Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RYTM) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 27, 2020

NASDAQ US Health Care Biotechnology special 65 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Conference Call to discuss the FDA approval of IMCIVREE. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference might be recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Mr. David Connolly, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications. Sir?

David Connolly

executive
#2

Thank you, and thank you to everyone for joining us this morning to discuss the FDA's approval of IMCIVREE, setmelanotide, for chronic weight management in patients with obesity due to POMC, PCSK1 or LEPR deficiency. Please note the press release issued earlier today and presentation we're using for this conference call are available online on the Investors & Media section of our website, rhythmtx.com. Before we begin -- turning to Slide 2. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everybody that there will be forward-looking statements made on this call. Actual events or results could differ materially from those expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements such as final risk of -- as a result of various risks, uncertainties and other factors, including those set forth in the Risk Factors section of our annual report on Forms 10-K or 10-Q or any other filings that we make with the SEC in the future. In addition, any forward-looking statements made on this call represent our views only as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent date. We specifically disclaim any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. Turning to Slide 3. On today's call are Dr. David Meeker, Chair, CEO and President of Rhythm Pharmaceuticals; Dr. Murray Stewart, our Chief Medical Officer; and Jennifer Chien, our Vice President and Head of North America -- Executive Vice President and Head of North America. Also, Hunter Smith, our Chief Financial Officer, is with us and available during the Q&A section. Now I'll turn the call over to David.

David Meeker

executive
#3

Thank you, Dave. So thanks to all of you for joining us today and allowing us to interrupt what for many, I'm sure, is a Thanksgiving break. The approval of IMCIVREE or setmelanotide for chronic weight management in patients with early onset obesity due to POMC, PCSK1 or LEPR deficiency is a major milestone for Rhythm, and it's an exciting moment for patients and families who have been living with the early onset severe obesity and the insatiable hunger caused by these deficiencies. So we look forward to sharing some of these -- some of the detail and implications of that approval with you today. So obesity, as we all know, is a common problem. What's often lost is that a subset of these individuals have a genetic defect driving their obesity. Invariably, they present to the physician, they're told to eat less, exercise more. Parents are often shamed, and this, of course, is not the optimal treatment paradigm that we would aspire to. And as the development program for IMCIVREE has shown, lives can be changed by addressing the underlying genetic defect. So we're very helpful -- very hopeful that today's approval, coupled with our broader effort to diagnose patients with these rare genetic deficiencies, will deepen our understanding of obesity and change that current paradigm of care. As with any disease where we deepen our understanding of the genetics and underlying biology, treatment can and should be individualized, and that door is opening for patients with early onset obesity due to POMC, LEPR, PCSK1 deficiency (sic) [ PCSK1 and LEPR deficiency ] today. On today's call, we'll hear from our Chief Medical Officer, Murray Stewart, and the newest member of our leadership team, Jennifer Chien, EVP and Head of North America. Hunter Smith, our Chief Financial Officer, is with us and available for Q&A. So I'd like to start with this first slide, Slide #5, and to many of you have seen this slide. This is a slide we like to use when we want to frame Rhythm and highlight the things we hope people remember about Rhythm. And it starts right with the title, and that in the title, we make -- we emphasize the fact that this is not a drug for a common obesity. We're not pursuing common obesity. This is all about treating a rare genetic disease that manifests with this severe early onset obesity. And the 3 buckets in the middle, these are the 3 milestones. The first milestone, which we hit today, and we'll come back to that in a minute. The second milestone and critical step on our journey is the better understanding and hopefully ultimate approval for 2 subsequent indications, Bardet-Biedl syndrome and Alström syndrome. And we look forward to reporting out our Phase III results from that development program at the turn of the year. As we said, that's a -- it's a larger community. More patients have been identified. It's -- those patients are more easily diagnosed because of the syndromic nature, and therefore, represents them a more meaningful opportunity at the start. And then the third bucket, this third milestone, which is perhaps some, at the end of the day, the most important piece, which is really understanding all of the genes, which are associated with this MC4 pathway, and that might, in fact, patients with mutations or in those genes might, in fact, benefit from setmelanotide and MC4R agonist. So going back to the first bucket, our milestone from today on this validation step, FDA approval. So the regulatory approval derisks the overall program. So that's huge. It validates the biology, showing that an MC4R agonist can restore function of an impaired pathway. And it gives us some, to be honest, greater confidence that the next step on our journey, which will be this Phase III readout of BBS and Alström syndrome at the turn of the year, will be positive. So in summary, today marks the beginning, not the end of a journey, for a therapy, which we believe may benefit many genes in this patient -- in this pathway and, of course, many, many patients with those genetic defects. And we'd like to think of setmelanotide is that classic pipeline and a drug. So let's now move more specifically to today's approval. So IMCIVREE is now approved. It's now the first FDA-approved therapy specifically indicated for chronic weight management in adult and pediatric patients, 6 years of age and older with early onset obesity due to POMC, PCSK1 and LEPR deficiency and confirmed by genetic testing. These obesities are all ultra-rare diseases caused by genetic variants that impair the melanocortin-4 receptor or MC4R pathway, which is responsible for regulating hunger, energy expenditure and body weight. People with these genetic deficiencies struggle with extreme insatiable hunger beginning at a young age, resulting in the early onset severe obesity and attendant comorbidities. So before we jump to the specifics of today's announcement and details on the label and our plans to make IMCIVREE available to patients, I do want to thank and congratulate the Rhythm team, many of whom I know are on the call today, for your dedication and hard work getting us to this point. This has been a long journey. It's just the beginning, but certainly a lot to celebrate here, and thank you. I also want to thank the FDA. I have to say, our experience with the FDA at a very difficult time there has been extraordinary. They partner with us all along the way to make sure that they could bring this in on time. And again, we're hugely appreciative of the roles they have played in partnering with us. I want to thank the investigators and their clinical staff and that there are clinical sites around the world who -- again, clinical trial work is never easy, clinical trial work in the area of rare disease can be particularly challenged and people never gave up and lost their focus. And finally, and most importantly, I want to thank the patients and the families who participated in and continue to participate in our clinical trials. Obviously, we can't do it without you. And getting it right is all about working in partnership with you. So with that, I'll ask Murray Stewart, our Chief Medical Officer, to provide some additional color on today's approval. Murray?

