S.P. Apparels Limited (SPAL) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 4, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorGood evening, ladies and gentlemen. I am Pavitra, moderator for the conference call. Welcome to S.P. Apparels Limited 1Q FY '21 Post Results Conference Call hosted by Batlivala & Karani Securities Private Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note this conference is recorded. I would now like to hand over the floor to Ms. Prerna Jhunjhunwala. Thank you, and over to you, ma'am.
Prerna Jhunjhunwala
analystThank you, Pavitra. Good evening, everyone. On behalf of B&K Securities, I would like to welcome you all to 1Q FY '21 Post Results Conference Call of S.P. Apparels Limited. From the company, we have with us the senior management, including Mr. P. Sundararajan, Chairman and Managing Director; Mrs. P. Jeeva, CEO, Garment Division; and Mr. V. Balaji, CFO of the company. I would now like to hand over the call to Mr. P. Sundararajan for the initial comments. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveThank you. Good evening. Thanks to one and all for participating in the call. COVID-19 has disrupted all the countries, industries, economies and the people across all parts of life. Weathering this disruption has been challenge, and we have successfully faced these challenges. Q1 has been a quarter with disruptions due to COVID-19, generally, and now we will review Q1 FY '21 performance of each division separately. Regarding Garment division, with respect to customers, our customers have been able to grow better after the impact of COVID lockdown. This is purely due to our niche segment. They have also started consolidating their supply base further, and we are one among the preferred factories during -- in the consolidation. After the COVID lockdown release, all customers are projecting 20% to 30% increase in the future orders, which is mainly due to diversion of orders from China and consolidation of supply base. We have already added 1 new customer from U.K., and 2 customers are in the pipeline, who are from U.S., which will be done during this quarter, Q2. Customers' order book has been regularized for an uninterrupted revenue post lockdown, and our current order book status is at INR 224.45 crore, delivery spread up to January 2021. With regard to operations, with the permission of the local authorities, the company has resumed its plant operations from 11th of May 2020 onwards over different dates for different factories. As of today, all the factories are operating at around 60% capacity due to social distancing norms imposed by the government authorities. Small portion of migrant workforce moved back to their hometown during May and June 2020. We are witnessing the migrants to return back, and we are expecting more migrants to return once the transportation is regularized back to the work. We are planning aggressively to maximizing the workforce, to optimize the capacity utilization. Now our new factories have been approved by customers for commercial production. With regard to forward contracts and cancelation and the currency impact, revenue fell by 75% during this quarter due to pandemic and all contracts taken during this time needs to be canceled or needs to be shifted to foreign currency loan. Hence, we foresee an impact of foreign currency movement during our Q2 also. Reduction in operating expenses, as we mentioned during the last results con call, the company has announced reduction of working days to the extent of 30% to all staff and above employees, including the senior management until September 20th -- September 2020. Small rented factories have been consolidated with big factories, which will reduce the operating overheads and will improve the supply chain management. Company has consolidated on workmen transportation, and this will reduce the transportation costs by 30%. Our strategy, going forward, a robust comprehensive business continuity plan as a response to disruption due to COVID-19, its focus on customer engagement, continuous cost reduction, calibrated expansion plan, business strategy realignment, employee productivity and efficient utilization of IT-enabled systems. Although our aggressive plans for continuous growth year-on-year, considerably effective from Q1 FY '21. Unfortunately, it is getting pushed by 2 quarters due to this pandemic. However, our plans are ready, and you will see consistent and considerable growth every year in revenues as well as margins from Q3 FY '21 onwards. Q1 FY '21 financial performance of Garment division. Garment division adjusted revenue stood at INR 49 crores, which de-grew by 74.4% year-on-year basis. And adjusted EBITDA stood at 15.6% for this quarter. The margins compared year-on-year increased by 260 bps. Major reasons for reduction in revenue are due to the current COVID-19 issue. First 45 days of the year was the complete closure of operations. This was the major reason for drop in the revenue. Garment division capacities. Our current capacity is 5,100 sewing machines, and we are currently utilizing 3,000 sewing machines, which is at 60% level. We have consolidated small rented factories, and we are expecting the utilization to be better going forward. During the Q3 FY '20, we had utilization level of 3,100 machines, and it improved during the month of February, where we reached around 3,400. During the quarter 4 FY '20, our working days were only 60 days. We are expecting this utilization to move more than 4,000 levels by end of March '21. In our last con call, the installed capacity was informed as 5,500 instead of 5,100, which may be taken note of. Q1 FY '21 Retail division financial performance. The total revenue for this quarter stood at INR 2.15 crores as against sale of INR 20.7 crores year-on-year. This decrease is mainly due to the COVID crisis. EBITDA loss was at INR 70 lakhs, which is minus 32.7% as against 0.6% year-on-year. Q1 FY '21 SPUK. The financial performances, revenue of SPUK for quarter ended was at GBP 0.95 million as against last year performance of GBP 1.46 million revenue. SPUK de-grew by 31.6% mainly due to the pandemic crisis. SPUK margins were negative mainly due to the currency fluctuations. The overall outlook. We are witnessing significant traction in the order book, and we have aggressive plans to bring more customers from U.S., and we are also planning for an increase in capacity utilization going forward. Under the current crisis, the company has been able to ride through this process only because of the strong fundamentals. These are opportunities opening due to anti-China sentiments, which we are already having some queries. I would like to close this speech, and thank you for listening. And over to CFO.
