Rockwool A/S (ROCKB) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

May 29, 2020

Nasdaq Copenhagen DK Industrials Building Products special 57 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the ESG investor call. Today, I'm pleased to present CFO, Kim Junge Andersen; Marketing, Communication and Public Affairs, Mirella Vitale; Group Substantiality Director, Anthony Abbotts. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, the conference call is being recorded. I will now turn the presentation over to the hosts. Please begin.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#2

So this is Mirella Vitale. Good morning, everybody. I'm SVP, Market Communication and Public Affairs. And as mentioned, we have Kim Junge Andersen, who is our CFO, and Anthony Abbotts, who is our Head of Group Sustainability for the ROCKWOOL Group. Thank you very much for joining us. If we take our first slide, Slide #2. As always, just an update on the ESG calendar. So we plan our next call, 18th of September. We haven't finalized the subject matter for that call and look forward to receiving any input and suggestions from you either at the end of the call this morning or via e-mails or phone call, because we're always happy to come forward with whatever recommendation you have and to give you more information about what you'd like to know more about from the ROCKWOOL Group. I think now that technology is catching up with us. So if we move on to Slide 3. Hopefully, you can all see it in a couple of seconds. But basically, we'll start with COVID-19 because this is a topic on everybody's agenda. And of course, this has created a health crisis, an economic crisis and a social crisis, on top of a climate crisis that was already very much present in society and that isn't going away anytime soon. That's why the whole recovery process is so important that we have a very high focus on greening the economy as we go into this recovery mode. The issue that most governments and society face is that we actually need to create the greatest economic impact, and at the same time, the greenest climate impact in the shortest possible time frame, because at this moment in time, the bounce forward or the bounce back from the clients is, of course, as essential as ever. So we should be on Slide 4 actually, renovation and social impact. How we have presented this case in ROCKWOOL, we basically split the case for renovation and societal impact in 3 areas. We're actually looking at the economic case for renovation, the environmental case for renovation and a societal case for renovation. So if we start with the economic case, of course, securing our economy is at the top of everybody's agenda right now. And one of the highest impact economic recovery measures is to secure local jobs while at the same time contributing to the climate goals. We see that the European Green Deal is very much focused on ensuring that for Europe, this will be a green economic recovery. But if we look at some of the data that we've been collecting over the past month or so that we've been focusing and deep diving into this topic, Boston Consulting Group actually had performed an analysis where for every 1 billion invested in renovation, you would be creating 20,000 local jobs. And these are secured in the short-term since that you don't have very long processes for approval rights in the renovation of buildings as you would if you were going into a new build. So these are jobs that are secured really in the here and now. Of course, these 20,000 jobs are calculated based on public fiscal stimulus coming in. If this is matched by additional private financing, of course, the potential would be even bigger. Then the important thing is to emphasize very much on the local jobs. Of course, there's many -- much of the green transition projects that are being talked about different from renovation where its local jobs and local SMEs, which are the small to medium enterprises, would actually only benefit a small number of very large corporations. Whereas 95% of the construction companies that ROCKWOOL works with and that, in general, work in the construction industry have less than 10 employees. And these are the companies today that are being the most hit by the financial crisis and also have less access or a more difficult road to accessing the public fiscal stimulus that are coming in. Not only that, but then the craftsmen actually generate 2/3 of their revenues locally within a 50-kilometer radius. So we're talking about very local businesses, local jobs and revenues that stay within the local community. Then if you take the environmental case for renovation, most of you are already aware of the numbers that we often talk about at the ROCKWOOL Group with regards to energy consumption and energy savings. So I draw your attention to a study that we recently made together with C40 Cities, where we actually looked at the deep renovation of 23 high-admission public schools in the city of New York, whereby actually going through a deep retrofit of the building, they were able to save 42% of their energy consumption. We then looked at a scaled-up model of this very same program, that if this were to be applied to the 700 schools across the city and they took the deep retrofit of the building envelope, they would be able to avoid approximately 320,000 tons of CO2 per year, and that would be an equivalent of energy savings for the city of $99 million per year. So a slightly different angle on the environmental case that we bring on this day. Then if we look at the societal case for renovating our homes, I think more than ever, we've spent more time in our homes. We already spend 90% of our time indoors, but more recently, more time actually spent in our homes. And currently, about 80% of EU buildings do not meet