REGENXBIO Inc. (RGNX) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 16, 2026

NASDAQ US Health Care Biotechnology conference_presentation 35 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Judah Frommer

analyst
#1

Thank you. There's no clock. It's all 31. Okay. You've got to read. All good. All right. Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to day three of the Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference. We're very excited to kick off with the REGENXBIO team. Connor, Mitch, and Steve with us. Just before we get started, I'm going to read a quick disclosure. For important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley Research Disclosure website at www.morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. With that, I'm Judah Frommer, one of the SMID biotech analysts. Like I said, we have REGENXBIO, and it's been an eventful year for REGENXBIO. The coming 12 months will certainly be exciting, but maybe before we dive into the program, give the audience a quick intro to the company, your gene therapy platform for those who may be a bit less familiar.

Curran Simpson

executive
#2

We've been in AAV gene therapy for 15 plus years at this point. Our base technology is based on AAV8 and AAV9 as the capsids that we've put into clinical studies over time. And I think in the first few years, uh, mainly did a lot of out-licensing of the technology, and that's one of the programs that came from that was Zolgensma, so uh, long lineage of of success in scaling these technologies up. About 12 years ago, we decided to internalize programs and develop our own, and now we sit here today with a retina franchise that's got a significant partner with AbbVie and some late-stage data coming soon. And then the rare disease side, which I think our primary asset is the Duchenne program, RGX-202, alongside the Hunter program as well. So a lot going on, and I feel like we're just at the last edge of late-stage development, hopefully heading into commercialization next year.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#3

Okay. Cool. Great, so maybe let's start with RGX-202, the gene therapy for DMD. You're currently working on a BLA submission, so can you tell us how your gene therapy differs from others that are approved or in development in this space?

Curran Simpson

executive
#4

Yes, I think there's some significant differences. We went into the program several years back with the idea of a different differentiated product. I think the primary from a molecule standpoint, it's the addition of the C-terminus to the microdystrophin. And the C-terminus all the way back to 11th AdCom, you can see FDA referencing that addition as making microdystrophin more like natural dystrophin. Our preclinical studies show a differentiation in basically muscle repair because of that C-terminus. And so that was incorporated. I think also two other key elements of it are a very modern manufacturing process. We can make very significant quantities of the product with a future low cost of goods, and most importantly, 80% full capsids, so very high purity as well. And then the last piece that you know Steve can certainly speak to later is the immune suppression regimen. So that's what allows us to deliver the maximum dose safely and gives patients, we think, the best opportunity for benefit.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#5

Great. And the BLA submission would be for accelerated approval supported by data from Affinity Duchenne. You reported top line results from that study earlier this year. What did we see on the surrogate endpoint in that study and how consistent was microdystrophin expression across patients?

Curran Simpson

executive
#6

Yes, I think we're showing a couple of areas of significant differentiation. Certainly in patients that are, I'd say, 7 and older, we're seeing levels of microdystrophin 4 to 5 times greater than what was shown previously on ELEVIDYS. And then I think on the consistency side, 80% of the patients have been measured to have 40% or more microdystrophin as a percentage of normal. And so we feel like the delivery and the methodology we're using is giving people the maximum chance and significant levels of biomarker. One other aspect of it, that is very high vector copy numbers. And what do we think that's important for is long-term durability. Of course, that takes time to adjudicate and see if that manifests in the clinic, but we're really hoping that that leads to the ability to treat young patients and sustain that benefit longer.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#7

And maybe just remind us of the range of ages that were enrolled in Affinity.

Curran Simpson

executive
#8

Yes, we're enrolling 1 and older. We've dosed patients that were... We're 12 at the time of dosing, so we've got a really broad range. And interestingly, in the recruitment of the pivotal study, a pretty balanced level at each age group, so 1 to 4, 4 to 7, and 7 and older, a nice balance across all three, so we can see because there is an age dependency to the manifestation of the disease, we can see the clinical benefit more pronounced in the older children.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#9

Great. And you reported a statistically significant correlation between microdystrophin expression and changes in NSAA. So, maybe just walk us through that analysis and its significance.

