Sedana Medical AB (publ) (SEDANA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
March 19, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorHello, and welcome to this investor call with Sedana Medical, where CEO, Johannes Doll; and CMO, Peter Sackey will talk about the SESAR study results. [Operator Instructions] And with that said, I hand over the word to you guys.
Johannes Doll
executiveThank you very much for that introduction, and thank you very much to everyone for joining us in this investor call today. We have had a dramatic reaction on the stock market yesterday following the publication of the SESAR results, an investigator-led trial that was performed in France. And our main goal with this call today is to address your questions. We will make sure we have sufficient time for that in the end of this call. And before that, we will share what we know about this study at this point. Even though it is not our study and not our drug used in the study, we will make an attempt to offer possible explanations for why we are seeing the study results, and then we will talk about what this could mean for us as a business and what actions we are taking on the commercial side to both capture the opportunities that arise from this as well as mitigate possible risks. With me, I have our Chief Medical Officer, Peter Sackey today, who will start us off now. He is actually joining us from the ISICEM Congress in Brussels, where the results of the SESAR trial were presented yesterday and where he also had the opportunity to discuss the results at an evening event with 20 top sedation key opinion leaders that Sedana Medical has organized. Peter, please.
Peter Sackey
executiveThank you. So we can take the next slide, please. Yes. So just a short interpretation and a view on our clinical development program as we move forward. So next slide, please. So the SESAR study was inhaled sedation with sevoflurane in acute respiratory distress syndrome. And this was a study that was in part supported by Sedana Medical. The primary source of funding was the French Ministry of Health. This was a so-called investigator-initiated study or investigator-initiated trial. And these are driven by independent investigators, physicians that want to look at the clinical question, and they determine the protocol and need the study. So we are minimally involved. In the case of SESAR, there was a question from the first author from the team in Clermont Ferrand in France for supply with materials and also funding for training -- by training us. And at that time, when we had those discussions with the investigators, we were developing isoflurane for ICU sedation. But at that time, there was no approved inhaled sedative. And based on the pilot study that were performed by Matthieu Jabaudon and the study team that demonstrated the benefits of sevoflurane for 48 hours, Sedana Medical decided to support the study. And we can move over to the next slide. And the whole idea of supporting that study was to interact with a key opinion leader who was very interested in inhaled sedation in general. He chose to use sevoflurane. And as I mentioned, we did not have any approved drug at the time. And there were also some things that were not known about sevoflurane for this indication at the time. So it looked like a promising opportunity, even though we were pursuing a different drug for good clinical medical reasons, I would say. So looking at the SESAR study, this was a study looking at patients with moderate to severe acute respiratory distress syndrome. And the intervention was inhaled sevoflurane for a week -- up to a week initially for deep sedation and thereof lighter compared with propofol that was supposed to be used in the same way. And the primary endpoint, the outcome was days alive without invasive ventilation through day 28. Next slide, please. 700 patients were randomized and into these 2 groups, and we'll not go into detail about the inclusion/exclusion criteria. We'll just move on to the next slide. So this was a big study with sevoflurane. Here are some results. What we see here are the different sedation levels throughout the first week of treatment. On the left, we see sevoflurane and on the right, we see propofol. And what one -- I can tell you is that the dark blue portion of the bars indicates very deep sedation, the deepest you can actually achieve on the sedation scale called Richmond Agitation Sedation Scale. And if you look carefully, you will see that the maximal and the minimal RASS level was deeper for sevoflurane, both the maximum and the minimum compared to propofol any given day. So total sedation duration in both groups was 7 days and the total duration of pharmacologically induced paralysis was 5 days. And this is a little bit different from what they had intended. It was to be 2 days of deep sedation and paralysis and thereafter lighter sedation. Can move to the next slide, please. Looking at the sedatives they received, in the sevoflurane group, they received more propofol than the propofol group received placebo. And we'll come back to that. You can see the blue indicates sevoflurane on the left side and then the striped lines, the stripped parts of the bar shows the proportion of patients that also received propofol. We can move to the next slide, please. And the primary endpoint, as I mentioned, was ventilator-free days in the first 28 days, and this implies that the patients are live and liberated from mechanical ventilation. Should you die any time in those first 28 days, you are assigned the value 0 and the maximum value is 28. That's if you were to be extubated and stayed alive for 28 days. And then if you look at the next slide, we can see the results in the study. And the 2 very high bars are showing the 0 ventilator-free days, and there are more of them in the sevoflurane group than in the propfol group. The median difference between the groups was 2.1 days. So 2.1 days more ventilator-free days with propfol compared to sevoflurane, which was opposite contrasting to the hypothesis that the investigators had. Next slide, please. This was largely driven by higher mortality in the sevoflurane group. And you can see that the cumulative incidence of death is higher, and it separates the curve separate already in the first week of treatment. The mortality at 90 days was 52.9% for inhaled sevoflurane and 44.3% for propofol, which is, I would say, for a 90-day mortality, it's quite in line with other studies, the propfol mortality, the sevoflurane mortality is slightly higher. Next slide, please. Looking at the secondary endpoints, I've highlighted the 7-day mortality just to show that there was already a difference in mortality during the treatment period in the first 7 days. So you can see 19.4% in the placebo group versus 13.5% in the propofol group. Next slide, please. And why did these patients die? The main differences in causes of death, and this was free text that's been transformed into categories by the investigators was multiorgan failure, with a slightly