expected and very forward-looking. On the commercial build itself, leadership is in place and all core capabilities are where we expect it to be at this stage. We will be ready ahead of PDUFA to launch ulixacaltamide for ET patients. We're set up for a very successful launch and continue to think many years in the future as we intend to continue to serve patients with ET and other neurological conditions. As part of that, you should expect updates from us in the near future about life cycle opportunities for T-type calcium channel inhibitors. One of those steps is the collaboration we just announced with Remagine Labs, which would extend the reach of ulixacaltamide further. Their work is about expanding the value for patients and practice way beyond the initial launch year. Turning to Relutrigine. SCN2A and SCN8A are among the most severe epilepsies we know of, seizure onset in infancy, profound developmental delays and no approved treatment. The addressable population is roughly 10,000 patients in the United States. As we disclosed last quarter, we submitted additional sensitivity analysis of existing clinical data and the FDA deemed that submission a major amendment. And the review period was extended with a new PDUFA target now of December 27 this year. In the mid-cycle meeting for relutrigine, very similarly to ulixacaltamide, as I just discussed, the agents also confirmed they do not intend to hold an advisory committee meeting. If approved, relutrigine would be the first therapy for SCN2A and SCN8A-DEE and would be eligible for a pediatric review voucher. Just like for ulixacaltamide, launch preparation here is further along than the calendar might suggest. Commercial and medical teams are fully hired, the supply chain is established, and we have built a comprehensive patient support program, all pointing to a very structured and successful launch. The broader opportunity keeps getting clearer. Enrollment in EMERALD, our study in broad DEEs exceeded its target with approximately 200 patients enrolled spanning more than 50 distinct genetically defined etiology, amongst many others not genetically defined. There is a trial population that did not exist as a cohort even five years ago. Assuming the study will be positive and the initial review for relutrigine in SCN2A/SCN8A also positive, EMERALD would serve as the base for supplemental NDA approval in 2027. It's also worth mentioning a quick regulatory update that spans both programs. During the quarter, the FDA conducted a BIMO inspection of Praxis as a sponsor for both ulixacaltamide and relutrigine applications. The scope was very comprehensive, including corporate and clinical operations, safety, reporting, data integrity, statistical analysis and the interim analysis for both programs amongst other areas of the BIMO program. We're incredibly pleased that the inspections concluded without any findings and therefore, no Form 483 was issued. Considering how complex both programs are with multiple studies and the first in its kind decentralized study for ET as well as the interim analysis, we're extremely pleased with the outcome of the inspections. One note on how it communicates from now on. Given the stage of discussions on both applications, we do not intend to provide further regulatory updates until the expected action date. I would ask you to read our silence between now and January as discipline rather than a signal of any kind. Let me turn to vormatrigine. In June, we reported top line results from POWER1 in a highly refractory focal onset seizure population. As you know, the study did not meet its primary endpoint of reduction in monthly focal seizures frequence from baseline to week 12. It did meet a key secondary endpoint with a significantly greater proportion of patients with vormatrigine achieving at least 50% reduction in seizure frequency. That result tells you something specific, and we have spent the last several weeks making sure we took the right lessons from it rather than the comfortable one. The responder findings say the drug is doing something real in a population where very little works. The primary endpoint miss say our dose and a few elements of our design were not matched to the question we are asking. Those are design problems and therefore, fixable. We're finalizing the plans to amend and revamp both POWER2 and POWER3, informed directly by what POWER1 taught us about the dose and entry criteria, and we intend to have both studies up and running by the fourth quarter of this year. We will further describe the amendments and impact on the design once they are final in the very near future. Switching gears to elsunersen. In June, the FDA granted us BTD designation for elsunersen for seizures associated with SCN2A DEE caused by gain-of-function variant based on the results of the EMBRAVE Part A study. That's our third breakthrough designation since July last year. Three designations across three different assets on two different platforms. It's basically unheard of for a company like Praxis. We're taking advantage of the access to the FDA that the designation give us and discussing a comprehensive plan with the agency in the near future. Parallel to that, EMBRAVE3 continues to enroll well with top line results expected next year. We're incredibly pleased with all the progress made in all fronts this quarter, and we look forward for a successful rest of the year. Let me now turn the call to our CFO, Tim Kelly. Tim?
Tim Kelly
executiveThank you, Marcio, and good morning, everybody. Thank you for joining today's call where you've heard about the good updates that we have going on. I'll provide a quick summary of our second quarter financials. In Q2, our operating expenses were $96.9 million with $69.4 million of that for R&D and the remaining $27.5 million for G&A, which compares to $76 million in operating expenses for the Q2 period in 2025. During the second quarter, Praxis spent $78 million in operating cash compared to $55 million in the second quarter of 2025, with the increase reflecting greater spend in both R&D and G&A. We expect G&A will pick up more in the second half of this year to support our planned upcoming launches. This will be driven by adding two teams of commercial field-facing headcount, rolling out disease state awareness campaigns, building sufficient inventory and ensuring solid business systems and infrastructure. We ended the second quarter with $1.4 billion in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities compared to $926 million as of December 31, 2025. And we maintain that this is adequate to support our runway into 2028. With that, I will hand the call back over to Marcio.
