Shaily Engineering Plastics Limited (501423) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 8, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Q3 and 9-month FY '21 Earnings Conference Call of Shaily Engineering Plastics Limited. This conference call may contain forward-looking statements about the company, which are based on the beliefs, opinions and expectations of the company as on date of this call. These statements are not the guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Amit Sanghvi, MD, Shaily Engineering Plastics Limited. Thank you, and over to you.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveThank you. Good morning, and a warm welcome to all the participants to the post results earnings call of Shaily Engineering Plastics. I hope you're all keeping safe and healthy. I have with me Sanjay Shah, our Chief Strategy Officer; Anil Kalra, our CEO; and SGA, our Investor Relations advisers. I hope you've had a look at our Investor Presentation that is uploaded on our website and the stock exchange. Quarter 3 of FY '21 was truly a remarkable quarter in Shaily's history. It was the highest revenue that we have ever recorded for a particular quarter. We're confident to further build on this trajectory, given a strong order pipeline and the addition of new orders. Shaily is currently present across 7 verticals and holds a strong command over its products, coupled with long-term relationships with customers. Growing with our Home Furnishings major, we've also scaled up from 18 SKUs in 2017 to 48 SKUs currently and further strengthened this relationship with addition of new capacities and products. Our Toys business, which was started nearly 1.5 years ago with Spin Master possessed a huge potential for growth. Today, we're one of the preferred partners from India for global toy manufacturers. We are increasing our footprint in this segment and getting validation from the brands which showcases our ability and efficiency in this very significant market. Shaily-manufactured children's products comply with the highest international standards of quality, and we expect to further ramp up this business in the coming quarters. We are future-ready to meet this demand. In the last few years, we have spent considerable time in developing our own intellectual property for drug-delivery devices, which is now reflecting in our performance. Healthcare business brings better margins for us and should be able to grow at a faster pace. Let me briefly throw some light on the business update for this quarter. On the Home Furnishings side, we received confirmation for additional business of INR 120 crore. On the Toys side, we've added another product from our customer valued at $1.5 million per year. We are therefore expanding our Rania facility to meet new and existing projects for toys. This facility will be operational by the end of the current fiscal year. In the Healthcare segment, we've developed our intellectual property for an additional pen injector, and we'll have that commercialized by the end of FY '22. We have announced expansions of capacity. We have started construction of the new plastic plant on our new campus in Halol. This plant will be operational in the first half of FY '22 and will help us service the new orders, especially for the Home Furnishings space. This is all from my side. I shall now hand over the call to Mr. Kalra, our Chief Executive Officer, to give you his thoughts on the business.
Anil Kalra
executiveThank you. Good morning, everyone. Hope you're all doing well. Please allow me to throw some light on the operations at Shaily Engineering. In terms of the top line, we have seen significant growth of the business. And hopefully, that should be maintained during the coming quarters. Despite all the odds in terms of logistics that the world is facing throughout, the costs are being closely monitored in all the units at Rania and Halol. And that is giving good results, we have seen significant savings in terms of our operational cost, in terms of employees to turnover and other cost parameters. Now there's a team that is closely monitoring the pricing in terms of what we get from the customers and what we spend. And that kind of closely monitoring is really very helpful, and I'm sure we'll be able to retain more benefits in the coming quarters. Our technical team has been strengthened quite well to meet the new challenges of the new projects that are on the anvil. And starting from the design to the commercialization of the products, we have people with us, and we are seeing to -- in a timely manner to meet the targets on the time lines. Now the challenge lies with the Carbon Steel Plant. It is to inform you that there is a positive news on that account. Carbon Steel Plant, which was commissioned in December '20, has been producing articles, and we have had already 3, 4 clients or third-party section of the customers and the products have been dispatched. This month would see some growth in terms of the top line, [indiscernible] what we have seen so far in the previous months. And hopefully, by this year-end, we would have commercialized 3 major articles out of 5, and that should take up the top line well. And also, that should be a significant -- there should be significant improvement in EBITDA due to Carbon Steel Plant. As Amit just mentioned that we have new projects that have been offered to us by our existing customers in also the Toy business. So the operational scene is hopefully geared up on commercializing the Toys business. The sales should start towards the last -- end of this financial year and pick up in the first quarter of the next year. And also, at the Halol plant, which should be commissioned and support the plastic business of our major customers. With this, I am handing over to Mr. Sanjay Shah, our Chief Strategy Officer. Thank you.