higher numbers. The randomized groups were similar. So if we look at the numbers, they should be the same. And if they're different, it means that the higher number indicates a higher mortality in that group. So multi-organ failure, refractory hypoxemia and refractory shock. And the biggest difference you can see with refractory shock. So 15 in the propofol group and 30 in the sevoflurane group. Let's move to the next slide, please. So how could one interpret these results? We had this discussion together with the main investigator and other people knowledgeable in sedation, ventilation and also in inhaled sedation yesterday evening. It was a very interesting discussion. And I would say that the 3 drivers, I would say, among experienced researchers, clinical researchers was really the impact of COVID-19, likely high doses of sevoflurane and also sevoflurane-related renal failure. And we're going to go a little bit into depth on those 3 aspects. So if we move to the next slide, COVID-19 came as a surprise in early 2020. The clinical trial, SESAR study started in May 2020. So that was about when it was at its worst. And most of the ICUs that were in SESAR were relatively new or completely new to inhaled sedation when they started. And this meant that there was an impact on the way we could help with training. And there was also an impact, of course, locally on training and communication teamwork was impacted severely during COVID. And this had impact both on the conduct of the study and most likely also with the new therapy that inhaled sedation implied. Up on the right there, you see me during COVID, I worked some extra shifts in Karolinska University Hospital. And it was very clear that it was difficult to do sort of new things, complex interventions to get support for young people working or people temporarily working to understand anything sort of that was out of the ordinary. And one of the things that was done in the study due to COVID-19 was that the initially planned monitoring of sedation depth either with the processed EEG electroancephalogram or with the end-tidal concentration of sevoflurane that was initially mandatory, but the investigators, this was Matthieu, shared with us yesterday that, that was removed that requirement to monitor and record the values because of COVID-19 because it was very -- it became more cumbersome. And as I said, this whole scenario with COVID-19 implied that the proficiency in managing any novel therapy was slightly disfavored. And propofol is something that has been used for a very long time. And many of these patients want paralysis also. So that means that having -- not having any objective -- more objective than the sedation level clinically or sort of a tool to assess sedation would make it quite difficult to dose sevoflurane appropriately given that it was a new drug. If we move to the next slide. So why do we say likely high doses of sevoflurane? Well, when RASS could be done, it was deeper for sevoflurane than for propofol. An indicator of sedation level is, of course, the clinical response to stimulation. It can also be EEG monitoring for inhaled anesthetics, you can also measure the concentration, which can help guide you, give you a feeling of whether you're on the right level or not. But yet another indicator of sedation level is whether or not the patient has low blood pressure or not. Typically, an agitated or distressed patient has high blood pressure and a very sedated patient has very low blood pressure. And one of the drugs used to increase blood pressure in that scenario is norepinephrine. And this drug was almost 50% higher in the placebo group in the most days during sedation, the first week, indicating that these patients were likely oversedated. Also, looking at the separation of mortality in the first week, that indicates that part of this excess mortality was likely directly related to the differences in the groups, meaning treatment related. And also, I showed you the causes of death where mortality differences were a bit largest when it comes to circulation, so circulatory shock. And if you are hypovolemic, which these patients might have been, you're extra sensitive to any sedative, I would say. And so this could be one reason for this excess mortality in circulatory shock. It was not deemed to be severe infection, for example, which could be another driver like severe sepsis that could be a driver of circulatory shock. If we move to the next slide, please. And then we come to the sevoflurane-related renal effects. This is something that little was known about in 2018. There were a few publications indicating there might be some renal effects of sevoflurane. And since then, there have been an increasing number of publications about this renal dysfunction. It's typically related to the dose and the duration of sevoflurane administration. So giving more than 1%, which was likely the case in most patients in this study and giving sevoflurane for more than 3 days is strongly associated with the development of what's called -- it's called nephrogenic diabetes insipidus, which means you have polyuria, so high urine output and hypernatremia. And in a recent cohort study that we have personal communication with the last author of the SESAR study, they found polyuria to occur in 40% of patients treated with sevoflurane for more than 24 hours. And that in itself can cause hypovolemia and higher circulatory vulnerability to sedatives. As for hyponatremia, that is an indicator of subclinical diabetes or overall diabetes insipidus. And looking at the sodium levels in the patients in the sevoflurane group, they had an increase in sodium levels during the first week, whereas the propofol group did not have any change. Also, they did have a higher proportion of patients developing renal dysfunction according to a criteria called KDIGO criteria. And this itself is a driver behind the multiple organ failure as well because when you look at multiple organ failure in the ICU, you include renal function as one of those parameters. So that was also one of the increased mortality that causes was multiple organ failure, which ultimately leads to withdrawal of care. If we move to the next slide, please. Regarding this renal dysfunction with sevoflurane that little was known about 5 to 10 years ago, there's another study that was published last year from Beatrice Beck Schimmer and her group in Switzerland. They found that 39% of patients receiving sevoflurane during COVID-19 had acute kidney injury, whereas only 6% of the intravenously treated patients had that. We can move to the next slide, please. I would say that this is -- this kidney injury related to sevoflurane administration has not been demonstrated for isoflurane. And Sedana Medical has sold over 1 million ACDs since it was approved in Europe. And the estimates are somewhere between 2/3 and 75% of these ACDs being used with isoflurane. And there are multiple case reports and case series with sevoflurane-induced renal dysfunction, but they are none for