S H Kelkar and Company Limited (SHK) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

August 9, 2021

National Stock Exchange of India IN Materials Chemicals earnings 65 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to S H Kelkar and Company Limited's Q1 FY '20 2 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Anoop Poojari from CDR India. Thank you, and over to you, Mr. Poojari.

Anoop Poojari

attendee
#2

Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us on SH Kelkar and Company Limited's Q1 Fiscal Year 2022 Earnings Conference Call. We have with us Mr. Kedar Vaze, Whole-Time Director and group CEO; Mr. Shrikant Mate, EVP and Group CFO; and Mr. Rohit Saraogi, EVP and Group CFO designate of the company. We will begin the call with opening remarks from the management, following which we'll have the forum open for a question-and-answer session. Before we start, I would like to point out that some statements made in today's call may be forward-looking in nature, and a disclaimer to this effect has been included in the earnings presentation shared with you earlier. I would now like to invite Kedar to make his opening remarks.

Kedar Vaze

executive
#3

Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us on our quarter 1 FY '22 earnings call to discuss the operating and financial performance for the quarter. I trust that you and your families are safe. In this quarter, we have reported a resilient performance during this quarter despite a challenging macroeconomic and environment due to pandemic-induced lockdowns and restrictions. While we saw broader operating constraints during the period, our client engagements and wins across the FMCG space remained stable. On the international business front, we are happy to share that CFF and Nova both delivered a healthy performance on the back of improving demand and volume uptake in the European markets. On a consolidated basis, our revenue from operations stood at INR 354.9 crores. The performance includes consolidation of CFF and Nova in quarter 1 and not comparable year-on-year. On a year-on-year comparable basis, revenues grew by 44.4%. This was on account of lower base in the corresponding year last year -- corresponding quarter last year. During the quarter, we continued to witness cost pressures on account of inflation in raw materials, and especially cost in logistics and supply chain. Accordingly, we have undertaken suitable price hikes. This, is in combination with our prudent inventory management practices, enabled us to report stable gross margins, 42.2%. On the EBITDA front, lower revenues moderated EBITDA performance. In addition, our other expenses the quarter was higher as it included onetime deferment of R&D CWIP, amounting to INR 12.9 crores on account of accounting policy change. This change was mandated due to more and more exchange of IP usage between India and Italy operations. Without this adjustment, EBITDA margin stood at 16.1% and PAT stood at 27 crores. On the tax front, I'm happy to share that we have a favorable update on the tax appeal in the matter of our wholly owned subsidiary Keva Fragrances. Recently the Income Tax Appellate Tribunal, ITAT, as per its recent order, set aside the order of the commissioner of income tax and has directed the assessing officer to allow amortization of goodwill as an eligible expenditure. The tribunal has also quashed the department appeal on the other 2 issues favoring by the CIT earlier. Consequently, we have reversed the additional tax provision aggregating to INR 64.5 crores for the period between FY '17 to FY '21. So our reported PAT this quarter has come in at INR 81.4 crores. Excluding this onetime reversal and effect of expense deferment, the adjusted PAT stood at INR 16.9 crores. From a consolidated balance sheet perspective, our net debt position was comfortable at INR 386 crores, with a net debt to equity at 0.4x. The payment for acquisition of Nova in April 2021 of approximately INR 25 crores led to a slight increase in debt of INR 6 crores as compared to March 31st position. As communicated earlier, in FY '22, we have no major CapEx plans on hand and the focus remains on generating healthy free cash flows, which will enable us to further strengthen our balance sheet position. Coming to some key business updates, as we all know the unprecedented rains in Maharashtra in July caused severe flooding in certain areas. Unfortunately, our unit in Mahad was severely affected due to these incessant rains and floods. It resulted in flooding in our plant and major outage in our facility and region. As per our assessment, the factory operations at Mahad are likely to remain suspended until end September. However, we are undertaking all necessary steps to resume operations at the earliest, and also have recently completed the survey with the insurance team. The overall insurance cover being sufficient, it would have no long-term effects to our financials. We are implementing our business continuity plans and plan additional volumes in the China plant. As a responsible corporate citizen, our company has also allocated INR 75 lakhs from its CSR budget to local NGOs and government organizations for carrying out flood release work in the affected region of Mahad. The health and safety of our employees and communities is a key focus area for us. As part of our employee welfare initiatives, we partnered with Apollo Hospital and other local hospitals for vaccination drives for protection against COVID-19 for our employees and employees' families. I'm pleased to share that over 87% of employees have been -- received the first dose and around 22% of the employee base is fully inoculated. In addition, we have extended the vaccination drive for families and secondary manpower in the region. I would now like to cover some developments on the management team side. Mr. Shrikant Mate, Executive Vice President and Group CFO, will be superannuating on September 30, 2021. Shrikant has been with us for over a decade and held various leadership roles at SHK. He was also actively involved in driving our company's IPO and acquisitions, and has been an integral contributor to the growth of SH Chemicals. On behalf of the Keva family, I would like to thank Shrikant for his contributions and wish him the best in his retirement. We have recently appointed Mr. Rohit Saraogi, as Executive Vice President and group CFO designate of the company. Rohit is a chartered accountant and brings with him around 2 decades of finance domain and leadership experience. In the past, he has been associated with large and reputed companies in the FMCG space. We would like to welcome him on board. In the next couple of months, Rohit will work closely with Shrikant to ensure a smooth transition and will formally take charge as Group CFO with effect from 15th November 2021. To conclude, as we look ahead from the demand standpoint, we are currently witnessing steady wins and inquiries across customers in domestic and international markets. While there are concerns with regard to the macro environment, given the uncertainties relating to the pandemic, internally, we have several promising growth initiatives in place. We are confident that our strategic growth levers, along with our robust business model, should enable us to report healthy performance going forward. On that note, I would request the moderator to open the forum for any questions or suggestions that you may have.

