Repligen Corporation (RGEN) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
June 3, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
S. Brandon Couillard
analystAll right. We'll go ahead and get started. Thanks, everyone, for joining us. Welcome to the Jefferies 2021 Global Healthcare Conference. I'm Brandon Couillard. I cover the Life Science Tools and Diagnostics sector here at the firm. It's my great pleasure to have Repligen with us back at the conference this year. Joining us for this conversation this afternoon, CEO, Tony Hunt; CFO, Jon Snodgres. Gentlemen, thanks for being here.
Anthony Hunt
executiveThanks, Brandon.
S. Brandon Couillard
analystTony, to jump in and kick-off. I think one of the certainly biggest debates and conversations among investors right now is just kind of what does the vaccine-related revenue picture look like second half of this year, but also into '22? Just near term, you did $35 million in the first quarter, kind of pointed to about $150 million at the midpoint for the year, which would imply pretty stable sort of trend as we move through the year. Why wouldn't the back half necessarily be higher than the first half? Just to understand that dynamic.
Anthony Hunt
executiveYes. So I think our guidance for the year is about $140 million to $160 million. Obviously, as we go through the year, if there's increased demand, Brandon, we'll definitely be able to comment on that. But I suppose where we were at the end of Q1, early Q2, that was the best information we have. I think a lot of the manufacturers really have ramped up in Q1 and are kind of back to full production over the last few months. So hard to know how much more is going to be produced in the second half of the year. I think the upside potentially is going to come from other -- maybe other players as they move through from Phase II into Phase III and into approvals. So there are a number of companies we're working with that have yet to get through to the approval process, and that has definitely some upside in the second half of the year, that hasn't really been baked into our equation. And then from a 2022 point of view, I think the -- and this is probably the question we're getting the most right now is kind of where we see ourselves landing in 2022. And I think from everything we've had in terms of conversations with the players that we're doing most of the business with, we've got some at least some visibility into 2022, no firm orders. But at least forecasts from some of these players suggesting this is where we think we're going to be. And when we put it all together, we're essentially seeing that next year is going to be flat to up as opposed to flat to down. And we'll fine-tune it. And I think the upside to that will come from what I was saying earlier, which is those companies that are in mid- to late-stage clinical trials, whether it's on the vaccine side or on therapeutics side and what impact they can have in 2022.
S. Brandon Couillard
analystSo with that flat to up scenario, presume that you do see some new commercial approvals perhaps later this year? Or would that be incremental to kind of that base case?
Anthony Hunt
executiveI would say that when we look at the way -- we're assuming there will be some that will come through and get a hold and, obviously, we have a sense of what the demand from those companies is going to look like next year, but we haven't put it all in. So we're not assuming that everybody who's in clinical trials gets approval.
S. Brandon Couillard
analystGot you. Okay. Could you just talk about for a minute, the areas of your portfolio that are benefiting most significantly from vaccine demand?
Anthony Hunt
executiveYes. I would say it's definitely the filtration portfolio. And then the reason is that the filtration portfolio, if you compare filtration to chromatography, we have one main product in our chromatography portfolio, which is essentially our OPUS prepacked columns. Now since we've done the ARTeSYN deal, we've started to add now chromatography skids in, but they really -- that hasn't really kicked in, in terms of volume or revenue. And for the most part, it's not really related to COVID. But when you look at our filtration business, we have systems, we hollow fiber technology, we have flat sheet cassette technology. We have a lot of flow paths. So when you -- and we got ATF technology. When you add that all up, it's a little bit like we have 5x as much horsepower on the filtration side as that we have on the chromatography side just because of the size of the businesses. So by default, the filtration portfolio is driving the majority of the COVID revenue for the company.
S. Brandon Couillard
analystHas this opened up any sort of new relationships where -- and accounts where you may not have been as strong before that now you can sort of come in and talk about the rest of the portfolio of Repligen?