Murray Stewart

executive
#4

Great. Thank you, David. I'd also I'd like to echo my thanks to the patients, families and investigators for their dedication to the clinical trials and helping get IMCIVREE approved. As Dave said, the FDA were really very helpful with good clear lines of communication and that enabled us to get approval on time as the PDUFA date was today. So prior to IMCIVREE, individuals living with obesity due to POMC, PCSK1 or leptin receptor deficiency had no approved therapeutic options with little effect of interventions to manage their weight and their hunger. And it's really good that we're pleased to deliver our first in class medicine, which has demonstrated to specifically significant reductions in weight and hunger as well from acceptable safety and tolerability profile. On Slide 8, before we share with you the data on IMCIVREE, which led to the approval, I wanted to speak a bit about the MC4 pathway and provide an overview of the 3 genes named in the indication statement. So as you can see here, the MC4 receptors in the brain are involved in the regulation of hunger, satiety and energy expenditure. And the 3 genes, POMC, PCSK1, leptin are upstream of the MC4 receptor. And we know in patients with obesity due to these genes, it results in insufficient activation of the actual MC4 receptor. With IMCIVREE or setmelanotide point here comes in, it establishes the MC4 receptor pathway activity. And this is what enables patients to have reduced hunger and weight loss through decreased calorie intake and increased energy expenditure. On Slide 9, I'll take you through data from Phase III, which led to the approval. What you can see on the left is the graph of the weight loss over time in the POMC and PCSK1 patients. And at the 10 patients involved, 8 or 80% of the patients achieved greater than 10% weight loss at 52 weeks. What's interesting to notice in the placebo withdrawal period, in a 4-week period, there was a 5-kilogram gain in weight, which then reversed when patients went back on therapy. On the right, you can see the leptin receptor deficient patients. And out of the 11 patients enrolled, 5 of the 11 patients, 45% got to 10% weight loss at the end of the year. And again, what you can see is the steady declines in weight over time. When they go on placebo withdrawal, they gain weight and then go back to lose more weight. The weight loss is progressive over time. And if the drug is stopped, you can see the gain in weight. Our long-term data and supplemental data also support IMCIVREE's efficiency in weight loss and hunger reductions over the long term. We enrolled 4 supplemental patients with POMC and 4 supplemental patients with leptin receptor deficiency, and all 8 lost more than 10% at 52 weeks on therapy. Next slide. Slide 10, is the effect of IMCIVREE on hunger. The label does include significant discussions and presentation of the positive Phase III data from both studies, detailing the effect of IMCIVREE on hunger and weight loss. This table shows the worst hunger scores. We look at hunger in different ways. But here is the worst hunger scores in the last 24 hours. And in the POMC patients using a Likert scale of 0 to 10, patients had a median value of 7.9. And after 1-year's treatment, that dropped to a median value of 5.5. In the leptin receptor study, the median value was 7. And after 52 weeks, it was down to 4. And what's important to note as with the weight loss, if you stop the therapy and the placebo, hunger went up. You go back on the drug and hunger goes down. Very consistent with the mechanism and the evidence of IMCIVREE affecting the receptor. Now we'll go into a bit more detail about the label itself on Slide 11. So we're very pleased with the label. The label does include -- makes it very clear who IMCIVREE is for. So first one, IMCIVREE's indicated for chronic weight management in adults and children, 6 years and older. With genetically confirmed variants in the POMC, PCSK1, leptin receptor genes and these are the variants that according to ACMG are interpreted as pathogenic, likely pathogenic or of those variants of uncertainty. It's important to note that IMCIVREE is not indicated for patients with other genetic conditions or for the general obese population. There are no contraindications or black box warnings, but there are warnings related to disturbances in sexual arousal, depression, suicidal ideation and darkening of pre-existing nevi. Our next slide, it goes into a little bit more detail, Slide 12, about the dosing schedule. The dosing schedule, as expected, gives physicians flexibility with adults starting at 2 milligrams and up to 2 weeks increasing to 3 milligrams. Pediatric patients begin at 1 milligram and go up to 2 milligrams. If they need to get more weight loss, they can go up to 3 milligrams if this is tolerated. Physicians are encouraged to evaluate weight loss after 12 to 6 weeks on therapy, and this is consistent with our trial design and actually is very reflective of what would happen in real-world practice. Slide 13 shows our adverse events. IMCIVREE has been generally well tolerated and the safety profile has been remarkably consistent across the complete development program. The label lists all the adverse events reported over the course of the 2 52-week trials. And as you can see, the most common adverse events are localized injections site reactions, skin hyperpigmentation and nausea, the commonly reported ails. Of that that we treated greater than 440 patients with IMCIVREE throughout the clinical program, and many have been on therapy now for 2, 3 and a small number in 4 years. Now it's my pleasure to turn the call over to Jennifer and introduce many of you to her for the first time. Jennifer?