Operator

operator
#4

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Payal Lad from Progressive Share Brokers.

Payal Lad

analyst
#5

I hope everything is safe at your end. Then I have just a couple of questions that needs clarification. Firstly, I would want to know how do you see the traction in the Ayush space of late and going forward? And secondly, in terms of what kind of opportunities or market strategies you foresee in the savory market, like some kind of CapEx, which you are looking at? And one last question in terms of the company having witnessed Amazon and Flipkart orders in the [ natural ] flavor segment, like these were more on this side, was it on the contracts we are there, which is right and how big are these orders, if you could quantify on the sale?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#6

Yes, thank you. I think the overall macroeconomic situation is quite okay. Particularly on the flavors you have asked on the savory. We continue to invest in our developments on the savory market. It's a very large market, as you can imagine, in India. But we are focused on very small part of that, which are the top niches. We have internal CapEx to continue to grow this market without too much new capacity or new investments. On the Ayush front as well, we are seeing continuous robust growth, and it's a small segment for us, where we expect an active business. We'll see a good traction in the coming years as this has become a very big area of focus for the consumer trends. Both of these areas of savory flavor, as well as natural and natural extracts are areas where we are continuing to do our developments and we continue to grow. But they will remain small segments for the few years to come.

Payal Lad

analyst
#7

Okay. And sir, you mentioned about internal CapEx in the [ B&P ] segment. So like if you could quantify what range would be?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#8

So the CapExes for these activities would be in the 2 crores, 3 crores range. They are not significant. We already have the large building and CapExes for all the utilities, land building in place. The extra capacity would be more in terms of bigger sizing of equipment and would not be in the magnitude more than 2 crores, 3 crores.

Payal Lad

analyst
#9

Okay. And with regards to the [ organic ] orders, like there as you mentioned in the AR that you are receiving monthly orders in the space, in the flavor segment. So like how good is that number?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#10

So again, flavors is seeing robust growth in the organic business. We have had another year this year when we lost the part of summer season in India because of the pandemic, a lot of the ice cream and beverage flavor sales was deferred, particularly in the month of May and June. All of these sales are very seasonal with the very big peaks in the summer season. So we don't anticipate that the rest of the year will catch up the sale for what is lost. However, our track for the remaining 3 quarters remains intact. Export growth continues to be robust. So I don't foresee any big change in the flavor market. We continue to grow and we should do 15% plus growth year-on-year.

Payal Lad

analyst
#11

Okay. Okay. And if I could just squeeze in one more question about this -- with regards to the reversed -- provision reversal which has happened in this quarter pertaining to [ 64 crores ] in terms of [indiscernible]. What exactly is that? Was this part disallowed earlier? And then how big is [indiscernible]?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#12

So the tax provision, it was taken in the past and the tax ruling had come in the favor of the company. So we have now reversed that provision.

Operator

operator
#13

The next question is from the line of Bharat Sheth from Quest Investment.

Bharat Sheth

analyst
#14

On the flavor business, you have given a Y-o-Y growth of 15% which is a little ahead. I mean what earlier we were looking is at 10% to 12%, that is great. And how do we see the profitability once, I mean, the growth really starts kicking in? So what are the operating leverage do we have in the flavor business?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#15

So I think flavor business, we have always maintained the 15% plus growth. There is good profitability margin around 46%, 47%, and it's slowing down to a profitability of 10% plus in the pipeline. It's a steady state business continuing to grow. There is no surprises on the flavor side at all. The environment remains normal. Demand is robust. Then we would continue to grow that business very aggressively. Having said that on the overall fragrance business as well, we have good number of wins, good number of FMCG companies that have approved our products. And so the overall growth in the long term or near term remains very much intact. For the overall margins, this quarter, we have clocked around 16% EBITDA, and in a normal quarter, we should be upwards of 18% to 19% EBITDA level.

