Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

January 17, 2024

NASDAQ US Materials Metals and Mining conference_presentation 62 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#1

Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us for the 27th Annual CIBC Western Institutional Investor Conference. My name is Cosmos Chiu. I'm a research analyst here at CIBC. I'm excited. I'm excited about 2024. I'm excited about what that's going to be for precious metals. Hopefully, our panel today, our panelists are as excited as I am. We have the royalty panel, which is usually a very good kickoff for our Western conference. I've each -- asked each speaker to give us a 5-minute introduction for the company and then thereafter, we'll sit by the fireplace and we'll have a fireside chat. And so first off, we'll have Jason Attew, President and CEO of Osisko Gold Royalties newly minted. It's not his first time at the Western conference, but certainly his first time presenting at a conference as CEO -- President and CEO of Osisko Gold Royalties, and so I'll hand it off to Jason.

Jason Attew

attendee
#2

Thank you, Cosmos. I appreciate everyone attending [ Ag ]. I will take the first selection to open a conference, which is [indiscernible]. So look, Osisko Gold Royalties this is our [indiscernible] state I have to point this out, given the size to front, that I our lawyer say, I will be making some forward-looking statements. Osisko Gold Royalties, what I want to convey and hopefully, the 1 takeaway that everyone takes away today is we are on a path of revitalization. In fact, obviously, everyone knows it's a new year, new CEO, and we have a new-ish strategy. The fact of the matter is, over the course of the last 5 years, in particular, there's been a lot of confusion with respect to the story, mainly because the old management team went out a number of years ago, as I think people knew and acquired mining assets. I'm here to tell you our newish strategy is we definitely are a pure-play gold-focused royalty streaming company that investors have to own, and we want to substantially grow the business in that fashion. The project generator or accelerator model clearly did not, although it was a very interesting concept. It did not produce the shareholder returns that people expect with respect to a royalty company. It also created a lot of confusion and confusion does have its costs. It also created a bunch of governance issues and related party issues. So as I said, I'm here today. The cleanup has started. I'm here to finish, again, the cleanup as it relates to the related party and governance issues. But underpinning the business, and again, our focus is just to really become a pure-play royalty mine finance royalty and streaming company and economic interest company. The business is tremendous. The assets that underpin the Osisko Gold royalties. As you can see on the slide, we have over 180 assets. The fact of the matter is this is a very young company. I think people will know or recognize if we've been in the business for some time. It was last week 10 years ago that the evil Goldcorp went hostile on a Osisko mining. And this Osisko Gold royalties obviously was a product of that defense. And so what they've obviously done with an asset such as Canadian Malartic, which was the first asset that came out of the hostile transaction, there's over another 180 assets that investors have exposure to. We do have 22 producing assets at this stage. And I will tell you, the approach that we're taking around capital allocation is different. We'll be very, very disciplined. We have a number of metrics specifically on return of invested capital, that we'll be disciplined as we go out and be a mining finance company around the pure-play gold royalty and streaming assets. As I said, we have the highest quality portfolio. We -- the concentration of Canadian Malartic, again, is the anchor asset within the portfolio. If people weren't aware, Canadian Malartic is the largest and most profitable asset mining asset in Canada. It's the seventh largest mining operations -- gold mining operation in the globe, and we have a 5% NSR associated with it. In addition to the high-quality portfolio that you see here, obviously, we have assets across the globe. But what I would say in addition is we have a peer-leading growth profile. And so we are expecting to get a 30% growth over the next 5 years. And the subset of that 30% growth is actually, as you can see, some of the highlighted yellow box one there are actually in the producing asset stage. So this is not -- they are not all 50% of here are not coming from development assets, 50% are, but 50% are coming from either mine expansions or extensions of the very, very well-known assets you see here and some of the other cornerstone assets we have in the portfolio include companies that are presenting here the CIBC Western Institutional Conference. Mantos Blancos, which Capstone operates, the Eagle mine, which Victoria operates, and we recently signed a deal on the Metals acquisition Limited, which owns the copper asset in Western Australia cut CSA for which we get -- this year, we'll get 100% of the silver credit, and we will also at the second half of next year get -- there's a copper stream that will also contribute to our portfolio. So very, very high-quality portfolio. In terms of the mining jurisdictions, and I do think this will be topical. This is heavily weighted to our resources. There will be a lot of resource conversations just around jurisdictions given some of the events that have happened in the past. But what we've conveyed here and recognize this might be somewhat simplistic given Canada, U.S. and Australia makes up 80% of our NAV and it's a simplistic view arguably of jurisdictions. However, what we can say is Canada, U.S. and Australia are a very, very known mine into the safest of safe jurisdictions. And we have the peer-leading best exposure as the 80% of our NAV is associated with those jurisdictions. Lastly, I just want to talk about, again, it comes down to the related party aspects and what we did at the end of last year to really firm up our balance sheet. We did sell the Osisko Mining block for CAD 132 million. Why we did that was for 2 reasons, as I said, Osisko Gold Royalty has one focus, one focus only is to [ pride ] Mine finance to the best assets in the best jurisdictions for the for the best management teams, and we've got a really great opportunity set in the pipeline to do that. And in order to do that, we obviously needed to provide some capacity within our revolver facility. So we sold down the whole 100% of the OSK block, the Osisko Mining Block for CAD 132 million, proceeds went to pay down our debt. So our total debt right now is CAD 192 million, you can see on the slide. From a net debt perspective, we're under CAD 130 million. So we have approximately CAD 550 million of capacity to go out and do very smart, disciplined deals with, again, operators that we think are best in class in the best jurisdictions and really grow the business. So overall, I hope the 1 takeaway from you folks is the fact that we're simplifying the business. We're really just focused on royalty streams, economic interest with the best partners and again, cleaning up everything that's happened in the past to produce superior returns. Thank you for your time, and I appreciate your interest.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#3

Thanks, Jason. Next up, we have Nolan Watson, President and CEO of Sandstorm Gold. Welcome back, Nolan. I think it's been a few years since you've come to the Western conference. I don't know if you heard, but we had David last year from Sandstorm. We scared away a number of the generalist investors. So hopefully I don't think they've come back. Hopefully, Nolan I'm sure you won't.

