Premier, Inc. (PINC) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
March 14, 2023
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Steven J. Valiquette
analystOkay. Great. We're going to begin our next session here with Premier. I'm Steven Valiquette, the health care services analyst here at Barclays. And with us from Premier, we have Mike Alkire, the company's CEO; and also Craig McKasson, the CFO. This will be a fireside chat. So I think with that, I guess we'll just dive right in.
Steven J. Valiquette
analystAll right. So I guess first question here, for those who don't know Premier, they break their business down into 2 segments, the SCS segment and PS segment. So a lot of acronyms, I think, very appropriate for health care services. That's certainly par for the course. So maybe just touching on the SCS segment first, which is really kind of mainly the kind of the core GPO business, but also some other parts in there as well, obviously. But within SCS, there's been a couple of moving parts within that business given the broader market. Maybe just starting with maybe your thoughts on provider utilization trends, just give us a latest update on what you're seeing among your customer base and has utilization or demand changed at all since your commentary on the last quarterly earnings call.
Michael Alkire
executiveThanks, Steve. So let me start and then Craig, please head in. So just to bring some meaning to some of those initials that you were talking about. 2 segments of Premier. We have our Supply Chain business, our Performance Services business. Supply chain, we have a group purchasing entity that focuses on helping our health system -- health care systems reduce cost. We also have a direct sourcing business where we actually either manufacture or directly manufacture products for our health care systems. Performance Services, we have a few different capabilities there, primarily all driven around helping health care systems drive performance improvement, reducing costs, improving quality. We have a fairly substantial robust analytics business as well as clinical decision support. And then we have a couple of other businesses that we call adjacent businesses that use that data and that technology to help our health systems go direct to employers, and that's called Contigo Health. We have a business called Remitra, which is all about e-invoicing and e-payables and then we have a Life Sciences business that actually started working with Big Pharma to really appropriately utilized drugs based on the data. As it gets to answer your question as it relates to what's happening in health care and large and utilization patterns. First of all, in general, utilization continues to move outside the 4 walls of the hospital. So we're seeing, obviously, growth in the non-acute setting. So those would be your surgery centers, labs, long-term care facilities, those kinds of assets. And then the acute setting has been pretty flat to sort of a shrinking area. I will tell you, as it relates to seeing the trends, it's incredibly regional. In terms of what's happening from utilization patterns. As you might expect, the areas of the country that have the strongest economies are also experiencing typically the best growth. Those areas that maybe are not seeing the economic expansion are seeing obviously slower growth, if not a reduction of revenue.
Steven J. Valiquette
analystOkay. Great. That's helpful. So I guess notwithstanding the utilization trend, sometimes the -- your business can maybe deviate slightly from correlation to that because of just inventory levels moving up and down. So maybe I think on that topic, you pointed to some provider customer stockpiling inventory is another factor behind maybe demand being a little bit lighter over the last couple of quarters, but also some of that should probably improve from here. Just curious if you have any updates today on the timing of the work down of inventory. What kind of levels on average do you think house systems are currently at? Just any color on that might be helpful as well.
Michael Alkire
executiveSure. So prior to the pandemic, I would tell you that health care was very much a just-in-time inventory sort of management system. And that as soon as health care systems needed products, they would alert their distributors and obviously, distributors were to hold enough product to meet the needs of those health systems. During COVID, I would tell you that a number of the health systems were caught flat-footed and built out capabilities to create stockpiles to create higher levels of inventory and those kinds of things, in some cases, way too much. And I will tell you, I think what you've seen over the last year or so is the health system is burning down their current inventory levels to actually get to more of a sort of 30- to 90-day kind of inventory level. I think that's where they're kind of settling. I will tell you, it's still sort of working its way through the system in that it's not just the health care systems, but you had distributors, you had a lot of people produce products during COVID historically had not been in that chain. So a lot of products were produced. And a lot of that was put in inventory. And I'll tell you, I think that a lot of that, again, has continued to work through. I would tell you it's probably going to be another couple of quarters before we get through all that inventory.
Steven J. Valiquette
analystOkay. All right. That's helpful. For my first question, one of the first things you mentioned in the answer was some of the patient volumes still flowing out of the inpatient setting it into outpatient. So maybe just to build on your mentioning of that, can you remind us just where your customer portfolio mix is right now between inpatient versus outpatient. Now it's kind of hard to do that perfectly across all the different offerings and everything else. But to the extent you can maybe just give us some rough frame or reference might be helpful. But also more importantly, just how well is the company positioned to capitalize on this trend of just more of the volume flowing out of inpatient and into the outpatient setting?