Bharat Sheth

analyst
#16

Okay. So whatever business that we lost in Q1, those Q1 number include also last previous year's CFF number and so this growth -- top line growth is not really reflected. So if one has to look at, I mean, normalized growth...

Kedar Vaze

executive
#17

Yes, so we have 44% growth year-on-year versus last year, which is the underlying like-for-like business. I think we are probably a 25 crore, 30 crore business momentum loss in the first quarter owing to the pandemic. But we foresee that this will restore some time in this quarter or next quarter.

Bharat Sheth

analyst
#18

Okay. So overall growth of around 15% for fragrance business on a normalized basis, is that possible? Or plus little higher growth? Because the kind of...

Kedar Vaze

executive
#19

Yes. No, the share like-for-like has been -- last year, like-for-like 15%, we are still confident to achieve.

Bharat Sheth

analyst
#20

Okay. And coming to this write-off, see in last 4 years on R&D expenses, we have capitalized almost 200 crores. And in last 2 years, we have written off 36 crores and now in this quarter 12 crore. So how much, I mean, this kind of one-off will really continue rather -- despite there is a normal depreciation of intangible that we provide? If you can give some...

Kedar Vaze

executive
#21

This 36 crore is for the -- let me talk. 36 crore is not related to R&D accounting impairment of the plant in the Netherlands, it is part of...

Bharat Sheth

analyst
#22

That is -- but apart from that 36 crores, there is a difference. In '20 and '21 annual report, R&D, I mean, expenses written of apart from depreciation is 36 crore.

Kedar Vaze

executive
#23

There is -- yes, I understand. What I'm trying to say is that these R&D expenses written off is -- it's basically -- you have the expenses, which are running a project for 1 year or more, it declines. And then the expenses to that in normal situation, about 20% of the projects we will win. 80% of the projects we are we are not winning. This is just a normal part of the business. The reason for doing the amortization is the large projects are running over 2, 3 years, and this policy was in place. Unfortunately, because of the last 2 years of this pandemic and the uncertainty, the wins, while we have won the business, the business launches have not happened in the same manner that was normal case before. Plus, we have now our IP and formulations being used in Italy and it is getting -- so that is why we have changed the policy to expense out the entire R&D. And this INR 12.9 crore is not actually a write-off for a new cost, it is just expense deferment.

Bharat Sheth

analyst
#24

Sir, do we continue -- expect to continue same amount kind of a thing in remaining...

Kedar Vaze

executive
#25

No, so we have changed the policy. We have changed the policy that we will expense the R&D expense instead of capitalizing it. Going forward, we will not see any capitalization and write-off, it will directly be expensed in the quarter.

Bharat Sheth

analyst
#26

So in that -- that becomes then the normal EBITDA, it will be much lower than what we are guiding. Or that the EBITDA margin that we are guiding is...

Kedar Vaze

executive
#27

No, there is no impact on the EBITDA because it was already a steady state. We had write-offs and we had expense deferment in almost the same quantum. So there was no real change in the quarter-on-quarter expense. By changing to the new policy, it will just be straight expense. There will be no change or effect on the overall EBITDA opportunity.

Bharat Sheth

analyst
#28

So my question is now this 13 crore, what we have written off in Q1, so same amount will continue for 9 remaining 4 -- 3 quarters and in future also?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#29

So we are not capitalizing any more the R&D. We are expensing it. So every quarter, we will expense the quantum that is spent in that quarter, and that will have no effect on the EBITDA because in reality, we have some write-offs from the previous CWIP, and we have some expenses getting CapEx in CWIP. So this is a steady state, there will be no difference on account of the change in policy.

Bharat Sheth

analyst
#30

Okay. So -- and can you, I mean, give more color on the new win and how do we expect it to ramp up? And second, on the [ biosphonic] opportunity. And third, this new win, whether any multinational FMCG is there or not.

Kedar Vaze

executive
#31

So new win, as of now, we don't have any multinational MNC, I would say, as of now. We are negotiating as always, and hopefully, we will track something this year. The point on the new wins, I think there is a lot of new wins in the last year and even early part of this year, which have not yet launched. So we have a very robust pipeline, with all the big companies in India as well as overseas. And we see this as a phase where, because of the pandemic or various reasons, the launches were delayed. But the products are approved, everything is in place. And at the time when things become more normal for the FMCG business, we see a very big growth spurt coming in.

Bharat Sheth

analyst
#32

Okay. Last question, see, Q-o-Q also we have seen a good amount of seen in the staff cost. So is this a normalized run rate? Or we have hired more people? Or how really one should look at it?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#33

So Q-on-Q, the -cost increases this quarter has been largely on the Italian front, with the conversion rate and the new company in Nova coming into the fold. The baseline cost in India, the existing business has not changed much. We will see the effect of salary increases which are our normal yearly increment in the July quarter. So in the first quarter, there was no increase. Second quarter onwards in place, but normal cycle. There will be an increase in employee cost, but it won't be very significant.