Nolan Watson

attendee
#4

Sounds good. All right. I just have a few slides to talk to here. Sandstorm's business model is pretty simple. It's a lot of stuff that Jason just said about Osisko, Sandstorm is a similar sized company, about a similar amount of production that came this year. You can see from this chart, our production guidance going forward. I think one of the things that we've done that's unique to Sandstorm is we've gone out and we've bought a lot of our growth or all of our growth for the next several years, bought and paid for. We did a number of transactions that totaled about $1.3 billion a couple of years ago. And those acquisitions worth of things were mines going into construction or in construction. And so you'll see our production profile growing year-over-year as these mines that we've acquired streams and royalties on the mines that we've acquired get into production. And you can see those gray bars there is we've got an option to acquire gold stream on Glencore's Mara projects. They've recently spent $0.5 billion buying out the minority interest there, and they've then informed us that they're going to go full bore ahead with that project, and that would be about another $30 million year free cash flow for us if we exercise that option. So in terms of cash flow at $1,800 gold once these mines come online, we see ourselves up over USD 200 million per year in free cash flow from the portfolio of things, again, that we own and have the right to. I think 1 of the themes for Sandstorm is that because we have already pre-bought and locked down all of this growth, we don't plan on actually being very active in making new acquisitions over the next couple of years. We took on a bunch of debt to make these acquisitions. And we've been paying that off aggressively over the last year and a bit, and we'll continue to pay that aggressively over the next couple of years. Our share price has suffered a little bit, in interest rate environment where interest rates are once in a generation rate hiking cycle and you've taken on a bunch of debt investors, I think, shied away from the stock a little bit, and it's caused us to trade at low multiples. And I think you're really going to see that part of our story reverse. Our debt is coming down super fast. Hopefully, interest rates will be coming down. And you'll see this cash flow kicking in massively. $2,200 gold used to be a big stretch I don't think it's a big stretch anymore. It's basically 2% inflation for the next 4 years. It gets us to $2,200 gold and we'd be USD 0.25 billion of free cash flow per year, again, based solely on the things that we've already bought -- locked down as those mines get built. So if you juxtapose that $0.25 billion of cash flow per year against our market cap, we basically we look at these debt numbers and that cash flow relative to that debt and then to our market cap. So when we did all those acquisitions, we took on about $640 million worth of debt and IOUs at the time. We've been aggressively paying that down since. Today, as I stand here, we've got that paid down to $427 million. So massive amounts of debt reduction since we've made those acquisitions. Our goal is to have our debt below $350 million by the end of this year. And assuming that we achieve that objective, then our debt will be approximately equal to the loans that we have made to other mining companies and the equity that we've invested in other mining companies, we have USD 240 million of loans to other mining companies, and $80 million of equity investments in other mining companies. So our debt will approximately equal our investments in other mining companies. And my job over the next several years will be to harvest those loans and equity and use that to pay off the debt. So that the free cash flow, that $0.25 billion we talked about, our free cash flow generated by the portfolio of streams and royalties will be truly free cash flow. And that's the place we're hoping to get to by the end of the year. And if you juxtapose $250 million a year of free cash flow against the market cap as of this morning is $1.39 billion. If things don't change, then eventually Sandstorm will be trading at 5.5x cash flow, which is pretty rare for a stable, diversified streaming and royalty company with high-quality assets around the world. So I think we've done the right things. We're doing the hard work, and it's a pretty value-driven story at the moment. And that's basically it.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#5

Thanks, Nolan. Next, we have Sheldon Vanderkooy, the CFO of Triple Flag Precious Metals. It's your first time here, I think, presenting Sheldon, and Shaun is not here today. So feel free to let us know anything that Shaun wouldn't tell us. But with that, Sheldon?

