SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. (SES.TO) Q3 FY2025 Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
October 30, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
OperatorGood morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. Q3 2025 Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] This call is being recorded on Thursday, October 30, 2025. And I would now like to turn the conference over to Ms. Alison Prokop. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Alison Prokop
ExecutivesThank you, and good morning to everyone who is listening to the call. Welcome to SECURE's conference call for the third quarter of 2025. Joining me on the call today is Allen Gransch, our President and Chief Executive Officer; Chad Magus, our Chief Financial Officer; and Corey Higham, our Chief Operating Officer. We will be making forward-looking statements during this call. These statements reflect current expectations and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially. We will also refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures, which may not be directly comparable to similar measures disclosed by other companies. Please refer to our continuous disclosure documents on SEDAR+ for more information on risk factors and definitions. Today, we will review our financial and operational results for the 3 and 9 months ended September 30, 2025. I'll now turn the call over to Allen.
Allen Gransch
ExecutivesGood morning, and thank you for joining today's call. SECURE delivered another strong quarter, demonstrating the resilience of our infrastructure-backed business. Our core waste and energy infrastructure network performed largely in line with expectations, and it continues to highlight the strength and the stability of our cash flows even amid lower oil prices and disciplined producer spending. Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was $135 million, up 6% year-over-year or 17% higher on a per share basis. Canadian producers continue to approach the current environment with caution, maintaining discipline and spending -- maintain disciplined spending and stable production. Our business directly benefits from their ongoing need to reliable waste management and energy infrastructure solutions. Approximately 80% of our adjusted EBITDA is derived from reoccurring production and industrial activity, while only 20% is linked to drilling and completions, underscoring our ability to generate stable cash flows across lower market cycles. This resiliency combined with disciplined execution gives us confidence in our ability to maintain strong free cash flow and balance sheet flexibility. We did, however, experience continued weakness in our metal recycling business, particularly with the ferrous market. Conditions remain challenging due to soft Canadian demand driven by tariffs on finished steel sold into the U.S. Foreign oversupply and broader macroeconomic caution that is limiting new steel production. These factors have reduced domestic sales and led to a buildup of ferrous inventory. We have now redirected 95% of our shipments to stronger U.S. markets where scrap metal remains exempt from tariffs, though the full financial benefit may be realized into 2026 as our inventory turns per month improve with our rail capacity expansion in Q4. As a result of lower drilling and completion activity stemming from weakening of the benchmark oil prices, together with the near-term headwinds in metal recycling, we are revising our 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to approximately $500 million. This reflects a 2% reduction from the low end of our prior range. Compared to the initial guidance provided last December, this decrease reflects the delayed ferrous metal sales as described, the weaker macro environment as well as the decision not to proceed with a small acquisition originally anticipated to contribute roughly $6 million of EBITDA this year. Importantly, our revised 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance represents approximately 5% growth over pro forma 2024 adjusted EBITDA. This demonstrates continued year-over-year improvement despite a softer macroeconomic environment and it highlights the strength and resilience of the business. Looking ahead, we expect to enter 2026 with strong operational momentum and the benefit of several long-cycle projects nearing completion. Our infrastructure growth program remains on track with $97 million of our $125 million capital budget deployed in the first 9 months of the year. The 2 major projects we've advanced this year, both pipeline connected produced water disposal facilities in the Alberta Montney region are progressing on schedule. Each project is backed by 10-year commercial agreements with strong counterparties. The first facility is expected to be operational before year-end and the second in early 2026. These developments will add meaningful capacity in one of the most active basins in North America and generate stable reoccurring cash flow for years to come. We've also increased the project scope associated with our Industrial Heartland waste processing facility, which will expand our ability to manage industrial waste in an underserviced region. This facility is now expected to be operational later in Q2. In total, over 70% of our 2025 organic growth capital is directed towards long-cycle contract-backed infrastructure projects that perform across commodity cycles. As these assets come online, together with an expected recovery in metals recycling and continued strength across our core network, we anticipate delivering solid adjusted EBITDA growth in 2026. Our balance sheet remains strong with total debt-to-EBITDA of 2.1x or 1.8x, excluding leases, providing ample flexibility to support our capital priorities. Through the first 9 months of the year, we've returned $335 million or nearly $1.50 per share to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, reducing our outstanding shares by approximately 8%. We remain committed to opportunistic buybacks under our Normal Course Issuer Bid and maintaining our quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share, supported by our strong free cash flow and balance sheet flexibility. Our strategy remains unchanged to build long life, high barriers to entry infrastructure backed by contracts and reoccurring volumes to operate safely and efficiently and to continue to return meaningful capital to shareholders. With that, I'll turn it over to Chad to walk through our Q3 financial results in more detail.