Bharat Sheth

analyst
#34

Okay. And how do we look at -- I mean, gross margin and raw material availability as well as the pricing scenario?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#35

So raw material availability is still a difficult scenario. We have maintained good inventory and good planning. We have also put out price increases to the plans. And we expect that we will be able to manage our gross margins in the 42%-43% range. There maybe 1 quarter some effect of Mahad plant closure, but eventually, on a longer term, we will be in the 43% gross margin range.

Operator

operator
#36

The next question is from the line of [ Sumit Nagal ] from Alba Investments. The next question is from the line of Deepak Poddar from Sapphire Capital Partners.

Deepak Poddar

analyst
#37

Sir, I just wanted to understand, you mentioned about the raw material availability remain a difficult scenario. So how do you see that impacting your EBITDA margin going forward?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#38

No. So I think we have had some effect in the flavors in the last quarter and in the fragrances, to some extent, in this quarter on our margin. But we don't see any big effect on the margins or EBITDA, and we will be able to pass on some of these costs to the clients. And get the -- maintain our margins and EBITDA percentage.

Deepak Poddar

analyst
#39

So this year, our target has been in the range of 19% to 20% EBITDA margin. So that remains intact?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#40

That's correct.

Operator

operator
#41

The next question is from the line of Rohit Ohri from Progressive Shares.

Rohit Ohri

analyst
#42

This question is from the annual report. The annual report is saying that you're looking at ambitious target of around USD 1 billion, which is from the global business by the end of the decade. So this translates into around 18% to 22% growth rate. So how do you intend to achieve this? Are you looking at some more acquisitions? Or are you looking at some joint ventures that might come in future?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#43

No. So the overall CAGR growth, we will be able to do with the organic of 12% to 15% and the balance with an inorganic acquisition strategy.

Rohit Ohri

analyst
#44

Okay. In your opening remarks, you mentioned that there are some strategic growth initiatives that you're looking at. If you can just take us through that?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#45

So we have certain sort of active molecules that we call health and active, Ayurvedic extract and things like this, which we have alluded last time. So these are all initiatives for the longer term. These are -- this will drive growth on a very big one term, although it is in the nascent stage as of now.

Rohit Ohri

analyst
#46

Sir, my last question is the promoter group has created a pledge. And can you just take us through that, the reason for that if you would like to share?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#47

So we have created the pledge just as like OB line for any emergencies. There are obviously family members within the promoters who are at various stages of their life. So there are expected expenses towards buying house, towards other education and other expenses. So we are keeping this as a pledge to keep a line available for any kind of family expenses.

Rohit Ohri

analyst
#48

Sir, by when do you think you can [ reverse ] this? Any time line that you have in mind, maybe 1 year, 1.5 year, 2 years?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#49

No, we don't have any time line for this reversion. Normally, we have every year sufficient dividend payout trends that takes care of all the family expenses. This year, during the pandemic has been [ long ] and we may be in a situation which -- with uncertainty, it is difficult to estimate what would have been or what would be the dividend payout. And it was just an action to make sure that we have some liquidity in the family. I am -- personally, I'm also traveling in the European continent at the moment. And given the pandemic and uncertainty, this was the fastest way to draw the line and we have taken it. There are no immediate plans of reversing it anytime soon. But at the same time, the amount which is drawn against these place is less than 5 crores. So it's not a big amount. Only thing is we would like to keep the pledge as an emergency source of funding.

Operator

operator
#50

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Nikhil from SiMPL.

Nikhil Upadhyay

analyst
#51

Kedar, just to put it correctly, on the provision side, so if you look at our balance sheet, on the intangible asset under development, there was a closing balance of 13 crores. So this write-off of INR 12.9 crores, which we have taken, is we've completely removed the intangible assets from the balance sheet. Would that be the right...

Kedar Vaze

executive
#52

That's right.

Nikhil Upadhyay

analyst
#53

Okay. And margin impact you are seeing is not there because we were taking a write-off of 11 crores in the P&L every year, which was the R&D projects, which get subsumed in the R&D expenses.

Kedar Vaze

executive
#54

That's right.

Nikhil Upadhyay

analyst
#55

Okay.

Kedar Vaze

executive
#56

It was almost say 12 crores of capitalization and 12 crore of expense from CWIP was the trend for the last 1.5 years because of the pandemic. So we decided we just go to a simple expenses model, especially since the utilization of this IP in Europe, in Italy and operations also is there. It becomes difficult to quantify the revenue versus the capitalization. So we decided to abandon this capitalization and go to a 100% expense model.