Jennifer Chien

executive
#5

Thank you, Murray, and thank you, David. It's certainly been an exciting time for me to join the company. And for the past 2 weeks, I've experienced the energy and focus of an organization committed to transforming the care of individuals living with rare genetic diseases of obesity and bringing them this much-needed therapy. I'm thrilled to be here with David, Murray and the rest of the Rhythm team on the achievement of this important milestone. And as you heard from David earlier, working together with them on the many future milestones that lie ahead. Now moving to Slide 15. As an organization, we are moving forward with urgency because the unmet needs for patients and families with severe genetic forms of obesity and insatiable hunger are quite real and cannot be understated. We have a few quotes here from patient interviews conducted by our clinical teams during trials, which echo similar sentiments heard throughout the interviews. Starting with the quote on the left, "It became overwhelming. Planning meals, limiting access to food, instilling self-worth and confidence." And on the right, "We've worked so hard at trying to manage this condition. We've done everything, and we still feel powerless." What resonates is the impact of these diseases not only on the lives of patients but the lives of caretakers as well. The time commitment dedicated to planning very regimented meals and the energy invested to manage the disease is not insignificant. Nothing has worked. All their lives they have suffered with an insatiable hunger that feels like pain, which is very different than normal hunger signals. Now there is something we believe will work for them. Beyond the data Murray shared, we have heard from patients on therapy, and it's truly heartening, knowing IMCIVREE provides these individuals with hope. Moving to Slide 16. I'd like to share some details on how we plan to get IMCIVREE to these patients. Given the ultra rarity of POMC, PCSK1 and LEPR deficiency obesity, coupled with the fact that genetic sequencing related to obesity is still limited, we have decided to make IMCIVREE commercially available to identified patients in the U.S. without a commercial sales force. We expect IMCIVREE to be commercially available in the U.S. in the first quarter of 2021. Our immediate focus is on ensuring a positive experience for patients, caregivers and prescribing physicians, and delivering on that promise with an efficient scalable model. This is not a traditional launch, and we don't expect a traditional launch curve. Our prevalence estimates are 100 to 500 for POMC, PCSK1 and 500 to 2,000 for LEPR. And the current diagnosis rate is low. It's important to note that when we consider, we've had nearly 30 POMC, PCSK1, LEPR patients in our trials. The vast majority of them have been ex U.S. Also, all in, we may have identified upwards of 20 U.S. patients today, but some of them are younger than 6, the indicated age for therapy. In the first 2 years, we anticipate 10 of U.S. patients on commercial drugs. We do expect that number to grow over time, but it will be a slow ramp. Increasing awareness and diagnosis is crucial to our ability to find patients eligible for treatment. Since 2019, we have been working to implement a new paradigm for diagnosing rare genetic diseases of obesity. Our medical affairs field force is comprised of 11 medical science liaisons and 8 disease education liaisons in the U.S., and we have 8 disease education liaisons in the field in Europe. We have engaged with hundreds of health care providers as well as the community and respective medical, scientific and advocacy organizations to further disease awareness, educate on early onset obesity and hunger as hallmark characteristics of these conditions. And to also gain key insights into helping support these indications. Education is step one. Testing is next. To support genetic testing, we have launched Uncovering Rare Obesity, which has expanded access to genetic testing beyond academic centers into community physician practices in the United States. We already are seeing increased demand for genetic testing and a strong response from physicians, giving us confidence that our program will help us efficiently identify patients in the U.S. Our vision is that longer term, genetic testing will become standard of care for all people presenting with early onset severe obesity, and this will enable better care overall regardless of whether or not a particular patient is eligible for treatment with IMCIVREE. On the patient advocacy front, we are strengthening our relationships with existing groups, such as the Bardet-Biedl Syndrome Foundation and Alström Syndrome International, and we are laying the groundwork for new advocacy efforts for rare genetic diseases of obesity where none have existed. For eligible patients, we are focused on ensuring these patients have access to IMCIVREE. We will achieve this through our internal team's efforts in partnership with our specialty pharmacy who will serve as the primary point of contact for patients and health care providers. We are committed to providing comprehensive patient support offerings and will provide additional details on our patient support program when IMCIVREE becomes commercially available. Much of these activities also lay the groundwork for future potential launches while ensuring ongoing seamless support to patients within our current approval. With that, I'll turn the call over to David.