Anthony Hunt
executiveYes. I actually think that, that's probably more of a medium- to long-term opportunity because actually, the companies that we're working with on the COVID side are probably 100% focused on COVID vaccines or on therapeutics, but mainly vaccines we're working on. But I think the relationships that we've established with those companies and with their partners because a lot of them have many multiple CDMOs that they're working with, that is going to have a long-term positive benefit to Repligen.
S. Brandon Couillard
analystMore broadly, clearly, there's a bonanza of biotech fundraising last several years, continues to be pretty strong. I think you talked about, I think, 2/3 of your revenue base being clinically oriented, about 1/3 commercial. First, is that right? And can you just talk about, I guess, demand you're seeing from some of these earlier stage companies if it's material or not? If we should think about biotech funding, is that level being impactful for your business or whether that's more 1 year, 2 years, 3 years from now?
Anthony Hunt
executiveWe don't spend a whole lot of time, honestly, looking at the biotech funding, but I totally get the point you're making. I would say it's probably got a longer-term impact on us. If you think about it as small start up companies, we're clearly -- we're -- the majority of our revenue is coming from the bigger players in the industry. But we are not ignoring the companies that have one product that's in development, that maybe is in preclinical going to Phase I. So I think our sales team does a good job of making sure we just don't focus on the top 4 or 5 companies in the region or whatever, let's say, 50 companies in a, say, in North America or 100 companies in North America. There's a lot of activity, probably more so on the gene therapy side, Brandon, where you have a lot of small players that are just getting into the field. And just having the opportunity to be able to talk to them, show them what we've done. Get endorsements from other players who worked with us has been a positive. So I think we're definitely benefiting from that biotech funding, but it's probably just the percentage of the smaller companies that we're dealing with. They don't have a big impact on our revenue, but they definitely, longer term, will have an impact on our revenue. So yes, it's -- I think we definitely touch them.
S. Brandon Couillard
analystHow big is your cell and gene therapy customer base today and how much of the business is that make up?
Anthony Hunt
executiveYes. It hasn't changed that much, honestly, in terms of percentage. I haven't run it recently, but I think we're on that 15% mark of revenue. And it's definitely a couple of hundred plus customers around the globe that we're working with. I think for us, it's just the areas that we focused on, right? So if you think about it as cell and gene therapy, there are a lot of areas where I think our portfolio really matches up quite nicely. So in the viral vector space. There's no doubt that we have done a good job of working with that customer base with our various technologies, whether it's our prepacked columns or it's our filtration portfolio. And more recently, the C Technologies analytical products have found a really nice home in terms of offering real-time results for customers on things like capsid concentration, plasma concentration, empty versus full capsid, those type of technical challenges that our customers are faced with. So I think that's a good representation of what we're doing, clearly driven more by the viral vector side than anything else.
S. Brandon Couillard
analystI think you've talked about adding your own internal gene therapy application lab, maybe opening sometime this summer. You talk about how that might allow you to augment working with some of these key accounts by bringing some of those type of patients in-house?
Anthony Hunt
executiveI mean, I think the challenge that everybody has is that if you rely 100% on your sales and field applications team to do -- so if you're doing an evaluation, clearly, most evaluations happen at the customer site. It's hard to get customers to ship samples, live samples over to even a lab that might be Repligen-run. So those core evaluations definitely will happen on site. But when you're doing new product development, and you want to kind of put a product through its paces. There's a lot that can be done internally before going out and working with 5, 10, 15 customers. So I think having the ability to have our own gene therapy lab with gene therapy experts, applications experts within Repligen, that's going to help us in product development, that's going to help us with bringing customers on-site that want to work with technology and work in our labs. And it'll just augment everything that we're doing right now through our field applications team.
S. Brandon Couillard
analystMaybe switching gears over to the protein side of the business. I mean, some pretty remarkable growth there recently. I think just bumped your guidance expectations for that segment up to like 20% to 30% for the year, which are my numbers, but about $100 million of revenue which is, I think, double, close to double relative to where it was in 2018. Can you parse out how much of that might be coming from vaccine contribution? Or is it more just base business demand? I like your core mAb markets.