the energy efficiency standards. But not only the energy efficiency standards, but even a lot of them are requiring modernization to even meet the current safety guidelines. So we're talking about 20 -- 250 million homes that require deep retrofits by 2050 in order to help you reach climate goals and to respect the safety guidelines. It has to be understood that inadequate materials in our homes are not only a risk to the residents because of damp and molds, and we'll go into that a little bit later. But of course, there's fire risk, increased air pollution to the city and a higher risk of co-mortality. Then if we move on to the next slide. Why is -- why should renovation be an interesting topic? And why is there so much talk about renovating to recover in this phase of the COVID comeback? And basically, you have -- we should be on Slide 5. So we need to move forward on the webcast. But we talk about renovation because there really is a strong value proposition for all stakeholders across the entire value chain. So for government, again, as the key issue for them right now is securing the economy, but securing the economy and at the same time contributing to the green transition. Of course, cost savings with the reduced energy consumption. And we really do see this movement towards actually focusing on reducing our consumption first and then greening the rest in a second stage. So we're very happy to see this movement towards actually focusing on energy efficiency first. Of course, there's increased stimulus, and there's -- it will impact a vast majority of the community by focusing on renovation and construction industry. It's an interesting value proposition for institutional investors because it provides very competitive returns. There's limited financial risk. It also helps asset managers fulfill their greener portfolio, while at the same time, helping societies recover from C-19, again, both in an economic sense, but also in a societal sense. So the homeowners and building owners themselves reduced energy costs, improved living and working conditions. Of course, we're not only talking about renovation of residential, but we're talking about deep renovation of hospitals as the current situation has shown that this is very much required, and they are not living up to the standards that would otherwise be required in such a situation. But also, people are beginning to rethink how we use our spaces in offices, how we use our spaces in shopping malls, cinemas, et cetera. So we're also looking at the health, leisure and educational systems when we're talking about renovation. If we move on to the next slide. Energy policy, an issue that is not always considered top of mind but it is very much an existing issue. 15% of all people in developed countries actually lives within energy policy. Energy policy means that you spend 10% or more of your household income on actually heating or cooling your house. So actually, on the energy used for your house. In Europe, that is an 11%. And that is because of the largest part of the existing building stock in Europe does not meet the energy efficiency standards. And you're looking at many countries, in particular, in Southern Europe, where -- which has been hard hit by the coronavirus crisis, where the larger stock of the buildings are actually F or G class energy efficiency rating. So there's a real opportunity for us to improve the health and well-being of people in their homes, but again, to create those additional jobs that are so much needed at this moment in time. And then, of course, the health risks of not -- of having damp and mold and issues in your home. We have, I think, referred to on a previous call where some $3.5 billion are spent in the U.S. alone on asthma-related medicines due to dampness and mold within the building itself. So if targeted properly, renovation programs can really deliver significant savings also for the public sector through reduced medical treatments and doctor's appointment. Then we go on to Slide 7. And that is another key aspect to look at when renovating the buildings is that we need to take into account the final use of the building and how the actual renovation would impact the building itself. Over the past years, you will have seen ROCKWOOL has worked very hard on supporting governments in having stronger requirements and strengthening the requirements needed for noncombustible materials, in particular, on the facades, and very much a focus on high-rise. The Energy Performance of Buildings Directive does actually require as a guideline that when you are performing an energy renovation of your building, you actually do look at the fire safety aspects. But of course, this is a guideline and we need to ensure that these are translated into legislation. We've seen a significant move in the U.K. where the fire regulations have been strengthened. The very, very clear guidelines for type of buildings, and in particular, with the focus on the high-rise facades. Unfortunately, as we all know, this took place after the tragedy of Grenfell. But we've also seen other countries moving forward in this area, so France and Belgium. In particular, Belgium, they actually have some guidelines but it still needs to be adopted as legislation, and we see a very strong move for Eastern European countries. ROCKWOOL continues to support regulation. We have advocated for greater fire safety for a long time. This is not only for the safety of the people actually living in the buildings, but also for the safety of the first responders themselves. And on top of the actual fire safety of the building, we continue to advocate, obviously, for more circular and [ stay safe] products that also do not release emissions and toxic smoke in the case of a fire. So then I hand over to Anthony at this point.