David Meeker

executive
#6

Thank you, Jennifer. I have to say we're thrilled that Jennifer joined us recently to lead our efforts in North America and co-lead the global integrated commercial strategies in close collaboration with Yann Mazabraud, who also recently joined us as EVP, Head of International. I had the privilege of working with both Jennifer and Yann for a number of years at Sanofi Genzyme and previously at Genzyme, and both bring deep experience working across a number of rare diseases, and they both share a foundational commitment to serving patients and building these communities. Now I want to address one last point relative to our commercial plan, and that's pricing. The therapy will be priced at $330 per milligram for an adult at the recommended dose of 3 milligrams per day, that translates to an approximate annualized cost of $360,000. If we take into account patients in the 6 to 12 age group who may receive a smaller dose, the dose titration period for each patient, which is 2 weeks, and an expected compliance rate, which, of course, we know will be less than 100%, we estimate that the blended annualized cost per patient may be in the range of $290,000 to $300,000 per patient per year. So how do we get to that price? In over 25 years in this industry, much of it working in rare diseases, I've come to appreciate a number of things. First, the pricing of any drug product, but particularly a product serving a rare disease population to reflect the unmet medical needs, the value the therapy affords and the size of the population to be treated. Second, specifically for a rare disease, pricing is very much a function of rarity. The orphan disease legislation in the United States defined an orphan disease as a population of 200,000 or fewer patients. A population in the 100,000 to 200,000 range is a very different population than a population of 100 to 5,000 patients, for example. And pricing should reflect that difference. Simply put, you don't get an orphan disease price when we get an orphan designation. It truly is a function of rarity. So IMCIVREE will serve a population of patients who suffer from a severe disease, as you've heard. I mean POMC, LEPR and PCSK1 deficiency (sic) [ PCSK1 or LEPR deficiency ] is not a choice. It's a consequence of their genetics, these individuals have an insatiable hunger drive, abnormal food-focused behaviors and may develop the physical comorbidities related to severe obesity, including diabetes, liver and cardiovascular disease. On top of that, many patients must deal with the psychological impact and the family stress associated with living with this disease. A healthy diet and exercise are not a cure for genetically disrupted MC4R pathway, and that requires genetic testing to find the problem and specific therapy to treat it. As you heard through Murray's presentation and comments Jennifer shared from patients, we believe we have a therapy that does just that. IMCIVREE, initially, will serve a population that we estimate in the tens of patients in the U.S. with POMC, PCSK1 or LEPR deficiency obesity, but that will grow over time. With Bardet-Biedl and Alström syndrome assuming Phase III and regulatory success, we could serve a patient population with an estimated prevalence, plus or minus 2,000 patients in the U.S. and more numbers ex U.S. Both of those groups keep us at that ultra orphan end of the spectrum. So in short, in setting this price, we did not want it to be a barrier to access, but recognized it needed to reflect the rarity of the population and the challenge that Rhythm and the community is facing to ensure these patients can be diagnosed and receive appropriate care. We also fully recognize that no health care system in the world is perfect, and patients do fall through the cracks. And as a company, Rhythm is committed to the best of our ability to working with these patients to get them the treatment they need. So with that, I'd like to go to Slide 18 and finish with this slide and looking ahead to the future. So Rhythm's journey to get here from licensing setmelanotide from Ipsen, submitting an NDA, securing breakthrough orphan drug and prime designations and seeing remarkable clinical data at each step of the way has been supported by these same efforts of community building, education and awareness and patient advocacy relations, all done just on a smaller scale. And now with this approval from the FDA, and our MAA being reviewed in Europe, we are looking ahead to what's next. So first, we have several additional value drivers, as I highlighted in my opening, on the near-term horizon with upcoming milestones, top line data from the pivotal cohort in Phase III BBS and Alström trial at the turn of the year; updated data from the HETs, SH2B1 and SRC1 cohorts in our Phase II exploratory Basket Study and an update on our genetic sequencing data early in 2021. And of course, the first commercial availability of IMCIVREE. So additionally, along with the approval of IMCIVREE, we are very pleased to have received a rare pediatric disease priority review voucher, or PRV. This voucher is an incentive to encourage the development of new drugs and biologics for the prevention and treatment of rare pediatric disorders, and we can use this voucher to receive priority review on one of our own future marketing applications that would otherwise be a standard review or we can transfer the voucher to another company as a source of nondilutive financing. So taken together, we're concluding 2020 and entering 2021 in a position of tremendous strength. We received our first FDA approval, not a small milestone for any company. We are weeks away from our next Phase III data readout, which has potential, if successful, to set us up for a supplemental NDA filing for BBS and Alström in 2021. And importantly, we're advancing a broad increasingly derisked clinical program and additional indications. We look forward to updating you further as we continue our efforts to transform the care of patients with rare genetic disorders of obesity. So operator, I'd now like to open up the call for questions.

Operator

operator
#7

[Operator Instructions] We have our first question from Phil Nadeau from Cowen & Company.

Philip Nadeau

analyst
#8

Congratulations on the FDA approval. It's impressive, given the environment that we're in. A couple of questions from us. First, just on the commercial launch in the first quarter of next year, what do you need to complete before that launch can get underway? Are the medical affairs professionals all on board? Do they need to be hired? And kind of what else needs to happen?

David Meeker

executive
#9

Yes. Thanks, Phil. So let me -- I'll lead off and then let Jennifer complete here. So just on the CMC side, we have the packaging, labeling part of this, and we are working out of Europe and working with third-party vendors there. So we'll -- and needless to say, I think Europe has had a little bit of pressure from the COVID situation. So that's a first critical step. From -- otherwise, organizational infrastructure, Jennifer, do you want to comment on some of the additional plans in place to be prepared here?

Jennifer Chien

executive
#10

Sure. As I mentioned, we already have a medical field force that's in place with the MSLs as well as the disease education liaison. We do not have plans to supplement this with any additions of a commercial sales team just based off of the size of the patient population. And we definitely are moving forward just in terms of having a comprehensive patient support program that will be in place for commercial availability.

Philip Nadeau

analyst
#11

Great. That's very helpful. And then second, just on a couple of the warnings. First, on the suicidal ideation, I didn't recall that being a side effect in any of the trials. Did I -- did we miss that? Or is that simply a cause effect whenever you have some mention of depression or depressed mood for a compound?

David Meeker

executive
#12

Yes. Good question. Murray?

Murray Stewart

executive
#13

Yes. So I mean, this background population does have depression and suicidal ideation. There were 2 SEs of depression and 1 SE of suicidal ideation that we shared, and we shared a detailed poster in the toss. They were not thought to be drug-related or no evidence of worsening of that. The letter clearly relates this to all compounds in the class rather than this necessarily being specific to IMCIVREE.

Philip Nadeau

analyst
#14

Got it. That's helpful. And then second is on the -- sorry, go ahead.

David Meeker

executive
#15

No, no. I just want to say, I mean, kind of the challenges are working sometimes with these small trial data sets, and you can't always rule out some of these things. So there are observations in the trial, as Murray said.