isoflurane. And Professor Robert Sneyd from the U.K., who is completely independent from Sedana Medical, wrote in British Journal of Anesthesia in 2022 that it might be advisable to not use sevoflurane, but rather use isoflurane for ICU sedation, not only because it's approved, but also because there are no indications of any toxicity with isoflurane. So we move to the next slide. And what do we know about this? If you look at volatile anesthetics, typically, the metabolism and the toxicity are quite linked. So methoxyflurane was an old volatile anesthetic that was very popular in the '60s. It turned out to cause polyuric renal failure, a bit similar to what sevoflurane seems to do when you give it for a long time. It has very high metabolism methoxyflurane of about 50%. Halothane has a metabolism of about 20% and has been associated with the development of halothane hepatitis. And if you look at the differences between iso and sevo, sevoflurane has an approximately 5% metabolism, whereas isoflurane has approximately 0.2%. So that's a 25-fold difference in metabolism of isoflurane. And as I mentioned, we do not -- we are not aware of any isoflurane-related renal dysfunction even after long periods of isoflurane sedation. And generally, there are no reports to our knowledge of any long-term detrimental effects of isoflurane sedation. Next slide, please. When it comes to our own trials, we have the Sedaconda study, IsoCOMFORT study and the 2 U.S. INSPiRE-ICU 1 and 2 studies. And I just wanted to debrief you on them and share sort of the results that we have to date. If we move to the next slide, please. We can move to the next slide also. This is -- the Sedaconda study was published in Lancet Respiratory Medicine in 2021. This was an open-label randomized controlled trial that we had agreed upon the design with BfArM, the German competent authority, and patients were randomized to either isoflurane or to propofol for 48 hours. The study demonstrated non-inferiority versus propofol, reduced need for opioids and also shorter time to wake up day 2. And this is all consistent with what was known about isoflurane in smaller trials. And as I mentioned, this led to the approval of isoflurane for adults. We can move to the next slide. That intervention was only 48 hours. What we did was to post-hoc analyze the patients who after 48 hours remained on study drug or patients that only received the study drug and were extubated within the 48 hours. So we call this the non-switcher study. And looking at the sort of real-world scenario where you receive only one drug, either isoflurane or propofol until you no longer need sedation, demonstrated benefits in terms of more ICU-free days with isoflurane compared to propofol and a trend to more ventilator-free days with isoflurane compared to propofol. So benefits for patients and for health care. Next slide, please. Looking also into the need of additional sedatives, less additional sedatives were required in the isoflurane group and also, which is reassuring, especially in light of the SESAR study results was that fewer patients required renal replacement therapy in the isoflurane group. We saw no indications of any renal harm in neither the original study nor in the post-hoc analysis. Next slide, please. IsoCOMFORT was the follow-up study that we were required to perform based on our adult indication, and this was performed in 4 countries. We can move to the next slide for children between age 3 and 17. And what we found in the study was that isoflurane was non-inferior compared to midazolam, the only approved ICU sedative for children. Next slide, please. We also found opioid requirements to be significantly lower during treatment with isoflurane compared to midazolam. So baseline was similar. In the isoflurane group, there was no need to escalate, whereas in the midazolam group, opioids were doubled during the treatment period, which is most likely related to the tolerance development that children exhibit when it comes to sedatives and opioids and also sometimes opioids are used as co-sedatives. Next slide, please. And finally, for the pediatric study, we found a shorter time to extubation and a more predictable time to extubation. These are Kaplan-Meier curves. So you can see the probability of being extubated. The blue line on the left figure is -- shows how patients are extubated with very short time, and they are all extubated within very short time when the aim is to extubate them. Whereas in the group of midazolam patients, there's a wider spread. So coming back to one of the main features of isoflurane sedation is that the wake-up is short and predictable, which allows for planning of extubation, which is a very vulnerable phase for patients and also progressing care, enabling patients to get mobilized and leave the ICU. And this was replicated in this study when compared to previous data and compared to the adult study. Next slide, please. And then we have the INSPiRE-ICU studies that we completed last year and that we're working on analysis and preparing for our NDA submission in the U.S., also isoflurane. Let's look at that. Next slide. Thank you, Johan. So this is just the lead investigators and steering committee, which are key opinion leaders in sedation and ventilation in the U.S. They're well recognized. Most of these people have been doing these types of studies. And they led the study together with Sedana across 30 sites in the U.S., and we've enrolled 55 and 55 patients in the 2 studies. They are 2 identical studies comparing isoflurane with propofol, once again for 48 hours. Next slide. Looking at the results, we've already presented the high-level results. What we could see was that in both studies, isoflurane was non-inferior to keep patients at the target RASS level, which was between minus 1 and minus 4. So minus 5 was not included in the sedation target. You can reach that, as you could see also with the CO study, but that is not typically the target you should aim for when you're sedating patients. The proportion or percentage of time at target was slightly higher in INSPiRE-ICU 2 could be a learning curve, both in our education and also working on site to really struggle to maintain target level sedation. And these were blinded assessments. And the pictures you see below there, they show all the different analysis we ran. So a number of sensitive analysis and supplementary analysis and all of them show that these findings are robust, that this is noninferior for sedation. Next slide, please. We also described on a high level that the safety in these studies indicated tolerability of isoflurane. Looking at the serious adverse events in the respective groups, we found similar serious adverse events in percentages for iso and propofol in the first study and slightly higher for propofol in the second study. But overall, serious adverse events were slightly less incident for isoflurane than propofol, which also is very reassuring. Next slide, please. So now I think it's your turn then, Johannes, I think.