Sheldon Vanderkooy

attendee
#6

Thank you very much, Cos. Good morning, everyone. I'm Sheldon Vanderkooy, CFO of Triple Flag Precious Metals. I too will be making forward-looking statements and the customary cautions apply. As I introduce Triple Flag to you, there's 2 main points that I want to leave you with, and the first is a significant embedded growth that's within our portfolio right now, and that's over the next 5 years. And the second is our strict focus on financial returns and in particular, on cash flow. We created Triple Flag in 2016. We didn't have an existing portfolio. Every asset in the portfolio has been acquired by the current management team through a series of acquisitions. Our goal was to create a premier streaming and royalty company. I'm really pleased with the progress we've made. Today, we have over 230 assets in the portfolio. We have a market cap of USD 2.6 billion. We just released our 2023 production figures. It was 105,000 gold equivalent ounces. That's actually the fourth highest total in our sector. On the screen, you see the track record of growth that we've achieved. Our first year of production was 2017. We had 33,000 global equivalent ounces in that year. We just achieved 105,000 ounces in the last year as 3x growth, over 3x growth in just 6 years. So that's a track record that we're quite proud of. But what I really want to focus you on is the bar that says 5-year average. And we are actually looking at 140,000 ounces a year on average over the upcoming 5 years. And most of that growth is from existing producing assets. It has to do with increasing gold grades on Northparkes. It's not dependent on permitting. It's not dependent on financing. It's not dependent on a junior company being taken out by a senior company and building something. So that's a significant uptick in growth that we're looking at over the next 5 years. from our current existing levels of production. This model is fantastic because that production translates very effectively into cash flow. If you look at the 2 charts on the left, they map very closely to the production chart. And if you go to the far right, you see part of the reason for that is the strong margins, and that's inherent in this business model. We have over 90% asset margins. This model is fantastic for translating the top line revenue growth into bottom line free cash flow. We benefit from top line growth of our partners, but we're not susceptible to the operating cost inflation, the capital cost inflation, the sustaining capital expenditures, the exploration expenditures, all the things that take cash flow away from the operating companies our model allows us to fully benefit from that. Ultimately, this model is quite simple. Our free cash flows are primarily going to depend on our production volume and the gold price. The gold price today, today is down a little bit this morning, but overall, it's still over $2,000 an ounce. If I compare that to the average price of last year, it's higher. So if prices stay exactly the same, if we don't benefit from the interest rate cuts, which people largely think are going to come to happen this year, they stay the same. We're going to see year-over-year increases in cash flow just from the price impact on this year's production. And then when you overlay that on increasing production growth, you're going to get this gearing effect benefit both from the gold price effect and the production effect translating in the cash flow available to shareholders. I won't dwell too long on this slide. There's an increasing focus on asset diversification and on jurisdiction risk. We're well diversified by asset diversification. Our single largest exposure is Northparkes. I'll touch on Northparkes later. The key fact there, I think, is it's located in Australia. The next circle chart there is our commodity exposure. We are very much a precious metals investment vehicle, 95% of our revenues are gold and silver. With respect to geography, our single largest country exposure is Australia, and over 60% of our NAV is Australia, Canada and the United States, very good jurisdictions to be in. This is a bit of a report card. It's on an asset-by-asset view, some investments that we've made in the past and seeing how we've done with the benefit of the passage of time. What we've done is we've taken our initial investment and looked at the cash flows we have received to date and also compared to the existing NAV that analysts are putting on it. These aren't our own internal figures. These are consensus analyst figures. This is what the market looks at. And as you can see, we generated cash flows and value significantly in excess of our invested capital in many of these cases. The 1 I'd actually like to draw your attention to is the bottom left, the ATO investment because there is the potential with this model to have higher returns. ATO, we put in $28 million in a series of stage payments starting in 2017. We've harvested nearly $40 million at the end of Q3. It's higher than that now, to date, we have significant value ahead of us. They're undertaking a Phase II expansion. We're going to benefit from that expansion without putting our own capital to work there. So again, I think indicative of the strength of the model, how you benefit at the back end as you get into the parts of the spreadsheet that you actually didn't pay for at the front end. I want to touch on Northparkes. It's our cornerstone asset. It's located in Australia. It's been operating for decades. The mine team thinks that this could be the 100-year mine. It has lots of mine life ahead of it. It's a copper mine. It's 80% operated by Evolution. They just stepped in last year. The remaining 20% is Sumitomo. They draw from numerous different ore sources and these sources have differing gold grades. And what's exciting for us is this is primarily a copper mine. So they're going after the copper and then the gold and then we benefit from the gold there. They're going to be accessing zones of this mine, which have higher gold grades than we've experienced in the past. And so what that's going to do is that's going to drive an increase in our deliveries. The picture there is of the E31 open-pit. They started mining that late last year. They're mining that right now, and we're going to benefit from those higher gold grades in 2024 and beyond. The gold grade at E31 is about 4x higher than what they have been traditionally been mining. Now they draw from multiple ore sources. So this is just going to blend in the average, but it's going to raise up the average. This is 1 of the sources of our growth in the next 5 years. I just -- what I want to leave you with is we're very proud of the portfolio we've built. We have embedded growth in the portfolio, and we are strictly focused on financial returns and cash flow.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#7

Thank you, Sheldon. Next, we have Bill Heissenbuttel, President and CEO of Royal Gold. I think you're the longest serving participant on this panel. So Nolan missed last year, so we started the clock again. So any wisdom that...

William Heissenbuttel

executive
#8

Well, good morning, everybody. I really like to thank CIBC for the opportunity to participate in today's panel discussion. I will be making forward-looking statements. which are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially, and these risks are discussed in our 10-K filings with the SEC. If you could just take away a few words or a phrase from this high-level description of our company, I think it would be consistency, efficiency and uniquely positioned. We are consistent in terms of our leadership and our team. We are the oldest continuously traded public royalty company in the sector. And since we adopted a gold strategy in the mid-80s, we've only had 3 CEOs, including me. Our team averages 10 years in tenure, and that allows our personnel to develop a wealth of corporate history, knowledge and experience. And I also think it speaks very highly of the work environment we have in our culture. We are consistent with respect to our strategy. We're focused on streaming and royalty investments. We generate 70% to 75% of our revenue in -- from gold and almost 90% from precious metals. Since 2021, we closed over $1 billion in transactions on properties that are primary or byproduct gold producers with good operators in good jurisdictions. While we can consider investments in other metals, we do not lose sight of what we offer investors, and that is a lower risk exposure to gold. We are consistent with our financing strategy. We financed investments from existing cash, cash from operations and our revolving credit. Once we borrow money for an acquisition, we look to pay back quarterly in order to position ourselves for the next transaction. Now that does not guarantee that we will never issue equity in the future if good investments present themselves. There's a reason we only have 66 million shares outstanding, which is the lowest in the GDX. We haven't done a public equity issue since 2012. In the period from 2000 to 2022, our operating cash flow increased 99x while our shares outstanding increased 4x and the gold price increased 6x. We benefit from a consistent share register. In the last year, our top 10 shareholders did not change in the average, holding period of our institutional investors is over 15 years. We're also consistent in our approach to our dividends. In November of last year, we increased our dividend to $1.60 per share for 2024. That was the 23rd consecutive annual increase in the dividend. And we're a member of the S&P High-Yield Dividend Aristocrats Index, which is -- reflects that accomplishment. And we're the only precious metal company in that index. In terms of efficiency, we only have 30 people, within the team, but we're able to manage new business identification, new business acquisition, portfolio monitoring, risk identification still produce EBITDA margins of about 80%. And for the 9 months ended September 30 of last year, we earned $453 million in revenue and had cash G&A of $23 million. And that's a real insulating factor when it comes to things like inflation. And as a U.S. company, with Newmont is the only other major U.S.-based source of gold exposure, we are uniquely positioned to potentially attract generalist money when their attention turns to gold. We're members of over 200 equity indices in the U.S. And also as a U.S. company, we do not expect to see our results to be negatively impacted by a global minimum tax. And in fact, we may actually see that level of the playing field with our key competitors that may face a higher tax burden. So in closing, there were a few portfolio events that impacted our results in 2023, primarily the strike at Penasquito and the slower-than-anticipated ramp-up at Pueblo Viejo. But I invite you to watch a few key events this year, the return of full production at Penasquito, steady-state production to Pueblo Viejo, a PEA at Great Bear, the commissioning of the Goldrush project at Cortez Complex, construction progress at Back River, a potential new owner at [ Comical ] with a possible focus on expansion the opportunity to fully repay our revolving credit and first production from Manh Choh, Cote and Mara Rosa, 3 assets that are on their own aren't all that material, but in the aggregate, represent good organic growth from our portfolio. Thanks for your time, and look forward to the panel discussion.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#9

