Relay Therapeutics, Inc. ($RLAY)

Earnings Call Transcript · June 8, 2026

NasdaqGM US Health Care Biotechnology Company Conference Presentations 33 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#1

Good morning, everyone. It's my pleasure to introduce the Relay management team. Next to me, I have Sanjiv Patel, President and CEO; and Peter Rahmer, Chief Corporate Development Officer. Thank you for joining us.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#2

To start here, you've reported data from your PI3K-alpha inhibitor as a doublet and triplet in breast cancer as well as in rare disease and vascular anomalies in particular, could you provide an update on the company's strategy and what you plan to accomplish over the next 12 to 24 months, including further data and update for Zovegalisib in that period?

Sanjiv Patel

Executives
#3

Absolutely. So first of all, thank you for the invitation, and thank you for the grand venue that we're in today. It's been a busy time over the last year for our company, our mutant selective PI3K inhibitor, Zovega, has had multiple data that we've disclosed. The first in second-line hormone receptor positive HER2-negative breast cancer, we showed data in March of this year at ESMO TAT in Paris to show that we had a very competitive 11 months' worth of PFS in these patients, and that's against the 5.5 months of capivasertib, and we are now busily running a Phase III trial there. So the goal there over the coming 2 years would be to later this year, guide to when we would have full enrollment of that trial, and going great at the moment. And then obviously, as we come towards the end of this kind of window that we've talked about, we'd like to file and then start our commercialization efforts. We know capivasertib has been very successful in this field at the moment with almost $1 billion worth of sales there. So we think we can meaningfully differentiate from that and hopefully take market share. In the second data that we showed, we showed data concerning our frontline hormone receptor positive HER2-negative breast cancer trial. And there, we showed data from third-line patients and showed a very competitive profile. And we announced that we will go forward in the frontline with a combination with Pfizer, atirmociclib, their selective CDK4. And so over the coming 18, 24 months, obviously, we want to start that trial and get well through trying to enroll those patients. because we see this as a very big opportunity. And then the third data drop that we made was in Philadelphia last month now at the ISA meeting, which is the largest global meeting for vascular anomalies where we showed data for Zovega for the first time, where we showed a 70% volume -- or 60% volumetric response rate, which compares very favorably to the benchmark set by others in the 11% to 20% range. So we believe we have a truly meaningfully differentiated compound there. So over the next 18, 24 months, there, obviously, we will push very strongly towards getting towards an accelerated approval and then commercializing in this field where there are really no good therapies available for these patients. So we have a very productive year, but I think we have a much more productive 18 months ahead of us, too.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#4

Great. Starting with Zovega in breast cancer for your Phase III study in the second line plus group, what do you believe is the minimum delta on PFS versus TruCap to promote uptake? And based on physician discussions, what is most important to improve upon for tolerability?

Sanjiv Patel

Executives
#5

Yes. I think obviously, TruCap was launched about 18 months ago now and took significant share from alpelisib which was the approved nonselective PI3K inhibitor. And that we share that -- it took was through a perceived better tolerability profile in that it showed less hypoglycemia but had significant rates of diarrhea. Now in the real world, I think we've seen that it does have a liability on hypoglycemia as well as diarrhea. So I think our hope would be to differentiate on all kind of PI3K wild-type related toxicity, so diarrhea, rash, hypoglycemia, dermatitis. And we believe with Zovega, we have a very good profile to be able to do that. In terms of the efficacy bar, obviously, at 5.5 months, we know that from talking to physicians that a 3-month delta to that would be clinically meaningful. And obviously, we sit in our data that we showed earlier this year had an 11-month PFS across all mutations. And so we believe that we should have a meaningfully differentiated profile both on the safety and on efficacy.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#6

And your triplet achieved about a 44% overall response rate in heavily pretreated patients. So based on historical translation to earlier-stage patients, how do you believe this ORR could evolve in the frontline patients? And what do you believe will be competitive there on PFS?

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#7

Yes. I think in this profile, what we showed was data in the third line. And obviously, we know that patients do progressively less well as you go further and further through the lines of therapy. And so we think it compares very favorably at 44% with what we've seen with other CDK4/6 combinations which are in the 20s. So we have a kind of delta of 20% in the third line. And we think that delta should carry forward into the front line. But the most important thing here in these third-line patients is to look at the tolerability profile. The patients in the front line will have to be on this triplet for potentially 2, 3, 4 years. And so we know from the Roche Inavo-120 trial that adding a PI3K inhibitor in the frontline is additive. They've shown both PFS and overall survival benefit. The challenge in the front line is all tolerability. And stacking 3 drugs together as they do with a nonselective PI3K inhibitor then with a CDK4/6 inhibitor, which obviously comes with its own liabilities can prove a very challenging profile for a patient to take long term. And so what we saw in the third line was very exciting on the efficacy front, but more exciting on the safety front in that we showed a very nice profile combining [indiscernible] CDK4, dialing out some of the CDK6 related toxicities and then a mutant selective PI3K inhibitor, obviously dialing out some of the wild-type PI3K toxicities. And so we believe this selective, selective profile in the frontline should provide a tolerability profile that would allow patients to stay on therapy for multiple years.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#8

And do you plan to report PFS in the advanced patients in the first half update?