Johannes Doll
executiveYes. Thank you, Peter. So now you've heard that SESAR was not our trial, that the drug was used that is not ours, that there are important differences between sevoflurane and isoflurane when it comes to things like toxicity and the metabolism. And that, of course, we remain very, very convinced of the benefits of our own therapy using Sedaconda, isoflurane based on all the clinical evidence that Peter has just repeated. Still, I know, of course, that there are concerns that the SESAR results might, in some fashion, have a negative spillover effect on our business. So I'll share some facts that are hopefully helpful in approaching that question and share with you our current best view on how to think about the commercial implications. We have 2 main objectives in dealing with these results. First and foremost, there's an opportunity in this, and we have to make sure that we capitalize on it. The authors of SESAR have come to the conclusion that sevoflurane should not be used for inhaled sedation for patients with moderate to severe ARDS. And we full heartedly agree with this. You should not use sevoflurane. You should use the only product that is approved for ICU sedation that has very clearly positive clinical evidence and that is making a difference for many thousands of patients every year. And that is obviously Sedaconda, isoflurane, so our drug. So the primary objective as a consequence coming out of SESAR is we are further doubling down on trying to convert the remaining off-label users of sevoflurane that we still have to our own drug. And of course, we knew that SESAR was coming. We did not know the results. But in anticipation, we launched a dedicated sales push effort already a month ago to accelerate the conversion from off-label use to isoflurane, which has been and continues to be quite successful across our main markets. Secondly, and that's also very important, we are also fully prepared to be very close to our customers over the coming days and weeks to avoid any negative spillover effect. As we have seen yesterday, misunderstandings happen very easily, and we need to handle those. The one thing that I would say, though, a stock market reaction is not at all the same thing as a clinician's reaction. So no physician will make treatment decisions based on the share price, much rather, they will rely on their own experience and of course, the clinical data that they see. So let's move to the next slide, please. and look at some facts and numbers. First of all, in all countries where we operate today, isoflurane is available on the market and 97% or soon 98% of our business comes from countries where we even have our own Sedaconda, isoflurane approved. So the availability of isoflurane does not stand in the way of a further conversion from remaining off-label sevoflurane use to isoflurane and ideally, of course, our isoflurane. Then let's look at how many of our customers are still off-label sevoflurane users. And again, to be clear, Sedana Medical does not sell sevoflurane. What happens in these cases is that customers buy our delivery device, the Sedaconda ACD and then use sevoflurane, which is approved for use in the operating theater off-label instead of isoflurane. And of course, you could ask the question, why does that happen in the first place? What makes a customer use sevoflurane off-label? The explanation can mostly be found in the operating room. In the operating room, sevoflurane, not least due to good marketing back in the days, pretty much replaced isoflurane based on slightly shorter wake-up times and the belief that if you save a few minutes in a surgery, you can squeeze one more surgery into a day. So in some hospitals, when it was still used off-label, sevoflurane was simply more easily accessible to ICU staff or you have anesthesiologists in-charge of ICUs that were more used to sevo than iso. There's no approval and also no clinical data supporting that sevoflurane would be preferential over isoflurane in an ICU setting. In our main markets, you can see that most of our customers use isoflurane. So the right drug in our view. In Germany, it is approximately 85% isoflurane. In Spain, it's almost 100% isoflurane. It's only less than a handful of customers using sevo. U.K. is 100% isoflurane and the one key market that has historically come from 100% sevoflurane, so has been a sevoflurane market traditionally is France, but the conversion is ongoing also there, and we are by now up to 40% of customers using isoflurane. And that conversion is actually accelerating, and we've had a good number of also SESAR clinical trial sites that have already switched away from sevoflurane to isoflurane. There's more sevoflurane use in some of our distributor markets, which is the smallest part of our business, but also in these markets, ICU teams do have access to isoflurane. Overall, less than 20% of our ICUs still use off-label sevoflurane. And out of those, we estimate around between 10% to 15% of patients fall into the SESAR categories of patients, so moderate to severe ARDS patients. So the next page, please. What will we do with all of this? As I've already mentioned, the goal of converting off-label users to isoflurane is not new. We have had a dedicated sales push effort ongoing for several months and have seen good success with it. We will now double down on that and further intensify that, of course. We were quick to act upon the publication yesterday. So a medical reply is already in place for all customers that could have questions or concerns and also the field teams are already trained to handle any questions effectively and be even more successful in switching people over to our own drug. A slightly more nuanced view on how we are thinking about the opportunities and risks by customer segment. If we start with the vast majority of our customers today, so ICU teams that are using the Sedaconda system with isoflurane. These are people that have seen the patient benefits in action every day, in most cases, over a longer period of time. Most likely, they will feel confirmed that they are doing the right thing with the SESAR results. So we will continue to work closely with them, of course, and make sure we cover all potential questions that come up, for example, reassuring them that long-term use of isoflurane is safe, as Peter has just shown based on all the data that we have. And that, for example, we also had a large share of ARDS patients in our European trial with well-known positive results. So what SESAR has found with regards to sevoflurane does not apply to isoflurane. Then we will have a special focus on customers that are buying our device today, but are using sevoflurane off-label. What we want to avoid here is that they see the SESAR study and say, okay, for these severe ARDS patients, maybe I'm switching back to intravenous sedation. We have a big opportunity here to convince them of the benefits of isoflurane, and we'll focus on converting as many as possible. The switch is typically not such a difficult sell because isoflurane is cheaper than sevoflurane, plus sevoflurane requires higher doses. So customers have to buy more accessories like syringes, more scavenging filters, et cetera, which then also leads to a little bit more work as you need to switch the syringe less frequently. Then when it comes to new customers, you might have a concern that it might become trickier to start new customers who are maybe not as well informed or have doubts because of the SESAR results. The first thing to note here, virtually all new customers that we start, start with isoflurane. So I'm actually not aware of almost any case where a new hospital chooses to start inhaled sedation with sevoflurane today. And of course, we are promoting 100% isoflurane because that is our drug. Secondly, the process of starting a new account is quite lengthy. It's usually not a spontaneous decision. Today, I will try inhaled sedation. By the time a new account goes live, we have usually already spent several months with them, discuss clinical trial data, spent a lot of time training the teams, establishing protocols, planning the first patients, managing expectations and so forth. So by the time they start, they have become inhaled sedation experts. And in this process, we will have plenty of opportunities for education and explaining the difference between isoflurane and sevoflurane, for example, that important aspect of metabolism that Peter showed that sevoflurane or 25x more sevoflurane stays in the body as compared to isoflurane. So what will be the overall effect of all of this? As always, in life, it will be a little bit of a mix. We might have some customers where the SESAR news lead to a situation where they consider switching to IV, so intravenous sedation for some ARDS patients. On the other hand, we will have customers where we will see an increase in sales as a consequence of switching them over. Based on our data, it's actually quite interesting that we typically see a sales increase after a hospital has switched from sevoflurane to isoflurane that goes beyond just the drug sales. And partly that is because they see better outcomes. Partly it is because sedation -- inhaled sedation becomes cheaper. sevoflurane is more expensive than isoflurane, as I said. And partly, it's because it is easier to handle with less frequent syringe changes and so forth. On the next page, everything that we can see now, we do not foresee a significant change to our outlook, and we also leave our financial guidance, our financial target for the year unchanged. We had guided to reach positive low to mid-single-digit EBITDA for our ex U.S. business, and that still holds. Before we take your questions, let me close on the next page with the 3 main reasons to believe in Sedana Medical. Number one, and maybe most importantly, we have a therapy that has proven clinical benefits for patients and also proven health economic benefits for hospitals. We've just seen a deep dive into that from Peter. And that's really at the core of Sedana Medical. And if executed right, good medicine will eventually turn into good business. We have a core business, mostly in Europe, which is growing. It has reached a new all-time high in sales in 2024, surpassing the COVID period, which was, of course, exceptional. And we showed ex U.S. profitability in 2 quarters last year. And as I said, we are committed to deliver a full year profitable EBITDA ex U.S. this year. So a growing core business that will start generating cash as of this year. And lastly, we have completed 2 clinical trials in the U.S. with positive high-level results. We have a Fast Track designation in place by FDA, and we are on our way to a potential approval in a market that has 3x the potential of the addressable market compared to the markets where we operate today. So with this, thank you for listening. Let me close here and take your questions.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] But the first caller here that the word is Filip Wiberg from Pareto.