Curran Simpson

executive
#10

You know, we can get into this.

Steve Pakola

executive
#11

The various analyses you use, such as CTAP. That's great. I'll let Steve cover that. Sure. Thanks. So as some backdrop, correlation of a surrogate biomarker to an actual benefit or a functional outcome measure is one of the key central tenets that you can think of for accelerated approval. And there's a historical reference point, if you think of ELEVIDYS, where we know from the AdCom, the briefing book, and the discussion, that that was one of the aspects that was an issue for the review team in that, yes, with certain types of cuts, there was some potential correlation, but it was a very weak correlation. And the FDA really called that out. And actually, in the label that was finally approved, it specifically points out the lack of demonstration of correlation. So one of our goals, of course, from all of the differentiation that Curran mentioned was to have translation into functional benefit. And then also the stronger benefit you have, the more likely you can actually show that correlation. So we've always had that in our analysis plan right from end of Phase 2 meeting both, of course, the primary endpoint and the key secondaries, but also a correlation. So at top line, since that was the top line time point with the N of 9 subjects, we did the correlation analysis with NSAA and in fact saw a highly statistically significant correlation. But I think what was particularly telling was how strong that correlation was. The correlation coefficient was about 0.9, which is quite remarkable, I think, for any surrogate. So for us, we feel like we're ticking all the boxes for what you would want to do to go in with a package for accelerated approval.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#12

Okay, great. And maybe just walk us through the observed correlation utilizing the CTAP predicted value. You know, could CTAP provide support from a regulatory perspective, or is FDA more focused on external controls with propensity score weighting? This seems to be a topic of conversation in this space.

Steve Pakola

executive
#13

Yes, so our pre-specified from the beginning has been propensity score weighting, consistent with uh precedent. Uh, we have thought that uh totality of evidence is is very important to add more confidence in the robustness of any finding. So, CTAP is also something we look at. And it's actually one of the things we uh raised with the FDA not to change anything primary and the key secondary, but really to have an additional way of assessing the actual change from baselines that we see on an NSAA since CTAP is really a recognized way to actually evaluate that. Okay. And we've seen, as hoped for, very consistent findings across propensity score weighting and CTAP.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#14

Okay. All right. Perfect. And we've seen safety become a significant overhang for the approved gene therapy, certainly. But maybe just walk us through safety comparison techniques. RGX-202 versus the approved therapy or others, and maybe, you know, we can talk about the immune modulation measurement at the same time.

Steve Pakola

executive
#15

Sure. So I think a lot of what Curran mentioned was not just differentiation on efficacy, but also safety. And you mentioned that's been a very big overhang in the space, given the unfortunate deaths that have occurred. And one of the historical aspects of that is the fact that the ability to get a handle on this for people has been difficult. Aspects of those is that there were those severe fatal liver failure cases, but those really were presaged by very high liver injury rates, approximately 40%. So from our standpoint, one aspect was, well, let's have higher purity. So much higher purity in terms of full capsid and Curran mentioned the preclinical data where we saw definitely a dose response going from 1E14 to 2E14. So I think we and really the field have always wanted to get to that optimal dose but you got to be able to do it safely. And we know the community, they have 1 shot at gene therapy for their child. So they wanted to take the best swing at that shot. So for us, safety and being able to get to that optimal dose preclinically, so the higher purity, and also we implemented a proactive immune regimen, which included steroid, sirolimus, and eculizumab. And that's important because we're specifically targeting the key safety issues that exist in the space, so complement activation, and of course, liver injury. And importantly, we've had that from the very beginning. All our patients have had that now over 60, patients between our pivotal and confirmatory. So I think that allows the FDA and the clinical community to really consider that whole data package, not just for efficacy, but for safety. And we're seeing that safety benefit translated in the clinic where we have less than a tenth, literally, of of the liver injury rate that's been seen with existing therapy. So that combined with the functional results that we're seeing that Curran mentioned is showing that translation of theoretical preclinical differentiation into the clinic.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#16

Maybe just to follow up on that, maybe a year or two ago, but we sense some hesitation around sirolimus specifically in that modulation regimen. But clearly, there's more comfort with that with that product today? I mean, maybe just talk about the evolution and maybe how others have adopted.

