Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

June 1, 2023

US Information Technology Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment conference_presentation 31 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#1

All right maybe. Hopefully, you guys can hear me. I'll just shout, if you can. Good morning, everybody. Welcome to the semiconductor room. I think we're locked in this room for the next like 12 hours. So I hope everybody is comfortable. My name is Matt Ramsay from the semis research team at TD Cowen. Welcome to day 2 of the conference. Hopefully, everybody had a productive time yesterday. It's our 51st Annual TMT Conference, the first with our -- with Cowen being a part of TD Bank, and it's an exciting time for lots that's going on. I think Brian's coming with a new...

Unknown Executive

executive
#2

[indiscernible]

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#3

All right. With -- the kids chair has gone.

Unknown Executive

executive
#4

Has gone.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#5

The kitty chair is no longer with us. Thank you, my friend. I see. They take care of us in the semiconductor team at Cowen. You've got a chair or I'm used to being in at the kids table for Thanksgiving and such. But anyway, really, really pleased to welcome the team from Qorvo to speak with us today and have a conversation that might be a little bit different than some of the conversations that some of the investors focus on, on the company, Phil and Eric run businesses that are outside of the cell phone business. And diversification outside of wireless is a big topic for the company, applying many of the technologies that the company has developed over the years into new, less cyclical end markets with higher margins is, I think, a big focus for the firm. So maybe Eric, if you wanted to start and Phil, you can kind of jump in, but be really, I think, helpful given the recent resegmentation of revenue and the business for you guys to spend a little bit of time on what your new remit is in running into your divisions and sort of we can kick the conversation off from there.

Steven Creviston

executive
#6

Yes. It sounds good...

Doug DeLieto

executive
#7

Eric -- I'm sorry, if I may, like because we don't have formal remarks. The safe harbor language that applies to our press releases will apply to today's conversation. We should have...

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#8

Thank you for that Doug, and for not making me read...

Doug DeLieto

executive
#9

My job here is done, yes.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#10

And for not making me read that paragraph.

Steven Creviston

executive
#11

Thank you, Doug. Yes. So I'll kick it off. I know some of you and some are -- I see some new faces as well. But I ran the mobile business for the company for the history of the company, up until we did the resegmentation. And along the way, both within mobile as well as our Infrastructure and Defense Products, we call it the other part of the business, we are very focused on building these core businesses, which I think have been pretty successful in the growth. But along the way, we had also picked up a lot of acquisitions for diversification. In Mobile, for example, we acquired Decawave, which is an ultra-wideband technology innovator, super interesting technology for mobile phones, but also applicable to pretty much every other industry in the world. Also, we had picked up NextInput in the Mobile group, which is a really highly differentiated ForceTouch sense functionality. That also has application in Mobile, but a lot of application in Mobile and many IoT systems as well. And so we got to the point between all of these acquisitions being sort of under the radar within the 2 big groups, where at least I really wanted to focus on what we could do with these things. And the Mobile group was really, really, really doing well. It's got a great future ahead of it, a very mature team there. So that's in great shape and continuing, of course. But with Connectivity and Sensors Group now, we're combining -- we're focused on IoT, obviously, automotive connectivity, the connected home, enterprise and industrial access, all these areas that are now being brought into focus by us where we can apply the connectivity systems capability we have now. So WiFi -- excuse me, Bluetooth, ZigBee, Thread now Matter, Matter over Thread as well as ultra-wideband, these are full system solutions, all the digital, analog, software, complete system solutions. So not just the components you're used to seeing from our company. And then adding to that, very high-performance WiFi components and now the touch sensor capability, we have completely new sort of technology recipes that we can bring to each of these markets, work with the leaders in those markets now to help really enable completely new businesses. And it's a lot of fun. Now we're still going to leverage the Mobile business, of course, because we have an application in that. Obviously, WiFi, touch sensors, UWB, that -- we'll sell that into Mobile, of course. But beyond that, we're going to really focus on building out auto and IoT and all those businesses there. We think we've got a very unique capability with our RF expertise and our super high-scale factories where we can make very highly complex RF modules and put all the pieces together. So that's the focus for CSG.

