RPM International Inc. (RPM) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 10, 2020

New York Stock Exchange US Materials Chemicals conference_presentation 31 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#1

Rusty Gordon, CFO; and Scott Copeland, VP of Financial Planning and Analysis. Before we get started, I'm just going to remind you about the important disclosures that are found on the Morgan Stanley website at morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. We suggest you read those disclosures and ask your Morgan Stanley contact any questions you have about those. We will do Q&A at the end. You can log into the Q&A or send the Q&A and through the web browser or you can e-mail it to me. I'll ask it anonymously. And before we do the fireside chat, Rusty is going to tell you a little bit about some videos that you'll see quickly. And then we'll come back and we'll do the fireside chat. Rusty, over to you.

Russell Gordon

executive
#2

Yes. Thank you, Vincent, and thanks for having us again. Good to see you again. And I'm going to start with a couple of videos that demonstrate 2 different aspects of RPM's business. One is a 2-minute video showing waterproofing on a large bridge job by our Performance Coatings Group and the other one is a new commercial we're running right now from DAP on an innovative way to repair walls. So we can run them now. Thank you. [Presentation]

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#3

Okay. Welcome back. So Rusty, maybe you want to tell us a little bit more about the products we saw on those videos and sort of how they're fitting into the portfolio and where they are and sort of your growth trajectory for them?

Russell Gordon

executive
#4

Sure. Thanks, Vincent. Yes. One product from Universal Sealants protects that bridge you saw in Brunei and that's an example of how our products protect the infrastructure. We have several products used in infrastructure from coatings to admixtures, to waterproofing. And that's a very, as you can imagine, complicated project to execute. We're just -- not just the material supplier, but also the applicator as well. And then the other was DAP, showing the innovation we have in our consumer segment with kind of a disruptive new way of patching walls that need repair. It's a simple solution that we think will expand the uses for patch and repair products, and we just launched it this fall.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#5

Okay. Well, that's great. Those videos were very interesting. Maybe we just can sort of circle back to the guidance you gave for fiscal 2021 and you can kind of walk us through the puts and takes about getting to the high end of the guidance versus the low end of the guidance and what you have in there for COVID risk, maybe particularly in the European market, where we're starting to see some deceleration there?

Russell Gordon

executive
#6

Yes, absolutely. Yes, when we talk about our 4 segments, I'll go from the best scenario to the most challenged scenario. Obviously, the best is in the DIY market as people are spending more time at home, less time on vacation. They're doing more fixer upper jobs, and they're using a lot of our products. We see that continuing. We continue to see good housing turnover. We continue to see people who have experienced our products once who want to try more projects now that they're gaining confidence. So that's an area where we see sales growth in the mid- to upper single digits for the balance of our year -- the last 3 quarters of our fiscal year ended May 31. Our Specialty Products Group, as you probably know, has been a drag on our results in recent quarters, but they're turning the corner now. We expect flat results in Q2, which should turn positive in Q3 and Q4. We've made a lot of management changes there. They've done a lot of restructuring. And I think we're going to start to see the benefits of all that hard work soon. In the last 2 segments, Performance Coatings Group and Construction Products Group, there are some macro challenges namely in our Performance Coatings Group, their big brand for protection of exterior steel is called Carboline, and they do $250 million of business in the energy sector. Parts of that are promising like wind blades we protect with Carboline, but the majority of it is in oil and gas. And maintenance is being deferred right now, as you've probably read in the big oil companies' annual reports. They're cutting capital spending and maintenance spending. So that's going to be a challenge, and we expect down results in Q2 and Q3 before getting back to growth in Q4. And then the last I'll address is our Construction Products Group. That group is tied somewhat to new construction, but most of their emphasis these days is on renovation of buildings. And they as well are expecting negative growth, not to the extent of Performance Coatings, but negative top line growth in Q2, Q3. They're doing a great job on the MAP restructuring. So we might see earnings growth in spite of negative sales in those quarters. And then the fourth quarter, again, like Performance Coatings, we expect that to flip to positive revenue growth.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#7

Okay. But just in the current quarter, so far, trends are playing out as you anticipated, particularly in the DIY side of the equation?