Marcio Souza
executiveThank you, Tim. Really appreciate the update. Now we're going to move into Q&A. Operator?
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Yasmeen Rahimi from Piper Sandler.
Yasmeen Rahimi
analystCongrats on an incredible update that I think was very, very timely and important to us, especially as some there have been creating some noise around AdCom. So thank you for letting us know that you had a successful mid-cycle review along with inspection. Given now that, that is behind us, maybe help us understand sort of with the sales team that is being hired for relutrigine, what is the phenotype of the sales force that you have in place? What is the size of it? And how do you see the cadence of hiring for ulixacaltamide?
Marcio Souza
executiveThanks, Yas. I absolutely share the sentiment that you just expressed there, right, like incredibly complex programs, as we discussed on the remarks, to actually check all the boxes, collaboration with the FDA has been exceptional. The real questions we got throughout have really been, I would say, very straightforward and really very similar to what we've been discussed before publicly. So, we checked that box quite nicely as well. And of course, the cherry on top, it's always good to get the FDA in the house, checking everything, making sure that they agree. We always knew we're doing everything correctly, but that they agree with our assessment that from data integrity, documentation, communications, procedures, safety of subjects in the studies, everything was checked there. So we turn a page to talk about what we really like talking about that the millions and millions of Americans that are not served currently in the United States. We've been very diligent hiring a world-class sales, marketing, market access, medical, of course, Tim at Praxis. And I can say this is probably an opportunity of a lifetime if you are in one of those positions to launch these drugs to transform patients' lives. But I'll hand over to Megan to discuss a little bit the phenotype and what we are seeing in the stage we are.
Megan Sniecinski
executiveThanks, Marcio. So yes, as Marcio was sharing, right, not unexpectedly, these are hot launches upcoming. They each represent the first targeted therapies for indications with huge unmet need. So it's allowed us from a hiring perspective to be very selective and we're incredibly pleased with the caliber of the talent. So certainly, from the phenotype individuals with multiple launch experience, the rare neuro space, the hunters that are going to go out there and really do a phenomenal job for us. And in the case of relutrigine, now we've got the team hired and trained. So we have the next few months to really be active in doing the account profiling, which will set us up quite well from a launch readiness perspective. And then the ulixacaltamide field force build-out is well underway and also on track for where we'll be from a launch perspective.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Ritu Baral of TD Cowen.
Ritu Baral
analystMarcio, I wanted to dig down into your comment about the mid-cycle view, let mid-cycle review meeting, if you let me. You mentioned the word forward-looking. I guess, first, could you comment on if there were any surprises during the meeting? Any new topics that were unexpected? And two, I guess, how do you define what you're calling forward-looking? Have you been able to discuss what we spoke of previously, which is the potential inclusion of alternate titration regimens to improve the ulixacaltamide experience. And if I could ask a quick follow-up to that last point, the ulixacaltamide experience, what aspects of commercial launch prep are you preparing to optimize that commercial experience to optimize compliance?
Marcio Souza
executiveYes, absolutely. I appreciate the vagueness of what forward-looking might be there. So I'll take that one. But it was not meant to be vague, it was really meant to be, when you look into forward-looking here in the context of this application, right? So we are late stage now approval, labeling, promotion, like making sure these patients have access. I think that that's what I meant by that in the conversation. I would say, Ritu, the conversation itself in the room, it's a rare type of feeling when you are in a discussion with the FDA, at least in my view, what you actually feel very peaceful. And that's the way I would describe how I felt on that discussion where they know for a fact that they will be incredibly transparent, like collaborations be incredibly high. And really all the elements that are necessary to make a decision have been on the table. So on your sub question about surprise, I would say, not really, maybe my surprise on the meeting is just how much of the discussion turns into proper use, I was going to call of the drug. And by proper use is when you discuss labeling and things like that normally later in the process, all you're really trying to do is proper use, right? So when you're actually marching towards proper use in conversations like this, I consider exceptionally positive, the discussions, the level of collaboration and integration and the understanding of the application, the depth and the breadth of the discussion, the number of people in the meeting, the presence of leadership and the support from leadership, all of that, what I meant is it is an application that matters for them as much as it matters for us, and it was good to see that overall. The topic of titration did come up to your point, that's completely expected, right, is something we propose to have. And once again, I was positively surprised by how much like further along our alignment is on that regard. While I cannot and should not predict what's going to end up saying on a label, I can tell you right now unequivocally that there is a very good understanding that when patients start ulixacaltamide, they will sometimes in about 20% of the case, have like some tolerability issues that does not transfer to safety issues. But if they stay on that, that goes away and they have this quite phenomenal, in my view, right, efficacy that is just not there for any other compounds. And any reasonable person, and I think that is incredibly reasonable and certainly, we believe we are, we'll look into that as an opportunity to maximize the suffering on this incredibly difficult indication by figuring out a way for patients to get there. And I think we're really, really close to figuring that out. How this translates to commercial, and I'm going to hand back to Megan on this as well, right? You can imagine that 70% of the patients on 7 million or even 2 million or 3 million at launch, anyone would say plenty for a very, but we want every patient to have the best possible experience and you want to make sure every patient stay on drug if they desire to and if their physicians believe they should. So maybe Megan can talk a little bit about what we are doing there.