V. Balaji
executiveGood evening, everybody. I would like to update you on the performance of the company in terms of numbers. We have achieved INR 59 crores of revenue on a stand-alone basis -- sorry, on a consolidated basis as against a revenue of INR 225 crores year-on-year. And our EBITDA stood at INR 6 crores, 70 lakhs as against EBITDA of INR 25 crores year-on-year, which is a drop by 73.8 percentage. This is mainly due to the pandemic crisis where the revenue could not come first 2 months. Our PBT stood at INR 5.8 crores negative as against INR 10.9 crores year-on-year. Our Garment division revenue stood at INR 49 crores as against INR 191 crores year-on-year, which fell by 74.4 percentage. Our SPUK revenues stood at INR 8.61 crores as against INR 12.58 crores of last year, which is a decrease in INR 31.6 crores -- 31.6 percentage. Our Retail division revenue stood at INR 2.15 crores as against INR 20 crores of revenue last year, mainly due to the closure of all stores during this pandemic time. And our Garment Export division's EBITDA margin improved by 260 points -- basic (sic) [ basis ] points during this quarter, even though our absolute value came down. SPUK had a negative EBITDA margin due to currency fluctuations. And our current debt as on June 30 is, gross debt is INR 184 crores, and the cash is INR 15 crores. And net debt is INR 169 crores. We have a stock of INR 234 crores from the book, a receivable of INR 89 crores and a payable of INR 80 crores as on 30 June 2020. Rest of the data is available in the presentation. And we can go into the question-and-answer section.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] We have the first question from Resham Jain from DSP Mutual Funds.
Resham Jain
analystGood management on the cost side during this difficult quarter. And so my question is on this overall upbeat commentary on the demand side. You have also mentioned the same in your presentation in terms of order book. So last year, what we have seen is the second half, the revenue run rate itself was lower pre-COVID as well. So now going into, let's say, in the next 2, 3 quarters, let's say, quarter 4, by which we can see some normalization, what kind of run rate one should estimate? Obviously, I understand scenario is still uncertain. But just based on your judgment, what do you see the revenue run rate moving by the quarter 4 of this year?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveIt should be, definitely, when compared to last year Q4, it will be definitely above that -- above the Q4 '20 and we expect staying at par with the Q4 '19.
Resham Jain
analystSorry, sir, I couldn't hear the last statement.
V. Balaji
executiveResham, see, today, we are looking at a capacity utilization of 60%, which is 3,000 machines. So by -- in the initial remarks, Mr. Sundararajan spoke about reaching 4,000 sewing machines by March. So that itself will improve the effectiveness by 20 percentage. So the resulting will be the sales revenue.
Resham Jain
analystOkay. And at 4,000, what kind of revenue run rate you can reach on a quarterly basis?
V. Balaji
executiveOn a quarterly basis, at 4,000 sewing machines, it should be close to INR 200 crores of revenue from exports alone.
Resham Jain
analystOkay. That's encouraging. And sir, my second question is on the SPUK business. Typically, what we have seen is that it's, purely, in a way, a trading business. And we haven't seen any material or major -- like the run rate has been quite stable since last couple of years in this business. So how do you want to take this business going forward? Do you see any synergy or any benefit coming from this business overall, other than, obviously, it has been profitable, but last 2, 3 quarters, in the trading business itself, we have seen some minor impact?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes, see, this is -- basically the business model is a great business model, which means we -- as I mentioned to you, this is taking care of the customers, who want the full-service like designs and sourcing, quality control, compliances, which they will not be able to manage. So this is the kind of service we do. And this office has got a set of factories under them. So business model is very good, and the customers are extremely happy. The existing customers' business is growing year-on-year. What we have not done is that we have not increased the customer base because we wanted this to -- because it's a brand new business. So it needed about a few years to stabilize and to go to the next level. So in the meantime, last year, we had a little bit of disturbances and now the COVID has come. So post lockdown, now we have added 2 more customers for this SPUK business. And we expect that our budget, the business budget, closing FY '21, is much more than what we used to be before. And our plans are reach -- by FY '22 to cross GBP 10 million, that's our plan. And I'm sure we will be able to do it because we have increased the customer base. And we don't see -- so far, we have not faced any difficulty with regard to the operations or payments or anything.
