Radiant Cash Management Services Limited (RADIANTCMS) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
January 30, 2023
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Radiant Cash Management Services 3Q FY '23 Earnings Conference Call hosted by Antique Stock Broking. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Sohail Halai from Antique Stock Broking. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Sohail Halai
analystThank you, Aman. Good morning, everyone. We welcome you all to 3Q FY '23 Earnings Call of Radiant Cash Management Services. The company is represented by Colonel David Devasahayam, CMD; Mr. Venkataramanan, CFO; and Mr. Muthuraman, Director, Advisor, Strategy and Investor Relations. I would like to take this opportunity to congratulate David sir for his new listing and also a good set of earnings. And without further delay, I would like to hand over the call to David sir for his opening remarks. Over to you, sir.
David Devasahayam
executiveGood morning, everybody. Thank you, Sohail, for the introduction. I'd like to introduce myself. I'm Colonel David Devasahayam, the Chairman and Managing Director of the Radiant Cash Management Services Limited. And along with me are my senior management team members. I have with me the CFO, Mr. T. Venkataramanan and also the Director for Strategy and Investor Relations, Mr. N. Muthuraman. I'd like to thank all the investors, particularly anchor investors, institutional investors, HNIs and retail investors who have participated in large numbers to make our IPO a success. I thank the investors who have joined the first analyst call of the company this morning. Let me begin by a factual readout of the 3-month performance and 9-month performance of the company. Revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2022, grew by 19.4% to INR 93.2 crores. The PAT for the quarter ended December 31, 2022, grew by 53% to INR 70.67 crores. Revenues for the 9 months ended December 31, 2022, grew by 27.6% to INR 266.1 crores and the PAT for the 9 months ended December 31, 2022, has grown by 73.3% to INR 47.19 crores. It's been a satisfying performance, and we were very happy to upload it on the exchanges on Saturday, the 28th. During the first analyst call, I would like to briefly explain the business of our company. Radiant is in the business of retail cash management, an important segment of cash logistics industry. We are the market leader with over 40% market share in retail cash management, and we are present across the country. We work primarily with banks who are our clients. On behalf of banks, we pick up cash from various outlets and deposit the cash in the bank branches. We get paid by the bank for a fixed charge per outlet per month. This is the core of our business and account for over 65% of our revenues. Our second business vertical is network cash management. This is a premium value-added service we offer to the banks. Here, we deposit cash in our own bank account and then electronically transfer this to our client bank. This is acquired in places where a client bank does not have a branch. Here, we charge the banks based on the volume of cash that we deposit in our account. This segment accounts for about 20% of our revenues. We also give cash vans on hire to banks for a bulk movement of cash between their vaults and branches. This segment accounts for 6% of our revenues. Other value-added services such as cash processing, vaulting, van behind counter, et cetera, account for the rest. So what are the key drivers of our business? We are present in approximately 60,000 outlets today. As per industry estimates, the entire industry is picking up from less than 1.5 lakh outlets. But the potential market is huge with over 30 lakh outlets eligible to use this service. This could provide us a significant growth opportunity for many years to come. We have been adding 1,000 to 1,200 outlets per month, which is spurring our growth. These points come from both existing end customers as they expand their operations as well as new end customers to whom our client banks start offering these services. While these outlets are currently serviced by us through banks, we're also making conscious efforts to reach out to more and more outlets directly, where their banks, particularly this observe in the nationalized banking sector where our services are still not very -- have not been fully taken up and they don't offer these value-added services. Direct clients account for about 2% to 3% of our revenues currently, but this is likely to increase in the future. So what is so unique about us? I was from the armed forces and so our 21% of our workforce, and this includes the top leadership team. We run the operations with military discipline, the great deal of integrity and more importantly, frugality and take pride in handling such a large volume of public money without any adverse incidents. This is the reason our cash losses are the lowest in the industry. We work with several marquee banks across private sector, foreign and public sector banks. Our relationship with banks are long term in nature, and we strive to continuously improve quality of our service. This is the reason we have hardly lost any bank client in our 17.5 years in operations. We are also very proud of our technological adoption and innovation. We have API integration with the core banking solution of banks and modules, especially developed for our key end customers. This makes our business with them very sticky. So therefore, what does the future hold for us? Now that we are a public company with several small shareholders, it's our responsibility to strive hard to grow the business faster and continuously, generate healthy profits. The entire Radiant team has taken this responsibility very seriously, and you all would see the results of this in the coming quarters. As I mentioned earlier, the opportunity is humongous in retail cash management as it is a nascent industry in our country. This will provide significant growth, scope for growth for us in the medium term. We're also looking to expand our business from very clients and towards this and have today hired a Senior Resource, chief banking -- Chief Business Officer with relevant experience, to head this initiative. I would now like to request Muthuraman, our Director of Strategy and Investor Relations, to talk about the operational KPIs we have achieved and its impact on our financial results. It's over to you, Muthu.