Craig McKasson
executiveSure. So from a GPO standpoint, which is the [indiscernible] where inpatient outpatient would affect us, about 60% of our GPO is in the acute 4 walls of the hospital and about 40% is outside the walls of the hospital. To give that some context, if you were to go back 5, 6 years ago, it was 70-30. So definitely seeing a shift in a trend outside the walls of the hospital in terms of where the spend is coming. In terms of positioning, we've always serviced health systems. And so we've always had an eye towards making sure we can cover all aspects and classes of trade beyond the 4 walls of the hospital. It was an underpinning a bit of our acquisition of Innovatix and Essensa a number of years ago, which actually bolstered our capability in the non-acute space as well. In the future, we think there remains to be opportunities to further technology enable non-acute providers to improve contract attachment and penetration in the non-acute space.
Steven J. Valiquette
analystOkay. That's certainly helpful. So again, I think it's still kind of within the SCS segment. Just kind of thinking about inflationary trends, you guys obviously kind of live in the middle to some degree between some of the manufacturers and some of the providers. Just maybe give us some updated thoughts on price increase mechanics that maybe some of your suppliers are trying to push through in some of the GPO contracts and how you guys kind of respond to that in this -- what's still perceived as an inflationary environment?
Michael Alkire
executiveYes. I will tell you, I think the reason that Premier was designed from a supply chain standpoint was really to manage inflation. And so we have a lot of mechanisms that are in place in terms of how we agree to price increases through our committee structures, what are the sort of the data inputs that we look at to determine whether or not or working with our health systems, whether or not we'll accept the price increase and to include whether or not there's healthy markets, right? We don't want to actually create a scenario where somebody isn't going to be a viable long-term business partner. So we want to make sure that we're balancing agreeing to inflation or price increases vis-à-vis the number of players in the specific markets. We want very specific targets in terms of the number of suppliers in a specific category. As it relates to your question, I think we have about 3,000 contracts across Premier, a couple of thousand in MedSurg. I will tell you, I think over the last number of months, we had about 300 requests for price increases. And I would guess about 50% of that was probably approved. So that gives you some perspective and context on the increases. But that's been over the course of a number of months.
Craig McKasson
executiveYes. I think the only additional color I would provide to that is those requests are sort of out of cycle requests. So typically, our contracts have in that particular part of the portfolio of MedSurg have fixed firm pricing. So those are actually suppliers coming in the middle of a contract term asking for a price increase. We have a pretty formal process with our supply chain executives from our health systems actually being the ones to evaluate facilitated by us, but whether they should actually approve that increase or not. So broadly, have not seen a material tailwind to our business due to inflation because despite those increases in the kind of 50% of those 300 requests that came through, we've also seen price decreases in other parts of our portfolio, primarily pharmacy, I would highlight, which we had done a rebid on -- back at the beginning of the fiscal year. And then we have parts of our portfolio, Steve, that move with inflation. So for example, our food program has variable pricing based on inflation and deflation. So that we actually have seen an increase in prices. Those have sort of normalized and are starting to come back down.
Steven J. Valiquette
analystOkay. Yes, those numbers are kind of interesting. When you first mentioned it, the 3,000 contracts -- and then of that 300 ask for price increase, that jumped out to me as being kind of actually low initially. So I think you're framing that maybe gave a little more color. Like gosh, only 10% of people are asking for price increases. It should be way higher than that, maybe. But I guess really that 300 number, though, it's really about…
Michael Alkire
executive[indiscernible]
Steven J. Valiquette
analystYes. That's the way we see it. How does that compare to the historical average roughly? Is it higher than average?
Michael Alkire
executiveSignificantly more.
Steven J. Valiquette
analystOkay. That's helpful just...
Michael Alkire
executiveYou would have probably had literally a handful that would have had some economic reason to try to get a price increase mid-cycle. So it is significantly more than any year, obviously prior to COVID influence.
Craig McKasson
executiveAnd the inbound requests have slowed down from what we were seeing in 2022.
Steven J. Valiquette
analystOkay. That's certainly helpful. Yes, because, look, I mean, across some of our coverage, there's some larger publicly traded commodity medical supply manufacturers that have talked about part of their relief on their rising manufacturing cost is to go to GPOs and ask for price increases. It sounds like those larger companies are not alone, given the numbers you're talking about as far as people trying to push through some price increases. But just wondering, are you seeing -- I mean, it's hard to generalize for the overall commodity medical manufacturing or the companies you're talking to, but is there any bias that the larger companies are getting better pricing versus smaller ones on the -- just on the manufacturing side. So within those numbers you talked about, any trends that stick out to you along those lines?
