Relaxo Footwears Limited (530517) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 2, 2020

BSE Limited IN Consumer Discretionary Textiles, Apparel and Luxury Goods earnings 61 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Q2 FY '21 Earnings Conference Call of Relaxo Footwear hosted by Axis Capital Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Gaurav Jogani from Axis Capital Limited. Thank you. And over to you, sir.

Gaurav Jogani

analyst
#2

Thank you, Rutuja. Hello, everyone. On behalf of Axis Capital, I would like to welcome you all to Relaxo Footwear's Q2 FY '21 Earnings Conference Call. We have with us today from the management, Mr. Ramesh Kumar Dua, Managing Director; Mr. Ritesh Dua, Executive Vice President, Finance; Mr. Gaurav Dua, Executive Vice President, Marketing; Mr. Sushil Batra, CFO; Mr. Vikas Tak, Company Secretary. The management will give a short brief about the results, and then we can proceed ahead with the Q&A session post that. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Sushil Batra

executive
#3

Good afternoon. I'm Sushil Batra from Relaxo. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you very much for attending our earnings call for the quarter 2 FY '21. We have already shared our earnings press release and results presentation. Hope you got an opportunity to go through that. I will start with the Q2 FY '21 financial performance, followed by H1 FY '21 financial performance. In Q2 FY '21, Relaxo booked an operating revenue of INR 576 crores as compared to INR 622 crores in the corresponding period of the previous year. The drop in revenue in Q2 is due to disruption in economic activity caused by COVID-19 pandemic. Benign raw material prices and saving in administrative expenses led to an improvement in the EBITDA margin to 22% as against 16.8% in same quarter last year. Other income stood at INR 5 crore as compared to INR 2 crore in the corresponding period of previous year. The increase is mainly on account of lease rent waiver or reduction of INR 2 crore agreed by lessors for our rented premises. Profit before tax was INR 100 crore for the quarter, up by 35% year-on-year with a PBT margin of 17.4%. Tax expenses for the quarter and half year ended March 30, 2020, reflect changes made by Taxation Law Amendment Ordinance 2019 as adopted by the company. Therefore, effective tax rate of quarter ended March 30, 2020, is not comparable with previous comparative period of September 30, 2019, as the company had recognized the full impact of this change in profit and loss for the quarter ended March 30, 2019. Profit after tax at INR 75 crore for the quarter is up by 6% year-on-year with a PAT margin of 13%. For first half of FY 2021, we registered a revenue of INR 939 crore as compared to INR 1,270 crore in the corresponding period of the previous year. EBITDA margin increased to 19.6% from 16.6% while PAT margin increased to 10.6% from 9.5%, helped by favorable raw material prices. At the end of September 30, 2020, we have 396 exclusive brand outlets, which contribute around 5% to our H1 FY '21 revenues. We have added net 6 new stores in this period. Exports are also picking up with opening of markets and are contributing 4% of revenue. Going forward, we are cautious about the recent rising trend of raw material prices. We would continue our effort to grow our presence in untapped and underpenetrated market and focus on strengthening our brand. We can now open the floor for questions and answer. Thank you very much.

Operator

operator
#4

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Archana Gude from IDBI Capital.

Archana Gude

analyst
#5

Congratulations on a good set of numbers. I have 3 questions from my side. So firstly, I would like to know how was the demand scenario in Q2 and some color on the brand-wise performance for us.

Unknown Executive

executive
#6

Yes. So see, after the opening up of northern markets, like Delhi was the first one to open up, so in quarter 2, we saw good demand picking up from the rural India. And if you see brand wise, the Sparx category, which consist of closed footwear majorly, there has been an impact there. But in open footwear, we are getting a good demand for the Hawaii brand, the Flite brand and the Bahamas. So there is a good demand coming in open footwear because -- the second thing is work-from-home is also happening. So there is more demand of open footwear and less for the closed shoes. Similar trends in quarter 2, yes.

Archana Gude

analyst
#7

Sure, sir. Sir, I was just going through your presentation and it suggests that we don't have presence through EBOs in Southern India. So your comment on this, like how we should look at it? Is that intentional or how you intend to grow in the Southern market?

Unknown Executive

executive
#8

Our purpose of EBO is a little different, strategic one. Here, they are a kind of display-cum-exhibition sale counters, where our purpose is to capture the voice of the consumer. And affordingly develop the new products so that we can understand the evolving need of the consumer about our current products, the new products that we are being launched. And so currently, we have around 400 outlets. But that's enough to understand the market. But if you want to go to South and West, then it is a different thing. Till commercially, this becomes entirely, what you call it, more economical sense. Today, it is serving us what we call it a marketing sense, where we understand the market. So from that point of view, our objective is being well met with. So currently, we don't have any plans to have such kind of outlets in other parts of the country. That's it.

Archana Gude

analyst
#9

Sure, sir. And sir, like some guidance on the raw material prices trend? And what kind of sustainable EBITDA margin you look forward, let's say, for FY '21 and '22?

Unknown Executive

executive
#10

So far, the raw material prices have been quite, I call it, benign. In the fourth quarter, that is January, February, March, there, definitely, the prices are changing and things will be different. So we have to wait and see how actually the things fold up and then we will decide the way things are.

Archana Gude

analyst
#11

Sure. And sir, just follow-up on my last question. Given the category of footwear we are into, is it really easy to pass on any price hike if the raw deal prices go up? Or how we look at that situation, sir?

Unknown Executive

executive
#12

That depends upon what kind of price hike or what kind of prices have changed in the raw material. In case of nominal, we don't want to intervene at that stage. But if there is a major, then we do review the costing of our products, and then quarterly, then we pass and then it is not difficult. Any price hike based on genuine input increase is never a question. It is only when we want to increase the price without any genuine reason, then that is questionable. So that is our policy which we have been following in the whole history of Relaxo and that we'll continue to follow.