Resham Jain
analystUnderstood, right. And sir, my last question is on the overall operations side in terms of -- you mentioned about a lot of cost reduction programs, which you have initiated. Should we see some of those benefits flowing through in the next few quarters? Or this is just like a temporary thing? And what can be the impact on the margins because of this?
V. Balaji
executiveSo like in terms of the cost reduction, which we have done, [ that you're seeing ], like, because we are only utilizing the capacity to an extent of 60%. So since there is a reduction in utilization levels, we have requested all the staff and above people to reduce -- I mean, cut their number of working days. So that is where the 30% is. And from October onwards, when we had to come up again, let's say, 80 percentage or 85 percentage of utilization, this has to come up. But in terms of what it's going to get contributed on the margins, we feel that the margin of 18 percentage what we have guided for should we looked at, including, the cost reduction.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] We have next question from the line of Deepesh Agarwal from UTI.
Deepesh Agarwal
analystCongratulations for managing tough time well. Sir, in your opening remarks, you mentioned that you have actually got 2 new customer, one from the U.K. on the Garment division side. Can you throw some insight how large this customer could become and by when you expect a meaningful volume for this customer to start coming in?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveSo this customer is basically characters' licensed importers, I would say. So because normally, the licensed manufacturer or importer, they will be mostly importers only because they cannot have the manufacturing. Nor we can handle the customers directly because it needs a lot of input with regard to Disneys or other brands or other licensee's characters. So they do all the designs, and they work closely with the licensors. And then they hold the stock and deliver to the brands as and when immediately required. Say, for example, if some movies are released, say, in Disney character, any movie is coming up, so immediately, they will have the stock ready and deliver it within 2 to 3 days' time. That's the kind of a business model. So what advantage we are going to get from them is that even during the recession time, we will be able to produce and keep the stocks because we are the stockist and deliver locally. So this is a big advantage. And normally, for the licensee products, the margins are much better than the regular one. And their volumes are also big because they are dealing with all big retailers in the U.K. And also, they have connections with the U.S. at a later stage, so that will also give us an opening to the U.S. markets for the characters business.
Deepesh Agarwal
analystOkay. And the other customer is from U.S.?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes. You asked about U.K. Then U.S., already the work is going, and all the costing exercise are done. And they are happy and they have now -- the design inputs are being given to them. The price negotiations are going on. Hopefully, from Q1 2022, we'll be able to start the business with them. Two customers are there. I mean they are again retail brands.
Deepesh Agarwal
analystOkay. For both of them, we expect from Q1 of FY '22 the dispatch to start, right?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes. The U.S. customers.
Deepesh Agarwal
analystAnd U.K. one?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveAlready started. The shipment is -- sales is going next week.
Deepesh Agarwal
analystOkay. Okay. And sir, in terms of Retail division, any decision now, what is the road map for Retail division?
V. Balaji
executiveSo Deepesh, we are looking at the strategy. We can discuss the strategies only when the LFS are all opened up and see how we consolidate on the retail part and work on it. So currently, only stores like stand-alone stores are opened up. And we may be in a position to give you a complete strategy going forward, only when the entire lockdown is released, and the malls and the LFS are all opened up.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveBut one good news is that Reliance has taken over Future Group. So Future Group is one of our big business partners, where in the last few months, we got stuck, the movement of stocks and the payments got stuck. So now since the Reliance has taken over, we've got a formal message from Future Group, Kishore Biyani, as well as from Reliance that all the supplies will continue. The payments will be released. So there will not be any disturbance in the ongoing businesses. So we are now -- we are feeling we are in safer hands.
Deepesh Agarwal
analystOkay, okay. What would be the fixed cost run rate of the Retail division?
V. Balaji
executiveSo fixed cost, see, if you look at a fixed cost on a full complete running basis, we may be close to INR 1 crore, INR 1.25 crores a month. But what happens is that when the stores are all closed, we don't pay them rents because the stores are not allowed to go open up. So now you cannot look at the fixed cost. And moreover, we have requested all our employees to work from home, and they have all taken haircuts wherever it is possible.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveThe expenses are 50% cut now.
V. Balaji
executiveThe expenses are like every employee is taking a 50% haircut.
Deepesh Agarwal
analystOkay, sir. Okay. And lastly, we don't plan to add more capacities this year on the Garment side. We are now 5,100 machines, and we wouldn't be adding new machines this year, right?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveIt's like this, there will not be any new projects for the next 2 years. And we have -- we will maximize the capacity within the existing setup by increasing the utilization. So probably, we will reach up to 80%, 85% of the existing capacity over a period of, say, 1 year. By -- next year, by now, we should be able to go close to 5,000 machines.