Michael Alkire
executiveNothing. There's not really any trending. We had some of these questions earlier in our one-on-ones. If you have a product base that typically has differentiation, there's as opposed to maybe something that's a commodity and you're pressured from a cost standpoint there's -- and there's a high degree of switching costs from one product to another, obviously, there's going to be a lot more openness on behalf of the health systems to transition from one product, there's going to be less if there's significant difference between the products. If there's -- if it's a commodity, obviously, they're going to be a lot more open to switching from one product to another. And that's where I think there is the opportunity for us to continue to manage those costs. Having said all that, I will tell you that again, we're kind of designed working with our clinical teams and our clinical committees to make sure that to the degree that we can influence those decisions and help those health systems not take those costs. That's what we need to do because at the end of the day, there is no -- to many of our health systems are still underwater from a margin standpoint. They don't have the ability to pick up a lot of these inflationary costs. And so they're doing everything in their power to either move to different contracts or to different products or those kinds of things, so they don't have to take those costs.
Craig McKasson
executiveYes. The one thing I would clarify is I don't think, Steve, it is based on a large company or a small company, I think pricing is based on a contracted category and the health and the competitive friction in that category. So market share would dictate where whether there's going to be inflation and that could be a small company that is focused on one product or a large company, but it's not that just because some of the large companies they have more influence to drive price increase because we're actually looking down at the individual contracted category, not their entire universe of products.
Steven J. Valiquette
analystGot it. Okay. All right. Great. So maybe we'll shift gears here a little bit now and talk more about your Performance Services segment, which I still think of as kind of the Healthcare Technologies segment just for simplification purposes. But within that, maybe just give us an update on the sales pipeline. So just for backdrop, by the way, we do a lot of quarterly surveys of hospitals and try to assess their health care IT spending. First of all, whether that's increasing or decreasing within their CapEx budgets, but also what categories we're spending on. So I guess I'm curious, just from you guys just an update on the sales pipeline, where you're seeing demand and just general provider appetite for discretionary healthcare IT spend based on what you're seeing right now.
Michael Alkire
executiveYes. So Performance Services is primarily made up of, as you said, technology. We do have a Performance Services advisory services group that wraps around that technology to help drive performance improvement opportunities for those health systems. So it's got the technology and it's also got the Advisory Services business. The pipeline itself still seems solid for us. Obviously, our focus is to bring technology into the health care setting that's going to automate a lot of manual procedures and processes and thereby reducing costs. So that's really where our sweet spot is, how are we working with them to drive better levels of performance and improvement and efficiency and those kinds of things. And so the pipeline from that standpoint is going well. The only other thing that where we're seeing a really positive momentum is that there's a lot of point solutions that our health care systems utilize. And one of the things that we are doing is working with our health systems to rationalize what are those technologies that they need to drive more efficiency from a cost standpoint and higher levels of quality and how can we step into the middle of that and provide a more cohesive solution as opposed to all these point solutions.
Craig McKasson
executiveYes. The only color I would add is I think the demand we're seeing is for pretty rapid improvement. So it's not projects where they're looking for some long-term change. It's more can we either implement technology or put wraparound services that will deliver a pretty quick ROI in terms of helping with their margin profile given the challenges and the pressure that they're under.
Steven J. Valiquette
analystOkay. All right. So within this segment, obviously, there's a bunch of different solutions that we could talk about, but it seems like one of the ones that was more of a topic of discussion on the last quarterly conference call or 2 was around Remitra, and that's the e-invoicing service offering within paying for artificial intelligence. I think you called out some softer-than-anticipated adoption on that last call. Maybe just give us a status update on just operational improvement plans for this part of the business and whether or not the demand dynamics have shifted, which I wouldn't think so. I think this will be good demand for this, but just wanted to get an update on that as well.
Michael Alkire
executiveYes. So if I could just at the very highest level. So Remitra is a technology that we use to drive e-invoicing and e-payables for the health care system. We still think 70% to 80% of invoices are still transacted manually and not digitized. We think there's a huge opportunity there to actually bring a lot more value and automation to that whole process and so Remitra is that opportunity for us. What we talked a little bit about, I think sales cycles were a little bit longer than we anticipated and then, of course, some market conditions obviously impacted our CFO offering. So I will tell you some of the things that we've been doing since the earnings call. We had an accelerated solutions design event with a number of suppliers to talk about the value of Remitra and how could they see value fairly quickly by implementing it. We have a very similar event with our health systems here in the next couple of weeks in a very similar sort of nature to ensure that they truly understand how the value of Remitra actually bring down their overall cost on managing invoices and payments.
Craig McKasson
executiveAnd I think just to add a little color, Mike referenced what he called the CFO offering. It's an offering called Cash Flow Optimizer, which is really supply chain financing to actually improve the time flow and the working capital benefit for paying suppliers more quickly and to the benefit of health care providers. That's what's actually seen a slower uptake given the increase in cost of capital that we've been experiencing in the marketplace, but still believe longer term, there's a lot of opportunity there. I wouldn't say the demand for that part has increased yet. That's part of what just with interest rates is sort of fintech companies also are seeing a little bit more challenge in that part of the market.