Operator

operator
#13

The next question is from the line of Ritesh Gupta from AMBIT Capital.

Ritesh Gupta

analyst
#14

Sir, just continuing on the RM and the gross margin bit, I mean, we have seen some of the best gross margins being posted in this quarter, I think much better than what you have reported in a fairly long history. So would it be attributed to the crude price kind of collapsing and kind of that coming to your benefit? And is there any price hike? I think I remember you had about 2%, 3% price hike a few months back. So is it also kind of impacting? And just remind us on what kind of pricing action you have taken in the last 6 months or so, if you have any? And because, I think, gross margin is also not understandable in the sense that closed footwear has been reasonably weak and probably it might have had some impact on the mix as well. So just want to understand the gross margins a bit, and if there is any one-off in these numbers?

Unknown Executive

executive
#15

The current situation what we are in, now things are a little changing. In the first 6 months, there were no -- marketing expenses were controlled. Other administrative expenses, we had controlled. Now when the market had started opening, then we'll have to do more expenses on marketing, sales promotion, brand building and all that. And they were saving on travel expenses. They were saving on other administrative expenses also. Raw material also was quite comfortable pricing. Now on the one hand, prices will also of raw material go up. We will -- travel expenses and marketing and brand building everything will go up. So this -- whatever we have achieved in quarter 3, doesn't mean it is going to be the norm of the day. Things -- we have to be in the market in a competitive manner. And accordingly, we have to take all kinds of our decisions what we are in. So as far as the third or fourth quarter is concerned, since our expenses will be more, so this kind of EBITDA margin we should not expect. Margin will be good, better, but it will be in a more reasonable manner. And let us wait how the raw material prices we come to know in the fourth quarter of it. Accordingly, if whenever some intervention of price increase is required, then we'll do. We have to review quarter-by-quarter what are the price of the raw material, other inputs, market scenario, competitiveness of the articles in the market and then we have to take a mature design on that. That's it.

Ritesh Gupta

analyst
#16

Understood, sir. And if you could just highlight, was there any reduction in discounts, et cetera, you did in the last quarter, given probably your competition may be facing supply side challenges? Or that's not the...

Unknown Executive

executive
#17

No, no, you're correct. Definitely, in trade level also, the discounts offered were low. And same thing happened in ATL and BTL expenditure also. It was not there in quarter 2. So now everything has started in quarter 3, be it advertisement, BTL, ATL and the promotional scheme for the distributor and retailers.

Ritesh Gupta

analyst
#18

Understood, sir. And just -- would you be able to guide us on what kind of volume growth that you saw in this quarter, if at all you can disclose?

Unknown Executive

executive
#19

Just a moment.

Unknown Executive

executive
#20

What's your question, volume growth?

Ritesh Gupta

analyst
#21

Yes. Yes.

Unknown Executive

executive
#22

Volume growth is around overall 3% -- 3% to 4% at company level.

Ritesh Gupta

analyst
#23

Okay. So basically, you had a mix decline because of which your top line is less than 7% decline, but actually, you had a volume decline of 3%...

Unknown Executive

executive
#24

Volume growth is 2%.

Ritesh Gupta

analyst
#25

Understood, sir. Understood. And sir, I mean, in terms of -- any benefits that you're seeing from COVID on a long-term basis, like -- because -- I'm sorry, at the lower end of, let's say, a slipper portfolio, there are many unorganized players as well. And, I think, in the last -- I mean have you seen any kind of disruptions on that side? Any opportunity to gain market share, did you see that?

Unknown Executive

executive
#26

Yes, actually, what has happened because of COVID, work-from-home culture is here to stay. So the demand for the slippers and open footwear category will maintain at least for 1 to 2 years what we are seeing. So -- and the outgoing, party wear is reducing. So for us, we make informal footwear and specifically open footwear. So I think for 2 to 3 years, this will continue. The demand will be more.

Ritesh Gupta

analyst
#27

Understood. And if I can squeeze the last one. I mean, on the export side, I think, last call, you had said that you were looking at exports much more aggressively and you were looking at a couple of global markets as well. I think you made this comment, I think in AGM or probably in your last call. I just wanted to understand, is there a thought process on any specific countries you're targeting or any competitive advantages that you carry with yourself in those export markets? So if you could just talk about that, that would also be helpful.

Ritesh Dua

executive
#28

See...

Unknown Executive

executive
#29

You can, Ritesh.

Ritesh Dua

executive
#30

Yes. Ritesh Dua. In export markets, this has been a similar position like India only, like after COVID the market had been affected in the same way, international market also. And as far as -- what's your other question you're asking?

Ritesh Gupta

analyst
#31

No, I just wanted to see that what is your competitive advantages as you get into some of the other markets when...

Ritesh Dua

executive
#32

We have been exporting in our own brand name. So that is helping us out because that we are getting sustainable growth year-on-year because of using our own brand. The maximum footwear industry, whether I talk about China and other countries, they always provide the products in the private level. But we are doing in our own name, own brand. So that is giving us advantage for the future. And the markets we are focusing majorly, we are focusing on Gulf markets, which is a major market for us. Side by side, we are getting now traction from Africa region and Oceana and Central America. These are the 4 regions where we are getting traction from.

Ritesh Gupta

analyst
#33

Is it that you are able to provide these products at cheaper prices, even let's say what the Chinese or Bangladeshi competition would be? I don't know which countries are the larger competitive...

Ritesh Dua

executive
#34

Actually, what we are doing is our quality standards whatever we are maintaining in India, we are following the same quality standards wherever we are entering into, right? So our price points are higher than the Chinese counterpart, wherever we are selling. But we are able to get the same quality standard that we are maintaining.