Chad Magus
ExecutivesThanks, Allen, and good morning, everyone. From a financial standpoint, the third quarter again demonstrated the strength and stability of our cash flow profile. Revenue, excluding oil purchase and resale, was $365 million, down 2% from Q3 2024, primarily due to lower specialty chemical sales and volumes tied to reduced drilling and completions. This decrease was partially offset by contributions from the Edmonton metals recycling acquisition completed earlier this year. Net income was $1 million compared to $94 million in the same period last year. The decline reflects a noncash $55 million provision in the current quarter as well as the absence of a onetime tax recovery that benefited the prior year results. Excluding these nonrecurring items, underlying profitability remained stable. The provision relates to an arrangement for crude oil storage capacity at a major oil hub in Western Canada. Following the start-up of the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion last year and the resulting increase in market egress, the near-term prospects for profitable use or subleasing of the storage tanks have decreased. In accordance with accounting standards, SECURE recognized a provision for the present value of the remaining fixed monthly payments associated with the contract. Adjusted EBITDA was $135 million, up 6% from the prior year as contributions from the Edmonton metals recycling acquisition and proactive G&A cost reductions more than offset the impact of lower drilling and completion activity and continued weakness in the ferrous metals market. Funds flow from operations was $96 million and discretionary free cash flow was $68 million, providing ongoing capacity to support dividends, growth and share buybacks. We invested $54 million of growth capital in the quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to $97 million, primarily for the Montney water projects, incremental railcars and optimization projects. Our sustaining capital spend was $24 million in the quarter and $59 million year-to-date, consistent with our expectations. We continue to forecast we'll spend $85 million on sustaining CapEx this year. With respect to capital returns, we repurchased 1.7 million shares at an average price of $15.77 for a total of $27 million in Q3, bringing year-to-date repurchases to 18.1 million shares for $268 million, including the Substantial Issuer Bid completed earlier this year. We maintained our quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share for an annualized yield of approximately 2%. Our leverage ratio of 2.1x total debt-to-EBITDA and 1.8x excluding leases, reflects continued balance sheet strength and liquidity of over $300 million, comprised of cash on hand and capacity on our credit facility. With a strong free cash flow outlook and disciplined spending, we have significant flexibility to continue returning capital while funding high-return projects and potential bolt-on acquisitions. For the fourth quarter, we expect adjusted EBITDA to remain broadly consistent with Q3 levels, supported by stable production and industrial activity as well as incremental contributions from new infrastructure as projects begin to come online. While our outlook assumes steady operating conditions, results could be influenced by several seasonal and market factors, including the severity of December weather, the extent of typical year-end holiday slowdowns, significant movements in commodity prices and the timing of metals inventory drawdowns. I'll now pass it on to Corey for some operational detail.