Sanjay Shah
executiveThank you, Mr. Kalra. Good morning, everyone. I should share with you the highlights of our operational and financial performance for Q3 FY '21. Following which, we will be happy to respond to your queries. During the quarter, we processed 4,400 tons of polymer against 3,599 tons in Q3 FY '20, which marks an increase of 23% year-on-year basis. We are gradually increasing returns by efficiently utilizing our operational facilities. Machine utilization rate was 70% in Q3 FY '21 as compared to 66.5% in Q3 FY '20. Exports during the quarter stood at 75% of total revenue as compared to 69% in the same period last year. For Q3 FY '21, our revenue stood at INR 105.5 crore as compared to INR 88 crore for the same period last year, growth of 19.6%. On a year-to-date basis, we reported INR 250.8 crore of revenue as compared to INR 256.4 crore in 9 months ended FY '20. EBITDA for Q3 FY '21 is INR 18.9 crore as compared to INR 15.5 crore in Q3 FY '20. EBITDA margin stood at 17.9% in Q3 FY '21, 30 basis point improvement over previous year same quarter. It is important to note that EBITDA margin in the current quarter was lower on account of MEIS benefits, lower MEIS benefits post the recent capping of MEIS benefits by the government of India. Net profit stood at INR 8 crore for Q3 FY '21, a growth of 27% year-on-year. Cash PAT for Q3 FY '21 was reported at INR 12.8 crore as compared to INR 10.8 crore for the same period last year. For the period, we incurred the CapEx of INR 15.53 crore, and we expect for FY '21 CapEx to be in the region of about INR 20 crore. CapEx spend for Halol and the new Rania facility portfolios will be INR 70 crore, and last quarter -- it will be spent in Q4 FY '21 and Q1 of FY '22, allowing us to be ready for commercial supplies by the end of H1 FY '22. With this, I would like to summarize on our operational highlights and let you know that we are all working actively towards diversifying our business model, and you'll see better trajectory in quarters to come and we want to start commercializing. That is all from our side, and now we can open the floor for Q&A.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] First question is from the line of Hitesh Taunk from ICICIdirect.
Hitesh Taunk
analystCongratulations on a very good set of numbers. As far as top line is concerned, we have recovered on a 9-month basis. Sir, I have some questions on the recovery front. Like we have seen a good top line growth during this period. And -- but I'm -- nearly 60% to 70%, what I can understand from our previous calls also, that 60% to 70% revenue comes from the overseas market. Sir, I just wanted to know, our business has not had any impact of second wave of -- or lockdown in the overseas market, what we have been continuously seeing from the media report that the second COVID impact -- second COVID lockdowns were there and -- but we have not seen any kind of impact on our top line. So any specific reason, sir?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveThe second wave impact has been there. And we wouldn't say that it hasn't been there. But it will be -- so we've had lots of challenges on the logistics front. We've had lots of challenges on availability of materials and some challenges on even fluctuating forecast from various customers for various regions. Overall, the business, however, has done exceptionally well, especially in a lot of the markets where the lockdown or the second COVID wave hasn't really impacted the market badly. There are some markets where we are seeing volume drop, but it is being covered up by another region and also being covered up by the addition of products that we added and the new business that we have developed over the last year.
Hitesh Taunk
analystSo if we compare on a like-to-like basis without adding our new product category, so was it good recovery there in that if we compare like-to-like? Is it a good -- is my understanding is correct that the existing product category would have a kind of growth only and not dipping?
Anil Kalra
executiveYes, Hitesh. The products are also seeing growth. So compared to last year -- also as compared to quarter 2.
Hitesh Taunk
analystOkay. Great. Great. Sir, my second question pertains to our gross margin. Although there has been a bit supply concern and all, sir, I just wanted to understand our gross margin was kind of under pressure during this quarter despite having such a good volume term, and the changing mix also for the Healthcare category, which is a kind of a higher-margin business, what we understand. So is this a onetime event? Or we can see kind of improving gross margin going forward, given the fact that our new capacity is in the start signal and giving a good utilization level going forward?
