Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 25, 2021

New York Stock Exchange US Financials Capital Markets conference_presentation 35 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#1

Good morning, everyone. Let's get started. This is Craig Siegenthaler from Credit Suisse, and it's my pleasure to introduce Raymond James' Chairman and CEO, Paul Reilly. We are also fortunate to have the firm's Chief Financial Officer, Paul Shoukry, joining us as well. Thank you both, guys.

Paul Reilly

executive
#2

Great.

Paul Shoukry

executive
#3

Thank you.

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#4

So Paul Reilly has been a member of the Board since 2006 and joined the management team as CEO in 2009. Prior to Raymond James, Paul Reilly was the Executive Chairman of Korn Ferry, and also CEO at KPMG International. Before we begin the fireside, I just want to provide a quick background on Raymond James. The firm was founded in 1962. It went public in 1983, and Raymond James now manages more than 1 trillion of client assets. The firm has also been profitable for 132 consecutive quarters, which really illustrates the defensive qualities and the diversification of its business model plus strong risk management.

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#5

So let's begin. The U.S. wealth management industry experienced a strong migration to independent advice, and this has clearly benefited Raymond James. What inning do you think we're in, in this migration?

Paul Reilly

executive
#6

First, Craig, thanks. It's great being together. I wish we're in kind of in person in South Florida. I guess we have the advantage of being in Florida, so at least we get the weather part. But it would be great to see you all personally. Yes, so we've been kind of taking a stance in our industry a long time ago. So we wanted to provide a platform for any method an adviser feels like they want to run their business. So very early on, we were pioneers in the independent channels. We grew many, many years ago when we found having that employee an independent channel was important, as advisers may have changed how they wanted to operate their businesses. And also added an RIA channel and spent a lot of time over the last decade really investing in that. And again it was less in the news than it is today, but again allowing that path of independence. So we think all the channels are still important. There are a lot of people that love the employee channel. They like coming into an office that's supplied to them, having everything in place, and they can just focus 100% on their clients. There are others that want to be -- have their own firm, their own real estate, their own employees, yet still have all the advantages of the platform. And the RIA channel is probably the third channel of independents, but with that comes a lot of extra costs and responsibilities including supervision, including cybersecurity and systems and other things that are provided in the independent channel. So it's a choice of advisers to go through that kind of where do they feel more comfortable. So the movement to independent -- towards independents has been a trend, but there's still plenty of people and we continue to grow our employee channel. So I don't know where it ends up. It's for an adviser generally, the more independent channels in both markets, they're probably a little more profitable. But in down markets where you have all your overhead and all your expenses, they're less profitable. So we try to structure ourselves so we're indifferent and that the adviser can practice where they want to. And we believe over cycles that all the channels are contributors to the company as long as we keep the advisers, and that's the goal.

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#7

Got it. You guys put out a January report last night. And after reading it, it sounded like you're really not seeing any slowdown in either recruiting or retention from the strong trajectory last year. What is driving this resilience?