Corey Higham
ExecutivesThanks, Chad. Operationally, our team executed very well throughout the quarter, maintaining high reliability and safety performance across our network. At our waste processing facilities, we safely processed on average 91,000 barrels per day of produced water and 36,000 barrels per day of slurry and emulsion. We also recovered 220,000 barrels of oil from waste streams, reinforcing the value we create. 941,000 tons of solid waste were also safely contained across our landfill network. Overall, volumes declined from the third quarter of 2024, driven by a combination of lower activity levels, maintenance program and remediation project deferrals. Specifically, our produced water volumes were down 3% on a quarter-over-quarter basis, although up 1% on a trailing 12-month basis. In addition to lower field activity, the scheduled maintenance and shutdown of a third-party gas plant temporarily impacted produced water volumes in the Montney/Wapiti area. Both upstream volumes were fully restored by mid-Q3. Processing volumes were down 16% quarter-over-quarter as discretionary work related to customer integrity management programs, facility turnarounds and some remediation program postponement. Additionally, as part of SECURE's preventive maintenance programs and taking advantage of lower field activity levels during the quarter, we had a number of our facilities undergo onetime maintenance work impacting further -- further impacting processing volumes. All of those facilities are back to 100% operational. As a result of the produced water and processing volumes, our recovered oil volumes decreased by 26%. Landfill volumes were down 23% quarter-over-quarter due to a combination of postponed remediation projects and field activities from our customers. Of note, the comparative Q3 2024 was a record quarter for SECURE's landfill segment, magnifying the decrease in the current year period. While our volumes were lower compared to the third quarter of 2024, there was minimal impact to waste processing facility and landfill margin contributions due to price increases implemented at the beginning of 2025. Our metals recycling business continues to benefit from the scale and efficiencies of the Edmonton acquisition. We are proactively managing through near-term challenges in the ferrous market by expanding our rail fleet with 50 new cars in 2025 and adding 50 cars on short-term lease to improve efficiency and access to U.S. markets. At present, we have approximately 220 railcars shipping ferrous scrap to the U.S. Prior to the tariffs being enacted, we were able to accept process and ship our inventory at a minimum of 1 inventory turn per month. Since the tariffs were put in place, our inventory turns have decreased where it takes us on average 45 days to turn our inventory, causing our inventory to build. This is a result of shipping our product further into the U.S. versus our domestic mills with shorter railcar turnaround times. As we move into the fourth quarter, the addition of the new railcars will allow us to catch up on our inventory shipments, though the full financial benefit may be realized into 2026 as we continue to manage logistics, our average turns per month and expand our rail capacity, a key competitive advantage that provides greater flexibility and cost efficiency in serving multiple markets. We are also continuing to prioritize nonferrous metals with stronger fundamentals and maintaining disciplined purchasing and feedstock pricing to protect margins. We expect performance to improve as 3 key factors normalize: rail throughput increases and logistics efficiencies take effect, North American steel demand recovers supported by infrastructure and manufacturing investment and import pressure eases as global steel production moderates. In our Specialty Chemicals business, reduced drilling and completions activity has affected our drilling fluids business. However, our production chemicals business continues to grow. We've invested in people, equipment and product development to expand our product offering to help customers address complex operational and production challenges. In our Energy Infrastructure segment, pipeline and terminaling volumes averaged approximately 135,000 barrels per day, up modestly from last year, driven by increased throughput at our Clearwater terminal following the Phase 3 expansion. These assets continue to operate under long-term commercial agreements, providing stable fee-based cash flows and a platform for future growth. Our talented staff continue to drive cost efficiencies and throughput optimization across our operations. Overall, our infrastructure continues to perform as designed, providing safe, reliable and environmentally responsible solutions to our customers. With that, I'll turn the call back to Allen for closing remarks.
Allen Gransch
ExecutivesThanks, Corey. To summarize, SECURE delivered another solid quarter in what remains a volatile environment. Our infrastructure-backed network continues to generate stable, high-quality cash flow supported by reoccurring production and industrial volumes, regulatory-driven demand, strong customer relationships and operational excellence. Operationally, our teams continue to perform exceptionally well, executing projects that strengthened our network and laid the groundwork for higher EBITDA in 2026. In metals recycling, we've acted quickly to address market conditions through targeted strategies that protect margins and reposition sales to stronger markets. Looking ahead to 2026, we expect to build momentum as new infrastructure comes online and metal recycling synergies and U.S. transportation logistics are streamlined. These initiatives, combined with supportive long-term industrial fundamentals provides a strong foundation for sustained growth. The start-up of the Trans Mountain expansion and the commissioning of LNG Canada are improving market access and narrowing price differentials, supporting incremental production and associated waste volumes. Additional LNG export capacity, data center developments and ongoing government programs focused on the liability reduction and are expected to reinforce these structural tailwinds in the years ahead. With more than 80 strategically located high barrier to entry facilities across Western Canada and North Dakota, SECURE is well positioned to meet growing demand for waste and energy infrastructure. Our network offers both expansion capacity and stability across market cycles, underpinning consistent volume and earnings growth through 2026 and beyond. Thank you for joining us today and your continued support of SECURE. We'd like to highlight that we expect to provide 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance and capital investment guidance in February of 2026, along the release of our fourth quarter and full year 2025 results. This is a change from prior years but aligns more closely with industry practice amongst our peers. Operator, we'd now like to open the line for questions.