Philip Chesley

executive
#12

Similar to what Eric was talking about for HPA, which is High Performance Analog, what we saw was we had bought 2 acquisitions in the power management space. The first was Active-Semi. The second was United Silicon Carbide. And what we saw with those 2 technologies was there was really a pretty big opportunity for us, and I'll talk a little bit more about that. But not just in the power area. In the defense -- the Defense and Aerospace segment, we saw a really big opportunity in what's happening in that space. And so for -- when we looked at how we kind of resegmented the company, we said, look, given the SAM growth, I mean we're seeing a $5 billion SAM going to a $10 billion to $12 billion SAM in 3 years just in HPA. We needed to give that a little bit more focus. And I think that was the other rationale behind kind of resegmentation. Maybe starting a little bit on the Defense and Aerospace side. We obviously, we're a leader there today, but that market continues to change and grow. You're seeing really the needs for next-generation radar platforms are changing quicker than they have in the past. You have -- the architecture is going from maybe 1 plane to 20 drones and all of the kind of the advanced frequency hopping and things that are needed in that space are really driving an opportunity for us at Qorvo. In addition to that, we said, look, we have an opportunity -- one of the big challenges that the U.S. government has is how do you take all this advanced RF and radar capability? And how do you put it into a smaller space? And we've been partnered with the U.S. government for a long time, starting with our SHIP program. We had a big announcement with the U.S. government. We delivered our first prototypes there, but there's a lot of really exciting stuff that's happening in that segment that the HPA is focused on. On the power management side, we have opportunities both in the silicon carbide space, which I don't have to probably talk. Most of you probably follow companies that are there. We have some really interesting technology that doesn't get a lot of airtime. We have a technology there that provides the lowest RDS(on), which translates to faster battery charging, longer battery life, whether it's a car, whether it's in the infrastructure, data center space. So there's a really exciting opportunity for us there that we're working to capture. And then in the more kind of traditional power management space, we have a pretty broad IP portfolio. And my background, I joined Qorvo 1.5 years ago. My background was Intersil. It was Renesas. I come from the analog power mixed signal space. And it was exciting what I saw. And so we're really going to leverage that IP into a lot of our current markets, but some other markets as we diversify Qorvo. So that's really the mission of HPA.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#13

No, thank you, guys. I think that's helpful context.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#14

I might start off with -- to ask a few questions, Eric, about the business that you're running, and then we'll kind of gets to Doug in the end on the Mobile side, which is unavoidable, when we talk about [indiscernible] about. I think -- so it's interesting, we cover -- and they'll be presenting later today, like the guys of Silicon Labs and what they're doing in the connected home and IoT. We spend a lot of time thinking about what ST is doing, what SP is doing, companies that have not just connectivity assets and software assets to go into IoT applications, but also scaled microcontroller franchises. And so I'd be interested to hear about how you're competing with those companies. And do you intend to really push into MCUs? Is it an inhibitor of the business? Like what's the strategy that's different from what they're doing that has maybe the compute side and the connectivity side, where your expertise comes from the connectivity arena?

Steven Creviston

executive
#15

Yes, yes, great question. So for the most part, certainly today, we're focused completely on connectivity. No plans to move into the MCU. The industry is so nascent right now. There's still a lot of work to be done just fundamental architectures. But we see a lot of the scale in a lot of these businesses going to very, very thin connectivity slices with a little processing power. But sensing, certain things like presence in the room, for example, or other environmental sensing and so forth and then just using those to communicate back to a central hub, right? So around the hub -- around the home, for example, there'll be 10x more just kind of very thin sensors and communicating back than there will those more hubs, like access points and so forth. So for now, we still see a lot of opportunity in just focusing on the connectivity piece.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#16

So I mean there's a lot of those folks that are trying to do single-chip solutions that integrate the connectivity in with the MCU. What kind of partnerships for MCU providers or compute providers do you guys have? Is it -- how do you go to market given sometimes connectivity is the crux of the conversation. Sometimes compute is. There's a little bit of AI getting sprinkled in. I got my AI referencing there. Don't worry.

