Seco S.p.A. (IOT) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 7, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Clarence Nahan
executiveSo good afternoon, and many thanks for all those who have connected to this call. Today, as usual, our CEO, Max will take you through the main updates in our business. And before that, our CFO, Lorenzo will run you through a detailed analysis of our financial performance. But let me start with the snapshot of our Q3 numbers. There are 3 messages we want to convey today. First, our top line, which recorded another acceleration in growth compared to the same period last year. Second, our continuous margin KPI progression with both gross margin and EBITDA reaching their best levels in 2 years. And third, our guidance for the end of the year, which we are in a position to reconfirm both on top line and gross profit. To complete this picture, we also wanted to reiterate some of the key milestones we achieved in the past 3 months. On the business side, this includes the launch of our first joint product with RaspberryPi, the Pi Vision based on the latest CM5 chip. We also launched our Clea Vend telemetry platform, consolidating our historical leadership in that vertical. And more broadly, our Application Hub continues to fill with a growing number of algorithm, on track to reach our target of over 150 dedicated solutions by early next year. Let me now hand over to our CFO, Lorenzo, for a more in-depth look in our numbers.
Lorenzo Mazzini
executiveThank you, Clarence, and good afternoon to all. Let's take a look to the key financial highlights on the 9 months 2025 KPIs. We are up 5% year-on-year on sales with a plus 9% in Q3 '25 with respect to Q3 '24. Increasing from the plus 6.5% of the second quarter of '25, respect to the second quarter '24. The growth is coming from all main markets, under recovery on 2024 overstocking context with the exception of Germany, which signs a minus 30% year-on-year. Software business is growing for the recurring revenue part, a plus 11%, driven by the progressive increase of the connected devices to the platform. For what concern, gross profit margin, really good performance is recorded in Q3; 25 with a 55 percentage profitability. This thanks to multiple factors: the contribution of software sales, a positive sales mix in edge computing on profitability terms and good purchasing results on electronic components. But most important for us is the EBITDA indicator. We are plus 50%, 5-0, year-on-year with a 22 percentage EBITDA margin recorded in Q3 '25. Key driver of this result is the operating leverage over decreasing OpEx, thanks to lower manufacturing costs recorded quarter-by-quarter during this year. Adjusted net income increased by about EUR 10 million year-on-year, primarily as a result of the EBITDA performance. I want to point out the reduction of interest expenses in the period by EUR 600,000, thanks to the progressive deleverage and to the [ official rate ] reduction. Passing to commenting the sales trend by area. It's important to point out that year-on-year, all key geographic areas grew at more than 20%. The only exception is Germany featured by a difficult economics and industrial context, which registered a minus 30%. Please consider that even EMEA, excluding Germany recorded a growth higher than 20%. Having a look to the end market, our key verticals experienced a double-digit growth, Industrial and Medical, in particular. The only exception is Vending, impacting by the destocking matter over a German customer. Let's pass to the adjusted EBITDA performance in the 9 months of 2025. We recorded that 21% in profitability terms with a really strong 22.2% in Q3 '25. Other than sales and gross margin, the main driver of these results is the EUR 4.6 million OpEx reduction, this excluding nonrecurring items. The other contributor to this achievement is the production efficiency consider that manufacturing costs decreased by EUR 2 million compared to the same period of 2024. For what concern, the nonrecurring adjustments in these 9 months are almost all represented by the stock option actuarial value. For what concern instead net financial position, in the third quarter, the group had a cash generation of EUR 2 million, adjusting the KPI, but the growth investment of the 2 new plants in Arezzo and China for a total consideration of EUR 3 million paid in Q3 '25. On financial side, I want to point out that the good leverage ratio just above 1x EBITDA calculated on the last 12 months. Thank you very much for your attention. I pass the talk to Max to continue with our presentation.