Philip Nadeau

analyst
#16

Okay. Perfect. And then the second question is just on the benzyl alcohol preservative. What ages does that limit? Clearly, your label is only down to age 6 currently, but would that prevent you from getting an extension to younger patients eventually? Or is that really truly just something that pertains to infants.

David Meeker

executive
#17

Yes. Murray?

Murray Stewart

executive
#18

Yes. And so that does pertain to infants. It's really a problem called the gasping syndrome that's been identified in neonates. So we're confident we can get the -- the next stage is to get down to 2 to 5. I mean, with the genetic obesity, it really starts manifesting when -- after breast feeding when you start getting to the 2 to 5-year olds. So we wouldn't really envisage going to neonates anyway. But I think as in any compound, as benzyl alcohol, given is a risk for neonates, that's clearly why is in the label, but it won't restrict us going to 2 to 5.

Philip Nadeau

analyst
#19

Perfect. That's very helpful. Congratulations again.

David Meeker

executive
#20

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#21

Next question is from the line of Derek Archila from Stifel.

Derek Archila

analyst
#22

Great. Congrats, guys. So just 3 from us. So first, there's some language in the label around uncertain variants in a run-in period. So I was just curious if you can talk about whether this is something that the FDA asked for or you proposed? And how this might lead through to a potential Phase III Basket Study? That's my first question. The last 2 would be in terms of pricing. You talked about the U.S. pricing and the blended there. How should we think about from a model perspective for EU pricing? And then lastly, how long do you think it will take for patients in the U.S. to eventually go from study drug to paid drugs?

David Meeker

executive
#23

Yes. Okay. So Murray, do you want to take the first question? 2 parts there, one is on the implications of the VUS, and the second is some thoughts on the run-in period.

Murray Stewart

executive
#24

Yes. So this was done in collaboration with the FDA. We actually have been using ACMG in our clinical trials. Categories are pathogenic, likely pathogenic and VUS benign. We had 1 patient in the POMC who was benign and didn't respond and that is consistent with what we thought because they don't really have a vein that's causing a problem. They shouldn't get the drug, and that's what it says in the label. Regarding the VUS, it's an interesting category. And sometimes you could say, well, if you're not certain, should you get the drug? In our clinical trials, we did have people who had a combination of pathogenic in one allele and a VUS in other allele. And we recommended that we will include VUS in the label and the FDA agreed with us on that. That's also pertinent to the fact that if it was significant, you should see the weight loss in the trial period of 12 to 16 weeks, and this is very consistent with our trials, a good pattern. So I think it certainly makes sense to follow the ACMG guidelines, the pathogenic, likely pathogen and VUS. And I think it will help us moving forward with our clinical trials to the other point in that we have a clear way to look at patients in terms of their variants and a way to move forward with clinical assessment.

David Meeker

executive
#25

Thank you, Murray. So Derek, I think on the -- your second question on pricing, the EU pricing, we are still doing "pricing research" in Europe. As you know, Europe is a -- not the United States of Europe. And so you have the country-by-country assessment, and there will be different conclusions per country. We do expect the price in Europe to be less. I think it would be unusual if it was anything but that. That said, it's critical again for both approaching any health care system in the world, U.S. or elsewhere, that people understand and see this as a treatment for a rare genetic disease and a treatment for simple common obesity or a lifestyle drug. And I think we've made good progress on that. There's more to do. But it's a long way of saying, I don't have an answer for you on the EU and I can't give you a number for your -- for the model, so to speak. But we do expect it to be less, but I also -- I think we have growing confidence that it will be a product that reflects both the value and the rarity of the drug. So more to come on that. And then your last question, which was just how long from study drug to paid drug, and maybe I'll let -- Jennifer, you want to comment on -- just some thoughts on that? We're early, but you may have some thoughts.

Jennifer Chien

executive
#26

Sure. So this is one of those cross-team collaborative discussions that's ongoing with the commercial, clinical and medical teams. The first priority is to make sure that there's absolutely no gap in terms of treatment as the patients are transitioned over. So we are thinking through and discussing the optimal timing in terms of scheduling of the last patient visit. Also taking into consideration that early on in terms of approval, it takes a bit of time or can take a bit of time for a benefit verification. So those discussions are active and ongoing, and we are putting together plans.

Derek Archila

analyst
#27

Great. Congrats again.

David Meeker

executive
#28

Thank you. Next question?

Operator

operator
#29

Next is from the line of David Lebowitz from Morgan Stanley.

David Lebowitz

analyst
#30

My first question is on -- and congratulations on the approval. My first question is on reimbursement from the payers. Historically, they obviously have not been terribly amenable about reimbursing for obesity drugs. But clearly, these are for different types of obesities. What have those discussions been like to this point?

David Meeker

executive
#31

Yes. Thanks, David. Jennifer, do you want to comment?

Jennifer Chien

executive
#32

Sure. So we have had insights from the payers through various different points, including payer-focused market research, payer adboards as well as discussions with individual payers. Our dialogues have been positive and that they also recognize that this is not general obesity. It is genetic diseases that are actually caused by mutations. That segment -- out of that patient population and segment their need for therapies in a different way. Also, they understand the sizes of the patient populations as well. So the discussions have been positive and aligned in terms of the -- also the pricing that David has outlined.

David Lebowitz

analyst
#33

And as far as not actually implementing a traditional sales force at this point, it's understandable given the small population. Could you just run us through how that process actually would work in going from the patient to the doctor, getting the patient drugs?

David Meeker

executive
#34

Yes, Jennifer?