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveThank you, Colonel. Good morning, everyone. Thanks once again for joining our first analyst call post IPO. I'll present the update on operational KPIs, and we'll try to link the same with our various business verticals that Colonel just explained about. We are present in 13,300 plus pin codes across 5,500 locations in India. In fact, we are present in every district in the country, except Lakshadweep. This has been our strongest USP as a wide network helps in servicing maximum number of clients that by improving our route density and hence our profitability. In the 9 months ended December 31, we handled 1.17 trillion of cash. This reflects a growth of 20% over FY '22 on an annualized basis. We operate at 59,750-plus touch points as on December 31, 2022. Again, a growth of 20% over the March number of 49,980. That's close to 10,000 points added in 9 months or about 1,100 points per month. We have been adding such numbers every month for the last several quarters, and this is a growth driver for our first business vertical that Colonel spoke about. That is cash, pickup and delivery accounts for 68% of our revenues and the number of touch points is a direct growth driver for this vertical, as we charge our banks a fixed amount per point per month. 68% of our revenues for the 9 months ended December 31 came from Tier 3 plus locations. This is a key growth driver for our second vertical that is the network cash management, which accounted for 18% of our revenues in this period. Tier 3 plus locations have very limited branch presence. So as against 61 bank branches per lack population in urban areas, India has only 6 branches per lakh population in rural areas. So in such areas, our value-added product of network cash management helps our bank clients to offer this service to end customers even where they do not have a branch presence. As on December 31, 2022, we had 840 cash vans and a staff strength of 9,200 including 2,100 employees and 7,100 contractual workers. Of this 21% are from armed forces, again, a USP for Radiant is a help to keep our cash losses to the minimum. For the 9 months ended -- for this 9-month period, our gross cash losses, that is before the insurance claim was about INR 4 crores. Obviously, the impact on the P&L is much lower than that. We added about 13 clients in this 9-month period, all of whom are direct clients. This has helped increase the share of direct clients in our revenues to 2.4% in this 9-month period as against 1.5% in FY '22. We serviced 3,200 odd end customers in this period, which is up from INR 2,675 in FY '22. All of these has helped generate a very healthy ROCE of 33.3% and a return on equity of 27.4% for this period on an annualized basis. More importantly, we generated free cash flow from operations after working capital changes of INR 42.5 crores in the 9-month period ended December 31, as against INR 31.1 crores in FY '22, representing a growth of over 35%. I now request Colonel to share his concluding remarks.
David Devasahayam
executiveWell, quite a bit has been already said by both of us. And I would like to say that in the medium term, that's till FY '25, I do not foresee any challenge to the growth that we are currently predicting of 22% to 24% year-on-year, and that will be our endeavor, and I think we are on track as of now, particularly for the fourth quarter. With that, I would like to now open this communication for any questions from any of you. And we will -- it'll be our endeavor to answer them. It's over to Sohail and you all.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Aejas Lakhani from Unifi Capital.
Aejas Lakhani
analystCongratulations on the listing and good set of numbers. Sir my first question is on the pickup points, which is a crux of the business. So if you look at the growth you've added in terms of touch points, is there a difference in the revenues for Tier 1, Tier 2, Tier 3 Plus because there's been heavy growth in Tier 1 and Tier 2 versus a Tier 3 per se. So is there a revenue differentiation, which is like skewed in favor of Tier 1, Tier 2?
David Devasahayam
executiveYes. Thanks, Aejas. Our contract is -- our pricing is common across all the tiers. We enter into long-term contracts with banks and the pricing is just purely based on the particular points location. It is whether within city limits, beyond city limits or far off locations. It is -- it could be in Tier 1, Tier 2 or Tier 3, the pricing is the same.
Aejas Lakhani
analystGot it. So sir, you mentioned in your opening remarks that in the rural places, the connectivity is much lower from an ATM perspective. But what is visible is that the number of touch point splits have gone up significantly in Tier 1, so it used to be in the 6,000 ranges, but that's moved to 10,000 now. So could you explain what has caused the jump in the Tier 1 cities for more points?
David Devasahayam
executiveAnd again, quickly just put a number to it and give you a specific answer. The answer is that organized retail is growing rapidly. There's also e-com, e-com and e-com logistics is growing pretty rapidly. And they are initially concentrating. It's not going to be for a long time. It is going to cascade into Tier 3 and Tier 4 locations. But as of now, the growth that we are initially registering is very, very concentrated in Tier 1 and Tier 2 locations. And that's the reason why you see these additional numbers.
Aejas Lakhani
analystGot it. And sir, is there a seasonality with the fourth quarter being, from a seasonality perspective, the best quarter for us?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveUsually, third and fourth quarter are the best quarters for us. So typically, as you can see our last year, I think we have given our quarterly numbers as well. Q4 and Q3 revenues more or less matched last year.
Aejas Lakhani
analystGot it. And sir, could you call out that except for the new touch points that you keep adding, you've mentioned the number of 1,100 points per month, which you are expecting to continue, right? So this is one lever of growth. Second, you have mentioned on call that you've added new direct clients, but do direct clients account for a better revenue than going through intermediaries like a bank?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveNo. Our pricing is fairly standard across direct clients as well as for banks.