Nikhil Upadhyay

analyst
#57

Okay, okay, okay. So just one clarity. So these R&D projects you mentioned are projects we run with the clients. And because these -- either the win rate is not happening or the product, it does not get launched, we have to take a write-off. So is the timeline of these projects generally less than 1 year, 6 months, that kind of? And are these projects only specific to clients? Because I -- my understanding was that we develop products, which can be sold across clients. So just if you can help me understand this part.

Kedar Vaze

executive
#58

So the CWIP policy was specific to client and specific for new molecule IP. The specific client projects actually, last year with the pandemic, there were delays in the launch, so we had to write off quite a lot of projects. Again, this year, with the pandemic situation, we decided that it's better to just move to a simple policy of expensing out. The IP, CWIP of the IP on the molecules is now started to be used also in Italy. And then the question we anticipate from the various tax authorities and how much is used in India, how much is used outside India and so forth for the amortization. So we will just expense it and make it simple from the policy point of view.

Nikhil Upadhyay

analyst
#59

Okay, okay. Second question is you mentioned in the start of the call that we have started taking price increases. And I think I would congratulate you because even with the way the cost increases have been, sequentially, gross margin have remained stable. The price increases we are taking are they only covering the RM increases? Or because their increase is also on the freight side and other line items, so does it increase most of the cost element or only the RM increase?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#60

So it's not only the RM increase, but we are trying to offset as much as possible the overall cost increases, like you mentioned freight, other expenses due to COVID and internally from kind of distancing we have some operational inefficiencies on the way we are operating because of the COVID situation. So all of that, we are taking into account when we pass on the cost. I don't think that the cost will cover everything in universally, but we are, at least being -- because on the client side also, it's situation of uncertainty and slower growth environment or perception. So we are taking the middle part, and we are trying to maximize what price increase we can do.

Nikhil Upadhyay

analyst
#61

Okay. And last question. On the CFF, when we had acquired what I understand that CFF had a good and very strong fine fragrance customer base, are you able to leverage out with the sales market in Middle East or Southeast Asia or India? Are we getting any success? Or if you can just help me on the business development. And secondly, there was this molecule, which we had in-licensed last quarter, which we were the sole seller. So any updates on those projects? How are they improving or going about?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#62

So I think Southeast Asia, we are working on the development. There are good connections with the client. But at the moment, Southeast Asia is also in the epicenter of the pandemic. There is more and more difficult situation, particularly in Indonesia and some other countries. So we have seen that it's not anywhere near normal at the moment. So there the projects in terms of approved products and so on and so forth are not getting launched. We will wait until these things normalize. So I think in the regions we are operating, Southeast Asia at the moment is the region which is most affected by the pandemic, whereas the Middle East, India and European regions have now come out of or towards the -- outlook is improving. Southeast Asia, the outlook is still in the negative phase of the pandemic. And we continue to work with our center and there is good reaction with the clients. But the overall expectation for us for the product launches particularly, it's not going to happen at least in the coming quarter.

Operator

operator
#63

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from [indiscernible], an individual investor.

Unknown Shareholder

shareholder
#64

So as we know that last quarter it was challenging on the collection front. So the receivable days has deteriorated. But even if we look from the last decade, it has [ increased ] from 70 to 80 days still now hovering around 100. So if you can give like color or clarity how we can see the receivable days in the near future. Because for most of the other FMCG suppliers, it's around 60 days. So is it too aspirational to think that if we can move to that direction?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#65

No. I think if you look at the domestic versus export, it is actually domestic very close to the 60 days mark. When we go to the export, we have about 120 days of normal kind of -- many clients in the 120-day payment cycles. So collections of 100 is actually a blended average between domestic and export. So when we look at it and you see the kind of average going up, it's not that the collections intensity has been lesser than what it was in the past. It is actually more a reflection that more amount of our sales is in exports.

Unknown Shareholder

shareholder
#66

Okay. So can we reduce the receivable days for the exports? Or is it the industry trend?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#67

Actually, particularly in the Middle East and other countries where there is competition from the European suppliers, they are quite okay to give long lead long payment terms because there is almost 0 interest rates in their countries. With that competition, we are needing to have a higher payment cycle than what is in the domestic market.

Unknown Shareholder

shareholder
#68

Okay. And then my next question is regarding the inventory turnover. So our inventory is quite large. So around 45% of sales of around -- currently, we're holding 500 this year. So are there any opportunity or are we having any strategy and plan to reduce the intensity of the -- by prudent -- we know that we have prudent inventory management. Still if we can rope in top consulting firms and leverage the better trends, which are happening over large decade, like data science, artificial intelligence, to bringing more efficiency into the inventory management. So are there any thoughts around this? Or any plans currently in pipeline?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#69

So we have a team of analytical and, I'd like to say, artificial intelligence working on this problem at the moment. And I think the combination of growing the sales with the same level of inventory and reducing the inventory for these measures we are taking. It's clearly an area of improvement that we will plan out. So I don't see, given our business model with the large number of SKUs and small customers and variation in the raw material availability and pricing, I don't foresee a big change kind of a big step change. But incrementally 2%, 3%, 4%, we will drive every year.

