Salmon Evolution ASA ($SALME)
Earnings Call Transcript · May 6, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Trond Schaug-Pettersen
ExecutivesOkay. Good morning, everyone, and thank you all for joining this presentation of Salmon Evolution's results for the first quarter. A lot has happened since we had our fourth quarter presentation in February, and Salmon Evolution is now truly at an inflection point where we are transitioning from a period dominated by construction and investment towards now scale up and cash flow generation with Phase 2 now in operation. And this is something we look forward to for a very long time. And today, I want to thank all our dedicated employees and partners for making this happen. The picture behind me here and also the video you just saw is from our first smolt release in Phase 2 a couple of weeks ago, marking also a new chapter for the company and the beginning of a significant ramp-up in production. I've said it many times before, but it's worth saying again, Phase 2 will be a real game changer for the company. It will give us an unprecedented platform in this industry, both in terms of scale, earnings and also future growth capacity. So my name is Trond Håkon Schaug-Pettersen. I'm the CEO of the company. Together with our CFO, Trond Vadset Veibust, I will take you through this presentation. So we will start this presentation by going through the highlights, then I will take you through the operations and our growth initiatives before our CFO will go through the financials. And then we will end the presentation with some -- with a Q&A session. For those of you who are attending virtually, you can submit questions via the webcast. So as to the highlights, and as I mentioned, the company is at a true inflection point where we are moving from construction into now execution scale-up and value creation. The most important milestone, obviously, is that Phase 2 is now in operation. We have successfully completed the first smolt release. Everything is progressing according to plan. And this is a starting point for a material ramp-up in production over the coming quarters. Operationally, we have also seen a step change in growth in Phase 1 following the implementation of both a new feed and also updated operating protocols during the first quarter. And that also gives us increased confidence in reaching our stated operational targets. Financially, the first quarter shows that we have a strong and sound operating platform. We delivered revenues of NOK 152 million, a farming EBITDA of NOK 17.6 million and a group EBITDA of NOK 9.5 million and this is also despite somewhat softer-than-expected salmon prices during the quarter and also biomass growth being temporarily impacted by the implemented changes in both feed and operating protocols. Just as important, we also strengthened our balance sheet following the refinancing and private placement completed a couple of weeks ago. We have a solid capital structure in place with increased long-term bank facilities and fresh equity to deliver Phase 2 in a responsible manner. So to sum up, the platform is working, Phase 2 is now finally live, scale-up is underway and we are now very well positioned to translate growth into earnings and cash flow. So moving over to the operations. This is a major milestone for the company. We have initiated operations in Phase 2 after taking over the first 2 production tanks from our contractors. As previously communicated, we completed the first smolt release in week 18. I'm pleased to say that the smolt has adopted well. Feeding commenced quickly after release. Key operating or key operational parameters are stable and also in line with expectations. And this is exactly what we want to see at this stage, predictable start-up, good biology and also tight operational control. And Phase 2 is an improved copy of Phase 1. And I have to say, although it's still early, things are looking very good and we very much look forward to see the development here going forward. Looking ahead, we plan to have a second smolt rise in Phase 2 in just a couple of weeks. And for the year as a whole, we plan to stock around 2.8 million smolt at Indre Harøy in 2026, including Phase 2 and that's approximately 60% as compared to last year. And obviously, this underpins a stepwise ramp-up in biomass and production over the coming quarters and it also clearly illustrates that Phase 2 is now nearing completion and setting the stage for substantial volume growth going forward. And this slide is very important because it explains why we are seeing a step change in growth in Phase 1 and also even more importantly, why we are confident that this is sustainable. After 4 years of operations and 16 completed production cycles, we now have a very deep data set and that gives us the ability to fine-tune operations in a way that you simply cannot do early in a