Russell Gordon

executive
#8

Yes. We'll provide that on our next earnings call in January. But as far as the dynamics go in DIY, basically, if people -- our biggest competitor is what people do with their time. And if they have nothing to do like go on vacation, they spend time using our products. So we do see positive factors for elevated demand in that business. We've also struggled just to meet the unprecedented demand. So if you go to retailers, you'll see that, unfortunately, we haven't been able to keep up with it, and you'll see some holes on the shelf. But we are working 24/7. We're investing in new capacity now, and we're trying to catch up. So there will be, Vincent, as the weather turns colder, some catch-up that's necessary just to fill the pipeline again because our inventory and our retailers' inventory has gotten lower than we'd like.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#9

Okay. But you're still very confident even as we get in -- later into your fiscal year where the comparisons start to get very challenging that you're going to still be maintaining sort of a base level of demand commensurate with what we saw during the initial parts of COVID?

Russell Gordon

executive
#10

Yes. That's right. For the consumer segment, I assume you're talking about?

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#11

Yes, exactly.

Russell Gordon

executive
#12

Yes. That's correct. And you're right. The comparisons are tougher in that segment. But in the fourth quarter last year, I think our sales growth was 7%, which for our consumer business is not that extraordinary. They, as you know, grow year in, year out, have been picking up a lot of share over many years. But when we get to the first quarter, of course, we'll be rounding the 34% sales growth. So we'll have to figure out how to top that in the next 8 months or so.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#13

Yes. That's going to be an interesting one. A good problem to have. And maybe you just want to help us understand your -- a lot of focus on do-it-yourself this year for obvious reasons. It's been extremely strong. Maybe talk a little bit about the exposure you have to the pro side of the business?

Russell Gordon

executive
#14

On the consumer segment?

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#15

Yes. Or just in general with housing and renovation and so forth. Yes.

Russell Gordon

executive
#16

Sure. Absolutely. That's another bullet in our holster for later on when DIY demand might start to level out. There's a whole customer base for Zinsser and DAP products that our contractors -- that's probably half their business, mostly paint contractors. But for DAP, plumbing contractors, drywall contractors, other miscellaneous people who have not been allowed into people's homes because of fears of outsiders and strangers coming in, bringing the virus. So that part of our business may actually pick up later as the vaccine becomes available and people start letting contractors in. So that could be a potential upside for our consumer business later on.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#17

And then you're not starting to see that already though yet as the sort of construction restrictions declined as we exited 2Q into 3Q. Did you start to see a pickup in that part of the business?

Russell Gordon

executive
#18

Yes. I would say that we have seen a slight pickup. It does appear that people are learning to live with the pandemic a little better. So we have seen that certainly pickup from April and May when it was really restricted.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#19

And could you just sort of help size that opportunity set versus sort of DIY? Just so as we see the DIY begin to hit those tough comps, presumably your -- pro side of your business is hitting some easy comps. And will those 2 things be able to offset each other? Or is the DIY so much bigger than the pro that it still be a headwind, but the pro can help moderate the headwind?

Russell Gordon

executive
#20

Yes. It will help moderate that. DIY right now is, I'm sure, over 80% of our consumer segment, probably in normal times at 70%, 75%. So it is a smaller piece, but yes, it would help mitigate any downturn in DIY. We don't see it. I mean, we see great housing turnover, low interest rates. A lot of positives for people moving in new houses, getting rid of old houses, a lot of redecorating associated with that. And like we've said, there's people who have become more confident with our products because they've had a successful experience over the last few months on DIY projects.