Operator

operator
#35

The next question is from the line of Nihal Jham from Edelweiss.

Nihal Jham

analyst
#36

Sir, 3 questions from my side. The first one is, if I look at your recovery, be it in terms of volume or revenue for this quarter, it has been maybe better than a lot of the other similar categories. So I, first of all, just wanted to get a sense that at the end dealer or retail level, is the growth in volumes and revenue similar or there has been a channel filling which has helped improve the reported numbers at least at our end?

Unknown Executive

executive
#37

Can you repeat the question, please?

Nihal Jham

analyst
#38

Yes, sir. Am I audible to you?

Unknown Executive

executive
#39

Yes, yes.

Nihal Jham

analyst
#40

Yes. Sir, I was asking that when I look at your revenue de-growth of just 7% and even the volume growth of 2%, the recovery has been much better than anticipated. So I just wanted to get a sense that is the recovery at the end dealer level also similar or there has been some sense of increase in inventory in the channel because that may have got a little reduced because of limited supply initially? So that is the first question from my side.

Unknown Executive

executive
#41

See both things has happened. The pipeline work got empty in quarter -- starting of quarter 2. And secondly, there is a high demand coming from the Bharat or rural India, what we call. So demand for open footwear is quite high. And definitely, availability has improved from our factories, and it has helped us to grow. It's similar with the retailers and distributors.

Nihal Jham

analyst
#42

Sure, sir. And tertiary sales or end-level sales would be more or less similar to the company reported sales at this point in time for Q2?

Unknown Executive

executive
#43

Yes, yes. Yes.

Nihal Jham

analyst
#44

That's helpful. Sir, I'm not sure, but do you disclose the share of e-commerce and approximately what was the contribution for this quarter?

Unknown Executive

executive
#45

The e-commerce, we are doing 10% of our total sales, if you see quarter 2. For quarter 1, it was all closed, so there was no sale coming in quarter 1. Quarter 2 is 10% growth compared to last year quarter 2.

Nihal Jham

analyst
#46

10% growth. And as a share of our total sales, what would be e-commerce contribution?

Unknown Executive

executive
#47

That is also 10%.

Unknown Executive

executive
#48

That is also 10%.

Nihal Jham

analyst
#49

Okay, sure. And last question from my side, sir. Traditionally, whenever we've seen spurt in, say, gross margin because of falling raw material prices, ideally, how do we end up using that benefit? Do we end up cutting prices or end up increasing our ATL, BTL spends? Just wanted a sense of that scenario in case it plays out ahead?

Unknown Executive

executive
#50

We have to see. It is a longer duration of time. It is not in one month prices go down and then we have to take some radical decision. We have to see how these 3 months or 6 months play out. If I find today raw material has gone down, but I find in the third quarter they are going to come up and with every occasion, we'll find out. So then we'll take a decision. By and large, if we see a period of longer, 6 months or more, then things average out. So no immediate intervention is required for any kind of things.

Nihal Jham

analyst
#51

Absolutely, sir. But I'm just saying that in case, say, there is a sustained continuation of the current gross margin, then would we say, look at reducing prices or would we look at...

Unknown Executive

executive
#52

Sir, already, I have told you quarter 4, raw materials are going up. We are booking the material at a new rate, which are quite high. Rather it is a situation of other way around, I don't know in the quarter 4 we may have to look for upward revision of the price.

Operator

operator
#53

The next question is from the line of Tejash Shah from Spark Capital.

Tejash Shah

analyst
#54

Sir, you spoke about channel-wise split of the growth. If you can give some color on region-wise also, if any particular region or South India, in particular, did better than others?

Unknown Executive

executive
#55

So South India and West India, they did not pick up because as everybody knows, Maharashtra was last to open up, similarly Kerala is still under lockdown. So South India and West India is hardest hit. So the survival -- the best part for us was we have done very well in the North region and East region, which was less affected and opened up quite early.

Tejash Shah

analyst
#56

And then, sir, growth is -- so South and West will be materially deep into de-growth versus our reported numbers or they are in vicinity of reported numbers?

Unknown Executive

executive
#57

So they are in de-growth, no doubt about it. South India is in de-growth because they are last to open up and Sparx also the highest...

Tejash Shah

analyst
#58

Okay. Sir, second question is, you spoke about that we were able to actually make stuff available versus competition. And I'm assuming, as we have noticed in many other categories that unorganized had much more supply shocks than organized players. So would it be a fair assumption that you would have gained market share in the last 2 quarters versus unorganized? And once they stabilized the supply chain, perhaps the competitive pressure might come back in coming quarters?

Unknown Executive

executive
#59

Yes, yes, yes. You're right. Initially, we got a good market in those first and second quarter. But now the supply is coming from the competition. So that competitive edge is not as relevant what it was before.

Tejash Shah

analyst
#60

And sir, if you can give some color on how the festive season is going so far? How Durga Puja was? And when do you see recovery coming back fully for us and for the sector at large?

Unknown Executive

executive
#61

So October has been nice for us, and the festive season picked up. Now the -- all the markets are open except Kerala. So we are getting good -- recovery is there. Good recovery is coming. Yes.

Tejash Shah

analyst
#62

And this is across strata in the sense you spoke about Bharat versus urban. So urban is also participating now?

Unknown Executive

executive
#63

Yes, yes, definitely. Everywhere, across.

Operator

operator
#64

The next question is from the line of Dhaval Mehta from ASK Investment Managers.

Dhaval Mehta;ASK Investment Managers;Analyst

analyst
#65

Congrats on a decent set of numbers. Sir, my first question is with respect to category growth. So I understand there is no data but any ballpark number what would have been the category decline, let's say, in Q2?