Operator
Operator[Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from the line of Konark Gupta from Scotiabank.
Konark Gupta
AnalystsJust to begin with on the volume side of things. I think you guys pointed out, obviously, there's a bunch of issues in the quarter because of which the Waste Management segment volumes declined. I'm just wondering, is it possible to kind of parse out how much of the volume decline was directly associated with drilling and completion as opposed to the turnaround and other issues with production?
Corey Higham
ExecutivesKonark, it's Corey. Good question. And when you look at the rig count dropping [ 15% ] quarter-over-quarter, it certainly made up a big chunk of the decline. And when producers -- the knock-on effect producers will tighten their budgets, they'll drill less wells, they'll complete less wells. And when they complete less wells, there's less waste to process, there's less drilling waste to dispose of. So there's just this knock-on effect where you're getting lower volumes. But when you look into the quarter, July was very similar to Q2 levels. And as you move through July, August and September, there was just a general incremental increase month-over-month, and we're seeing that into October. So it was a tougher quarter from a volume perspective, but the assets operated the way they're supposed to, and our teams are chasing and hunting every barrel and cubic meter of waste that's out there.
Allen Gransch
ExecutivesI think too, Konark, to add to what Corey is saying, I think with a softer commodity, and I think we've been hovering in the high 50s, low 60s here, it just -- and we've said this in our outlook, it makes producers pause a little bit. They're thinking more on if they want to pause a turnaround or if they want to slow certain things down. As we're kind of looking into this quarter here, this last quarter of the year, it seems like most of them are kind of driving towards spending their budgets for the year. But you can understand with the softer commodity why activity levels generally would slow down a bit and relatively hung in there as well. So it wasn't really a surprise to us. It's just you kind of saw it come to fruition as we got through Q3.
Konark Gupta
AnalystsOkay. Fair comment. On the guidance then, so I mean you're expecting now I think $500-ish million for full year on EBITDA basis. And I think it's not like down a lot from the low end of what you guys said before. But is that like incrementally -- you pointed out, obviously, the M&A that didn't happen. But is there an incremental pressure you would say from the metal recycling side or from the drilling and completion side versus where you guys were thinking 3 months ago perhaps? I mean, I'm just trying to understand like what drove this push down toward the $500 million. Is it more the metals or the drilling?
Allen Gransch
ExecutivesGood question, Konark. I would say there's a bit of balance on both. I think it's a bit of carryover on just general activity levels with the softer commodity price. And as I said, producers are kind of driving towards completing their budgets. December now becomes the period at which things slow down here in Western Canada. You used to have a bit of a breakup in the second quarter. But with all the pad drilling going on, they really just go hard all throughout the year. And so giving their own guys a break is typically now the Christmas break. And so depending on weather in December and how close they get to their budgets, we know that there's going to be some softer volumes coming through in that month. So there's a -- part of it is associated with that. Part of it is associated with metals. It took us throughout the entire Q3 to get into some of these new U.S. markets. And so we were successful now transitioning 95%. I mean it's a huge competitive advantage for our facilities here in Western Canada to have not only the mega shredder in Edmonton and being able to process more efficiently, but also to have these railcars and move in the market into the U.S. And so a huge advantage for us to shift entirely all of our scrap into the U.S. I think I talked about it in Q2, just maybe we could get an agreement with the U.S. on, on tariffs on steel, and that didn't happen. So we've effectively transitioned now 95% of the U.S. market. So for us, it's -- now that we have the market, it's all around the logistics and being able to get the turnaround time on the trains. Typically, when it's closer in Canada or relatively close from the border, you're looking at 21 days turning around your cars and getting them back and filled up again. As you think about further into the U.S., we're moving more into the 40, 45 days to get those same cars back. And so that logistics and that turnaround time is really the delta here. And we've seen our inventory start to build here in through October. And it's going to be how efficient we can get the logistics nailed down here to the fourth quarter here, but there could be some amount that spills in. So it's really just a shift to profit as we think about our logistics. We've got an additional 50 cars that we've just leased that's going to add on to our fleet. So we're sitting around 270 railcars right now. And so we're going to run with that, make sure we can optimize our logistics. And yes, so those would be the 2 main factors for pinning it down on approximately $500 million.
