Remitly Global, Inc. (RELY) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

May 18, 2023

NASDAQ US Financials Financial Services conference_presentation 31 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#1

All right. Go ahead and get started. Super pleased to welcome Hemanth Munipalli, CFO of Remitly. Hemanth, thank you so much for coming.

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#2

Great to be here, Ramsey.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#3

You guys seem to just consistently execute pretty well. I mean when I look at your growth rates versus some of the -- certainly, some of the traditional peers, I mean it's really impressive. So what's the secret sauce?

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#4

Yes. Yes. We've had a bunch of investor callbacks and meetings today as well. So great to be here at the Barclays conference. I think -- I know we call it the secret sauce, but it's hard to say it's a secret sauce. I think we've been executing really strongly for now for multiple quarters. I think one of the things that makes us somewhat differentiated in the space, and I think is we're digital first. We're building a lot of trust with our customers. And when trust is at the core of this business, and I think because customers keep coming back to us. And when they come back to us and then they refer other customers, and we're growing geographically very much more global as well. I think those are some of the things that are continuing to drive this, I'd say, kind of an effect where there's continued growth and the repeat behavior has been really phenomenal. So we're excited about what's playing out.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#5

Fantastic. This is kind of a big question, but how do you guys leverage technology to kind of squeeze more money out of a customer? Well, that came out wrong -- how do you kind of monetize the customer effectively over the life cycle of the customer. And one thing that I'm getting at, and I pick this up once when we're talking them at. You have very sophistication -- sophisticated kind of segmentation capabilities, we're able to basically kind of leverage data to sort of get an advantage in terms of how you enrich that relationship with the customer. So it's just losing money out of them materially deep material relationship.

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#6

Yes. So I think -- I mean, this is another example where I think scale really matters for us. I mean we think about -- we've understood our customers now for, for many, many years. I think the business has been around for like 13 years now. And there's a lot of data behind all of this. And when you build -- when we look at kind of our systems around fraud, it's a good example where we've been making a lot of investment, which also helps us understand like who are good customers, the ones that bring a lot of value and the ones that may be potentially bad actors. And I think just being really, really focused on customer centricity and differentiating between high-value, long lifetime value customers and those that aren't, really comes to the data that we're harnessing for our systems and the technology investments we've been making behind it. So I think that's just one example where we understand customer behavior a lot better. Marketing is another one, right, to -- in order for us to like really target the customers that we desire and who bring a great value for us and the high retention we've seen, it is through the part of understanding our customers at that granular level, and it comes through, again, harnessing data, making investments in our AI/ML models across the board and leveraging all of that to target the right customers as well, doing that very efficiently, time in and time out. So I think in many of these, I think ultimately, it boils down to like having scale and being distilled first at the core of everything we do. And so it's -- that's how we're just setting -- providing a lot of value to our customers, and we're really so excited about the continued journey on that as we even grow much more internationally.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#7

I wanted to just drill down a little bit into something you said about digital first at the core. What does that mean? And again, I'm trying to -- I often get this question like how is X, Y or Z competitor like on this when Remitly is doing this. And I think that's -- I think there is some really profound advantage that you have because you're digital first at the quarter. What does that mean exactly?

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#8

Yes. It's really good question. I think it means a lot of different things, like from the moment -- like if you think about remittance from the point that it needs to be made from, let's say, U.S. to Mexico or Philippines or India, there's a lot of things that need to happen for that transaction to go flawlessly through. And by the way, just as a stack, like 90% of our transactions get executed within an hour or less. To do that all, you have to basically build digital and platform and technology capabilities end to end. And you start that -- we started doing that 10, 12 years ago without having to have any sort of capital investments in our retail segment or any of that. So it was all built on technology. And so -- and then continuing to invest in technology to be able to do all those pieces, knowing your customers, the fraud system you talked about, the marketing machinery, ultimately, the relationship with our partners and how we integrate with them in a very efficient low-cost manner, which comes with investments we're making on the platform side is all of what digital first means. It's an app first. So the customer engagement is in the app. It's nowhere else as well. So when you think about multiple pieces in that chain that are built with a technology lens with a digital lens to it, it becomes a digital-first experience overall for our customers. And the infrastructure underneath it is also built in that same kind of mindset. The other thing I would say is that we're a Seattle tech-based company that has a culture around technology and innovation, which is, I think, another piece that helps us think this way, we harness data to the earlier points I was making, we're very analytically driven. We do a lot of testing and experimentation in everything we look at. We do hypothesis testing, we say, okay, this went well, this didn't do well. And you can run hundreds and thousands of experiments on a platform that's designed to do it to understand how they impact customer behavior. So there's not one thing, Ramsey, I think this is where I'm trying to there, to get at this, but it's multiple things that are built with this approach of being data-driven analytical tech investments that makes it a digital-first experience.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#9