Deepesh Agarwal
analystSo at 5,100 machine, you expect to utilize 5,000 machines next year, which would actually be 90...
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveClose to say 4,800 by end of March '22. We will be able to reach up to that. Then we will be thinking of expanding by new projects.
V. Balaji
executiveDeepesh, we are also looking at exploring the opportunity of getting into a second shift, maybe in 1 or 2 factories, where there is opportunities.
Operator
operatorWe have next question from Divya Jain from ICICI Mutual Fund.
Divya Jain;ICICI Prudential AMC Ltd;Analyst
analystSir, my question is more regarding there was -- when you are saying that there is increased demand from the customers, so is this because of the field and the child, the category in which we serve or because of the fabric? I just wanted to understand what are the incremental orders, which you are getting from this customer.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveAs I mentioned to you that we are expecting another, about 20% to 30%, increase from the existing level of the whole year business, so we are expecting 20% to 30% from the existing customer.
Divya Jain;ICICI Prudential AMC Ltd;Analyst
analystNo. Sir, I am just trying to understand, which category? Is this in the child wear itself? Or it's more of because of specific fabric or so what category of...
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveNo, no, no. Same -- similar thing. Same kind of products, but the business was coming for, number one, they need -- the selling is -- so the trading is very good. So they want -- they increased the number of pieces per order. Volumes per order, they want to increase. And also due to consolidation, we are getting others businesses to us in the same category, same segment, not different fabrics or not different, say, men's or ladies. Only within this, in the same products.
Divya Jain;ICICI Prudential AMC Ltd;Analyst
analystOkay. And sir, if you could just help on the, previously, we had discussed that we are getting into the pajamas and the basic commodity, sort of, those nature of apparels also. So how are we progressing on that front?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveCan you say it again?
Divya Jain;ICICI Prudential AMC Ltd;Analyst
analystSir, you had indicated previously that we are getting into a different line of business like the basic pajamas, which, I think, KVR or few people do. So any progress on that front? Or it's still the child wear?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes, yes. That is also the -- yes, you can go ahead.
P. Jeeva
executiveYes. Actually, we started doing that pajama also. That is also going at a good volume. Comparatively, when compared to last year, the basic pajama and other basic product volume has picked up now. So as per -- based on your question, we are increasing in PJ -- pajama volume.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveAlso.
Divya Jain;ICICI Prudential AMC Ltd;Analyst
analystOkay, okay. And which other categories is possible along the pajamas. So is that the T-shirts are also possible along?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes. The T-shirts and the essentials, that is, body stores, sleep stores and the fashion T-shirts and pajamas. These are the categories and accessories like bib, booties, hats, all these. So across all -- across the board, the volume is increasing.
Divya Jain;ICICI Prudential AMC Ltd;Analyst
analystAnd sir, your guidance for 4,800 machines, or sewing machines, takes care of these orders also, right? I mean it's a blended one for all of them.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes, right. Yes for...
V. Balaji
executiveDivya, I'd like to reiterate that it was the -- it is not a guidance, but it is our...
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveOur plan.
V. Balaji
executiveOur plan to go to 4,800 machines by end of February '22. That is what we said -- sorry, March '22.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveMarch '22.
Operator
operatorNext, we have a question from [ Zaki Nasser from Nasser Investments ].
Unknown Analyst
analystYes. Sir, Mr. Sundararajan mentioned you will be using 4,800 machines at the end of the last quarter of March '22. 4,800 machines would, maybe, turn out to be a turnover of around INR 260 crores to INR 270 crores, roughly. So that was...
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveSo that was per quarter.
Unknown Analyst
analystPer quarter, yes. So that was INR 255 crores is what we did in September '19. So do you think that the growth what the company was planning is mostly postponed by a year or so, sir? My next question, sir...
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveNo, no. Mr. Nasser, the INR 240 crores, INR 247 crores of revenue, which was done in Q2 FY '20 is a consolidated number. And INR 250 crores is the Garment division turnover alone. So there is a differentiation. So see, like, INR 47 crores, if you look, at INR 20 crores of Retail revenue and INR 10 crores of the SPUK. So it is also a part of it. So what we are looking at is when we do a 4,800 sewing machines, INR 250 crores of exports alone can happen along with the duty drawback and the other incentives could be close to INR 270 crores. And if you can add up S.P. Retail division and SPUK, which could be the additional number.
