REC Limited (RECLTD) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 8, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to REC Limited Investor Conference Call, hosted by DAM Capital Advisors Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Sanket Chheda from DAM Capital Advisors. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Sanket Chheda
analystThanks, Riya. Hello, and a good morning to all of you. Thanks for joining this call. We have with us the entire management team of REC today. And the call will be driven by Mr. MD sir, which is Vivek Kumar Dewangan, who is Chairman and Managing Director; and also Vijay Kumar Singh, who is Director of Projects. Without further ado, I'll hand the call over to Mr. Vivek Kumar Dewangan for his opening remarks on the strategy and on the results that we just went by. Followed up -- we'll follow that up with the Q&A session. So over to you, sir.
Vivek Dewangan
executiveThank you, Sanket. Good morning to all the participants from India, and good afternoon to all the participants from Southeast Asia. I'm very happy to share with you the fabulous annual results of REC for the financial year 2023, '24. Our accruals have seen an increase of 34%. We sanctioned projects worth $43 billion in the last financial year as compared to $32.2 billion, which were sanctioned in FY '23. The disbursements have also grown by 67%. Our total disbursement stood at around $19.3 billion last financial year as compared to $11.6 billion in FY '23. Our loan asset has grown by 17%. In FY '23, our loan asset had grown by 13%. Now total asset under management is about $62 billion. Here, I would like to make it very clear that REC management and Board have decided to have a clearcut roadmap, and we are targeting to double our asset environment to about $125 billion by the year 2030. And if we are able to sustain this growth of 15% to 20%, we'll be able to be. In case our growth momentum is more than 70%, we'll be able to reach this target of $125 billion asset under management by the year 2029 itself. The interest income on loan asset has grown by 19%. Total interest income on loans [ to there ] was $5.5 billion. Total income has also grown by 20%. The one significant feature is that our profit after tax has grown by 29%. Our total profit after tax at the end of the financial year was about $2.12 billion -- sorry, our profit before tax. And our net profit has seen an increase of 27%. It was about $1.68 billion. The management has made a very conscious effort to reduce the cost of funds. We were able to bring down our cost of funds by 15 bps from 7.28% in the last financial year to 7.13% in FY '24. The spread has also improved by 41 basis points from 2.45% to 2.86%. The net interest margin has seen an increase of 19 bps from 3.38% to 3.57%. Our return on net worth was about 22.17%. You might have observed that our market capitalization has increased by 290% in the last financial year. One more distinguishing feature for the last year was our approval for renewable energy projects increased by 533%, and we covered the entire ambit of green hydrogen, green ammonia, pumped storage hydro projects, large hydro projects, solar module manufacturing, solar power plants, electric mobility, wind turbine manufacturing, wind power generation and hybrid solar and wind. Going forward, we are targeting to increase our renewable energy portfolio to about 30% to about -- right now, our renewable energy portfolio is about 7% of total assets under management. It is about $4 billion, about $4 billion is our asset under management under renewable projects. We are trying to increase our renewable energy portfolio by 10x to about $40 billion by the end of 2030. Why we are so content that we have a huge pipeline of projects. Last year, we had sanctioned projects worth INR 136,000 crores. And in the current financial year, we have a huge pipeline of projects amounting to more than INR 175,000 crores. Since the turnaround time for renewable energy project is higher and it gets commissioned over a period of 2 to 3 years, we see that a lot of disbursement will happen from renewable energy portfolio. One more thing that Government of India has allowed us to diversify into non-power infrastructure logistics in the month of October 2022. In FY '23, we had sanctioned in total logistics projects worth about $10 billion. And in the last financial year, we had sanctioned project worth $5 billion. Our asset under management under non-power infrastructure logistics is about $6 billion. And we are anticipating that our total asset under management from noncore infrastructure and logistics will see fourfold growth to say about $25 billion by the end of 2030. One more thing has happened that Government of India has decided that this renewable energy is intermittent in nature. And we don't have natural gas resources. So the base load will come from coal-based capacity. The additional coal-based capacity would be required in brownfield projects only. Of that, about 94 gigawatt capacity has been identified to be brought in by the year 2032. In the next 8 years, all the approvals for this additional coal-based capacity will happen next 2 to 3 years. But there also, we see a huge potential for REC, We'll be able to share for 30% to 40% of this coal-based capacity, additional capital would be coming in the next 8 years. Overall, power sector is on upward swing. Last year, power demand increased by 8%. And in the current financial in the last month in April, power demand has increased by 11%. With the introduction of [ pre-bond ] distribution sector scheme and late payment surcharge rules by the Ministry of Power, a lot of improvement in distribution sector is visible -- clearly visible. The AT&C losses came down by 5% in FY '23, and for FY '24, the final figures would be known by the end of June. We see a huge improvement in AT&C losses. Government department deals are getting paid in time. The legacy Government department deals and legacy [ subsi ] deals are being paid in equal monthly installments. So much so that now the current subsidies are being paid by the state governments to the distribution companies quarterly in advance. This is overall increasing the operational and financial efficiency of distribution companies. The dues to the generating companies and [ participating ] companies have become very regular. They are paying and the legacy deals under late payment surcharges, would be clear in the next 2 to 3 years. After this [ revenue distribution ] scheme gets over next 2 to 3 years, there'll be modernization scheme, which is being planned by [ Mr. Chipar ]. And I forgot to tell you that prepaid smart meter, which is part of RDS, is going to play a very significant role in improving the overall financial health of the distribution companies in the country. After [ RDS] period is over and the modernization is over the next 4 to 5 years, country will still require a lot of CapEx for upgrading the infrastructure, because distribution infrastructure all the poles, wires, the distribution platform is quite old, 40 to 50 years old. So there is a need for a continuous upgradation of distribution infrastructure. So we do see a business potential that distribution sector is requiring a good business opportunity in the next 10 to 12 years. Going forward, our vision is very clear: by the year 2030 we would like to double our asset under management to about $125 billion, 30% of it will come from renewable energy segment, 15% to 20% will come from non-powered infrastructure logistics, and 50% to 55% of asset under management will come from conventional coal-based generation capacity, distribution and transmission sector. With this opening remark, may I request Sanket to take the discussion forward.
Sanket Chheda
analystOperator, you can announce the Q&A.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Mahrukh Adajania from Nuvama.
Mahrukh Adajania
analystSir, my first question is on this new RBI draft circular. So basically, I just wanted to know, of course, please do share your comments on the scene, but I had some specific questions which is that of your INR 5 trillion of loans, there are some loans to distribution companies which would be term loans. So they would also qualify under the RBI circular, right? What proportion of your loan book roughly would qualify as being impacted by the RBI circular? And then, if at all you've calculated any rough impact? And my second question related to the same topic is that, say you have renewable brands, wind solar plants, their tariffs are only 2, 2.5. So even if lenders were to pass on higher rates, how would they sustain? How would they meet their DSRC? And also for these renewable projects, some approvals are always pending at the time of disbursals. So how do you tackle that? Because here you are not supposed to disburse till all approvals are [ not ] in place. And that's never the case in some power and even in some industrial projects. So these are my questions, sir.