project. During the first quarter, we implemented a new feed and also had some updated operating protocols with a particular focus on the degassing system and also the water hydraulics. As expected, there was a short implementation and adoption period where feeding levels were temporarily reduced. But the key point is that once these new protocols were fully implemented, we saw an immediate and clear improvement in feeding across all tanks. Over the last 6 months, we've also carried out the largest recalibration of our feed to date, leveraging data-driven growth models. And these improvements are expected to lift growth by approximately 4%, all else equal, but at the same time, improving water quality. And you can see that clearly reflected in the chart after the implementation period, we saw a step change in feeding relative to our daily targets. And we are now well on schedule to reaching our 85% utilization target by mid-next year. And the key takeaway here is important. We believe this is not a one-off effect. These are structural improvements driven by better biology, better water quality and an even tighter operational control. And as part of the feed recalibration, we also implemented a new binder in the feed towards the end of February. And the effect here was also immediate and measurable. You can see that clearly here, we achieved a 50% reduction in particles and also further improvement in turbidity levels, which were already within good ranges before the change. Lower particle levels and improved turbidity, they are not cosmetic metrics. They matter because they allow for improved tank hydraulics, better water flow and also better degassing efficiency and thus creating an overall better environment for the fish. And that feeds directly into what we care about. It's about feeding better growth and stable biology. And also importantly, these are objective third-party measurable parameters. This is not subjective observations. And hence, this gives us strong confidence that the growth improvements we are seeing are structural and not temporary. And we also believe that we have not seen the full effect of this yet, which means that we have a very good starting point for further performance uplift as we move through 2026. Biomass growth during the first half of the quarter was deliberately impacted by the implementation of new feed and the changes to the operating protocols. This was a conscious and controlled choice to enable better performance going forward. As such, net biomass growth ended at 1,357 tonnes live weight, while the underlying growth was almost 1,500 tonnes with the difference between -- explained by harvest deviations. Simply, when you are harvesting the fish, there was a little bit less than you expected. To mitigate that going forward, we also changed our feed factor model during the quarter. So hopefully, this is not an issue going forward. Overall, operations remained stable throughout the quarter with continued low mortality and good biological control across the farm. The reduction in standing biomass towards quarter end that reflects normal fluctuations and also a harvest profile that was tilted towards March. I think what really matters now is that the key prerequisites for improved biomass growth are in place. With even better water quality, improved feeding, we expect this to translate into higher growth, higher volumes and increasing harvest weights as we move through 2026. So to sum up, the first quarter was about laying the groundwork and we firmly believe that the benefits of this is ahead of us. Turning to harvest. We delivered a record high harvest volume of 1,765 tonnes gutted in the first quarter, in line with guidance. And as I mentioned, a lot of the harvest taking place in March, approximately 50%. Average harvest weight was 3.2 kilo gutted. This is also fairly stable versus the last quarter. When it comes to price realization, that was approximately NOK 84 per kilo despite a volatile market environment during the quarter. I think it's fair to say that the salmon market has been somewhat softer than expected going into 2026 to a large extent driven by continued high supply growth, but the tide is turning now, and we are seeing the supply growth coming down, both in Norway and in Chile. So thus, we believe that this creates a more favorable backdrop going forward. From a quality perspective, performance remains very strong. We achieved a 94% superior grade share. That is also fully in line with historical levels and also a clear indicator of stable biology and good operational control. Looking ahead, we expect harvest rates to improve through 2026 as Phase 1 utilization moves towards 85%. That corresponds to a harvest rate of 4 kilo gutted plus which will have a meaningful positive impact on both the cost per kilo and also margins. And at those rates, we also see a very solid weight