Konark Gupta
AnalystsOkay. And I just want to wrap up on the metal recycling side. I think you laid out a lot of factors there and numbers there. So I just want to understand, is that shift to the U.S. 95%, I mean that's obviously significantly higher than what you typically did before. Is that more like a temporary phenomenon? And I mean when you get more cars in next year, a, do you plan to return the lease cars? And b, do you expect the 40, 45-day inventory -- sorry, the car turnaround time to get back to closer to like 21 days or could still be higher because of the U.S.?
Allen Gransch
ExecutivesYes. I mean, logistically, it is further to transport the cars. So I think the average days, maybe we get it down into that, call it, 40 days range. The lease cars that we brought on, that's, I think, another 3-year lease or 5-year lease for those cars. So they're in our fleet and it will be able to allow us to manage into the U.S. market for quite some time. We don't anticipate coming back into the Canadian market for quite some time. So we're really in developing these relationships with the mills in the U.S. and just optimizing our turnaround time. So if we need a few more lease cars if we find that, that is the optimal level that we need, and that's what we're going to run. So we'll get it figured out here. It's what I call it a 3 to 6 months bringing out the logistics. But it just puts us such an advantage to our competition to be able to have these markets and to be able to price into the U.S. So again, coming up with this whole hub-and-spoke model, getting these other locations to feed into Edmonton to not only process it more efficiently, but then get it on the cars and get it down to these markets is great for us. So yes, we'll navigate that through Q4 and Q1, but after that, it should be just smooth running.
Corey Higham
ExecutivesYes, Konark, once the Canadian mills get some demand back and whether that's tariff relief or it's part of our federal government's Build Canada Better program, even if you have some Canadian mills resume, you saw we -- we've built some really good relationships with these mills, and there's certainly demand that we're seeing into Q1. So we don't have any issues in this current environment in being able to get rid of this inventory. If Canada does get in a much better position, we just have more outlets for our product, which is a good news all around.
Operator
OperatorAnd your next question comes from the line of Michael Doumet from National Bank.
Michael Doumet
AnalystsI know it's 10% of your business, but I do want to touch on it a little bit more. So on the metals business, is there any way you can quantify how much of the 2025 EBITDA guidance was attributable to the metals? And the reason why I'm asking is because I feel like that's part of the business that can bounce back relatively easily in 2026. And just the latter part of that question. When you guys think about the metals business recovering in 2026, I would think that feedstock prices have to decline to offset the higher logistic costs. So I'm just wondering if you're seeing that already.