Paul Reilly

executive
#8

I think it's a number of things. I think that at the year-end, I mean at the quarter report, we gave some caution on recruiting was being more competitive. It was really in one channel. Our independent recruiting was extremely strong, our financial institution division, our RIA. We found a slowdown a little bit in the employee channel, still good recruiting and retention being excellent. And we give that, the retention really to our culture of being adviser focused of really helping advisers grow their business and being friendly; and offering, we think, from an adviser's standpoint, the best adviser desktop in the industry. So that's continued to help us with -- and great service, right? So that's really helped us with retention. The slowdown on the employee -- on the adviser count was really due to a number of reasons, which are complex. First of all, during COVID there was a natural slowdown in March everywhere. But the independent channels rebounded very quickly because they have their own office. They can control their own office. So the switching and having an office to go to that they manage was much easier, and we found that momentum pick up very quickly. On the employee channel where we had our offices closed in early part of COVID-19, March, April, May because we didn't know what the risks were, it was a lot harder for employees to come over. They didn't have an office that was open to come to. One of the things that we really sell is our culture. And we acquired people to come into the home office and meet the people to see how really adviser-centric and how helpful and friendly and how they really cared about the business. Well, we lost that opportunity during COVID because we don't -- we're not putting outside visitors into our home office. So... And then the third factor as it was returning is we realized that a lot of the other institutions increased their transition assistance significantly, that we -- we've always been below market, that we always prided ourselves of that in recruiting saying, "We're below everyone else. But long term you're going to be happier here. It's a better fit, and we believe we're the right platform to grow your business." As many other competitors, not all but many, significantly increased their transition assistance, the delta got to be too big where the check was twice as big to go somewhere else than us. And so as we looked at it very carefully. And this -- if you look at you say interest spreads are down, why would people do that? But when we looked at our rates of return, we felt we could increase 20% to 30% our transition assistance and still be under the market significantly; but close enough where people still had the same delta that they might have gotten a bigger check somewhere else, but it was worth the trade-off. And when we ran the IRRs even with today's interest rate spreads, they were still mid-teens-plus. And if interest rates come back and the gap comes back, it will be a better return. So we did increase it, and we've already seen a quick response. So we think that part will correct itself. That's been here over a decade, we've had higher or lower quarters, but our recruiting has always been strong and recovered. The other parts of the numbers are a little more complex. We canceled 2 of our training classes because in a COVID environment, we felt we had to really spend time -- more time with those advisers online to help them in a real tough environment. And those have been -- the results have been very good. So I think we're comfortable getting ready to up those classes again. And third is we did at year-end have some people move to the RIA channel. So for the people that wanted to go to RIA, that's fine. We're glad they came with us instead of going to competitors. But in our adviser count, we don't count advisers in our RIA channel. We just count assets. So a Schwab or Fidelity would report assets, not advisers because you have firms that you're a custodian of. So if a firm that had 5 advisers goes from employer or independent to the RIA channel, we don't count those 5 advisers anymore. So honestly I think the recruiting results were better than the numbers indicated. Traditionally, last quarter end is when people retire, and we have kind of a low point. Last year was an anomaly. The year before, you'd see it was pretty flat too. But recruiting is doing really, really well. Retention is doing really, really well. It's more competitive, but it's always been competitive. I think we're well positioned.

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#9

So sticking again with recruiting, Paul, focusing on the wirehouses and the big banks. Have you seen a pickup in competition from the big banks, from the wirehouses?

Paul Reilly

executive
#10

Not really. I think on the high -- very, very high end teams is where most of them have chosen to try to compete, which we compete into. It's hard to say because the changes have been so much. We had a couple of them that said they were stopping outside recruiting a little over a year ago, and they're recruiting again. So they're following their strategy and what's best for them. And certainly they are a viable option for advisers. But we like our position and the advisers we bring in. And there are competitors, no doubt. But I think all in all, we're still doing very, very well. And we've been on a -- even if this year isn't a record and last year is a little below 19, you still look at the run rate, it's been very, very good for us. So we're really happy with our recruiting. And we've always had competitors. And some people are more aggressive in 2- to 3-year periods and they drop back, or vice versa. But we've continued to grow advisers and bring on new advisers. So competition is always there. So it's hard to benchmark is it more competitive than less. Maybe you could say it by the month. Or if you lose a deal, you think it's more competitive that day. But I think it's similar.

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#11

So Paul, if you're not seeing a real pickup in competition from banks, what about other independent broker-dealers, large, midsize, public, private or even regional firms? Do you see any pickup from these segments?

Paul Reilly

executive
#12

There are a number of regional firms that have upped their deals too. And there's certainly -- there's some quality in high-quality regional firms. So there's competition all over. You're seeing RIA aggregators buy firms at very high prices compared to any benchmark we would have. There, competition now, right now interest rates, debt and equity are both available and cheap. So I don't know how long that trends. So there's certainly lots of competition, but again there's always been lots of competition. So I think we're good at recruiting and retaining advisers when we get them here. And it's going to be competitive. It's always been competitive, right? Is it a little -- are there more indifferent channels right now? Probably. But there's more advisers in motion too. So then our average recruit size keeps going up too. So even if the count goes down a little bit, the assets, and they are coming over, and the trailing 12s continues to be very, very robust.