Bill. I don't think I'll give you any time to rest. But let's start off with you again, Bill. Out of a scale of 1 to 10, 10 being best, how was last year's acquisition environment? And what are you expecting for 2024?

William Heissenbuttel

executive
#10

I think my view on 2023 is a little bit jaded because we had such a good 2022. So you want 1 to 10, I kind of had, well, it's probably a 3 or a 4. And that's just really sort of our perspective on it as a whole. We had 1 transaction that we did announce publicly. We weren't able to close it due to other closing conditions that were not satisfied. And I would say that the transactions that we saw, maybe we had some technical concerns, maybe we had some jurisdictional concerns. So maybe that's just a reflection of how we look at the market and not the market as a whole.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#11

And what do you think about 2024?

William Heissenbuttel

executive
#12

I mean the funny thing about this business is you never know what's going to come up. If you had told me at the beginning of 2022, we're going to do 2 Cortez transactions and buy Great Bear, Great Bear Royalties we stood -- that wasn't on the on the radar. I still think interest rates are high, which is good. I think the equity markets are relatively close. So that's good. So I am pretty bullish about the potential in the market.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#13

Nolan, do you agree? Was it a 3 out of 10 for you last year? Or was it a higher number, a lower number? What are you thinking about 2024?

Nolan Watson

attendee
#14

I think for us, it's irrelevant. So we -- similar to what Bill said, in 2022 was a big year for Sandstorm. We acquired over $1 billion worth of new assets, 5 of our top 10 assets came in through those acquisitions. And we are dilution sensitive, so we borrowed money to do it. And we just, in 2023, used all of our cash flow to pay down debt instead of buying new things. In 2024, we plan on doing the same thing in 2025, we plan doing the same thing. We're going to grow by 50%, potentially as high as 60%. If I do nothing but sit on my hands being in a situation where you could conceivably buy back your entire company with 5.5 years of free cash flow when you've got mines that are going to be producing for decades. It doesn't really make sense to make acquisitions. It makes sense to buy back shares. So probably at the end of this year, we'll be looking at buying back shares, not buying the streams and royalties.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#15

Sheldon?

Sheldon Vanderkooy

attendee
#16

So we actually closed -- we actually closed the Maverix transaction in January of last year as we kind of had our big acquisition early on. I'd say it would be a 7 or 8 overall. It was actually a fantastic acquisition for us. I think we were a little disappointed we didn't have more activity during the balance of the year because memories are short, and we're impatient. But it's been -- we had some tuck-ins and all that. So I think it was a really good year with respect to Maverix and then probably a little bit slower after that.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#17

And Jason, understanding that it was someone else who ran the company last year. How would you rank it? And how would you do it this year?

Jason Attew

attendee
#18

Yes. No, great question, Cosmos. So I do have 70 days context here, but clearly have done a look back in terms of what transactions were done. And so the transactions that were closed that really again sets the company up for growth, the CSA transaction, people might know or followed McMullen is a very well-known mining entrepreneur, Stillwater, Detour Gold, and his vision is to create a mid-tier copper company in Australia, where there's a dearth of those opportunities. And so we were as a financing partner in the Cobar mine total consideration for us was USD 190 million, which essentially got him that mine and if people don't know what Cobar is, it is the highest grade underground copper mine in Australia. So a very solid asset with a very solid management team, great jurisdiction. As I said in my -- this is what we're going to be doing looking forward. I think the genius part of that transaction as well as we're truly a partner with Mick going forward is if people aren't aware, we have a 7-year ROFR associated with anything that he does to do to grow the company. And we all know he's not going to sit still. He will build out a mid-tier copper company, and we're going to be financing partner as it goes through it. And that's also why it was important, as you think about late 2023, and where we did sell off the 100% of the OSK, the Osisko Mining Block that brought our revolver down, as I talked about, to our total debt down to CAD 190 million approximately, and it gives us a lot of financial flexibility to go out and do transactions that I believe and maybe it doesn't happen in 2024. But certainly in the flow around the whole energy transition push, and it's perfectly set up for our companies here because as you can appreciate, we can provide very good financing for byproducts such as silver and gold around big polymetallic -- a big chunky polymetallic acids that in our generational assets. So very much looking more forward than backwards, but Osisko was obviously active in that transaction or another transaction called Namdini, exactly the strategy that I talked about around we're 100% focused. Now on mine financing through royalties and streams. I promise you we will not go by a mining asset because that clearly, again, it was an interesting concept, but it just didn't provide the shareholder return and just simplifying the business and being a mining finance partner for groups like CSA, Capstone and others is what we're going to do.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#19

Great. And maybe next question since Nolan, you didn't really answer my last question, we'll start off with you. Let's spice things up a little bit here. What's the 1 asset in the industry that isn't yours that you wish you had given the -- you were given the opportunity to acquire?