Megan Sniecinski
executiveSure. Thanks, Marcio. So maybe just to recap again, the focus out of the gates for the launch will absolutely be on ensuring the high-quality first experience so that we build the physician confidence and ensure that we have that durable patient persistence. I think in the context from the provider's perspective and as we've been doing advisory boards and also engaging with the physicians, I think it starts with them setting up that first conversation with clear expectations. And what they're, as they see the ulixacaltamide data, right, the ability to tell a patient, there's going to be a rapid onset of effect, right, with a meaningful change and that there might be some tolerability issues, which as we hear from the neurologists, they're very comfortable with managing the patients through that. In terms of some patient programs and services that we're building, Tim mentioned in his remarks, we're well underway in establishing the infrastructure we need to support this. We're basically building a hub of the future, which is fully integrated from the front end to receive the prescription all the way pulling through the channel to ensure that we have line of sight to where we are with fulfilling that first Rx, but then also having certain programs and services on the SP, the pharmacy side with our integrated network to ensure that we're able to deliver the support to the patient to get them started on treatment as quick as possible and then titrate through those early weeks. So it's absolutely a priority for us, Ritu, and we're feeling really good about where we are with that build. And the excitement and enthusiasm from the physicians is there to get as many patients started on this therapy.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Francois Brisebois from LifeSci Capital.
François Brisebois
analystSo just on relutrigine, I was just wondering, I think you mentioned that there's about 50 separate genetic etiologies involved here. Would you say that the study population is relatively enhanced for indications which either have a history of sensitivity to sodium channel blockers or what not?
Marcio Souza
executiveYes. Thanks, Francois, for that. I'll hand over to Steven to discuss a little bit.
Steven Petrou
executiveYes. I mean, looking at the size of the trial, that spread of etiology is precisely what you would think to get when you look at the distribution of prevalence in that group of patients and the precise mix of people that we fully anticipate would be pharmacosensitive to a sodium channel mechanism is represented in that cohort.
François Brisebois
analystOkay. Great. And then you mentioned at all, can you comment on the powering of EMERALD here? I think based on the study number, is there like a placebo kind of level or median percent change that you're looking for testing?
Marcio Souza
executiveYes. With the caveat, I think that's a true like multi both genetically diversity and non-genetically diverse the DEE study has not been run so far, but there are many that we can borrow from. And when you go through that analysis, I think what we know is like there are kind of three levels here. So the first, when you look into the overall response and let's define whatever 50%, that benchmark is very clear. It's like very small for placebo. Of course, these patients are so severe. I'll give you a number. The median baseline countable seizures in EMERALD is over 50 or 28 days. So imagine that kind of burden and just how little it is the possibility that these patients are going to naturally regress, right? The second is, as we move upwards the ladder, like 75% response, 90% response, those numbers become like very ridiculously small for placebo. So as we are looking into the distribution, it was very simple, I would say, to model from our perspective. And I would say very straightforward, the expectation that you can imagine, as you heard from me before, you hear from Steven Petrou now, we're very pleased not only with the priority powering, but quite importantly, the posteriori mix of patients that are pharmacoensitive to the mechanism. So stay tuned soon to come up the results, but I think we should be as bullish as we are on what we're going to see on the other end.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Kevin Strang of Goldman Sachs.
Kevin Strang
analystI wanted to ask on for vormatrigine. You alluded to the design being more important versus the drug itself. Do you mind walking us through sort of some of the specific learnings from POWER1 on dose for design that gave you confidence to restart the program?
Marcio Souza
executiveYes, absolutely. So we're going to reserve, and I hope you don't see this as hedging because it's not like since we're going to be discussing this a little bit more in the future. But a couple of things as we look into like in a very detail and at the same time, keeping ourselves from seeing things that are not there a really disciplined approach to what we're going to do next, right? Looking about the value right now, at least external value for the company, one could argue 4/5 of the value is on ulixacaltamide and vormatrigine. So of course, there's a huge potential for upside and a huge residual value for vormatrigine, but we really want to measure. That's one of the reasons why we're not focus today's call on format. Dose clearly played a role. Duration at the dose clearly play a role. We sometimes say dose, it looks like it was only the 20 or the 30, but actually six weeks and six weeks play a role. And I would say a pretty significant role on that. I think a few other things that we're going to be hearing further, including the number of failures that was extremely high to prior medications that could be tightened up and a few things here and there. But every single parameter, maybe that's the matter we're going to give you with that we look into are very easy to adjust and to fix. And then once we do, without overstretching, without drinking the Kool-aid, without like seeing things that are not supposed to be seeing the effects on the other side for POWER2 and of course, eventually POWER3 are at or higher than what we would expect for this drug on those populations. So great way to look into this. We're finalizing a few things with internally and with our key advisers. You're going to see a fulsome update about that in the near future and we are starting up this study.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Tiago Fauth of Raymond James.