Often when people think about remittance and thinking about the macro kind of environment. And not just the macro environment or the macro -- hypothetical macro impact or lack there of [indiscernible] business. If people think about remittance as being somewhat resilient at that the end user will want to send that money home one way or another. So they fight to make sure that those flows kind of keep going. How does this -- is the cycle kind of perceptible at all in numbers? And I guess more granularly, are you seeing anything in your numbers that show that there's any sort of stress in the environment?

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#10

Not really from a macro perspective. I think just setting the point you made is there's a lot of resiliency in here. I think the core of this is what we've seen with our customer behavior is, it's nondiscretionary remittances. So when we look at whether the dollar value of these transactions that get made from, say, U.S. to Philippines or to Mexico or Pakistan, they're generally of a lower dollar, on average a lower dollar, which also suggests that these are being made for very sort of repeatable, just nondiscretionary means like going or buying groceries or meeting your medical needs and things like that nature. And we've seen this through cycles that our customers have continued to be resilient through these cycles, and they made these payments to their friends and families around the world. The other piece that gives us confidence around kind of the nondiscretionary nature of this is we see them transacting multiple times in a month or in a quarter, which is another piece would suggest that these are things that they have to do, they want to do for their friends and families. And it's gone on for multiple cycles. So we saw that. We've seen it for a decade now. So that speaks to the resiliency of the business.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#11

And pricing is another topic that comes up and sort of -- at least among investors in the remittance industry. Talk about what pricing is to Remitly. I mean, I guess there is a price that you can use to acquire a customer. There is prices through the life cycle that you can change. And what is pricing to Remitly as kind of a tool to achieve something?

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#12

Yes. I think that the broad point here is that we want to make sure we're putting value to our customers. And pricing is obviously one way to do that, but it's not the only thing that provides value to customers. Customers do value speed, reliability. So those are some of the things that they really care about as well. So what we've seen is that -- I'll give you an example of one that suggests why pricing isn't the primary factor with 2 product offers out there for our customers: one is called an express product, the other ones called economy and express. You get your remittance transferred over quite quickly, instantly in cases under in an hour, within an hour, it's 90% of the transactions get through. Those tend to be priced a little bit more at a premium compared to an economy product, which usually gets transmitted in a 3- to 5-day window. And when we look at the choices that customers are making on this, we see them more often than not selecting the premium offer, which also tells you that it's not just about being the lowest price in the segment. So surprisingly it's just one of multiple factors because I would say, but so we are mostly focused on making sure that we're providing value to our customers. And that is through these different offers we have out there. At the same time, we remain competitive. I mean there will be markets where pricing can be competitive, and we will match where we need to match. The other point I think you made was around promotions, which is generally used towards acquiring new customers. And what we've seen, we've been using promotions now for a pretty long time and have a pretty good understanding of -- and at a discrete level how much promotions to provide to which customers because we're really obsessed about LTV and CAC. And build a lot of granularity and understanding behind that at a level that we ensure that our promotions make sense and we get the lifetime value for these customers who are acquiring for these promotions. So that's a lever we use as well I know some of our competitors are using. A key point in promotion is you will have to get good repeat behavior. And we've seen that historically with the trust that we've built with our customers, they're keep coming back to us.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#13

Very tactically, you're absolutely right, there's some high profile competitors in the marketplace who are kind of leveraging promotions take it pretty hard right now. Are you seeing any kind of impact in your business? Are you having to deploy pricing to fend that off? Or is that just not something that you're concerned about?

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#14

Yes. I mean nothing that, I think, kind of broader level that we've seen any sort of impacts to what we've been doing. We remain competitive as we should be. And we can -- I want to go back to like the value we applied to our customers, but broadly, no, the answer is we haven't seen any major impacts.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#15

And so another related question to pricing and to promotions is how do you acquire a customer at with promotional pricing and then normalize that pricing without losing the customer? And I think there's maybe a couple of threads to that question. I guess one is how price sensitive are these customers? But is that a -- is it sort of the more aggressive the promotion, the less -- sort of the more attrition you see when you try to kind of normalize the pricing on them? Or how do you do that?