Filip Wiberg
analystCan you hear me, good?
Johannes Doll
executiveYes.
Filip Wiberg
analystYes, I've got a few questions, but I'll take them one by one. So perhaps, firstly, previously, all the talk has been around the benefits of inhaled sedatives as a class over currently intravenous sedatives. So it just seems like you are changing this story a bit now to only include isoflurane, but exclude sevoflurane. So is that really fair to do? Or is it because of this new kidney damage data that you've seen?
Johannes Doll
executiveI'll let Peter answer that in just a second. Just I want to clarify one thing. The only drug we have approved is isoflurane and that comes with an obligation on us to only promote isoflurane. So by law, we are not allowed to promote the benefits of inhaled sedation. We have to promote the benefits of isoflurane because that's where we have the clinical data. So that has been very consistently the communication towards customers. But it's also fair to say that the thinking has involved and the knowledge has involved when it comes to the understanding of the differences between iso and sevo. And I think, Peter, you are the best to comment on that.
Peter Sackey
executiveNo, yes, certainly. I mean if you look at medicine and research in medicine, I mean, it's a responsibility to -- our medicine evolves based on evidence. And we, of course, are sensitive to that. Our hope at the time when the sevo -- SESAR study was being planned was that the results would be in line with the results that the same investigators found in a smaller study. And there was -- there could have been a situation where the therapy was shown to be beneficial for this patient group. That's what they themselves hoped for. The fact that it's not tells us that it should not be used. Additionally, in parallel with this emerging data that's been sort of -- the renal aspects have been emerging in the last few years. We now also see other aspects. And we -- as Johannes was alluding to, we have an approval for isoflurane. And so both medically and regulatory-wise, that's our responsibility. It's not about -- I mean, this is not about being opportunistic. It's about helping patients. I mean we're here to help patients. And of course, there's a business behind it, but it would be highly responsible to sort of stick to old messaging if that's going to harm patients. Then as a class, you could say inhaled sedation, yes, that is different. Some would say, if you say isoflurane sedation, someone who's never seen our device, it may say less than saying inhaled sedation with isoflurane. I think that's how the appropriate wording would be, I think, as we move forward is inhaled sedation with isoflurane. It appears to be safe and it appears to be beneficial for patients. I cannot say the same about sevoflurane.
Filip Wiberg
analystOkay. Just looking at your website, for instance, and the instructions for the devices regarding inhaled sedation and also regarding the NICE recommendation that you have, it's for volatile anesthetics and which includes both sevoflurane and isoflurane. So NICE did not seem to make a distinction about that. But could that change going forward? Is that what you're saying as well?
Peter Sackey
executiveAbsolutely. And I would tell you that if you ask a lot of -- and this is part of our education effort as we move forward is that for many anesthesiologists and non-anesthesiologists, volatile anesthetics have been considered to be a class. And there are certainly class effects. If you look at the mechanisms of anesthesia, but they have different potency, they have different toxicities. If I was to say inhaled sedation and ask someone if they'd like to have halothane or methoxyflurane, they would definitely not want to have that. There's even a study from Canada that was published some years ago where the authors did not distinguish between the use of isoflurane and sevoflurane. So I mean, this is emerging data. It's -- and it's important for us to help users, health care professionals to understand these differences. And we are the only company that's really driving this, and I see that as our responsibility if that makes sense.
Johannes Doll
executiveThe one nuance to add to that, Filip, and I'll admit that Sedana is very special in that case. You know that we have a history of a period where only the device was approved, and that was approved as a pure delivery device. And that approval was actually for isoflurane and sevoflurane. That was agnostic of which one. But at the time, both of these substances were not approved for use in the ICU. So the approval for isoflurane was essentially transitioning that business from off-label use to on-label use. And the only thing that was on label then was isoflurane. So you had a device that was originally a delivery device for 2 different agents, but then only one of those actually got approved. And since you mentioned the NICE guidance, the NICE guidance was issued before MHRA approved isoflurane in the U.K. So that's still from that time where we only had the delivery device approved and not yet the drug. But since we have the drug approved, our full focus is and has to be on isoflurane.
Filip Wiberg
analystYes. Okay. But still, it's kind of hard grasping the vast different results compared to what we've seen before, even for sevoflurane, which has actually demonstrated to be quite beneficial over propofol as well. And yes, it has higher metabolism than isoflurane, but it still has quite a bit lower metabolism than propofol, right? So it's still quite hard to understand why it performed worse than propofol. Do you have any further comments on this?
Peter Sackey
executiveYes. So when I refer to metabolism, I'm thinking about the volatile anesthetics. And I had the privilege of using this device when it was still a prototype, the first studies with this device back in 2001. And then the Head of Department of Karolinska Anesthesia, he recommended that we'd not use sevo, which was then very popular, but use isoflurane for the very reason I mentioned that volatile anesthetics toxicities seem to be very closely linked to their degree of metabolism. Metabolism per se does not have to be harmful. For example, there's no -- we are not aware of the metabolism of propofol, for example, leads to any toxicity per se, whereas certain other drugs do have sort of -- if you think about paracetamol, for example, the toxicity of paracetamol is related, if you take an overdose, that's related to the metabolism and metabolic end products. So it's the metabolism of propofol, the challenge there that we don't have with any of the volatile is that even though there is metabolism, you do not need the metabolism to eliminate the drug. With propofol, midazolam, opioids, they all need to be metabolized to be eliminated, whereas volatile as a group can be exhaled. But in parallel with that exhalation, there is also a degree of metabolism. And that's where this correlation between metabolism and toxicity seems to be -- seems to hold true since 2001. I hope that makes sense.