Tiago Fauth
analystJust on EMERALD, right? So for Dravet, conventional sodium channel blockers are counterindicated sometimes it can make seizures worse, yet you had really strong preclinical data in Dravet models, right? So what does that example tell you about the mechanism relative to conventional sodium channel blockers? And what does that imply about the potential to work across other DEEs? We've been getting a lot of questions on the enrichment criteria that you have on seizure burden be enough to offset some of the unknowns or risk from non-ion channel DEEs that can be in the mix of EMERALD. So how should we think about that overall?
Marcio Souza
executiveYes. Absolutely. I will start with and then hand over to Steve here, Tiago. The first is I find a little ironic, I'm going to say to be the classical me in calls like this, that no one asked about how many serotonergic mutations are when this is being discussed as serotonergic one, but it's very easy to say sodium channels for us. So maybe one must revisit their own understanding of neurobiology. But having said that, I'll hand over to the person who really knows neurobiology here. That's not me, that's Steve. Steve.
Steven Petrou
executiveThanks, Marcio. I think when you look at the role of sodium channels in determining the behavior of neurons normally and in epilepsy, clearly, they are the gatekeepers of excitability in a neuron. And because of that role, if the sodium channels themselves are altered in their behavior as a result of mutations as we saw in the INVOLVE study, they are a clear target. But beyond that, they are also the most downstream element in the etiology of other disorders that result in DEEs, whether it's other genetic mutations or acquired conditions. Because of that very unique role, they are also targets that where a lot of the physiology converges. So we've got a lot of confidence that it doesn't really matter what the etiology is. Even in the cases of loss of function, and there's always a lot of chatter about that. Clearly, even though we've lost sodium channel function as the primary mutation, we still have excitability issues. And the way to control excitability is through modulation of sodium channels. When the loss of function mutations occur, that can result in the upregulation of other elements in the neuron. So we're confident of that. Our preclinical data shows that. The initials, and this is all because sodium channels are concentrated in a very specific part of the neuron where the axon emerges called the Axon Initial Segment. It's a pretty much crystalline structure of sodium channels and other elements. And that is the little part of the neuron that decides from my experience from everything that's upstream, what am I going to do? How am I going to respond to that input? And we know that, that program is modulated a lot by sodium channel modulation. One other thing I want to say about sodium channels is the manner in which the sodium channel modulator interacts with the actual sodium channels themselves is very important. And we know we've talked about this a lot that the mechanism of action and the profile of relutrigine distinguishes itself from any other agent in the market now. And that was the initial therapeutic hypothesis we started with relutrigine, and we are following that through the trials right now.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Douglas Tsao of H.C. Wainwright.
Douglas Tsao
analystCongrats on the progress. I guess, Marcio, I just want to maybe start with vormatrigine for a minute because it was interesting that you sort of are going to be restarting both POWER2 as well as POWER3. I'm just curious, do you think that those two studies would be enough to support a potential filing just given the fact that they are going to be very different studies in terms of their design and what they're trying to demonstrate.
Marcio Souza
executiveNo. Thanks, Doug. Yes, we do. That's maybe the short answer to that. There are steps between now and then to have conversations with the agency and to discuss exactly which label potentially that would result. But the bottom line is both from a historical perspective and most importantly, from a policy perspective as it firms up right now and even considering like the progressive nature of the division that all epilepsy falls within right now as just restructured a couple of weeks ago, I think we feel incredibly bullish about it, but to be seen.
Douglas Tsao
analystOkay. And if I can ask a follow-up in terms of relutrigine. I'm just curious because, obviously, that program in particular with EMERALD is enrolling, and there's obviously the ulixacaltamide program ongoing as well. And I'm just curious if you have heard any feedback in terms from clinicians, if there's any kind of sort of pattern in terms of what types of patients they're referring to each particular study? Meaning is there any kind of sort of subconscious enrichment perhaps ongoing in terms of picking a study in which they think a patient might be best to respond to, just given the different MOAs of the drugs?
Marcio Souza
executiveI get it. And I would say we always had to take with a salt anecdotal conversations we have with one or two physicians here and there. But it is not unexpected, right, that you would say, like, let's say, we will start with serotonergics here. There are drugs approved. There are a lot of stuff that's been done on that space, hand-to-hand combat with multiple drugs for Dravet and LGS. Yes, people are going to try another drug, let's try on the ones that are there. I would humbly say that, yes, that's may be okay for a trial execution. It's a terrible strategy once we get to the market, but I'll leave it there. I think likewise, for us, the EMERALD right, as we said, like about 200 patients finished randomization like a while back. And it is kind of obvious by what Steve just mentioned that when you look into the final mix that either by chance or not, that it seems to be some of the most potentially like active on this mechanism historically. So whether or not there was a conscious or unconscious kind of segmentation when there were sites that were enrolled in both studies, it happens naturally. You fast forward a few years from now, both mechanisms work, right? I think we know that. And on a market with like anywhere between 200,000 and 400,000 patients, the discussion is bringing on 10 other mechanisms, right? Like this is number one, should be a dream for anyone on this space. It's an ability to help incredibly sick kids and young adults to control seizures. And any one of us, I think that one mechanism is going to do this should be institutionalized. So I think it is more than reasonable to expect that multiple mechanisms are going to be not, I keep going back to the same thematic. You heard me saying this 1,000 times I'm going to do 1,001. The zero-sum game idea in diseases and epilepsy is purely serving to people who don't want patients to get drugs. As long as it has nothing to do with either drug development or market potential. So if anything else, I'm going to say, I'm going to be cheering every day for Lundbeck to be incredibly successful just like you're going to be, so we all can help patients with these conditions.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Andrew Tsai of Jefferies.