Vivek Dewangan
executiveThank you, Mahru, for asking very important question, this is a burning topic as of today. Let me first clarify that it is only draft guidelines which have been issued by RBI. We have sought comments of all the stakeholders by 15th of June. So this would be applicable to all the banks and non-banking finance companies who are involved in project financing. And this guidelines pertain to these projects under construction for which additional provisioning is proposed to be introduced for the hydro project, additional provisioning is supposed to be 5%, and those who entered in operational phase, the provisioning is proposed to be 2.5%. And those projects were commissioned and they are having positive net operating cash flow, the provisioning will be limited to 1%. But it has to be if it is in a phased manner, by 31st March, 2025 only 2% provision has to be done. By 31st March 2026, 3.5% provisioning has to be done. And by 31st March, 2027, 5% provisioning has to be done. This will be phased over a period of 3 years. Now I've stated that, as you are aware that RBC is a nonbanking finance company and we are following in their accounting standards. As per RBI's income recognition asset classification norms with additional provisioning for, NBFC is falling in this, will not be routed through profit and loss account, but the provision for the same will be done by way of impairment reserves. So our profits are not going to be affected by this stipulation. Our net worth is also not going to be affected. We have done a detailed analysis. Book value is not going to be changed. Only if it would be on our Tier 1 capital. And we have adequate capital adequacy ratio as per RBI's norm, our minimum capital ratio required is 15%, and we are having about 25.82%. For Tier 1 capital, the RBI statutory minimum requirement is 10%, and we are having Tier 1 capital to the tune of 23.32%. So it will have impact only on Tier 1 capital. That would also be in a phased manner over a period of 3 years. As you are aware that we can take exposure to a single project to the tune of about 30% of our Tier 1 capital, which is at within about INR 19,800 crores. And for a group of projects, we can take exposure up to 50% of Tier 1 capital. Right now, our exposure to single projects is normally not more than INR 15,000 crores actually. So even if this Tier 1 capital gets reduced by, say, 2,000 to 3,000, it will not impact our approval process. Now coming to the specific question asked by you that a lot of our loans are supported by the state government guarantees. This RBI guideline would not be applicable to these loans which have been supported by the state government guarantee. About 40% of our loan is supported by the state government guarantee. Then they are non-CapEx loans like late payment surcharge, liquidity infusion scheme, RBPF, revolving bill payment facilities. All these loans will not be impacted by this RBI guideline. And distribution sector CapEx, like RBPF loss reduction works, et cetera, they're all supported by the state government guarantees, so that's why they're also not being impacted. The impact will be there in the generation segment, both [ canimation ] generation and renewable energy generation. But we are going to seek -- we are going to give a detailed response to [ our dates ] within our guidelines. The interpretation about date of commencement of commercial operation, whether this will be applicable only to projects which are delayed because the [ straight ] behind draft RBI guidelines appear to be that the projects which are under construction and which are getting delayed which require closer scrutiny by the lenders and closer monitoring. So that also will seek clarification. Those projects which are under -- I do appreciate that conventional coal based generation, and this large hydro projects, they somewhat get delayed. They don't get commissioned in time. But they are -- will have to do this up to 5% provisioning by the end of 31st March 2025. But as far as our renewable energy portfolio is concerned, all of this renewable energy portfolio of about INR 35,000 crores, about [ 50% ] projects are already commissioned actually. The new project which we are sanctioning, which will be under these RBI guidelines would be applicable, it's still early days because we are supposed to give our detailed comment to RBI by 15th of June. But overall, going forward, we see that it is not going to impact adversely. In fact, we welcome this move by RBI because this will lead to closer monitoring and scrutiny of these under-construction projects.
Mahrukh Adajania
analystWhat will be the tax implication of taking [ rya ] directly through impairment reserve, no tax deduction?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveThere won't be any impact on the tax per se because the tax in any case is on profit before tax. So on that, the tax implication will be there, which anyway earlier also was there. So it's only a [ cooperation ] of the profit. After that, the impairment reserve is created. And it is the [ compensate ] net worth also. It is only a buffer, which is there. It is not a pre reserve, but it is there in the net worth as such.
Mahrukh Adajania
analystGot it. But sir, just a follow-up question. So basically 40% is out of the purview of these guidelines, right?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveSo more than. It is more than that. At project, Mr. Vijay for the clarification.
Vijay Singh
executiveSo you asked about how much of the distribution portfolio would [ have carried ] this provisioning requirement. Let me just tell you that the total book size under the distribution segment is close to 25.75 billion, out of which the CapEx which is supposed to [ attract this ] provisioning requirement is only 9 billion, which is just 35% of total distribution portfolio. So that is the implication of distribution portfolio on 65% of loan, which are non-CapEx, which are in the form of LPS and LIS, which we mentioned during [ cowertay ] will not [ obtain ] these provisions.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Avinash Singh from Emkay Global.
Avinash Singh
analystFirst question is that assuming this RBI surplus was to come in the current form, I mean [ in having onesome ], will it sort of lead to change in competitive dynamics in the lending space to the power sector [ for then when ] coming. I mean, yes, I mean, you could be comfortable in your position and your sort of focus, but will it lead to some banks, I mean who some are currently present, kind of withdrawing or so going slow in the power sector loans. So I mean, how will that play out? And the second part, if at all, the sort of the impact that is going to impact -- having impact on your own sort of capital alone. Will sort of you be looking to pass on some prices or to our capital P&L impact but definitely, it is going to impact your P&L. So will there be some kind of some [ translational ] costs that we pass on to the borrower?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveAs far as the banks are concerned, they are not following the Ind AS. So in that any disclosing which is required will be routed to the profit and loss account. So they will be hidden as far as the banks are concerned. So in that case, it may not be so, but some of that may have to be passed on to the borrower, the impact of that. Whatever the increase is there, what the impairment is which we are required [ to pay across the bench must pay ] also. So there some additional impact can be there by the increase in the lending rate.
Avinash Singh
analystYes. So in that scenario, do you see sort of benefiting from that competitive dynamics changing? I mean, if at all the banks are passing some reckoning period will you be also sort of looking to benefit from that? And if at all the banks were sort of [ going smooth you ] in the power sector loan will see some uptick.
Vivek Dewangan
executiveThank you, Avinash, for asking this question. Yes, we do see that we -- there will be a scenario where we benefited, some banks may withdraw from this kind of competitive atmosphere. They might not [ go for ] project financing.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Gaurav Agrawal from Nine One Capital.
Gaurav Agrawal
analystSir, one part is the existing [ entity ] and I need to ask on the revised guideline. Can you recall very well on the existing AUM. My question is more related to the incremental book on the generational side. So how do you think the industry players are going to react to it? And also for yourself because accounting treatment for the existing loans can be [ limited ] from the impairment reserve. But what about the incremental loans? What will the accounting happen for the loans which we are going to write from today onwards? [ And that which ] on the date this guidance becomes [ more ] effective?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveFor the incremental loans also the same position is there. We have to just create the provision as per the IND AS and as per the direct norms of the Reserve Bank of India. So the differential which is there, a provision which is required as per direct norms and that as per IND AS, that has to be created by way of the impairment reserve, by way of appropriation of property. So as such for the incremental loans also as well as the existing loans also, the same treatment will be there.
Gaurav Agrawal
analystOkay. But sir, for the incremental loans will it be impacted by [ simability ], pricing a loan a bit higher just to account this change in provision?