Anthony Abbotts

executive
#3

Thanks, Mirella. So if we turn to Slide #8. What we can see within fire is that there are a number of trends, and within those trends, a number of specific challenges. So firstly, you can see that there has been an increase in the combustible building content. So the materials that are in buildings that are combustible. And that leads to a specific challenge and that is that fires are developing 5 to 10x faster today compared to the 1960s, and that's due to more synthetic and oil-based materials. The other trend is that there's an increasing number of facade fires. They have increased by 7x over the last 3 decades. And finally, you can also see that there is a shortened fire response time. So what do we mean by that? We mean that in a standard home, occupants, people living in those homes only have 2 minutes to escape once the smoke detector goes off. So a number of trends and a number of challenges related to those trends. We have in ROCKWOOL materials that can address those challenges. First of all, our material is inherently noncombustible and it resists temperatures over 1,000 degrees C. It contains a fire locally, and securing that a fire in a building will not become a building on fire. And then finally, stone wool's built-in fire protection is not dependent on flame retardants, and as a result of that, it curbs toxic emissions. If we move to the next slide, Slide #9. Additionally, the focus has been on a definition of fire resilience that is closely linked to fire resistance. So in other words, how materials can withstand the effect of fire. However, we also know that fire affects the economy, it affects the community and it affects the environment. So if we take the economy first, you can see in the top left-hand corner the stat relating to the fact that the total cost of fire in the U.S. contributed to around 2% of U.S. GDP, so an enormous number. When we look at the total cost of fire, then it includes things like the cost of human casualties and injuries, the fire and rescue service response costs, costs to the criminal justice system, costs to victims, costs to property damage and business interruption costs. The second stat that we have there relates more to a local impact. It relates to a fire that was at a historical building in Belfast in Northern Ireland in 2018, and it relates to the monthly revenue loss from that company because of that fire. What happened there was that pre mark the building, the bank was undergoing actually a GBP 30 million major refurbishment and renovation at the time. If we look at community impacts, then there can be many different kinds of community impacts. To give you a couple of examples, general safety hazards, of course, of citizens and first responders, but also psychological effects. For example, a number of the survivors from the Grenfell tragedy had symptoms of PTSD. And of course, there are relocation impacts as well. Finally, environment, environmental impacts. Fires contribute to air contamination from the fire plume and water contamination from the runoff. And in connection with the Grenfell fire, for example, there were acute and chronic toxicants that were found in the fire affluent, which may have potential long-term adverse health effects on emergency responders, cleanup workers, local residents, et cetera. If we move to the next slide, Slide #10. In addition to fire, when renovating, we also need to ensure that there are good levels of acoustic performance. And this is actually an area that can be neglected. Noise can negatively impact learning, it can impact health, and it can impact productivity. If we take learning, for example, learning at schools is severely impacted by poor acoustics. We have a case from France where a research team found that for every 10 decibels that the noise increased by, then 8- to 9-year-old students performed 5.5 points lower on their national standardized test. I'll come back to education. Regarding health, the WHO Organization has shown that there is a clear correlation between an increasing noise level and hypertension, also known as high blood pressure. And it has other adverse health effects, for example, increased stress, anxiety, reduced mental sharpness. And then there's productivity, and I'll go into more depth around productivity on the next slide. So we turn to Slide #11. As we all well know, the physical setting where we work has undergone a transformation. In recent years, open offices are more common than not. And there are no longer any doors or walls to create physical boundaries or protect privacy. Recent studies show that the majority of productivity losses occur from conversation or conversational distractions. Therefore, the bulk of the efforts to improve productivity focuses on eliminating this factor from workplaces. Research has also shown that open offices lack noise mitigation infrastructure, and they reduce the productivity by around 15%. Studies show that performance, employee retention and health can all suffer from poor office and workspace acoustics. With more than 90% of an organization's operating cost linked to employee efficiency, good acoustic design therefore plays a critical role in an organization's bottom line. If we turn to the next slide, Slide #12. We have already mentioned the negative impact that noise can have on learning. In 2018, we asked Ramboll Consultancy to develop a methodology for us to quantify the impact we have on SDG #3, which is good health and well-being through our Rockfon acoustic ceilings. And using this methodology, in 2019, we could show that we have improved the learning conditions of close to 0.5 million students worldwide, which is an increase of around 55% compared to 2018. There's an increasing focus on acoustic performance from the regulatory side. The drawings you can see in the slide were produced by school children in Poland, which was part of a competition Rockfon initiated around the theme, Sound of My School. The competition was combined with educational input around acoustics to the schools. And this initiative was in response to stricter acoustic regulations in Poland. Over to you, Mirella?