Lin Tsai
analystThanks for all the great updates. Back to essential tremor, there really, to me at least, seems to be a chance maybe ET could be approved earlier than expected, especially if the mid-cycle review is done, inspections are done. Is it the right thinking that you will be entering final labeling discussions soon? Or if not, can you just remind us what the key steps generally are from here? And then how prepared would you guys be to launch in Q4 if there was an early approval? I appreciate you might not be able to share too much, but that's just thought I'd add.
Marcio Souza
executiveI appreciate it. So the next formal steps here are the quick late cycle discussion. I'll tell you that's in the books, label negotiations, that's in the books. So the reason why we mentioned in my prepared remarks is that we're not going to be giving updates. But you can imagine that this discussion as we move forward is very dynamic, right? There's a lot of back and forth. There's a lot of really cool discussions there. We set the goal to be ready for launch way ahead of the PDUFA multiple reasons. One, it's the right thing to do. Two, thanks to a lot of you listening to this call, we have the capital to do it. Three, I would challenge absolutely everyone in this call to name one market with millions of Americans that don't have a treatment right now that we're getting every single day request from physicians and patients to when is this drug going to be available. So it's just a responsible thing to do. So we'll be ready. We are basically ready and we're going to continue to be ready to maximize in the case of the great fortune that the agents finish the review earlier, and we are blessed with that approval earlier than the PDUFA.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Yatin Suneja of Guggenheim.
Yatin Suneja
analystAgain, excellent updates today. So just staying with the essential tremor. Could you maybe talk a little bit about the payer work you have done? Marcio, in the past have talked about pricing. I'd love to get the feedback that you are hearing from the payer perspective. And in terms of the step at it, how should we think about it? I mean, most people are on generic stuff. So there should not be much love to sort of understand all of those dynamics. And in terms of the commercial build-out, could you maybe outline for us when is that plan in terms of how big of the sales force you would need, all of that stuff?
Marcio Souza
executiveYes, absolutely. So from a payer perspective, very, very active. So we did a lot of prework to shape like our general understanding, of course, there is a lot of analytical work that can be done with done that benchmarking work. And we moved on the last several weeks to a different phase, right, where both proactively, we want to talk to some of those plan administrators. But I would say the latest wave is that they want to talk to us. And I would say there was a lot of those interactions. I would even argue I was positively surprised with, one, their understanding that absolutely, there's a need here and they're not going to put a lot of stuff and not a lot of blocks out in the way. The second is just like they want to be ready day one, just like we want to be ready day one. So that's good news. Our planning assumptions includes step edits through propranolol. Not at all, by the way, what we're hearing across the board is going to happen. It's just a prudent thing to do, we're looking into this. Now we know we did extensive work here from a medical perspective and claims and so on that a lot of these patients, they're just super cardiac or something else that it prevents them from ever going into a beta blocker. So about half of the market cannot medically take propranolol. One can call that low-hanging fruit, but I guess to call million patients low-hanging fruit to live with oxymoronic, so I'm not going to do that. So that is a very clear part of the market. I think the other part, they just have exposed to that. I'll remind everyone on the stratified predefined use of propranolol on the Essential3 study showing that on top of propranolol, ulixacaltamide is incredibly efficacious, right? And so there is really no restrictions here one way or another and welcome. Do we believe that in the long run, that's going to be needed to stay on both? No. But that's a belief. We welcome all the patients at day one here and physicians are incredibly excited about hearing that, which is normally what payers actually want to hear. So a lot of work is being done on the payer space. I know you asked about pricing. I think the more we talk to payers, the more we realize that our initial pricing assumptions are very well, I would say, grounded. We talked about a little bit over maybe $50,000 to $100,000 per year. There was a lot, as you know, from clients of yours and from people we talked to a little bit of pushback. In fact, we go that high. I think right now, while we're not going to disclose the price specifically, I think we're actually very confident that, that's the right range to operate in general.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Kambiz Yazdi of U.S. Bancorp BTIG.
Kambiz Yazdi
analystQuestion. How are you thinking about relutrigine's efficacy in EMERALD relative to what was observed in EMBOLD? From a biological level, how should we think about relutrigine's performance in broader DEEs compared to the SCN2A and SCN8A population?