Sanjay Shah
executiveSo, Hitesh, there are 2 things there. When we look at gross margin, I mentioned in my speech that MEIS has been capped based on the INR 2 crore limits which the government of India has set which has impacted our gross margin. We commercialized carbon steel in quarter 3, December, to be precise. So from a gross margin level, the contribution from carbon steel was lower. So these were two reasons why you have seen a little minor drop in gross margins. We expect that gross margins to go back to normalized levels as we move forward in the quarters to come and probably improve so fast.
Hitesh Taunk
analystOkay. Great, sir. Sir, my last question pertains to our annual revenue opportunity, what you have been guiding since Q1 FY '21 during the challenging period also. So the new business opportunity in the Toy segment, and the additional, you can say, orders from the existing Home Furnishings major. So is it safe to assume, sir, I mean, around INR 200-odd crore of revenue opportunity what is lying to execute in FY '22? Additional, I'm talking.
Sanjay Shah
executiveWe have given the numbers in terms of what additional businesses, which we've added in Q1, Q2, Q3. And if I were to look at that, the number adds up to higher than what you are seeing. So that's the type of opportunity which we are looking at here.
Hitesh Taunk
analystBut sir, opening remarks, we had -- in opening remarks, we have been mentioned like our carbon steel project is -- will be fully operational from our current year and that too from I think December or November or second half of the year, right? So if I include that much of revenue, then it would be around INR 200 crore or it will be more than INR 200 crore? That was just confirmation.
Anil Kalra
executiveThis number was excluding carbon steel.
Sanjay Shah
executiveHitesh, the INR 200 crore or the number which you're talking about is on an annualized basis. None of these projects are getting commercialized Q1 and Q2 of FY '22. So that's something which we need to take into account, and then there will be a ramp up which will be done.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Ravi Naredi from Naredi Investment.
Ravi Naredi
analystI would like to know, in next 1 year, from this sector, are we seeing good revenue in companies, carbon steel or other old verticals?
Anil Kalra
executiveSo Ravi, I think we're looking at growth across different segments, whether it's Home Furnishing, whether it's steel furniture, whether it's Toys or Healthcare. We're looking at growth in each of these verticals in the coming year.
Sanjay Shah
executiveIn FY '22.
Ravi Naredi
analystOkay. And sir, what is our debt at present and how much new CapEx we are going to do so? And what will be debt after 1 year?
Sanjay Shah
executiveSo the total CapEx which we are going to do, additional CapEx, I just mentioned in my speech that for the Toys and the new plant, which we're setting up and Halol, will be in the region of about INR 70 crore. We already have funds which have been tighter.
Ravi Naredi
analystBut we will raise the debt or equity?
Sanjay Shah
executiveSo it will basically be funded by a mix of debt, which has already been raised. And if you look at the -- we are not looking at raising any equity.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Vikas Khemani from Carnelian Capital.
Vikas Khemani
analystCongratulations of good set of numbers. A couple of questions. In the scenario of the hedging in raw material prices, how does sort of ...
Sanjay Shah
executiveYour voice is breaking a little bit.
Vikas Khemani
analystSure. Is it better now, sir.
Sanjay Shah
executiveYes, a little bit.
Anil Kalra
executiveYes.
Vikas Khemani
analystSo my question is in the situation of rising raw material prices, how do we sort of handle? Is it mostly pass-through where it happens with a lag? And how does it work, that would be good to know? And secondly, I think we hear that lots of restrictions are there right now -- lots of constraints are there right now because of the container unavailability. So when you do you think the situation should normalize? And do you see an impact on that going forward? And the third question would be, can you give some sense on what if tomorrow the rupee starts appreciating? I mean do we have any sort of -- so I would love to give us a sense of rising mechanism.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveYes. So on higher pricing, Vikas, it's the pass-through with a lag of 3 months.
Vikas Khemani
analystOkay.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveRight. So it is always -- with most of our customers, it is previous 3-month average pricing, which gets applied the following quarter. On logistics, we have seen improvements between December and January on the logistics front. We are seeing some improvement right now. I wouldn't say significant, but we hope that it normalizes by Q1 or end of Q1 FY '22. Really isn't away when what we do really gauge when it will normalize. Typically, we see shortages of containers during Chinese New Year because whatever's been -- whatever hasn't gotten out from there doesn't get out until 18th or 19th of February. But so far, we've been managing logistics very well. I'd say even though there are shortages, we should not get into a position where we are not able to ship product.
Vikas Khemani
analystAnd what kind of cost rise you would have taken in the last consequent quarters in terms of our logistics cost? I mean I'm sure there would be high cost, right?.
