Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (SRPT) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
July 10, 2023
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Ritu Baral
analystHi, everyone. Thanks for joining us today for the Sarepta fireside chat at TD Cowen's Second Annual RNA Therapeutics Summit. With us for the fireside chat, we have Sarepta's CEO, Doug Ingram. Also on the line if we need him, we have CFO, Ian Estepan. Thank you so much, Doug, for joining us today. Busy times for you guys, but I did want to take the time today to focus on what is really your foundational technology from back in the day and the foundation for base business, the PMO and PPMO DMD therapies. There's been a lot of discussion about your newly approved DMD gene therapy, ELEVIDYS certainly. But then it turns to what will become of your close to $1 billion DMD PMO franchise and your PPMO pipeline for DMD going forward. So Doug, let's start on a high level. What are the aspects of AAV gene therapies as you see it, that you think RNA therapies, particularly your PPMOs could address?
Douglas Ingram
executiveWell, so let's step back a bit on this. There's a lot of -- sort of layers of questions here. I may answer a lot of questions in my first answer, and then we'll go back and go in any detail if you'd like, but it really -- it's a fascinating question and it's a question, we'll only be able to definitively answer over time with empirical evidence. We're in an interesting place right now, right? We have 3 oligonucleotides, we're doing nearly $1 billion in sales. Our guidance right now is $925 million for the year. And they've really been fantastic. Never mind the revenue. They -- one of the things that I think some have missed is from what was back in 2016, perhaps a controversial beginning of this journey with the oligonucleotides, they've done an immense amount of good. We had some real-world evidence that we provided last year that showed what the PMOs can do, both in delaying ambulation, slowing down pulmonary function and correlating to mortality. So they've done a really good job. So there's this interesting bar there. And then of course, we now have ELEVIDYS gene therapy with an enormous amount of hope making extraordinary amounts of shortened but functional dystrophin. So there's sort of 3 questions from my perspective. The first question, of course, with respect to our PPMO and for those who don't know it, I'm sure everybody does, the PPMO is our next-generation version of our PMOs conjugated with the peptide, the goal of which is to enhance delivery. There would be 2 big values to that. One value is just convenience. The PMOs, even though we have this enormously high compliance rate over 90%, they're weekly infusions, either at home or in a minority of them in the hospital, weekly infusions, the PPMO would be once a month dosing. And then, of course, with an enhanced delivery and is positively charged peptide, you could get significant increases in the amount of dystrophin you're making, one of the big limitations of our oligonucleotides is that they make very little amounts of dystrophin and it turns out even a little does far more than people would have envisioned delaying ambulation like. So the first question for us is where are the PPMOs versus the PMOs? We'll begin to get a hint of that at the end of this year, right? We have a study going on called MOMENTUM Part B, we'll see those results. We'll need to look at both expression and safety for both because there's a very high bar on safety, the PMOs have just been extraordinarily safe, and so we need to look at both of those issues. We're very excited based on what we've already seen early on, and we'll talk about that, but that's our first issue. Then the second issue, which is at higher bar, I believe, yet again, will be [very] question are gene therapy, ELEVIDYS, this is going to be a very high bar, of course, given what we've already seen with ELEVIDYS. But how are they -- how it competes directly with the ELEVIDYS, if it does, in fact, compete directly with ELEVIDYS is going to be an empirically driven question. We need to see what kind of expression we get from it. We need to see the risk benefit of the expression. And then we need to see the functional results over time so that patients can make decisions. I don't think it's unreasonable to envision a world in which both could exist, independent of one another. We've seen this already, right? We see with SMA, with Spinraza and Zolgensma. Zolgensma was remarkably transformative gene therapy and yet there still is a place in the world for Spinraza. And then the third question, I apologize, this probably gets to the question you're actually asking, is where does the PPMO reside in a world in which our gene therapy is successful and it doesn't directly compete with it from an efficacy perspective and expression perspective and the like. And that probably is a potentially likely scenario given that ELEVIDYS makes upwards of 50% of normal. So it makes them more than an order of magnitude more than the PMO as well. What would the P&L really do to compete directly with it? That will be an interesting question that we'll have to look at. But even if that's the case, there still is a potentially interesting place for the PPMOs. We can -- I can think of broadly 3 areas. Today, of course, it's a no-brainer the label we have is limited with ELEVIDYS. Let's assume a world in which that label is much broader. You still have neutralizing antibody positive patients that would be available. If you came up with their -- with PPMOs that addressed earlier mutations, there are mutations that are excluded from gene therapy that could be of interest...