Unknown Analyst
analystAround INR 300 crores, that will mean?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes, close to INR 300 crores.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, what are the incentives available from the Government of India now, sir, because of things like MEIS and all were scrapped. So have you got anything, which replaces those schemes? Or -- I mean, it's the pricing you have to adjust it in the pricing for now?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveCurrently, we have a duty drawback of 2.1 percentage and RoSCTL of 4.75 percentage. So that is what the existing is. From April onwards, the RoSCTL is not being released because government is looking at a new duty drawback structure and the RO, rebate on duties and taxes structure, which could be released by end of this month, which could be given retrospective from 1st of April onwards.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. So there's some type of getting from retrospective effect.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes. Yes, correct.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd sir, you said that the net debt is INR 169 crores. So would it -- have you calculated this by adjusting the cash and cash equivalents also, sir? Because we had, I think INR 46 crores.
V. Balaji
executiveOur net debt is INR 169 crores, INR 15 crores is my cash availability, net is INR 168 crores. So if you look at the balance sheet, which is being released on 31st March, you will find 40 -- INR 35 crores of 116 adjustment because of duty obligation -- sorry, lease obligation, which is sitting part of my debt. So without my lease obligation, my net debt is INR 168 crores.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay, sir. And sir, looking forward, see, first quarter was like totally tough for everyone. Second quarter, things have slightly stabilized. So do you think the third and the fourth quarter could see a close to normal 85% kind of run rate for the company, sir?
P. Jeeva
executiveYes. That is what we are expecting. And hopefully, we are planning to do that.
Operator
operatorWe have next question from Vikas Jain from Equirus Securities.
Vikas Jain
analystSir, my first question is about the -- we had a business -- seen a sharp gross margin expansion. Anything to read about into this? Or it is just because the revenues are down and -- so anything to interpret from that, sir?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYou're talking about the gross margins?
Vikas Jain
analystYes, sir.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveSee gross margins is now at 23 percentage. It's purely because the Retail contribution has come down.
Vikas Jain
analystCorrect.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveSo like INR 20 crores, Retail has come down to INR 2 crores. Always Retail's COGS is supposed to be at 60%, 65%. On consolidation, you look at -- when you look at the -- on consolidating the Retail and the U.K., you look at a higher margin. The contribution from Retail is low. So that's why you are finding the percentage margin on a low basis.
Vikas Jain
analystAnd sir, you also mentioned about that we have consolidated a few factories by merging smaller ones into bigger ones. So what would be the total count of the factories as of now?
Perumal Sundararajan
executive16 factories.
Vikas Jain
analystWe have 16 factories. And because the consolidation...
V. Balaji
executiveVikas, I would like to say that 16 sewing factories. We have other factory, like, the printing, embroidery, dyeing, spinning, all is different.
Vikas Jain
analystCorrect. Correct. Sir, so what would be the savings -- a permanent savings kind of a number that you would like to give for the savings in terms of rentals for those factories?
V. Balaji
executiveSee rentals, when you talk about rentals, it is going to get consolidated into my depreciation because all the factories, which are getting consolidated into my own factory. So what could give us improvement in the margin is going to improve our supply chain management and the effectiveness of the utilization of labor force will definitely improve the margins.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes. Roughly around INR 1 crore will be the yearly savings on the rentals.
Vikas Jain
analystAnd this you are talking about from a monthly run rate of, say, FY '20, right?
P. Jeeva
executiveYes, yes.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveCorrect.
Vikas Jain
analystAll right, sir. Sir, and you -- in one of the answer, you mentioned that you expect around 20% to 30% incremental business from existing customers. While -- when you say that, it is you are benchmarking from the FY '20 levels or from the current levels?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveNo. This is what I mentioned is the customers are willing to increase the business by another 20% to 30% from existing level. And we have to work on this and from the -- which means from, I would say, pre-lockdown period volume, from there, they want to increase by 20% to 30%, not from current.
Operator
operatorWe have next question from Siddharth Rajpurohit from JHP Securities.
Siddharth Rajpurohit
analystSir, if we compare our revenue as compared to peers, sir, we have seen a sharper fall year-over-year and Q-on-Q in revenue, sir?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveCan you be a little louder?
Siddharth Rajpurohit
analystAm I audible, sir?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes, yes.
Siddharth Rajpurohit
analystSir, if we compare our revenue to peers, sir, so we have seen a sharper fall Q-on-Q and -- both year-on-year and Q-on-Q. So what is the reason, sir?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveThere has been a drop, is only, in the Q4 of last year due to the lockdown, and Q1 again. First 2 months, there is no sale. Literally April and May, there is no sales. So otherwise -- and before to that, as we mentioned, we lost -- 2 customers gone bankrupt, Kmart, Sears and Mothercare. That was the reason. So as I mentioned to you, we are all set now for take off. Now the customer base is all strengthened and very strong streamline. And customers are willing to increase their business, and we are trying to ramp up our capacity utilization to the new high. So we are all ready to take off now. So last 3 quarters has been very disastrous quarters. If you compare to Q2 of last year, that was the best. Q1 INR 184 crores revenue and Q2 was INR 211 crores. Then from Q3, Q4, we started this difficulties. And now Q1, also Q1 '21 will have the same problem and Q2, there will be a little bit of after effect, which we are already overcome. In August and September, we are back to normal already. So July, there is a small impact. From next quarter onwards, we are back on track.