Scott Copeland

executive
#21

Okay. And Vincent, I would add just in the consumer business, we do have an emerging platform in cleaners, which is really a conglomeration of acquisitions we've made over the last 4 or 5 years, and that's getting to be a fairly chunky platform. And obviously, with the world in which we're living, the sales of those products has skyrocketed, and I think that's more of a structural change. I think people's behaviors in terms of cleanliness, I assume, are going to be altered permanently.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#22

And do those cleaners have segment-average margins? Are they a richer mix or...

Scott Copeland

executive
#23

On the whole, richer.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#24

Okay. And how has -- obviously, when pandemic hit, the DIY went crazy. I guess things have been coming off the shelves. But what do you -- what plans you have in place to kind of keep the consumer engaged with your products at retailer? Is there more innovation coming in? Is there promotion coming in? Anything you're doing with the big boxes to maintain price points or to get even price up, so to speak. Particularly because we've gone through sort of a declining raw material environment, but the industry seems to have done a very good job of holding price and expanding margins. So just wondering when that retailer is going to start sticking their hand out and looking for folks on your side of the table to either give something back or to do something to help continue to bring people in the store?

Russell Gordon

executive
#25

Sure. Yes, that's a constant battle. I mean, regardless of the material cycle, we face that all the time constantly. And really, what we do about it is we rely on 2 things. First is category management, which allows us to really partner with our retailers to optimize their profit per square foot of shelf space. And the second thing we do is we're very innovative, and we have a lot of new products besides the Eclipse product you saw. We also have introduced Rust-Oleum HOME for floors. So you could take old tired-looking Formica or tile floors and recoat them to give them a fresh new contemporary look. That's an innovative product. We're also expanding into wall paint with some tests right now. We have one at Walmart. And then we also got chain-wide distribution in the exact match wall paint at Menards with the Zinsser product. Is there anything else you want to mention on consumer?

Scott Copeland

executive
#26

No. It's just continually building the brand and building the innovation such that price becomes sort of a secondary ask.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#27

Can you talk a bit more about that Walmart initiative and exactly what it is? Is that the grab and go?

Russell Gordon

executive
#28

Exactly. Yes. We've had that for a few years in [indiscernible], which is a big mass merchandiser in the Upper Midwest. We had, [indiscernible], a select group of colors, no need for a tinting, which can be a challenge in some of these stores to get qualified people to tint and match paint. Same issue at Walmart. Tinting is a bit challenging for some of the store help. So we have a grab-and-go program, roughly 20 colors. Studio Color, Sure Color are the 2 brand names. And that's going well. And hopefully, we can add more stores soon.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#29

Okay. So that's a test within Walmart. So you're not...

Russell Gordon

executive
#30

Yes. Yes, that's right. And we're also testing some of our other construction products at retail. We have one with Tremco Roofing and Home Depot going on now. And then in Menards, which is another great customer of ours, we have our Tremco Vulkem polyurethane sealants sold there that just started in the spring. So there's a lot of new stuff going on.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#31

And you mentioned a few minutes ago just that you're having trouble keeping up from a production perspective and you're adding some capacity. So maybe this is a good transition to -- the MAP to Growth work that you've been doing, where I think you've closed 23 of 31 plants. I assume there's no overlap between the plants you closed and needing to add capacity. Is that a fair statement?

Scott Copeland

executive
#32

Yes. I think that's right. That's right. I think really, it's a -- it's trying to utilize all of our footprint to meet this demand. So whether it's using other sister companies, paint production to help Rust-Oleum, in particular, try and meet this unprecedented demand of -- I mean, you saw 34% growth in Q1. No one's sitting with 30% or 40% excess capacity just waiting for the phone to ring. So it's really kind of trying to utilize the full footprint as well as looking at outside tollers to try and keep up.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#33

And then how much you have to -- I mean, is -- the spend on this new capacity, is that just sort of within your typical capital expenditures or are we going to see a little bit of a bump up in CapEx spend?