Steve Pakola

executive
#17

Similar regimen. Yeah, so we were ahead of the field in thinking about it this way and wanting to make sure we had the best safety and the best benefit risk. We've seen others follow, so I think that gives a lot of validation both within this therapeutic area and others. And at the beginning, I have to say, centers hadn't done this, so it was an open question. But then I think about doing a trial and expanding to 20-plus centers is you actually get to see how it works. And most importantly, the clinicians and their practice setting and the patient families get to see how it's working. And what we saw is a first patient would be treated at a center, and they'd see there was no issue, and then they'd actually pick up. So we'd see on an individual center a pickup. The other interesting thing is going through this experience, not only is there the potential benefit, risk benefit, to having this immune modulation standpoint, but interestingly, the overall feasibility, if you look at the net effect, it actually could be better because, yes, up front you're giving these short-term but if you're preventing liver injury and complement mediated activity. Without that, you're having patients who need extra blood draws when they have abnormalities that are complement activation, or if they have LFT increases, you've got to see them more frequently, and they're going to have to stay around the center longer. So it's actually a very favorable tradeoff once investigators actually see that balance.

Curran Simpson

executive
#18

Got it. Okay. I think 1 thing on safety as well, when we we last showed FDA our data, it was in 2024 in our end of Phase 2 meeting. We're planning a pre-BLA meeting at the end of this year, and in that case we'll have 63 patients, safety. So a much larger data set that will support, we think.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#19

Broad perspective on safety and just a much higher N. We're excited about that. Okay, great. So maybe just touching on that, so like you said, expect them to submit to BLA in Q3 2026, I believe. So how many patients' worth of data does FDA want to see, like you said, 60-ish patients for safety? How many patients might have 12-month functional data for the filing?

Curran Simpson

executive
#20

On safety, a pivotal study data function will be at 12. So we have roughly 63 patients on safety. We've got the 30 that were in the pivotal study, the biomarker data. And then on function, I'd say roughly half of those patients will be at 12 months assessment, give or take a few. And I think that's the key on the timing is the -- the CMC module is the 1 that will be ready last, but we can take advantage of that with our clinical data and literally give the most recent data cut as part of the filing. So we think that will enhance the ability for FDA to review that.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#21

Okay, great. And there's been some regulatory surprises and pivots in rare disease under the current administration. So maybe just talk about your level of confidence in the accelerated approval pathway, you know, RGX-202's profile in your FDA interactions. I guess within those, what makes you optimistic about the potential here?

Curran Simpson

executive
#22

Well, I think just our experience, excuse me, with the Hunter program, really shows that we received a CRL earlier this year, suggesting we run a different style trial with an RCT-based study, and then appealed that and ended up being asked to file off the existing data set. So I think that's a very concrete example of a single-arm study being accepted by FDA for review. We see other examples recently as well. And we see direct quotes from Kareem McHale supporting regulatory flexibility. So I'm super optimistic that we're on the right path, both our data supporting it and the FDA moving towards that. They know that there's a huge unmet need still in Duchenne, and I think that will drive it.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#23

Okay, excellent. And you completed enrollment in the confirmatory study, which should help give the agency a little more comfort. Remind us the design of that study and when we can see a readout from the confirmatory.

Steve Pakola

executive
#24

So, importantly, that is a confirmatory study, and it's always been in there in our protocol and what we had in there from the time of the end of Phase 2 meeting. Really not intended for any kind of statistical assessment at the time of AA since we know longer follow-up and more patients are needed for that. Patients enrolled in open label approach with the typical functional assessments of NSAA and the 3 main time function tests with a look at function over time, but with a primary endpoint of 2 years.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#25

Great. And I think the other aspect is we have greater than 60 for safety. But we do know that if you're going to get those typical safety events, gene therapy here, you tend to see it with complement activation in the first month or so and with liver injury in the first several months. Month. So that's really a an advantage because with all of our greater than 60 patients, we'll be far enough out to be assessing that even at the time of the AAA submission. Nice.