Ritu Baral
analystSo the [null] mutations, the highly immunogenic become.
Douglas Ingram
executiveThose sort of early mutations that exist around the exon 8, 9...
Ritu Baral
analystWe think early for the sequence.
Douglas Ingram
executiveYes. Yes, those ones but we don't have constructs built for those, but that's a possibility. There's also, of course, even in a world in which gene therapy has been wildly successful and the PPMOs are wonderful and better than the PMOs. But objectively, may be difficult to compete there still will be family choices. There will still be moments where families will choose a chronic therapy over a onetime therapy. I envision that occurs. And it occurs I think at times with Spinraza, even though it's old [indiscernible] have been so successful. And then there are obviously access issues, payer issues that might drive chronic therapies. So all of this is to say -- okay, that's -- so all of this is broadly to say, we don't yet know. But we have -- but there is a lot of potential in this, and we need to just let the data and evidence drive us. Down the road, long term, there are things that the PPMO could do that the gene therapy will not do, which is work in smooth muscle as an example. Smooth muscle has dystrophin, but the AAVs don't deliver the smooth muscle. So that's always -- that's not one of the most significant issues for Duchenne muscular dystrophin, but it's an interesting one down the road. And then, of course, we always have the idea of cognitive or adjunctive therapy where we can build over time an evidence set, an evidence set that we don't currently have available to us. But an evidence set that could suggest that the combination use of Zolgensma and ELEVIDYS -- ELEVIDYS and our PPMOs could add some enhanced value. And we have seen that with as an example, with Zolgensma and Spinraza.
Ritu Baral
analystYour comment on the payers, is that in any way driven by the last few weeks of conversations with payers or your -- the discussions around PPMD about coverage at this point? Or has that informed the ramp at all?
Douglas Ingram
executiveWell, no. We're in a little bit in the honeymoon period where I'm falsely imagining it's going to be easier than it really is going to be. Look, payer issues are always significant. But we're now talking about ELEVIDYS, we're in a really interesting place where we have -- the data set for ELEVIDYS was -- is more than an order of magnitude, more substantial and robust than, for instance, when we launched -- successfully launched EXONDYS, we started discussing ELEVIDYS with payers years ago. We had recent granular discussions before approval with payers that covered 220-plus million lives. So I think we've been in a really good position to have very thoughtful discussions there. So no, I actually think it's going to go very well. So don't misread that. I think as it sits right now, we're in that kind of honeymoon period where I think it's going to go well. And ironically, maybe in this world, payers were e-mailing us. Congratulations, when ELEVIDYS was approved. And then one other thing to sort of proof point on that, lingering on gene therapy over [indiscernible] apologies, but we did -- I think we did a really thoughtful job of doing the cost-effectiveness analysis, the pharmacovigilance work and then the pricing of this therapy in the context of that, that I think has made those discussions go very well right now. As you know, we had created a cost-effectiveness model. We did a [really] objective approach. We had it published in a peer-reviewed journal. We priced below the bottom of that and we didn't price at the top end of current gene therapy pricing. And so I think we're not getting enormous payer pushback on those issues. So I think it's going to go very well.
Ritu Baral
analystSo there -- so they see the cost effectiveness of a gene therapy as being greater than saving the existing PMO right now, EXONDYS [indiscernible] Is that a takeaway from...
Douglas Ingram
executiveI think -- Yes, I would look at it -- I would -- if I judged it in one way, I would say that's already the case. I wouldn't say the existing payers with the existing data set for the existing oligonucleotides. Because remember, we've now had 6 years of great data that justifies the benefits of those therapies. So that -- so we're in a good place today. But if you look at the launch of EXONDYS or the launch of VYONDYS and you compare the data sets available there with the data sets we have for ELEVIDYS, the cost effectiveness, the pricing, the way we look at it, is just much more evolved. And I think payers have appreciated.
Ritu Baral
analystUnderstood. So Doug, you've talked to a few aspects of, I guess, the world in general as we live in it for comparing and contrasting PPMO versus ELEVIDYS neutralizing antibodies, early mutations, family access, et cetera. But what about the inherent clinical profile of ELEVIDYS and where PPMOs? Where does the science take you? So you talked about smooth muscle. What sort of pathologies within DMD are related to smooth muscle? But one of the questions really hypothetical at this point, nobody is talking about it all that much, post-approval, but duration, duration of effect. How are you looking at data generation for durability and how PPMOs could sort of roll into that?