Massimo Mauri
executiveThanks, Lorenzo, and good afternoon to everyone. Now let me spend some time discussing our business and its prospects going forward. As you know, we are standing at the crossroads of technology revolution. Artificial intelligence is transforming the industrial sector, unlocking new ways to operate, optimize and scale business. Whatever is smart automation immersive human-machine interaction and real-time data monetization. All these are enabling faster, smarter decision and driving a dramatic transformation into the industrial field. But despite this potential is a matter of fact that the adoption of the AI in the B2B nowadays remain slow. Why? Because OEM faced a fragmented tech stack, a poor interoperability in the complex stakeholder coordination, legacy system only the added to the challenge. That's why the winners in this space want to just offer powerful technology, they will radically simplify its adoption. And this is where I think Seco will mark a significant difference. And this is our mission to really become the better partner to simplify the usage of the AI at the edge. Through the years, my vision for Seco has been to offer a fully integrated end-to-end solution. Now we are really there. Everything is ready, and I think thanks to it, we can really simplify and accelerate the adoption of edge AI for the OEM. In fact, with our Modular Vision HMI system and our own stack software framework, Clea, together we will -- all the recent launch of our dedicated AI algorithms Hub store. They will really offer an end-to-end solution, ready to be implemented into the OEM and solution and product. So this is where our [ strategy ] in R&D will mark a significant differentiation factor between ourselves and the rest of the competition. And thanks to our decade of expertise, we bring now verticals know-how, interconnected solution, enabling new business model to accelerate further the growth of the recurrent part of our software business. So if we go to the next slide, here, we prepared some example to make it simpler in terms of comprehension for everyone. This is divided and we will see it in 3 different kind of vertical, but you can imagine something similar, of course, for any vertical. This is where our capability to digitalize the product of the client, both on the hardware and on the software side, really make a huge difference also in terms of user experience. So the picture is extremely clear. I don't want to say too much else. Just everything that you can see here is digital payment, tailored refilling, dynamic pricing, predictive maintenance, all this kind of value-added service unlocked [ tends ] to our software suite, Clea. If we go to the next slide, we can see, in fact, how the vertical for the vending space Clea Vend is working. And this is an example of how our platform, which is hardware-agnostic works and really provide smart data and AI analytics ready to be used and leveraged by our customers. Moving forward, I think this is another good example, taking it as a reference example for any kind of industrial factories. Here, you can see how we -- for Galbusera's, which is an Italian producer. We really simplify their production line, combining Modular Vision with Clea being able to directly showing on the production line, a lot of essential KPI, quality, production, so on and so forth to really help the customer to increase efficiencies as well as production numbers. Another strong example on the energy is, of course, what we are doing with Hitachi Energy, where basically we combine, again, our strong expertise on the hardware part producing for them -- designing and producing for them an integrated grid computer to manage the distribution of the energies across the second station as well as integrating all the data [ within ] Clea. This is providing an unparallel solution to really help the customer to manage a lot of complexity and a lot of interaction between [ themselves ] and all their business partner. So I think looking this as such an example and thinking about what we are doing into the Application Hub. You can really understand which is the potential, which is completely and expressed right now of our software offering. As we go, we are continuing adding new application made by Seco and also by partners to our Application Hub, which will be launched later in the beginning of January '26. And it will lock another piece of complexity providing the capability to the customer to really implement AI on a device very quickly and in a super simple user-friendly way. All in all, all of these such solutions are always hardware-agnostic. And this is important to be able to cover also from a software prospective customers that are not using Seco hardware eventually. So finally, let me introduce our launch on the RaspberryPi Modular Vision. This is an amazing new product, low cost, to cover the industrial demand. We will start to sell it during the first quarter of the next year. And of course, we are expecting to have an acceleration of our organic growth thanks to this one, this product, which is, by the way, 1 of a family of new products that we are launching right now, and we will expect to receive orders and therefore, revenue in the forthcoming quarter. This is important also to mention in this product, it's available, Clea. So the framework is already [ pre-styled ], potentially available with a few click for any customer. So let me go into the investments that we are doing into the production side. In this picture, you can see the new facility, which is located near by Arezzo, our headquarter, at 3,500 square meter, very new building that will be up and running by the beginning of the second quarter next year and will increase our production capacity by 50%, and we'll provide those additional savings in terms of cost, reaching efficiencies at the maximum level. I think we can go now to the KPI of the company. We have a solid KPI. I think this is kind of KPI are really helpful to understand also which could be eventually the future of our growth. Looking the backlog and the order intake, you can appreciate, but it is up by 10% year-on-year already. And our book-to-bill continue to be healthy and all this key indicators are really confirming the good trend and the -- of growth that we can keep in the near future. Just to conclude my speech and leave space for a Q&A section. I want to reiterate and fully confirm our guidance, which is set at EUR 200 million plus in a constant currencies FX. I think we cover all the main topics of this publication, and I'm now happy to take some questions, if any. Thank you very much to all.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] First question today comes from Mr. Marco Vitale.