Sanjiv Patel

Executives
#9

You can take that one, Pete.

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#10

Yes. That will be dependent on data maturity at that time. From the dose-finding portion of the study, which was what we reported on a month or so ago. It is possible that we could reach a level of maturity in those patients to start to make a point estimate of median PFS. We've also moved into expansion arms at the potential Phase III dose of 150 milligrams of Zovega with 300 milligrams of termo. Those arms are enrolling well now and -- but likely wouldn't be mature enough to start to be able to estimate PFS.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#11

And what do you see as the bar here in advanced patients?

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#12

Yes. I think we know that our doublet in second-line patients is about 11 months median PFS. These patients are a bit more later line than that. So I think if we started to see a median PFS in our unoptimized dose finding, probably starting to match in and around the doublet, that would be a good sign that as we moved into healthier or earlier line patients that this delta that Sanjiv was talking about would continue to play out.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#13

Great. Could you speak to your confidence in the dose work with Zovega here, noting the concentration increases when you've combined.

Sanjiv Patel

Executives
#14

Yes. So we're using in our go-forward work in the frontline, a dose of 150 milligrams twice a day. And that's compared to our second-line dose of 400 milligrams BID. And so what we're seeing is a drug that increases the concentration of Zovega when it -- but that kind of is a relatively flat relationship. And so at all the doses of [indiscernible] that we've used, we're seeing pretty similar exposure with 150 milligrams BID of Zovega. So we feel pretty confident that we can go forward with that dose.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#15

And how is your use of Termo a differentiator versus other frontline regimens, especially Eli Lilly's and how do you expect tursolisimib development to play out? And what gives you confidence in Zovega's ability to compete here?

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#16

Yes. I think just on the Lilly compound is hard to say. We see our profile is differentiated. They showed data at last week's ASCO, meeting their doublet response rate still sits in the 30s, as you saw from our disclosure early in the year, we're showing response rates in the 40s. And obviously, we've shown PFS at the 11 months. We haven't seen the PFS yet reported for that combination from Lilly even though they have, I think, sufficient follow-up now. And then in the triplet combinations, obviously, we've shown response rate in the 40s, and I think they, again, were in the 20s. So I think there's still a lot of unknown. It could be a follow-up. It could be dosed, but we haven't seen the Lilly compound really to be able to get close to us at the moment. And then on the safety side, I think it has been noted, it does have some -- what we believe to be drug-specific liabilities around the LFT abnormalities that they've seen at doses. And so I think unknown yet whether the Lilly compound will be competitive. In terms of the 2 different approaches to take here, I think as we've talked about a little bit earlier, our approach is to use a selective, selective combination. So selective and selective compound as we will both use both Lilly and relay. But on the other side, to also use a selective CDK4 because we believe that, that will provide a more tolerable profile -- single piece of toxicity because these patients are going to be on therapy for multiple years versus really approach of using the CDK4/6 inhibitors. Obviously, they are the owners of alpelisib and have a vested interest in its use. And so we think a selective, selective combination will be much more competitive in allowing a tolerable profile for multiple years versus the approach that Lilly could take with the CDK4/6 plus mutant selective.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#17

Great. And is your agreement with Pfizer for PI3K regimens exclusive?

Sanjiv Patel

Executives
#18

Yes. So the -- there is a period of time in which we are exclusive to each other for starting Phase III trials with other -- with us with another CDK 4 with them with another selective PI3K-alpha inhibitor. And it gives us both time to get the trial up and going and largely make it so that neither party can move into another Phase III in the very near term with another selective molecule.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#19

And Pete, you do plan to initiate the Phase III frontline study in early 2027. So what are the areas you need to align with on the FDA prior to starting the study?