Siddharth Rajpurohit
analystOkay. And sir, in the past year, sir, what was our highest order book?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveAt any point of time, we had around INR 240 crores, INR 260 crores to INR 270 crores maximum. See because we normally book for next 3 months' time, so -- or some can be even for next 5 months because of the bigger volumes. So on an average -- we keep, on an average our order book of INR 250 crores to INR 270 crores.
Siddharth Rajpurohit
analystOkay, okay. Because our current order book is INR 240 crores, and it would be for next 5 months, right?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes. See because there is Diwali ahead no. So we reduce the booking during those 2 weeks.
Siddharth Rajpurohit
analystOkay, okay. That will reduce.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes.
Siddharth Rajpurohit
analystAnd sir, this -- the China effect that you talked about, sir. So is it still in talks? Or you have already started receiving order books? And is there, means, lot of competition from the other countries, which can take away those orders, sir?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes. Already, we have started getting the orders. There is no doubt about it. It's all in the basic volume, businesses are coming. And there are combinations. Others are also getting the businesses. But China is big ocean. Even 1% of the business is coming to India, it's too much for India. So that should not be a problem for India.
Siddharth Rajpurohit
analystOkay. And sir, with this RoSCTL being now converted into RoDTEP, what amount of benefits do you see, sir? Will this current will be retained or there will be additional benefit, which we had earlier?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveIf you know, please let us know.
Siddharth Rajpurohit
analystSure, sir, definitely. And if -- that if there are any assumptions or some indications?
V. Balaji
executiveSo once we know anything, we will definitely update you.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveBut very positive is, if anything, something will be there, for sure. If not, the first thing is they will not reduce further.
Siddharth Rajpurohit
analystSir, earlier, we were having 12%, right, total benefit?
V. Balaji
executiveNo, that was including MEIS of 4%, not 12%, it was 11.5%.
Siddharth Rajpurohit
analystOkay, okay. And sir, how do you see, sir, now this -- your customer trends, means, how is it opening up at your customer end, sir? And how much normalcy is been there?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveSee, our -- most of our customers are supermarket customers and more of online businesses. And we are in the babies and kids wear. So their business is doing extremely well. They do not have any issues in terms of the businesses. And in fact, one of our big customers is Tesco. In fact, we have hired 60,000 -- 16,000 people extra to manage the online business and deliveries. So that's the way the business is catching up today. So our customers are very strong, and they're wanting -- they're asking us to take more and more orders for this segment. But this is not the case with ladies and men.
Siddharth Rajpurohit
analystOkay. And sir, the last question is, sir, in the percentage terms, sir, what is the total benefit that we will get on this consolidation of our factory sir, on margin?
V. Balaji
executiveI think Vikas asked the same question percentage. See, supply chain management could improve another 20, 25 bps.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes. At least 50 bps for rent savings and overhead savings and supply chain, logistics savings, all put together, 0.5% will be a saving.
Operator
operatorWe have next question from Deepan Shankar from Trustline PMS.
Deepan Shankar
analystSir, on the news coverage, we have seen that we are working with Carter's for developing a new fabric, manmade fabric-related product. Can you please elaborate what is this new fabric? And what kind of market price we are looking at?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveSee, this is -- we are India, and we are only doing with 100% cotton fabric. That is the strength of India, and based on our cotton cultivation thing. So customers never used to look at us for anything other than cotton, any blends or any special fabrics because they were comfortable with China. Now that since they would like to have an alternate plan, not that we are completely going to come out of it, they want to have another leg into a strongest country, which is India. So they are pushing us for developing some kind of that cotton polyester blend. This polar fleece, fleece, kind of, fabrics. And they said they would arrange for some technical knowhows, some technical inputs from China, which they are doing. So like this, everyone wants the suppliers of India, manufacturer of India, especially who has got a fully vertical setup, they want to develop them into other than 100% cotton fabrics. So that is what we are trying to do. But we are in the early stage. We really don't know how it's going to move forward.
Deepan Shankar
analystOkay. So it will be more related to dress materials or even bed linen, kind of, material?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveNo, as far as we are concerned, it's only on the clothings.