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#13

It's good to hear. Let's pivot away from recruiting for a moment. Let's move into technology. And we've seen a lot of acceleration in adoption, especially last year with working from home and COVID. But as you evaluate kind of upgrading and adding new capabilities, how do you evaluate options to buy, rent, or even maybe build some capabilities internally?

Paul Reilly

executive
#14

Yes. So we do all of the above. We use outside third-party softwares that we think are best in class and they're better to rent or partner than to build. And we also have a very big proprietary platform that we believe that our proprietary systems are best in class. So we've been on a -- we are lucky on COVID in some ways. And for a different reason, we were already mobile. So 4 years ago, we rolled out and got [ out word ] for our advisers to be able to do everything on this device that they could do from their office. And no one had that. And why? We were doing all our investment on the adviser desktop, right, that where a lot of people were going to the end client. We've always said advisers are our clients, and we don't want them disadvantaged. And looking at the makeup of our clients, the wealth clients, we needed to arm the adviser with every tool they could grow the business and communicate with their clients. So when COVID hit, we were already mobile. We already had Zoom. It's as a standard offering with our own security around it. What it did was that accelerate the adoption of that and e-signature and a lot of other things. But we had them all in place and people trained on them. So as we go forward, what have we've been doing? We've been rolling out now the in client app to be competitive with I call it robo-like. We're not competing with the direct-to-retail robo. That's not our business. We're in the advice business. But to have that same connectivity with the adviser on their accounts, people be able to do things, see things, communicate with their adviser. And we could even turn on online trading on the app if we wanted to. We haven't made that decision yet, but again we would go through the adviser. So we continue to roll out those types of technologies. They've been very successful. And you never have the lead forever, but I think our desktop for wealth managers are second to none right now. And -- but time tells you got to stay competitive. You got to be smart. We have to focus. We can have -- big banks may use blockchain to figure out how they instantaneously do a wire across the world. We don't have to worry about those kind of technologies. That's not our business. Our business is to making sure that wealth platform for the adviser and that connection to the client, it is the best for that part of the business, because that's where we compete. And we view that still our market going forward, even though I'm sure that the clients will be -- and the client app will expand to continue and allow them to do more and more. But we're still an advice firm, and we're betting on advice.

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#15

Paul, sticking with technology, and I wanted -- you said something on robo and digital. So I wanted to hear what has been the feedback from your financial advisers in terms of maybe using robo digital technologies to help them with asset allocation, tax loss harvesting, these sort of tools? And are you seeing some adoption there? And alternatively are you seeing another subset of your advisers pushing back on that, on those sort of capabilities?

Paul Reilly

executive
#16

Yes. And the advisers aren't all homogenous, right? We at Raymond James don't push everybody into a box, the advisers. As long as they have a high-quality business and they're helping clients, they have some freedom. So we don't force everyone to use all the platforms. So if people want to use our rebalancing product to rebalance, that's fine. If they don't and they're doing it on their own or using even independents, some of their own third-party technologies to do that, that's fine also. So what we do is we roll out the technologies and educate them on how they can use it, how it can benefit them and benefit their clients. And hopefully take the burden off the advisers, so they can spend more time with their existing clients and signing up new clients. So the adoption you can say often for newer advisers is probably higher. But there's a lot of people who have been in this business a long time. I remember our top adviser has been here, #1 adviser in the independent for a long time. And he is one of the top innovators in technology, both in ours and his. So you can't put it in an age bracket, right? It's a propensity to want to use those types of things. But there are some people with client bases that are very specific that those tools really don't make a big difference to their practice, and they're probably slower in adopting. So we roll them out. We educate people on how to use them. And hopefully offer both that high-quality and the tool availability to help them grow their practice and use those tools.