Marco Vitale
analystThe first 1 is on the outlook. We appreciate that you have confirmed your full year guidance. I was wondering if you could provide us some additional insights on the order intake trend? Also, what are the business pipeline as we are heading to 2026? The second question concerns the profitability. Once again, you have delivered very strong operating leverage and also very healthy gross profit margin. Going forward, do you still expect, say, additional margin expansion coming from operating leverage? Also, take into account that you will ramp up the new capacity -- the new plant in Arezzo also in the first part of the year. So I was wondering if this could have some, say, headwind in terms of profitability expansion going forward?
Massimo Mauri
executiveThank you. So about the revenue, we are expecting to -- the last quarter of this year, very strong with our revenue well above EUR 50 million. It will drive us into a lending figures which is fully confirmed, which is reflect and beat potentially the guidance. I think all the orders are already there. It's a matter of execution. We are executing well right now. So I have no doubt that this part will be covered by the end of the year. In terms of profitability, the good trend that we are having, I would expect it to continue because, in some ways, structure in terms of business model. As we go, we will continue to increase piece-by-piece proportionally on the revenue side that is coming from the software. And it will provide us additional headroom to improve our profitability. As well as the new building, I would assume to see it fully working by some times in May next year, it will drive in the second half of the year, of course, efficiencies and saw a reduction in terms of our production costs.
Operator
operatorNext question today comes from Mr. [ Filippo Mazzoleni ].
Unknown Analyst
analystI have a couple of questions. The first 1 regarding CapEx, out of the EUR 33 million one-off plan, could you please share the split between tangible and intangible and indicate when the remaining EUR 7 million is expected to be spent? I mean, in the second quarter 2025 or the first quarter 2026 or later? And secondly, on gross profit, could you give a bit more color on the business mix driving the margin improvement and on the savings achieved on purchasing?
Massimo Mauri
executiveRight. I will cover the 1 on the gross profit, and we'll let Lorenzo to cover the 1 on the CapEx. On the gross profit side is splitted between a mix of 3 positive factors. One, as I said, is the software. The other 1 is because we are able now to buy components at a better price without reducing the price to the customer, and this is giving us an additional headwind. And the last [ battle locally ] is, of course, due to a mix in the sales were medical and defense are more present against, for example, industrial or vending. And those 2 verticals, of course, provide us definitely a better margin than the others. So as a mix of the 3 is due to the -- this such results in the gross profit. The bottom line, I think, a good portion of it is long-term sustainable.
Lorenzo Mazzini
executiveYes. So thank you, Max. So having a look to the CapEx for these first 9 months 2025 and the split between tangible and tangible, we recorded about EUR 12 million in intangible CapEx on which, as you know, the biggest part is represented by the R&D capitalized over standard product. The residual part is tangible CapEx, and on this residual part, EUR 3 million are represented by development extraordinary CapEx relating to this new plant we are developing in Arezzo and China. For sure, the plant in Arezzo is pretty much bigger respect to the 1 of China. So the bigger part is relating of this EUR 3 million to the new plant in Arezzo.
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from Ms. Arianna Terazzi.
Arianna Terazzi
analystYes, can you hear me?
Operator
operatorYes, we can indeed.
Arianna Terazzi
analystPresentation, Max. First, I would ask a clarification and expansionary CapEx. The plant in Arezzo will be ready next April. But when you -- but could you recall us when this production site and the new lines in China will be at full regime. And to avoid misunderstanding, is it possible to know what revenue level can we assume when at regime? And lastly, and second and last, a follow-up on profitability and cost. So far this year, you were able to manage well components purchase. But I was wondering if you could provide more color on this front and an update on cost dynamics?