Unknown Shareholder

shareholder
#70

Okay, that's good. And then my last question is regarding the CFF acquisition. So it has been done in Italy, where it's an aging population and the interest growth is around 1% to 2%. Then how from CFF is growing, which you have alluded, around 10%. So is it because of some great products or from new launches? And how such level is the growth rate? Or will we be having -- we need to make a low growth in the near future as these current growth subsides?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#71

So I think the -- when you look at the economy growth versus consumer behavior, overall economic growth seems to be smaller digit, 1%, 2%. The consumer spending per capita in fragrance and FMCG is quite high in these markets compared to a market like India. And normally, what happens is that the GDP is only taking -- looking at the total number. And when you look at the premium product versus or what they call niche products, there are many products which are big brands and then there are many smaller brands. So in a low growth and in a more difficult economic growth situation, actually, the smaller brands are growing faster than the big global brands. So we have seen that, and that's why the growth is higher in this company.

Unknown Shareholder

shareholder
#72

Okay. So did we get any opportunity to cross-sell the CFF product portfolio into the Indian market to different clients, which has helped us in wins? Has that happened? Or...

Kedar Vaze

executive
#73

No, it is happening. I think the current scenario, it is difficult to interact. There is not much travel happening, so not much integration. We are letting the teams work on their own market and client. Many of the labs, both in Italy earlier and in India, we had to work with 25% or 50% people in the lab. So we've not really started this cross-selling opportunities at this moment. But the product range we have, obviously, ability to look at it and start the cross-selling when things are more normal.

Operator

operator
#74

The next question is Rohan Gupta from Edelweiss.

Rohan Gupta

analyst
#75

Sir, a couple of questions on my side. So one is the clarification which you mentioned on EBITDA margin. Despite a very recent margins in the current quarter on a company level, almost [indiscernible] you guided for 18% to 19% margin for full year. Just wanted to understand if the rest of the quarter, you are expecting the margin expansion? Or the full year margin of 18% to 19%, that will also compensate for the loss of the third quarter?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#76

We expect that the future quarters should compensate to the extent of this quarter. Without the one-off adjustment, we are at 16% EBITDA margin, and we will definitely be in a full year basis closer to the 19%, 20%.

Rohan Gupta

analyst
#77

Okay. So again, this 16% margin will be compensated. So for full year, we are confident around 19% to 20% margin?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#78

That's right.

Rohan Gupta

analyst
#79

Okay. That's helpful.

Kedar Vaze

executive
#80

[indiscernible] are in place. We hope that the second half of the year will be a normal year in India, particularly, and that should see us doing strong growth in this quarter.

Rohan Gupta

analyst
#81

But sir, we are still living in a pandemic environment, as you actually mentioned that the Southeast market timing more effect of pandemic and that is the epicenter now. And the second, the raw material prices continues to remain volatile. So uncertainty is not over, but you are still dependent or confident that second half of the year will see a significant improvement in revenue, not only on the revenues but also in margins. That's what -- I just wanted...

Kedar Vaze

executive
#82

What gives us a good cadence is also what has happened last year, so we had the same situation, an even much worse situation in the first quarter, and then the markets and business has rebounded in the rest of the year. I anticipate a very similar year this year.

Rohan Gupta

analyst
#83

Okay. Sir, second question is on your comment on CFF and Nova performance. So a couple of questions there. So you're seeing Nova performance -- still talked about some kind of contract manufacturing revenue of roughly INR 23 crores for the current quarter. While the EBITDA performance of the gross profit from contract manufacturing business is [ actually nearer to -- close to the 2.6 crore ], that is the margin of close to [ company ], maybe 11%. Just one, if you can clarify more what is the contract manufacturing businesses and to whom we are doing this and how the growth opportunities are there, and what kind of margins are you looking for in the business?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#84

So the contract manufacturing is basically 2 large global FMCG companies. We provide fragrance by manufacturing on contract business. This is largely a capacity filling exercise and it has a low gross margin of about 10%. But it is a large volume kind of takes care of the operational costs.

Rohan Gupta

analyst
#85

Okay. So it's only a production to fill the capacity, as long as you are having idle capacity we will do that. But otherwise, the moment that retail sales or your own distribution sales to start going up, the contract manufacturing revenues will come down, right?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#86

That's right. So if you look at the historical context, the contract manufacturing was something like EUR 14 million, and our own business in CFF was something EUR 5 billion. Now we have reached excess of EUR 16 million for our own business and contract manufacturing still remains around EUR 15 million. So it's expected that this portfolio, we will start to utilize more and more for our own customers and reduce the contract manufacturing over the next 4, 5 years.