Steven Creviston

executive
#17

You beat us to it.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#18

Yes, exactly. Check the box there. I just wonder how the onboarding of customers and what's the conversation like? Do you meet with connectivity? Obviously, you would, but do your competitors lead with compute?

Steven Creviston

executive
#19

Yes. Yes. It's an excellent question. One of the advantages of entering this space as Qorvo is we've already got deep trusted relationships with all the major vertical suppliers, right, whether it's an Amazon or a Google or an Apple or a Samsung, Xiaomi, we're a long, deep, trusted supplier to these companies. And so they're laying out architecture for these systems, right? And we're working with them. A lot of times, they want to have a big piece of that compute for example, right? And so we're working with them at the highest level to architect the systems and really just provide that connectivity piece.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#20

That makes sense. One area that gets a lot of conversation now is ultra wideband. And I know you guys are investing there. Do you -- is it primarily a phone opportunity that then you can leverage that R&D and technology into adjacent markets? And I guess, maybe you could talk about UWB to start with. And then I guess the bigger part of the question is, when you think about your business, are you sort of limited to just things that are relevant in the phone space, and you can leverage that R&D? Or do you have funding, R&D efforts, et cetera, to go into new technologies that might not be mobile device relevant?

Steven Creviston

executive
#21

Yes, absolutely. Great question. So yes, for those of you that may not be aware, we acquired Decawave, which was the fundamental IP owner of the modern version of ultra-wideband. There was an older ultra-wideband that was certainly totally different, which shouldn't develop. But -- so this is a radio technology that's very high frequencies, at 9 gigahertz. It's a very short pulse, very broadband energy that gets sent out throughout the room. And with that, with other correlated ultra-wideband radio, you can figure out precisely how far apart from each of them they are. That was the original idea. So precision, location, distance, or if you've got multiple antennas, you can then do 3D, so you've got complete proximity awareness. So you know, our phones know exactly where they are in relation to each other in 3D space. Our phones can talk to other UWB-enabled devices and know that. So for one thing, you can do these magical properties. Apple's had ultra wideband for some time in their phones, and they use it for things like passing music from your phone to your speaker by just swiping over it. Those sort of proximity where, where your devices are aware of where they are in relation to each other brings a complete new element to everything that we'll interface within our daily life. So that was sort of the genesis of it, but it actually goes well beyond that. Because with that precision, location, and proximity awareness, it comes with inherent security. So for example, key fobs to get in cars. Today's key fobs can be sniffed and recreated somewhere else to open or operate a car. In the future, you'll have to be precisely where you are to have that because that persistent location gives you enhanced security. And so it took off in mobile phones, right, for sure, to enable a lot of use cases. Now though, we're really seeing automotive go. So next-generation key fobs, and already a day, Philip, in fact, has ultra-wideband in his car and...

Philip Chesley

executive
#22

I love it.

Steven Creviston

executive
#23

And he lost his key fob weeks ago. He doesn't even need it. So with your mobile phone, you walk up to the car and unlocks. It starts for you and so forth. So that will be another major use case that will be around the corner. And once you have ultra-wideband now in all the phones and all the automobiles, obviously, home access will be the next step. So just like you're used to walking up to your car, with your phone, it opens for you, your home, will do the same thing. And then use cases around the home will proliferate from there, right? So I'll admit, it hasn't come as quickly as we thought when we acquired the company, but it is definitely coming. And so you're working with each of those verticals, as I mentioned before, we're working on those use cases that will really, to make it a must-have technology everywhere. It's not by any means located in just the mobile phone. It will be in all devices.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#24

Just really quickly before we transition the conversation a little bit. Just as you think about the next 3 to 5 years in your business, any just broad strokes, growth targets or things like that, that you might want to talk about? Just how are you guys thinking about this from a growth in TAM, growth in revenue perspective?