Allen Gransch
ExecutivesYes, great question. So when we look at our guidance for 2025, we've talked about metals being about 10% of that overall guidance. So call it in the ballpark of around $50 million. And I commented there's a couple of things that have happened. Number one, when we acquired [ GRI ] in February, we knew that there was going to take -- there was going to be a time frame here, call it, 12 to 18 months to realize synergies. And what our synergies were? The first synergy we wanted to achieve was operational synergies. So this was getting our other locations that we call the feeder locations set up in a manner in which we can transfer that scrap efficiently into the Edmonton market and then process it. So we get the operational synergies. Our shredder was running around 50% utilization. Our goal is to get it above 65%, and we're well on track to getting higher utilization, which is a more efficient way to process the scrap. So we knew there was going to be operational synergies. We knew there was going to be transportation synergies, and that's really from these new cars where they can hold 30% more scrap than these old leased cars that we have. And that transportation synergy, you pay by the car, you don't pay by the size that it can hold. And so we knew we would gain transportation synergies as well. And then we had some system integrations we wanted to do as well. A lot of these mom-and-pops run very archaic systems. We wanted to get it all up to a new operating system where we could use a lot of data management to make our inventory turns and our annual or monthly processing very, very efficient. And so those synergies were going to take time. So we're going to get synergies into 2026 once we have all of that figured out. But when we think about the, let's call it, the $50 million or so associated with metal, switching into the U.S. market, there was a time that we're sending kind of smaller loads where they're getting test loads and we're getting relationships complete with some mills that we haven't done business with in quite some time. So there was a bit of a -- and I think I said in Q2 and Q3, you're calling like a $3 million to $5 million kind of impact to get that all established. So now we're moving into really can we turn the inventory. I wanted to turn the inventory every 30 days so that you're not taking any sort of commodity risk. That's ultimately the way we're going to set up the business. We don't want the volatility. We just want the spread between what's coming across the scale to what we can sell to in the U.S. market. And so to your point is the price coming down to offset the logistics expense, the answer is yes. We have to factor in what we would be willing to pay on the scale versus the cost to transport to get to the U.S. market. So that just takes time to figure out. So there is more upside as we think about 2026 metals, all of this logistically figured out and optimized, but also get those synergies realized. So there will be upside in 2026. And Q4 really is just a matter of what is our inventory build and how many cars do we need to make this as optimal as possible.
Michael Doumet
AnalystsAllen, just on the $3 million to $5 million that you talked about there, was that the Q2, Q3 impact or potentially the full year impact?
Allen Gransch
ExecutivesThat's right. That's the Q2, Q3 impact. So now I'm moving more into just the logistics aspect in Q4 on the inventory build and how much I can transfer out.
Michael Doumet
AnalystsAnd maybe changing topics here. On the buybacks, what are your thoughts on share repurchases at these higher levels? I mean, do you or maybe the Board, do you have a preference for opportunistic buybacks? Or is there a view that maybe a more regular pro rata purchase makes more sense here?
Chad Magus
ExecutivesMichael, it's Chad here. We've always said we're going to be opportunistic, and we reevaluate it every quarter along with our Board and just kind of set parameters as to how much we're going to buy. And obviously, we want to be in the market buying at levels that we think are attractive at that period of time. Now things have been transitioning nicely for us and that the multiple has been expanding and continue to reevaluate. We kept the wording on purpose that we're going to continue to be opportunistic buyers of our own stock.
Operator
Operator[Operator Instructions] And your next question comes from the line of Arthur Nagorny from RBC Capital Markets.
Arthur Nagorny
AnalystsJust on the Specialty Chemicals business, correct me if I'm wrong, but I think you previously called out that drilling and completion is about 50% of that business with the rest being more tied to production. So I guess, would it be fair to say that drilling and completion activity or revenue was down meaningfully more than that 12% for that business? Or are there any other moving pieces that we should be keeping in mind there?
Chad Magus
ExecutivesArthur, it's Chad here. Yes, within Specialty Chemicals, about half is drilling fluids, so really tied to the rig count and then the other half is Specialty Chemicals. And so yes, I'd say the revenue decline there is fairly close to what we saw with rig activity decline in the quarter.
Arthur Nagorny
AnalystsAnd then on the metals recycling business, it seems like the Edmonton facility generated [ $28 ] million of revenue in the quarter, which is only modestly lower than the $30 million in Q2, and that's, I guess, despite all the headwinds. But can you maybe talk about how things are progressing with that acquisition? And maybe what the revenue-generating capacity of that business could be like in a steadier operating environment?