Curran Simpson

executive
#26

I think with an AA approval in 2027, we dosed our last confirmatory study patient in April of this year's go.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#27

Go out 2 years, there won't be a big lag between the two. And I think that will be helpful for the FDA discussions. Okay, great. And then you're also planning on initiating a placebo-controlled study in the first half of the year intended to support global submission. So has FDA expressed any interest?

Curran Simpson

executive
#28

In this kind of study? You know, I figure it'll be some time before we see data from that, but could that come into play with the U.S. submission, do you think? We haven't, I think, pretty much in any communication with FDA, we've had a mention of an RCT-based study. I think that the difficulty of that in Duchenne is known with, product on the market. This is really more targeting EMA and their requirements. I'm sure it will be a consideration as part of the total regulatory plan and a positive 1. And we're looking forward to starting the study up. It'll be in recruitment by the time we're sort of at a mid-cycle review. So I think that will help.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#29

Okay, great. And maybe just last 1 on RGX-202 before moving to retina. But you've guided to a potential U.S. launch, right? With AA, you could be on the market in the back half of 2027. So how many patients do you think could be addressing?

Curran Simpson

executive
#30

With RGX-202 at that time and maybe just remind us from a manufacturing standpoint, how many doses you could have ready at time of approval? Yes, it can work backwards. So we can produce 2,500 doses per year in Rockville in our in-house manufacturing capability. We think the prevalent market is actually growing. Um ELEVIDYS is being uh dosed below the level of incidence. So I think if you look at the ambulatory population, I've heard estimates in the range of 5,000 patients. A subset of that would be eligible for RGX-202, and I think a very significant subset of them. So we expect to have hundreds of doses available at launch. And we're actually, in fact, already building that inventory now.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#31

Okay, excellent. So maybe just switching to RGX-314, the anti-VEGF gene therapy for retinal diseases. So you have top line data, Phase 3 data coming in in the fourth quarter for subretinal RGX-314 and wet AMD. So before we get to that readout, maybe just talk about the opportunity for a gene therapy in VEGF-mediated retinal disease.

Curran Simpson

executive
#32

Speak to that.

Steve Pakola

executive
#33

Sure, so retina's been a great field to be in over the last couple of decades, lots of advances. Really the majority of those have been with anti-VEGF. And I think the advances show where the unmet need is, which is yes, anti-VEGF works, but if you have to give it a lot in the real world, patients simply aren't getting what they need. And that's why we've seen even with incremental benefits, like going from Lucentis to Eylea, going from Eylea now to Vabysmo and Eylea HD where these are being rewarded with blockbuster status so the the retina community and patients are showing how important even a few weeks to a month or 2 of extension of the durability is. So right from the beginning for us, you know, if that's a single or a double, a real home run would be a 1-time treatment that can dramatically reduce injection burden and even in a proportion of patients prevent the need for injection. So I think the marketplace is bearing out validating why this is such an opportunity for us and why they're excited about this space.

Curran Simpson

executive
#34

We're planning ahead of data later this year, October 20th, a day dedicated to Sirvac. And you won't have to listen only to us. There will be KOLs there that have years of experience with the program that we'll talk to. So where does this sit in the current standard of care? We're super excited. It's been a long road to get here, but we were just out at AbbVie and a half ago talking to their commercial team, and they're getting the tools ready for the launch and beyond. So it's a very exciting time.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#35

Excellent. Maybe just on, you know, the Phase 3, just walk us quickly through design of the program and maybe a bit on powering and what are the non-inferiority margins? Are they the same in the U.S. and ex-U.S.?