distribution, typically around 70% of the volumes will fall in the 4 to 6 kilo gutted category, which is also a premium segment in most markets. And as to Indre Harøy, we have a very clear and credible road map for substantial production growth going forward. By mid-2027, we target to reach 85% capacity utilization of Phase 1, while at the same time, ramping up production in Phase 2, giving us a production capacity of 14,000 to 15,000 tonnes gutted. Then we are going to implement the 3 grow-out tanks as well as solving the remaining bottlenecks in Phase 1 and taking that production to 18,000 tonnes. And this is not grow far into the future. Phase 2 is now already taken into operation. And as I mentioned previously, we will stock a significant number of fish this year, 60% more than last year. So to sum up, disciplined stepwise growth on what we would say is a proven platform. So a few words on our growth initiatives. As a company, we are entering a very attractive phase where years of execution are now translating into clear and scalable growth and growth opportunities. Our strategy is focused and we are also very disciplined. It's all about strong operation -- execution on the current operations, delivering Phase 2 and also making sure that we have a compelling pipeline for the future. And Phase 3 is a natural next step, doubling the capacity to 36,000 tonnes on a site, a platform and also an organization that is already proven. And this is growth that also leverage the existing infrastructure and experience that we built up now over several years and also reducing the risk and enhancing the returns. And as to Phase 2, we are very confident that this will set a new benchmark for land-based salmon farming. And as I mentioned previously, things are looking very good. We've only been operating it for a couple of weeks, but it has been very good so far, and we strongly believe that, that will continue. We have taken -- in Phase 2, we have taken 4 years of operating experience from Phase 1 and incorporated those learnings into Phase 2 and especially around water quality, robustness and reliability. We are introducing up to 20% more seawater. We are upgrading the degassing system, improving the water hydraulics. We are adding particle filtration for the water that we reuse. And in some, these are targeted experience-driven upgrades designed to support strong growth throughout the full production cycle. And at the same time, we also simplified the systems. We strengthened the biosecurity to ensure predictable operations at higher volumes. So to sum up, Phase 2 is it's not just more volume, it's also better biology. It's lower risk. And together with Phase 1, we firmly believe that this represents a rock-solid operational platform. So you've seen this many times before, but this illustration highlights the strength and scale and long-term potential of our Indre Harøy platform. Phase 1 has been operating for several years successfully and now have started production in Phase 2. That takes the production capacity when everything is finished to 18,000 tonnes. Additionally, Phase 3, that's a highly attractive project. It is building on the same site, the same infrastructure, the same organization. And beyond that, we have a potential Phase 4 that also represent meaningful long-term optionality. While it is still conceptual, it provides upside that can be unlocked over time. So to sum up, Indre Harøy is a unique platform. It offers significant volume growth in the near term, very tangible medium-term expansion opportunities and also long-term growth optionality, all in one proven operation. And as to Phase 2, this slide is to underscore that we are very focused now on project execution and control, finishing Phase 2. The project is progressing according to plan. Nevertheless, the budget is tight, and we have chosen to add a 5% additional contingency buffer to be on the safe side as previously disclosed. But at the same time, we now only have approximately 7 months left. The project is approximately 80% completed and that gives us very good visibility on both remaining CapEx and also milestones. The civil construction work here is largely completed and the project focus now is on process installation and final commissioning activities. So our focus remains unchanged. We continuously have a high focus on effective project execution to minimize delays, change orders and also ensuring good coordination between all disciplines. For the pre-grow-out tanks, we estimate total investments of around NOK 400 million, including contingencies. Before we are making the final investment decision, we are running a structured process with the aim of further reducing the risk in the estimate. So to sum up, Phase 2 is on plan. We have very good visibility now, and we are also quickly approaching the finish line. Then I think I'll leave the word over to you, Trond.