Aejas Lakhani
analystOkay. And sir, could you call out some of the other group levers except for the addition in touch points?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveYes. So the -- for the first segment, it is additional touch points, which has a direct correlation, one-on-one correlation. Obviously, the volume of cash handled also has an impact. As I said, the pricing is dependent on 2 variables. The -- what is the daily cash limit, not the really cash handle, daily cash limit? And what is the -- where is it located? So these are the 2 variables based on which our pricing is determined. So volume of cash handle, like I said, it is INR 1.17 trillion in this 9-month period that represented about a 20% growth over -- on an annualized basis over last year. So the second lever could be the first segment that is the pick up and delivery is also the volume of cash handle. Though the correlation is not strictly one-on-one, a stronger correlation will be based on the number of points. For the second segment, correlation will be based on 3 aspects. One is the share of foreign banks and private sector banks in our Rural. Foreign banks, in particular, because the network cash management as I said is more relevant where the banks don't have their own branch presence. Foreign banks have limited branch presence, so almost a substantial portion of their revenues go through our account as well. So we get to charge the network cash management. So the share of foreign banks will be one of the levers. Second is the share of Tier 3 plus revenues because there the branch presence is low. And third, obviously, is the volume of cash because that is priced volumetric, directly ad valorem pricing. The amount of cash that we deposit in our account is directly correlated there.
Aejas Lakhani
analystGot it. And sir what is the percentage of revenue that is coming from foreign banks versus private and public?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveWe have given that in the analyst presentation that we uploaded. It's about 25%. Slide 10.
Aejas Lakhani
analyst25%. Got it, sir. Is there any other growth lever that you feel that investors should know about?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveGroup?
Aejas Lakhani
analystAny growth levers?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveGrowth levers, I think this covers about 90% of our revenues. The cash processing, cash van operations are fairly standard, ancillary revenues that we make. I think we have covered it.
David Devasahayam
executivecash van operations, as you know, in the fresh issue, we are purchasing another 200 cash vans. The consolidation that has happened in the industry, we're looking at new contracts. Some of the early contracts, thanks to the COVID, were being extended to players who do not have the RBI criteria, meet the RBI criteria. Now that, that is behind us, I think new contracts have come up, we'll also be competing that. And that's one of the reasons we have gone in for 200 additional vehicles. I'm not putting a number to it, but it's -- we're looking at it as another growth segment that we can have. New clients that we have, I mean, a direct clients that we are looking at, I think that's going to also substantially have an impact on our future revenue. These are additional aspects that we're looking at.
Aejas Lakhani
analystGot it. And sir, the cash vans, you placed the orders for them, when are they expected to start being revenue accretive or generative?
David Devasahayam
executiveWould you like to answer that?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveWhen are we placing the orders...
David Devasahayam
executiveWe have placed the order of about 40 vehicles. We've already placed the order over 200. Another about 160 vehicles, we are likely to place an order in the coming financial year.
Aejas Lakhani
analystOkay. So it's going to be spread out over next quarter to the next year, the revenues from these vans?
Unknown Executive
executive40 vehicles will be getting it before the end of this financial year. Another 160 to 180 vehicles in the next financial year...
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Prashant Kutty from Sundaram Mutual Fund.
Prashant Kutty
analystCongrats for your listing, sir. Just a few bookkeeping questions in the first half and then probably a couple of other things. Sir firstly, if you -- just a clarification, you said that the cash pickup and delivery was about 68% of revenue, right?
Unknown Executive
executiveThat's right. Yes.
Prashant Kutty
analystAnd network cash management was about 18%.
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveYes. That's right. it is 68.8% and 18.3%.
Prashant Kutty
analystAnd did you mention what was the network cash management would it on an annual basis as of 9 months?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveYes. Sorry. Can you repeat the question?
Prashant Kutty
analystSir, I am saying did you mention -- because I couldn't see in the presentation, the amount of network cash managed. We have the cash movement annual number, but we didn't have the network cash managed number. If you could share that.
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveI'll just tell you, we...
David Devasahayam
executiveWell, compared to the, about 40% of the total cash that is moved is under network cash management. Do you have exact numbers?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveINR 41,147 crores.
Prashant Kutty
analystOkay. That's roughly about 40% of the number, 35% of the number.
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveYes, slightly less than that.
Prashant Kutty
analystJust on this point itself, sir, typically, now when you speak about network currency management and all, you always mentioned that typically about 40% of the number, but if I look at this quarter has kind of come down. Just want to also understand, usually, the third quarter, you said in a strong quarter because of festive season and all. However, if you look at the numbers, is it something which you have probably expected it to be on a Q-o-Q basis, this number or we probably were expecting a higher number? Purely because if I look at the last 2 quarters, we've done about INR 85 crores to INR 88-odd crore number. But on a sequential basis, the jump doesn't seem to be high, given that our third quarter and fourth quarter are usually -- is there any spillover effect, which is there...
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveNo, not a spillover effect. There was a temporary setback in one particular sector, if you could see our sector-wise revenues also we have given. The petroleum sector, we did have some small headwinds because we handle largely with the private sector petrol bunks, not the public sector ones. And there, the pump price between private and public are slightly widened. Because of that, their own volumes had some -- faced some challenge. We believe it's a temporary phenomenon and should come back to steady state quickly.
Prashant Kutty
analystOkay. And is there -- can you quantify in terms of what is the impact of that or something on this sir? Or was there -- is there any quantification on that?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveThat will be conjecture, right, as in what would have been versus what is actual. And then you have the data on the -- what was the last year full year and what is the current -- that data I can update in the presentation and share.