Massimo Mauri
executiveAll right. So about the production capacity, we basically -- we will close our production facility in Tregozzano, which is another place nearby Arezzo as well, and we will start in mass production, basically 100% of activities in May into this new plant, which is again nearby Arezzo. And we will add starting from January also an assembly factory in China. Thanks to these 2 adoption, we have enough production capacity to product internally around EUR 350 million in revenue. So we thought it was good for our company to make these investments now to prepare ourselves for the next 3, 5 years where we see a potential very strong growth and to make these investments right on time, it's important to be ready to capture the grow later as it will come. In terms of gross profit margin, mainly our capability to [ strategize ] their relationship with the key silicon vendors, which are partners of Seco like Qualcomm, Intel, NXP, and many others is providing us also the capability to buy components, CPU processor at a lower price or let me say, at 1 of the best price available to the market. It is giving us a competitive advantage in terms of pricing. And of course, headroom where we are improving our gross margin on the existing customers. I don't know if it is enough, Arianna, or do you want more?
Arianna Terazzi
analystThanks, very clear.
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from Mr. Bharath Nagaraj.
Bharath Nagaraj
analystI have a few, please. One is just a follow-up on the net new capacity. Sorry, I think you said you're shutting down, if I'm not wrong, 1 of the old factories. And this -- the new 1 that you're building will take its place and you start production from May. So in terms of the net new capacity increase, what would that be? Is that 50% still? Or is that lesser than that? That's the first question. And second 1 is around -- could you speak about any looming supply chain risk, for example, this Nexperia export ban, which seems to have now been lifted and also higher memory prices in the industry. How diversified is Seco in terms of the supply chain? And the last one, just a further clarification on the CapEx, should we kind of assume -- we have EUR 20 million approximately of CapEx currently for 2025, 2026 each year, should we just increase EUR 5 million for each year for the new capacity that you're trying to build? Just wanted to make sure that I get that right.
Massimo Mauri
executiveAll right. So about the first question, I confirm it's 50% net-net, meaning that from where we are right now, 50% plus. It will drive our production capacity in total at EUR 350 million potentially, revenue. That's for what regard the production capacity. In terms of risk on the supply chain and what's happening with Nexperia, yes, you are completely right. It was a problem basically during the last couple of months. We did a lot of work with our internal R&D to select [ B2B ] compatible alternatives, which we are now validated. Hopefully, we had enough stock in our warehouse to fulfill the demand of the product by the end of the year. And so for the next year, we are replacing basically the majority of this such of components with new components in [ B2B ] compatible, validating them, thanks to our internal R&D very quickly and made them available into the bill of material to enable our purchasing to acquire the goods. I think regarding the CapEx, as always, Lorenzo is 3x better than me to cover the point. So Lorenzo the stage is yours.
Lorenzo Mazzini
executiveYes. Thank you. For what concern the future and you are talking about our average EUR 20 million CapEx also if we take a look to last year. This is correct that EUR 15 million is in general, represented that we can continue to have this number for what concern intangible. We have, on average, EUR 5 million on tangible. This could increase a little for what concern the next year, including this development CapEx, but I would say in a range between EUR 3 million and EUR 4 million, not more for next year. And I would say EUR 2 million, EUR 3 million in addition for this year. So development CapEx, but that will not change in a significant term our CapEx trend, our CapEx figures.
Bharath Nagaraj
analystUnderstood. Just a quick follow-up, if I may. In terms of the October book-to-bill ratio, have you seen any further improvement from, let's say, the slight dip that we are seeing in the graph in September?
Massimo Mauri
executiveWell, you are meaning the order intake or the book-to-bill?
Bharath Nagaraj
analystThe book-to-bill, sorry.
Massimo Mauri
executiveWell, the book-to-bill is always like a cardio. And the reason why it's so simple, for example, it was higher in August and July because we had also holidays. So we did less production. And this is the reason why it's higher. When it was back and we made a lot of revenue in September, it went down, but it's not in absolute term. I would suggest to you guys to see the left part of this slide where you can see the order intake month by month. And this is where you can see actually the trend of the business.