Marcio Souza
executiveYes. So thanks, Kambiz. Good to hear from you. I would start with what is necessary and then what is possible. And I think those are two completely different things here, right? I mentioned earlier in the call on the background of seizure burden for these patients, right? Like it is absolutely insane. I cannot even imagine as a parent to have to deal with something like that. These patients tried and these parents tried everything they could possibly imagine on those. So logically, no matter what he wants to believe, reducing consistently a part of those seizures and therefore, statistical significance when you think about a study, that should be a bar, right? So the bar here is significance on the study. But of course, we want to go about much, much higher than the bar, right? So bar for success, no doubt whatsoever, physicians, patients are saying, help us control a little bit better. Let me give a little bit more hours without like being on top of these kids, nonstop afraid of complications to that, you name it. And that would be a big win. Biologically, though, by what Steven just discussed, there are reasons to believe that it could be similar, if not better than what you're seeing on EMBOLD. I think it's hard to imagine, right, being better than both, but we need to stay true to the science and to what we are seeing so far. We're going to discuss a lot more about this in the near future as well. But again, going to have to stay true to what is possible, not necessary, but we love nothing more than help these patients to an extreme.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Jay Olson of Oppenheimer.
Jay Olson
analystOn all the progress. We have another relutrigine question and just wanted to follow up on something that you've commented on in the past, Marcio, that you've seen in the pooled mask data from EMERALD that you've observed dynamics that are profoundly different from what a meta-analysis of historic DEE placebo groups could accommodate. Can you talk about the most important factor behind this observation? And how would you compare the information in proportion of patients with a 50% reduction versus 75% reduction versus 100% freedom from seizures?
Marcio Souza
executiveNo, thank you very much. I think that all those parameters you mentioned, right, this continues of response, 50%, 70%, 75%, 90%, 95%, whatever you want, 100 are incredibly important. We've been tracking and we've been, I would say, quite pleased about the entire distribution. Maybe one point here that we haven't discussed as much. It's quite interesting as well to see what happens when they transition to the open label. And study has been going on for a bit, and we enrolled relatively fast. So there's a very large proportion of patients that have multiple months now in the open label. So when you put all of that together, I say initial response was double blind, the information we're able to get from the open label, I would say they depart a lot from what historical expectations would be. And hey, who here hasn't been burned by the data, right, for the first rock. But, so I'm not saying this is like completely proof of any possibilities of not being a misread, but it is just very hard to believe that we would read this incorrectly considering how severe this disease is and how high the seizure burden is. So very happy across the board, but we're going to stay vigilant until the end of the study.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Ami Fadia of Needham & Company.
Ami Fadia
analystOn all the positive updates this morning. I had one question on ulixacaltamide and one follow-up on EMERALD. As you think about the uptake of ulixacaltamide, can you talk about the mix of patients that you expect across maybe the commercial Medicare, Medicaid setting? And where do you see the initial patients coming from? Is it sort of older patients that have been sort of suffering with ET for a very long time? Or do you also expect younger patients to start to take ulixacaltamide earlier in the launch? And then with regards to the EMERALD study, across the 50 etiologies that you talked about, from a mechanistic perspective, is there a reason to believe that the response rate would be similar? Or could it be varied across the different etiologies?
Marcio Souza
executiveYes. No, absolutely, This launch is going to likely have like several states. If you look into this, I believe we've been quite responsible defining the addressable population at the time of launch around two million patients. And that is mostly, I would say, 3/4 or so of those patients would be the Medicare, Medicare Advantage like arguably slightly older patients there. Maybe the phenomena that we are seeing more and more is the family members, right and the interest of those patients. And so I would say for the Phase II, very likely what we're going to see is like a migration continue to increase these patients on the 65 plus. was a lot of the 40 to 65 patients there. Of course, there's a different payer mix, the different dynamic on those patients. Maybe the part we don't talk as much about, we kept this number static, but it's not static, right? The population demographics in the United States and globally, but particularly in the United States is shifting quite a lot. And when you look into the prevalence of essential tremor in the overall population, it's a little bit about like 2%, 2.5%; when you get to 60s, that is about 2.5x the overall prevalence. And then about every 10 years after that, it doubles. So, we haven't discussed what you're going to hear us discussing a lot more is actually the completely organic growth of this market that is about double digits. And we just don't have drug launch on multimillion patient markets growing organically as a market double digits moving forward. So that changed a little bit the mix. I know you had a Emerald question there as well.
Tim Kelly
executiveThe efficacy across etiologists.
Marcio Souza
executiveThanks, Tim. of course, it's not going to be the same. Like I think my message here would tell me would remove my promise if I say it's going to be the same on a heterogeneous population. But we do expect that would be consistently positive. And I think that that's what we should be expecting at this point in time.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Brian Skorney of Baird.
Brian Skorney
analystMaybe if I could just kind of ask you to characterize some of the areas of the focus for the agency in the mid-cycle review meeting for ulixacaltamide, like who took the most time on the side of the FDA? Was it like the clinical review team, the stats group, the safety group? Is it mostly handed by the lead reviewer like are Emily Frelik and Theresa Buracchio in the meeting? And I don't know if this is something that comes across in the context of the mid-cycle review meeting, but any insight into FDA is thinking about whether or not they're going to look for DEA scheduling here?