Mirella Vitale

executive
#4

Yes. Thank you. So that's the first segment of our presentation. Obviously, we're pleased to see that renovation is a key element of the proposed EU recovery plan. We're actually happy to see it as the first point on the agenda of the European Green Deal. But obviously, we're not there yet. We still don't have a fixed amount of money. We need to go to Slide 13 here. We don't have a fixed amount of money but has actually been rethink and dedicated to renovation. And we need to see the outcome of these stimulus packages in the different member states. But we already see quite some fast reactions and even some member states that had already proposed renovation schemes even before the European press release came out. So we are confident that we will see a move in the market and an increased renovation rate. Of course, current rate [ is obviously flat ]. The European Commission is calling for at least a doubling of that renovation rate. And then the important aspect for ROCKWOOL is the fact that they include circular economy as an essential element of that renovation. So that wraps up the first part of our presentation. And then we hand it over to Kim, our CFO, to talk about corporate governance.

Kim Andersen

executive
#5

Thank you very much. Now I'll take the G in ESG. If you go to Slide #14, corporate governance. We do follow Danish regulation in the good corporate governance. And with that, you can say governance structure with an annual general meeting, a Board of Directors and a general management. We have also highlighted in our annual report that they are -- that we do consider on certain elements a more optimal setup and a better value for the shareholders in relation nomination remuneration committees and duties of nomination committees. And also, we have previously said that it's considered a private matter and not deemed to add value to the shareholders. We do not disclose the portfolio of shares, options, warrants, by each board member and also the relation of the registered directors. The last exception, as you will all know, will disappear from next annual report, that we are, of course, as advised by the Board, we will put those details in the annual report 2020. Then we move to Slide #18, tax governance. The tax policy and governance is governed by the Board, and of course, a topic at our Audit Committee with the Board. We have a tax policy that is publicly available. We have not made explicit mention in the annual report that we do not make use of tax-haven regimes or non-closure (sic) [ non-disclosure ] regimes as defined by OECD and EU, but I just wanted to make a bullet here. It says so not in maybe so direct words in our tax policy, but this is just for the [ red carpet ]. We do not make use of those things. Let me turn to Slide #15 -- 16, sorry, business integrity. Again, the corporate -- sorry, the code of conduct is a quite comprehensive document describing many of our policies and regulations that we have in place. I just want to emphasize that we have a whistleblower system that is available through our website. We also have an Executive Committee chaired by the CEO where these matters are discussed. And then it's followed up also by an internal control function that we participate also in our Audit Committee meetings. The last slide on governance is 17. It's an HR governance. And again, we have a course setup policy supporting equal opportunities, diversity, acts against discrimination. We also made a human rights commitment that was made public here earlier this year. On the gender diversity goals, which was set back in 2013, I'm pleased to say that we have now finally matched one of the goals we said at that time by having a female board member as of April 1 in the Board of Directors. And with that, we will close the presentation and then prepare for your questions.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#6

So over to the Q&A.

Operator

operator
#7

[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Brijesh Siya from HSBC.

Brijesh Siya

analyst
#8

I have 2 questions. First, to Kim. You talked about renovation being achieved in vis-a-vis plan. Can you please let us know what the countries are -- which are the countries you have already announced or allocated money for renovation to date in the last 2, 3 months? And the second question is to...

Kim Andersen

executive
#9

Brijesh, sorry, I don't know if you can hear us.

Brijesh Siya

analyst
#10

Can you hear me?

Mirella Vitale

executive
#11

Yes. I think I'll answer.

Kim Andersen

executive
#12

Hardly.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#13

Hardly. I think I understood the question. You're asking which countries have already announced some stimulus form of renovation.