Anthony Hunt
executiveYes, yes, yes. And on the protein side, I would say that almost none of the revenue that we have is coming from the vaccine side because there's no kind of protein A resin sales into the vaccine. Now there's definitely some protein A resin cells into the COVID therapeutics, but it's hard for us to know when one of the -- whether it's Cytiva or Millipore or Purolite were to buy a protein A ligand from us, if that's going to go into a COVID therapeutic or not. We just don't have that level of detail. But I would say this, that when we look at our protein A ligands business, that's been really robust over the last couple of years. I think having -- clearly, Cytiva's demand for protein A resins went up and while they did move capacity in-house, it was almost offset by the increased demand that they saw in the marketplace. So we didn't really see a drop last year in terms of ligand demand from Cytiva. Then parallel with that, both Purolite and Millipore also had very strong [ light ] years, last year, and a lot of that demand has held up as we've moved here in through 2021. And then the last piece of the equation is really the growth factor business, and that continues to do really well. We were working through Millipore sigma as an exclusive distributor over the last 10-plus years because that was a contract that was in place, and we've just sort of pivoted to bringing that in-house in the last few months. So we'll have a little bit more control over the day-to-day customer interaction. We've got a really nice customer base. Millipore Sigma did a really nice job for us, but we think we can do a little bit more with our own sales force and continue to grow that business for Repligen over the foreseeable future. But it's not just protein A ligands that's driving that growth. It is actually a combination of our ligands plus what we're doing in growth factors.
S. Brandon Couillard
analystClosing out this -- that piece of the business. Any update as far as how we should think about the second piece of the Cytiva contract, which I think is due for renewal next year? Is it more likely that, that gets renewed and maintained for some period longer?
Anthony Hunt
executiveYes. I think -- look, we're -- as I've said, we are in active discussions with Cytiva. I think there's a genuine desire on both companies' part to get a contract extension done. At the end of the day, the piece that we'll get -- we'll have to sort of agree on is kind of volumes and pricing and stuff like that. But I fully expect we'll get a contract signed this year and in place for 2022.
S. Brandon Couillard
analystJust -- M&A has really been a hallmark of Repligen. Certainly, Tony, since you took over, I think it's 5 or 6 years ago, can you talk about the areas of the portfolio that are priorities today? Where do you see opportunities that you'd like to fill in? And are you still able to find assets at reasonable multiples right now?
Anthony Hunt
executiveYes. I can answer the kind of second part of your question. I think the reasonable multiple is in the eye of the beholder at this stage. But I remember when you and I were chatting back in 2015, when I took over here at Repligen, I think, we were talking about like 3x to 5x multiple, 3x, 5x multiples. A lot of bioprocessing assets are going in that 10x to 14x type multiples at the moment. So it's -- it just comes down to, honestly, strategy. What's important to you, to each company, in terms of what you want to accomplish. I think we've done a good job of identifying core assets that we think are important to Repligen. We've been able to transact on many of those without getting into the auction-type process. I think we're seeing more, Brandon, at the auction processes really last year and again this year. So I think there's a lot more banker activity where even the small and medium companies are working with the banks and coming out and goes through an auction process. And like everybody, you have -- if there's 5 companies, you've got a 20% chance of getting a deal done. I think at the end of the day, we look at each of our franchises and we have a strategy for each, and we have some targets that we think would make a ton of sense. As and if those become available, we try to act upon it. And so I don't think our strategy has changed that much at all. I think it just remain active, remain nimble and try and continue to do the types of deals that we've done.
S. Brandon Couillard
analystDo you perceive areas where you can build out a good sizable business without kind of overlapping too much with kind of the big 4 or 5 players?