Steven Creviston

executive
#25

Yes. We think it will be the highest-growing segment. We've called it strong double-digit growth. This year, we're obviously suffering from the market. A lot of our actual core revenue today is coming from WiFi front-end. So that's tied to all the consumer electronics, phones and others that are slower than everyone had anticipated. So we got a lot of underutilization or gas fab tied to it. So key milestone is to get profitable, obviously, right? We got to get the scale to get profitable beyond that grow faster than the other segments, strong double digit and have accretive profitability in the 3- to 5-year time frame.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#26

Makes sense. And by the way, this should be interactive. If anybody has questions, just wave the yellow hand. I'm going to -- now please.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#27

Yes. So do you guys also see a good amount of promise here in the quantum space? Like I know the special kind of amplify? For example, which do you guys are 1 of the leaders in. And so do you see that as an opportunity?

Steven Creviston

executive
#28

In which space, sir?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#29

In the quantum space.

Steven Creviston

executive
#30

Oh, quantum space. So we're investigating opportunities there. It's not an area of direct focus for us now. There's definitely some intersection to your point. Right now, I think we're still laying the fundamental groundwork and there's all kinds of directions we could take. We can talk about AI, for example, right, in quantum and other applications. But for right now, I think it's really important that we just get the infrastructure out there for consumers to begin to get used to using the technology, and then we can go a lot of different directions definitely, yes.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#31

Now, thanks, Eric. Phil, I wanted to ask, we've done a ton of work on wide gap, mega gap semis and silicon carbide. And our research team, Josh and his team have continued to lead that effort for us across primarily the auto space. But -- and so there's been core companies that are -- that's integral to the business, and then there's been some new entrants. So maybe you could talk a little bit about the actual silicon carbide program at Qorvo. I guess, what you're doing? And importantly, what you're not doing?

Philip Chesley

executive
#32

Yes. That's a great question. So it starts -- one of the things, just as a general trend that we see is we see wideband gap moving into more of the traditional power management space, not RF power, but power management, right? You see that with GaN. You see that with silicon carbide. Qorvo is a leader, obviously, in wide-bandgap solutions. And so when we looked at the silicon carbide opportunity we wanted to enter into that market, but we wanted to enter it in a way that kind of had some unique technology. And so that's why we ended up buying a company called United Silicon Carbide. And what makes that technology unique is we're using -- not to get too technical, but a JFET approach versus a MOSFET approach. And what that allows us to do, and when we've come up with a way where you can drive that JFET where it looks like a MOSFET. So from a customer perspective, they don't necessarily see a difference, right? What that allows us to do is really have the lowest RDS(on) of any of the competing MOSFET solutions that are in the industry, but it also has CapEx and other ramifications. For an equivalent voltage rating or an RDS(on) rating, we can get 2x the number of die per substrate or per silicon carbide wafer, if you will, which allows us to be able to manufacture and scale our business at a lower cost, if you will, right? It also doesn't force us to have to get to the 8-inch technology as fast as maybe other people have to, because our economics are a little bit different. So for us, we like that technology. Now Qorvo today, we play in automotive. We play in a lot of these markets that are using silicon carbide. And our focus is really to kind of pick our spots, right? We're in automotive today. We're in all of the major segments that are using silicon carbide. But we're going to really play the game of, if you need the RDS(on) benefit, if that's a value to you, we're your go-to solution. And so we have big ambitions, maybe not as public and maybe as big as some other companies out there in the space. But we like where we're at. And we like our ability to scale it if we need to. We have a strong balance sheet. We know how to manufacture high-volume products. We understand silicon carbide. We can go as big or as moderate as we need to in the space. And so that's kind of where we are right now with it. But the results of that business have been fantastic since we've owned the asset.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#33

Just a couple of follow-ups there. So the -- where you guys are getting your raw way for substrate stuff is and you're buying it externally, I assume. Do you have contracts in place to make sure that you get supply to scale, I mean, the business side as well.

Philip Chesley

executive
#34

Yes, we do. I mean we have SK Siltron, we announced that, right? There's others, but we're definitely looking at -- as the business grows, we'll continue to do those.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#35

Any plans to expand? I mean there's -- we've seen Infineon by GaN systems. There's a bunch of stuff going on in the GaN space and sort of the periphery of autos, but in power in general, and there's obviously the IGPT franchises that are big and profitable for some of the companies. Is this a silicon carbide-only approach for Qorvo? Is this a broader power approach?