Sanjay Shah
executiveThere are 2 things there. In most of our cases, in terms of exports, our pricing is exports. So the cost gets borne by the customer. We would have seen marginal cost increases on our raw material because of logistics. So -- but then there's...
Amit Sanghvi
executiveThen also is again same principles apply, landed price is a pass-through.
Sanjay Shah
executiveThird question is on rupee appreciation. So if rupee appreciates, Vikas, a lot of our revenue, especially to the Home Furnishings major is actually in rupees.
Vikas Khemani
analystOkay. Okay. And a question I had on the CapEx side, how much -- I mean, so first of all, I mean this current current year, FY '22, how much of the CapEx we are operationalizing? And same thing for '23, how much CapEx we'll operationalize?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveSo we just capitalized our steel furniture facility, which was a total CapEx of about INR 55 crore, INR 57 crore, which is what was commercialized in December of 2020. We will be commercializing further CapEx of about INR 20 crore to INR 25 crore in Q4 of FY '21.
Vikas Khemani
analystOkay.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveWhen we look at it on carbon steel, a lot of it was spent during last year, which is getting commercialized now. So that's something which we [indiscernible].
Vikas Khemani
analystAnd the next year, sir, in FY '23 -- or FY '22, sorry. '22, sorry.
Sanjay Shah
executiveWe would be spending about INR 70 crore on the new Toy facility and the new plastic facility, which we are creating. Yes, so Toys will be done in the current year. The new facility, Halol, will be done in the next year.
Vikas Khemani
analystAnd is that the normal CapEx we should assume even let us say [indiscernible] 3 quarters because given the size of opportunity is very large, do you think it will accelerate, it will stay here? Or what's going to be broader strategy?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveThis is based on the current business, which we have taken up. We now look at commercializing all of that business with the CapEx which we have got. And then review what CapEx we will do for FY '23, '24 onwards.
Vikas Khemani
analystOkay. Whatever CapEx you're putting will be fully -- are you expecting it to get fully utilized in '23, sir?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveYes. So we -- we set up the CapEx we have businesses which have been tied up. So all the CapEx which we are currently doing is based on business which has been tied up. That would be commercialized based on the time lines which we have in terms of product commercialization.
Vikas Khemani
analystOkay. And sir, our general -- do you think any improvement in the working capital will happen or this the level that will continue to be?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveSo working capital, we have seen some improvement between say Q1 to Q3, the Q1, we had a higher level of working capital, which was abnormal. As we move forward, we will see some more improvement. And as the steel increases, we will see further improvement next year.
Vikas Khemani
analystWhat is the -- like our internal target level of working capital we would like to keep?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveWe internally look at the net working capital somewhere between the 75 and 90 days.
Vikas Khemani
analystYou always had, in that sense, cash conversion of roughly about 70 days, right?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveRight. That's what we would look at.
Vikas Khemani
analystOkay. That will -- that's a lot of range to us.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveYes.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Amit Shah from Ace Equity.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, I have two questions. First would be any progress on our U.K. subsidiary?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveWe set it up, which is in the process of sorting out the logistics for the subsidiary. But until travel resumes, there will not be much activity at the moment.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Okay. And sir, in auto side, there hasn't been any new orders except Honeywell from last few quarters. So can you discuss a little bit about that segment?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveWe don't actively participate in automotive, neither go -- actively pursue business. We're doing just mix business on particularly where there is metal-to-plastic conversion or high requirements of engineering. But apart from that, we don't really actively pursue that business.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Atul Kothari from Progress Securities.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, I have two questions related to the Toys business vertical of us. So, sir, I wanted to know as to the new order which you have received for the Toys business, is it from the Spin Master or from some other client?
Anil Kalra
executiveIt's from another client.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. So which client is this?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveWe will name the client once we start the play.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveWe cannot -- I'm sorry, but we will not be able to name the client.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And sir, we are getting business from renowned toy players as a result of this strategy of shift of business from China, okay, from some of our clients. So we'll be supplying existing products? Or this should be new category of toys, which we'll be supplying to them?
Anil Kalra
executiveSome are existing products that are already available on the market. Some will be new launches.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay, sir. So sir, what would be the percentage of -- can we just give you a mix -- product mix in terms of new and existing? Would it be 50-50 or it will be more in favor of new toys?
Anil Kalra
executiveSo I think this business is still evolving. If we look at...