Jennifer Chien

executive
#35

So the discussions with the physicians, just in terms of awareness about IMCIVREE could potentially based off of the size of the patients that have been identified, be an opportunity for our commercial marketing team to also be able to engage in those discussions versus having many different sales reps on the ground right now. So there's opportunities even without a traditional sales force to be able to have the discussions in terms of -- as patients are potentially identified, and there's physicians who are interested in learning more, they can either have that dialogue with somebody within our commercial team or call in and proactively ask questions around products that can be handled by our med info line as well.

David Meeker

executive
#36

Yes, thanks. And David, I might just add to build a little bit on Jennifer's comments. One of the key aspects and the reason we don't have a sales force today, as you said, one very, very small population that we're pursuing, knocking on doors does not work. And the most important thing we can do from a commercial effort standpoint is to focus on building the education, getting physicians confronted with a patient with early onset obesity and an abnormal hunger drive to be thinking this is not usual obesity, and they should be thinking genetics. So the #1 effort here is to get people thinking and testing. And if they test, then we're more than halfway there in the sense that having gotten back a result that indicates that they have a mutation in a gene, in this case, POMC, PCSK1 or LEPR, that would make them eligible for potential treatment. This becomes this virtual circle, right, where they had a positive hit. There's something to be done. There's a reason to test. And so they start testing more and so they then find us. And as Jennifer said, we can service that commercial effort with, call it, an inside sales effort very efficiently. But the #1 thing that's going to drive the number of patients in these 3 genes is the broader effort to develop this MC4R pathway indication for the drug.

Operator

operator
#37

We have our next question from the line of Tazeen Ahmad from Bank of America.

Tazeen Ahmad

analyst
#38

Congratulations on the approval. I have a few questions. Can I start off maybe with a question about Europe and what the time lines are there for having the drug available? And are there going to be any differences in your minds about the demand there versus what you're expecting here? You talked about tens of patients at least initially. Should we assume the same type of curve in Europe? And do you expect any kind of impact from COVID when you do launch? Or is this a category that you think doesn't lend itself to some of the issues that other companies who are more exposed are? And then I just have a couple of questions on the pipeline.

David Meeker

executive
#39

Yes. Let me maybe make a couple of comments on the curve in Europe. And then, Murray, I'll let you comment on the whole regulatory pathway for Europe. So the number of patients in Europe, not surprisingly, as is often the case for rare genetic diseases, is larger, meaning there's a larger number identified, simply as a function of, I think, being better organized and more systematic as a rule in their approach to rare genetic diseases. So from that standpoint, you might expect a faster ramp. That said, we also know that not every country opens up at the same time, and you have these increasingly longer periods of moving from your approval to full reimbursement. We are actively exploring the possibility of early access in a couple of the countries, and that's -- it's too early to comment, but I think that's a process that we will continue to pursue and may allow again an earlier start. France being a classic country for that with its ATU. So we'll see where it goes. But hopefully, that gives you some sense. So all things being equal, it will be a faster ramp, but the big variable is the country-by-country access issues. COVID, I look at the testing that we have ongoing now. There was a real plummet, this URO program that we have made available here in the U.S., which is supported by Rhythm, allowing patients to get genetically sequenced. And there was a very sharp drop-off in testing in the early spring post the shutdown for most of the country. And over the summer, it's gradually come back, and it -- we're still at a lower level than we were at peak, but it's not -- but it's back at that level. And with this fall surge, it hasn't really fallen off. So for whatever reason, I think we as a society and the health care system, we're learning to live with this, right? One way of saying, I don't expect a big COVID impact.

Tazeen Ahmad

analyst
#40

Okay. And then as we look forward to Alström and BBS data, can you sort of narrow the range on when we should expect to see that data? And then can you just reaffirm what number of patients do you think there are for Alström and BBS in the U.S. and what number there are ex-U.S.?

David Meeker

executive
#41

Yes. So I'll let Jennifer comment on the number of patients here in a minute. From a timing standpoint for the readout, what we've said is, at the turn of the year, which is the end of December, early January, so we're weeks away, I can't define it any further. What I can tell you is that we've been absolutely on track in terms of last patient visit and the closeout and the like. So we're on track for that time line. But that's as far as I can narrow it. Jennifer?

Jennifer Chien

executive
#42

The prevalence estimates in the U.S. for BBS are approximately 1,500 to 2,500, with Alström syndrome being approximately 500 in the U.S. There are more patients who are diagnosed with BBS than currently in terms of numbers with the first indication. I will say that every disease is different, but there are certain advantages in terms of being able to have more focused efforts to diagnose and disease educate, especially diseases like BBS, which are syndromic and have other symptoms that are very common in addition to obesity, which includes eye implications as well as renal damage. With diseases like that, it may be a bit easier just in terms of differentiating them out of the broader obesity bucket just in terms of disease education effort.

Tazeen Ahmad

analyst
#43

Okay. And then maybe my last question is, do you expect the price for that larger population to be still in that range that you provided of $290,000 to $300,000?

David Meeker

executive
#44

Yes. And to be clear, just to clarify that, so as we said, we expect patients with the exception of the 6 to 12 age group where not everybody may get to 3 mgs. We expect certainly patients 12 years and older to be treated at 3 mgs. So that would be the full dose. And if they were fully compliant, that would be the $360,000. So the blended price, again, and that's a big estimate with some assumptions, of course, $290,000 to $300,000. That is a price absolutely that we pick with the understanding and belief that will have positive results in BBS and Alström and be filing for an sNDA, and that price would cover both the current indication and if we get at the BBS and Alström's indication, the aggregate of those 2 populations still puts us very much at the ultra end of the spectrum. If, in fact, we ultimately get to, as we expect to get to, this larger number of genes that may impact the pathway, again, we'll come back. We have opportunities to reevaluate pricing, but this price for the early indications will hold.