Philip Chesley

executive
#36

Today, it's silicon carbide, but we are constantly looking at the GaN on silicon technologies and working on our strategy. We haven't publicly announced anything, but it's definitely an area of something that we're paying attention to.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#37

Got it. Outside of that, in your business, that it's fairly broad, right, the aerospace and defense partnerships that Qorvo has had for a very, very long time. If you could maybe spend a little time after the resegmentation. I think investors are trying to get their heads around just what's in these different segments. If we can rank order, like what are the drivers of the different segments. So if you could just walk through the business a little bit and then -- and subsegment it a little bit by size of revenue buckets and growth drivers, that would be helpful.

Philip Chesley

executive
#38

All right. So I'll start with the Defense business. Defense business looks just like it looked before kind of resegmentation. This is where the core of our RF investment in mimics; in GaN technology; in 2, 2.5 and 3D heterogeneous integration is occurs. And really, the growth drivers around that is kind of what I talked about at the opening, right? I mean we see -- the U.S. government and our allies really looking to take the current state-of-the-art and accelerate -- I'd have to be careful, I would say it, but accelerate what they're doing for advanced radar systems in a faster way than I've ever seen in the defense and aerospace markets. There's also a more willingness to sell advanced technologies to partners, right? So those 2 things are really driving what, I think, is an exciting growth opportunity for the business. We've seen that business grow year, after year, after year, and we're going to continue to focus on that. I think the other thing that I will say is that where we play today, we're looking at SAM opportunities, expansion opportunities in that space, too, right? I mean, we're -- we look and say, okay, we're here, we're here, we're here. There's a technology here. There's a technology here. We were going to go look at either organically or inorganically adding to that. So constant focus for us. I would say the way to kind of think about that is, I think publicly, we said, what, about 1/3 of HPA? Or can we put in...

Steven Creviston

executive
#39

In that neighborhood.

Philip Chesley

executive
#40

In the neighborhood, something like that. The second piece I would call is our infrastructure business. There's 2 segments to that. There's our broadband cable access business, which we've been a leader in for a long time, continue to be a leader in that space. We're going from DOCSIS 3.1 to DOCSIS 4, there's a big upgrade cycle there. Short term, obviously, inventory challenges, things there that you're working through, but the long-term view of the market is still healthy. We see DOCSIS 4.0 as being good for Qorvo. And then the other piece is our base station business in the Infrastructure segment. And that business, again, we're a leader in small signal today. I think from an end-market perspective, I don't think the SAM of that is a high-growth SAM in that market. But for us, there's a big share opportunity in the GaN PA. And what's happening in that space is a lot of the suppliers, again, it's how do you go from something big to something small? We're using our module -- advanced module technology that we have in the Mobile space, and we're bringing that into this space where we're going to package with some of our advanced technologies for base stations. So really, I think there's a share gain opportunity for us in that market. And then the third bucket I would say is the power business. And that's the -- kind of the traditional DC to DC and PMIC business as well as the silicon carbide business. And I would just kind of put those in the 1, 2 and 3 kind of category.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#41

No, that's helpful. Just really quickly as I asked, Eric, just sort of growth expectations for your business.

Philip Chesley

executive
#42

Well, I would say double digit. I won't say strong double digit because I'm not going to say -- that's Eric's word. But again, I think double digit. Again, we're working through inventory correction. Everyone's working through inventory correction. That's a short-term thing. As I said in the opening remarks, I like -- our SAM's doubling, right? And so I think we have a big opportunity there, so double digits, for sure.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#43

No, I mean really interesting discussion. I think we have the big red clock as we have 5 minutes left in the conversation here, and I do -- some of my buy-side clients would sh*** me if don't ask about the mobile business. So here we go. I don't know if, Eric, if you want to take this or Doug, but we had a really long and interesting dinner conversation with Cristiano from Qualcomm last night and just time of talking about visibility in the wireless end markets, particularly in China. And I think you guys, on the last call, gave some further looking guidance than I would have expected out a few quarters as sort of we go from under shipping to getting shipping back with consumption. And that obviously has a big ramification for what utilization is and margins and whatnot. But if you could just kind of in real time update us on where you feel like that is as we get towards supply-demand balance and return to growth.