Rohan Gupta

analyst
#87

Sir, another question on what we expect within this year. Just wanted to understand how do you see that the post-pandemic era has changed the business profile of Kelkar or for other companies. In terms of global companies are looking for the kind of [ strategy ] that 1 second, the FMCG business model has changed a lot, people are looking more at the contract manufacturing and outsourcing, where probably we fit into that business, so -- and also like the acquisition-led opportunities for our company. So how do you see that the post-pandemic era has helped SH Kelkar, the business profile of the company has changed? Do you see that over the next 2 to 3 years, where there's a significant amount of business or growth opportunities are going to flow for our company?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#88

So I think the pandemic era, as you call it, post-pandemic, there are clearly consumer behavior changes. So there is a new type of brands, the e-commerce brands and some of the niche brands that either very bulk sale volume impacts with value for money proposition or [ temper your shelf ] position with very good fragrances and very high premium products. So this trend is coming in globally. I think part of it is also in India where people are willing to spend that extra money on e-commerce or luxury product. So this is the trend. Pandemic has only made, I would hastened the trend. So there is nothing which is completely new. We were tracking these trends in behavior and in consumer expectations. And the pandemic, if anything, has only made it faster, which is beneficial for us in terms of the overall growth. We are more and more kind of focused on the regional and local brands and specifically branch tailored to the niche. So we benefit from this in the long-term growth. In the short term, seen actually, even prior to the pandemic, at the time of the GST demonetization, we have already seen some of the smaller plants degrow. So we have not additional effect on that due the pandemic. But yes, the smaller clients, which have their products being sold through the normal [indiscernible] in the local trade, they have seen less footfall, less people and less normal business. So their business has been lower. But that is actually an effect which is already factored in our base for last year or for this year. So I think we will continue to grow. And the pandemic, if anything, has accelerated the growth towards our client or and our potential client.

Rohan Gupta

analyst
#89

And sir, over immediate -- over the medium term?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#90

Definitely very important in terms of the European companies that we have taken in Italy. We see that a huge amount of traction on the regional brands and Italian local brands and niche high-end products, which is helping us continue to grow even during the pandemic.

Rohan Gupta

analyst
#91

And sir, over the medium term, do you see that the growth for the company will be more driven by the acquisitions? You already have a very healthy balance sheet right now, so there is a potential to [ use the ] balance sheet and you are already have these contracts where the margin growth is 19%, 20% of our cash flow...

Kedar Vaze

executive
#92

I couldn't hear the last part of the question. But on acquisition, there is a clear strategy to acquire and put strategic bolt-on companies within, which can help the group to grow faster. Our [indiscernible] any acquisition is not to grow through the acquisition. Acquisition, which itself does not grow or is not [ growth thing ] or not really be keen to doing something. But our acquisition strategy, we are looking to add geography or customer base or growing customers, which we expect that in the future will continue to grow at a double-digit CAGR.

Rohan Gupta

analyst
#93

So the only way to look at acquisition will be -- or only reason to look at acquisition will be mainly to get -- for the customer acquisition, right?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#94

So customer geography, if there is some technology-specific thing, we can look at it. Primarily, it is strategic objective, which will not be too much technical, let's say, switching the overall strategy, we will not do any acquisition.

Operator

operator
#95

The next question is from the line of [ Dikshit Mittal ] from [ LIC Mutual Fund ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#96

My question is on this disruption in Mahad. So you mentioned that the plant will remain closed for the most part of this quarter. So will that have any impact on our maybe full year or this quarter's number? Or do you have enough inventories to take care of that?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#97

So we have -- there will be obviously some effect on the supply because of the closure of the plant. We have enough inventories to manage the current contracts. We may be unable to take some new sales orders in this period for 1 or 2 months. but we will try to compensate this in the remaining 6 -- or remaining 2 quarters of the year using also additional capacity from China. So there will be effect of either some loss of revenue or some loss in gross margin since we will have to buy at a higher cost from our Chinese plant and then sell to the old contracts. So there may be some cost in terms of gross margin erosion or revenue [ erosion on that ]. It depends on how the market activates. As of now, we don't foresee a very large impact on the full year basis. This quarter, obviously, there will be impact, but on a full year basis, we don't see any major impact as we can recover some of the lost volume in the next quarter.

Operator

operator
#98

The next question is from the line of Nikhil Upadhyay from Securities Investment Management.

Nikhil Upadhyay

analyst
#99

Just one question. You mentioned in the earlier statement the amount of loss of sales, which we had to bear because of the lockdown in 1Q. So if you can just help me with the number. Or if you have not shared, what would be the approximate you think the business loss we would have because of lockdown?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#100

I think INR 40-odd crore is a -- INR 40 crore is ballpark number of lost due to lockdown.