Nolan Watson

attendee
#20

Oh gosh.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#21

And irrelevant is not an answer.

Nolan Watson

attendee
#22

That means I have to say nice things about someone else on the stage.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#23

You're a nice guy.

Nolan Watson

attendee
#24

That's a really tough one. I'm going to have to come back to you on that.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#25

Okay. Anyone else want to give it a crack?

Jason Attew

attendee
#26

I'll take it. I mean the transaction that started this business, and I'm going back to 1986, Goldstrike, for sure. I mean who would have guessed I don't know if people understand the context there, but it was a small [indiscernible] asset in Nevada before even Barrick owned Goldstrike. It was a company called Western Mining than the American Berrick got it. But obviously, Pierre and Franco gone in on a royalty there a 50 million-ounce endowment now and that created Franco for sure. And so yes, that's something we would have loved to have in our portfolio. It's obviously something that really created, I think an industry and interest around kind of novel ways around mine finance. So for sure, that's 1 that stands out to me as if we get to those transactions, we would do it every day, 3x on Sunday.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#27

Sheldon, do you have a...

Nolan Watson

attendee
#28

I have an answer now.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#29

Oh you got an answer now. Okay, cool. Thank you, Nolan.

Nolan Watson

attendee
#30

Take me a moment. I apologize.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#31

I sent you these questions before.

Nolan Watson

attendee
#32

So I would say, of assets that we were interested in when we were looking at making acquisitions that we had the opportunity to buy that we are in the process of the closest 1 that we came to and ended up not being the winning bidder was Cerro Lindo, we were up against Triple Flag. And we were like, boy, they just paid a little bit too much, and we passed on it and I regret that decision.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#33

Do you agree, Sheldon?

Sheldon Vanderkooy

attendee
#34

We got Cerro Lindo, it was our first asset and got us kicked off. So thank you. [indiscernible] he did some of the questions before, and I kind of came back to Royal's assets in Nevada, right, Royal Gold, and we're somewhere, I guess, we're the new kids on the Block, and we can start in 2016, and those were largely in your portfolio already. I know there's a bit of an add-on more recently, but yes, those are wonderful assets. Malartic is also a wonderful asset, and Nolan's got a fantastic portfolio as well.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#35

And then Bill?

William Heissenbuttel

executive
#36

I'm not shy about extending compliments. We always talk about good people, good project, good place. And I think of Salobo and I think of Malartic as ones that are very attractive -- never really had -- we had an opportunity on Salobo, not Malartic, but great assets.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#37

Thank you, Bill. Maybe something else here. As we've all followed in 2023, there were some fairly highly publicized issues in the mining space that had an issue or had repercussions for the royalty and streaming companies, including the shutdown of Cobre Panama. So Sheldon maybe we'll start off with you. I think you're the only lawyer on this panel here. Does that change the way you structure deals? And also, does that change the way you look at due diligence concentration risk, geopolitical risk, Sheldon?

Sheldon Vanderkooy

attendee
#38

6 Yes. When big events happen, I think you had to take notice and maybe adjust it or at least course correct or give some contemplation. What Panama has done is it's very destructive, right? It's destructive for the mining sector, the value of those companies have gone through. I think it's also bad for Panama as a jurisdiction. So anyway, I don't quite understand why they're taking that course, but they are I think it's primarily -- the structuring things you can do, and I think we all kind of understand that. I think this just primarily comes down a jurisdiction. I think there's been increasing focus since then on concentration risk and jurisdictions risk, where you're located. And I think people are having a different view there. It wouldn't surprise me if at the end of the day, when we look back, first Franco-Nevada comes out okay on this. because it seems almost insanity for something else to happen. So I think I might be okay at the end of the day. But again, this has been a very bumpy road and obviously has gotten everyone's attention.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#39

And Bill, any comments?

William Heissenbuttel

executive
#40

Yes. I mean in certain jurisdictions, we will build things into our agreements. The primarily deal with expropriation. It basically says if you get expropriate and you receive proceeds, if we haven't gotten their money back, we get the money back first, and then we share the economics, you cannot protect against every political risk out there, but that's 1 way we do try to do it. I think the other thing that really strikes home is when you're looking at these jurisdictions, is mining part of the culture is there an industry. And I think the 1 thing about Panama when they do this and they say, well, you're ruining your mining industry and say, what mining industry. So it's just kind of a unique -- it's a unique risk and a unique situation. And the other thing I'll just say is we make investments over decades. We'll do the political risk due diligence but we have no idea where governments may go, where countries may go. That's just a risk that we have to accept when we make these investments.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#41

Nolan?

Nolan Watson

attendee
#42

Yes. When I look back and how I got into the mining industry, I got -- I was 22 years old, I got sent off to the jungles of Myanmar to audit a mine that was a joint venture between the military and a Vancouver-based company and I got thrown right into political risk pretty quick. And my second place I went to was Mongolia, right, as Robert Friedland was finding really in [indiscernible]. And then shortly thereafter, founded a personal charity in war-torn Sierra-Leone and very quickly started to realize how risky the place the world is. and how any country at any given point in time, can go crazy to levels you can't imagine. And so the philosophy that I've always carried at Sandstorm is you can change the politicians and it can get worse or better, but you can't change the rocks. So focus yourself on really high-quality assets and diversify politically. So at Sandstorm, we don't have any 1 country more than 14% of our NAV, and we're going to keep it that way.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#43

And Jason?