Vijay Singh
executiveSanjeev, will you [ tend to this ]
Sanjeev Gupta
executiveYes. We'll see that actually, some newspaper reports also comes and banks also making the presentation to RBI, trying to request the RBI to reduce this additional provision of 5% to say to 1% to 2%. But we'll have to see the final guidelines actually. But yes, we'll have to pass on some this -- we'll be able to pass on to the borrower. But another -- the silver lining mean fact is that, our cost of borrowing is going to come down in the -- after Q2, Q3. Once this cost of borrowing comes down, we'll pass on, then perhaps balance out actually.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Shweta Daptardar from Elara Capital.
Shweta Daptardar
analystSir, thank you for the elaborate explanation. Sir, just my first question is slightly repetitive. So did you mention that 40% of our overall loan book should sort of be kind of impacted by this new circular?
Vijay Singh
executiveNo, I did not say like that actually. Only those conventional generation portfolio is about, say, INR 145,000 crores. Out of that, 60% projects are already commissioned, actually for that is around 40% of this is INR 145,000 crores, roughly about INR 60,000 crores, this would be impacted. And renewable energy, I told you that INR 35,000 crores, out of that, 80% is already commissioned actually. And going forward, whatever new sanctions we are giving in respect of innovation still get covered. So say, roughly to the tune about maximum INR 1 lakh crore portfolio in going forward, which will be impacted by this RBI guideline. Total asset about INR 5 lakh crore. Out of that 1 lakh crore, about 20% asset will get impacted.
Shweta Daptardar
analystRight. Sir, but you covered only the conventional generation renewable part. How about the remaining 15%, 18% of electromagnetic and our infra projects, will those also attract this new circular requirement of provisioning?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveThank you, Shweta, that is a great question. This is a competitive component like Metro project, MSRDC, [ X reliable ] they're all supported by the state government guide. It will not be impacted at all.
Shweta Daptardar
analystOkay. So you mean to say that, sorry, just sounding repetitive. So we are saying we just say new project, which is to impact will not attract this extra provisioning requirement?
Vijay Singh
executiveThat is what is our initial understanding based on the regulations issued in the current form. I think this -- we hope that this will undergo some change. And we will evaluate whatever issues you mentioned, all those issues will be evaluated and then we'll come out with accurate understanding of these issues.
Vivek Dewangan
executiveSo we had some discussion with RBI earlier actually with regard to the norms. We had detailed discussions with the top management of RBI. And the common wisdom which emerged after the interaction is that for exposure as far as the exposure is concerned, they are not going to take into account those loans which are supported by the state government guarantee. Mr. Baweja, you would like to supplement?
Harsh Baweja
executiveNo, I just submitting that, in fact, the regulations, which have come in recently needs a lot of deliberations and many stakeholders will put forward their views on this. Again, the decisions will take place. And then finally, acceptable data will come for the implementation. So these are the comments which are being made by our company. But let us wait for the final guideline. We'll also put forward our view on that. And some of the things which may also come for relaxation also in the later part. Let's understand it, and let's wait for the right [ thing ].
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Aditi from [ C D ] Research.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, my first question to you is, given your expertise in assessing nonrenewable projects, how well do you think is your [ line consign experts for handling sanctions ] of renewable projects?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveYes. Let me share with you that government had allowed us to diversify into non-power infrastructure logistics in the month of October 2022. And we have taken a very cautious approach actually. We have ramped up our manpower strength. We have got in experts from different fields, put into infrastructure logistics. Now we are very well equipped to appraise these infrastructure logistic projects. We have a very strong entity appraisal, project appraisal teams. And we do have experts on board. But since we are getting sufficient business from conventional generation, renewable energy, we are going to be very choosy about selecting this infrastructure logistics project. Only those infrastructure logistics projects which are having good asset quality, where entity is strong, where revenue cash flows are assured, only those infrastructure logistics projects we'll be financing.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Sir, could you please tell me the difference between the expertise required while you assess the renewable and nonrenewable projects?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveYes. The different kind of expertise required, like conventional generation, the entire -- how these plants get elected, the balance of plant, this coal evacuation system, ash handling plant. Similarly for renewable energy, different kind of expertise required, the sourcing of the material, the installation, the maintenance is different renewable energy portfolio. But for infrastructure logistics, if you are going to sponsor airports, ports, metros, road highways, we need to have sector experts from this field who will be able to understand the nuances. So we have taken conscious efforts and we've brought in experts from all these fields who help us in appraising these projects.
Vijay Singh
executiveThose who already work in this company.
Vivek Dewangan
executiveYes, those people who have already worked in this kind of project, we have taken them on board.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay, sir. Sir, and my second question to you is, what is your estimate of provisions that we seek reversal in the future?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveOkay. Our gross NPA is about INR 13,800 crores. And out of that, about 7 projects are heading towards liquidation that is amounting to INR 2,222 crores. For this, we already made 100% provisioning. And some projects have already been dissolved, like Lanco Amarkantak, DANS Energy, [ Padreshiwa ], Nagai, that amount about INR 5,000 crores. For which we had made provisions of [ each written ], but we already got some write-backs on these projects, which we already factored in. The remaining amount is about INR 7,000 crores. And we see that good resolution coming from this product like KSK Mahanadi is 1 of the best operating assets, which is under NCLT it's [ the R ] account is INR 10,000 crores. Admitted claim is about INR 29,000 crores. And we hope that -- and we have made posting about 58% provisioning we have done for -- sorry 52.4% provisioning we have done. And we expect that it may lead to 100% recovery in KSK Mahanadi because a lot of interest has come, more than 30 [ expressions of interest ] have been received. Similarly, similar plant in Nashik. For that, we had made 50% provisioning. For that also, because we are getting more than 11 companies already submitted their expression of interest. There also we see that our [ haircut ] would be limited only about 20 to 30%, not more than that. There also we will get write-back. Then [ Hirun Mapol project ] is there. There also we see good resolution happening. And [ Thiron ] Energy, we've already done restructuring. Entirely in sum total, we can say that we are expecting a write-back to the tune of INR 1,500 crores to INR 2,000 crores in the financial year FY '25. And we hope that all this asset would get resolved in the current financial area itself and will become net zero [ NPA ] company by the end of FY '25.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of [ Rohan Rudal ] from Envision Capital. The next question is from the line of Niharika Jain.
Niharika Jain
analystSo again, I want to understand a bit on this RBI provision because you always emphasize that we want our renewable energy at competitive rates, and we almost have 130,000 in the sanction pipeline. So because of these impending norms, do we feel that we will be going slow in the sanctions or we will be revising the sanctions?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveNo, we'll not be revising the sanctions actually. And as you are aware that Government of India is committed to install 500 gigawatt capacity by the year 2030. And so far, the commissioning which was happening was about 12 to 14 gigawatts every per annum. But from this year onwards, they stepped up their ambitions and per annum, they are targeting installation of 50 gigawatt capacities. So these capacities are in the pipeline, and we are quite confident that we will be able to support this renewable energy portfolio -- projects which are coming in a big range. And we have a very diversified portfolio in the RE portfolio also, like let me give a breakout. Last year, we sanctioned project worth INR 136,515 crore. Out of this, large hydro projects constitute about INR 32,450 crores, pumped storage hydro project was about INR 28,304 crores; followed by solar, about INR 21,000 crores. Then model manufacturing was INR 21,565 crores; followed by green hydrogen project, about INR 8,000 crores we have sanctioned; electric mobility, about INR 8,000 crores; wind-turbine manufacturing about INR 3,200 crores, wind projects about INR 3,500 crores; and hybrid solar wind about INR 10,098 crore. So here in this segment, large hydro and pumped storage projects, they do take a longer time for evolution. So there this additional provisioning will have to do, whatever final guidelines come actually. And normally, the [ doubly ] solar, wind, hybrid, they do get commissioned in time and a lot of push is there from the Ministry of Renewable Energy and the entire government of India. So we hope that all the developers will try to adhere [ tenement ] they do commission before time also. There's a lot of projects that are coming and getting commissioned before time.
