Premier, Inc. (PINC) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 30, 2022
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Jessica Tassan
analystAll right. So, welcome to the second session of the day. My name is Jess Tassan. I'm the health care tech and distribution analyst at Piper. I am thrilled to be here with Premier. I've got the CEO, Mike Alkire; and CFO, Craig McKasson here with us this morning.
Jessica Tassan
analystWe've got a 25-minute fireside chat. So with that, I will kick it off with some Q&A. Mike, we're about 18 months into your tenure as CEO. When you stepped into that role, what were kind of the biggest opportunities you saw ahead of Premier and how has Premier executed against them so far?
Michael Alkire
executiveYes. First, let me just say thanks for having us. We appreciate the opportunity to share our perspective. I sort of characterize them in 4 different buckets. The first is governance. So my predecessor had a much different perspective from a Board standpoint. I'd like to deal with a smaller Board, I'm much more interactive kind of thinker. And so it's really -- it was really important for me to sort of think through what the governance structure of Premier look like. So I'd say that was #1. #2 was a focus on technology enablement. We've always had a very, very strong technology underpinning on both sides of our business. But I think we really needed to sort of strengthen that and sort of reinforce and reinvigorate our focus on technology development, and I can get into some more of those details in a second. Third, it was -- I thought we needed to sort of market the business a little bit differently. At times, I think that the Street looks at us as a supply chain entity and also a technology entity. I thought it was really important that we rebranded all of our technology assets under PINC AI to really sort of reinforce the idea that our technology is technology of the 2020 kind of realm using machine learning, natural language processing, AI and those kinds of things. So I thought it was really important to brand that. And then finally, Craig and I took sort of a decision that we wanted to bring a bit more visibility to our high-growth adjacent businesses. And so we've got some businesses that grew in excess of 30% last year, that are planned to grow somewhere between 30% and 40% this year. So those are our PINC AI business, Contigo Health, Remitra. And I thought it was really important that the Street understood sort of where we were heading with those businesses.
Craig McKasson
executiveJust to clarify. PINC AI, Life Sciences and Clinical Decision Support, all of PINC AI.
Michael Alkire
executiveYes. Thank you.
Jessica Tassan
analystSo I was just going to ask that. To what extent are the businesses that you are categorizing as PINC AI kind of synergistic either with one another? Like to what extent are these synergistic with one another or with the GPO business?
Michael Alkire
executiveYes. So it's a great question. I think there's 3 underpinnings of the business. And if you think about the synergies. One, it's the level of relationships that we've had with our health care systems. So if you use that as the framework that we have these relationships that we're constantly innovating alongside of them, that we're building out offerings to help them either drive cost out of their business or to help them move to value-based care or deliver higher quality -- those are relationships that we're able to sort of build out additional capabilities on both sides, the supply chain and the Performance Services business. But it's because of those strong relationships. That's number one. And number two, it's the data. So you talk about synergistic opportunities. So you think about leveraging all that clinical data in our supply chain, it really helps us to get after advanced cost reduction opportunities, right? So we can look at things that in terms of utilization and tying that to clinical outcomes and those kinds of things. So the synergies exist from a data standpoint and from bringing the quality into the supply chain and really creating opportunities for improvement on that side. And then -- the last one is basically technology. So the same technologies that we use, the same machine learning, AI, algorithms that we use on sort of in our Performance Services business are the same ones that we do as we think about forecasting where we think potential shortages of products might be in the upcoming months.
Craig McKasson
executiveYes. The only thing I would add to that, Mike, is I think within Performance Services and those adjacent markets businesses that we have, the whole concept is to take the advantage of the synergies of the clinical data we have from providers and find the sweet spots where we can actually drive improvement with life science companies that will help clinical efficacy. So it will help a provider and drive into a growth avenue we haven't traditionally capitalized on, which is life sciences, with employers, our Contigo Health business, it's leveraging that data to actually identify opportunities for high-value network, standardized better care that will actually help the providers provide better care, but help employers reduce their cost. And then we also have our Remitra business, which is our electronic procure-to-pay business. Again, leveraging all the supply chain data we have to actually help identify opportunities to reduce the inefficient manual components of labor in the supply chain.