Douglas Ingram
executiveSo yes, it's very interesting that you asked it. So if you look at it scientifically, so first thing -- before we think about ways in which they could address issues in gene therapy, we first have to acknowledge, interestingly enough that they are very different modalities that ultimately do basically the same thing, right? The oligonucleotides through a very different mechanism, put messenger RNA back in frame and then make shortened but functional forms of dystrophin. The ELEVIDYS doesn't do that, but what it does is deliver a gene [concept] that makes a shortened but functional form of dystrophin. It just makes it in much greater abundance. The differences in sort of the Duchenne and the like are maybe threefold or -- well, 1 is the same and 2 are different. One is could we get dystrophin into the brain, right? There's not -- cognitive issues are not degenerative. So that doesn't exist, but there definitely is a cognitive aspect to a minority of Duchenne patients. Neither of these therapies are going to do a brilliant job of getting -- well, first of all, we don't know if getting dystrophin into the brain is even meaningful at this point. We have no idea, right, because it's not degenerative, but neither of these are going to address that issue in any [event]. Then I did raise the issue of smooth muscle. Smooth muscle is really not -- you hear very little about this being an issue. It may very well be that it's not a significant issue because, unfortunately, the Duchenne patient dies. And he dies much earlier in life than perhaps smooth muscle issues become a major issue. So there may be in the long run, some value to protecting smooth muscle given that if all goes well and ELEVIDYS is as successful as we all hope it will be will be greatly extending life and then GI and other smooth muscle related issues could be meaningful.
Ritu Baral
analystCan you [indiscernible] this -- I'm sorry to interrupt it. But are you keeping track of this as part of your end points in the studies because what you're saying is reminding me of the cystinosis and how it wasn't until there was an actual treatment that they found out patients in their 20s and 30s lost the ability to swallow. Do you have [indiscernible] ability and stuff?
Douglas Ingram
executiveIn the study itself, I do not believe that's the case because we're looking at too short a period of time to see a significant issue. This is beyond -- this is [in-depth] theoretical. I think most physicians don't even talk to these kinds of issues. This is something that we'll be thinking about, if we're thinking about it at all when a Duchenne boy is now in his 30s, he's not a Duchenne boy, he's a man in his 40s. He's a late middle aged man. I like to remind [me at this point], that a young middle aged man but et cetera. And then, of course, then there is the durability issue. Again, that's something we're going to have to live with over the long term. The interesting thing about gene therapy for muscle and about ELEVIDYS and about shortened dystrophin delivered by a gene cassette is that muscle is a hard place to get to. Fortunately, we get there now, right, 3 genome copies per nucleus on average. But it's not -- it doesn't turn over very, very fast. It's not like the liver. And so the durability we've seen both empirically in the patients, we've only been able to look at them for 4 or 5 years but we haven't seen any kind of functional durability issues and in the animal models, both nonhuman primate, golden retriever and mouse model for what it's worth, we just have not yet seen any signal of durability. Does that mean there won't be a durability issue in 10, 15 or years? No, it certainly doesn't mean that it's something we have to keep an eye on. And you could envision a world in which either the PMO or PPMO could intervene if there was a durability issue or theoretically, at least, be dosed early and actually participate in reducing the risk of a durability waning out there in the later years, right? You could envision that by the various of thesis there was at least 1 paper Dr. [ Void ] did some work in a rat model some years ago, where he suggested that the use of a PPMO actually in the rat model, strengthened the muscle membrane and actually reduce any risk of the loss of the gene cassette as it was making dystrophin. So that there wasn't the synergistic value of having both the PPMO and the gene therapy. But we need to do more work on that before we can stand here and [indiscernible].
Ritu Baral
analystYou said there is no evidence of durability for preclinical. Do you mean that the data has been rolling off? Or do you mean that the studies have just not gone out that far to show durability?
Douglas Ingram
executiveThey mean that it's durable for as long as we've been able to look. So if you think about it for a mouse, not very long because the natural life of the mouse isn't very long. For Golden Retriever, I believe we've looked out to 7 years with these kinds of gene cassette constructs. And in the nonhuman primates, the last time we looked or I looked at least, it was out to 9 years, and we just did not see waning of durability yet. So that's [indiscernible].