Jason Attew

attendee
#44

Yes. Look, I've always said given my history, even going back as a banker and Gold Corp, there's no place like home. And so to the extent that you can get assets and be able to finance in Canada from a jurisdictional perspective, that's our lens. We're always looking at jurisdiction first. And obviously, as these are all contracts at the end of the day. And so there's a continuum for which you can get the security associated with assets. So obviously trying to get the best security package you possibly can with overlaying with the lens of, obviously, the jurisdiction that everyone here talked about. At the end of the day, the group of us here up on stage, we're risk managers on behalf of shareholders capital. That's the way I look at -- that's how our team looks at it. And so you just have to do transactions in jurisdictions that you're comfortable with the security package that you're comfortable with teams that you're comfortable with.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#45

Great. And I think we go way back. We talked about Goldstrike and how the industry first started. And certainly, there's been royalties and streaming and the entire evolution out of the industry. Maybe, Jason, we'll start off with you. This is your first conference. You have had 17 days, fresh pair of eyes. How do you see the evolution of the industry from the outside in? And how does that factor into your vision and strategy for Osisko Gold Royalties now that you've had a number of days in a captain seat? And I guess, I didn't really put this into questions that I sent to you. Is this your dream job? You've worked for producers, you've worked at a bank, you were an investment banker, but now is this your dream job?

Jason Attew

attendee
#46

I can -- I'll answer that last question first. Like an unequivocally can tell you, Cosmos, this is absolutely an amazing job and opportunity. And I think we're all fortunate to be on this side because you think of being associated and some of us have been associated with operations and operators. It is a tough, tough, tough business. And you see the materiality and the magnitude of some of the misses in the marketplace and things that you can't even control as an operator. So that would be -- this is just a remarkably fantastic business. So I'm very, very excited to be leading the Osisko Gold Royalty Group. In terms of the outlook going forward, again, I'm a big believer on, as I said before, the whole energy transition piece and really partnering with groups that we think that are going to actually -- from a polymetallic perspective really provide the commodities that are important to the energy transition. So quite optimistic having 17 days in the seat, and remember, I was an investment banker for 16 years. I haven't seen an opportunity set, and this is just obviously within Osisko, this rich and this broad even back when I was doing banking and clearly, again, it's that I run a royalty, but there's a lot of opportunities out there. There are a lot of very good assets out there. There's a lot of very good management teams. And so we're going to obviously pick our spots I think all of the companies here have very good opportunities to finance, again, what's going to be very meaningful for the planet go forward around the energy transition as well as obviously making really good returns for our shareholders. So that's the context that I can provide. Again, the opportunity set that we see with our organization is very good, but we have to be disciplined. We cannot be chasing things. We've got set parameters in terms of our returns. But to answer the first -- last question, again, just this absolutely is the dream job and I'm very, very pleased to be here and thank you to CIBC for hosting me.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#47

Thanks. And then, Bill, as you talked about, consistency has been a key factor for Royal Gold. How do you see -- you've been around the industry, how do you see the evolution of the industry? And how does Royal Gold fit in?

William Heissenbuttel

executive
#48

Well, I think what you've seen, you go back to the start and Silver Wheaton was doing transactions where it was a life of mine and the stream percentage didn't change and the cash price changed a little bit. And you've really seen the industry evolve into sort of a total capital structure provider. We now have step-downs in our streams to incentivize the operators to continue to explore. You now see stream investments with debt and equity associated with it. And the only thing I would tell you is I hope the industry doesn't go too far down that road. We're streaming in royalty companies. The other stuff that we may provide is really around getting that stream, that 10-, 15-, 20-, 25-year stream investment and hopefully minimizing the other stuff that we do because it's provides a little noise in the industry and for our investors.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#49

Nolan, what do you think? Have we gone too far?

Nolan Watson

attendee
#50

I think we've gone as far as we're going to go. If I look at Sandstorm's evolution, when you're growing a company, sometimes you have to be a little bit more creative and bend a little bit more than you would like to sort of make that incremental acquisition, and we've done that in the past, and we've ended up with a portfolio of loans and equity is larger than what we want. And so we're going to clean that up and monetize it and scale that down and streamline our business. So I think we'll be doing much less of that in the future going forward. There's absolutely no doubt, to Bill's point, that the industry of mining needs streaming and royalty capital full stop, it needs it more than it's ever needed it, I think. And I think that will allow us collectively to be more disciplined in the level of creativity that we need to bring. I think we don't need to be as creative to be value added. We're just we're needed.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#51

Thanks. Sheldon?

Sheldon Vanderkooy

attendee
#52

Yes. I really agree with everything that's been said. It's the opportunity set on the electrification story is huge. And I think the way certainly Triple Flag and I think my peers here, how we participate in that is funding, taking gold streams, silver streams as byproducts off those polymetallics. The opportunity side is fantastic. And so in the longer term, I think there's going to be great opportunities to deploy capital. And this is -- there's barriers to entry to deploying this capital. There's a skill set to this and part of it is working within the capital structure and working with the debt providers, working with the equity providers to create a full capital stack that works for the operator. We personally want to really shy away and minimize our own debt and equity because we don't think that, that's what our investors are signing up for. We want to have that top line exposure where we're not exposed to the OpEx and the CapEx and all those things that I spoke to. The last point I think I'll make is if you look back 10 years, streaming and royalty funding was really seen as alternative was something people did if other things weren't there, and I think that, that's changed. I don't think anyone looks to finance a mine now without making a call and looking to see how stream fits into that capital structure. And there's some really good work done there that shows that actually can reduce the risk for the operator because otherwise, they're diluting with equity or if you have too much debt, if there's a time delay or something like that, that interest clocks and can really handicap the operator. So I think actually streaming makes for a more robust capital structure in total. So we're actually adding some value.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#53

Great. See if there's any questions coming from the audience. Georgia?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#54

In terms of the electrification of the energy transition number that you've mentioned, that how they can -- obviously with the potential for larger polymetallic deposits. And some of those are not necessarily in North America. Some of them [indiscernible] jurisdictions, how open are you to entering the jurisdictions going into the [ cohesive ] environment?