Jessica Tassan
analystAmong all those businesses, which of the PINC AI businesses do you expect to kind of lead growth in the segment, both from a revenue perspective and adjusted EBITDA perspective in fiscal '23? And then does that change over the next 2 or 3 years?
Craig McKasson
executiveSure. So within PINC AI, we've got the provider piece which we've talked about growing sort of more mid-single-digit growth, and then we have the adjacent markets that Mike described earlier, growing 30% to 40%. We don't get into individual growth aspects. But what I would say is Contigo Health continues to be a significant driver of the growth in that adjacent markets part of the business at the 25%, 30-plus percent growth rate and delivering, now moving to a positive EBITDA contribution. Longer-term, Remitra, we have a lot of promise and expectation of the growth that, that business is going to deliver as that network gets stood up and ultimately will be probably one of the largest profitability contributors to the Performance Services segment.
Jessica Tassan
analystGot it. So of your GPO customers, what's kind of the attach rate of Remitra today?
Michael Alkire
executiveSo, no, no, it's a great question. So -- so the base core capability, there's sort of an e-invoicing capability that many of our largest systems have already been using. So the -- if you think about some of our largest systems, some of them have been using them at a regional level. So our job is really to take those and sort of build us up and actually drive it across the entire entity. But there's -- I would tell you that probably 50% of our top 10 largest IDNs use Remitra in some form or fashion today. What Craig was talking about, that network, we haven't built that network out quite yet. We're still working with building this thing out with the suppliers and adding some additional technology, but that is something we're obviously incredibly excited about the future.
Jessica Tassan
analystOkay. Got it. So kind of during COVID and its continued hospital consolidation, supply chain bottlenecks, shortages, et cetera, how is the role and the influence of the GPO change? And kind of is the GPO more or less important net of all of these factors?
Michael Alkire
executiveI would love for you to ask our health systems that. But I would tell you, I think in the last 3 years I think our health systems really understood the value of our offering. There were oftentimes that our health systems struggle to get PPE or thicker [ Phonetic ] drugs that were needed for intubation and those kinds of things. Because of our network, because of the work that we had been doing in different parts of the world, we were able to create points of access for products. And I think the big shift that occurred actually was this idea of co-investing in domestic manufacturing. So when you -- my first answer was going to be all about creating more resiliency, how does it really change, creating more resiliency in the supply chain and it's actually helping get access to product. And I think that that's been a significant shift especially in our strategy. But that sort of lends itself to what I was just actually talking about, which is co-investing with our health systems and domestic manufacturing for masks and isolation gowns. We actually stood up probably one of the most automated isolation gown manufacturing facilities in the world in Knoxville, Tennessee, along with roughly 34 of our health systems who had co-invested with us. We've also made some investments in some generic drug manufacturers as well.
Craig McKasson
executiveI think the thing I would add to that is the technology enablement that we've been getting after to be able to predict and identify potential shortages. It was another big advance that came out of the COVID era, and what's actually been sustained because we're still dealing with shortages at a pretty significant level today. We began, and under Mike's leadership we were actually during COVID sort of a convener of all of the industry stakeholders, distributors, manufacturers, health systems, everybody to sort of figure out how to manage through this. We began sort of biweekly calls with all of our members to talk about that. And now we actually have been continuing that. There's actually one today, where every 2 weeks we get together with our health system still to talk about what's the issues, where are the shortages, how do we mitigate that, how do we connect dots so that people get access to product, as Mike described. So that sort of evolved and become an important part.