Brijesh Siya

analyst
#14

Yes.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#15

Yes. So of course, France is a country that has actually had a scheme in place for quite some time. So the white certificates continue. Those were already approved to continue until 2022. Let's say what we're hoping to see in the French market is that, potentially, with the new stimulus packages, they'll actually increase their white certificates or at least we will see that they will be prolonged beyond 2022. On top of that, where we have a very detailed scheme already in place, it's actually already law, but the technicalities are being finalized is in Italy, which, of course, is one of the markets that has suffered most greatly from COVID, where they have actually introduced a scheme they call Ecobonus, which is 110% tax rebate on the expense of the renovation of your home. The interesting thing is that they've segmented the different technologies. So actually, 60 -- you can spend up to EUR 60,000 on the renovation of the building envelope, which is on top of the money that is allocated, which is about EUR 30,000, for heating and cooling of the building. You have to increase your energy efficiency level of the building or of the residential home by 2 grades. So if you're a G, you would have to take it up to an E standard. And this -- actually, this system actually avoids the need for a special purpose vehicle to distribute the funds because it is going directly through a tax incentive scheme. So it makes it a little bit easier for the money to go out into the market and to reach the small and medium enterprises in quite an efficient, easy way. What we do see is some of the other countries have not yet announced detailed schemes because some of the issue is actually finding the pipeline of projects. So getting the money from the EU, which is large sums, into a lot of very small projects with a lot of different stakeholders. So again, Spain has announced an energy renovation plan as part of the recovery, but they have not actually defined it yet. We've seen some packages in Denmark even before the European Union came out with a fixed allocation for renovation. So that it's so far. That's where we see defined cases in place. Then we're working and promoting the use of renovation funds at a national level so that the money is actually earmarked towards renovation itself. I hope that answers your question, that I captured it, Brijesh.

Brijesh Siya

analyst
#16

Yes, yes, yes. That's fine. I had a second question for Anthony. Just regarding fire safety. When talking about fire safety, it's high-rise building. In a post-COVID-19 world, we're probably thinking through probably a lower level of high-rise buildings that will be coming through. How do you see the demand for fire safety of these products? Sorry. Stone wool will be benefited or adversely backed by this change in trend.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#17

And maybe I'll jump in again on this one. Sorry, Mirella again. Basically, the reason we see the potential here is that, when you're renovating, especially when you're renovating the outside of the building, which is the most likely situation that we will see, because, obviously, we cannot -- we don't expect that cities will move people into temporary accommodation while they're renovating. When you go and work on the external facade of the building, you're actually changing the fundamental structure of that building. Again, starting to bring Grenfell back into the picture. But that was a concrete structure and it was designed with only one fire exit, because at the time, that actually did meet the fire safety requirements that were set forth by U.K. legislation. But of course, when you change the envelope of the building and it's no longer concrete or it could be in another case of building marble and you're putting a synthetic material on the outside, which has very high quantities of oil or flame -- flammable materials, then you're fundamentally changing the design of the building. And therefore, you are, on the one side, making a positive renovation for energy efficiency, but by ignoring the fire safety aspects of the building, you're creating an unsafe environment. And of course, we focus on high-rise because of all the statistics that tell us that above 18 meters, we know that the fire that ladders cannot reach with the same efficiency as they can on a medium to low-rise building. And actually, the renovation that say the renovation of high-rise -- sorry.

Operator

operator
#18

Our next question comes from Claus Almer from Nordea.

Claus Almer

analyst
#19

Also some question from my side. The first question goes to the Slide 13 about the EU stimulus package. And I know the details of a few at this point. But if you're going to give your best guess in how this could turn to market potential revenue, what would that be? That would be the first question.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#20

I don't think we're able to disclose that figure because we really don't know.

Kim Andersen

executive
#21

A lot of details missing, Claus, the plan.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#22

Yes. So there's a lot of details missing. There's -- again, the exact amounts that are going to be dedicated to renovation have not been ringfenced. So they're actually not called a renovation fund as such. Of course, by being placed, that's the first point on the agenda, and the high level of importance that the EU Commission is giving to renovation, we hope that the member states will follow, but it really needs to happen at a national level. So we hope to be able to share more information over the next month.

Claus Almer

analyst
#23

Sure. So -- and maybe another way to ask. Over the cycle, how big do you think the EU renovation market is?

Kim Andersen

executive
#24

We talked about at least 250 million homes.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#25

Yes.

Anthony Abbotts

executive
#26

If we talked about renovation rate [indiscernible] [ 1% ] to doubling [indiscernible]

Mirella Vitale

executive
#27

To at least doubling. So we're talking about -- yes. Sorry.

Claus Almer

analyst
#28

I was trying to get it more in number -- in value terms, not in number of homes, if possible.

Kim Andersen

executive
#29

It's difficult to do a conversion into sales potential. But the key thing, as you understand, it doubles the pace of renovation. Obviously, theoretically, we should double our sales into that particular segment. And since we do not disclose our segments, Claus, you then had to make your own estimates.