Deepan Shankar
analystClothes, sir. Okay. Okay, and on China Plus One, kind of, strategy, so even competing with other countries. So are we at any disadvantages in terms of margins or cost front, like, countries like Bangladesh, Vietnam? So how are we positioned? India is positioned against other countries?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveSo we are always -- it's a tough time for us as against China, as against Bangladesh or Vietnam, Cambodia. Definitely, Bangladesh is a big threat. But this has been happening for many years. So we are used to live with this kind of competition now. And -- although there is a threat, but we are able to manage all these years, and we will manage. That's not an issue.
Operator
operatorWe have the next question from Amit Mehendale from RoboCapital.
Amit Mehendale;RoboCapital;Co-Founder
analystSir, if we expect to go to about INR 200 crores of quarterly revenue by Q4 of -- Q4 FY '21. And if I assume an 18% type of an EBITDA, we should do about INR 15 crore type of a PAT number. So can we assume that as a kind of a quarterly run rate and then extrapolate that to INR 50 crore, INR 60 crore annualized profit number -- profit after tax?
V. Balaji
executiveSee INR 15 crores of PAT, you said, right?
Amit Mehendale;RoboCapital;Co-Founder
analystRight.
V. Balaji
executiveINR 15 crores of PAT should not be an issue, considering the Garment division. But if the numbers of 18 percentage of EBITDA sticks, then it should be even better, that is what I feel.
Amit Mehendale;RoboCapital;Co-Founder
analystRight, right. But sir, can we assume this as a, like a, going-forward quarterly sustainable number, whatever visibility that we have currently?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes. It is as I mentioned to you this should have been the case from Q1 onwards. But because of this pandemic thing, the whole thing is shattered, so -- but our plan, the strategy has not changed. Only we have postponed it for 2 quarters, so which means already we are on track and working on in terms of capacity utilization, then sales strategy, marketing strategy, production, material supplies. And everything is -- all the plans are ready. Now we have already taken up -- we have started the work now. So there is no way there is going to be any disruption in the plants and there is going to be a continuous -- we expect to grow continuously on year-on-year. There is no issue.
Amit Mehendale;RoboCapital;Co-Founder
analystOkay. And on the duty side, what is the impact of -- net impact of MEIS withdrawal? And that the RoDTEP is not in place, right, so for the current quarter, is there a net impact in rupee terms or percentage terms that you can quantify?
V. Balaji
executiveSee in terms of duty drawback, for the current quarter, it remains same as of Q4, except that an additional 1%, which was given for RoSCTL is no more from 1/4/2020. So my net duty drawback is close to 7 percentage, 6.7%, 8%, depending on the product. But we are not sure about what kind of duty structure or the incentive structure that will be given on RoDTEP. So let's wait and see.
Amit Mehendale;RoboCapital;Co-Founder
analystRight. But sir, this 7%, how does it compare with the earlier structure? Earlier, was it 11% or...
Perumal Sundararajan
executive11.5%.
V. Balaji
executiveIt was at 11.5% during Q2 FY '20.
Amit Mehendale;RoboCapital;Co-Founder
analystRight. Got it. Which is at about 6%, 6.5% or 7% now.
V. Balaji
executiveYes. 4.5% discounted, yes.
Amit Mehendale;RoboCapital;Co-Founder
analystRight. Right. Okay, sir. And one last question. Now in terms of our customers, or in terms of revenue of, say, INR 200 crores, how do we split that revenue or customers in e-commerce versus traditional customers? What would be the broad split?
V. Balaji
executiveYou're talking about the Garment division?
Amit Mehendale;RoboCapital;Co-Founder
analystYes.
V. Balaji
executiveSee the Garment division, we sell to only to the retailers. How they sell their products is their sale strategy. We cannot get into that.
Amit Mehendale;RoboCapital;Co-Founder
analystRight. I mean I was asking that from the call -- from the backdrop of the fact that the traditional retailers are losing market share as compared to e-commerce players. So do you expect that to have any adverse impact?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveEven our customers are going strong in the online business. It's Tesco or ASDA, they are all very strong in online businesses. Even Carter's are doing very strong in online businesses. So our customers are maintaining the tempo of brick and mortar as well as online.
Operator
operatorNext, we have a follow-up question from Resham Jain from DSP Mutual Fund.
Resham Jain
analystYes. So sir, my question on the initial remarks, which you mentioned. On the China-based or anti-China-based kind of inquiries, which are coming in. So if you can just share your thoughts in terms of, let's say, what kind of discussion might be happening with the customers? And if the scenario is such -- and when you feel that in the next 18 months, our capacity may get fully utilized, how then we leverage on this incremental demand factor, which is visible right now. Just some thoughts on the macro front and then on how company is looking to leverage that.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveSee as we mentioned that we are already planning to increase our sewing capacity to 4,800 machines by end of March. So that itself is about the 20% to 40% (sic) [ 30% ] growth, so where, that is one side, we are getting ready for the additional businesses and already the existing customers' incremental business. So we are getting ready for the business, whatsoever, maybe. Maybe it's from -- transferred from China or already their own existing business, that increase is happening. So whatever it is, we are expecting 20% to 30% businesses coming from our existing customers. And -- plus a new additional customers or 3 customers, 1 from U.K. and 2 from U.S.