Unknown Executive

executive
#66

One of the categories which have not grown or rather declined is canvas shoe, Schoolmate. Because schools are closed, canvas shoes, school-related also, otherwise also and closed category, whether it is sports because people are not moving out. So that category has affected. But other articles like rather in open footwear, slippers, sandals, they are all right. Not an issue.

Dhaval Mehta;ASK Investment Managers;Analyst

analyst
#67

So normally, shoes as a category is how big in terms of overall footwear?

Unknown Executive

executive
#68

Around 10%.

Dhaval Mehta;ASK Investment Managers;Analyst

analyst
#69

Okay. Including formal, sports shoes and canvas shoes?

Unknown Executive

executive
#70

We don't have formal. We are all informal.

Dhaval Mehta;ASK Investment Managers;Analyst

analyst
#71

No, no, not us, but I'm talking about the category as a whole.

Unknown Executive

executive
#72

The category for the country or for us?

Dhaval Mehta;ASK Investment Managers;Analyst

analyst
#73

Yes, for the country, for the industry.

Unknown Executive

executive
#74

No, I can't say. I can't tell on that. I can tell about my company.

Dhaval Mehta;ASK Investment Managers;Analyst

analyst
#75

Okay. Okay. Okay. Sir, my second question is you told that open footwear is doing well. We know that. We understand that open footwear as a category is doing quite well. And normally, earlier open footwear used to be more of a seasonal category where it largely used to sell more in summer. So now, let's say, in summer, summers will be approaching fast, so can there be any manufacturing glitch because the demand will be much higher? And so do we have the capacity to manufacture the increasing demand if it comes?

Unknown Executive

executive
#76

Yes, yes.

Unknown Executive

executive
#77

Yes, we have good capacity. Always, we have a capacity cushion of 30%, 40% more. So that will not be an issue.

Dhaval Mehta;ASK Investment Managers;Analyst

analyst
#78

Okay. Okay. And my last question is in terms of overall dealers -- so for dealers, it would have been a very difficult phase in -- time in the last 6 months. So have we seen any of our dealers closed down? So any thoughts on that?

Unknown Executive

executive
#79

See, I'm telling before also that in West India and South India, there has been a big problem because of opening up late. So many shops have closed, but it's still difficult to say what is the exact number because, as you know, Kerala is still under lockdown. And in Bombay, also, it's been majorly hit. So we don't have exact data right now, but definitely, there has been some closures. But in terms of the channel trade, distributors, they are working.

Unknown Executive

executive
#80

They're intact.

Unknown Executive

executive
#81

They're intact. Yes.

Dhaval Mehta;ASK Investment Managers;Analyst

analyst
#82

So the retail universe may come down, but for us, the channel distributors are same, still they have not declined, right?

Unknown Executive

executive
#83

Yes. They are not declined.

Operator

operator
#84

The next question is from the line of Sabyasachi Mukerji from Centrum PMS.

Sabyasachi Mukerji;Centrum PMS;Analyst

analyst
#85

I have a couple of questions. First is, if you can help me with the total numbers of units sold in H1? I believe in FY '20, you have sold around 18 crores pairs of shoes -- shoes, slippers, both. What is the number in H1 this year?

Unknown Executive

executive
#86

We can tell you revenue for the half H1, which was this year that has been INR 39 crores.

Unknown Executive

executive
#87

Number, we generally share at annual level. We can share the value part, but yes, number we share at balance sheet annual level. Not half yearly or otherwise.

Sabyasachi Mukerji;Centrum PMS;Analyst

analyst
#88

No issue, sir. Can you just help me with the volume growth in H1? You mentioned 2% in Q2. What would be H1?

Unknown Executive

executive
#89

H1 is minus 13% because quarter 1 was almost closed -- or 2 months were not working.

Sabyasachi Mukerji;Centrum PMS;Analyst

analyst
#90

Then, sir, my second question is, any sense on the margins of open footwear versus closed footwear. Is open footwear...

Unknown Executive

executive
#91

No, no. Our pricing policy...

Unknown Executive

executive
#92

Is your question complete or still to ask?

Unknown Executive

executive
#93

Hello?

Operator

operator
#94

Please give me a moment, sir. Sir, his line has been disconnected. Please give me a moment. [Technical Difficulty]

Unknown Executive

executive
#95

Hello? You are there?

Operator

operator
#96

Mr. Bhargav Buddhadev, please go ahead.

Bhargav Buddhadev

analyst
#97

Can you hear me?

Operator

operator
#98

Yes.

Unknown Executive

executive
#99

Yes.

Bhargav Buddhadev

analyst
#100

Sir, my first question is, has there been any increase in the distribution footprint and the retail reach for us during the first half?

Unknown Executive

executive
#101

Yes, definitely, we are seeing demand coming from all across India for the open footwear. So we have increased the number of distributors and dealers.

Bhargav Buddhadev

analyst
#102

Sir, is it possible to quantify it?

Unknown Executive

executive
#103

It's quite difficult right now to quantify the numbers, yes.

Bhargav Buddhadev

analyst
#104

Secondly, sir, we understand there has been some increase in deposits from distributors. Is it possible to highlight what could be the reason for this?

Unknown Executive

executive
#105

Can you repeat the question?

Bhargav Buddhadev

analyst
#106

Sir, we understand that Relaxo has increased the number of deposits from distributors, the amount of deposit. So what could be the reason for this?

Unknown Executive

executive
#107

We have increased the surety amount from each distributor, for new distributor as well as the existing distributor. So just to bring more big player and serious people in the business. So that's why this amount was increased in last 6 months. We are working on that.

Unknown Executive

executive
#108

It was in pipeline only. After COVID, we implemented in June. Otherwise, it would have been implemented in April itself.

Bhargav Buddhadev

analyst
#109

And the security amount is similar for new distributors as compared to the old or is it different?

Unknown Executive

executive
#110

Similar, similar, similar.