Claus Almer

analyst
#30

Sure. All right. Okay. Then next question was Slide 4. So these 250 million homes that needs to be renovated, how much is that out of the total number of homes?

Mirella Vitale

executive
#31

Yes. But we're talking about 80% that actually needs to be -- that's by 2050. So we're talking about 80% of the European building stock requires deep renovation by 2050 in order for the European Union to be able to meet their current climate goal.

Claus Almer

analyst
#32

Okay. And then coming back to over the cycle, so in average number, as it is today, how many homes are being renovated? If you have any number for that.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#33

I mean I don't have the exact number. We know the percent.

Kim Andersen

executive
#34

Yes. It's 1%.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#35

It's 1%. In Europe, it's 1%. So on average, it's 1% of the current building is actually being renovated. The ambition for 0% to lead to 3% renovation, a yearly renovation rate.

Operator

operator
#36

Our next question comes from Josefin Johansson from Handelsbanken.

Josefin Johansson

analyst
#37

I have 2 question. And my first one is regarding the EU taxonomy. And I was wondering that if you started to perhaps mapping your own business on what share of your sales would be aligned with the taxonomy, if you started that process, and if you have come to any conclusions yet. And then my second question will be relating to the EU Green Deal. And the renovation rate doesn't do seem to be a positive for both the environment, but also the demand for your products and also being attractive from an insurance perspective when it comes to fires. But one question I have is if you see any particular challenges that could make people less keen to choose your products in this aspect, something that could limit the growth in relation to this.

Anthony Abbotts

executive
#38

So Josefin, I'll take your first question. And thanks for coming back to us on this one. I think you posed this question last time at the ESG call. So of course, a high proportion of ROCKWOOL's revenue is taxonomy eligible. And we're also aware that it will become a compliance requirement for companies and funds to disclose information around taxonomy eligibility, I think it's from 2022. So we're looking at that and doing the numbers to make that calculation. There's different estimates out there of how much of our revenue is tax-only eligible. Of course, we as a company need to have an opinion about that. So it's work in progress as it stands now.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#39

I'll take the second question. If we see any challenges with our products being chosen.

Anthony Abbotts

executive
#40

Could you perhaps elaborate on that question there?

Josefin Johansson

analyst
#41

Yes. Like because the renovation rate, I mean, in general, it seems to be positive for you guys. But if there's any particular challenge, that might be an issue for actually your type of insulation being chosen over, for example, plastics. And is there any particular challenge that you see?

Mirella Vitale

executive
#42

And what we see -- actually, what we see as the biggest challenge is actually the funds reaching a sufficient amount of projects because our -- in general, the construction industry is still fragmented, and you have to deal with so many different stakeholders. That one of our biggest challenges is more related to the funds, that may be large single projects will be considered above the many residential homes where it requires quite a lot of effort to interface with the end user. So that would be the first challenge, which is not a challenge related to our product, but more a challenge related to the system. With regards to our product, again, we're waiting for the details to come out. But what we see, with the requirements for circular products for, hopefully, fire and safety that will be considered sustainable natural products that don't have toxic emissions, we actually believe that we rank very well. So we're confident that if the pieces fall into place in the legislation, then we shouldn't be faced, I mean, with the obvious competition out there, that the product itself is not challenged.

Operator

operator
#43

Our next question comes from the line of Cedar Ekblom and [indiscernible] from Morgan Stanley.

Cedar Ekblom

analyst
#44

It's Cedar here. I've got a number of questions. The first one, I just wanted to follow up on some of Claus' questions, trying to understand the size of the market and costs. So on Slide 4, you've given a number in terms of the annual energy cost savings. Could you give us an idea of what the actual cost of the renovation is though? Because you've got there a 2x payback period, but we don't actually know what the period actually is. So the first one, if we know what the energy saving is, can you give us an understanding of what the cost implications are? Then secondly, you talked about deep renovation being able to cut the energy consumption by 36%. Can you give us an understanding of what percentage of renovation today is actually deep renovation? Basically, to try and understand the opportunity. And then talk about maybe what are the hurdles to go from the more moderate renovation, if that's the right word, to deep renovation. The next question is just to understand where we are on the transition away from burning coal because, obviously, ROCKWOOL's products are circular, are fire resistant, but they are produced by the burning of coal. So where does that stand in terms of trying to get your product sort of earmarked as the sustainable choice in the renovation story? And then the last question is, can you talk about Rockpanel versus ROCKWOOL? You spoke about how renovation probably will be focused on renovating the facade of buildings. Where do you see your product positioning in that context? Is Rockpanel a core part of your portfolio today? Or do you need to actually see capacity expanding in that product part of the portfolio to leverage that sort of hard renovation of buildings?

