Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (REGN) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 24, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Geoffrey Porges
analystGood morning, everybody. I'm Geoff Porges, Director of Therapeutics Research and Senior Biotech Analyst here at SVB Leerink. Welcome to what is now day 3 of our Global Healthcare Conference. I'm delighted to host our next company this morning, which is Regeneron. Regeneron is represented by Justin Holko, who is Vice President of Investor Relations; and Marion McCourt, who is Chief Commercial Officer. Marion and Justin, welcome to GHC. And Justin, I think you have a few remarks.
Justin Holko
executiveThank you, Geoff. Glad to join you today. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that remarks made on today's webcast do include forward-looking statements about Regeneron. Each forward-looking statement is subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results and events to differ materially from those projected in the statement. A more complete description of these and other material risks can be found in Regeneron's SEC filings. We do not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Thanks, Geoff.
Geoffrey Porges
analystThank you, Justin. So Marion has currently agreed to hear me by not making a presentation this morning since in Regeneron timing that would probably occupy most of the 30 minutes. So thank you for that, Marion.
Geoffrey Porges
analystSo maybe we could just jump right in. Can you go through the list? But first of all, let's start talking about the COVID antibody cocktail. How are you going at freeing up access to the cocktail? Because, of course, your sales are all more or less locked in. It's a question of whether people are actually using it. So what's going on there?
Marion McCourt
executiveSure, Geoff, appreciate it, and pleased to be here today. Yes, I think we're making progress with REGEN-COV. As you described, it's a different situation under an EUA. With every passing day, everything week, we're making advances. We're working, obviously, very closely with BARDA and BARDA working closely with the states. They obviously are deeming opportunities for supply, but we are working closely. Our team has been working to help with communications. Our medical affairs team has been very active with education and support. And I think probably the big advance is just extending best practices. Every element of treating infected patients with infusion to get the REGEN antibody cocktail within a 10-day window of time of their symptoms, all of these elements create a lot of complication. But I think we're seeing improvements. There are significant best practices being shared on a national basis. And the number of that sophisticated best practice, getting patients treated is improving. Having said that, there's a lot more work to be done, and we're very passionate about supporting where we can and moving things forward to help as quickly as possible. But the access situation is improving. And I think it's the resourcefulness of the medical care community that is also making a difference and individuals really taking steps to make sure that patients are treated promptly and access is clear and physicians know simply where to go when they have a patient who needs treatment because they're at high risk to get them the care that they need.
Geoffrey Porges
analystOkay. And I think that you -- I don't have your guidance right in front of me, but I think you guided to something in the order of $2 billion of revenue in the first half of the year through the BARDA contract. Do you expect to have an additional BARDA contract for the second half of the year? Or do you envisage that they won't be -- are you expecting there not to be significant demand after that contract?
Marion McCourt
executiveWe expect that there will be significant demand. I think it's hard to speculate on a contract. That certainly is a possibility, but we don't see a situation where there won't be significant demand and need for REGEN-COV or antibody cocktail in treatment for patients going into the future. It takes nothing from other companies, bringing advances into the marketplace and vaccinations as well. But sadly, with the situation that we're facing today, under the pandemic with COVID, there will certainly be some patients who aren't vaccinated. Some patients who can't be vaccinated for one reason or another. The need to continually address this evolving dynamic where every day we're hearing about variants and the need to treat patients who are appropriate candidates. There's also the possibility that as our clinical trial readouts advance that we will have additional potential either EUA or even in the future FDA-approved indications that we would want to move forward and make sure we're supporting the needs in the U.S. and also through our partnership with Roche globally.
Geoffrey Porges
analystOkay. And what's the timing for those 2 additional trials? Could you remind us there's the PROFI study and then there's also this investigation of the lower dose, which, of course, would double your potential supply?
Marion McCourt
executiveYes. Both exciting. Justin, would you just do me the favor of reading off the latest states that we've provided on our readout?
Justin Holko
executiveSure, Geoff. I would say on both of those, you're probably looking at second quarter events. We've been saying pretty consistently those are early second quarter, second quarter type time frame, both for hospitalization as well as PROFI. And then to your other question, actually, the 1.2 gram dose in the outpatient setting. But a fairly rich set of readouts over the next few months.
Geoffrey Porges
analystRight. Okay. Marion, perhaps we can move on and talk a little bit about EYLEA. A lot of noise from your current and future competitors. And the data from faricimab certainly has captured a lot of people's attention. So I'm sure you've done some market research already about the profile. But what are you finding in terms of physicians' responses to the faricimab data? And how they might use the product? What effect it might have on EYLEA?