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#55

So the question to repeat is electrification and metals and how willing each of these companies is willing to go into new jurisdictions to seek these new opportunities. Jason, since you talked about electrification and how excited you are, maybe we'll kick it off with you?

Jason Attew

attendee
#56

Yes. Look, I think it comes back down to -- you got to take a lens of jurisdictions that you're comfortable with. And clearly, there's a bunch of South American countries that have been producing these polymetallic and will be very important around expansion of those assets. That's something certainly we're in the flow of them, we're considering. And we have investments in South America, just nothing significantly producing. So I think you just really do have to step back and get comfortable with jurisdictions. I can tell you from at least the Osisko perspective, we are not going to be making investments, polymetallic assets in places like Russia or China or Venezuela, but you do -- you have to test those assumptions at sometimes, too. But we want to, as I said, all comes down to risk management, and we're deploying shareholders' capital as long as we have a risk management framework in place around jurisdiction, security, asset quality management that all basically the calculus is end of the fold. But hopefully, that answers the question.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#57

Bill, what do you think? You try to get into electrification this past year in 2023. It didn't really work out too well. You try to get into Brazil. So maybe elaborate on that? Or you can talk about other just more in general as well.

William Heissenbuttel

executive
#58

Well, I would agree with Jason. I mean we are open to new jurisdictions within reason. Chasing cobalt in the DRC is not something we're going to do, chasing nickel in Indonesia. I don't really know Indonesia that well, probably not something we're going to do. Brazil, we're very comfortable with. So I don't think we're going to -- we would pursue energy transition metals and just throw political risk to the side and say, this is so important, we'll overlook that risk because right now, as we all know, political risk is huge.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#59

Nolan?

Nolan Watson

attendee
#60

Yes. Clearly, there's a list a whole list, and it's a very long list of countries that you just don't go into under any circumstances in any investment size. I think it's funny when we sit in our corporate development meetings, we have some corporate development person say, "Oh, we found a good opportunity in Russia". I'm like, okay, well, then you're the guy who's enforcing it when they decided not to pay. I'm sending you personally. So there's a whole host of countries we just won't go into. Outside of that, I think 1 of the most important things to evaluate is a 2-step process. One is, how big is it relative to the size of your company? And does it add risk to how people will view you as a company? And if the answer is yes to that, then it's probably not a good decision for our company. But then the second layer is in this investment, how experienced is the operator of the mining company in this jurisdiction, because there are some jurisdictions where it's okay to operate if you know how to operate there, and you've been doing it for a long period of time you're experienced at it. But if you're a Vancouver-based company trying to build a mine in this new country for the very first time, and you don't know what you're doing and you're probably going to step into a whole bunch of times. That's a risky investment to be making as a streaming and royalty company. So when we're evaluating that, we go, what is the total risk to Sandstorm in terms of percentage in our portfolio? And do these people know what they're doing on the ground and have they done it before?

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#61

Sheldon?

Sheldon Vanderkooy

attendee
#62

Yes. I don't know if I have a lot to add to that. I mean it's really risk on a holistic basis. we will want a little bit more return probably is not a formula, but there's obviously a long list of countries you just aren't going to go to. And then there's other ones where you had to look at the specific context. As Nolan said, that operator, where it is in the country, like different places where there's different provinces, just like different states are different within the United States. And then you just have to be willing also to say, you know what, we're not going to do this. Is this going to be an opportunity, we'll let somebody else potentially take.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#63

Anita?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#64

Just a follow-up on that. What role does diversification for [indiscernible] the last few years you've seen royalty companies [indiscernible] 2 or 3% penalty. So how do you think about the size of production [indiscernible] not just geopolitical but just operation?

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#65

So to repeat the question, diversification within the portfolio. In the past, that's been a key benefit for royalty companies, but we've seen a larger and larger concentration in each portfolio. So how should we look at it? Maybe Sheldon, we will start off with you.

Sheldon Vanderkooy

attendee
#66

Yes. I think 1 of the -- again, partly is what you're comparing it to. So if you're comparing it to an operating company, when I came from an operating company before, diversification seems fantastic. But I think there's benefits as you grow. So right now, our largest asset is Northparkes. It's a little over 20% of our NAV. As we grow, that will come down. I think you're right. We've seen 1 example where a large asset has come under fire. And I think that's kind of gotten everyone focused on that. So it's something we pay attention to, but it's also something that changes over time as you add to the portfolio, it can -- any 1 asset can decrease its concentration.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#67

Bill?

William Heissenbuttel

executive
#68

It's an absolute focus for us. When we do our strategic planning, it's 1 of the things that we set out is we want our portfolio -- TARP1, not to be more than x in our top 5, not to be less than less than that. And we have suffered at times from having a concentration. Milligan or Thompson Creek had debt issues, Milligan had water issues. And when your top asset has issues, you're going to have issues. So to me, it's probably one of the first things I always think about and one of the goals we set out is to try to reduce any concentration we have.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#69

Nolan, what percentage is too big, you think?

Nolan Watson

attendee
#70

Yes. I mean right now, we're fortunately in a position where no 1 asset is more than 12% of our company's NAV. I had this conversation yesterday with 1 of our Corp Dev guys who was looking at an acquisition where it would be 20% of our NAV and we just kind of went no, thanks. We've been there. I don't want to go there again. And so we're -- I think all 4 of these companies are in a place today that we weren't 10 years ago that we've got enough maturity and diversity in our portfolios, we don't need to go there again. And so diversification is important.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#71

Jason?