Operator

operator
#45

Next question is from the line of Alan Carr from Needham & Company.

Alan Carr

analyst
#46

Congratulations on the approval. You all had mentioned that the FDA brought up -- they wanted you to seek regulatory approval for a diagnostic, too. So can you give us an update on that? And then a couple of others looking forward, weekly injection. Can you give us an update on where that program stands? And so you talked about -- this one thinking even farther out. But in terms of the indications that you're looking at in your Basket trial, can you give us an update on your plans and discussions with the FDA around what a Phase III program might look for that?

David Meeker

executive
#47

Yes. Murray, why don't you want to comment on the diagnostic and weekly? And I'll take the third one.

Murray Stewart

executive
#48

Yes. So first of all, as you'll see in the approval letter, it talks about getting genetic confirmation. So currently, that doesn't involve the diagnostic. But clearly, we are working with a different branch of the FDA, the CDRH group. And we're working to have a diagnostic that I think will be clear for physicians. They will then go to one lab, PreventionGenetics, and the report will be clear who's then suitable. So we're working closely with CDRH, and we'll have news for that in the next few weeks.

David Meeker

executive
#49

And the weekly?

Murray Stewart

executive
#50

The weekly, we presented the weekly data recently. The obesity side is showing that the weekly is effective and safe in generally obese. The next stage is to have dialogue with the FDA regarding our weekly program to look at the weekly formulation in patients with BBS and other genetic conditions.

David Meeker

executive
#51

Our goal, Alan, will be to move that as quickly as we can, but it does hinge off from meeting with the FDA, of course. The third -- your third question was on the Basket trial and next plans for that. I think I'll break this into 2 parts. So one is that we, as I indicated earlier, have the current, call it, a Phase II Basket effort underway with the data from HETs, SH2B1, SRC1. There's a couple of other genes in there, which are a little farther behind. We will report that data out again in 2021 with at least the 3 genes is our current plan. And we anticipate -- minimally, we would roll -- not roll, but minimally, we would begin a Phase III effort, pursuing the genes that we've studied in our current Phase II trial, again anticipating success there, of course. But that would be one part of this. The second part, and I think the really critical part of our overall strategy here is to understand the MC4R pathway. It's an entirety. And the plan, many of you have heard us discuss with you is this idea that we would ask the FDA to allow us to pursue a trial with a larger number of genes. And our R&D group, headed by Al Garfield, has looked to identify using this NIH scoring criteria, ClinGen, genes that are based on ranking are in the very strong or strong category in terms of probability of being associated with the pathway. We would look to run a trial that allowed those patients to be entered. They would -- if they had a -- obviously, they have to have early onset obesity, they have to have a positive genetic test. And then we would -- they would get a trial on the drug of this 12 to 16 weeks to see if they, in fact, were responder, and then we would move responders into a responder Phase III trial. And that's the paradigm we'll approach the FDA with. We've requested a meeting with the FDA, and we'll be updating on that -- outcome of that in the new year. So we're excited about that. I think it's a very promising, important part of our overall strategy here, but more to come.

Operator

operator
#52

Next question is from the line of Arlinda Lee from Canaccord.

Arlinda Lee

analyst
#53

Congratulations on your first FDA approval. I have a few maybe follow-up questions. Can you -- you've talked about the numbers of patients already identified. I'm wondering if there are plans for named patient sales in countries where you might be able to start earlier with just the FDA approval? And then on the BBS, Alström, can you provide additional granularity on the timing? I think you mentioned that you need -- previously that you needed 12 months after the enrollment was complete, and that was December 5 of last year that you've announced that. So I'm wondering if the data base has been locked or has the last patient been -- last patient has had their last 12-month assessment?

David Meeker

executive
#54

Yes. So Arlinda, I'll let Murray answer your second question. I'll take your first one. So Murray, on the Bardet-Biedl, Alström on timing and that Phase III trial because there's a little bit of a wrinkle there that people should understand. So for the early access named patient sales in Europe, as I indicated, we are looking at opportunities there in countries people know. France, Italy now has a program. All I can tell you at this point is, I think, there's some possibility there. It's extremely -- it's early. It's a process. You have to make your case, obviously. It's not just having approval and you automatically get this. But there are thought leaders in Europe, in France specifically, who are very interested and working closely with us. So there's support for that kind of approach, but no further details at this time. Murray, do you want to comment on the trial?

Murray Stewart

executive
#55

Yes. So on the BBS, we're on track. You've already said that the last patient was due in. The last patient has come in and [indiscernible] next week.

Arlinda Lee

analyst
#56

Okay. Maybe just as a follow-up, how long -- if it's next week then how long do you think it will take you to compile the data?

Murray Stewart

executive
#57

So we're on track for normal time lines, which takes a few weeks, 2 to 4 weeks.

Operator

operator
#58

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of Graig Suvannavejh from Goldman Sachs.

Graig Suvannavejh

analyst
#59

Congrats to the team all around for getting the drug approved. It's a major accomplishment, and kudos for that. Just a few questions, if I could. In terms -- I was looking at the label, and I'm just trying to get a better sense of in terms of the number of patients that you've identified in the U.S., which I believe the characterization was about 20 or so, did that refer to the numbers of patients that are in that 6 to 12-year-old label indication? And if not, what percentage of those 20 or so are in that range and would be eligible for IMCIVREE? And then just a follow-up there would be, I believe also in the label it talks about if a patient hasn't achieved greater than 5% weight loss within 12 to 16 weeks, then you should discontinue treatments, if I have that correctly. And I'm just wondering from the clinical trials, if you could remind me what percentage of patients would reflect that. And then I've got another follow-up, please.