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#20

Yes. It's really just traditional blocking and tackling here. We need to bring -- the conversation will -- as all of these do will revolve around dose, and then the trial design is pretty straight down the fairway. We're largely mirroring the ongoing FLIGHT 3 study that Pfizer has ongoing in the frontline entrocone-sensitive population. So I don't think there would be any real questions around that. And then because we are going to be doing Zovega plus the termo plus AI versus CDK4/6 of choice plus AI we will likely need a contribution of parts arm. And whether we handle that by adding a small arm of a termo and AI into the study or we leveraged the 3 study and do a referencing of that data of the PICC mutant population. I think that will be another question we iron out with the regulators.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#21

Great. And we're fresh off a slew of medical meetings here where we saw Celcuity's data which showed approximately an 11-month PFS for both the doublet and triplet notably just speak to your updated thoughts on Zovega commercial positioning in the context of that.

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#22

Yes. I mean, I think there have been a lot of investor interest in the profile that Celcuity would show at ASCO and its implications on the commercial profile for Zubek. As you know, Zovega is an oral compound and the cell acuity compound gedatolisib has a weekly IV regimen. And so this is really going to come down to -- we all know that an oral regimen in this setting, both in the second line and then especially in the front line is going to be preferable. And so the real question was just how much better was the cell acuity data needed to be to justify a weekly IV regimen. Our market research has shown anything above 15 to 18 months worth of PFS was what they were going to need to show to get usage in a world where there is an oral therapy with an 11-month PFS. And so the bar is relatively high. These patients do not want to come in once a week and spend the majority of the day at an IV infusion center and many health systems across the world are just not set up for it, especially if there's an oral. And so when they came in with their 11 months PFS, it's a great trial result for patients because obviously, the 5.5 months worth of alpelisib that they were up against shows a true like paradigm shift for patients. I think the conclusion, I think that both us and investors drew was that once there was an oral compound in the market with 11 months worth of PFS, it was going to be tough for an IV regimen to be competitive. No patient is going to want to come in once a week for an IV regimen when they can have an oral therapy, especially if both of them provide exactly the same PFS. So I think it's kind of dispelled the competitive threat for us. And I think we're just full speed ahead now recruiting the trial and getting this to patients.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#23

And why do you think the triplet and doublet performed in line here? And what gives you confidence that the addition of a termo will result in a differentiated triplet for Zovega?

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#24

Yes, it was a slightly unusual finding. And I think the better conclusion here is to say that their triplet performed as expected. It was almost double what the alpelisib doublet produced. The doublet arm, which they put in their gedatolisib plus fulvestrant was really there just for a contribution of components, and it wasn't adequately powered to show true differentiation. And so I think if that arm had been slightly more robust, I think we probably would have seen the same separation that we saw in the wild type, where they show, I think 1.5 to 2 months difference between the doublet and the triplet arm. I think we would have seen the same. So I do think we feel that there is a meaningful benefit for adding the a termo, we see it in our own data. where we see in later line patients are triple doing very well versus our doublet. And we think gedatolisib probably would have shown that if it was adequately powered.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#25

From a strategy standpoint, you're sitting with these 2 verticals, this cancer vertical with -- particularly with breast cancer here and the rare disease opportunity. Do you plan to take breast cancer forward independently or partner?

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#26

I think we plan to take everything forward. I mean I think we sit on 3 very robust commercial opportunities now. All we believe, to be blockbuster in potential. I think we've seen companies like Menarini show that you can commercialize successfully in breast cancer as a relatively small company. And on the vascular anomaly side, it lends itself perfectly to a company of our size, given there's only a small number of vascular anomaly centers in each large country. So I think we have the ability now to execute. We obviously raised capital a few weeks ago. And as we have a robust balance sheet that should take us well into 2029 and executing all of these opportunities well past the top line data for vascular anomalies and the second-line breast cancer trial. So we feel pretty confident to go forward and execute.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#27

On the vascular anomalies front, you reported strong first data there, including 100% volumetric response rate at the 300-milligram BID dose, and you've selected both the 300-milligram BID and 400-milligram QD doses for expansion. Could you discuss, I guess, firstly, why you believe you're not leaving efficacy on the table with the 300-milligram BID being the highest dose?

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#28

So I mean, given the fact we had 100% response rate at the 300 milligrams, we do believe that we have maxed out the efficacy. At the 400-milligram dose, what we saw was a drop off in efficacy where we saw a 57% response rate. And that really was because of 2 reasons. One, we started to see some of the tolerability challenges that come with little bit of hypoglycemia, diarrhea, some nausea that doctors were very keen to dose reduce rapidly. And the reason why they were trying to do this rapidly is because they could see the 300-milligram dose was very effective. And so we do think that in the end, at 300 milligrams, we've maxed out the dose. Now the unknown here is -- could you max out the efficacy at an even lower dose than 300 milligrams. And that's why the expansion cohorts will open up the equivalent dose to 200 milligrams BID, which is a 400 milligrams once a day to test the hypothesis that can you even max efficacy to a lower dose than the 300 milligrams.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#29

And just a further rationale there and taking the 400-milligram QD instead of 200-milligram BID?