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#17

So I know pure robo advice is really something very different than what your financial advisers bring to a client. Your client are much wealthier on average than what kind of pure robo advice is sort of doing with who they service. But has there been any impact on pricing within the wealth management segment over the last few years, especially the advisory wrap fee, just given the introduction of some newer lower-cost options? Not inside of Ray Jay, but some other retail brokerage firms.

Paul Reilly

executive
#18

Well, I think there's always been cost pressure in our industry. So certainly as we've gone from active to more passive funds or ETFs or in certain channels where trading's free, you get those kind of what I call product pressure. It's really more on the broker-dealer. But what we've seen is an unbelievable resiliency in the adviser part of the fee, that what it says is that clients are willing to pay for advice and that trusted person to be there to help them. So it's our job to be as competitive as we can be, is to make sure we're extremely efficient in the back office, yet providing those tools for advisers to grow their business and be able to show they continue to add value through their relationship. And that's the focus because the rest of it is under pressure. It's been under pressure. It probably accelerates more and more over time. But as you see that some of the -- why aren't the positions and firms and during the -- whatever word, casino stocks and others. I mean because they had an adviser -- that they had to go through to say, "Hey, wait a minute. Have you thought about this, this, and this?" versus just kind of pushing a button. So that adviser is a value that most clients, certainly with money, appreciate. My kids didn't want an adviser. My oldest is 36 now, and she didn't want an adviser. I remember her saying after school that, "Why should I invest in the stock market? It's never made money in my lifetime." She doesn't say that today, and she has a planner. And she has kids, and they have some money. And they're planning and they're using an adviser. So I think part of that will change. I do think that the front end of robos, the connectivity, the back and forth, the ability to check the market on your platform to allow the end client to interact is going to be table stakes for everybody. So you're going to have to roll those out. But again we're going to be in the advice business.

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#19

Paul, I know this is a different business than yours. But at the e-brokers, we watched their specialty ETF platforms really disappear after they cut commissions to 0. But I wanted to get an update on Raymond James' mutual fund and ETF platforms and get an update and see how they're faring kind of now post what we saw back then. And especially I know you get some economics back I think on some of those products. So any change to that?

Paul Reilly

executive
#20

I think the -- we look at first, we have thousands of products that we offer from third parties on our platforms, extremely broad, in mutual funds and ETFs. And you want it -- sometimes I wonder if we offer so many options, it's confusing to advisers. So we have a very broad open platform. And we do have Carillon Tower Associates that also has products, but they're way down the list I mean in terms of penetration. So we are a very open platform. There's no incentives to use our products. You don't get paid any differently. You don't get a club trips. You don't get any payouts for any product at Raymond James. So there's no influence to use our products versus others. And so they have to compete openly. And I think both -- certainly active managers have been under fee pressure, and those fees have come down. ETFs also drawn some of that pressure. But I think the products have done fine. And our active managers have had a challenge of growing assets, like most active managers, within the Carillon Tower Associates. But our adviser platforms have continued to grow where we help advisers manage within certain of our fund platforms internally. So again it's the adviser's choice. So we need to perform and show there's high service and high-quality return for those that continue to grow. But I wouldn't -- there's no pressure outside of the normal industry pressures that everyone's feeling.

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#21

Great. [Operator Instructions] But let me move on to sort of the next topic, mergers. There was a very large merger, again not necessarily in your vertical but in the retail broker space that's undergoing, transformational in the RIA segment. What does this mean to Raymond James? I know you have a new business. I'm also interested to see how the kind of pure RIA business can compete in that segment.