Marcio Souza
executiveYes. So I would say those meetings are comprehensive, right? This is not exactly like, oh, they stayed quiet for several months and they come, and the meaning on us quite the opposite, right? There's been dialogue. And overall, it's an opportunity, as you might recall, when Senate with heavy lobby from the industry requested mid-cycle meetings to be implemented as part of a PDUFA reauthorization was to actually give us as the applicants an opportunity to have that discussion on how things are going. I would say very, very little on areas that are of, I would say, interest for people that don't have an interest on this drug getting to the market like some of your clients. A lot of the interest here was actually how to actually get this drug to help patients. All the areas were represented that you named there as is normally the case. of course, senior leadership was represented since this is not only an important application, but one with breakthrough designation. No drug approved mechanistically for essential tremor ever, only one approved. So you would imagine that, that fits exactly the agenda for the FDA from a public health perspective in the United States. And what I would say is, and as we said in the prepared remarks, which, by the way, we're legally obliged to be complete, as you know also, I find some of the questions, to be honest, a little bit annoying is that there was no major like comments here or there. So we see this as overall incredibly positive that we are. It's not over yet. It's never over. But one must take a stage we are, right? The questions before this call or what happens in the mid-cycle. Is the FDA going to have an Advisory Committee? Is this and that? So maybe it's time to flip the page towards how large of an opportunity the essential tremor is and burn the ships as one say in Carthage and start moving forward towards conquering awards.
Operator
operatorOur next question from Danielle Brill of Truist.
Unknown Analyst
analystThis is Alex on for Danielle. Another question on the mid-cycle reviews. Just given that you have these 2 mid-cycle reviews in close proximity, any noticeable differences in the tenor pushback, body language, et cetera, between the FDA reviews for ulixacaltamide versus relutrigine?
Marcio Souza
executiveI would say no on the body language. I think we all, that is a very collegial discussion throughout the group at the agents and ourselves and amplified by the fact that we are really the only company that probably know every person in the room by name and actually have a trust and report with each one of them because there are multiple INDs and multiple NDAs under review, much, much larger, right, as you can imagine, the application ulixacaltamide hydrochloride is so much larger. So there's a lot more people involved on that. But if anything, I'm a paranoid by nature person. So I never expect people to be very happy on meetings like this. But I venture to say that I think it's very common. As I said very peaceful and by language is incredibly positive across the board. And it reflects the collaboration throughout the review as one would expect.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from David Hoang of Deutsche Bank.
David Hoang
analystSo I want to go back to ulixacaltamide's potential commercial launch. Could you talk a little bit about the prescriber base for the drug and remind us if this will be primarily neuros writing for it? Or would a primary care doc, let's say, feel comfortable to write for this drug? And what size of sales force would you need to support a successful launch? And then if you could just remind us of your latest assumptions on peak sales for ulixacaltamide.
Marcio Souza
executiveSounds good. I'll start with the last part and I hand over to Megan. The peak sales here, I think we've been very conservative on when you look into the size of the opportunity in general, from a number of patients from not really having anything else, the growth we just mentioned that we have not been adding in general feedback from physicians. You name it, we set that for into around $10 billion for, and I would say the more we move forward, I think the more we feel comfortable that, that's really a fairly conservative number. Let me and I hand over to Megan to discuss the other topics.
Megan Sniecinski
executiveYes, absolutely. Thanks, David, for the question. So from a target perspective, you're right, neurologists are our focus coming out for the launch with us targeting them primarily because of their strong ET influence and just the patient volume. So with sort of a call target sizing in the 13,000 to 15,000 range, that puts us in a place of having a field force around 300. As I shared earlier at the start of the Q&A, we're well underway with our hiring. And again, the context we're heading into with the first targeted therapy huge unmet need and just the opportunity to have the most successful launch here in neurology. We're definitely attracting top caliber talent that want to be a part of this. So, and again, the focus for the build-out will allow us to be out in the field doing the account profiling. So we're very well prepared upon PDUFA.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Leonid Timichev of RBC Capital Markets.
Unknown Analyst
analystJosh on for Leo. So for the initial patient population that you'll be targeting for relutrigine, are you planning on going after the most severe patients? Or do you think you'll go more broadly earlier? And how might that play with how clinicians typically may use a novel seizure agent?
Marcio Souza
executiveYes. I would say to call any patient with this condition on severe, it's probably something I'm never going to be able to do it. So the population is the population here, right? We are still represented into the SCN2A Family Foundation meeting last week, and we had several updates after that and discussions with them and many clinicians gave us the feedback based on how they are waiting for this. Some of these hospitals in America Centers of Excellence have like very largest, either the largest or second largest cohorts of GEs they have. While we should never be, suffering is suffering and we shouldn't compare. But when you look into other GEs that there are three or four companies going after, they are way, way, way less severe and the majority of the patients are being treated there. So we don't see a segmentation per se here, but really careful use I don't think we would want for like everyone to just start right away without doing the proper assessment of these patients and making sure their background medications are optimized before getting into relutrigine. So that is what's going to dictate the launch. I think our medical education exchange discussions are going to focus on proper use because proper use is what leads to maximum penetration and maximum retention and of course, maximum benefit for patients. And the other parts that we're all interested is maximum revenues that can return to all of us and get more drugs to the market. So that is the strategy here. And I couldn't be more pleased to the feedback we're getting from physicians and patient groups.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Rudy Li of Wolfe Research.