Trond Veibust
ExecutivesThank you. All right. Starting with the Farming segment, which comprise most of our activity. In Q1, we harvested 1,765 tonnes, a new all-time high with an all-in price realization of around NOK 84 per kilo, up 12% year-on-year, but admittingly somewhat weaker than what we expected when entering 2026. Looking at costs, our farming EBITDA cost ended at NOK 72.6 million, in line with last quarter. The farming EBITDA was NOK 17.6 million, underlining that we have a profitable operational platform in Phase 1, even in lieu of somewhat weaker prices than expected. The other segment EBITDA was negative with NOK 8.2 million, an improvement of approximately 20% year-on-year. As previously highlighted, following our strategic refocus on Norway, we have taken several steps to minimize cash burn on growth projects, resulting in significant spend reduction as well as a reduction of 5 FTEs, reinforcing tighter capital and cost discipline in the company. Importantly, this part of our cost base will scale significantly once Phase 2 is fully operational with harvest volumes set to more than double. At group level, EBITDA was NOK 9.4 million. And overall, Q1 marks a solid improvement compared to 2025 and financial performance is moving in the right direction with costs trending down on back of increased biomass production through 2026. To further dive into farming costs, this slide explains the bridge between gross costs and the reported farming EBITDA cost in Q1. The way Salmon Evolution report their farming EBITDA cost net of export costs is an at gate in box equivalent, including allocated G&A. As salmon is largely sold DDP, export and distribution costs are included in the sales price and are effectively recovered through revenues. Hence, the reported all-in price will also be lower than actual revenues per kilo. Another important point is that costs have been front-loaded in Phase 1 as we, over the last 4 years, have built the team and shared operational infrastructure that will serve both phases. With Phase 2 operational, we will start harvesting these scaling effects. As an example of this, in full run rate personnel in Phases 1 and 2 is only about 30% higher than Phase 1 stand-alone with double the volumes. This is just one of many cost efficiency gains with Phase 2 operational. We have calculated these effects to approximately 5% to 6% on the full run rate costs, but that is probably a conservative estimate. Another important point is how the cost base scales with increased biomass production. As previously highlighted, outside feed and harvest, costs remain largely fixed at the facility. In Phase 1, the fixed portion amounts to roughly NOK 200 million and a 5% increase in biomass production equals roughly NOK 2 to NOK 3 in reduced costs per kilo, all else equal. The key takeaway is that with Phase 2 operational and increasing biomass production, this will result in a meaningful reduction in unit costs through 2026 and into 2027. By mid-2027, we target a farming cost in the low-60s with our target farming EBITDA cost being NOK 53 per kilo in full run rate. In other words, Q1 costs are representative of where we are today, not where we are heading. Following the equity raise in April, the previously announced refinancing was also completed. Together, these provide a solid capital structure to deliver Phase 2. We are very satisfied with the successful equity raise. We received strong support from existing shareholders and have added several new long-term high-quality investors. In parallel with the private placement, we also did a retail offering, which attracted massive interest and was oversubscribed multiple times. I would like to thank all existing and new shareholders for the vote of confidence. The refinancing was completed with strong support from our existing banking syndicate, Nordea, DNB, SpareBank, Norge and Axim. We have extended and upsized the senior secured facilities linked to Indre Harøy by 10% to approximately NOK 2.5 billion with a 3-year tenure and extension option. The fact that this was done with strong backing from our banking partners is an important validation of both the quality of our asset base and the business case. Additionally, the permitted working capital financing has been increased from NOK 300 million to NOK 400 million, fully covering Phases 1 and 2. Following the transaction and completed refinancing, funding is secured and the covenant headroom is improved, securing a solid financial platform for Salmon Evolution going forward. Let us take a brief look at the balance sheet and cash flow. As previously highlighted by Trond Håkon, the grow-out section is progressing according to plan, but the budget is tight, and we have chosen to add an additional contingency buffer in light of this. However, we also only have about 7 months left in the project with a completion rate of about 80%, giving us good visibility on remaining CapEx and milestone. The capital spending will also decrease significantly in coming quarters. Cash flow from operations was negative in the quarter, primarily reflecting that about 50% of harvest took place in March with an ensuing trade receivables buildup. In the Q1 accounts, as you have probably noticed, all the long-term debt is classified as current due to the maturity of the loans being less than 12 months. However, as mentioned, the refinancing was completed in April and thus, all the long-term debt is back to noncurrent from next quarter. And I think to sum it up, I think this illustration captures exactly what Phase 1 and 2 represents for Salmon Evolution. A highly scalable platform with strong earnings and cash flow potential. We now have an operation -- operational foundation where the heavy lifting is done with core infrastructure in place to support 18,000 tonnes. And we already hold land and licenses required to double this yet again. This place us in a truly unique position. The strong support we have in the capital markets and from the world's leading seafood banks was highlighted in the significantly oversubscribed capital raise last week as well as the upsized loan package. The bottom line being the business has been derisked. The foundation has been built and now we are positioned to harvest the returns. Thank you. Trond Håkon, closing remarks.