Paul Reilly

executive
#22

Yes. So I mean in that merger if you're referring to Schwab, they were already the 900-pound gorilla, them and Fidelity. And so they got a little bigger. So they were big before, they're big now and a high-quality competitor. But we position our RIA a little bit different. We're kind of a full service with the systems. They can use our proprietary systems. They have access to our platforms, even in the custodial relationship. And so the people we tend to attract or compete with in our RIA channel tend to be a little different. You have to, just like when we had to grow to compete against the wirehouses, have to take a different positioning to do that. And I think we've successfully done that over time to have a successful business and be relevant to the market. And it's the same in the RIA space, that when you have large good competitors, you carve out your space. And I think we're doing a good job of carving out our space, being a lot smaller, and feel really good about being able to grow it. And also to allow advisers who want to be RIAs not to have to leave the Raymond James family. And that has shown as we've had firms move, that most of them have moved to our own RIA versus outside. So we feel very good about that. So there are -- I'm sure, there'll be more mergers in the industry and some in our segment. There's a lot of -- there's been -- people often will question us about this deal happening or this deal, why weren't we in that in our brokerage part of the business. And frankly our minimum production we say is $300,000. And there's deals that are the average is 300,000. It doesn't mean they're bad firms, but they just don't fit into who we are and what we do. And so we're very focused on -- a lot of people can be successful. We're focused on our strategy, not theirs, and making sure we're competitive in our space. And by doing that, we've had -- been able to grow assets from 260 to $1 trillion over these last 10 years by focusing on what we do well, not worrying about kind of what everyone else is doing. We certainly want to be informed by it in a competition, but again I think our focus and our strategy is -- has paid off and will continue to pay off.

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#23

Paul, you had a quick comment there on industry consolidation. And when I think of our world, a lot of activity happened on the asset management side. And even in the RIA space, there's a lot of M&A and consolidation happen there too. What is your view on these trends across all your businesses, the asset manager, the institutional business, the wealth manager? And how big -- and that's more of an industry question. And how big of a role do you think Raymond James will play in these sort of trends?

Paul Reilly

executive
#24

Well, I think part of it is strategic, and part of it's opportunistic. I mean we've continued, like for Carillon Tower Associates, to add very high-quality outside advisers, but I mean -- and to grow that business. But we're not trying to be the largest, and scale is important. So in other businesses, like our wealth business for most of the firms, we're not interested in firms unless they fit our culture. And the firms that do, are private and not for sale. And we just hope -- stay in contact. And some day if they decide because of scale or competitive that they ought to join a partner, they just want it to be us. So Morgan Keegan wasn't for sale for a long time, and it was finally. 3Macs in Canada, 5 generations of management, wasn't for sale. And we just stayed close, and one day they were. So we focus on organic growth, and we view those types of acquisitions. That's just -- they're great launching pads, but they have to be -- they have to match our culture. They have to have a strategic benefit. Morgan Keegan brought great fixed income and public finance ability. Alex. Brown brought great ultra-high net worth, the ability to -- a lot of ultra-high net worth business, we already have. They just helped us focus it. We're doing it all across all the channels. And so there has to be a strategic reason. So we're focused on M&A. But I think if you have to depend on M&A to grow, you're in trouble. And if you can grow organically, it means you can compete. If you can't grow and M&A is the only way you can grow, it says something about your own model. So they're not exclusive, but we focus first on the recruiting and retention to show we can grow organically. And then secondarily, if we can get one of these high-quality firms that aren't for sale someday, don't want to be part of our -- think that we're better together, we have the balance sheet. We certainly have the systems. We spent a lot of money during interest rate spreads of putting in high-end supervision, compliance, AML, Actimize and Mantas systems implementing them. And we're leverageable now. We felt that we were straining at our old processes to grow, and we're not now. Our technology systems are very scalable. Our infrastructure is very scalable. So we've got the structure. We've got the balance sheet. But we don't want to grow just to be bigger. We want to grow because it makes us better.

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#25

So my next question sort of deals with the defensiveness of the Raymond James model. I mean you guys have been profitable forever, so you've seen that through the earnings results. You have some very procyclical, but also some counter-cyclical businesses to sort of balance that. And you generally run with really high excess capital. So we did have a bear market. It was one of the shortest bear markets in history in 2020, so we really didn't get to see how everything played out. But how do you think Raymond James is positioned for future bear markets versus other firms in your industry?