Prashant Kutty
analystBut apart from that, you just spoke about the petrol pump side, but in general, if you look at it, the other parts of the business should have actually been growing faster. So is that on track when we talk about the organized retail part of the business and all because even ex of that, the growth rate should have been higher. Because in terms of touch points, we've seen a good number growing up. That's the reason I'm checking on that.
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveYes, we are seeing robust growth in e-commerce and e-commerce logistics, robust growth in organized retail and decent growth in BFSI. These are the 3 largest segments, in the total.
Prashant Kutty
analystUnderstood. So just to that point itself sir, when you say that, that's like a temporary thing, you just spoke about the petrol pump thing, have you seen that kind of coming back on track? I mean, has it kind of been -- issued been resolved right now?
David Devasahayam
executiveYes, I personally feel it's a temporary situation. I think it should get restored. I'm unable to put a time line to it, but I think it should happen in the near future.
Prashant Kutty
analystUnderstood. Understood. And on the question in terms of the Tier 1 seeing an improvement in the numbers. Typically, while you did say that the pricing is the same, but typically in terms of cash handling and all the number will be much higher for Tier 1, right? And we've always seen higher number from a Tier 3 perspective, and we've been suddenly seeing an increase in the Tier 2 and Tier 1 numbers at least. So I presume -- one should assume that the flagship starts driving us leverage as well as the scale of Tier 1 and Tier 2 keeps rising. Is that a fair assumption to make in terms of our margins and all?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveNo. Actually, if you see our percentage of Tier 1, Tier 2, 3 points and revenue percentage, it will more or less match a percentage here and there. So that is reflective of our long-term pricing as well, long-term pricing that we have with the banks as well. There are multiple factors. Yes, the individual points will handle higher volumes. So to that extent, per point volume could be slightly higher. But -- and the route density also typically tend to be higher in Tier 1. But at the same time, the cost of operations tend to be slightly higher as well in Tier 1. So in terms of the overall contribution to the bottom line as well, we don't see a sharp difference in contribution from Tier 1 versus Tier 2 versus Tier 3.
David Devasahayam
executiveAnd the Tier 1 increase that you're all observing and commenting upon is largely driven by the retail. Retail is -- organized retail is growing very rapidly in our country and we are seeing -- as a consequence, we are seeing the growth which is happening in that.
Prashant Kutty
analystUnderstood. So otherwise, there is no such change in terms of the pricing and all. The pricing largely is being maintained as far as cash pickup and delivery is concerned and even network cash management is concerned. The pricing as such is being largely maintained, right?
David Devasahayam
executivePricing has been sustained and maintained like this, and there's no impact on pricing in any way.
Prashant Kutty
analystUnderstood. Understood. Lastly sir on my end, in terms of our guidance, like you just highlighted that you should see -- I presume that probably there'll be some spillover effect going on to the next quarter and typically the fourth quarter is the best quarter. What is the revenue and our margin guidance, if you could just throw some light on that part for the next question?
David Devasahayam
executiveI like to remain conservative. I mean, I'm hopeful for better numbers. But at the same time, as the existing trajectory and track that we are currently maintaining, I think it will be sustained. And it will definitely continue into the fourth quarter, which you'll see in the next numbers, it will be uploaded sometime in May.
Prashant Kutty
analystUnderstood. Understood. But the reason I'm asking this specifically sir, is while you did touch up on the chart that you have seen about close to 20 -- you can probably say about 20%, 25% kind of a growth number, this quarter, obviously, was slightly lower, and we presume you said about the petrol pump issue. But on an average, you should assume that this number should be growing at about 20% to 25%. That's a fair assumption to make. Given the fact that we are adding almost about 12,000 to 14,000 touch points per annum?
David Devasahayam
executiveWell, I would just like to look at this. Let's look at the PAT itself. PAT last year was INR 38 crores. Currently, we are at INR 47.2 crores at the end of the third quarter in 9 months, itself, we achieved this. And 9-month on 9-month comparison, it's nearly a 73% growth. So it's a very strong indication by any standards, and we hope to sustain this.
Prashant Kutty
analystSure. And one last bit, sir, you've also seen -- since you also touched upon the fact that you've seen a good amount of PAT number, it's also driven by a very strong EBITDA margin number. Are you saying that you are probably sustaining this number? Or can we actually better this number going forward?
David Devasahayam
executiveCurrently, I'd like to say like to sustain these numbers close to 26%. I think it's a good number to target, but we hope to improve upon it in the midterm.
Prashant Kutty
analystWhat could be the lever for margin? Is it just leverage? Or is there any other legs in terms of cost or something which you can probably cut on. If you say margin has to improve? Or is it just purely leverage, I presume?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveYes. See, the operating leverage is clearly at play. You could see that in the third -- in the 3 months...
Prashant Kutty
analystYes, that's what I asked, yes.
Thinniyam Venkataramanan
executive19.4% is a growth, whereas EBITDA growth was 42% and PAT growth was 53%. So the operating leverage is a play that will continue to demonstrate not only in Q4, we are hoping that, that it'll continue in the next year as well.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Aditya Sharma from Aditya Birla AMC.