Jason Attew

attendee
#72

Maybe I'll just take the contrary view and I think it really would depend on investment, for example, if we could get another Malartic, which is 25% of our concentration, again, in a great jurisdiction, Canada, operated by the best operator in the planet. We would double down on that, for sure, 100%. I think the philosophy that Bill, in particular shared is the philosophy because we're not going to find it in the Malartic, we understand that. But if that opportunity came along for sure, we have that concentration and debate it. But I think the other side of the equation is when you're actually doing big chunky transactions like that, you also have to look at the burden from the operating company's perspective, especially if commodities do roll over, if you stress the assets so much that the operator is going to have a lot of trouble as a going concern. But it is an important consideration as we think about, again, the diversification and concentration of all our assets in our portfolio.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#73

Yes, as a plug, we'll have the other companies, royalty companies presenting this afternoon, and I'll ask the same question. Maybe 1 last question, expanding this on this a little bit. ESG, ESG continues to be a key topic for the industry, maybe not as hot as last year, but certainly still very important. Bill, maybe we'll start off with you. I know this is especially important to you. How do you think about ESG and your approach to ESG given your role as a passive investor in the mining space?

William Heissenbuttel

executive
#74

So we're a little unique. We're a U.S. company with primarily a U.S. investor. I can go a full day of on back-to-back one-on-ones and not get 1 ESG question. That's just where our investors are. Now we have some in Europe, and that's all they want to talk about. And so I take the approach up. If you want to talk about it, I'm ready to talk about it. But if you don't, I'm not going to afford -- I'm not going to start asking you about it. My only issue with ESG is, and I think Jason said it best, we're risk managers. ESG is an acronym that covers a subset of risks. They're important risks. But if you were to sit there and ask us just about ESG, and you didn't ask us about commodity price. You didn't ask us about technical risk in the portfolio. You didn't ask us about competition, liquidity, leverage. Those are the things that I kind of think about. And so what we're trying to do is sort of take a total risk approach, knowing that certain risks are covered by ESG, and we have to be ready to talk about those if that's where investors want to go. And I'll just -- I think if -- for me to rank the 3 letters in the acronym, I always say, G, for governance comes first because if you can't do governance, you can't do either the other 2. S, as a second because that covers human capital and our team and our team is the most important asset that we have. And then E, as always the challenge for us because as you say, Cosmos, we are a passive investor. And I just whenever we're talking to operators, if they have a project that will help them address their emission reduction program, improve water quality, improve relations with community, come talk to us. We'd be happy to support it.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#75

Jason, what do you think? Bill says, which should be GSE. Do you think it should be GSE?

Jason Attew

attendee
#76

Given the context that I laid out in the presentation, we're certainly working on governance because our governance has not been fantastic. There's a bunch of related party transactions that has happened and we're in the process of unwinding it. And that's clearly had an impact on the investment thesis and the investors and the shareholders. So yes, from our perspective, G is absolutely top of mind is something that we're focused on right now to get things -- in order and to get things that we don't have related party transactions and that we can operate as an independent mine finance company. But I will also agree with Bill, social license is incredibly important. We do have, for example, in our company, 1 person that focuses on that or on the sustainability piece. It's not incredibly -- it was very informative, but we're not operator of the assets. We can go down and see what companies are doing, but it really is the reputation of the companies that we partner with. If they don't have a reputation, clearly, we're going to have to do a lot more work on social to make sure that they are doing things the right way to continue to have their license. And lastly, again, I completely agree with the environment. Yes, we can provide subject matter experts. Yes, we can analyze our investments. But at the end of the day, we're not the operators. So it's something that, again, we're relying on our partners to be best-in-class around that.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#77

Nolan 2 votes for GSE. What's your vote?

Nolan Watson

attendee
#78

Well, Sandstorm is currently ranked third in the world for gold mining companies by Sustainalytics for ESG. And I think really where it gets to the heart of that is -- and I think all the royalty companies do this is just maybe we articulate better in the ranking checklist things. But it gets to the heart of what we are as a business, which is it's a bad investment to invest in something that has a lot of social risk or has environmental risk. Our job is to make sure we're only putting our capital in play in situations that have stable social situations and good environmental situations that are going to have permitting problems and are going to have political issues because of environmental things. And so making sure that we basically do our fundamental job of being good investors brings ESG to the forefront.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#79

Sheldon?

Sheldon Vanderkooy

attendee
#80

We have a lot of control before we make the investment, and we take a really rigorous look at the environmental aspects, ESG aspects before we make an investment. And there's certainly investments on this space looked appealing from a risk return that sort of thing, that we decided we just weren't comfortable with some element of the ESG components. And so that's -- but then I think what your question is really getting at is the more that -- after you have the asset, yes, you're not operating it. So you want to be aligned with the right people -- the right management teams, they can change. There is more suasion possible where you can like kind of as you're doing site visits, you have experienced people that see lots of different mines that can make little value-added points. And a lot of times, operators are very receptive. We've also tried to partner with our operators, when we say like, for example, at RBPlat, we fund scholarship programs to send people that live in the near mine community to RBPlat in South Africa. They can go get a university education, and it's full ride because some people can't afford, [ Uni ] gave them free tuition they can't afford to living expenses. And that benefits the local community, that benefits the people and also benefits the mine because they get a pool of labor. That's skilled labor, good jobs. So we try to piggy back off the local operators in places like that as well.

Cosmos Chiu

analyst
#81

Great. That's all the time we have. Thanks again for joining us for the royalty panel. And thank you, Jason, Nolan, Bill and Sheldon.

Jason Attew

attendee
#82

Thanks, Cos.

William Heissenbuttel

executive
#83

Thanks, Cos.

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