Ritu Baral
analystSo nothing representative of a 30-year-old DMD patient essentially, yes, right.
Douglas Ingram
executiveNot yet. Not yet.
Ritu Baral
analystGot it. Great. Well, I want to use the second half of this to discuss the MOMENTUM data, as you mentioned, Part B is going to be coming out what are we looking for in terms of this top line data? Your [ q-monthly ] 30-milligram -- milligram, 30 mgs per kg, developed mean exon skipping of about 11%, mean dystrophin expression of 6.5. And you previously said your model suggests you can achieve 10% with chronic dosing. I think the readout will still be 6 months. Do you think you can get closer to the 10% with aspects of the study? What should we be looking at?
Douglas Ingram
executiveWe don't know yet. So to your very good point we had over 6% dystrophin at a very short period of time, 24 weeks. And as we know with this chronic dosing, we've seen that you get greater dystrophin over time. And so the model suggests that if that data was, in fact, representative of the larger data set we're going to see at the end of this year, you could be seeing 10%. Now let me contextualize with that. That is a massive home run, lets you be very clear about this. That should not be the bar. So for those who don't know, 10%, at a year with EXONDYS, we're seeing the 1% to 2%. This is multiples higher at monthly dose than what we're getting with much higher doses at weekly dosing. So it really would be significant. We don't need, for instance, 10% to be successful. If you look at -- there was a paper in 2018, it really ought to in a very real sense, be considered one of the definitive answers to the question that was asked back in '16, 2016 which was -- can small amounts of dystrophin really make a difference and that was the debate back in late '16. And [indiscernible] answered it unrelated to us, we had nothing to do with the study, didn't fund it, didn't even know it even existed until it was about to come out. And the answer was absolutely even dystrophin at less than 1% is correlated to the change. And if you get about 5%, it's transformative. That's what the data shows, empirically based on natural history. So anything substantially greater, and I don't know how to define exactly what substantial is. I [indiscernible] to say it's greater than 1% or 2%, and it's not -- doesn't have to be as high as 10%, with a good safety profile. Remember, we have to also have a good safety profile and with the convenience of monthly dosing could really give us something that would be a substantial step forward in the treatment of Duchenne at least with respect to oligonucleotides.
Ritu Baral
analystSo it sounds like anything between the 6-ish scene and the 10% would be a home run and approvable with good safety and approvable profile for you guys?
Douglas Ingram
executiveI would be popping champagne at 5%. The 5% would be amazing. I mean, it really would be amazing. 5%, we could reliably get 5% on average, that's big. I mean, if you look at the [indiscernible] paper, that would suggest you're not just creating a phenotypic change, you have a really potentially transformative therapy. And then, of course, if the safety is good and the like.
Ritu Baral
analystSo -- but like just because you're popping champagne does that mean you're going to turn around and file for approval 3 months later?
Douglas Ingram
executiveIf i'm popping campaign, we're filing for approval. Whether we get it or not, it will be a discussion with the agency. We obviously have a lot of very good precedent for the use of dystrophin, truncated dystrophin as a surrogate endpoint in the neuro division but yes.
Ian Estepan
executiveI mean just one thing to add, just as it relates to this 5% to put it in context, different people use different ways of quantifying dystrophin, and you say [you can feed] different numbers. I think [indiscernible] 5% is in comparison to our PMOs specific, right? Because maybe use a different way of quantification, someone else could say, well we have 5% but you can't compare those different methods. So it's 5% compared to how we actually quantify distribution.
Ritu Baral
analystOkay. Got it.
Douglas Ingram
executiveThat is really important. And there's a host of reasons for that, you cannot compare against programs, unfortunately. The way individuals -- there's 2 different ways -- individual companies doing western blots are different. We have an exceptionally, rigorous -- and I would argue, particularly conservative approach that was driven through the neuro division in the FDA some years ago, plus you have to have a comparator, you use a comparator pool, we have a very conservative pool that against which, and it's only our pool, and therefore, really you have to look at it intraprogrammatic. To Ian's point, when I say 5%, I'm comparing that against what we see in EXONDYS, VYONDYS, AMONDYS, it's not what you might see [indiscernible].
Ritu Baral
analystAnd it's not even giving you like your own assets are still not telling you what the differential clinical profile could be between ELEVIDYS and 5051?