Anthony Hunt
executiveYes, it's getting harder. I think that was an easier question to answer about 5 years ago, where we only had a few products in our portfolio. But I would say, if you had to pick one business area where there wouldn't be a whole lot of overlap, it probably would be on the analytics side. But I think when you're in chromatography and you're in filtration, I think there is a fair amount of overlap in terms of what you want the technology to do, right, in the world of bioprocessing. So you may not overlap with all 5 of the other big players, but you probably overlap with 2 or 3 of them. So that's and then that comes down to any asset that's going to become available at chromatography or filtration, is probably going to have at least 2 or 3 big players looking at it.
S. Brandon Couillard
analystTony, high level, if we sort of ignore the COVID vaccine piece and therapeutics and just look at kind of the underlying bioprocessing market, what do you see is kind of the midterm growth trajectory for the market? And then for your business, in particular, I feel like you've been more comfortable sort of talking about the sustainability of your base business to grow at the higher end, kind of that 10% to 15% range that you've historically talked about. Do you feel like that's a relevant kind of midterm growth rate to think about for Repligen, let's say, next 3 years or so?
Anthony Hunt
executiveYes. I think if you take COVID to one side, I mean, clearly, COVID has changed the whole market growth rate. But I think the -- probably the underlying market growth is probably still in that -- depending on the year in that 8% to 12% range. Clearly, the last few years, I think the market growth has been on the higher end of that range. The -- I think for Repligen, I think we've moved a little bit over the last sort of 12 to 18 months. I think we see ourselves more in that 15% to 20% growth on a go-forward basis, stepping for the next 3-plus years. And obviously, this year, we're on the high end of that range. Hard to know, will we stay at the high end of the range or be in the middle of the range, but I think we're in that 15% to 20% range on a go-forward basis. And then obviously, COVID begins to -- that kind of is a little bit of a wildcard, right? So if you're -- COVID is up 10%, then that's actually probably really good. If it's flat, then you got to -- you kind of cut that overall growth for the company by a little bit in the odd years. So look, I think the -- I think we feel pretty confident with the portfolio that we have, with the products that are coming out of R&D with the impact that the technologies that we've developed over the last 7 years. We're -- and I think you said at the very beginning, if you think about our 2/3 for our business being clinical and 1/3 being commercial, we have a lot of opportunities that are moving through that clinical pipeline. And as those hit the commercial piece that's what's probably giving us more confidence that we're going to be in that 15% to 20% range coupled with the R&D investment and products we brought to market.
S. Brandon Couillard
analystAnd then just a question on margins, Jon, you did -- I think it, 32% EBIT margin in the first quarter, which is kind of well above even your sort of mid-term targets. Is there a reason why that's not a relevant benchmark sort of think about sort of the profitability longer term? And then for this year, guidance implies some margin compression over the balance of the year relative to the first quarter. Just kind of talk about why that -- would that certainly be the case?
Jon Snodgres
executiveYes. I mean, it's the first quarter. 32% was really a dynamic of revenue coming in a bit faster than we originally expected and maybe some delays in timing of cost additions, right? Be it personnel or for capacity expansion type cost. So we got caught here in the first quarter with high revenue and maybe a lower cost base and we're expecting for the rest of the year. But we're continuing to work on the capacity expansion projects. We're continuing to add people. We're suggesting we're going to add 300 to 500 people here by the middle part of the year. So that's a pretty big influx of cost, which will line up more closer to the revenue growth that we have and the percentage of cost growth with the percentage of revenue growth. And so that's what we're expecting to see through the second -- for the last 3 quarters of the year. And then going forward, that will become our new baseline, and we'll continue to work to build operating margins off of that. But that said, we've grown operating margins the last 2 years by 650 basis points combined in total. And this year, we're guiding to 100 basis point expansion and should revenue be higher or should the cost additions come in a little bit slower than we expect, then we will be able to take that up in our guidance in later quarters.
S. Brandon Couillard
analystGot you. Well, unfortunately, we're out of time. So I have to leave it there. Tony, Jon, thank you so much for being here. Appreciate the time. Everyone on the line, have a great day.
Anthony Hunt
executiveThanks, Brandon.
Jon Snodgres
executiveThat was pleasure. Thank you.
S. Brandon Couillard
analystThank you.
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