Michael Alkire
executiveAnd if I could add 2 more things. So from a technology -- you were asking more supply chain, but from a technology, the evolution of our business has been quite profound. So during COVID there was this race for everybody to get access to products. Everybody was trying to actually build out stockpiles and get access to various products. And all it did was drive up the cost of supplies. We built a tool that basically modeled utilization trends of what was happening in New York City. And that we leveraged our data and the Hopkins data as they were forecasting where the virus was going to spread, that we layered our tool on top of that so that we could help our health systems understand the amount of product that they were going to need. That was really important for a couple of reasons. One, if folks had additional product that they weren't going to need in the short term, we could actually allocate that somewhere else. And then two, it was really important for us to give comfort that people didn't have to build up significant stockpiles if they actually had a good understanding of what the needs were going to be. So on the supply chain, that was the technology. And then on the Performance Services side, we had built out this AI natural language processing capability over the last number of years with our acquisition of Stanson Health. We very quickly pivoted that to syndromic surveillance. So if you remember in the early days of the pandemic, we actually didn't have testing. And so we built out this algorithm that if you presented to your clinician with loss of smell or yes -- taste or smell, low-grade fever, there was 7 or 8 clinical characteristics, we could very quickly identify in real time where the virus was spreading. And so that just sort of gives you an idea of how quickly we can pivot some of the base technology that we've been creating.
Jessica Tassan
analystAnd I think that's really compelling and those calls were great. I used to dial in to listen. But I guess, just I'm curious to know, for example, the syndromic surveillance that you just mentioned, is that kind of embedded in the GPO offering? Or are you able to charge an incremental subscription fee for that type of a capability?
Michael Alkire
executiveYes. The technology that, that's based on is allowing us to do things like automated prior authorization and other capabilities. So those are all outside of the GPO. So those are additional charges. And by the way, that's not just being sold to health system. That's also being sold to payers.
Jessica Tassan
analystOkay. That's interesting. So within supply chain services, you obviously get a really unique view into kind of health care utilization and the health care delivery system. What are you seeing in your fiscal 2Q to date?
Michael Alkire
executiveYes. From a utilization, and Craig, please jump in. So we're seeing acute utilization down to flat. It's very, very regional. I do want you to hear that. But we have some reasons that have sort of come back to pre-COVID level. I think there are some areas that are still struggling. We are seeing growth obviously in the non-acute area, but it's still de minimis and not quite the levels that I think us nor our health care systems are expecting.
Jessica Tassan
analystThat's helpful. And then just in terms of, like, the health of the finance, or -- sorry, the financial health of the health system. Could you just comment on that and kind of their appetite to invest in capital equipment, for example, in calendar '23?
Michael Alkire
executiveSo obviously, the health care systems are obviously going through a really tough time. I think there obviously are 2 areas that are driving this financial pain. One is labor cost. So even though the traveling nurses and traveling clinicians have gone down quite a bit, the utilization as well as the cost, it is still quite a bit higher than it was pre-pandemic. So you're talking probably 30% more on an average, but very, very significantly more. And then the supply chain aberrations, obviously are also having an impact. So this sort of the inflationary environment with labor across the board and producing products and the logistics associated to getting products to the health systems, all that's adding pressure as well. I'll tell you, in general, I'd like to say that our health systems are experiencing margin reduction typically of about 50%. So if they were like a 1% or 2% sort of operating margin organization, they're flat to losing money. If they were like a 10%, they're at half of that amount. But that's a generalization. We also have health systems that are obviously really losing significant amounts of money that will have, obviously, impact on their ability to invest in capital in other areas.
Jessica Tassan
analystSo I guess just on -- from a directional perspective, calendar '21 versus '22 and then just back half of '22 versus first half of '22, how has the financial environment for hospitals changed, if at all? Or is it equally dire?
Michael Alkire
executiveIt's gotten better.
Jessica Tassan
analystOkay.
Michael Alkire
executiveBut not at a pace that they would like to have seen it get better, I guess, is the easiest way to say that.
Jessica Tassan
analystThat makes sense. So we're hearing that manufacturers are getting more aggressive in requests or demands for price increases from GPOs. Some manufacturers are talking about breaking 3-year contracts early. Others are expecting to gain 50 bps to 100 bps of price in calendar '23. How have your conversations with manufacturers evolved? And what do modest price increases in CY'23 means for the Supply Chain Services segment?