Douglas Ingram
executiveNo, you really have to really understand that we're going [to deliver] these therapies for a while.
Ritu Baral
analystOkay. So like you said, data in hand, 5%, you would turn around and file. Correct? Well, let's go back to safety for a second because I skipped over that. But as you see it right now as the DSMBs have progressed, what is the hypomagnesemia, real-world monitoring and supplementation going to look like? And as we think about forward programs, can that be engineered around for the next [indiscernible] you take it?
Douglas Ingram
executiveWe don't currently engineering the construct in a way that avoids hypomagnasemia. We don't have a basis yet to believe that to be the case as it relates to the use of peptides. We don't know that. I mean maybe it can be, but we don't have any empirical evidence that justifies it. So we were surprised to see hypomagnesemia itself, it's hard to find in animals. Just to put this in context, so it's definitely the case that we see a dose-dependent increase in hypomagnesemia with the use of the PPMOs. No doubt about that, that has been the case. What we don't see, which is very good news because hypomagnesemia could mean a lot of things. One thing it could mean is some significant kidney damage-related signal. We don't see that right now. That is not what we have seen. We -- the signals of kidney function look good. So whatever this may be, it doesn't appear to be the case and it [obscures] on its face to be both monitorable and manageable through the use of oral supplement magnesium. So what do we have? So for our Phase III, let's talk about what we have and what our aspiration will be, but that's going to depend on seeing the data. So what we have right now is the way we monitor, right -- the way we manage is the use of magnesium supplementation, that's BID, I think 200 mg BID, if I'm not mistaken. So it's just an oral magnesium supplementation. It's pretty straightforward, not particularly burdensome or difficult. And then we have a blood draw at the time of infusion. Again, that's a nothing. And then I shouldn't be -- but essentially it is. And then we do 1 at 7 to 10 days after infusion, and that happens every month. The goal -- that's the current protocol. The goal would be to understand this more, live with it and then determine if patients that aren't seeing any kind of hypomagnesemia issues seem to be very well controlled, whether you can actually start eliminating some of those blood draws over time. But we need to kind of get through the Phase III and really understand it better before we would confidently say that. So as it stands right now, clinical profile, again, is those numbers of monitoring.
Ritu Baral
analystSo the last 2 questions and you have exactly 2 minutes, Doug. Sorry about that. Given the data that drives approval is going to be expression, and given you said this is the compare and contrast is going to be a longer-term empirical data-driven decision, how and when do you think you're going to know what to invest from a commercial standpoint, from a corporate focus standpoint in your PPMO versus ELEVIDYS in your gene therapies? And looking beyond, where do you think PPMOs can be taken into next? Last year, Ian mentioned that there were potential kidney applications? Are there other muscle applications? How are you thinking about that?
Douglas Ingram
executiveSo a couple. So let's go first on the investment thesis of ELEVIDYS versus PPMO. It's never about investing in ELEVIDYS. We are fully committed to ELEVIDYS. We have fully -- we're as confident and convicted on ELEVIDYS as we could possibly be, and we're going to continue to invest aggressively to bring that therapy to as many patients as possible. On the PPMO, it's going to be very data-driven the expression and safety profile alone is going to give us a very insightful view on what this could mean over the long term. We already know that even small amounts of dystrophin provide a benefit. So we'll make some investment decisions once we see the results of momentum at the end of this year. And then on -- when we think about next steps, then the next step, of course, is if we're excited about it, do we go into -- we already have constructs built, how many additional Duchenne related constructs do we go into and we'll make that decision and we'll think about it next year. And then on other therapeutic areas, we can't make significant investment in other therapeutic areas until so we know that this PPMO platform is really meaningful, and we'll start knowing that at the end of this year. And there are a number of places we can go. I mean there are things like their kidney is a perfect place for it. We have some kidney diseases that we've looked at very deeply. The Pompe is one that people talk about often with respect to the PPMOs and we've done a lot of interesting preclinical work there. But translating that to something that would get to a clinic is a decision we're not going to make until we know what MOMENTUM looks like at the end of this year. And then we can make some interesting investment decisions on this part of the platform.
Ritu Baral
analystGreat. Well, with that, we are at time, Doug and Ian, thank you so much. I appreciate all of the insight and look forward to your first quarter for ELEVIDYS and how the base business gets along with it.
Douglas Ingram
executiveThank you so much. Thank you very much.
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