Marion McCourt
executiveSure. So I think, Geoff, the first is to say, obviously, we always follow the competition in the market very, very carefully. I'll quickly remind that last year, even though, unfortunately, the anti-VEGF market declined, EYLEA did not. We performed in a very strong fashion, certainly a competitive marketplace and a difficult one at that under the pandemic but grew our business and grew share obviously both branded and unbranded competition. I say this because it connects to future competition that the profile we have of efficacy in the marketplace, tremendous amount of experience, safety profile, multiple indications, use of prefilled syringe, all these efficiencies that lend to practice flow-through and really treating patients efficiently matter a lot. The read we have from angiogenesis data and the faricimab data that recently came forward is that, frankly, the profile was not one that made most of the individuals that we were talking to or even our own assessment, suggest that this would be a competitor that would substantially impact EYLEA. And it's for the reasons of the profile I was just mentioning, I'll take a little more time on our ability to treat and extend our dosing ability. There were several who commented that the trial design was less favorable to EYLEA than faricimab. Certainly, my clinical colleagues could go into more detail on that. But I think it actually showed that EYLEA's ability to treat and extend after 1 year of treatment, it's not uncommon for physicians to go out to a 12-week dosing interval for appropriate patients. So it becomes, I think, very difficult for a product that doesn't have a compelling equivalence to the standard of care, let alone an improvement to be viewed as a competitor that's going to make a meaningful impact on EYLEA as the market leader. Having said all that, and I say this to you all the time, we are very conscious of competition. I think it makes us stronger. I've been at Regeneron for 3 years now. I could not be more proud of the EYLEA ophthalmology team in the way that they're addressing the market competitively and really supporting our customers in all aspects of their practice. The other thing I'll mention is, this past year, it was actually very disappointing not to go further with our diabetes campaign to educate consumers on the importance of their eye care, which is woefully neglected and can result in loss of sight, which is more frightening to patients. When you do the research, then loss of a limb. We delayed aspects of that program to this year because the times weren't right under the pandemic. But my hope is this year, as we start getting back to a little bit more of a normal world, fingers crossed, that we can embark upon that consumer campaign and that will bring appropriate diabetic patients into the care continuum to have their vision checked. It's a remarkable opportunity for EYLEA and one we're really proud to be taking forward.
Geoffrey Porges
analystMarion, could you just remind us of the proportion of revenue in the U.S. between AMD and DME and/or other indications now? And then the growth dynamics of those 2 indications in the mix?
Marion McCourt
executiveRight. So there's more of a balance occurring, which I think is the core of your question. So what AMD is, oh, probably in the 50s at this point. There has been a shift to more business, maybe the high 50s, Justin, if you have the exact number, please add that in.
Justin Holko
executiveHigh 50s.
Marion McCourt
executiveWhat's important is we're seeing more pickup in use in diabetic eye disease, diabetic retinopathy and other indications.
Geoffrey Porges
analystSo is it reasonable for investors to expect that your diabetic business at least should continue to grow, both because of the under penetration of the indication and the delay in your competitors coming into that indication, more or less regardless of what happens in the wet AMD indication?
Marion McCourt
executiveGeoff, I think it's fair to say, but we also -- I would -- I think your comment is very true. But I also would say the wet AMD indication, it's really important one to us, and we do not see a competitive dynamic where we aren't offering the product profile and the standard of care. And with aging population, we will continue to see a lot of wet AMD patients come in to the care system. As you know, what happened during the pandemic and especially last year, where patient flows for a period of time reduced, things are getting back to normal now, but it really was the diabetic eye disease patients that were less likely to come in for care. Wet AMD tended to continue. Going forward, I see a very strong business for EYLEA across all indications.
Geoffrey Porges
analystOkay. And what about the safety side? Because, of course, you faced a competitor 18 months ago. And there was significant share shifting over to that competitor until they ran into safety issues. Has that sort of tainted the market in terms of its receptiveness to new medicines in this indication?
Marion McCourt
executiveGeoff, it comes up, as you know, all the time that the world is forever changed in terms of assuming safety. I think it's switched to where now safety has to be proven in the real-world setting. So for even some of the competition that you've asked about or you're likely to ask me about, there is a flag that there are suggestions that the IOI profile and the safety profile might not be quite as good as EYLEA. And certainly, even outside of that, the real-world setting is probably where Novartis saw the most unfortunate and catastrophic events in terms of impact on vision, which resulted in that product really not being used and not being, obviously, an opportunity for improving care for patients.