Operator

operator
#111

The next question is from the line of Bharat Chhoda from ICICIdirect.

Bharat Chhoda

analyst
#112

Actually, I had 3 questions. Like, could you just share what is the revenue share from Tier 2, Tier 3 or metro cities?

Unknown Executive

executive
#113

Sir, we don't have this kind of classification. We generally look on overall figures, state wise, district wise, not Tier wise. Sorry, we will not be able to give.

Bharat Chhoda

analyst
#114

Or you can rural, urban, something like that?

Unknown Executive

executive
#115

We don't have classification like that. We go region wise, state wise.

Bharat Chhoda

analyst
#116

Okay. And sir, on this open footwear part, what is revenue share of open footwear on the entire revenue mix?

Unknown Executive

executive
#117

Around 80%.

Bharat Chhoda

analyst
#118

80%. This has increased significantly in this period. On a normalized basis, what would that be?

Unknown Executive

executive
#119

A few percentages here and there, that's all.

Bharat Chhoda

analyst
#120

Okay. Okay. And sir, what is our CapEx and capacity expansion plan, if you can share something on that?

Unknown Executive

executive
#121

So every year, we are expanding around INR 100 crores. So this year also, that plan is there. And accordingly, capacity expansions which are in progress, already declared around 1 lakh of pairs per day. So that will be placed by 31st of March.

Bharat Chhoda

analyst
#122

Okay. And sir, considering post normalization, could we be in a position to see a double -- I know it's difficult to answer, but double-digit growth post normalization is it possible for us?

Unknown Executive

executive
#123

No. Presently, we have to recover what we have lost in the first quarter. So currently also, we have not recovered that. So first, our job is to recover. How long it will be? Let us wait and see. I don't think this year, we can recover whatever turnover we achieved last year...

Bharat Chhoda

analyst
#124

What would be your longer-term target?

Unknown Executive

executive
#125

Next year, yes. Next year, we are hopeful. Yes.

Bharat Chhoda

analyst
#126

Yes. And a from a longer-term target perspective, you would be looking at least revenue growth in double digits, early teens or something?

Unknown Executive

executive
#127

Yes. Yes. Sure. Sure.

Operator

operator
#128

The next question is from the line of Gaurav Jogani from Axis Capital.

Gaurav Jogani

analyst
#129

Sir, my question is with regards to your retail outlet reach. So as per your presentation, we reached approximately 50,000 outlets as of now. Sir, can you help us like what would be the entire universe of the retail reach? And what is the target that we have in the mind to reach with the expansion plan that we have?

Unknown Executive

executive
#130

See, we have -- what data we have collected personally is more than 1 lakh outlets in India. And currently, we are at 50,000. So our target is always to increase double digit, like 5% to 10% every year to add on new outlets.

Gaurav Jogani

analyst
#131

Okay. Sir, but I was -- just cursory check through various websites and all. With people like VKC and Paragon, they already talk about 1.5 lakh outlets to 2.5 lakh outlets already. So I mean, is there some difference in that bit?

Unknown Executive

executive
#132

See, nobody has the complete data. So this exercise we have done, the company has done. Maybe they have done -- they've got data from somewhere else. We don't have that data.

Unknown Executive

executive
#133

They are all guesstimates. People are giving guesstimate figures. Ours are counted actual figures which are in our roll.

Unknown Executive

executive
#134

And we're talking about NBOs. So if you add EBOs, you add other outlets which are not relevant for us like fancy footwear, leather footwear, so we are focused on informal footwear.

Gaurav Jogani

analyst
#135

Okay. Okay. Okay. So basically, it's only for your category outlets that you're talking about?

Unknown Executive

executive
#136

Yes. No EBOs. Yes.

Gaurav Jogani

analyst
#137

And sir, in terms of like the CapEx you have already mentioned, that you would be already doing INR 100 crore CapEx this year as well. I mean like this CapEx you do how much capacity you get additionally out of that and sir, won't it be suffice for the next 2, 3 years then and then we can stop for the CapEx?

Unknown Executive

executive
#138

Every year, after all company has to grow. We have to keep on think which way, what category, how it has to be grown. There are certain expenditures like molds, it is a regular capital expenditure. Then machineries, a lot of machinery get replaced also. And then there are -- third thing is capacity expansion. Capacity expansion also has to be done keeping in view the evolving or increasing demand of the different types of footwear. So whatever category is growing, accordingly, then we keep on moving ahead of the curve. Not that today demand will come and then we'll start planning. Just always create some system or cushion in the manufacturing capacity so that we should not suffer any sale losses.

Operator

operator
#139

The next question is from the line of Ankit Kedia from PhillipCapital.

Ankit Kedia

analyst
#140

Sir, just wanted to understand the impact on Sparx brand. It accounts for 30% of our revenues. Is it safe to understand that now from quarter 3, we can see demand being to pre-COVID levels with Sparx or we will see demand only in quarter 4 and some pressure can be seen even now?

Unknown Executive

executive
#141

It's very difficult to say about quarter 4, but we are seeing some recovery in Sparx brand as well. But I'm saying, again, West and South, not fully opened up, there's still some issues at district level. So recovery is there. But when it will be recovered to pre-COVID level? Difficult to say right now.

Ankit Kedia

analyst
#142

Sure. And sir, related question to that is on the school shoes, canvas shoes as well. Are you seeing schools reopen in certain parts and demand for school shoes coming back, and that can be a big demand boost for us in the remaining 6 months of the year?

Unknown Executive

executive
#143

No, no, no. We have not got any demand of school shoes. So very difficult to say right now anything about that.