Michael Alkire
executiveWell, I take the high level or the top and then Craig, please add in. So First of all, I think you know this, but in our supply chain business, our GPO -- the whole design of that function really is to manage inflation. So it has all of the contract language and all of the different mechanisms that we could think of to truly ensure that inflation does not creep into pricing during the terms of those agreements. Fortunately, we've not seen organizations that are breaking contracts and doing those kinds of things. We probably had a few hundred folks come to us and asked us for price increases, to date I think we're -- we've allowed -- I think not us. Our health systems that have the committees that actually make those decisions. I think have a lot, about 130...
Craig McKasson
executiveAbout 150 -- 150% of the potential requests have actually been granted through our process where our supply chain executives actually are the ones that make that decision whether to allow it.
Michael Alkire
executiveAnd so that kind of gives you a perspective and with couple of thousand contracts.
Craig McKasson
executiveWe have about 3,000 contracts in total. It's important to note that part of our portfolio, the food aspect of the portfolio and the pharmacy portfolio actually allow for price fluctuation based on inflation. It's the Med/Surg part of the portfolio that typically has fixed price contracts. That is over 2,000 of the 3,000 contracts that we have. And so within that there's been about somewhere in the ballpark of 300 that have come in for requests. It's important to note, though, and I think people understand this, the health care systems don't get to pass along the cost of inflation. So there really is a pretty rigorous process that we put in place along to enable our supply chain executives to make those decisions to really understand, is it a really difficult environment for the manufacturer where they're not going to be able to be profitable and actually stay -- remain manufacturing the product because of that, they'll grant the extension. But if it's somebody -- or the increase. If in the event that somebody is just trying to pass it along to maintain their margins and have it come out of these health systems that, as you heard Mike discuss earlier how they're performing, that's where there's a lot of pushback on it.
Michael Alkire
executiveAnd when Craig says our material is that -- just to put a fine point on that. We have a committee that's made up of about 30 materials execs or supply chain executives that are from our health systems. So they lead the supply chain functions. They are the ones that make those decisions.
Craig McKasson
executiveEnabled by our data analysis and evaluation.
Jessica Tassan
analystSo that's very helpful. This is my last one on supply chain services. So just on the F 1Q call, you reiterated FY '23 guide and told us to expect that F 1Q would be the low watermark for the year. First off, why is that? And then just secondly, when do you entirely lap the headwinds associated with nonrenewing...
Michael Alkire
executiveYes. So again, 2 primary drivers of business within supply chain, the GPO and our direct sourcing business. So within the GPO, first quarter was the low watermark. #1, first quarter tends to be lower as we look through the year, parts of the business. If you think about summer, utilization can be a little bit lower in other parts of our GPO kind of business and industry part, if you think about schools and universities and things that are out in the summer. So first quarter is typically lower in terms of our performance. We also had more challenge to your question about lapping historical performance. We did a big restructuring back in August 2020, had the majority of our health systems agree to new 6- to 7-year contracts at that time with differentiated pricing. Those that did not agree that restructurings original contracts ran through September 30, 2021, which was the first quarter of the prior year. We've now lapped that impact as we go into second quarter. So that's what impacted growth in the GPO part of the business in the first quarter and why it was down direct sourcing. We've been continuing to normalize down in a post-COVID, lesser COVID era, if you will. And we also had seen a lot of health systems really build up their inventories of PPE. And so they've actually been bleeding that down a bit. And we think we got to the lower watermark of that in the first quarter as well, and we'll begin to see sequential growth back to more pre-COVID levels within direct sourcing. Lastly, I would say from a profitability standpoint, not revenue, but we have had pretty significant freight expense implications in direct sourcing, which impacted the profitability in the first quarter. We've now seen that ocean freight come down. So we think that's going to help us as we get into the back half of the year.
Jessica Tassan
analystOne quick follow-up on that. Does the introduction of more complex products with indirect sourcing like catheters, does that lift incremental adjusted EBITDA margin?