Geoffrey Porges
analystOkay. I'm going to throw a question to Justin, just to keep his attention. So Justin, could you remind us of the status of the high-dose trial? And what impact that could potentially have on the frequency of dosing and the competitive position of EYLEA?
Justin Holko
executiveYes. So there's just a level set everyone. So there's actually 3 trials that are ongoing for the high-dose EYLEA. It is an 8-milligram, more concentrated formulation than what is currently used in the 2-milligram EYLEA formulation. There is a Phase II study in AMD that we are running that we anticipate a readout either late this year or early next year. But in parallel to that Phase II, there are 2 Phase III studies, one in AMD that our partner Bayer is running. And then a second in DME that we are running. Those are running in parallel to the Phase II, and we expect that both of those would read out at some point later -- probably later in 2022. So you're looking at, again, a fairly rich set of [indiscernible] call it 12, 18, 24 weeks.
Geoffrey Porges
analystOkay. And again, with the higher dose, I presume the endpoint is non-inferiority. But is it simply on a treat and extend basis? Or is there a formal extension of the dosing interval in those trials?
Justin Holko
executiveThere's a formal extension of the dosing interval that we're looking at. 12 weeks and beyond.
Geoffrey Porges
analystSorry, 12 weeks that you said?
Justin Holko
executive12 weeks and beyond.
Geoffrey Porges
analystOkay, terrific. Okay. Perhaps, Marion, we could move to Dupixent. Again, sorry to hop on the same issue. But since you've been so successful, suddenly everyone has discovered atopic dermatitis. It's only existed for about 100 years and now it seems every pharmaceutical company on the planet and biotechs as well on developing medicines. So do you think that, again, the new entrants, is there enough headroom for the penetration of the market to expand dramatically and still allow Dupixent to grow? Or do you think that, inevitably, they're going to capture some of the share of the starts and slow that spectacular growth?
Marion McCourt
executiveWell, I think the opportunity for Dupixent growth is substantial and continuing, and I'll give you all the reasons why. One is that today, across our approved indications, we've only in the U.S., captured about at 6% of patients who meaningfully benefited from Dupixent across atopic dermatitis and the respiratory indications. So we've only really just gotten started in our early launch efforts, for example, in atopic dermatitis, we concentrated on the 300,000 to 400,000 patients with most significant disease. The fact of the matter, if you add all the patients up against our approved indications, it's really about 2 million -- 2.2 million patients who potentially would benefit in a very important way. But I think competitors coming into the marketplace will actually help with the education of seeking treatments and getting care. And here's a situation kind of going back, Geoff, to your questions earlier on competition, where Dupixent's profile and clear differentiation as standard-of-care first-line care for these patients is so important. We're not an immunosuppressant. We have excellent efficacy. The safety profile is so well established that we have indications, for example, in atopic dermatitis for adolescents and pediatric. So age 6 and up and obviously, now, a lot of experience with dermatologists, allergists and pulmonologists across multiple indications and an ability to help with type 2 disease. So it's not just one indication, it's multiple indications. And it's this very specific mechanism, dual mechanism of action that is creating this result of multiple indications, profound clinical efficacy and then also safety. And as we look at the lay of the land of competitors coming into the marketplace, even some of the [ JAK's ] early days are positioning themselves after Dupixent, and the profile is very different in these products, specifically black box warnings, lab monitoring. And these are really significant hematologic, cardiovascular infection types of warnings for patients who have a chronic condition. So while, again, as I always will share with you, we will look at competition very, very seriously and very carefully. I think the Dupixent's profile now in our fourth year in market with launch going very well, and we'll continue to perform in a very, very positive way. Competition always makes you better. And I think in this case, it's an opportunity for even more patients to be educated and for a noise factor to take place in the marketplace that potentially is very beneficial to Dupixent as we continue to advance our first-line position.
Geoffrey Porges
analystOkay. And just to follow up on that. You mentioned the 6%. So if I was looking at psoriasis, and asking you what the percentage is, and I know you benchmarked against that, where are we in psoriasis? And is that a realistic goal in atopic dermatitis?
Marion McCourt
executiveI think that we're keeping pace. I think we have a lot of opportunity. It's a different market. The window of time and numbers of entrants is different. So we're not comparing absolute likes. But I do think there's powerful learnings in the market. And I think there's also powerful learnings in terms of major products with multiple indications that have become among the largest biologics in the industry. And that's the type of product we have in Dupixent because we're helping that many patients in a way that they haven't been able to find care. Even as an example, launching into an indication, which is highly competitive biologic asthma with Dupixent, very quickly, we established education, clinical profile, competing with companies that have been in that space for some years to become a market-leading product that not only took share from asthma biologic competitors but also grew the entire market.