Sanjay Shah
executiveCurrently, it's split between 50-50.
Anil Kalra
executiveYes, probably even more on the new side. It's split between 50-50.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Okay. And sir, what type of toys are you manufacturing? Can you through some light on that?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveThese are complex games, puzzles, electronics.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Vandna Soni from SBI Capital.
Vandna Soni
analystJust wanted to understand, is their any declining domestic sales this quarter? I believe domestic business is primarily FMCG and CRC caps. Are you seeing any slowdown in these businesses?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveNo. In fact, our FMCG business is doing exceptionally well. In whatever products and markets that we can participate, we have an increased order book.
Anil Kalra
executiveSo, Vandna, even if you were to look at domestic business, it's not only FMCG and CRC caps. Part of our device business is also domestic because we supply to some companies in Indian games on export account. So for us, it's domestic business. Some of our auto business is also domestic. So we have business -- domestic business across different segments.
Vandna Soni
analystSo what made this decline in this market?
Anil Kalra
executiveIt is not declined, Vandna.
Vandna Soni
analystOkay. Then second question is on MEIS benefit. I just wanted to understand, it seems to be around 4% earlier. What it is now? And how much impact it will be on your revenue overall?
Sanjay Shah
executiveSo MEIS, government came up with regulations in August, dripping MEIS for September to December at INR 2 crore. So our revenue -- or MEIS income, which we have recognized in our book has been capped at that level. And we've opened the balance MEIS benefit. And that impact is about what percent of the revenue for -- let me rephrase it. We do not foresee any MEIS benefit, but we don't intend report if there is a way -- yes, if the government allows it, we will take it in [indiscernible], yes. So -- but at the moment, we have not taken it on our P&L.
Vandna Soni
analystOkay. Understood. So if I ask one more question. I just wanted to understand what is the raw materials and also where they are sourced?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveSorry, I didn't understand the question.
Vandna Soni
analystSo what is the breakup of exports -- imports? Or how much percentage you are sourcing from India?
Sanjay Shah
executiveSo 50% of our raw materials is imported, 50% is domestically sourced.
Vandna Soni
analystOkay. Understood. So if you can give us how much inflation you are -- I understand you have partners [indiscernible] new customers. So how much is -- how much inflation is there to raw material?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveVandna, your -- price increases on raw material. I think that's the question.
Vandna Soni
analystYes.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveIncreases from materials, I mean in some cases, we're talking about maybe 8%, 10%, 12%. There are materials where it has gone as high as 100%, 105%, 120% also.
Vandna Soni
analystOkay. I just wanted to understand, sir, how much this quarter, you have seen -- when there was gross margin impact due to raw material prices? So next quarter, will we -- gross margin will be benefited with this, right? Only 3 months gap plan.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveThat depends on material pricing and [indiscernible] material price movements and volume that we sell every quarter. Some times we get a little bit more. Some times we get a little bit less. It balances out at the end of the year.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Pritesh Chheda from Lucky Investment Managers.
Pritesh Chheda
analystI have one question. Based on the supply commitments that we have for different projects in the next years, I just wanted to understand if you could help us or tell a broader revenue number, which is possible on these supply commitments, one ex of the steel project, steel furniture and one including the steel furniture, if you are willing to share a certain range portfolio.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveAll right. I think without the steel furniture, we would be looking at somewhere between INR 500 crore and INR 550 crore, and with the steel furniture somewhere between INR 560 crore and -- INR 550 crore and INR 600 crore or INR 620 crore.
Pritesh Chheda
analystOkay, so without steel furniture, it's INR 500 crore to INR 550 crore. And with steel furniture, it is INR 550 crore...
Amit Sanghvi
executiveINR 550 crore to INR 620 crore.
Pritesh Chheda
analystINR 550 core to INR 620 crore. Okay. And I missed one question -- answer on one of the question which was asked by a participant about the gross margin and the EBITDA margin not expanding to extent which you have thought otherwise in the quarter. I couldn't understand the response with Mr. Shah, actually.
Sanjay Shah
executivePritesh, If you were to look at quarter 3, there were 2 impacts which happened in quarter 3. One is the capping of MEIS, typically led to a 1% drop in EBITDA. And the commercialized carbon steel for carbon steel at the net level in quarter 3 was negative on EBITDA. So these were 2 reasons why you are seeing EBITDA which actually could have been higher was a lower percentage.