Ankit Kedia

analyst
#144

Sure. And sir, my last question is on the A&P spend. Could you quantify our A&P spend in the first half of the year? And what is the -- and in that light, what is our margin guidance for the full year given that previously we believe that the margins could be flattish year-on-year at around 17%. Given the stupendous margins in the first half, do we see 100 to 150 bps better margins compared to last year in FY '21?

Unknown Executive

executive
#145

Yes. Compared to last year, we will have definitely better, but we should not take quarter 2 as the standard because in quarter 3, quarter 4, expenditure on account of marketing is definitely going to increase. Trade margins or maybe schemes for the distributor channel will also be there. So -- but on the whole what we see that this year, our EBITDA margins will be better than last year.

Ankit Kedia

analyst
#146

And sir, if I can squeeze in one more question on the EBO demand. Sir, how was the EBO demand? And for the full year, how many more stores are we looking to open?

Unknown Executive

executive
#147

Sir, we are controlling at around 400 for the time being.

Ankit Kedia

analyst
#148

Okay. Okay. And sir, is the demand similar to the wholesale demand at the EBO or there is some pressure on that as well?

Unknown Executive

executive
#149

There is some pressure on that because visit to the -- our own outlet remains affected. But in multi-brand outlet which are located in all areas like rural and sub-rural and urban, suburban markets, there demand is better.

Operator

operator
#150

The next question is from the line of Nikunj Gala from Principal AMC.

Nikunj Gala;Principal AMC;Analyst

analyst
#151

Sir, my first question is, if you do a CapEx of INR 100 crores, what is the average gross asset turn we look in any CapEx going forward?

Unknown Executive

executive
#152

I'm not very clear on the question.

Nikunj Gala;Principal AMC;Analyst

analyst
#153

Sir, if you put INR 100 crores of CapEx today, so what is the revenue potential from that facility we can expect?

Unknown Executive

executive
#154

Sir, that depends upon where you are putting the CapEx. Suppose CapEx goes on buying land, no capacity will change. You put CapEx on building, no capacity will change. And you put on the machinery, what kind of machinery, what category of machinery, whether or not mold. So it is difficult. Every CapEx doesn't mean it will come out with more capacity.

Nikunj Gala;Principal AMC;Analyst

analyst
#155

Okay. If I may ask the question as if we are doing any greenfield CapEx today and whatever capacity you have in mind of a particular line and then in that what's the gross asset turn one can expect from that?

Unknown Executive

executive
#156

Sir, we really have not gone like that because our categories like slippers, sandals, sport shoes and EVA slippers, EVA injection molding, there are so many categories, then what kind of process we are going to adopt. Whether I'm making shoe on a conventional category or I will make a raw material and then make a -- what you make a sole out of it, then I will also make upper out of it. It will be different paradigm, what kind of policy I follow. One thing that you buy the sole and upper and put it, it will give a different output. But if you make the sole also yourself, upper also yourself, then output will be different. Capacity creation. Understand? So it is not as simple as that what you are saying.

Operator

operator
#157

The next question is from the line of [ Abhimanyu Thakker from Trust Portfolio. ]

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#158

Sir, I just wanted to understand, like, have we tried consolidating our supply chain, like where earlier retailers had an option to choose amongst 3, 4 distributors versus now there are exclusive distributors in the West, especially I'm speaking?

Unknown Executive

executive
#159

See, in the last 6 months, there is no change. We are continuing what we were doing before. So in COVID time, we have not changed anything on that structure.

Unknown Executive

executive
#160

No policy shift.

Unknown Executive

executive
#161

Yes.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#162

Sir, where I'm coming from is because in some of our channel checks, we realized the availability of sizes is an issue at the MBO level, wherein the distributors cannot stock all the sizes for all the retailers and hence we are losing out some customers due to this issue, like they are not getting all the sizes. Like earlier, we had a distributor, 3, 4 distributors. So they could approach if A distributor doesn't have it, they will approach B. So just trying to figure that out like where we are trying to miss out on the channel changes.

Unknown Executive

executive
#163

There are pros and cons of both the policies. In some areas, we have distributors, where they are dedicated, and it is one distributor giving to the retailers of that area. In some of the markets where the one distributor is not able to do, then we have another distributor also. So there is pros and cons. Wherever we are able to serve the market, so one distributor we are doing that. Where it's not possible, there we are having multiple distributors. That is what we're doing.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#164

Okay. Okay, sir. Because the area where I actually like spoke to because there was actually an issue with respect to the availability of sizes. So I thought I'll just convey it to you like in respect of the loss of customers...

Unknown Executive

executive
#165

This problem is with practically every distributor because whatever finance, money they are able to put, sometimes they are not so organized that they are able to keep inventory of every article, every SKU, every color, every size. So as a result, they do have sometime shortfalls, and we try to prevail upon that they should maintain some inventory. But presently, it's like -- sometimes it does happen where they have no stock for some articles.

Operator

operator
#166

The next question is from the line of Mithun Soni from GeeCee Investments.

Mithun Soni;GeeCee Investments;Analyst

analyst
#167

One question, based on the question that other gentleman asked. Sir, how connected are we in terms of technology with our distributors? So what is our replenishment cycle for the distributors on a normal period? Can we see it further improving?

Unknown Executive

executive
#168

If you ask about this -- particular these 6 months which have passed, we have not changed any policy in terms of supply chain or addition or subtraction of our distributor. You're talking about supply to the distributor, it's -- generally, we try to maintain 2 to 3 days across India. And for connectivity, in terms of stock, we have implemented DMS. So we know what is the secondary sale and stock level at all distributors.

Mithun Soni;GeeCee Investments;Analyst

analyst
#169

We supply them -- not for 6 months, but on a regular basis, we supply them in 2 to 3 days?

Unknown Executive

executive
#170

Yes, that is our norm.