Craig McKasson
executiveIt will. So those clinical products typically have a slightly higher margin. So overall, our direct sourcing business continues to be sort of a low single-digit EBITDA margin business. But what is anticipated to elevate that and grow in the future as those more clinical nature products.
Jessica Tassan
analystOkay. Awesome. So switching gears to performance services. What is going to drive the sequential growth in that revenue line over the course of the year? And kind of how much visibility do you have into sequentially growing Performance Services revenue?
Michael Alkire
executiveYes. So the biggest aspects are within those adjacent markets that we talk about, the 2 I would highlight are Contigo Health and Remitra in terms of driving sequential growth. Contigo Health is effectively an employee benefits business, so it operates on a calendar year. So as lives get added to the program, those new lives come on effective January 1, we see the revenue contributions come in the back half of the year. On Remitra, it's all about adding new suppliers and providers to the network that we discussed earlier. And so as we're growing that, as a reminder, we've only been in the Remitra business for about 2 years now. So as we're actually expanding that network, that's going to deliver revenue in the back half of the year. In terms of visibility, we typically have going into a year kind of 75% visibility into the Performance Services revenue as the year progresses, that increases 80-plus percent visibility into where we are at this point.
Craig McKasson
executiveAnd then on the advisory side, typically we have about 50% visibility, and this year we have north of 70%.
Jessica Tassan
analystOkay. That answers that. So you guys closed the acquisition of TRPN Direct Pay 10/13. What does this offering bring to Contigo Health? And what is it going to take to get the deal fully scaled, which I think is your language -- why is that kind of integration and optimization process going to take 3 years to 5 years?
Michael Alkire
executiveYes. So let me just start with what TRPN is and how we want to leverage it. So we actually bought the assets of an organization that has 900,000 provider contracts. And so if you think about what we're doing with what Craig said on Contigo Health, which is really helping our health systems; a, build out health plans; and b, work more effectively with employers in the market. When you have a broad network like that, now we can create services to include a wrapper. So let's just say you're a health system that has a health plan, you're providing services -- health plan services to your own employees. When your employees go outside of your provider footprint, today it's very expensive and they have to use a wrapper to do that. Now we have a plug-and-play capability through this TRPN where we can actually add that capability to them. So that's the big opportunity for both us as well as our health systems. There's a big opportunity to reduce costs. As you think about why is it going to take maybe 3 years to 5 years. First of all, we're going to integrate this as fast as we possibly can. We're going to build out services as quickly as we can. That has to do with this notion of credentialing and creating a credential network. And we think it's going to be probably a few years to credential that number of providers. And we're looking at a whole bunch of different options to do that. But right now that's our best guess.
Jessica Tassan
analystOkay. That makes sense. So I guess, and if you can answer this. How close are we to that $40 million to $60 million adjusted EBITDA run rate in that business?
Craig McKasson
executiveYes. So I mean, obviously, we just bought the business, the kind of annual. We don't typically get into this, but the annual contribution is probably about a $10 million business today. So that's why it didn't really make a demonstrable impact in our fiscal '23. But moving forward, a lot of anticipation as we add more providers to the program.
Jessica Tassan
analystOkay. That's very helpful. Last question. Do you view the Performance Services, of course -- Performance Services portfolio is complete at this point? And if not, what kind of capabilities are you lacking?
Michael Alkire
executiveYes. So I think that we want to continue to build out the Contigo asset. So like I said, credentialing. There's capabilities there that we want to think about deploying capital around. I'd like to quick improve the pace in terms of how we are rolling out our clinical decision support capability. And any -- as you think about that, there are partnerships or investments we want to make, I want to get those programs build out quicker. And then Craig brought up life sciences. I think there's an opportunity for us to make some pretty significant investments there given the capabilities that we have to support life science organizations. Thank you I appreciate it.
Craig McKasson
executiveThank you.
Michael Alkire
executiveThanks, everybody, for joining us.
Jessica Tassan
analystGreat. Thank you so much. Mike and Craig, it was a pleasure to have you.
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