Unknown Analyst
analystFor ulixacaltamide, so what gives you confidence that titration can help improve discontinuation in practice? Like what data evidence you have to support your titration proposal? And how should we think about discontinuation rates in the real world?
Marcio Souza
executiveYes. That is a fantastic question and one that we spent a lot of time ourselves and, of course, discussing with the agency. That is why I can't possibly go through every line of evidence here. One thing that is quite key that we haven't, and I'll take full responsibility for not actually discussing this properly publicly before is if the patient stay the odds of staying on drug and responding if you just say a day or two more a rising and tolerability are disproportionate. So that evidence and the mathematical evidence is very, very clear, right? So imagine a study when we conducted the studies, we wanted to make sure we're not biasing these patients. When a patient goes to an office to discuss with their physician, it's very different conversations like this is the possible benefit and this is the possible risks, right? But the benefit question is there. In a clinical study, the benefit question is not there. So that is a key driver. So we have a fair bit of data showing that if patients stay on the drug and if they stay a little bit longer, not a lot longer, they're going to be able to tolerate and get fantastic, in my words, benefits on the other side of that. Our proposal in the label, notwithstanding the fact that label has to be approved by the agents and so on and so forth, is that physicians are instructed to, if they have concerns because they know their patients. There are patients that chronically don't respond so well from, in terms of tolerability, they can keep the patients off for a little bit longer, right? It is important because they're going to see 70% of the patients doing really well. But, and then their desire is going to turn into like, I want to get all my patients to do really well. And that's the bridge we want to. What Megan mentioned before about the hub of the future, right? It is really, and we're going to be talking about in our Commercial Day coming up soon, we're going to be announcing, it is really a state-of-the-art way to help the practice manage the patients and getting all the tools to maximize tolerability. We could be here saying, why do we care about those patients, right? It's completely irrelevant from a peak revenue perspective. But it's not because we know this drug works, and we want to make sure it's there with each one of those patients. So I really appreciate it. It is something very close to our hearts. Our team worked incredibly hard to make sure every percent point is not only a percent point in revenue, it's a lot more patients that are being able to get benefits that they cannot get any other way.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Ben Burnett of Wells Fargo.
Unknown Analyst
analystThis is Orfia for Ben. Congrats on over enrolling EMERALD. I had one question on relutrigine and one on your cash runway. First on relutrigine, are you able to share what proportion of EMERALD patients are on XCOPRI or another sodium blocker at baseline? And what are your expectations for incremental efficacy in patients who are already on? And then second, on your cash runway, given that both relutrigine and elsunersen are eligible for pediatric vouchers, are your current plans to monetize those on approval? And is that contemplated in your cash runway?
Marcio Souza
executiveYes. So I think we've got a very representative distribution of what the background meds are here. Very happy. I'll tell you, discontinuation, for example, it's a good surrogate there being extremely low on this study. tolerability being very good. We know and unfortunately, like a lot of these patients failed pretty much everything. So you name a drug, I'm going to tell you they failed or they are on it. But we're confident not only on the effect, which is important, but on the safety as well to get to a positive benefit risk. And then I'll leave the last question to Tim, who's been anxiously waiting for a financial question for the call.
Tim Kelly
executiveYes. Thanks for the question about the runway. And I think part of what we talked about with the runway is it gives us this great flexibility and ability to launch into these launches, but the way we're investing with field force and all the activities that Marcio and Megan have taken us through. With respect to the PRV, because we do anticipate approval for relutrigine for SCN2A and SCN8A, where we do have orphan designation and are eligible for PRV, we would expect to receive that as well. It is not a meaningful impact to our runway, but it does ensure that we can continue to invest in these launches. And you're right also about elsunersen down the road because that also has orphan designation. We believe that would be our second product that could be eligible for a PRV. But thank you for the question.
Operator
operatorThis concludes the question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn it back to Marcio for closing remarks.
Marcio Souza
executiveYes. Thank you so much. I appreciate, I hope we try to be very comprehensive today, given updates on, it's just absolutely amazing palpable energy that we get every single day here in the office with all the now sales team as well and being there and talking to physicians, giving us a lot more of information. I would say as we move this page towards commercial, a lot of you helped us along the way to make a successful clinical development for this drug that we're going to discuss less and less, the clinical regulatory. I just want to take a moment to thank all of you who are certainly my biggest critics and my biggest supporters when we get into certain conversations. I appreciate every feedback being given to the company made us to where we are right now. I couldn't be prouder on behalf of patients. when we got these stories every single day, and trust me, we got them every single day from the patients who transition on ER to the open label or the ones who are on BOLT or the ones that are on an emergency access of one of our medicines or particularly these days for the ones wanting to be on ulixacaltamide. That's what keeps us going. Thanks enormously for your support and really looking forward to the conversations later today and in the near future.
Operator
operatorThank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program, and you may now disconnect.
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