Paul Reilly

executive
#26

Well again, I can speak for us. I think we've always taken a long-term view. So maybe on the upside, we haven't captured the upside of some of our competitors in previous cycles, although we're doing pretty well in the cycle. And in the downside, we tend to significantly outperform versus our competitors. And we play the long-term game. And part of that's balance sheet. We've stayed liquid and capitalized. I used to joke to all of our investors that when they ask what we can do with our excess capital, I used to always say, "When we have it, I'll let you know." And today, we are heavily capitalized. We know that. So we thought that March with COVID, not that we wish it on anybody including our associates and everyone, that that beginning of a bear market was going to give us an opportunity in M&A. It didn't. But we're still longer-term optimistic. We've done some deals. We're certainly looking at others, but we're going to take the long-term view, not just to do a deal. So our strategy on capital is simple. It's we want to first invest and grow our business. Secondly, -- inorganically second. So recruiting is a big part of that capital deployment. Secondly, we want the opportunistic and strategic kind of acquisitions. You saw we did 2. One in NWPS was a little what people didn't expect, but it was growing our I would call it an adjacency as we do lots of 401(k) plans a year and kind of give that, the administration away. If we captured just 10% of that, because we're always going to give an adviser a choice, that would be a very accretive, great acquisition for us. And we think it could be more into our advisers. They're a high-quality provider. They do a great job. And for the advisers, one, they know who to call to get help if they have questions. And if there's an issue, they know who to call. It's part of the Raymond James family. And we've done that with Producers Choice in life insurance. We've done it in others. And we're getting more aggressive at figuring out the natural adjacencies that we can find high-quality tech-enabled kind of firms to help us do that. And then of course in our core businesses with a private client or M&A, which the -- has been very successful, our boutique acquisitions have done very, very well. We'll continue to apply capital there. Next, we've said we want to grow our balance sheet, so we're being more aggressive. But again we want to find the right opportunities. So whether it's expanding the bank or other things, we're open to it. We've committed on the capital side to doing equity dilution repurchases, no matter what the price is so we neutralize equity dilution from our compensation, and to be opportunistic on the stock buyback. So we'd rather deploy the capital through growth or acquisitions. If we can't, we'll have to use stock buybacks, but we'd rather use it to grow the business. But we don't want the capital to grow, and that's why we gave our target at the last earnings call to let people know we're serious about working down the capital levels.

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#27

Great. So last question for me, I wanted an update in your strategy in asset management following the Scout and Reams integration. And that could include thoughts around how you plan to grow, and also potentially looking at additional M&A transactions in asset management.

Paul Reilly

executive
#28

Yes, I don't think it's changed. We've added boutique asset managers that have been very good. And it'd be very unlikely for us to do what I call a transformative large [ acqui ] asset manager. It would have to be a very unusual transaction and a very unique opportunity that we think for the firm. So our focus -- the base of our business is the private client group. So it -- and it does help the bank. It helps the asset management. It helps the equities piece. I mean it helps the fixed income piece. It is the major driver. That's our #1 focus. And we're open to acquisitions in all the spaces, but I don't see any thing that we would do. It would have to be very exceptional for us to do something that's transformational, that makes us look a lot different than we do today.

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#29

So with that, it looks like we're out of questions and out of time. Paul, we just wanted to give you a big thanks on behalf of everyone here at Credit Suisse. And we hope to see you next year, maybe in person in Miami, even though I know it's a very long commute for you.

Paul Reilly

executive
#30

We would look forward to it, Paul and I both. So hopefully we'll be down and see you guys, down south for us, just a little south next year.

Craig Siegenthaler

analyst
#31

Perfect. Thank you very much, guys. Take care.

Paul Shoukry

executive
#32

Thanks, Craig.

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