Aditya Sharma
analystA few questions from my end. Sir, we were expecting somewhere around flattish growth in the employee cost, while in this quarter, there has been -- the cost of employees has increased much ahead of even revenues. So can you just point out what has led to that?
Thinniyam Venkataramanan
executiveSee, there are 2 reasons for that. One is there has been an increase in the cash executive expenses during the second quarter and third quarter, the slight increase in that. We hired them considering that the volume will pick up in the third quarter. Second reason is we have given some increases to our existing staff during the second and third quarter. These 2 reasons -- these 2 are the reasons for the slightly higher cost in employee costs. The second and third.
Aditya Sharma
analystCan you please repeat the second argument. What is the reason?
Thinniyam Venkataramanan
executiveFirst reason is the increase in the cash executives cost. Second is the annual increases to our own stock during the second and third quarter.
Aditya Sharma
analystAnnual increase in the...
Thinniyam Venkataramanan
executiveFor our staff...
David Devasahayam
executiveAnnual increment. From first of...
Aditya Sharma
analystOkay. Okay. And so according to you, the volume pickup wasn't as commensurate as expected and you hired a higher number of executives than was required?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveI would not put it like that. We are building in capacity because we are expecting a fairly robust growth in the current quarter as well, Aditya.
Aditya Sharma
analystRight. So sir, just coming back on the growth front, as we would understand the Tier 3, Tier 2 in smaller towns, the marriage season and the festival season is quite big. And did you see the weakness in the demand, which led to this or our fixed pricing doesn't actually -- there is actually no impact from the weakness in the rural demand. So how should one understand this situation?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveSee, our Tier 3 revenues have continued to remain as a percentage. So overall, the -- like Colonel mentioned, only one place where we did experience some weakness was in the petroleum sector. E-commerce, organized retail has shown the highest growth followed by e-commerce sector. BFSI growth has been steady and Petroleum was a little lower. In fact, there is no growth, has small degrowth.
Aditya Sharma
analystGot it, sir. I'm just trying to understand does a weak rural demand actually have an impact on your revenues?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveNo.
Aditya Sharma
analystA hypothetical question, if I would say that.
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveNo, no, no, because our share of rural revenues have continued to remain at 67%. So the company overall has grown at 19.4% and the share of rural -- Tier 3 revenues also have grown at the same pace.
Aditya Sharma
analystAnd also, we are showing higher growth in Tier 1 cities in terms of outlets. So I just wanted to understand 2 things. In terms of pricing, as you said, there are 2 levers. One is the amount of cash that is funded and the second is the distance. So in -- my understanding would be the distance traveled in these cities would be much lower than Tier 3. And I would assume -- presume actually that the relation -- the dependence on the distance would be more in terms of pricing compared to the amount of cash handled. So is this understanding correct?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveNo, Aditya.
Aditya Sharma
analystOkay.
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveNo, Aditya. Our pricing is just purely based on the location. It is not based on the distance. Okay, individual points, 60,000 points, there's no way we sit and compute the distance from that point to the nearest bank branch or from our offices. It is not based on the kilometer travel or none of our pricing is based on the number of kilometers travelled. It is just purely based on this slot, whether it is 3 categories, within city limits, beyond city limits or far off locations.
David Devasahayam
executiveAnd Tier 1 locations, the employee cost is slightly on the higher side that will [indiscernible] compared to Tier 3 and Tier 4. These things, the distance being less and therefore. Finally, it's all kind of balances out.
Aditya Sharma
analystOkay. Okay. Got it. Got it. So are you saying in terms of the margins, it would be similar because the -- it will be in the city limit, but their cost would also be higher?
David Devasahayam
executiveAbsolutely, that's right.
Aditya Sharma
analystAlso, wanted to understand this part, so our network cash management is higher -- is a margin-accretive business. And as we grow more and more in cities such as Tier 1, I would presume that the share of this business would come down. So the margin expansion that we were envisaging before would take even longer. So is that understanding correct?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveNo. No, Aditya. This quarterly number, a higher Tier 1 is -- we believe, is a one-off phenomenon because of strong growth in the organized sector, retail sector from one or two clients, specific clients. Over a longer period of time, we expect that our share of revenues in Tier 3 will continue to be over 65%, and that will continue to have a robust positive impact on the network cash management. We don't expect the share of it to reduce from where it is today.
Aditya Sharma
analystGot it. Got it. So sir, what has changed in terms of -- because when we were analyzing the company, we were probably guiding for margins of closer to 30-odd percent. And now we would like to sustain around 26%. So if environment is -- nothing has changed materially in the environment then, why there is a change in this time?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveNo. Like I said that petroleum sector headwind had some impact on revenues. As you said, high operating leverage means it cuts both ways.
Aditya Sharma
analystI'm not talking about this quarter, I'm just more trying to understand more from the coming year so FY '24. So the margin expansion was clearly on the cards. But now it seems we're talking about sustaining these margins. So I just wanted to understand this more clear.