Trond Schaug-Pettersen
ExecutivesThank you, Trond. So to sum up, I think Salmon Evolution is at a very good spot at the moment. We have a proven platform. As we said, they heavy lifting now is largely done and with Phase 2 also now in operation, we are entering a new phase for the company away from just CapEx and investments to now scale earnings and cash flow. And Phase 2, it is a game changer for the company. It significantly increases our capacity. It will strengthen our margins and also position ourselves to capitalize on what we believe is a good salmon market eventually. So we are also very pleased with having secured our refinancing and the equity issue. As Trond mentioned, this gives us a strong financial platform as we now entering this very exciting phase. So it's all about execution and converting also the operational progress that we are seeing into long-term value creation. So with that, I think I would like to thank you all for your attention and we are now happy to open up for questions.
Trond Veibust
ExecutivesPareto, Henrik has the microphone. So just raise your hand and feel free.
Henrik Knutsen
AnalystsHenrik Knutsen, Pareto Securities. Your volume guidance for 2026 at 7,000 tonnes, what's the status? And could you also elaborate on how much you expect to harvest in Q2?
Trond Veibust
ExecutivesSure. As for the full year guidance, we refer to the information we have previously shared. I apologize for not including this in the Q1 report. When it comes to quarterly guidance, we are not issuing quarterly guidance. We have stopped doing that.
Christian Nordby
AnalystsChristian Nordby, Arctic Securities. As you're now stocking more smolts in Phase 2, you will build up a lot more biomass during the year. And then you will allocate costs to that biomass. How do you think the farming EBITDA costs will develop during 2026 due to that happening?
Trond Veibust
ExecutivesOn costs, as we mentioned, we expect continued productivity improvements in Phase 1. And as well, we are -- we will also ramp up Phase 2 during the year. So our expectation is gradually declining cost through 2026. And as mentioned, we target a farming EBITDA cost by the middle of 2027 in the kind of the low-60s. So heading to that point in time, we expect the costs to gradually decline towards that target. Anyone else in the audience? If not, we have received some questions via the webcast. Okay. Then we just take the webcast questions. I start with guidance on sales and EBITDA. We do not issue guidance on sales and EBITDA. So I think that answers that one. You have mentioned that you think the effect of the feed calibration is ahead of you. Could you elaborate a little more on that? Trond Håkon?
Trond Schaug-Pettersen
ExecutivesIt's simply because it will -- it takes some time. As for the feed, I would say it's -- the changes are twofold. One is sort of a change in the nutritional components of the feed or the formulation. The other thing is that we also changed the binder, which have had a very positive impact on the fish's quality and thus also the water quality. And I think those changes are -- you don't see them immediately. Those are changes that -- as you sort of move through the biomass and the fish have been sort of used to this new improved environment over a longer period of time, those sort of effects will materialize. So we believe that there are -- we have not taken out the full effect of this yet.
Trond Veibust
ExecutivesAll right. Another question. How has initiation of operations in Phase 2 been? And how are the initial results?
Trond Schaug-Pettersen
ExecutivesYes. And as I alluded to in the presentation, the first smolt release has gone very well, basically according to plan. The fish has also adapted very well in the tanks. It quickly commenced feeding. It has shown a good appetite. And I think also very importantly, and as we went through in the presentation, Phase 2 is an improved copy of Phase 1. We have taken all the experiences now over 4 years, incorporated those into Phase 2. And obviously, for us, it's very interesting to see how these changes and improvements are sort of working out in real life. And I think it's fair to say that things are looking very good. We are very happy with what we are seeing and really think that what we have done is, yes, having the effects that we sought for. So we very much look forward now to follow the fish and going forward. And also as mentioned, we are stocking a new group in just a couple of weeks. So very interesting times now to see how all these improvements in Phase 2 are playing out. But we are very optimistic. And I think so far, it's very promising. It's as the operations team said, we have hit the nail.
Trond Veibust
ExecutivesThat concludes the questions. Thank you for your attendance and see you next time in -- yes, next update from us in early July and the Q2 presentation in August. Thank you.
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