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#16

So there's certainly a lot of science that goes into this. I mean I think it's the right sort of question in terms of what is the elasticity that we see and the impacts we see when they extend their promotion versus what happens when the pricing gets normalized. That is some of the sophistication that we've built in, in understanding our lifetime value in our CAC almost at a customer level. And so there's nothing more to add to that. It's just that we understand that pretty well. We've been executing on that now for multiple quarters and years. And I think that, that is -- a lot of it is, again, goes back to the thesis around the data that we have behind these customers. So we're very good at really offering the right level of promotion by channel, by customer, by corridor to be pretty discrete at what we do there.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#17

Okay. Your transaction yields have gradually kind of drifted up over time. Talk about the primary drivers of your yields and just comment on what you'd expect over time to see there, maybe the sustainability of the drivers?

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#18

Yes, when I think when you're saying transaction, you're talking about take rates, I think [indiscernible].

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#19

Correct. Yes.

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#20

I said revenue to understand volume. And we've seen it to be mostly operating within a range of, call it, 2% to 2.5% now for multiple quarters, if not 1 or 2 years. And I think that we expect to kind of remain within that range. Now the last few quarters, we've seen it trend up a little bit. There's a lot of mix impact that goes into take rate. And when I say mix, it's the mix of the transaction sizes or the remittance sizes. Take rates for dollar transactions that are much higher, would be lower percentage. Take rates for transaction values that are smaller, let's say, with less than $500 would be a higher take rate and so on. So there's a lot of mix that goes into that. And as we continue to become much more globalized there's mix impacts that come from that by corridor. We'll see differences in transaction sizes on average. Disbursement options make differences as well, like whether it's a cash pickup or it's a remittance directly to a bank deposit or a mobile wallet will have differences in pricing. So the short story there is we see stability in take rates, broadly speaking. And it's just an output metric for the most part.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#21

Another interesting kind of layer to your story is that you started in 3 central corridors and now you're expanding to many, many more corridors. What inning are we in, in terms of corridor expansion? And then I've got a couple of more questions on corridor.

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#22

Yes. So we have 4,500 or so corridors, I think, now, and some of our competitors have maybe upwards of 20,000, 25,000. So just to give you a sense of magnitude. I think there's plenty of runway for us to grow in a number of corridors. Although I don't know if it's particularly right to think of them as corridor, grow a bit more in terms of the addressable market that we're going after. To give you an example, the UAE, which is a market we just launched last quarter, was that gives us access to Middle East and some of the other end markets there as well. That may be a fewer number of corridors, but the TAM that we will be addressing there is pretty significant. So in many ways, I do think we're in the early part of the innings here on growth opportunities internationally. But having said that, I don't think it directly correlates necessarily to a number of corridors. There's a degree of correlation is around prioritizing the right markets for us to enter. And we think we're really going after some of the larger addressable markets, and UAE is an example of one.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#23

I want to get to UAE in just a second, but on the quarters and how -- aside from potentially opening up a new top line new volume opportunities when you're expanding, are there any other benefits to the model that the corridor expansion has? Is there a mix of -- beneficial mix of pricing as you enter late, less contested corridors? Or what are the knock-on benefits are there to a broader corridor expansion?

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#24

Yes. I think there's a couple. I mean, there's certainly a diversification. The opportunity -- well, Middle East sort of in an FX management business, if you think about it from a financial terms and kind of the margin that we generate of being able to manage that. I think we get a lot of diversification and benefits to being much more global and having diversification on pricing opportunities and others as we expand. That's one piece of it. I think it's really around the active customer growth. At the end of the day, I think one of the knock-on effects of this is that if we add active customers in UAE, they tend to tell their friends and family members, and they come through referrals. And by the way, the send destinations for those friends and family members may not be the UAE and they could be elsewhere. And so there is an indirect knock-on effect of that potentially adding other active customers outside of necessarily those particular send markets. So there's multiple dominant effects, I think we can see from kind of the growth into the larger markets. And again, I just pointed out UAE because I think it has complexity to it, no question, but also can open up the doors for more.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#25

Drill down a little bit on, in the UAE, and in the Middle East. That's something -- that's a region that you guys have called out a couple of times. I know you did. I think it was a Rewire acquisition, you had some applicability there. Talk about that opportunity and how you go about to kind of execute on it.