Niharika Jain
analystSo basically, I wanted to understand because, again, hydro and pumps, as you said, will take more time and [ lately ] most of the time the DCCO is extended for these projects. And we have already sanctioned these projects at a particular rate. So do we feel that we'll need to revise [ the team ] to maintain a decent spread for ourselves as a company?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveYes. The sanction is done, where we have made provision that interest gets reset every year actually. And plus, we do expect that going forward, our cost of borrowing will also come down. Perhaps, it will balance out the need for increasing due to additional provision, [ but on from there ] the cost of borrowing comes down.
Niharika Jain
analystOkay. And my next question is pertained to that. Only that a recent period is, say, 2 to 3 years. And this comes -- suppose it gets implemented as it is. Again, that's an assumption. So our reset again would take another 2 to 3 years. So we feel that the margins would get compressed because we won't be able to pass it on for another, say, 2 years whenever the reset comes.
Vijay Singh
executiveSo the projects that we are lending now, like we have done 135,000 for renewable. The interest rates are linked with our targets. And these targets are subject to change. We keep reviewing these targets from time to time. And whenever some [ discussions ] happened, that was linked to our target. So then linked to our target, that is one. And the reset is, in all cases, is [ running ]. So all new sanctions. What we did in the past was [ up for ] 3 years also, but these recent sanctions are with 1 year reset only.
Niharika Jain
analystI'm talking about the older sanctions only, which is already there in our book in our INR 5 crore there would be some like AUM, which we have a reset of 2 to 3 years and 20% of AUM will be subjected to [ see ] these norms.
Vivek Dewangan
executiveI think you have misheard; actually, I had clarified that out of 5 lakh crore this asset under management. most of them are already commissioned. Only 1 lakh crore of projects are under construction, which will get impacted. And as far as renewable energy projects are concerned, out of INR 35,000 crore loan book of renewable energy 80% is already commissioned actually. Only 25% -- 20% is under construction. About 20% of around INR 35,000 crores projects under construction -- as far as renewable energy under construction. But yes, those where we have sanctioned last up, they'll come into construction phase this year, and we will take about 2 to 3 years [Technical Difficulty]
Niharika Jain
analystAnd my last question would be on these [ idec ] norms, where -- so are we planning to kind of increase our ECL percentage...
Operator
operatorSorry to interrupt, ma'am, could you please return to the question (sic) [ queue ] for follow-up questions, as there several participants waiting for their turn.
Vivek Dewangan
executiveRegarding the ECL provision which you are seeing, that is only in respect of cash assets. That is the Stage 3 assets, not in respect of the standard asset provisioning. So ECL provisioning in any case, we are calling for the LGD and PDD, which is there and also as per the rating of the borrowers. So that, in any case, will be like that only. So there won't be any impact on that.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Manuj Jain from Wellington Management.
Manuj Jain
analystMy question might be repeated. Still, I would like to check with you just clarification. So for any new lending to, say, renewable power, can you give me some sense how much the cost will increase for the borrower if the draft guideline is implemented in the current form?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveLet me [ repeat any to is not likely to exist ] any amount actually because like we are planning to raise green bonds, which will -- to cater to the green projects only. So green finance when we are -- green bonds we are raising, we're getting lower interest. We [ were ] able to [ pass on.] That's what I am stressing of time and again that for renewable energy projects, our borrowing cost is lower actually, so -- and any increase with the additional provision will get offset by the lower cost of borrowing.
Manuj Jain
analystClearly, you have a benefit there, even raised green bonds and you might not be able to pass through. But maybe if this green bond is not available to you and you basically raise funds from conventional sources and this draft is implemented. Can you give some sense like if this 5% provisioning under-construction stage, how much the cost will increase for a borrower? Is it 50 bps, 100 bps? Like just some sense around that?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveThere won't much impact because there is ample funds which are available for the green financing. It's not only the green bonds, there are a number of lenders who are willing to lend at slightly lower rates as compared to the normal raising which we are doing, both in domestic market as well as the international market. So there are enough funds which are available, and the differential is about 10 to 15 basis points as compared to the normal borrowing which we are doing for the general purposes, for conventional generation also. So there are differences already there. And since our cost of borrowing has already come down from 7.28% to 7.13%. And this year, we are anticipating the rate cuts which are likely to happen, it may come down to about 7%. So as such, we won't reduce the rates, so the rates will remain almost stable at which we have lent at present.
Manuj Jain
analystOkay. Maybe I'll just ask 1 more way. Like given you mentioned like India needs to -- is thinking to implement a [ fund of ] 50 gigawatt every year of renewable power. Post this draft, do you think there are going to be some slowdown given the cost of funding might go up for some of the developers? Or will this change will not impact that pipeline at all?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveI don't see there is any slowdown, but the pace will -- is going to increase actually. You see -- you'll have to wait for the budget, which will be coming in the month of June, July. There will be a major push on this infrastructure sector. We are anticipating that major push through their infrastructure, including power sector. The government [ baidu ] is going to be very clear with regard to infrastructure projects. So I don't see any -- and government is committed to make all enabling provisioning, to facilitate this development and [ further this they are ] aspiring to become a developed country by the year 2047. Government has to make all the enabling provisions. I don't see any slowing down of these infrastructure projects.
Manuj Jain
analystAll right. And just last confirmation. So this thing will have 0 impact at all on the projects which are already running, right? Which you have, whether you have state guaranteed or not is for private developer projects which are already running -- making revenues, cash flows, 0 impact at all because you don't have to change any provisioning at your end, right? Or anybody else?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveActually, we are having our own target, which are quite different from that of the banks. So banks are having the benefit of the CASA. So there, we were giving very competitive rates. So there, they may have to increase the rates, but our rates in any case were almost similar to that. So we have reduced our rate. Now it will be almost at par at whatever [ CASA decides ]. So there won't be an increase in our lending rates as such, but there won't be much competition from the banks because they may have to increase the rates. As such, our rates will remain stable. There won't be change in that.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Nishant Shah from MLP.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, a couple of questions. You mentioned earlier in the call that the government in this would be out of the scope of the circular. It was mentioned [ somewhere ] because we must have missed it, or is this like some local [ government that we've taken ] like just trying to get some conviction around the last government project being out of the scope of the circular?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveNo, it is not mentioned anywhere. But we had detailed deliberations with RBI last year actually with regard to -- there were certain concern about the exposure now. Back then, we had a detailed discussion with RBI management, and the common understanding, which was -- [ we reached in mind ] was that from the exposure and they are taking out this state government guaranteed loans are being kept out of the purview of these exposure norms. This due to RBI guideline, [ top RBI ] guidelines, our Tier 1 capital is going to [ richer ] but that will impact to our exposure. As for exposure is concerned, we are very clear that the state government guaranteed loan are not [ concerned ]. Yes, out of the purview.