David Meeker

executive
#60

Yes. So Graig, good question. Thanks. First one, we haven't broken out further the 20 patients in interim. So I don't know the number off the top of my head here in terms of who is below 6 versus in the greater than 6 and eligible for treatment here. I'd put it in the category of a handful of below 6. It'll be certainly less than the majority, but there are some. So that's the best I can do today. And in terms of achieve -- in our clinical trial, those who discontinued therapy -- Murray, do you want to comment on how that worked?

Murray Stewart

executive
#61

Yes. So the 12 to 16 weeks is actually very consistent with what we called our DUS population. So in the POMC, we have 9 out of the 10 patients hit the 5% threshold at 12 weeks. In fact, what's good about the threshold is the people who do respond continue to respond. In the LEPR population, 7 out of 11 hit the 5% threshold. And what we're really seeing is the majority of people who are going to respond do respond within that window. If they're not going to respond -- so the 1 POMC that didn't respond, didn't respond. So it's actually a very -- it matches fairly well to the clinical trials. I think if you've a genetic defect in the system and you take IMCIVREE, you do see that responds quickly, and people who do get the 5% often continue to go on, as you see, to get the 10%.

Graig Suvannavejh

analyst
#62

The other follow-up I have is just from the clinical trial experience in terms of the data that you showed in the presentation, does the longer-term data imply that there's a certain plateauing of the drug effect, and if that is the case, and maybe I misinterpreted the data, but what are your assumptions on kind of long-term persistence rates in patients staying on drug? Is the view that you'll identify patients perhaps as young as 6, and they'll stay on, hopefully, until they're 12? And then, obviously, the drug is not indicated beyond 12. So I'm just trying to understand kind of how we should be thinking about kind of how the drug will be used on a more chronic basis.

David Meeker

executive
#63

Yes, Graig, that's a great question. One clarification before I turn it over to Murray. So the drugs approved for patients age 6 and older. So it's not that they would stop at age 12. It's on through adulthood, but it's a really critical question about the plateauing and how that may play through in terms of persistence given the underlying hunger, et cetera. So Murray?

Murray Stewart

executive
#64

Yes. So first of all, in the POMC data, people said, "Oh, is that plateauing?" Well, actually, the people had reached a normal body mass index. So I think 7 out of the 8 patients were no longer obese. So what's remarkable in the POMC data is that the people go down to a normal BMI. So if people continue to take the drug, they're within the normal BMI range. The LEPR data was slightly different and that plateau reflects 2 aspects. So unfortunately, in a small trial, a few people not compliant meant that their weight went up, and we described that before to some of you in detail. The people who did well continue to do well. So what we really think for the long term is if you continue to take the drug and you're compliant, it's very effective in getting your weight down to a normal BMI. If you do unfortunately stop taking the drug, your weight tends back up to where you were before quite quickly. So our message really is continue to take the drug in the long term. And to your point, this will be a long-term therapy. So for the children, they will take and continue to take it.

David Meeker

executive
#65

And Graig, just to add a little bit onto Murray's thing. I think what's been striking, and it was very clear in our placebo windows, if you will, you come off the drug, your hunger comes back. I mean, we're not fixing the underlying genetics here. We're, in a sense, bypassing them very effectively. But -- so the drive to go back on the drug will be there. So yes, we do expect this to be a long-term therapy. And as Murray has explained to me multiple times, what I find really interesting about this drug, and as he said, we don't overshoot. It's not like this is a drug that's going to drive you down to some emaciated state. It's just you get back to "a normal BMI" and you live there. And I think there's also clearly patients who -- where their set point may not be a normal BMI, they may set and plateau at a level that's still "in the obese range" for other reasons, right? They have genetics that we're not measuring. There's other issues that are contributing to their obesity or where their body wants to live. But what we do is we correct this one major driver, and it allows you to reset at a point that you couldn't get to without this drug.

Graig Suvannavejh

analyst
#66

My last question is with respect to the PRV. So congrats on the PRV. I know the comments were you'll evaluate what the appropriate use of that is. Are you leaning in one direction versus the other? I think on the last third quarter press release, I believe you've got cash through to the end of 2021. Maybe this question is for Hunter. How do you feel about that current level of cash in terms of what's left or what next you'd like to do?

David Meeker

executive
#67

Yes. Great. So it's a good question for Hunter. Yes. Hunter?

Hunter Smith

executive
#68

Yes. Thanks, Graig. Obviously, we look carefully at our liquidity position and feel that it's very important to have the capital necessary to execute on our strategy. We have a very exciting set of investment opportunities that we expect to be in front of us, especially focused on the proposed clinical program for the Basket Study and the MC4 pathway. And so we're going to make sure that we are sufficiently capitalized to execute on that strategy, and we're going to look at all available options in front of us.

Graig Suvannavejh

analyst
#69

Okay. Congratulations to the team again.

David Meeker

executive
#70

Thanks, Graig.

Operator

operator
#71

At this time, I would like to turn it back to Mr. David Meeker, CEO of Rhythm, for closing remarks.

David Meeker

executive
#72

Great. Well, thanks to everyone for joining us this morning on what, as you can clearly hear, is an exciting day for Rhythm. And obviously, a really important step for this community of patients who's suffering these rare genetic disorders in their early onset obesity and insatiable hunger. We very much look forward to updating you on our upcoming milestones and hope to be talking again soon, giving the flow of information that'll be coming out of Rhythm. So enjoy the rest of the day. Thank you. Bye-bye.

Operator

operator
#73

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for your participation. You may now disconnect.

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