Steve Pakola

executive
#36

Sure. So to start, this is the largest gene therapy program that's ever been executed. So that right off the bat gives us a lot of confidence relative to other programs that are looking to address durability in wet AMD. So we definitely wanted to power that. These studies very well. And AbbVie, of course, did as well for their interest in a global opportunity. So that allowed us to go with very big studies and also go globally, which was important to AbbVie and I think also the generalizability of the results. So... a lot of de-risking in the design of these studies because there's a long history of treatment of wet AMD and non-inferiority design. So that's exactly the approach that we have. Two pivotal studies, both non-inferiority designs to on-label repeat anti-VEGF in 1 study, Lucentis, and the other Eylea, and Eylea being the global program. So this is non-inferiority on change from baseline and best corrected visual acuity. The key on that is what non-inferiority margin delta you go with. So in both studies, that's 4.5 letters. And that's, you know... recognized in the space. And we've met with EMA previously, so we have general alignment on this. I think they'll also look at for 0.0. Yeah. You know, to, in the reality. So I think there'll be some sense of the totality and the consistency of the studies. So, I think very de-risked when you think of the size of these studies and the traditional ways of powering the study.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#37

Okay. And maybe just as we get closer to that top line readout, just a sense of kind of what success could look like is it being, you know, statistically significant on that BCVA, you know, maybe remind us how safety is trended in this study. Obviously a big focus in retinal gene therapy, given what we've seen from other programs.

Steve Pakola

executive
#38

So on the first question, of course, hitting the primary endpoint with statistical significance is key. But that's really only part of the goal and the value proposition. It's to do that even with a reduction in injection burden. Right. And that bar, the minimal bar we find and AbbVie finds in each of our independent assessments with the community and working together on this is you want to see over 50% reduction in injection burden. So that's sort of, frankly, the... bar. Yeah. But our goal, of course, we hope to see greater than that. Sure. One of the benefits we have is that we've done a lot of, not only do we have these large pivotals, but we've done various studies, even beyond the first in human study, which in that study, we saw very good durability, but we have other studies like, uh, pharmacodynamic bridging study that allowed us to get to the commercial ready product. We also have bilateral dosing studies, which is 1 of the benefits of compartmentalized delivery. And in those studies we see you know 70% plus reduction. So you can kind of think somewhere in that range as a success plus hitting the primary endpoint. Yes and that's 1 of the, on top of efficacy, that's 1 of the other big reasons we chose subretinal, given.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#39

Okay. And then just on safety that we've seen thus far, you know, Adverum comes up less today than it did previously. But what have we seen on the information front?

Steve Pakola

executive
#40

Yes, 1 of them. The historical issues with non-local administration where you can have off-target, you know, the potentially very significant safety issues. And we have not seen immune mediated responses or inflammatory responses. And that's also important because that's in a setting where we don't have to give additional supplemental immune suppression, which, you know, in these indications, retina specialists and 80-plus-year-old patients, you don't want to add that burden on where if you're compliant, then you're going to have side effects of the steroids. And if you're not compliant, then you're going to potentially have the inflammatory response in the real world. And we've gone through the pivotal study, of course, approaching all the patients, reaching the final 1-year time point. DSMB is independent DMC, as you'd expect, and no issues.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#41

Okay. And maybe just walk us through the commercial aspects of subretinal versus going intravitreally, which some other gene therapies are doing. I guess what has been kind of you know, provider and market response to subretinal as the delivery?

Curran Simpson

executive
#42

We think there's a meaningful place. You know, the vitrectomy, the procedure itself, there's what Over 500 surgeons that we've trained on this. So we've got broad coverage and ability to dose. We own the bulk manufacturing responsibility for the program, and AbbVie is managing the fill-finish aspect of that under their umbrella. So I think we're going to be able to do that. We are now just starting up the joint commercial team. We think payer response to this will be very positive. 1 thing that was really remarkable was the uptake in Europe when we started opening sites there. Um, so I think this is not just the U.S. only, although that's obviously a huge market, but a global opportunity. So we're excited, and I think 1 thing that will play into commercial viability is data we just released that shows 5-year durability of the program. That's beyond what we might have expected and obviously very worthwhile.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#43

You're welcome. Got it. Okay. And you mentioned the excitement from your partner. You recently initiated your study in DR, Navigate, which I believe unlocked a milestone as well. So maybe just talk a bit about the opportunity in diabetic retinopathy relative to wet AMD, and maybe loop in the decision to administer suprachoroidally there.