Filip Wiberg
analystYes. Well, to some degree, but I think what I mean is that like my point was that you still exhale sevoflurane, and that should have a benefit over propofol, which has to be metabolized to get...
Peter Sackey
executiveYes. So I would -- yes, sorry, Filip. Okay. So just to explain, had they measured this study -- just to explain, this study was not really a study of sedation. This was a study of sevoflurane as a pulmonary protecting drug. And the way the patients were sedated, there were no real sedation endpoint. So no specific -- there was a targeted deep sedation first 2 days, and then they were supposed to be light. That was violated. There was no data. They were not looking at wake-up time. So one of the nice things about volatile anesthetics and wake-up time, and that goes for sevoflurane also is that this rapid elimination occurs regardless of renal function, regardless of hepatic function. Those were not endpoints in the study. And that makes this study quite different from our studies that we are focusing on the sedative effects and how the patients can benefit from them, works effectively for all patients, reduces opioids and leads to rapid wake-up and elucid state, so you can mobilize patients. The study -- the SESAR study was looking at this as a golden bullet for pulmonary dysfunction in ARDS. That's what they demonstrated in their first study in 2017. So it was a completely different indication. And as I alluded to previously, the dosing of sevoflurane is very unclear in this study. There was no measure of end-tidal concentration. There were no processed EEG measures of depth of sedation and looking at the hemodynamics, looking at the RASS levels when applicable, the sedation levels, it appears that patients were very, very deeply sedated and receiving very high doses. And that -- I would say that's probably unfortunate and related to COVID-19 because it was virtually impossible for these investigators. They state that they had some NICE training and so on, but there was no real face-to-face training. And that's an integral part of what we do, both commercially when we introduced this to new ICUs and what we've also done in all our studies. In the U.S., we had run in patients, and we had people on the ground in the ICU educating staff about how to dose this appropriately. It's a very potent drug. And I think that's both for good. And in the case where you don't get trained properly or you cannot be trained properly because of pandemic, that could have been deleterious.
Operator
operatorFilip, you have to round up now, we have more people that want to ask a question here.
Filip Wiberg
analystI guess that's all right. Do I have time for one more or...
Operator
operatorYes, you can do one last.
Filip Wiberg
analystOkay. I'll take the one that is top priority then. Yes, perhaps if you -- you went over the safety data from the U.S. trial just very briefly. So it was hard to grasp everything. Is it possible to just go through them again because I think that's quite interesting. And do you have any like 7-day mortality that was included in this trial, for instance?
Peter Sackey
executiveYes. So I think what we can -- I mean, obviously, when something like this comes up, then we scrutinize what we have. And as we mentioned in our press release yesterday, there's nothing in our clinical data that indicate that the findings in the SESAR study would be relevant for our trials. This slide you see on serious adverse events. That's the tip of the iceberg and it's typically what regulators will look at when it comes to approvability of the therapy. So the mild and moderate adverse events will typically lead to label information about precautions or about side effects, whereas the serious adverse events are really the aspect that authorities look at, regulatory bodies look at when they want to determine the safety profile of the drug. And looking at the 2 studies, there's somewhat different reporting -- reported adverse events -- serious adverse events in the 2 studies, but even for the first study, despite 1.2 percentage higher serious adverse events in isoflurane group, that's highly acceptable, such a difference for the safety reporting is open label. It's not like the blinded assessment, and you'd expect a new therapy to be scrutinized and reported more frequently. In the second study, we saw a higher reporting for propofol. This may also be related to training some ICUs in the first study had initially misunderstood and believed that they were only to report adverse events for isoflurane. So that might be one of the explanations why we see a different reporting pattern in the second study. But this is reassuring. And I could just say that, I mean, we have data for our second study -- for our first study that we're beginning to look at now. And I can simply say that there are no concerns. I do not see any concerns when it comes to the issues related to the SESAR study. I mean we haven't really shared any more granular results, but I think that's about how much I can say at this stage that we're not seeing the same things that we've seen in the SESAR study. I hope that...
Johannes Doll
executiveAnd just Filip, it sounds like we didn't answer all your questions, just feel free to reach out, right, and we'll be happy to discuss those.
Operator
operatorWe will now carry on with the next caller who is Mattias Vadsten from SEB.
Mattias Vadsten
analystCan you hear me?
Peter Sackey
executiveLoud and clear.
Mattias Vadsten
analystI guess just to be -- to sum it up a little bit. So you think basically that the use of sevoflurane as opposed to, for example, isoflurane was the key cause of the weak results in this trial and not maybe how it was carried out or what is the main -- more important factor? Because I appreciate all of the considerations that you provide here is very interesting, but I guess, you get my question.
Peter Sackey
executiveIt's a very, very good question. The authors of the paper themselves have been struggling to understand the reasons behind excess mortality and less ventilator-free days. I think that at least based on the discussions we had yesterday evening with them and with a number of other experienced users of inhaled sedation primary isoflurane, I think that there was an unfortunate situation with COVID-19 and many of these sites being inexperienced. But this is a speculation that, as I say, I think there are many things that point in the direction of lack of understanding and probably staff also being quite left alone with these very sick patients, and there's so much going on. So it can be quite difficult to identify that the sedation is actually the problem. That's the one part. And the other part that we know and that's also evident in the data is that sevoflurane does induce renal dysfunction. And it happens after a couple of days, after 3 days. I didn't show this slide, but there's a few elegant studies that demonstrate that this happens after 2 to 3 days. Even after 24 hours, there's polyuria. And that in itself makes patients more sensitive to sedatives because if they have a low blood volume or hypovolemic situation, the sensitivity of volatiles and to any sedative is higher. So propofol has the same properties, but if you have a polyuria phase and you become hypovolemic, you'd be more sensitive to the therapy you're receiving. So I think our speculation or our interpretation is that both of these things have mattered.