Resham Jain
analystAnd from the customer perspective, what kind of -- like in few of the other companies, what we have observed is that, in your case, also, customers are asking to increase the capacity further, so that they can source more from India. So don't you feel that you need to plan for additional capacities or factories possibly...
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes. I told you that with our existing factories, still it can accommodate another about 30% to 40% of the capacity.
Resham Jain
analystIn addition to 4,800, is that right?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveYes. So we do not have plans to increase any new projects, new factories for the next 2 years.
Resham Jain
analystUnderstood. So in the same premises of the facility?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveAs Balaji said, CFO said, we are planning on a phased manner from Q3 onwards, 2-shift factories in the existing factories, let's say, for example, 1 factory has 500 machines, maybe next year, it will be doing 750 machines with the same capacity.
Resham Jain
analystUnderstood. sir, my second question is has there been any inventory, lower inventory at the customer end because there is a phase in between where you couldn't supply, but the customer probably might be selling at the same pace? So has there been any inventory -- lower inventory, kind of, situation at the customer end right now?
P. Jeeva
executiveYes. Right now, we have about a very small volume of about INR 8 crores to INR 10 crores. They'll be taking these goods in December.
V. Balaji
executiveNo.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveNo. He is asking their [ repayment ]. Yes. They're running short of inventory now. They have...
P. Jeeva
executiveYes. They have inventory also. They'll be pushing for 1 season. And they're going to -- they're not going to buy for 2, 3 months, and they're going to use their current stock what they're having now.
Resham Jain
analystOkay. Okay. What I was asking is that, has there been any reduction in the inventory at the customer end. So you are saying that...
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveThey are liquidating. See they have not placed any additional orders in the last 2, 3 months. They are only trying to sell their existing stocks and clear the stocks what they already placed with us. That is what is happening. So now they are -- slowly, they are reducing the inventory. Currently, they are sitting with huge stocks like Primark, or anybody. But Tesco, that's not the case. They are running out of stock. And George, ASDA is also running out of stock. Only Primark is having huge stocks, which they are liquidating now. So their new buying will start from next season on. They have not bought for 2 seasons. They'll start buying once the stock is reduced in the next 2, 3 months' time.
Resham Jain
analystUnderstood. So the grocery retailers are getting stocked out, while the departmental stores are having enough inventory with them?
V. Balaji
executiveCorrect, correct, correct.
Resham Jain
analystOkay. Understood. Understood. And sir, my last question is on the CapEx. As you mentioned, the -- you are not going for incremental projects. So for the next -- this year and next year, what kind of CapEx should one maintain?
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveFor modernization and for...
V. Balaji
executiveAnything with respect to the maintenance CapEx and the modernization CapEx in terms of the PD, the processing division, I think it should be close to anywhere between INR 7 crores to INR 10 crores a year.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveAnd modernization, even sewing factories to know lean manufacturing, that kind of things will happen. So -- but not -- they're not big, maybe per year, about INR 2 crores, INR 3 crores, that's it.
Resham Jain
analystAnd just a related question to that. So for next 18 months, with just INR 20 crores of CapEx and a marginal increase in working capital. And obviously, our debt is at a very low cost. So will you build up cash during this phase? Because I presume that's INR 169 crores and out of that INR 110 crores, INR 120 crores is all subsidized debt in a way. Sir, from cash utilization...
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveSo what's your question?
V. Balaji
executiveSo what's your question?
Resham Jain
analystMy question is cash utilization for the next 18 months.
V. Balaji
executiveYes, yes. Cash utilization will happen. See, the policy on capital allocation will be strictly followed. And wherever the allocation needs to be done, it will be done.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveThat needs to be discussed later.
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, due to time constraints, that would be the last question for the day. Now I hand over the floor to the management team for closing comments. Please go ahead, sir.
Perumal Sundararajan
executiveTo all participants. I'm sure you will be satisfied with the answers were given by us, all of us. And thanks for participating. Please rest assured that the bad days have gone, we are expecting everything to be more promising, more better quarter, yet to see. So please rest assured that, we will be performing much better in the quarters to come. Thank you.
Operator
operatorThank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference for today. Thank you for your participation and for using Door Sabha's Conference Call service. You may disconnect your lines now. Thank you, and have a pleasant evening.
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