Geoffrey Porges
analystOkay. So since I couldn't get you to tell me where the 6% is going to go to, I'll ask you another number question. So what's your average duration of treatment for your starts in atopic dermatitis so far?
Marion McCourt
executiveYes. So when we look at the persistency and the retention of patients with Dupixent, it's very, very high as we're getting out towards, for example, oh, even 6 months or so. We're retaining 70%, 80% of patients. As you know, the data in this area is not perfect. But certainly, the durability of response, the [indiscernible] and the compliance of patients is very, very high in this area, far higher than industry average and far higher than conditions that don't have the very bothersome types of effects of skin pain, itching, the need for that healing effect or an asthma inability to function and go about normal activities due to the impairment of their breathing. Same is true with nasal polyps, which allowed us to not only participate with allergists, pulmonologists, but now we're working with ENTs as well. Half the patients who go on to Dupixent for nasal polyps have had a surgery previously, half had not, but it restores, for these patients, their ability to breathe, to taste food and to function more effectively.
Geoffrey Porges
analystOkay. And -- sorry.
Marion McCourt
executiveGeoff, I was going to cite examples to you of why patients are not likely to come off therapy as you might see in other areas that are less bothersome.
Geoffrey Porges
analystOkay. And in terms of the -- again, the mix of the Dupixent revenue, the impression, I think we have is that the vast majority of it is still atopic dermatitis. But are you sort of into the 20% to 30% range with other indications yet? Or is it still even higher skewed towards AD?
Marion McCourt
executiveWell, it is -- majority is AD, as you say, but we're starting to move towards that being about, oh, 70%, 75% and then other indications picking up the rest and growing rapidly. So we do think we have a product that's going to have a lot of diversification. And we're very pleased with the ability to have competed so successfully in asthma, which obviously is a larger indication, nasal polyps. We look very much forward to hopeful FDA approval for pediatric patients in asthma this year, again, with great confidence on the clinical data we presented to FDA, both efficacy and safety profile. And then, Geoff, as you know, a whole host of indications to come for Dupixent, not only in the areas of skin, but really important areas of unmet needs like eosinophilic esophagitis, where there is so little to help patients who have tremendous difficulty seeing gastroenterologists, it's still unable to eat appropriately, end up in the emergency room, with esophageal impacts, really difficult situations, and we probably have an underestimation of the patient population for some of these indications. Because there's been so little.
Geoffrey Porges
analystAnd back to you, Justin. Just on the timing of the EoE data, I think you've progressed to Part 2 of the pivotal trial. So what's your latest guidance on when you might see -- we might see the results of that Part 2 and then be in a position for you to file?
Justin Holko
executiveRight. It's probably more of a complex answer than the question. When we originally set out in EoE, just again, to level set everyone, the 3-part study. The Part A is what we reported out on last year, and that was sort of the initial proof-of-concept type work that we were doing. Part B was intended to be the larger confirmatory data set, so to speak, and then Part C is really just a longer-term follow-up for all patients who complete parts A and B. When we talked to FDA around the registration package as a whole years ago, the thinking was that we would need parts A and B and probably some supplement from the follow-up as well. That was before we saw the really dramatic type of data. Greater than 60% of patients were seeing a real benefit in Part A of that study. And so what it has allowed us to do is apply for and receive Breakthrough Designation for that potential indication. And everybody knows what Breakthrough means now over the last several years. It means that we can have frequent and ongoing discussions with FDA around, ultimately, what is the approvability package, so to speak, that needs to be pulled together for the program? So I would say those conversations are ongoing, hence, the -- really not the ability to give a precise or definitive answer on that. But again, the magnitude of effect we saw in Part A not only allows us to have these conversations with regulators, but it also has allowed us to downsize Part B of the study, given the effect size was so significant. So that part of the study is now fully enrolled. We do expect some sort of completion to that portion of the study towards the end of the year. So there's a lot of different moving parts that could ultimately influence when we could submit and ultimately get this approved. But I would say we're in a good position given the data that we have.
Geoffrey Porges
analystYou are right. The answer was more complicated than the question. Marion, so again, you have a competitor coming with data at the end of this week from your pharma competitor, Amgen. It seems that Regeneron and Amgen are always going toe to toe. What should we be looking for in the pivotal trial results for the TSLP to determine whether it is a viable competitor to Dupixent?