Unknown Analyst
analystThat is clear. Okay. And sir, the second is around the differential accounting between NBFCs and banks in this regard. Like, so if I can [ just seeing RBI are there kind of there be some actions which too much differentiation ] between large size and [ citizen ] banks. So if banks are going to be sort of disproportionately affected [ that is the case it would communicate ] of less competition for you. I'm just trying to fathom like if there is something in the bank of RBI you are trying to bring up like make the content [ the del ] at a giving banks on assumption [ of LIBOR ] or because it seems a little [ complicated ] looking at how the RBI has been sanctioning up to it. [ Kind of been like around MCR the tell between bank ]
Vijay Singh
executiveLet me tell you that the spirit behind RBI draft guideline is closer scrutiny of the under-construction projects. Historically, the under-construction projects are normally delayed in the country. So the broad focus on this under-construction project. With regard to competition from the banks, Sanjay has already clarified. Sanjay would like to supplement.
Sanjay Kumar Bansal
executiveAnd actually, you are saying about the accounting treatment in case of banks and NBFCs. This was your question, please?
Unknown Analyst
analystSo as said just on incremental projects, you can just take the difference between the [ in just the ] provisioning requirement and the prescribed by the circular as an adjustment to the impairment for banks, where banks will not have that leeway. [ And the wider sense ] helps NBFCs like you NBFCs kind of do better. I'm just trying to think about that a bit more. Is that something -- is that interpretation first of all correct from my side? And second, is there something that like the RBI can do to kind of allow banks the forbearance or like prevent you from moving the [ kind ] of accounting treatment and passing provisions to P&L or something like that. I understand the comp in recent times the RBI kind of [ likened those differences ]. Actually [ that's the gist of the ] question.
Vivek Dewangan
executiveAs far as the accounting treatment is concerned, the Ind AS was followed in case of NBFCs from 2018, '19. So banks despite a number of opportunities given to them, RBI didn't implement in case of the banks. So still, it is not being implemented there. Whatever the provisioning they are doing in [ distressed ] assets as well as the other provisioning also, that is routed through the profit and loss accounts. While in case of NBFCs, the provisioning as standard assets and other assets is concerned, that is done on the basis of certain systematic methodology which is there. Regarding the LGD and PD which is there on that basis, as [ permitted ]. So the provisioning as far as the standard asset is concerned, it can be even lower than the 0.4% which is [ consistently ] required by RBI prior to the circular. So Ind AS, the total provisioning as per the methodology which is their for [ ECL ] computation. So in case of the banks that is not there, they have to pass it through the profit and loss account itself. While in case of the NBFC, it is not like that. So at present also, we have to compare the provisioning which we are doing in respect of the ECL, with that of the provisioning, which is required as per the [ ec ] norms. And in case any difference in there, say in case it is lower than the [ ec ] norm, then an impairment reserve is required to be stated. So same thing will be there going forward also. While in case of banks, it will be routed through the profit and loss account itself. Actually, why it was not implemented in case of banks, there is a purpose also for that. There is a reason also behind that. While there was too much provisioning which was required, the capital is to be infused by the Government of India in case of the banks. So that was the main reason why the Ind AS was not implemented in case of the banks, while it was implemented in case of the NBFCs.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Umang Shah from Kotak Mutual Fund.
Umang Shah
analystI have a couple of them. While I appreciate that on your existing back book, there might not be a material impact, right, as bulk of the projects are already operational. But don't you really think that the new guidelines does impair our ability to grow in a meaningful way? Where I'm coming from is that in your initial comment, you also allude to the fact that there is a possibility where banks and players like yourself might pass on some of the incremental costs, which will obviously alter the viability of some of the projects that we intend to finance. So although the sanctions pipeline at this point of time is looking fairly good, how much of that eventually gets converted into disbursements? Do you really think is there any risk to that number? And also as a proportion, currently the share of under-construction projects is relatively lower. But as we keep increasing or keep growing the book, this proportion will eventually increase, right? So to that extent, there will be material impact on our capital ratios as well. Just wanted to hear your thoughts on these points.
Vivek Dewangan
executiveThere won't be an impact on the capital ratios. It will only be Tier 1 capital that will be impacted. All of the ratios will remain the same. There is no change in that. The results in the net worth will also be same. It's only the impairment reserve, which is not a [ key ] reserve, which will not be available for distribution purposes or any other purposes. For general purposes but say ]. But otherwise, it's only the Tier 1 capital which will be impacted, which will have an impact on the exposure that we can take in respect of any single borrower or group of borrowers. Otherwise, it won't be impacted as far as profitability is concerned, net worth is concerned, book value is concerned, there won't be an impact on any of the figures. And as far as growth is concerned, so we'll have to grow at a faster pace than at what we do at present and [ as far as further ].
Vijay Singh
executiveI don't think any slowdown of this project actually. [ I already made clear ] there will be a major push from government also for infrastructure sector. So they will be making all enabling things. Even if cost of funds goes up, it will -- it's not going to slow down this progress of the infrastructure projects.
Umang Shah
analystGot it. Because, sir, I mean when we are talking to some of the other players within the ecosystem, they are fairly circumspect about the growth prospect either on the infrastructure side or on the power sector side. So I mean, it's quite interesting that you have a view that the growth will not get impacted in a meaningful way. Sure. Sir, the second point, which I wanted, which is more of a clarification at this point of time. Two points which you mentioned, one, that these norms might be applicable only to projects where DCCO extension has happened? Or will it be applicable to all under-construction projects regardless of whether they are within the guidelines or not? Is there any clarity on that point as yet?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveIt will be [ applicable ] all under-construction projects. All CapEx projects. So we have made it -- it will be affected affecting all the under construction projects despite whether it is DCCO extension or not.
Vijay Singh
executiveBut in our view, it should be applicable to the DCCO extension projects only. For that, we'll make a special RBI. Let's make an analysis and come back to us.
Vivek Dewangan
executiveAnd let me reiterate again that we don't see any growth -- growth is not going to be affected. Our growth will continue to be on upward trajectory only.
Vijay Singh
executiveWe have to go by project by project, also in the standard asset, provisioning of about 0.5%, which we have maintained. Just on individual projects, it may be even 1% also. So depending upon whatever the risks are there in respect to that project, higher provisioning is also there. On a total basis, it is 0.5%. But in individual project basis, it may be 0.15% also, 0.1% also and 1% also. So as such, depending upon the DCCO and all these things, we already take into consideration that. And according to that, provisioning of current asset is also maintained under the Ind AS also.
Umang Shah
analystSure, sure. And sir, just last clarification in extension of the previous question, a question asked by the previous participant, assuming that government -- sorry, the regulator has not really distinguished between projects which are guaranteed by state or central government. In that case, how big can be the impact for us versus what we are quantifying currently?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveThat is not likely to be the case because in case you see the [ quick ] capital you see also the risk factor, which is [ Capex funding ] in the state governments are [ currently predicted ] 20% as compared to the other projects, which are 100%. So the different dispensation is given with respect to the state sector projects, which are guaranteed by the state. So for [ exposure ] norms also dispensation is given. And earlier up to 2022, even these were outside the ambit of the exposure norms also. So time to time, differentiation has been given in respect of the state government guaranteed projects. So we assume that it will be norm -- going forward also, it will be applicable because the risk factor which is there with respect to [ state government ] is much less. Both [ FX ] is also there, [ DP ] is also there with respect to those projects. And they are commissioned on time also.