Steven J. Valiquette
analystOkay. All right. So now also within the PS segment, I guess, for better or for worse, there can be some lumpiness in the earnings. Sometimes it's a good guy, sometimes it's a bad guy. But just remind us just among all the offerings, which one maybe provides most of that potential volatility around just that lumpiness in the earnings and also how you kind of factor that into the segment revenue guidance and also how you just think about the trajectory of large license agreements that you could be signing.
Craig McKasson
executiveYes. So the 2 areas that would have the most opportunity to create lumpiness in our Performance Services kind of cadence quarter-to-quarter is enterprise license agreements or advisory services if we're doing a large performance-based type cost reduction engagement. And so on the enterprise licenses, the nature of those, that's enterprise analytics, where they are buying the whole suite of products with a typically, on average, I would say, 5-year license. And the way the revenue recognition on those licenses works is the majority, about 70% of the revenue is recognized at the point that the license is actually delivered and made available to the customer. So that's what can create when we see those an uptick in revenue in a particular quarter and the nature of the engagement, a lot of profitability at the time that, that occurs. Those are not -- today, that represents about 10% to 15% of our Performance Services revenue. The majority is still our SaaS-based technology that's more stable, but that can create some variability. And then our advisory services business, which is consultative if we're doing a large engagement to take cost out of the system. Sometimes, the revenue and the associated EBITDA are tied to when we're actually delivering the benefit and getting signed off from the number that we've achieved the targeted savings. And so those are the 2 items that can create some of that variability. We factor in based on our pipelines and visibility and the long-term perspective of how those are performing in terms of how we establish the guidance for the segment.
Steven J. Valiquette
analystOkay. I think also just on the acquisition front, you guys announced not too long ago, this acquisition of the 100 top hospitals programs. Just curious how that kind of fits into the -- your overall service offerings and the rationale for that deal and also how maybe bolsters some of your brands, maybe in AI, in particular, just curious to hear more about that one as well.
Michael Alkire
executiveSo Steve, as you know, over the years, one of the primary drivers of Premier is to truly differentiate our health systems by having higher quality outcomes and doing it with lower cost. I think the top hospitals program actually provides us analytics and algorithms that will be very beneficial to our health care systems in terms of understanding what high performance looks like. And we want to leverage that as we think about deploying tools and advisory services and building out those plans to help our health systems achieve some of that recognition. So it's sort of that pointing into the spear, but we do it very similarly when we think about our Contigo initiative, which is our offering to employers. We want to help our health systems actually engage more meaningfully with employers, both nationally and in their market. We want to help them participate in centers of excellence programs and those kinds of things to support big employers as they're trying to sort of change the way that health care is provided to their employee population.
Craig McKasson
executiveYes. And the only quick pitch color I would add on the top 100 hospitals program is it is objectively determined based on available market data. So any health care hospital, a health care provider can actually achieve that top 100. But what it does is gives us through PINC AI, the ability to actually find the key drivers to actually improve that performance and link it to actually better possibility of being recognized as a top 100 hospitals moving forward.
Steven J. Valiquette
analystYes. Okay. Maybe a final real quick question. I was kind of just thinking to myself, it's been about almost about 10 years or so since you guys came public, I think part of the reason to come public was to just have more access to capital and grow through acquisitions, especially on the health care technology side. So luckily, it's been super quiet and consistent operating environment in the last 10 years. But just given where we are today, obviously, where do things stand currently on your appetite to still focus on strategic M&A? And are you still focused more on the health care IT side of the business for those M&A dollars? And just maybe talk more about kind of what you're targeting for things to still add to the service offering.
Michael Alkire
executiveSure. So if I could start. So I've been in my role almost 2 years as the CEO. And I think that over that time frame, Craig and I have taken a very focused effort to really highlight the fast-growing parts of our business. So we talk at length about those adjacent businesses, clinical decision support, Contigo Health, Remitra and Life Sciences. Those are those areas of business that we think are going to -- are growing in excess of 30% to 30% or more. So as you think about where we want to deploy capital in the future, it's in those markets to help support and drive more capabilities within each of those offerings.
Craig McKasson
executiveYes. The only 2 quick things I would add is we're going to continue to have a balanced approach to capital deployment, so we will balance it with shareholder return. We do have our dividend in place. We'll continue to look at share repurchase where appropriate, although we don't have an authorization in effect right now. We are being measured in this capital environment in terms of how aggressive we are but do continue to look for areas to target. And the only other thing I would highlight, and I know we're running out of time. But in the supply chain side, we will also look to further improve technology enablement, particularly in the non-acute space back to the earlier commentary about seeing more growth in that part of the supply chain business.
Steven J. Valiquette
analystOkay. Great. Yes. With that, I think we're out of time, maybe over a minute or 2, so I think we'll wrap it up there. So I want to thank you guys for your time today and enjoy the rest of the conference.
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