Mirella Vitale

executive
#45

Okay. Let's see if we got all the questions. I know one question was about the sort of definition of deep renovation and how we believe we play a role in that. And again, obviously, this is down to the details at a national level. Because very often, when we talk about energy renovation, that could also be PV panels on the roof or it could be the heating and cooling systems being upgraded. So not necessarily touching the building envelope itself. Again, what we see right now with the schemes that have been put in place, we see a clear definition that, actually, you need to start with the reduction of the energy consumption. So you do actually have to work on the building envelope before applying additional energy reduction systems or energy-producing systems such as the PV. So they're on top of. So you would first need to fix the building, so consume less, and then the rest should come from greener sources. So we see that potential as fundamental, very important. But we -- it's not always clearly defined in the member state schemes that they've put into place. But at this moment in time, the one that we see in France and the one that we see in Italy does actually define that the building comes first. So that is one important aspect. Then I think you were talking about the payback, is that right?

Anthony Abbotts

executive
#46

Payback, yes.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#47

Was that the question?

Cedar Ekblom

analyst
#48

Or the costs.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#49

Of course, this is ...

Cedar Ekblom

analyst
#50

You've basically given some information on the cost savings from, I assume, the BCG report. But there isn't any information there on the actual costs to do the work. So that would be an interesting number to also understand.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#51

Yes. So here, I would actually sort of maybe link you up more to the study that we actually collaborated with C40 Cities. Because, of course, it's very different. Construction is very different country to country. And the cost of construction is also very different and manpower, et cetera. But with C40, we work across pilots that took place in Milan, New York and Copenhagen. And that data is actually made available. It's from public buildings because, of course, we can't really disclose expenses taken on private construction building. But there, we actually do have case studies that are published. Anthony, help me on the knowledge you have of the C40 Cities network, which we can definitely share with you the full report and the link to where you can actually find the cost data analysis and the payback analysis in quite a good level of detail. And we have worked with C40 on that report. So it matters very much our point of view.

Anthony Abbotts

executive
#52

Yes. So regarding your question around decarbonization, of course, what's important is to look at it from a life cycle perspective. So of course, you know that the enormous impact that our product has in avoiding CO2. And I think it's also important to highlight the fact that we're able to recycle our material, so it's fully recyclable. That means that there's no end of life. We can basically bring that material back and recycle it again and again. It's not ending up in landfill. It's not ending up in incineration. So the linkage between circularity and having a lower carbon-intense product, they're very much linked together. When you look at our own performance, so in terms of how we're producing, then of course, we have the goals that we have set for '22 and 2030. And we're very serious about meeting those goals. But at the same time, we're currently looking at reviewing them because, of course, science has changed since we set them back in 2016.

Cedar Ekblom

analyst
#53

Can you just remind us?

Anthony Abbotts

executive
#54

Did that answer your question?

Cedar Ekblom

analyst
#55

It does. Can you just remind what's the current recyclable percentages? And remind us what your 2022 and 2030 targets are.

Anthony Abbotts

executive
#56

So our recycle, we can produce products with a recycled content of up to 75%. Of course, it varies depending on which geographies we're in and on the availability of secondary raw materials, but that's the figure we communicate. In terms of the CO2 goals that we have, then we have a commitment to minimize our CO2 emissions per ton product by 10% in '22 and 20% in 2030.

Cedar Ekblom

analyst
#57

Sorry. Just on the recyclable number, so you can recycle 75%, but what is the actual percentage recycled today?

Anthony Abbotts

executive
#58

Yes. And again, that will vary across the group. So we have some places where we're doing it at 50% or 60%. And if a customer asks for 75%, then we can also deliver that. But again, it will range across the geographies.

Cedar Ekblom

analyst
#59

Okay. And then just a last question on Rockpanel versus ROCKWOOL as it relates to probably the prioritization of being able to actually renovate buildings. Was people still inside those buildings?