Operator

operator
#101

The next question is from the line of Vedansh Agarwal from Premium Brokers Limited.

Vedansh Agarwal

analyst
#102

Sir, I just wanted to ask if you can put the number to the revenue impact because of Mahad unit.

Kedar Vaze

executive
#103

I think the revenue impact may not be more than 4 crores, 5 crores. What we really need to look at is the gross margin impact since we will have to import from China and there will be many additional costs. But the overall revenue impact will not be more than 4 crores, 5 crores for this quarter in terms of Mahad stoppage. Our [indiscernible] business is, call it, 100 crores, so 25 crores is the expected revenue from this operation in this quarter. I think from 4 crores, 5 crores will be the loss, the balance will get compensated with the [indiscernible] other locations. We think there are no other surprises in Mahad subsequently, I think we will be quite okay.

Vedansh Agarwal

analyst
#104

Sir, [indiscernible] so is it impacting our exports? Is it expected to impact exports in the coming quarters?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#105

In this quarter, there will be some effect, I think, but not significant. In the overall, we are covered in our BCP with stock locations elsewhere and finished good stocks in various parts of the world. If we are up and running in, say, second week of September and we start the production, I think there may not be too much loss in the overall yield. We will be down to almost nil stock in the buffer in the [ Vapi ] warehouses, and we will need to build that up with our China additional capacity.

Operator

operator
#106

Next question is from the line of Naushad Chaudhary from Systematix Group.

Naushad Chaudhary

analyst
#107

Just a clarification on some balance sheet part. If I look at on our balance sheet, we were around 60 to 70 days of overall inventory plus around 20 to 25 days of the finished inventory, which keeps our working capital cycle a little elevated. So I was just wondering if there is a scope for improvement in these 2 parts, especially on the raw material inventory side? And has there been any change in the last 3, 4 years in terms of availability of these raw material in -- especially in the [indiscernible] market. Can you touch upon these 2 points?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#108

Yes. So if you see the availability issue and to go back a little bit in the industry, we have brought down the inventory levels and we have had a couple of quarters where we thought it would be major -- force majeure in the past. I don't see that there is a very big scope of reducing the overall inventory from 60 days downward on the raw material side. And our objective is to continue to increase the sales on the same inventory. So while the inventory absolute number it is what remains, we will increase our turnover related to the same absolute number since we can then replenish faster model. But our holding of current inventory, I think we will manage or we will need to maintain somewhat this level of magnitude of inventory. And then we will continue to increase our sales. So [ we have said ] today the optimization is what we will do, but we do not have with a change in the policy.

Naushad Chaudhary

analyst
#109

Okay. And the primary reason for this elevated raw material inventory is because of the unavailability and seasonality in some of the key raw materials. Is that the reason? Or is there something else, like business is required to have this...

Kedar Vaze

executive
#110

Yes, there is a seasonality, one part, the other part is in our business model. We are trying to manage the cost and selling price. So there is a gap of between 3 to 4 months of any increase in raw material side or any specific increase, we would like to pass it on to our customers with sufficient time. So we don't end up with unexposed inventory shock for us like we have suffered in the past.

Naushad Chaudhary

analyst
#111

Okay. So we try to balance the gap between the contract price revision or versus the inventory purchased?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#112

So we try to sell the next 6 months of sales, basically with inventory on hand and through contracts and supplies in hand. So that there is no sudden change in the margins or sudden change in the expectations from the client side. We need sufficient time to negotiate any price increases with the client.

Naushad Chaudhary

analyst
#113

Okay. And in terms of our receivables, there is a slight switch in last 2, 3 years. There's a slight [ switch ] on receivable side also. So is there any differences in terms of credit given to the clients in domestic market versus export market, because in the same period, the export revenue has gone up? I was just wondering, is that the reason which is stretching our [ reserve ]?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#114

The export market is 120 days on average collection or average pricing. And in domestic market, it's around 60 days. So anything between 60 and 120 days is normal depending on [ products ].

Naushad Chaudhary

analyst
#115

Okay. So for 120 days, do we enjoy better margin versus domestic? And if you can quantify what percentage of that we get by giving this much [ upgrade ]?

Kedar Vaze

executive
#116

See, this won't imply a better margin or worse margin, but the credit is in U.S. dollar terms normally. So effectively, we get some -- in a normal year, some depreciation equivalent. So we have a hedging and we get some amount of hedging cost benefit from -- in a normal site.

Operator

operator
#117

Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, I now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.

Kedar Vaze

executive
#118

Thank you. I hope we have been able to answer your questions satisfactorily. Should you need any further clarifications or would like to know more about the company, please feel free to contact our team or CDR India. Thank you once again for taking the time to join us on this call.

Operator

operator
#119

Thank you very much. On behalf of SH Kelkar and Company Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.

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