Curran Simpson

executive
#44

Yes. So I think in this case, right from the beginning, we knew that patients wouldn't adopt a subretinal approach. They're asymptomatic. And the history with approved products with little uptake is that people don't want monthly injections. So I think it is a perfect fit for gene therapy. Suprachoroidal program, advanced a couple of years behind the subretinal program, but the first indication that we've seen proof of concept in was DR. And so we were able to get that study up and running. It generated a $100 million milestone and I would say just early signs on recruitment are extremely robust. There's a lot of patients out there. You may want to talk about just what type of patients we're going after in the treatment.

Steve Pakola

executive
#45

Yes, so these are moderately severe to severe NPDR patients before they develop the site-threatening complications of DME or PDR. That's really the big unmet need for the reasons Curran mentioned, that we know anti-VEGFs work there, and they're even on label, but nobody's, virtually nobody's signing up for this given the status of the patients at that time. But if you had an in-office 1-time treatment for this set of patients, just to give some context, if you look at the severe and PDR patients, they have a 50% chance in a year of advancing here. So the ophthalmologists and retina specialists can literally show them the picture showing their disease and tell them the risk that they're at. And I think we talked about the competitive advantages in wet AMD. Here it's just wide open, right? Because you really need a 1-time injection. People aren't going to sign up for repeat injections.

Curran Simpson

executive
#46

And in this case, we're showing data out 2 and a half coming up on 3 years. So again, good durability in a different compartment of the eye.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#47

Okay, excellent. And I want to make sure we touch on Hunter syndrome and RGX-111. So I guess maybe recent feedback from KOLs or elsewhere regarding the MRI findings and what...

Curran Simpson

executive
#48

The path forward could look like here? Yes, this 1 is quite perplexing in the sense that as part of the clinical hold on RGX-121 and RGX-111, we are doing imaging of all the patients that were treated in the study. And some of these patients were treated 6 years ago. So we've been working to find them. Some of them, you know, live ex-U.S. and that's been a bit of a challenge. We imaged both the brain and the spine, and in the spine we have findings that when when we talk to KOLs, they say, I haven't seen these, but I haven't looked for it. But it's very unusual to have a contrast MRI on the spine of these patients. So we're in the process now of looking at the long-term data that we have in hand, which is pretty limited right now. Um, and we need to image all of the patients. But I think we can see from FDA's communications about the hold, that I think they're taking a very logical step towards us, working with us on resolving this. This could turn out to be a natural history and a finding that is common when you image in that manner. That all needs to be figured out. It's probably going to take us 6 to 9 months to get to a point where we have the full data set to evaluate. But I think really importantly, the kids are doing very well. They're asymptomatic. And if you think about the difficulty of that disease and the morbidity that's with it, then I still think that.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#49

I still think this is something that, you know, in a few months we might have a different answer and a better outlook on moving forward. Okay, great. And maybe we just round out with, you know, remind us of cash runway, what's funded with the cash you have on hand, but, you know, I think there are also additional sources of potential non-dilutive capital that we could expect maybe.

Mitchell Chan

executive
#50

Additional milestones. So maybe if we could just walk through those aspects. Yes, absolutely. So our cash runway right now will get us to Q4 of 2027, which is very important. It's well past the key catalyst for both RGX-314 as well as RGX-202, and well past the regulatory fronts. As you mentioned, it does not include additional non-diluted financing. Upon regulatory success and milestones on RGX-314, that will come with additional ABBV payments for us. That will certainly get us into 2028. So with all that in mind, that's funding all our pre-commercial effort for both RGX-314 as well as RGX-202 as we speak. And once we get into 2028, we could actually have 2 potential commercial products. So commercial revenue will promote.

Judah Frommer

analyst
#51

Certainly replenish our balance sheet. Okay, excellent. All right, with that, we're just about out of time. So thank you very much for the time today, guys.

Curran Simpson

executive
#52

Thanks for having me.

Steve Pakola

executive
#53

Yes, thank you. This live transcript is auto-generated without human intervention or review.

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