Mirella Vitale

executive
#60

Yes. But of course, there's different types of external facade renovation and some of it is requires Rockpanel on top of stone wool insulation, which is, of course, always our recommended option. But we also have solutions where Rockpanel is not necessarily required, where you have a rendering over the stone wool finish itself. So of course, we do see a potential in Rockpanel, a growth for them, but it depends on the type of choice of facade that the renovation program goes into and what people decide for the outside, the external facade. So there's ventilated facades where you would use a Rockpanel on top of the stone wool insulation board, but there could be an epic system where it would just be a straight render on the installation.

Operator

operator
#61

So our next question comes from Xintong Ouyang from On Field Investment Research.

Xintong Ouyang

analyst
#62

It's very interesting. The callers are interesting, and I have 2 question. The first one is I'm wondering if ROCKWOOL is still collaborating with your clients to see how the life cycle assessment can actually benefit local products and positioning or, say, market share expansion. And also, how your -- if you do that, how your clients are taking the life cycle assessment? Are they taking it seriously or they see it as a first stage and they're not actually putting a lot of focus on that? And then the second question is, I'm wondering, as for ROCKWOOL's products, you're also -- say stone wool are also heavily used in nonresidential, for example, in automotive or in factories or whatever. But then I'm wondering, in those aspects, are your products replaceable by other products? Or if not, what makes your products more unique, say, better than, say, plastics product? I'm just wondering the difference. That's all.

Anthony Abbotts

executive
#63

Okay. Thanks for your question. If -- the first question relating to life cycle assessment. So of course, there's legal frameworks around the use of environmental product declarations, which is probably what you're referring to, and certain rules and regulations around how to communicate that information with certain data sets. And we can see that, for sure, there are -- there is an increasing focus in some geographies on the use of the use of EPDs. And -- but what we're also seeing is that there can be a difference and variation in the data quality and also the level of disclosure within these EPDs. What is important for us to always communicate to our brands and to our stakeholders that -- is that you need to use the EPDs within a building context. If you look at EPDs at material level, then you do not understand the system implications of those building materials. And of course, once you put them in the building context, then there can be additional auxiliary materials that you need to use in order to cater for the use of that building material. So that's always our advice to key stakeholders in the value chain, that you should use that information within the building context.

Xintong Ouyang

analyst
#64

Sorry. Just a quick follow-up on that. Is that some of the interest, they actually focus more on the EPDs. And I'm just wondering what exact -- which exact countries are you talking about?

Anthony Abbotts

executive
#65

Yes. I mean there will be more focus, I would particularly say, in the Nordic countries. Also, in France, there's a lot of interest. Of course, you have the E+, C- sustainability building rating scheme that has been promoted by the government. And the idea is that, that will become a regulation in, I think, '21, '22. It may have been pushed out. But they are examples of countries where there is an increase in scrutiny on EPD performance.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#66

So I think your second question was about the other products in the ROCKWOOL. I can start with Grodan, which is our horticultural substrate because, of course, the European Green Deal doesn't only look at renovation and the energy transition. It's also looking very closely at agriculture, it's the farm to fork strategy. And what we see with the current recommendations from the farm to fork strategy, a reduction in the use of exercise, the target has been set at a 50% reduction by 2030 and then a 20% reduction of the use of fertilizers in agriculture by 2030. And obviously, Grodan is very well consistent in this area to potentially take additional market share in the sort of the high-tech, in-house growing segment and beyond because we may see a transition away from traditional farming because of the solution from the pesticide. So in Grodan, we see a lot of potential. Referring to our brake pads and the use of stone wool, is there a substitute material? I mean I can't speak for other materials. But what I can speak for the use of Lapinus in brake pads is definitely a key selling proposition for us is the durability of our products, which actually is -- plays into a little bit what you were asking about life cycle assessment. Our products are built to last, whether they're insulation or external facades, and in particular, in the case of brake pads where our products have a longer durability than most standard materials used as a substitute to us in that space.

Kim Andersen

executive
#67

So I think I would say thank you very much for participating and listening into the questions. I'm sure there's lots more questions. But either you had to be patient until the next ESG call or you can contact us, of course, more rapidly to get a follow-up. So thank you very much for today, and have a good Friday.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#68

Thank you very much.

Anthony Abbotts

executive
#69

Thank you.

Mirella Vitale

executive
#70

Thank you, and bye-bye.

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