Vijay Singh
executiveAnd the 1 more thing we mentioned earlier, that 40% of our loan book is secured through state government guarantee. Out of that 40%, roughly 30%, 35% is for non-CapEx funding towards LPS, LIS and RBP sort of funding. So only 5% to 10% maybe is towards the project, project funding. So what we said, about 40% is not for the project purpose. It was largely for non-project, non-CapEx lendings.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Rohan Vora from Envision Capital.
Rohan Vora
analystSir, my first question was that when you said that on the existing loan book, you've seen, you considered a 1 lakh crore kind of loan book that might be impacted. So would that include the projects we can not need the operating cash flow and the 20% repayment from the peak rate. So would that be part of the 1 lakh crore?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveYes, that would be part of the INR 1 lakh crore.
Rohan Vora
analystOkay. Okay. And those also require loan provisioning. So then this number will be reduced by the 5% limit that we are talking about, correct?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveFrom 5%, 2.5%, 1% depending upon the stage of the project.
Rohan Vora
analystOkay. So everything is in this INR 1 lakh crore?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveYes.
Rohan Vora
analystGot it. Sir, and now moving forward, the [ kind of an ] opportunity that you said [ 24 gigawatts, and we expect to get 35% to 40% share ] from it. So add those project [ now by ] state government guarantees, how has made the pricing on that? And can you throw some light on that?
Vijay Singh
executiveYou might have observed that our lending rate is the highest in respect of [ always capital free ] only. It varies from 10% to 11% actually. This 94 gigawatt capacity, some additional impact was because additional posing some impact would be there that we'll be able to pass on actually because you see the ecosystem the competition. As far as the competition from other financial institutions, there is less competition as far as coal-based capacity is concerned. So there, we don't see that our business will get affected. You only -- some increase in the lending cost is there.
Rohan Vora
analystGot it. Got it. So basically, we have the capability to pass on to [ those in there ].
Vijay Singh
executiveYes.
Rohan Vora
analystAnd sir, just one more question. What would be the current reserve to the impairment is or the provisioning created on our books as on March '24?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveMaybe the impairment reserve is required to be created in case the provisioning as per the Ind AS is lower than the rec norms. Our providing is already higher than the [ rec ] norms, and so there is no impairment reserve at present.
Rohan Vora
analystGot it. Got it. And sir, if I can squeeze one more question. So when we say that we intend to reach INR 10 lakh crore or $125 million by FY '30. So the sort of calculation gives me a growth rate of around 12%, 13% on the loan book. And then we also intend to have a higher growth rate. So any clarity on that, I mean, do we see loan book growing faster than 12%, 13% there?
Vijay Singh
executiveYes. If we are able -- like this year, our assets grew by about 17%. If this 17% growth is to continue, then we'll be able to reach this INR 10 lakh crores by the year 2029 itself, in next 5 years, not 6 years. So it is more likely actually, but I'm slightly conservative. I'm not giving this bullish figure. But if we are able to maintain this 17% growth, then we'll be able to reach this target in FY '29 itself.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Shreya Shivani from CLSA.
Shreya Shivani
analystMost of my questions have been answered. Sir, one question was that during the press meet, you had mentioned that there are about 9 or 7 projects which have to be liquidated this year. These are your bad assets. So what is the approximate size of these out of the INR 138 billion Stage 3 we have, what is the size of these? That's my first question. Second, just going back to the same regulation point only, I had some interaction with some industry experts who said that if these regulations on [ saddled ] asset provision lead to lower liquidity availability or in the market or higher lending rates, private CapEx is something that could be impacted. So that really goes -- I mean, that becomes very counterintuitive to what the government and then what the regulators are trying to do. One is trying to push CapEx and other's regulation may end up leading to a [ determinant of ] private CapEx coming in. Any comment on that? And what kind of feedback are we going to push RBI towards on the same?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveLet me respond to your first question. There's not 9, 7 projects are getting towards liquidation, total value is about INR 2,222 crores, for which we already made 100% provisioning. Okay. Now we would like to respond to the second question.
Vijay Singh
executiveSo on actually -- although everything is still in draft stage and we cannot really say with certainty. But what we look at the current draft regulation is that, of course it may, perhaps, and we are not very sure, impair the ability of banks who want ] to lend or in [ fren ] perhaps your understanding is correct. But then that gives us new greater opportunity. In any case, we are a very active lender in the power sector space, and we started lending operations in the infra space as well. So I think the current situation may lead to for REC to capture some high-quality assets. Where earlier the competition from banks was very severe, maybe that may not be there and those opportunities may be available to REC going forward.
Vivek Dewangan
executiveActually, banks in any case are not lending for the infra. In case you see the private sector banks, ICICI, [ DFC ] they are, nowhere there in case of the infra financing. It's state sector banks which are there. So they virtually lend to REC. Instead of directly taking exposure in the projects, they lend to REC. And on that basis, REC takes an exposure on the projects, because REC has the capability also for the evaluation of these type of projects.
Shreya Shivani
analystSir, and just one question. So these -- it's a clarification on these regulations. So the regulation talks about only the project finance. So say, a bank is doing a bridge finance kind of a loan for a renewable project before the project finance comes in. So that bridge finance kind of a loan, even though you're doing it for a CapEx plan, that doesn't get covered under this regulation, right?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveThere is a definition of project which is given under these guidelines. So we have to go by that definition. So these type of bridge financing which they are doing or even if we are doing RBPI for this type of funding. So that won't be covered in [ that case]. Because [ this pursuing ] in any case, has to be there for this type of projection.
Shreya Shivani
analystGot it. Understood. Understood.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Saket Yadav from India Capital.
Saket Yadav
analystFirstly, thank you [ sri ] for providing great [ tommis ] clarity on the potential impact. As you said, there [ impinging ] impact on P&L, book value and net worth. [ Are we see ] only have one gets impacted [ every ]. That my question was that, given our return on net worth is [ valuated ] at 22%. And next year, we're expecting some write-backs [ to be taken on SB ] et cetera. Do you think even in case if we get strong growth like 17%, 18%, still the Tier 1 capital should actually improve in the next 2, 3 years, given our net worth, return on net worth is going to be much higher than our incremental growth [ in Tier 1 ] Is that [ independent ] correct?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveNext year with the write-backs, which are expected in respect of these state assets which are likely to be resolved. So there is not likely to be much impact as far as these provisioning norms are concerned. So there won't be much impact on the Tier 1 capital also in the next year. Going forward also, we have to just see as to how this situation fares on because there will be incremental profits also, which we'll be generating.
Saket Yadav
analystAbsolutely. Yes. My question is, like do you think incremental profits will be higher than only more than may come for any kind of from an ongoing basis with the write back and incremental profits will be more than -- will provide more buffer to sort of address any potential impact on Tier 1?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveIn case you see the last 3 years' profit, they are incrementally increasing year-by-year. We are also going forward and with the return on equity of about more than 20%. So there'll be -- 70% in any case will be going towards the net worth itself, [ and we ] have to declare by way of different. Remaining in any case will be incrementally going towards the net worth itself.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Jigar Jani from B&K Securities.