Mithun Soni;GeeCee Investments;Analyst

analyst
#171

Okay. And so normally, the reason for the stock-outs will not be as much, right, for distributors because if we are able to supply them in 2, 3 or 4 days on a regular basis, excluding...

Unknown Executive

executive
#172

Yes. But we ask the distributor to keep at least 1 month of inventory because of having all the sizes and colors.

Mithun Soni;GeeCee Investments;Analyst

analyst
#173

Okay. But sir, then how do we help them improve their ROIs because that is a very important issue for our type of business where the number of SKUs are so high?

Unknown Executive

executive
#174

So we have installed DMS at all distributor points, so we get the stock data and the secondary sales data. So whatever stocks are getting accumulated we come to know and the billing is stopped for that. And the secondary, our salespeople are able to help him liquidate that stock which is stuck. So we'll keep on monitoring what stock level distributor is carrying.

Mithun Soni;GeeCee Investments;Analyst

analyst
#175

Okay. My second question, sir, is that for this quarter, 6 months, we have -- I'm seeing our inventory and receivables has come down quite a lot. Like the inventory coming down, is it just because of the value of the inventory has come down or we have made some changes over there?

Unknown Executive

executive
#176

So as soon as we opened up our plants in May, so there was a huge demand coming for open footwear. So whatever inventory we were carrying forward in the month of March got exhausted in just 15 to 20 days. And to ramp up the production, it took time for 1 to 1.5 months. In those -- in that period of time, the inventory went really low.

Mithun Soni;GeeCee Investments;Analyst

analyst
#177

Okay. But sir, this is what we are talking of the September end. So this INR 368 crores of inventory is as of September 30. So...

Unknown Executive

executive
#178

Because the demand of open footwear is still very high and the production there is still a gap, demand versus supply in some product categories.

Mithun Soni;GeeCee Investments;Analyst

analyst
#179

It's a particular product category?

Unknown Executive

executive
#180

Yes.

Mithun Soni;GeeCee Investments;Analyst

analyst
#181

Okay. And sir, 1 last question. Over the next 2- to 3-year period or over a 3-year period, what is the sort of gross margins or EBITDA margins we should look at as a company aspiring so that is able to grow, invest and generate good amount of free cash?

Unknown Executive

executive
#182

It is dependent upon market conditions, demand conditions, what kind of scenario we are in, what kind of product acceptance is happening, what categories we are focusing on. Generally, if you see in the last -- it has been around 16%. And this quarter, it is there because of certain reasons. But if we are able to achieve 18%, it should be a good one.

Mithun Soni;GeeCee Investments;Analyst

analyst
#183

This is over...

Unknown Executive

executive
#184

We have to remain competitive also. And we have to be, I mean, remunerative also at the same time.

Mithun Soni;GeeCee Investments;Analyst

analyst
#185

So this 18% is over next 2- to 3-year period or a short term, you're talking?

Unknown Executive

executive
#186

Yes, I'm talking of this year, then I will talk next year because we are in a very volatile time at the moment. Nothing is certain as such. Today, even our COVID incident is not over, fear is not over. It is -- we are in a very, I mean, uncertain time. Let some certainty come and then we will be able to say with more confidence of what kind of scenario is emerging.

Mithun Soni;GeeCee Investments;Analyst

analyst
#187

Sir, my last question on this. If we see today, excluding the employee cost is in the range of...

Operator

operator
#188

Sorry to interrupt you, sir, Mr. Soni. May we request you to please join the queue again because there are participants waiting. The next question is from the line of Aditya Bapat from Equentis PMS.

Aditya Bapat;Equentis PMS;Analyst

analyst
#189

Sir, I have 2 questions. Firstly, I want to know like what do you see as a medium-term target for the contribution of e-commerce to your total sales. You said that it is close to 10% currently. So where do you see it, say, about 2, 3 years down the line?

Unknown Executive

executive
#190

It should increase at least by 2 percentage. We are expecting 10% to 12% will be the contribution of e-commerce. We are targeting that.

Aditya Bapat;Equentis PMS;Analyst

analyst
#191

Okay. This target is like over the next 2 to 3 years, right?

Unknown Executive

executive
#192

I'm talking about our next 6 months to a year. We can't see beyond that right now.

Aditya Bapat;Equentis PMS;Analyst

analyst
#193

Okay, okay. Okay. So then having said that, do you think that not just for you but for the industry or rather the organized players as a whole, the margins could come under pressure because like -- is this like overall e-commerce thing or the online thing is inherently lower margins?

Unknown Executive

executive
#194

No, no, no. Actually, we give same margins to channel trade and e-commerce. So we are not keeping any gap between e-commerce and the channel. We keep it same. Otherwise, there will be a problem of discounting.

Operator

operator
#195

The next question is from the line of Ashish Kanodia from AMBIT Capital.

Ashish Kanodia

analyst
#196

The first question is, you talked about that once the market opened up, there was a significant pent-up demand and production took time. So was there any loss of demand -- did you fail to meet any demand during 2Q?

Unknown Executive

executive
#197

Yes, definitely because the demand was quite high compared to stock what we were carrying, and it took time for factory to ramp up the production. So that time, definitely, we'd lost some sales.

Ashish Kanodia

analyst
#198

Fair to say that, say, had there been no loss of demand recovery would have been, say, at least 5%, 7% better than what you reported?

Unknown Executive

executive
#199

Not that big.

Unknown Executive

executive
#200

Not that big, yes.

Ashish Kanodia

analyst
#201

Okay. Okay. And secondly, sir, I understand that with marketing opening up, you will start with -- so most of your expenses would start going back to pre-COVID levels. But have you looked at any cost rationalization in terms of any line items where you see structurally over the next 3, 4 years you will have lower cost versus what there was during the pre-COVID period, and hence, you will see some margin expansion from those particular line items?