Mattias Vadsten
analystAnd the next question, with regards to what you were telling us about COVID, so what is your take? When you look at per site data in the material, we show quite similar results actually for both arms when you look at the largest site recruiting, I think it was 176 patients. And then you have 2 sites that is driving quite a big difference from propofol to sevoflurane. So just your take on that and if that can be related to COVID somehow or the discussion.
Peter Sackey
executiveYes. So that could also speak to the potential sort of training, need for training or experience. We know this about our therapy. We -- this is why we have mainly ICU from ICU nurses in the sales force. And in the U.S., we have respiratory therapists, so people who know -- this is not a pill that you take once a day. This is a therapy that you adjust during -- continuously. And it's very sort of -- the analogy was made by one of the leading investigators in the -- or key opinion leaders in the U.S. when we had our first patient. He spoke about benzodiaepines as the bus, propofol or dexmedetomidine as a sports car and inhaled isoflurane as the Formula 1. It's a very potent therapy, and you can sedate them on really well, really quickly, and you can also wake them up very quickly. But you need to you need to get appropriate training for this. And I struggle to see how that could have been the case in the SESAR study considering COVID-19. And as I said, this is not our study. It wasn't under our control. We do not see anything like this in the data we have from our clinical trials to date. So -- and that is sort of, I would say, that's maybe unfortunate in that aspect.
Mattias Vadsten
analystMy next question relates to the trials that you are making or have made. So do you think you can show a sub-analysis of key outcomes for ARDS versus non-ARDS patients in your own isoflurane and European trial? And also to what extent the U.S. trials can basically disprove what is suggested by CSR? And then I'm talking about, do you think you can show ventilator 3 days, for example, in the U.S. material? Yes, that's the question.
Peter Sackey
executiveYou mean now or...
Mattias Vadsten
analystYes. Or today.
Peter Sackey
executiveSo we haven't shared any data publicly besides the high-level results, but the data will be coming. And I think all I can say comfortably today in this call is that we're not seeing anything anywhere in the same direction as in the SESAR study. I think that's about how much I'm allowed to say. What I can tell you is that we did a sub-analysis that's been published [indiscernible]. It's been published on patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure. So that was a subgroup we looked at in -- from the Sedaconda study. So that's published. And in that study, there were no differences in ventilator-free days or in anything -- any other relevant parameters between the isoflurane and propofol group. I hope that -- and that was about half of the patients that had acute hypoxic respiratory failure is -- it's the oxygenation part of the definition of ARDS. So you don't have to do an x-ray. We didn't have x-rays planned for the study in itself. So we chose to only look at the oxygenation and define that group, acute hypoxic respiratory failure. And as I mentioned, we have published data on that, that did not demonstrate any differences between the groups. And as for the [indiscernible] sorry.
Mattias Vadsten
analystYes. I guess one question I also had was to what extent is inhaled sedation with isoflurane used today for patients with ARDS because I think it's a fairly large part of the patient population. So I guess, to a large extent. And if you can share any feedback that you received from customers in the use cases really, do they see the tendencies of the therapy or...
Peter Sackey
executiveYes. So we had -- a meeting we had yesterday was with about 25 different physicians, of which some, of course, use this for ARDS patients. And the comment from people use isoflurane in these last days since that was published is -- I mean, a lot of people are asking -- questioning why they did things the way they did, meaning in the deep sedation that they provided, the paralysis that was quite extended compared to recommendations and also looking at these aspects that I've mentioned already, the dosing of sevoflurane, which is not reported, but indicators of oversedation in the data. And then also the question, why did they use sevo? And the explanation, as I said, is that the investigator is driving the study and wanted to repeat findings from a previous study. That previous study with sevoflurane was a 48-hour study, and it may be that -- it may be. I mean, there may very well be some pulmonary benefits. They found very -- I mean, the elegant study is looking at animals, looking at humans, this study from 2017, where sevoflurane had an anti-inflammatory effect, but they stopped at 48 hours. And this was one single site study. So they had control over the training, they have control over the exposure. They used Processed EEG to keep patients appropriately sedated. They didn't see the problems that this multicenter study saw. I mean 30 sites plus in the middle of COVID, there's no way that one investigator from one hospital can impact the way a nurse is now administering sedation in the trial on the other end of France. So it's -- and this is a challenge in general with taking a single-site study and doing it as a multicenter study that you may gain numbers, but you may lose quality. That's a known fact in ICU research actually. So I think that those people who have commented have sort of some have said, of course, iso is the drug to use. And then, of course, there is -- as we're saying, there is a need to educate those who are not aware that there could be differences. And that's -- I mean that's part of our job.
Operator
operatorYes. We now have to carry on with the next caller...
Mattias Vadsten
analystThen one final question from me, I guess. You talked a little bit about reiterating the outlook based on the news. Maybe is there a less likelihood that you will reach those targets now, all else equal? And also, I guess, the share price implicates a bit of a cut to the chances of U.S. approval. So maybe if you can cover this, what are the key considerations to make when you think about U.S. approval in this -- based on this news? That's my last one.