Pritesh Chheda
analystOkay. Okay. And has the full depreciation on the carbon steel project started flowing in, in this quarter? Or it was partly operational in the quarter?
Sanjay Shah
executiveSo, it's partly operational. So you will see the full impact of it in the quarter 4.
Pritesh Chheda
analystIn quarter 4. And what is the depreciation run rate on invested amounts? I think we invested about INR 50 crore as CapEx in steel furniture, right?
Sanjay Shah
executiveYes, about INR 55 crore.
Pritesh Chheda
analystAnd what rate would you depreciate that asset?
Sanjay Shah
executiveA little bit different for different assets, different processes. So if you want to look at it, you will probably look at a 15-year effective life of the asset.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of Sunil Jain from Nirmal Bang Securities.
Sunil Jain
analystYes. Congratulation on good number, sir Sorry, if I'm repetitive. I just missed the opening remark. So new order which you won in this quarter, [indiscernible] can you quantify it?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveSure. We won -- we were awarded INR 120 crores from the Home Furnishings sector. We added another product on the toy side, where the value is USD 1.5 million per year. And we also developed another normal intellectual property for a pen injector.
Sunil Jain
analystOkay. So this INR 120 crores includes that USD 1.5 million toys?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveNo, no, INR 120 crores is on Home Furnishings and USD 1.5 million is on toys.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And sir, about the MEIS. So we lost around 1% of revenue in Q1. But how it is going to play out in the coming period?
Sanjay Shah
executiveSo we are waiting for the RoDTEP rates to be notified. And once the RoDTEP rates gets notified, we will have clarity in terms of how it will work out or pan out in the future.
Sunil Jain
analystSo this INR 2 crore limit is still continuing in Q4 or no?
Sanjay Shah
executiveNo. So MEIS scheme is not that fourth of January 2021.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo whatever the scheme comes, then according to that SGA gets something?
Sanjay Shah
executiveThe scheme is RoDTEP, which is refund of duties, but the rates have not been notified by the government and the rate would be notified the government as we move forward.
Sunil Jain
analystOkay. So will it be from 1st January or second?
Sanjay Shah
executiveSo the scheme is being locked out from cost of [indiscernible], but the rates have not been notified. So once the rate gets notified, we will have clarity in terms of what the rates are.
Sunil Jain
analystOkay. Right. And yes you have given next year's revenue expectations and all. But any long-term reasons like what you have shared earlier if any thinking on that line or becoming that [indiscernible]?
Sanjay Shah
executiveSo let's first get the numbers which we have talked about. And then we would probably get a lockdown version.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Nirmal Shah from Seraphic Management.
Unknown Analyst
analystYes. Just wanted to check two things. One, with respect to MEIS. Now under the new regime, since the rates are not notified, and you will be actually executing those orders. So in event if the rates are lower than what it was in MEIS, will there be a margin at? How are you actually tackling this?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveI mean, the reason the way to tackle it, if the rates are lower, then it has impact on the gross margins and the EBITDA. However, we are expanding our business to negate that impact and increase the performance, bottom line performance.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And sir, second question was because of this container shortage, was there -- and if you can just quantify the amount of revenue if at all, you were supposed to book in December quarter that you couldn't book because there was a shortage of containers. Is it a significant amount? Or was it a way minimal? If you can just highlight that.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveRight? I mentioned in I think one of the answers. We have been able to manage logistics even though -- even as they have been delayed, but we -- within the quarter, we have made all the shipments we were supposed to.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And sir, the third part was with respect to the raw material price inflation. I mean is it fair to assume that the real raw material inflation will be actually reflected in the fourth quarter results because in the third quarter, you would have had some probably -- some cushion of the low price inventory or something? Or is it not the case and actually Q4 would be a fair reflection of your margins and the raw material price is prevalent right now.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveRaw material is always -- It's a moving target. So with the [indiscernible] prices. This previous 3 months is everything we place, everything we ordered in the months of November and December that we will use in January and February, for example, has been higher-priced, then it will have a negative impact, which will get recovered in the following quarter. As everything we ordered was at a lower price, then the previous 3 months, and you'll have a positive impact.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Sir, just holistically, I'm just trying to -- if I look at the trajectory of the margins, not from a long-term, but from a short-term perspective, if I -- again, these are hypothetical assumption, if at all there is some negative news on incentives but the rates are lower than what you have projected. And on the other side, you also have a pressure of passing the raw materials to your clients, is it a pass-through? But do you think that in such an event, it will be so easy to pass-through? Or will it take a little bit more time than usual to pass through that impact? Is that all it has?