Jigar Jani
analystJust two. One, have you got or done some calculations on what would be the impact existing on the Tier 1 capital based on these guidelines? And secondly, on your target for disbursements next year, what would be your target and how that would be split across the different segments of [ the industry ] and the infra? And how much of it would be like greenfield and how much would be refinanced if you have some ballpark figures?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveAs far as your first question is concerned, so we have not made any calculation as of now. Because we'll be representing to the RBI, we have to just see for the final guidelines. So whatever impact will be there in any case, it applies to be -- the comments are to be sent by June. So in case they come out with the final guidelines before the first quarterly results, then in any case, we'll be having the impact there in the first quarterly result itself. But in case nothing comes up in the first quarter, then in that case, we will be taking the calculation in the second quarter. So as such, we have not made any calculation, but we have to present to RBI, and let's wait for the final guidelines to come.
Vijay Singh
executiveWith regard to this mix of the different loan portfolio, right now, share of renewable energy is only 7% of our total assets. It will gradually increase to 30% in the next 5 to 6 years. So every year, we see that incremental growth of 5% to 7% growth will be there as far as renewable energy is concerned. Conventional generation, our total share is at [ 20, ] 29%. So this will also increase to say every year, it will increase by 2% to 3%. Our distribution transmission about 40%. The distribution transmission is 40%. Part of the transmission that will get in the [ community ] corridor gets covered under this renewable energy portfolio, absolutely. Distribution sector we'll be able to maintain that, because RDS is going to be the next 2 to 3 years thereafter, as I had told you that there'll be huge CapEx requirements for upgrading that Distribution [ project ] and distribution and transmission portfolio will remain like that only. And whatever this transition in renewable, mostly conventional generation renewable will increase, and some part of it will come from non [ power and generation ] logistics also. Going forward, by the end of 2030, I told you that 30% will come from renewable, 15% or 20% will come from [ long infra ] logistics and 50% to 55% will come from conventional generation, distribution and transmission.
Jigar Jani
analystAnd any disbursement targets for next year? And how much would be greenfield and how much will make refinancing next year and [ financing ] in businesses?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveYes. Last year, you might have observed that our non-CapEx disbursement was quite high actually. It was to the tune of INR 151,000 crores. But this year, our CapEx disbursement are going to jump quite substantially. And we are targeting minimum INR 175,000 crores. Mr. [ Rikutan ] would like to clarify?
Unknown Executive
executiveSo mostly, I mean, we are targeting, as we mentioned, we are targeting 2, 3 areas, which of course include generational space, renewable energy projects and, of course, the infrastructure and logistics. Minimum debt disbursement, we believe that can happen based on what we have done already. The remaining INR 170,000 crores, INR 180,000 crores currently we are targeting. And this target is likely to go up depending on what sanctions we do in the current financial year. And on your second question on refinancing, we are very, very active in refinancing the space. You might have seen that we did some [ market ] deals last financial year, particularly in renewable energy space. There are some of the projects -- group of projects financed through foreign currency borrowing was refinanced by us. We have currently such proposals at our [ desk ], and we will continue to target this particular space going forward as well.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Sumit Hizly from UTI RSN.
Sumit Hizly
analystSir, my question is on this book value impact. So you're stating that whatever the provision recovery is going to happen in, say, next 1 or 2 years, is going to offset this impact of this provisioning requirement by this regulation. So when we look at like 3 to 4 years sort of a view, considering this [ talimali ] which we are incrementally very positive about the growth as well as the renewables. How do you see this going to impact in say, like next 3 to 4 years?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveNext 1 or 2 years, there won't be any impact. And subsequently in case an impact is there, our net worth in any case will also improve because of the profit which we'll be generating. Since our disbursements are also increasing, loan book is increasing by 17%, but [ it is accelerating but in the itself it increased by 17% ], and we are targeting similar increase in the years to come. So accordingly, there won't be much impact. Whatever the impact of provisioning, it will be there, it will be offset by the profits which we'll be generating.
Sumit Hizly
analystOkay. So like in the next 3 to 4 years also, no meaningful impact you're seeing in the book value?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveYes.
Sumit Hizly
analystOkay. And sir, regarding this cost of fund, you are mentioning that this cost of fund is going to further reduce going forward. So how we are doing this basically in reducing this cost of fund?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveOnly one thing is there. The book value, there won't be any impact at all. So it's not impacting the book value. It's only the Tier 1 capital that is being impacted. So neither in this particular year, neither in the years to come, there will be any impact on the book value. And with regard to the question on cost of funding, you might have seen that our cost of funds has come down by 15 basis points from 7.28% to 7.13%. And the share of our external commercial borrowing has increased from 24% to 29%. We have 2 cheaper source of fund available. One is 54 EC bonds that is capital gains tax saving instrument, that is about 40,000. That also will increase to more than INR 50,000 crores. That's what we are targeting. Collections are going to increase. Then our foreign currency borrowing is, with the innovative hedging techniques that we adopted, we have been able to bring down all-in cost to around 6.6%, 6.7%. The write-down external commercial borrowing is more attractive as compared to domestic borrowing. But going forward, there might be a case that domestic borrowing becomes cheaper. So we'll be looking -- we are [ constantly ] evaluating the emerging situation. Whichever is the cheapest source of fund available, we are targeting those funds, so [ they ] bring down our cost of funds.
Sumit Hizly
analystSure. And sir, lastly, what's your view on the overall power sector for next 5 years?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveOverall, power sector, I can see tremendous growth actually. You might have heard that power demand has increased by 8% last year. And in the current financing in the month of April, power demand has increased by 11%. So it will [ metach or 2 ] in the next 5 years, power demand is likely to be on upward trajectory, as the power demand increases, and there is improvement in the operational and financial efficiency of distribution company within the [ charity ramdis ] district scheme and late payment surcharge. So overall health of the [ utilities ] is improving actually. With the improvement in the health of DISCOMs, the consequent result is that the health of the state gencos and transcos are also improved because distribution is a sector from where they get the revenue, and with all state gencos and transcos are getting paid on time nowadays. And going for next 5 years, there is a huge increase in the renewable energy portfolio, but this challenge: that since renewable energy is intermittent in nature, we need to have commercially viable storage solution. So that is a technological challenge. I hope that a lot of research and development work is going on. And if there's some breakthrough there in hydrogen fuel cell technology, then perhaps we might not have to go that aggressively for coal-based [ emission ] capacity. The storage solution becomes a cheaper option. Then green hydro and green ammonia is going to come in a big way. Ministry of New and Renewable Energy has already set up green hydrogen mission, and government amendment in Energy Conservation Act has already been effected, which is a reminder that the Government of India can lay down the [ press case ] of the consumption norms of the different green energy. For green energy consumption, the trajectory is being rolled out actually, but to start with from refining and fertilizer sector, they will be gradually increasing the consumption of green hydro. Thereafter, steel sector would also be covered. The decarbonization economy we can see that all the ministries are taking very proactive step. Overall, I see that with huge growth potential in the two digits, [ so as ] positive is concerned.
Sumit Hizly
analystSure, sir. And sir, lastly, on the asset quality front, do you see any part of the segment we're going to get [ seize on ] in the next 2, 3 years, with thermal or renewable?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveAs I have told you that we are willing to take it on our margin, but we are not going to compromise on the asset quality. That is the clearcut reason which our company is having. So we are -- there is no compromise on asset quality, be it conventional generation or renewable energy or infrastructure logistics. We are not going to compromise on asset quality. We are also targeting only good entities. And you might have observed that last 9 quarters, not a single new entity has been added into our [ equity ] and we hope to maintain this track record. And since we are targeting to become a net zero [ energy ] company by FY '25, we would like that to maintain the good asset quality and no new [ administration ] should be added into our equity.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Sandeep Jain from Baroda BNP Paribas.