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#30

We have a very flat PK curve in the long half-life. And so we have tested a lot of different doses in our oncology work. And what we see from that is 400 milligrams once a day has exactly the same PK profile is 200 milligrams twice a day. And so for just the added incremental benefit of having once-daily dosing will take forward 400 milligrams once a day versus the 200 milligrams twice a day.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#31

And mechanistically, why do you believe Zovega was able to benefit patients who are at [indiscernible]?

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#32

Yes. It really comes down to the same logic that ended up showing meaningful differentiation in breast cancer. For the first time, we can actually see what a mutant selective molecule does in this patient population. We have a meaningful window of selectivity between wild-type and nearly biologically against all the other PI3K family members and the other rest of the kinases. So I think what you're seeing here is that manifestation coming out in the clinical data and seeing, for the first time, what does this level of mean selectivity accomplish for these patients. And really exciting because the treatment goal here is to treat the -- start treating these patients as early in childhood as you can to -- because these lesions, these noncancerous lesions grow with the child. And so if you can intervene as early in childhood as possible, you're going to hopefully blunt the growth of that lesion and therefore, alleviate a lot of the comorbidities that these patients have to deal with throughout their lives. And we can't do that today with opelasinib and sirolimus. These the way these molecules are being used because of their toxicity profile is short burst of treatment, maybe for 12 to 18 months and then the tolerability profile is such that these patients have to come off those treatments, and they have to try to let their health reconstitute and maybe they can go back on or switch on and off. And here, we're excited because we think the data that we showed a couple of weeks ago really speak to the potential of treating these patients as a chronic disease and as early in child as possible and keep them on drug for their life. So hopefully, they can -- the burden of this disease can become as less as we can possibly make it.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#33

What is the trial for accelerated approval look like here? And maybe touch on the spend associated with the program as well as the size of the opportunity you're addressing?

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#34

Yes. So we haven't had a regulatory interaction yet. So the FDA will be the ultimate arbiter of what that path looks like. But we intend to do that this year and come back before the end of the year to speak about the outcome of that interaction. But what we can look at is the precedence here for alpelisib. Alpelisib was approved off of 37 patients of a retrospective chart review of those patients being treated under compassionate use. It really speaks to the unmet medical need here in this patient population. And they unfortunately failed their first confirmatory study, EPIK P2, but their current confirmatory study is a single-arm study that has an end of 104 patients, and that's for full approval. So if you think about the spectrum of potential obligations on our side for the end to be able to get to accelerated approval, it's reasonable to think it's somewhere in between those 2 bookends, 37 and 104 patients. And the regulatory end point here is to -- in that volumetric response rate to exclude 15% in the lower bound of the confidence interval. Our data today excludes the 15% to the lower bottom of the comps interval. So I think when we go to regulators later this year, the nature of that conversation will be what is the end that they would like to see to give us all confidence that these results can be recapitulated and then also, what's the safety database that would need to be seen to be able to facilitate accelerated approval. Fortunately, we have about 500 patients worth of cancer data here to help support the understanding of the safety profile of Zovega. So that should be a bit of a tailwind for us in those conversations. The size of this opportunity is very, very large. There's 170,000 of these patients from a prevalence standpoint in the United States today with PIK3CA mutations. And we don't believe all of those patients will ultimately seek chronic systemic therapy. But if you get down to the 3 current subtypes of focus for us, which is PROS, PIK3CA related overbuild spectrum, lymphatic amalgamations and venous malformations, there's 100,000 of that 170,000 inside of those 3 subtypes. And then we believe about 25% of those would see chronic systemic therapy for the disease. And so that represents about 25,000 patients. And the simple math shows that at the alpelisib like pricing of $400,000 a year, every 2,000 to 3,000 patients would be $1 billion in peak sales if you can truly provide a therapy in which these patients can stay on chronically. And certainly, if accelerated approval pathway is available to us, which we think it is, the development dollars here are not that large. And if you play that forward to a confirmatory study, which if the alpelisib precedent holds, what we likely think would be the solution there is to just expand our current expansions further enroll more patients and that can act as the confirmatory study. So the total development dollars in comparison to the opportunity sizes are very small.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#35

And do you believe you could cover both pros and lymphatic malformation within the same study in application?