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#26

Yes. No, really excited about Rewire. I think we closed on the deal in January of this year, and the investment thesis behind Rewire was wanted to give us a bit of geographic coverage in Europe, and obviously, the Israel market, which although small, has some important sort of learnings from there that we can take on to other markets, and particularly the Middle East could be an opportunity there. But also the product and technology capabilities that the team from there brings, there are some interesting things there that we can use to accelerate some of our newer product offerings that we'll talk about at the right time. But -- and so there's a piece around product and technology as well that relates back to the Rewire investment thesis, if you will.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#27

Okay. Maybe touch on the product strategy. I think there's a -- not a perception, but an eventual expectation that you have these customers, they're loyal customers, there might be incremental ways to sort of monetize them. I know you guys have export some different opportunities and products to do that. What's the -- how do we think through what the product road map is for Remitly?

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#28

Yes. So I mean, just context a little bit, I think when you go back, let's say, a year or so, we had talked about diversified financial products and services. And it was a little bit more broader in how we talk about our product strategy at that time. We launched Passbook and which we've now since ended because it was kind of falling in this diversified product space and didn't particularly address the remittance core customer needs. So we sunset Passbook. So as we look forward in terms of our product road map, we're really looking to bring products that solve the pain points around the remittance ecosystem particularly. And so really focused on our core remittance customers and come up with products solutions that address them.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#29

Okay. I should have asked you this earlier when you brought up LTV to CAC, but you guys have brought -- been driving down your customer acquisition costs over time. How do you do that? What are the drivers there to bring down your execution costs?

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#30

I mean, first of all, kudos to the team. I think we've got a phenomenal marketing organization that really has come together now for more than a year, I'd say, like really focused on driving down CAC. Some of the drivers there is: one, a lot of channel optimization, where we continuing to focus on which channels we want to invest in and which give us the higher returns versus the ones that are not. The thing that we've been talking about a lot now in the last 3, 4 quarters and understanding for better is we've gotten to be pretty big in terms of scale both North America as well as the rest of the world. And that's creating these higher brand awareness, higher word-of-mouth effects. And to a degree, there's also the referrals I talked about, which is obviously a paid channel still, but still a low-cost paid channel. Those are helping us drive down customer acquisition and given these word-of-mouth effects, which have become a pretty decent size of that. The other thing is international growth. We've now been growing 90%, 100% year-over-year. Look at our Q4 numbers as well as Q1, and we've been able to bring down our marketing spend and get that to be much more efficient in the rest of the world as well. So that's been a factor to bring down the global average customer acquisition costs. And the primary driver, again, there being just the scale we're getting and how we're localizing marketing outside of the U.S.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#31

And on a somewhat related topic, maybe not terribly related, but somewhat related, profitability. What are the -- that sort of path to sustainable profitability? I think everyone always wonders about the long-term margin profile of the business at normalization, whenever that might occur. Talk about sort of what are the key drivers there? Is it just a question of kind of holding your costs in check and then basically the scale of the model will trigger the operating leverage that gets you to profit? Are there levers that you think about working places where you can maybe pull some levers in order to get there in a certain time frame? How should we think about profitability?

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#32

Yes. Yes. I mean I'll begin with saying that we're really focused on long-term value creation as kind of the overarching theme. And to that, basically, it means we're continuing to grow our top line revenues at really healthy, double digits. You've seen we've grown at 50% in Q1. And so we want to maintain a very healthy trajectory on growth. So it's like an anchoring thing. And as then you kind of work down the P&L, I think we've talked about marketing investments. They have a high return for us with the investments you want to continue to make and sort of benefit from the high returns we get from marketing spend. So we're driving efficiencies in marketing. But at the same time, we're getting high returns so we invest in marketing. We're driving margin improvement to the points you made around fraud and some of the other transaction expense components. So as you kind of work your way down the P&L, what we've changed a little bit since I'd say, the last 6 months, it really dialed up the focus around efficiencies and driving higher returns on expenses across the P&L. In many of these areas, we haven't really looked at that closely. And we -- and so we now have the benefit and given our scale of our business, that we can do both, like grow as well as start delivering sustainable adjusted EBITDA profitability to begin with, which we've now done for 2 quarters in a row and guided to like $5 million to $15 million for the rest of the year. But also like focus beyond that as we think a little bit more longer terms on more sustainable margin growth, what would that be? And I know those are the questions that we were being asked and -- which I'll get to here in a minute. But also focusing on operating income and ultimately looking at cash flow, et cetera. So metrics will talk about more, we're really being very financially disciplined around how we're building out a profile that can deliver both growth and profitability, cash flow for the business. So that's the formula. We have enough levers in the business given our size that we can do both, in my view. And that's the thesis there. It's kind of how we think about it, like the financial profiles should be pretty differentiating for us.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#33

Can you lean into technology in order to create more efficiency in the business? I mean there's been some talk about things like generative AI. Are there ways that you can kind of automate more, lean a little bit more on the technology side? Are those levers that you can kind of see and identify?