Doug DeLieto

executive
#44

Yes, I'll start. The comments we made were that we're still consuming inventory. We began in December, consumed about 20% total inventory in the channel, and that's distributors and customers. Our components at distributors and customers, consumed about 25% in March, still consuming this quarter, expected to be still consuming inventory in September, although that amount of inventory is coming down that we're consuming, right? So the headwind is diminishing. We think that the inventories will be consumed by the end of the calendar year, right? So there will be a contribution likely in December of some growth in Android, right? And that's contemplated in the margin guide. As we start selling through our own inventory that's burdened with underutilization, right? That's a couple quarters. We haven't guided to when that ends. But we're in the -- in terms of the channel inventory, that gets consumed this year. The comments we've made about growth, specifically September and we kind of guided for the year, and again, Grant generally guides for the full year in the first quarter, soft guide, right, are not reliant -- these comments are not reliant on the market rebounding. We're not saying smartphones are going to be up. We're saying 5G will be up modestly, 5% to 10%. We're saying 5G will be up in the double digits next year and the year after that. But our comments are entirely on bottoming, right, coming off the bottom in terms of inventory issues and content gains at our largest customer. That's what's kind of been the basis for our commentary, not on any kind of enthusiasm for a rebound. Not this fiscal year, not through March.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#45

Got it. No, that makes sense. And I think that's pretty consistent with what you guys said. If we could just walk through a little bit, and Doug, I think this is for you, but the gross margin levers as we get back to growth. I mean the margins have come down quite a lot, but we're obviously very, very healthy during '21 and '22 when the market was, we all found out later, over shipping. But if you just kind of walk us through how should people think about revenue reacceleration tied to a rebound in margins?

Doug DeLieto

executive
#46

Yes. So obviously, right now, we're underutilized and we're not capturing all the revenue because we're under shipping, right? At some point, we will have consumed all the inventory in the channel. And we will start capturing that revenue that we are -- that amount that we're undershipping right? But that -- a lot of that will be inventory. That's already on our balance sheet that's burdened with underutilization charges. So that's why the margin doesn't pop up magically when we've consumed all that inventory in the channel. We have to sell through our own inventory out of our balance sheet that's burdened with those charges. That will take some time. There'll be some hangover there, but we'll be capturing the revenue, right? And then over time, as you get closer to burning off our excess inventory on our balance sheet, you start cracking the fabs up, right? So there'll be some overlap there where the fabs are cranking up and you get the benefit of the kind of the utilization improving.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#47

Got it. That makes sense. Just while we're on the margin topic with a little bit of time left here, for both of you guys, relative to the Mobile business, the margin profile of your 2 segments is higher, I would assume. But if you could give us any quantification of that, I think that would be helpful.

Steven Creviston

executive
#48

Yes. As we touched on already, we have the utilization dynamic across all the businesses because we do have our own fabs, right? So that ties some of the fluctuation together. But our goal, of course, is to be accretive both in gross and in up margin.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#49

So in a normalized environment. I mean, is it significant?

Steven Creviston

executive
#50

For CSG, this is -- when we're at scale, right? When we built out the business we see coming over in the coming years.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#51

Magnitude there of like in a normalized environment without underutilization charges, you would expect these growth businesses to be slightly accretive to margin or significantly, so, given they're very different in customer concentration than mobile would be?

Steven Creviston

executive
#52

Mobile has done really well. We have a very good business there, so I don't think we've sized how much accretive to revenue line.

Doug DeLieto

executive
#53

Just the revenue, I've talked about the revenue growth. And I should add that the utilization hit right now is about 1,000 bps for the org, just so it's clear.

Steven Creviston

executive
#54

That's the overwhelming factor right now.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#55

No, it makes sense. Our little red clock has said that our time is up here. But really thank you, everybody, for your attention, and thank you guys for a productive conversation. Hope everybody has a great day at the conference. Thank you very much.

Philip Chesley

executive
#56

Thank you, Matt. Thanks, Matt.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#57

Thanks.

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