David Devasahayam
executiveWell, Aditya, we have not given any kind of public guidance on this. And I would not like to comment specifically on anything. We can have independently a discussion, and it's always a pleasure to hear from you Aditya. And I would just like to point out that currently, we have reached INR 47.2 crores of PAT at the end of 9 months, and we had done INR 38 crores of PAT last year, the full year. And this is a 9-month comparison, it's nearly 73% growth. And we hope to sustain and build on this in the time ahead. Certain additional aspects are like we have about 50 vehicles also during the last 2 quarters. So that again has had an impact. So I would like to leave it at that point -- in that point because at this public forum, I would like to not place any specific numbers in public items.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Suman Kawatra from Techfin Consultants.
Suman Kawatra
analystDo you foresee any pricing pressure due to competition -- upcoming competition in this business? Or do you think the prices will remain stable or go up, number one. And number two, as your 9 to 9 months, you've got 73% growth. Can we assume that this continues, and we may reach a PAT of about INR 100 crores next year?
David Devasahayam
executiveWell, with regards to the competition, I'd like to say that, first of all, you need to have a network -- we have built over the last 17.5 years. It's a very positive, very strong network based on an ex-service culture and DNA. To truly compete with us for another person to come in with this kind of a network immediately could be difficult. And therefore, we don't see any kind of strong competitive pressure in this -- in retail cash management.
Suman Kawatra
analystOkay.
David Devasahayam
executiveAnd with regards to the kind of growth that we have registered, I wouldn't like to be that optimistic. But I'd like to say that we can -- in the midterm, we are looking at revenue growth of 22% to 24%. And the frugality with which we conduct our operations. I think our EBITDA and PAT will also be on a positive note. And we look forward to sustain that. But I wouldn't like to put any definitive numbers for the future. We are on track. And I think the fourth quarter is also looking very positive for us.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Mukul Garg from Motilal Oswal Financial Services.
Mukul Garg
analystYes. So just wanted to follow up on a couple of earlier questions. If you look at the near-term Q3, there were obviously some noise, which we are hearing on slowing impact in the retail space and macro demand. And just wanted to kind of check on that. Are you seeing any impact on account of the weaker macroeconomic environment on the retail cash management business? And if it is the case, then -- and excluding the petroleum issue, how are we kind of tackling this macro effect?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveEvery metric that we are looking at is looking fairly healthy Mukul. As I said, the cash handled is the real barometer for that. If you're looking at this as a surrogate for the rest of the sectors and that is INR 1.17 trillion is a 20% growth over last year, annualized basis. So -- and we expect that, again, in the sense, if the petroleum issue was not there, we would have crossed 20% also to reach probably 23%, 24%. So e-commerce has shown a fairly robust growth. Organized retail has shown exceedingly healthy growth for us. BFSI has been fairly stable in steady-state growth. So I'm not seeing any such macro indicators reflecting in our business volumes that we handle and so are our revenues and costs.
Mukul Garg
analystRight. Muthu, if you can, sort of the 9-month number, is it possible to share the Q3 Y-o-Y growth in terms of the cash movements which we have handled and generally, compared to Q2 also because this is obviously seasonally stronger quarter with weddings and multiple festivals, which usually take place. The quarterly increase in revenue growth also has been in line with past trends.
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveI don't have that number ready. We can update the KPI on a quarterly basis and upload in the website and share with the investors.
David Devasahayam
executiveMukul last year, we moved a INR 1,30,000 crores. In the year '22, that's what we moved. Now, in the first 9 months, we have already moved INR 1,18,000 crores, where I think likely to talk about INR 1,60,000 crores by the end of the year. That's the volume of cash that we've been moving and it's moving on expected lines.
Mukul Garg
analystSure Colonel. And also second part on the employee cost increase which we have seen this quarter. How should we think about the directionality or the correlation of employee cost increase versus the revenue over the medium term, beyond the very, very near term. And assuming that we have obviously added both senior as well as on the ground team this quarter, which might have had some impact on cost. Will we now kind of utilize them [indiscernible] the impact on employee costs will be relatively kind of behind the top line growth over the next maybe 1 year? Or will it continue to move in tandem?
Thinniyam Venkataramanan
executiveWe will be able to maintain the same growth what we have achieved in the last 9 months. Employee cost for the fourth quarter, it will be at the same -- almost at the same level as what we had for Q3. And going forward, when the volume picks up, it should -- as a chance, it should marginally come down when the volume picks up.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Dhiral from PhillipCapital.
Dhiral Shah
analystSir, what are the typical risks to the network cash management as well as the cash pickup and delivery system that we can see right now?
David Devasahayam
executiveYou've got the question...
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveWhat are the risks that you see?
David Devasahayam
executiveRisk is essentially, cash-in-transit loss risk, which is there. And cash-in-transit loss, because of the fact that we deal with public money with a great deal of responsibility. And the fact that nearly 21% of the workforce is ex-service. There's a great deal of integrity, responsibility and discipline with which we handle this public money. And one of the reasons we have the best cash-in-transit loss history is the industry.
Dhiral Shah
analystSir, is the faster adoption of...
David Devasahayam
executiveWe have a DGP, who is the incharge of the whole organization. and nearly 130 employees who are former unit commissioned officers, [indiscernible] former police inspector were there. And we don't wait for an incident. We are constantly in touch with the SPs of the district. So that in case of any eventuality, there is an immediate response from the police and we're able to deal with it appropriately. That's the reason. That's the only risk that we foresee in the future.
Dhiral Shah
analystAnd sir, is the faster adoption of UPI is a risk to our business?