Russell Gordon

executive
#34

Yes. Our CapEx will be close to last year's level, Vincent. So we're probably around $140 million or so. So not too unusual. We also are expanding by adding a roofing plant for our liquid-applied coatings, which is really our fastest-growing product at RPM. So that's in our budget, too. There's been a lot of things, as you can imagine, with MAP and new ERP systems, plant closing. So there's a lot going on, but in line with last year's CapEx.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#35

I think the general sort of discussion of MAP on the call -- on the quarter -- recent quarterly call was sort of middle innings-ish. It seemed like there was constant learning going on, figuring out more things that you can actually do. And I feel like that's been building over the last couple of quarters and maybe the discussion on this quarter was the most robust it's been about that, that this will continue and that it's going to continue and it's going to be meaningful. Is that a fair approximation of what you're trying to get across the investment community?

Russell Gordon

executive
#36

Yes. The momentum is definitely increasing, and the year-over-year savings have gone up. In the last -- first quarter, we said we got over $30 million. That was in the 20s last year. The organization has embraced this. And now in terms of the later stages, the final innings, we're really focused on a lot of the ERP consolidations right now. And once we get those done, it's going to allow us to really harness information that used to reside in a number of different business units across RPM and bring it together into centralized databases. And that information is going to help us in procurement, make better real time decisions, logistics, distribution, we're going to start to address that. And then in terms of managing our sales force for better effectiveness, competing and winning on more projects, that information will help us as well. So we've really built the foundation for analytics and decision support tools that we're starting to roll out.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#37

So you think you'll wind up having more real-time views, sort of control tower like view of what the sales folks are doing when they're out pitching business or renegotiating with the customer. You can kind of rein them in, in real-time versus right now? Or they just sort of out with a budget, and they have a little bit -- maybe a little bit more discretion than they'll have in the future?

Scott Copeland

executive
#38

Yes. I would say it's giving them guardrails to an extent, but it's also giving them better tools to go price and quote and try and win business. So it's really -- it's both. There's a little more control, but this is not really about control. It's about empowering the sales force to make the most informed decision, which, in some cases, it's not as informed as it should be.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#39

Right. Because now everyone will have better information.

Scott Copeland

executive
#40

Exactly.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#41

And a more clear picture of all different sizes of the equation. Okay. I get that. And so it sounds like the ERP systems are coming together. The analytics is very early stage, and you're just kind of maybe about to turn some of those modules on over the next couple of quarters. Is that fair?

Russell Gordon

executive
#42

Yes, absolutely. And then the other thing I failed to mention was that, really, our accounting consolidation has been waiting for the ERPs to get done. And as we discussed on our Investor Day 2 years ago, we used to close the books in over 100 locations each month at RPM, and we've consolidated about 30 of those sites. But once we get the ERPs implemented, I think we can make a lot more progress.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#43

Okay. And maybe if we could talk about sort of the M&A environment that you're seeing. There's been a lot of conversation from all the different companies that you interact with as competitors or adjacent folks, everyone seems to be focused on M&A. You just did a recent acquisition, Ali, that maybe you want to highlight? And then just sort of give us a broader sense of what you see out there on the radar screen in terms of what we could be learning about in the future, obviously, not specifically, but just size, shape, what type of end markets and so forth?

Scott Copeland

executive
#44

Sure. So Ali Industries, we closed in September, a fairly decent-sized transaction for us in the abrasive space. It's really a play to allow our Consumer Group to be more of a consumer-facing kind of offering. So this is intended to be a kind of solution-driven thing where you're solving a project for a consumer. So now they can sand the wall, they can spackle it, they can paint it, they can prime it, et cetera. And then in terms of the broader M&A market, I think the activity -- consistent with a lot of the other coatings peers, the activity has gone up a lot in the most -- last kind of 2 months. It's sort of hard to say how much of that activity was prompted by what was potentially perceived to be a significant change in capital gains or other taxes, at least domestically. But again, a lot of activity over the last 2 months, I guess, we'll wait and see how -- with now sort of a defined path in government, what that means, whether some of those transactions get pulled or what.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#45