Johannes Doll
executiveYes. No. Thanks, Mattias. And of course, the same goes for you. If there's more questions, you know where to find us. So are we less confident with our guidance? No. Otherwise, we wouldn't have reiterated it. So as I said, this will -- what we're expecting is a mix of -- in some accounts, we will use the opportunity to grow our business. In others, we might lose a little bit. But overall, from everything that we and is, of course, very early days. But from everything that we can see today, we are still confident that we will continue our growth in our core markets, and that will be sufficient to deliver the positive EBITDA ex U.S. that we have promised. And that is still what we want to be measured by. And of course, we will have to be very, very close over the next days and weeks to see the progress, have a very close eye on all the important indicators, whether we are right with that assumption or whether we have to course correct. But from all I can say now is we stand by our targets, and we're still confident to reach them. When it comes to U.S. approval, the -- again, the share price, I don't think influences our chances of getting U.S. approval. Of course, I understand the nervousness every time there's data that are somehow related to inhaled sedation and those are not purely positive. Of course, you can have ideas of does that somehow impact the risk profile of the U.S. trial or the U.S. approval. But of course, all I can say is that the whole U.S. program is based on isoflurane. We actually have an advantage in the U.S. because we do not have this unique European situation where the device and the drug are separate and you're allowing for -- or historically off-label sales has grown. In the U.S., it will be a drug device combination consisting of our delivery device, the ACD and isoflurane. So there is not going to be off-label use as much as we have historically seen it in Europe. And when it comes to the chances of probability. The FDA will, of course, look at the trials we have run. We know already that the high-level results are positive. We met the primary endpoints in the main analysis and all supplementary and sensitivity analysis. Safety looks good, as Peter just showed today. And now we will get more data over the coming time. And nothing, as Peter said so far indicates that we see anything that is close to what the SESAR trial has shown on the opposite. So the confidence level for both the commercial outlook in Europe and the approval in the U.S. is unchanged.
Operator
operatorWe only have time for one more call here today, and that is Oscar Bergman from Redeye.
Oscar Bergman
analystAll right. Perfect. I've got a few short questions. From my understanding, many years ago, you decided on the use of isoflurane in European trial and the regulatory processes because it had a friendlier side effect profile compared to sevoflurane that was also looked into. And so considering this, Peter Sackey's comment in the start of the SESAR study back in 2020 that it is of minor importance if the study is conducted using sevoflurane and not isoflurane, they didn't really age well. So just wondering why was this said if you knew that you yourself decided on isoflurane over sevoflurane because of its drawdowns?
Peter Sackey
executiveYes. So happy to answer that question. Had this been a big investment from Sedana's perspective, I think we wouldn't have chosen sevoflurane. And I was in conversations with Matthieu Jabaudon back in the day that iso, why wouldn't you want to do iso? This is completely up to the investigator. Our decision was only whether we should support the study or not. And as I mentioned, 2017, there was a publication in the Blue Journal in American critical care respiratory medicine that demonstrated improved oxygenation in a small study. This was only 50 patients, improved oxygenation, less inflammatory markers in blood, less inflammatory markers in bronchoalveolar lavage. It all sounded very promising. And Matthieu Jabaudon and Jean-Pierre Quenot were very eager to stick to same frame. Then the protocol for the new study implies 7 days of treatment. Then the protocol initially stated that the concentration of gas was going to be measured, and they didn't, then came COVID. I mean there have been a number of circumstances that have changed what was initially a promising case into something that was not so promising and actually even harmful. And I think that the take we had at Sedana at the time was, yes, we should support this because it's still -- it is inhaled sedation. We're not aware of any huge differences. When we went for isoflurane, I was actually not working in Sedana at the time, but there was a conclusion that at the time, the nonclinical data was not sufficient for sevoflurane to be approved with only a clinical trial. And then Sedana was tiny and was sort of very conscious about not investing in the way we've done for the U.S. So that was, of course, favorable. And also the established use of isoflurane in Germany also informed that decision. So isoflurane has been the drug that's been used ever since the early days of this -- the ACD in Germany. So we were more keen to accept one single pivotal study and no animal data with isoflurane. Had this gone well, there could have been a scenario where sevoflurane had been -- where Sedana had looked into what data were collected, had interactions with regulatory bodies and considered registering sevoflurane specifically for ARDS. But obviously, that's not the case. That's not where we are today.
Oscar Bergman
analystAll right. Okay. And you listed 3 reasons as likely contributors for how the trial showed these results. And I mean, they are all, of course, guesses and not necessarily a fact. We cannot know. What I think is interesting going forward is if you will be able to look into how RDS patients in your European trial and U.S. trials responded to treatment and return with an analysis of that. And a short follow-up, what proportion of patients do you suspect in these trials would be RDS patients?
Peter Sackey
executiveYes. So as I mentioned, there is already a publication looking at about half the population that fulfilled ARDS criteria with regard to gas exchange, and there was no neither safety concern or was there any clear difference in favor of isoflurane in that study, looking at purely at those hard endpoints. So we will be doing a number of sub-analysis in the pool, both in the individual U.S. studies, but also in the pool data. So we will learn more about subgroups. We also have a sub-study that's ongoing looking at patients with ARDS that's led by one of our investigators looking at biomarkers, et cetera. So we will know more about this very subpopulation. We should remember, this is [indiscernible] in the sickest of sick patients with acute respiratory syndrome that were in the study. So I would certainly not generalize this finding neither to isoflurane nor to the entire ICU population, especially not with the 7-day exposure in the high dose such as it appears to have been in the SESAR study.
Oscar Bergman
analystOkay. Just a final question then. We know that roughly 25% to 30% mechanically ventilated patients, they suffer from ARDS. Is that a fair assessment that it's the same portion of patients undergoing treatment today with your solution?
Johannes Doll
executiveSo I mean, as Peter said before, so in the SESAR population, you had moderate to severe ARDS. So our estimate, as we had on one of the slides is that the SESAR population represents somewhere between 10% and 15% of the mechanically ventilated patients in the ICU. But again, that population, we don't have any concerns with isoflurane. We don't have any concerns for the long-term use. We don't have any concerns in that specific patient population. So commercially, it will be very important as we stay very close to our customers here to convert those ICU teams that are still using sevoflurane off label and might now have questions around that 10% to 15% patient segment. The best way in our view is, of course, to convert them to isoflurane, which is the approved drug and the only approved drug for these patients when it comes to inhaled sedation.
Operator
operatorThank you so much. That was all the questions we had time for today. Johannes, do you want to say some last words before we close here?
Johannes Doll
executiveYes. No, thank you very much for the discussion, all the good questions. We will have a look at questions that were submitted on top of what we could answer today. So if there's anything that we could not cover now in this good hour, we will find a way to get your responses on those as well. But thank you very much for taking the time, and you have a nice day.
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