David Devasahayam
executiveNo, UPI, this is something I've been answering across the board. And when I talk about it, and the RBI, they're quite surprised that such a question is being raised. See in a country of ours, it's a growing economy, there was only one option that was to transact in cash until very recently. Now all the measures that the current -- government is currently taking in terms of digitization and UPI or even digital currencies, they are planning to introduce, all these are very welcome measures in a growing economy, which aspires to one day be a fully developed economy. And the public must have options for transactions. So currently, at the same time, government is not -- also sees as the fact that 14% of the GDP is cash as of now. And cash in circulation which was about INR 13.6 lakh crores in 2016 has today grown to INR 31.5 lakh crores, gone to INR 41.5 lakh crores by 2025. And it's also an indicator, if you look at our business now in the 9 months itself, we have moved INR 1,18,000 crores. And we are likely to hit INR 1,60,000 crores as compared to INR 1,30,000 crores last year. So these are all parallel tracks. In any strong economy, you must have the option to digitally transact. You must also -- and cash is also there. And in our country, cash is -- cash transactions are very popular and they are continuing in the manner that they always have been.
Dhiral Shah
analystWhat percentage of sales in the organized retail segment is by cash payment?
David Devasahayam
executiveCan you repeat your question?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveWe don't have [indiscernible] that out of the total transactions, noncash transactions are 11% in India out of the total transaction in FY '20. We don't have an updated number.
Dhiral Shah
analystSo 89% is directly linked to the cash payment?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveNo, no. There is some other metrics. Organized retail accounts were only 18% of our own revenues. Our largest segment will be BFSI and second largest is e-com and e-com logistics. And in e-com and e-com logistics, even in Tier 1 locations, 50% of the transactions are cash on delivery, and that goes up to 90% in Tier 4 locations. So that's a key driver. In BFSI, as an essence, insurance payments, insurance premium payments are made in cash, microfinance loan disbursements, collections are in cash, even this thing -- and even for other NBFCs, gold loans, payments and repayments are in cash. So BFSI has been a large driver of our revenue, followed by e-commerce logistics. These 2, we have metrics. In organized retail, specifically, we don't have how much of the actual retail transaction happens in cash versus UPI versus credit card.
Dhiral Shah
analystOkay. And sir, what will be the CapEx for the FY '23 and FY '24 as you are looking to add more vehicles?
Thinniyam Venkataramanan
executiveCapEx will be about INR 25 crores. Next year, it will be INR 20 crores. For the financial year '23-'24, the CapEx will be INR 20 crores.
Dhiral Shah
analystAnd sir for this year FY '23?
Thinniyam Venkataramanan
executiveFY '23, it should be in the range of INR 8 crores to INR 9 crores.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Aasim Bharde from DAM Capital Advisors.
Aasim Bharde
analystYes. So firstly, on the 22%, 24% revenue growth expectations that you're talking about, touch point addition would be about 11% to 12-odd percent?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveNo, a little bit higher than that. We are not expecting a significant -- any pricing revision or anything like that. As in the -- for the 70% of our revenues, it will be a one-on-one correlation.
Aasim Bharde
analystJust if it's not 11% to 12-odd percent, how high would the touch point growth addition be as per your internal expectation? Would it be closer to the 20% mark?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveYes, it will be high teens, I would expect. The point growth will be high teens.
Aasim Bharde
analystHigh teens. Okay. And the other question was basically for the RCM industry as a whole. And for your own clients, how many are already paying the RBI compliant prices? And how much is still left in terms of pricing growth catch-up?
David Devasahayam
executiveYes. That's a good question. Currently now, the RBI has closed that to the cash logistics association and in conjunction with them 50 cities, towns and cities, now we are more into the RBI pricing as of now. And the next rollout after discussion is going to happen in another -- another 67 cities have been identified where the RBI pricing will kick in. And that we are hoping to see from about April onwards, that's happening. Now having said that, structured companies like us, knowing that for the safety of the cash, it was good to go into the kind of RBI measure that have been recommended. I'd like to say that even as we speak about 80% to 85% of our cash is moved as per RBI norms. So when the additional pricing comes in, it is likely to have a positive impact on our overall revenue as well as on to our profitability.
Aasim Bharde
analystSo for you guys, 80% to 85%, you're already paying the compliant prices. Is that what you meant?
David Devasahayam
executiveNo. We have done it because of the safety measures. For safety of movement of cash, we are following the RBI norms. But another -- for the 50 cities, yes, we're already getting the RPI pricing.
Aasim Bharde
analystOkay. So yes, that's going to be my second clarification. When you say that RBI is going to roll it out. That means from day 1, the pricing adjust to the new compliance norms is it, or do they get some time to catch up on that?
David Devasahayam
executiveThat's right. This has to -- it is a very structured thing and all the banks parallelly at the same time have to offer the RBI pricing. So that there is no unfair advantage to one bank, which is not paying RBI pricing, while the rest of them have fallen in line. So it is also coordinated with the IBA and carried out in a structured manner, the Indian Banking Associates.