Sanjay Shah
executiveSo raw materials is a straight part. So it's a complete process. So whatever changes are there, that will be a straight pass-through.
Unknown Analyst
analystRight. And about the incentives, sir, if at all is lower than what your assumption is, will it be, again, a 1 quarter less or it will take some more time?
Sanjay Shah
executiveLet's wait for the new rates, we get notified, and then we will be able to comment on that. I think it will not be possible for us, but the answer is there is even if the rate would have been zero, this is not something we'll be able to confirm with the customer. I mean, customer is not doing business with us because the government giving incentives.
Unknown Analyst
analystRight. No, I respect that, sir. I just wanted to a little bit be more clear about the time lag you require to...
Amit Sanghvi
executiveAs the business grows even if there's no schemes in place, our margins will improve.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Manish Gupta from Solidarity.
Manish Gupta
analystCongratulations on very good progress. If you look at your revenue run rate, that you will take about INR 100 crores a quarter. And you're guiding for a lower bound of about INR 560 crores next year, right? So even if you just annualize that, that's about INR 140 crores, give or take, per quarter. Now historically, you have really been challenged by availability of labor and this is a very, very steep rate. You could be actually exiting the year at much higher than INR 140 crores per quarter. So given that a lot of our business is fairly linear as far as label is concerned, how are we gearing up for such a steep increase in labor cost to be able to execute on these numbers? Some perspective on this will be very useful.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveI will maybe answer this very briefly, and then I'll ask Mr. Kalra to shed some light on it. And this come on board, we have been able to resolve our operational challenges fairly well in almost all of our plants. The efficiencies are up. Our OEs are up. Our labor downtime is reduced so that momentum will continue in the existing facilities. Second, the additional revenue that is going to come in next year, a significant part of it will come in from the new facilities and is being set up in Halol. Now in general, we have operated at Halol for 32 years. And that is one location where we do not have any labor issues. So there's a workforce that is motivated, workforce that needs to add because there isn't far great income in that region. So we do not anticipate problems in the new facility over there, over and above that. The way that facility is planned. There is a very, very, very high level of automation in that plant. We actually will not have any contractual workers in the new facility. There will either be -- all of them will be permanently on our payroll, but the number that we define will be far less than what we currently operate with. Mr. Karla, please.
Anil Kalra
executiveYes. The [indiscernible] facility at Rania has seen improvement in terms of efficiency, while [indiscernible] presented to achieve even by 5%. Actually, the OE went up by more than 10% because there was a very high improvement of the efficiencies that is the downtime and all on account of machine breakdown, bore breakdown, manpower not available or whatever. So all that has been overcome, and we were able to bring down the loss of sales due to no manpower from 8% to 1% in the second quarter itself. So that has been sustained after that. So manpower is not an issue at Rania also. And there has been a lot of farewell schemes talked to the workforce, so that they're -- they understand the company's requirement and they work towards that. Now there's a new project, Halol is the place. This company is quite used to and carbon steel is a new project. So we're very careful while hiring them the carbon steel. We are -- carbon steel manpower cost should not be equivalent of [indiscernible] it should be lower is because the processes are mostly progressive types of tooling in the mechanical processes. And also conveyor is semi-automated, automated water coating. So that manpower, we are very careful in hiring the best of people, either diploma in mechanical or relevant technology. And also minimum ITI workforce. And Halol does not have the kind of challenges of workforce that we had in Rania. So carbon steel, we should stabilize, as I said, by March, April, and that should bring down or contain the manpower cost of sales. The new facility, as Amit has also mentioned, the plastic facility that we are setting up, we should commercialize by June '21. The idea is to have no life facilities. So actually, robots do their job and some kind of supervision and some engineers. So that's a project, there's a scheme that this plant is being set up on. So it should drastically bring down the dependence of contractual manpower. If we hire some, those would be from plastic [indiscernible] and all. So that should strengthen the skill level and the outputs. So I hope it is quite clear.