Okay. And maybe just to transition to the balance sheet, I guess, in 2 ways. One, the most recent quarter really showed a very strong cash flow generation and getting the working capital under control. So maybe talk about the initiatives that you've put in place to kind of rein in that working capital? How sustainable -- maybe this was an extraordinary quarter, but you're still going to do better than you've done in the past in the future. But how should we be thinking about what it is that you've done and what should we expect going forward?

Scott Copeland

executive
#46

Sure. Sure. So I think as part of the MAP to Growth program on the procurement side, a big initiative within that was to work on payables. And I think we are pretty far down the path on improving payable terms. In terms of inventory, so let's say, payables is in the late innings. I would tell you, inventory is in the very early innings. I think some of the inventory improvement that you saw in Q1 is just based on what we talked about earlier, which is demand in consumer of 34% sales growth with production that just can't keep up. So some of that, we're going to need to build back, at least in the interim, because it's really not a structural kind of reduction. As we finish these ERPs and kind of finalize the footprint in terms of what we're dealing in manufacturing footprint, I think you will start to see a structural improvement in inventory that will probably land just similar to where we're at in Q1. It's just -- I think Q1 is sort of not sustainable versus once we've got the processes in place, it will be sustainable.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#47

Okay. And then the other thing we've been asking everyone to talk about today is sort of their ESG guidelines and initiatives that they want to highlight to the investment community?

Russell Gordon

executive
#48

Sure. Yes, thanks for asking. We just published in August our first ever ESG report, Vincent. And it really communicates what we've been doing at RPM. We have a really good message there. A lot of our products extend the life of structures rather than seeing them go in a landfill. And a lot of our products prevent energy loss from buildings. So we have a good message, and we used GRI to conduct the materiality assessment in our report. And as we look forward toward the future -- for future reports, I think we'll start to determine what our objectives are for ESG in terms of which metrics we're going to start to focus on and work on improving. So that's where we are. We're in the early stages, but we do have a report on our website. Thank you.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#49

Okay. And I have some questions from the studio audience, if you will. One is around, if we do ultimately see an infrastructure bill pass, and I know we probably asked this question 4 years ago.

Russell Gordon

executive
#50

Yes. It's hard to.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#51

Yes, exactly. But 4 years later, if we [indiscernible], what would that mean for RPM, where in particular would the business benefit from and how meaningful it could be?

Russell Gordon

executive
#52

Yes. I remember Donald Trump talking about his properties being tippy-toppy, and our infrastructure should be the same. But yes, we have a lot of products for infrastructure. We supply Carboline coatings for bridges. We supply concrete admixtures used for roadways for hydroelectric dams. We have a lot of waterproofing products that protect concrete from Tremco. So infrastructure means a lot to RPM. I would estimate it could be, for our end-market exposure, well over 10% of consolidated sales. So any pickup in infrastructure spending definitely would help us. Is there anything you want to add to infrastructure?

Scott Copeland

executive
#53

Yes. I think it definitely would help us. I think the one thing to think about is, they always say shovel's ready. Shovel's ready doesn't really mean tomorrow. That means, I think, 9 months down the road. Yes, it would certainly benefit, again, 9 months down the road, I think.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#54

Okay. Well, that's -- we're done with the Q&A then. So I will thank Rusty and Scott for your time today. We really appreciate it. And with that, we'll wrap the session.

Russell Gordon

executive
#55

Great. Thank you, Vincent.

Scott Copeland

executive
#56

Thank you.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#57

Thank you. Good to see you both.

Russell Gordon

executive
#58

Take care.

Scott Copeland

executive
#59

Yes.

Vincent Andrews

analyst
#60

See you.

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