Aasim Bharde
analystOkay. Okay. Got it. And the second question was basically the direct clients that you're working with. You said the pricing you get is similar versus that through banking clients. I just wanted to understand what is the value proposition for them to work with you? Is it mainly because these are from smaller markets, the bank branches presence may not be that much, so it makes sense to work with you? Or is there something else over here?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveYes, our target is mostly clients of public sector banks, except SBI, who don't even have the option of availing the service of this nature.
Aasim Bharde
analystOkay. So then it won't be restricted to smaller markets, basically.
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveNo, no, it will be across all the markets, but all PSU banks except SBI don't even offer retail cash management or door step banking as a service to their customers.
Aasim Bharde
analystEven SBI doesn't do it?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveExcept SBI. [indiscernible] except SBI, don't even offer this as a service to their end customers.
Aasim Bharde
analystJust to understand who would the...
David Devasahayam
executiveWe've empaneled with all of them. We have signed a contract. But the level of our current deployment of utilization of our services is very miniscule. It's very, very small. And compared to the way SBI today is one of our largest clients. Compared to that, the other nationalized banks have still not fallen in line. So all the customers whom they are servicing, they're all in need of the service. And those are the ones that we are looking at as direct clients in the future.
Aasim Bharde
analystJust wanted to understand who would these direct clients be who work with PSU banks, but don't have an account with an SBI or an HDFC especially in larger markets?.
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveCan you repeat the question, please?
Aasim Bharde
analystSo I just wanted to understand, I mean, the clients who are in larger markets would ideally be banking with a private sector bank or maybe an SBI. Yet there are clients apparently who are working with PSU banks where RCM is not really offered as a service. So what kind of clients are these? Are they more small mom-and-pop stores? I just wanted to understand the client profile here?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executivePublic sector banks except SBI accounts for 60% of the banking sector. So how can you say that. I mean every -- this thing -- it could be the local retail stores, local chain of retail stores. It could be a pharmacy chains, it would be gold jewelers. It could be hundreds and thousands of petrol pumps. They typically bank with the nearest bank that is available as it may not be necessarily a foreign bank or SBI or a private sector bank.
David Devasahayam
executiveState Bank, I'm sorry.
Muthuraman Natarajan
executivePunjab National Bank, Bank of Baroda, Bank of India, all of them are as an instance, the bank have hundreds and thousands of outlets, but don't offer door-step banking. They expect their client to come and deposit at their bank branch.
David Devasahayam
executiveState government organizations, which are there, [ milk ] outlets and the electricity board and the milk outlets. All of them are now currently banking with various public sector banks, particularly to that particular state. So it's a very large market that we have to tap into right now.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Dhaval Mehta as an investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeSo thank you for giving me the opportunity. I think excellent set of numbers, very good results in a tough market. I specifically wanted [indiscernible] direct to retail strategy further. And today, you mentioned it's relatively small, but what percentage of the currency and the NCM volume we do will be retail now today versus, let's say, last year in percentage terms?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveIn revenue terms, it is 2.5%. I would expect a similar number of 2.5% of our total volume that we handle there.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeOkay. Okay. Got it. And just a follow-up here.
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveSee in retail client, there is no concept of NCM. It's only the cash pickup and delivery charge.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeOkay, okay. And going forward, this is -- where do you expect this D2 retail to go in terms of volume and revenues, let's say, FY '24?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveWe lost you in between. Can you just repeat the question please.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeYes. So in FY '24, what do you see -- foresee as volume from direct to retail and revenues also?
Operator
operatorSo Dhaval, can I request you to repeat your question, please?
Muthuraman Natarajan
executiveSo I think I got the question. What is the share of volume of cash from direct clients in FY '24. I don't think we have a definitive answer to that at this point of time. It will definitely be higher as in the indication is that it was 1.6% of revenue in FY '22 and 2.5% in 9 months FY '23. We expect this trend to continue.
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, due to time constraint that would be our last question for today. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Sohail Halai from Antique for closing comments.
Sohail Halai
analystThanks, Suman. Sir, Colonel sir and team. Thanks for the opportunity given to us to host the call and congratulations on the quarter and best of look for future quarters. Before we close, Colonel Sir, would you like to give any closing remarks?
David Devasahayam
executiveWell, I'd like to say that we have today faced a set of very, very good and interesting questions. Many of them have set us thinking, and it will also have an impact on the way that we plan out the coming quarter and also the company's future in the midterm. I would like to thank you all for having given us this time and all these wonderful questions to us, and I hope that we could satisfy you with the answers. I'd like to say it's been a very satisfying moment, posting the third quarter numbers on the 28th. And the fact that we have also announced 100% small interim dividend based on our existing cash flows and as a cash-positive company. So we look forward to remain attractive to our investors and shareholders in the time ahead. I'd also like to thank Antique for having taken the effort for having hosted this so well this morning, especially Sohail Halai. Thank you very much.
Operator
operatorThank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of Antique Stock Broking, that concludes this conference. Thank you all for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.
Read the full transcript via the API
You're viewing the first half of this call. Get the complete Radiant Cash Management Services Limited transcript — plus 252,000+ transcripts from 12,000+ companies, speaker segments, AI summaries and full-text search — through the EarningsCalls.dev API.
Get the API View API docs →For developers and AI pipelines
Programmatic access to Radiant Cash Management Services Limited earnings transcripts and 252,000+ others is available through the
EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments,
full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.