Allen Gransch
ExecutivesYes, I mean the -- I would say when you think about having a macro challenge like finished steel tariffs in Canada, it has an impact on the market. This is pretty unprecedented and it's why not only with the tariffs, but also just general kind of slowdown in activity from an industrial standpoint. We knew we had to deal with that kind of more challenging backdrop. But the business and the acquisition that we've acquired, we're very happy with. It is performing very well. We're super happy with the utilization of that shredder and how the shredder is operating the yard, how we're integrating all of our facilities. So we know there is substantial upside as we think about '26 and '27 with this asset. You kind of bought it in the low part of the cycle, and we're currently optimizing at the same time. And so managing like I said, the logistics piece, once we get that figured out, this thing is going to be running very, very smoothly. And our goal will be to turn this inventory every month. And I think it gives you that, again, that competitive advantage to have multiple markets to be able to send your product to and that creates that advantage for us, specifically when we're attracting scrap into the Edmonton facility from that industrial market. So yes, so there is, I would consider what you see this year as being our low part of what metals can do, and there's definitely going to be upside. And we'll -- I think I mentioned it in the call, we're going to put 2026 guidance out with our 2025 annual Q4 release kind of end of February. That's when most of our waste peers put out guidance. So at that point, I'll give you more clarity on where I think metals could go for the 2026 year. It just gives me a few more months to get through some of these, the areas I spoke about.
Arthur Nagorny
AnalystsAnd then I guess in the Energy Infrastructure segment, you called out lower contribution from more mature areas. Is that just a function of, I guess, decline curves on producing wells? And do we need to see an uptick in drilling and completion activity for this to maybe reverse?
Corey Higham
ExecutivesYes. I think it's a bit of both of those, Arthur. You do have mature areas and when they stop drilling in some of those areas, the production does come down, but again, offset with the contributions from our Nipisi business. So we're pretty comfortable and confident in this business and market growth. So...
Allen Gransch
ExecutivesYes. I think when you look at the price of oil, as I said kind of high 50s, if you look at the basin here, the reservoirs in Canada, you're kind of in that breakeven at $50 WTI. And so yes, they're going to slow down when you're into the 50s. But when you look at the play, they're very, I would say, from a netback perspective ahead of where maybe some of the U.S. production would be. And so all of this, you see that a little bit of a pause and it's to be expected given we're in the third year where WTI seems to be soft. But it just shows you though, even with that little bit of decline on the drilling aspect, production still was very flat and kind of came into where we expected. So it's a good signal for us. And obviously, we're more bullish as we think about activity development in 2026.
Arthur Nagorny
AnalystsAnd last one for me. The adjusted EBITDA margins were notably strong in the quarter, particularly in light of the revenue declines across your segments. Is there anything in there that you would call out as maybe being more onetime in nature? Or can we expect margins to be more in this range going forward, I guess, with keeping seasonality in mind?
Chad Magus
ExecutivesYes, I think when you look at the last couple of years of where the margin percentage has been, it has fluctuated. It is -- with all our different service lines, they all do have, in some instances, fairly significantly different margin profile. And so it really is the mix in the quarter. And so this quarter, I think the biggest drivers were Specialty Chemicals being a lower percentage of the overall EBITDA. They are at a lower margin. And so that helped, I guess, [ void ] the margin to higher than where we've seen on average. And then also probably lower than normal G&A this quarter as well, just helped to get to that 37%. But I think year-to-date, we're about 34%. And I think that's probably when you look at what we forecast going forward, we'd expect to be in the mid-30s, but it will be somewhat variable quarter-over-quarter.
Operator
OperatorThere are no further questions at this time. Mr. Gransch, please proceed.
Allen Gransch
ExecutivesThank you for your time today. We look forward to presenting at the Baird Industrial Conference in Chicago in a couple of weeks, followed by Scotiabank Transportation and Industrials Conference in Toronto mid-November. As mentioned, we expect to release our fourth quarter and 2025 annual results along with 2026 guidance at the end of February. Thank you all for your continued support.
Operator
OperatorAnd this concludes today's call. Thank you for participating. You may all disconnect.
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