Unknown Executive

executive
#202

Our marketing costs were low on this first quarter and in second also. But third quarter, it will now come back to where it was pre-COVID level, we have to continue building our brand. We have to continue now our -- people will also start traveling and expenses will start moving. And all these things will be there. Now as far as raw material expenses are concerned, that will depend upon what kind of international commodity behaves.

Ashish Kanodia

analyst
#203

Okay. And fair to assume that all supply-related and labor-related challenges are now over and -- I mean at least our productions are almost back to pre-COVID level?

Unknown Executive

executive
#204

By and large, yes. But in certain category, like shoe, now because there was no demand and now only demand has started improving, so there now we are ramping up the things and some manpower training is going on to improve the production levels.

Operator

operator
#205

The next question is from the line of Tejash Shah from Spark Capital.

Tejash Shah

analyst
#206

Sir, just 1 clarification. First, you mentioned that 20% of our footwear or 10% of our footwear is closed footwear. So which number one should refer to?

Unknown Executive

executive
#207

Can you repeat the question?

Tejash Shah

analyst
#208

We mentioned 10% of our total footwear will be closed footwear, right?

Unknown Executive

executive
#209

Yes.

Tejash Shah

analyst
#210

And Sparx will...

Unknown Executive

executive
#211

[ So that is the required ]...

Tejash Shah

analyst
#212

Sorry?

Unknown Executive

executive
#213

No, I got it. If you go on a volume term, it will be around 10%. But the value terms, the value will be 20%.

Tejash Shah

analyst
#214

Okay. Okay. And sir, when we see Sparx as a brand which is somewhere around 30%-odd number as per our disclosure in the past, so is it a fair understanding then 20% by value from the 70% of our Sparx itself will be a closed footwear?

Unknown Executive

executive
#215

So I -- what I have told you, it is regarding closed footwear shoe. But in Sparx there are also slippers. We have to -- not as a brand, I'm talking. I'm talking as a category of the article. So sports shoes and sporty sandals, that constitutes 20% of the turnover.

Tejash Shah

analyst
#216

Okay. No, I was just trying to deduce that Sparx will be somewhere around majority closed footwear brands...

Unknown Executive

executive
#217

More than 1/3. Yes, we have already been saying that. It will be more than 1/3 only now also.

Tejash Shah

analyst
#218

Okay. Sir, second question, we have been hearing you for the last 6, 7 years, and you have been pretty consistent on your margin commentary that you want to be competitive and you want to react to -- or rather respond to market situation rather than proactively chase margins. But during this journey, we have expanded margins also from 12% to 17%, 18% now and obviously, there was one GST benefit also in between. But just wanted to understand the philosophy, what do you benchmark your margins against? Is it against the payer? Or margin is an outcome and you want to be competitive on pricing and you let the margin flow through whatever it comes to? So is it a goal seek in the pricing or pricing is main focus of the product and margin is an outcome that is not under your control?

Unknown Executive

executive
#219

No, focus is the consumer. First, you have to understand what consumer is looking for. And we have to, first of all, satisfy that need. And consumer is looking for what and at what price. So we have to make articles accordingly. And then everything goes back into it. And if we are able to serve that deed, then we are able to expect good volumes automatically out of it. But if you supply an ill-fit product, what -- you will not expect those margin at all. Sometimes you will have to sell those articles at a loss. So we have to always keep close contact, what is the evolving need of the consumer and set right to develop such products only, then only company will demand healthy and will have better margins. So that lesson we are learning and we're improving our portfolio accordingly.

Tejash Shah

analyst
#220

Sure, sir. Sure, sir. That's visible. And sir, any A&P as a percentage of sale as a philosophy that we want to plow back every year?

Unknown Executive

executive
#221

A&P, there are various components in it. One way could be brand building, another could be giving discount, third could be giving gifts. There is whole plethora of things. And this keeps on changing from quarter-to-quarter, time-to-time depending upon the market condition, company strategy or so many other factors. We can't say this is my philosophy and it will remain forever.

Tejash Shah

analyst
#222

No, sir, I was asking from long-term. That 5% of sales or 6% of sales, are you...

Unknown Executive

executive
#223

We should always see the market and keep on be flexible. We should not be married to one rigid philosophy. We have to be acting on it.

Operator

operator
#224

Ladies and gentlemen, due to time constraint, this will be the last question, which is from the line of Sameer Gupta from IIFL.

Sameer Gupta

analyst
#225

I have only 1 question. Just trying to understand the results in a little more granular level. Sir, we had a volume growth of 2% this quarter and a sales decline of 7%. And this gap is even despite lower cash discounts, lower trade spends and promotions and so on? And just trying to understand why there is such a big gap between volume growth and sales decline? Is it mix? And if it is mix, then it has actually benefited our gross margins. So just a little more color on this number.

Unknown Executive

executive
#226

Yes, it is a result of the mix because closed articles have sold less and open articles have sold more. And because -- and in that what you call open footwear or slippers and other things, there our one division Bahamas has grown much more. And there, we have been -- they are premium categories, so our margin has been better in that category. As a result, things have improved.

Sameer Gupta

analyst
#227

Just a follow-up, sir. So is it that the realization in closed footwear is higher but on a margin level they are lower than open footwear? Is this understanding correct then?

Unknown Executive

executive
#228

No, no, no. In every category, we have, I mean, different articles giving different margins. So whether it's Hawaii category, Bahamas category, Flite category, Sparx category, in every category, we have some premium articles and we have such -- some, I may call it, value-for-money articles. So every category has to be like that, and that is there.

Operator

operator
#229

As this was the last question for today, I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.

Sushil Batra

executive
#230

Thank you all for joining the call. This is all from our side. Looking forward to join you again at the year-end. Thank you very much.

Operator

operator
#231

Thank you. On behalf of Axis Capital Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.

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