Sandeep Jain
analystJust one kind of data keeping. What is the cost advantage if we raise in green bond as compared to your book cost of fund? I think in the [ after ] you have raised some green bonds also, right? What is the incremental cost of that?
Vijay Singh
executiveThe all hedge cost of the green bond, which we raised in April of 750 million [ mark ] was [ 7.01 ]%.
Sandeep Jain
analystAnd normal will be somewhere...
Vijay Singh
executiveDomestically in case we were raising the funds, to deliver at that point of time, at about 7.7% to 7.75%. But there was a differential of about 75 basis points. While in case we go for the term loans, that's even cheaper, but we are on a floating basis and these were on a fixed basis.
Sandeep Jain
analystSurely. So in a way, we can understand there is a 40, 50 basis point kind of arbitrage is available.
Vivek Dewangan
executiveNot 40, 50, more than that. And in case of the yen bonds which we had raised, that was at about 6.48%. So it depends upon the currency also, we are raising the funds in different currencies. And we are swapping some of the USD term loans or bonds, which we are raising, term loans which we are raising, to different currencies; that is, CHF Swiss francs or the euro or [ GPY ] so as to have the arbitrage there. And there also, we are able to get a differential of 1 to 250 basis points. So roughly, you can see from a domestic cost of borrowing, it's roughly 100 basis points cheaper.
Sandeep Jain
analystSo on question on the earlier answer, when you have said when you are lending to the renewable guys, right, the cost of this draft regulation, say, if it is coming at that point, whatever it is the return in the draft regulation, it will come. So what you are trying to say is that when we will lend to the renewable or green energy, the reduction in the cost of benefit will be available so that the provisioning cost will not impact the overall PAT level. So we can assume that the increase in the [ NIM ] so the impact would be around 50, 60 basis points because of this provision?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveImpact at presently we don't say. But whatever the impact will be there, we can maintain the same lending rate without increasing. In case we can bring down the cost of borrowing, say by 10 to 15 basis points, so that instead of passing it on, we can maintain the same lending rates. Whatever the impact is there, that can, in any case, we absorb by that itself. So there was the only impact. Yes, the viability of the project is a certain on a long-term basis, not on a short-term basis. So we have asset in the viability of the project on the lending rate as of now. So in case we are able to maintain that also, the viability of the project in any case will be there. There won't be any impact on that.
Vijay Singh
executiveWe also submitted that by leveraging the budget, we do the [ subsidy and also ]. So thereby, if any we take into account if any increase is here in the near term, that we take to account and [ if the subsidy ] is better then only the project [ require ]. So for example, if finance funding is right now at 10%, we take into account the [ best of the analysis ] up to 11%. So even if it goes up to 11%, the project still becomes [ viable ]. So we have no problem and you don't need to worry.
Sandeep Jain
analystOkay. So you are saying the project IRR would be more than enough even if the current rate or if we increase the rate kind of thing. So the project owner will make a definite IRR even at the higher rates also.
Vivek Dewangan
executiveYes, correct.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Vipul Kumar Shah from [ Sumangal ] Investment.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, I'm referring to your presentation on Slide # 17, where major borrowers -- 10 major borrowers you mentioned and the amount is INR 2 lakh 2,000 crores. So what percentage of these loans are guaranteed by the state government?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveAbout 40%, roughly 40%.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo my question, is the balance 60%, what is the road to repayment because their losses are coming down, but still they are making losses. And if they don't generate sufficient cash, what is the roadmap to the repayment?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveRBS has made a provision for that. In the case that trajectory to bring down AT&C losses, the difference between average cost of supply and average revenue realized, the trajectory has been committed by the distribution companies based on the state [ cabinet's ] resolution, the support by the state government. So that we are quite sure that in order to [ win Government of India grant, they'll be able to maintain that trajectory. Otherwise, this INR 90,000 crore government [ design ] is there for INR 3 lakh crore scheme of RBS. That is acting as incentive to adhere to the response being carried out by the state government, and they will be able to maintain this trajectory of bringing down the AT&C losses and the difference between ACS and AR.
Vijay Singh
executiveAnd also the -- because of this RDF form, all the utilities across the country have started taking measure and we have started seeing the outcomes also: the AT&C loss, which was 22% 2 years back, came down to roughly 16.5 and then it has now further come down to 15.5%. So as a matter of fact, with the interventions that Government of India has introduced to RDS, we are seeing this particular loss trajectory coming down.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Avinash Singh from Emkay Global.
Avinash Singh
analystMy question here is what you also highlighted, that a lot of government forms and initiatives also are helping -- help to get better. Now of course, on the growth side, I see and I agree with you that opportunity are in [ yon ] but [ vaswamy ] also commented that with [ there was a ] CapEx plans and, of course, we have opportunity in renewables and of course, opportunities in [ obtaining that ]. But when it comes to [ some of how you would [ seize and if this entity saw ] a financial health improvement, it's happening as per the plan and it becomes better, will not you see an impact on your spread or yield, because it will be far better say, 5 year down the line from where they were 2 years back. So when do you sort of -- how do you see, I mean, the spreads playing out particularly to the loan given to the state entity?
Vivek Dewangan
executiveAvinash thanks for asking this question for generation. Yes, on spread because I've seen that, that lately some of the other utilities have improved from C category to B, their rating has improved. So there are interest rates that comes down because for A categories, B categories some interest differential is there. So that impact on spread would be met by our increase in the volume, the kind of growth that you are seeing, there'll be with the improvement in the rating of the utilities. The spread would be slightly affected, but that we'll be able to meet through our increase in the volume of the loan book.
Avinash Singh
analystI mean yes, so on the sort of that your NII side, I understand or agree with your comments, but my question on [ VUC ] structurally not today, they are medium term, 2, 3 years down the line, are [ placed ] on your spread. So again, I am not going by quarter, but if I look at the kind of annual trend, if you today operate at the 2.7%, 2.8% [ attain if actually, ] you see the spread coming under some pressure, over the 2, 3, 4 years kind of [ attainment ]?.
Vivek Dewangan
executiveNo, no, no. In fact, spread is going to improve actually. As I told you that coal-based generation capacity [ is still ] 94 gigawatts and we are targeting business share about -- minimum 40% business will come to us. So the margins are much better. As far as coal-based [ hum ] capacity is [ now very good ]. Large hydro also, we have good margins. Pump storage projects, then [ non-pumping ] also we have good margins. So we do hope that our spread is going to improve further, not going to come down. It may go up to 3% actually, 2.8% it may increase to 3% actually.
Operator
operatorThank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question of the day. I now hand the conference over to management for closing comments.
Vivek Dewangan
executiveOn behalf of REC, I would like to thank all the participants for asking [ very intuitive and specific ] questions, and hope that we have been able to answer your queries and on the various issues to your satisfaction. And we hope to have continuous interaction with you and will have more of such interactive sessions so that if there are any questions on your part, we should be able to give proper reasoning for those queries. And we hope to have collaborative efforts with all our investors. Thank you so much.
Operator
operatorThank you. On behalf of DAM Capital Advisors Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.
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