Andrew Schmidt

analyst
#34

Yes, we've been -- we certainly have been investing in technology to help us scale better. Like when you look at functions outside of like -- think of support functions, finance is probably a great example or accounting operations and so on, where investing in technology can drive more automation. And there's the technology that most people are aware of, there's obviously the newer talk on the street around generative AI and ChatGPT, et cetera. And we certainly are looking at multiple areas in our business that we can apply those technologies to. Customer service is a good example. We've already started to see some scale benefits that we're getting in customer service. I think as you look at it as a percent of revenue, it's been around 10% historically, it's starting to like come down, and we do think that's going to get to a better place. And it's going to be a combination of operational efficiencies and technology. And it's also we think that's a space where some of the newer technologies and AI/ML, et cetera, can drive more efficiencies there in customer service. At the same time, really offering up a great experience for customers, right? And I think this is the piece that we want to stay focused on is the experience for the customers, the problems we're solving for them. At the same time, getting efficient. And I agree with you, Ramsey, like clearly as there, and we've got a great CTO organization that's looking at some of the ways which we can apply this technology to.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#35

On a completely separate topic, how do you guys look at the competitive landscape? And the reason I say that is because a public company investors tend to look at all the publicly listed companies and think that that's the competitive pie. And I'm sure, to some degree, that's the case. But I also think with remittance, there's probably a lot of fragmentation when you look at World Bank statistics, someone like a Western Union is still a relatively small portion of the global flows. Who or what are you competing against? Is it a finite set of customers? Or is there a broader kind of more, a more fragmented market that you're sort of taking share from as it were?

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#36

Yes. I mean I think there's a lot to that question. I think there's certainly kind of a traditional competitive space that we operate within, and there's the players who have been in the place -- in the space for decades. And there are some of the newer entrants. Those names, we certainly compete with them. I think we're doing well. We're gaining share -- to share from them. And -- but we're also looking at much broader depending on kind of the offerings we put out there, we'll probably get exposed to a broader competitor segment. But really, at the end of the day, I think being digital first and getting scale is probably our largest competitive advantage in the scheme of things. There are going to be smaller scale digital players in a specific send destination or a particular application, but getting to scale is hard. And what differentiates us is we have now the scale, and we continue to build on it. So it gives us a lot of advantage. And I think as we think about some of these newer product offerings, that will further sort of give us advantages to being in a better place from a competitive perspective. So yes, so I mean, I know it's kind of a vague general answer, but we do look at competition. I mean we understand what they're doing. We're obviously obsessing about that. I think it's mostly normal course industry behavior that we're seeing, whether it's in this industry or frankly any industry. And so it's largely that.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#37

Interesting. And then I also wanted to ask you with a look into your crystal ball, how do you see the sort of send and receive methods evolving over time? You guys -- a lot of your business, most of your business, the majority of your business is digital origination and a cash out on the other side. I think you might have mentioned that there was a little more account-to-account transfer. Do you see the world -- how long is the tail for cash out on the other side? How do you see that evolving? And I mean this game take a long to be here 10 years, but...

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#38

Yes, yes. I think there will be some sort of a collapse of the sort of what is it -- somewhat can be felt as a transactional model to a much deeper relationship between these, what we call today as the senders and the receivers. But if you take a longer-term horizon on this, I think bringing those 2 sort of somewhat discrete universes into like one ecosystem in a much more frictionless experience and kind of the product offers and capabilities that will need to get developed to make that happen, I think it's probably a bit of the future. I think we're starting to see bits of that in different places, but not particularly in a cross-border setting, right? And I think -- so not to have a crystal ball here, I don't know where this is going to go, but taking out friction as much as possible between folks who are living in one country and people who are living in another country as much as possible and bringing them together, whether it's account based or whatever the structures could look like, we'll just create a much better ecosystem for everyone. And you can think of multiple financial offerings and services around that, that makes it pretty compelling.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#39

Fantastic. Great conversation. Unfortunately, we're out of time. I really appreciate you joining us. Thanks so much.

Hemanth Munipalli

executive
#40

Yes. Same here. Great. Thanks, Ramsey.

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