Bharath Nagaraj
analystNo, absolutely. That's very useful. The reason I asked the question is because you have said in the statement about the book-to-bill is consistently above 1 for the first half, hence my question.
Massimo Mauri
executiveYes. As I said, it is looking -- the book-to-bill is still above 1.
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from Ms. Aleksandra Arsova.
Aleksandra Arsova
analystCan you hear me?
Operator
operatorYes, we can, indeed.
Aleksandra Arsova
analystOkay. Great. And then a couple of questions or follow-up on my end. If I remember correctly, during your last presentation, you said that you have roughly EUR 24 million in design wins and new contracts that will generate, let's say, new revenues next year. So maybe an update if you are on track with these projects and if you see any risk on delivering this EUR 24 million. And if you are gaining, let's say, achieving new contracts, new design wins? This is the first one. And the second 1 is maybe some clarifications on Clea. As I can see you increase likely the proportion of recurring revenues of the total, but doing some algebra, some maths, it seems that in absolute value, the recurring revenue stays at about EUR 2.1 million, EUR 2.2 million in the quarter, the same as the last couple of quarters. So how is the conversion rate of, let's say, project to recurring revenues going on? And what is the evolution of the recurring revenue you expect in absolute terms in the coming months and quarters?
Massimo Mauri
executiveRight. So let's start with the evolution of the recurrent revenue on Clea. We are expecting to see and to continue to see progression quarter-by-quarter. On the recurring revenue side, I think it will be next year much, much better because we have a few customers, but very important that we'll run into the mass production on the software side and therefore will contribute in the recurring revenue later next year. In terms of design win, it's all confirmed, we got this EUR 24 million that are related mainly to the 2026. I think it's important to mention, based on our business model now, we are working on new customers and new opportunity, but if we get something now, you will have an effect maybe in the last quarter of the '26 or later in the '27. So we are at the full speed now to collect important new business, but -- that will generate additional growth, additional revenue later in 2027. But what you mentioned for the '26 is fully confirmed, is on track in terms of R&D so far. So, so far, so good. Thank you very much for your questions.
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from Mr. Pietro Nargi.
Pietro Nargi
analystTwo main questions. The first 1 is on the operating expenses. So we have seen a strong improvement on OpEx in the third quarter. And in particular, if my calculations were correct. There is a decrease on labor costs, both on a quarter-on-quarter basis but also compared to the third quarter of the last year. So I was wondering if this decrease in labor cost is also due to higher R&D CapEx over the quarter? This is my first question. The second 1 is on the current market consensus on full year '26. So assuming the confirmation of the guidance for 2025, so -- and looking at the current consensus that is more or less EUR 230 million for 2026, that means organic growth in the mid-teens. I was wondering if you have any comments on that expectation? Also considering your order backlog is growing by 10%, so what is your feeling about current consensus expectation?
Massimo Mauri
executiveSo as you know, Pietro, we are not used to comment the consensus. So we will provide, as always, as we go we will guide the market across our numbers as we are now in a phase to prepare the business plan '26, '29 for our board. So I don't want and I cannot comment the consensus. About what you said on the labor cost, what you are thinking is completely wrong. So the level of capitalization on R&D is fully stable, even both comparing it with the previous quarter and in the previous year. The benefits that you are seeing into the labor costs are mainly driven by a couple of effects we did last year, and I mentioned I did it many times, a strong working reduction, our fixed cost, and this is a portion of that work and the efficiencies, basically that we had into the production made us capable to deliver, let me say, good revenue stream with less [ manned-operate ] cost with less cost of employees related to production. So the saving in terms of cost is coming from production, it's not coming from anything else.
Operator
operatorCurrently, we do not have any questions queued. We will wait a few seconds to give everyone the opportunity to raise their hands. As there are no further questions, I now have pleasure handing over back to the management team for any final comments. Thank you.
Massimo Mauri
executiveOkay. Thank you very much to all to follow this presentation. In the next -- for coming weeks we will be around, especially Clarence, in different kind of roadshow. And anyway, our IR team is always happy to be in touch for any further analysis. Thank you very much to all. See you soon. Bye.
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