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#36

That's going to be what we propose. We believe the biology of the disease here is the exact same across these 2 disease. There's different levels of severity. Obviously, the syndromic presentation brings with it a different level of disease burden than the more severe lymphatic malformation patients only. But in our early data sets, it's very encouraging to see that of the 4 patients that were evaluable for efficacy with lymphatic malformations, 3 out of those 4 had deep durable volumetric reductions for a 75% volumetric response rate so far. We need to grow that end a little bit further and see that signal stay consistent, but we believe it makes a lot of sense to keep these 2 subtypes pooled especially because given the frequency of PI3K mutations in these 2 subtypes, obviously, 100% in pros, 80-plus percent in lymphatic malformations. These patients can be diagnosed clinically and treatment can be directed to without a diagnostic test in these 2 settings. And so we believe that the consistency of the disease biology, the consistency of our data and the fact that these patients can be diagnosed clinically is all a very good rationale to keep them pooled together, but we'll see what the agency says.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#37

And in pediatric patients, how are you expecting growth inhibition to play out, which has been an issue with alpelisib?

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#38

We'll measure all the relevant metrics to make sure we track that appropriately. It's too early to tell today and especially because our initial data was in adults and adolescents, so 12 years and up. And we just started the 6- to 11-year-old dose escalation earlier this year. So it's going to take us some time to really track that signal with Zovega, but we do believe that, that that liability is coming from wild-type inhibition. And again, here's where our selectivity profile should play out in our favor to hopefully minimize or not see any of that growth curve inhibition.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#39

And just describe to us the treatment pathway, including the numbers of centers of excellence and patients per center in where genetic testing stands today?

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#40

Yes. So this is an area where we need to continue to do more work in the field. Have to remember that we've only been using systemic therapies in these patients for about the past 10 years or so. And only about the past 15 years of these patients have been starting to be diagnosed with genetically. And so there's a lot more to learn and figure out. And unfortunately, with the data that we are presenting and generating, we'll be able to ask these questions a bit more clearly within the community. But today, we believe that most of the moderate-to-severe patients are making their way to the centers of excellence or the vast anomaly centers. They tend to overlap with the children's hospitals in both the U.S. and Europe. So probably the vast majority of them are making their way to these 30 to 40 centers in the U.S. probably similar footprint in Europe. But -- and so we think that it is a very attractive commercial model from that vantage point to, to where you can get to a lot of these patients quite efficiently. And I think we'll continue to help raise awareness and push more genetic testing. But again, the PROs and MS patients are fortunately can just be diagnosed clinically and don't require a genetic test to direct treatment.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#41

Can you discuss future directions for the Dynamo platform here in your business development strategy?

Sanjiv Patel

Executives
#42

Yes. So obviously, we've been very successful over the last decade, bringing first-in-class and best-in-class molecules forward. The platform is directed against targets that we don't think others could tackle. And so it's really simple as that. We see lots of talk around the commoditization of research or the offshoring of research. And so that really leaves us to the conundrum of what should you focus on. And so I think what we try to look for is clinically validated targets where the conventional approaches have been futile and that we can deploy our people and platform against trying to solve them. And so they sit across both rare disease and oncology. But there's no point us trying to work on second in class molecule. We know that others are just going to be much better and much more efficient than us at doing that.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#43

The final question here. There's so much focus on AI development in health care. And clearly, you were one of the first year with using this machine-based platform. Is that really the secret sauce that has enabled you to get the products to these these stages and to show the efficacy rates that you've shown versus competitors? And how do you see leveraging that on the forward with the next targets?

Peter Rahmer

Executives
#44

Yes. Obviously, we've been at this 10 years. We're one of the first companies to use computational approaches in the discovery process. And I think what we've learned is it's not a kind of silver bullet. The ability to make a new medicine is time-consuming and have many, many thousands of steps in it. And those steps involve machines, people, data, algorithms, and each one of them, the computation approaches can make incrementally better. And so if you stack the kind of 1,000 processes together, you make the entire process incrementally better. And I think that's what we found. And obviously, we see a lot of companies over the last 10 years kind of launched themselves with our platform can use the computation approach to revolutionize the entire process. We haven't seen that. We see it makes everything incrementally better, and then overall, the whole thing gets better. But you still need humans, you still need labs and you still need the kind of intuition that goes on with kind of long-term drug discovery. And so it isn't going to solve all your problems basically, but it will incrementally solve some of them.

Salveen Richter

Analysts
#45

Great. Well, with that, thank you so much, Sanjiv. Thank you, Pete.

Sanjiv Patel

Executives
#46

All right. Thank you. Thanks for the invitation. Thank you.

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