Marion McCourt
executiveSure. So I think the more robust data will be interesting to see. And I guess one of the things would be is what niche of patients potentially are benefiting from the product, recognizing that with Dupixent's and other current products available in the market, is there a potential area of improvement? And what might that be? There's a bit of confusion on what the patient profile might look like. I do think -- I mean, I speak to Dupixent's indication and profile, certainly for those patients that are high oral corticosteroid users, which is common in high eo patient populations, we offer and more a very compelling profile for their asthma care. So I think the question that's out that I hear for most is not quite getting what the patient population would be.
Geoffrey Porges
analystOkay. And we just have a couple of minutes left. So you and your partner have announced a pretty significant investment in COPD. And biologics for asthma today, I'm guessing probably around $4.5 billion and growing between all of the different competitors. So is it your expectation that biologics for COPD could be as large? Or could they be several times as large as asthma?
Marion McCourt
executiveI think at this point, the important thing for us to do is to progress our clinical profile, participate in the marketplace and then see what the appropriate patient population is. But Geoff, without giving you a specific number on size of market, which I just don't have at this point, it is a substantial opportunity. There is so much unmet need for COPD patients that if we are able to bring forward a biologic solution for this patient population, it will be very exciting. And it also will be a substantial population.
Geoffrey Porges
analystOkay. Now Marion, just a couple of other just logistics questions. So...
Justin Holko
executiveMaybe, Geoff, before we move on, I wouldn't like to add. So we have Dupixent that's in Phase III. But I think a lot of folks don't appreciate that we have a potentially even broader population that we're looking at with IL-33 itepekimab. That's also a Phase III. And Sanofi gave a little bit of a teaser in their Capital Markets Day back on February 5. So I would say, it's really almost a 2-pronged approach against COPD that's probably worth calling out.
Geoffrey Porges
analystYes. No. I was hoping, Marion was going to tell us how much -- what the revenue opportunity there was.
Marion McCourt
executiveI will in the future, Geoff, if you hang on, I will in the future, and as Justin points out, it's with 2 opportunities. So...
Geoffrey Porges
analystYes, fully aware of that. Now, Marion, have you been expanding your empire internationally? Is this something that you did talk about last year and sort of building the capabilities to support your products outside the U.S. Is that something that you've actually started investing in?
Marion McCourt
executiveYes, we haven't actually started putting the full platform in place, Geoff. It's something that we're looking at very carefully, very thoughtfully. It certainly is an opportunity to do so potentially within our alliance products. But we're looking at this very carefully, and certainly, we'll make appropriate levels of investment, perhaps, in a targeted country basis. And certainly in the future, we'll provide more on that. But we haven't actually fully initiated that. We've got preparatory steps in place.
Geoffrey Porges
analystOkay. And then one last question. So congratulations on the recent approvals for Libtayo in BCC and now non-small cell lung cancer. So kind of one very large opportunity and one incremental one. But what is a realistic ambition for you in non-small cell lung cancer in terms of market share? Do you think it's realistic for you to get to 30% share going up, I guess, a very powerful incumbent?
Marion McCourt
executiveYes. I think it will perform well. It's only a couple of days into the launch, Geoff, as you know. But going back to our conversation of launch competitive opportunities, when you look at the profile of Libtayo, our clinical data and certainly, the data is being reviewed very carefully by the lung experts of the world and certainly in the U.S. where we're launching. Early days market research shows that oncologists looking at our data profile, approaching easily 2/3, want to evaluate and trial Libtayo. So early days. We're working on that early experience, the proper education in market, our promotional platform and the rest will take care of itself. But we think we have a really compelling profile. Oncologists want choice. Lung cancer sadly is an incident population with about 200,000 diagnoses each year. There's great interest in evaluating products and determining what's appropriate for patients based on their unique profile and their cancer. And I have a team that demonstrated establishing Libtayo as a standard of care for cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma in record time, albeit a small indication, but we've always built with the future in mind, and I have a very sophisticated oncology team with a lot of commercialization experience, including lung.
Geoffrey Porges
analystTerrific. All right. We've run out of time. Marion and Justin, thank you so much for participating in GHC, and congratulations again on all the recent approvals and progress. And good luck with the commercial efforts.
Marion McCourt
executiveThank you so much, Geoff. Appreciate it. Stay well.
Justin Holko
executiveThanks, Geoff.
Geoffrey Porges
analystAll right. Thanks very much. We can wrap up now.
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