Manish Gupta
analystYes. Just a follow-on question. Your margins are also sensitive to product mix where health care and pharma is higher margin. But now over time, as you're growing, and we are expecting a lot of efficiency in labor, over the next 5 years, could there be margin expansion just in the base business because of these labor efficiencies or will this labor efficiency be compensated by higher employee costs because we're just hiring people of a higher quality talent.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveA bit of both is going to happen. We are going to see operational improvement. So we will see margin enhancement because of bringing down labor costs. And I mean, labor which works on the shop floor. We will see an increase. But we will see some reverse impact on account of hiring better talents. And we will need this talent for the growth that we have planned. I mean, at the moment, I think a lot of us are focused on the next financial year, delivering the numbers that I mentioned a few minutes ago. But beyond that, the company is going to grow. And for us to gear up for that growth, there will be a lot of hiring that takes place at mid-level and senior levels, and that will contribute to negating some of the margin improvements that could potentially come in.
Manish Gupta
analystSo I mean, if we put it all together, over a rolling 5-year period, I mean, we're already close to 18% EBITDA margin. Do you think FY '25 kind of time frame, these margins could be approximately 20 or higher at an EBITDA level?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveYes.
Manish Gupta
analystOkay. Excellent. I mean, just one last point. I think it will be great at some point in time just to have an Investor Day where you can talk about your rolling 5-year plan. Obviously, you have a lot on your plate right now, but it will be good to pencil this in at some point in time, whenever you guys have time. But I mean, for investors who are more keen on longer-term horizons, it will just be good to get some sense of the road map you guys are working with.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveAbsolutely, Manish. We'll have Sanjay or SGA come back to you with -- once we've chosen our plans, but...
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Aman Vij from Astute Investment.
Aman Vij
analystMy first question is on the Home Furnishings business. So this INR 120 crore additional order, does it include the carbon steel business as well?
Unknown Executive
executiveNo.
Aman Vij
analystOkay. And is this the regular order which we keep getting every few quarters? Or is this a totally new set of products which we are talking about?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveNew products which we are adding this year additional.
Aman Vij
analystSo apart from the base business, this is on top of that?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveYes.
Aman Vij
analystSure, sir. My second set of question is on the toys business. So this INR 70 crore CapEx we are doing, is it only for toys? Or what percentage is for the toy segment?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveSo INR 70 crore CapEx is for toys and the new plastic factory, which we are setting up in Halol, it's for both of them.
Aman Vij
analystOkay. And roughly, what is, say, dedicated for the Toy segment?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveIt will be around INR 20 crores.
Aman Vij
analystOkay, sir. And still now, what is the total CapEx you have done in the Toys division?
Sanjay Shah
executiveCurrently we've not done any major investments in the toys divisions. It's been mainly some decoration facilities and everything. What we are doing right now is about INR 20 crores. Where we are adding molding machines and adding some assembly lines and things like that.
Aman Vij
analystSure, sir. Any plans next year, if we plan to do because now we have bottom 2, 3 customers and then scaling has also started happening, a dedicated plant or something for toys business?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveSo once we execute those orders and then we see the pipeline, we'll see how we want to go about it, dedicated facility for toys [indiscernible].
Aman Vij
analystSure, sir. My final question is on the carbon steel business. So far has talked about steel will be commercializing 3 out of the 5 products. This is by the end of financial year or calendar year of FY '21?
Anil Kalra
executiveThat's -- no third article should get commercialized by April or so the first month of the first quarter. So we'll have 3 articles and unit of production is commercialized. And then the fourth, we would also variance to that range. All in all, 400 those will get commercialized by April. And then additional 2 should happen in June -- June yeah. So total of 6 by June, yes.
Aman Vij
analystSure, sir. And has this number increased over the last one, 2 quarters? Or is this the same initial commitments that we have gotten from the client in this number of articles?
Sanjay Shah
executiveThis is baked on whatever we talked about in terms of additional business taken in quarter 1 and quarter 2. So it proves that.
Aman Vij
analystSir, my question was actually, what is the initial commitment at the time of the CapEx? Or this is like the last 2 quarters only, they have decided, okay, you can get this extra additional orders also?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveNo, this is -- all these 6 products are part of the initial baskets.
Aman Vij
analystSure. And there is opportunity to scale or enter into near products as well in the next few weeks?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveYes, once we showcase some at least 6 months of solid performance, we will have plenty of opportunities.
Aman Vij
analystSure, sir. And any idea of what is the import -- or sorry, export out of India of this segment, particularly to the Home Furnishing segment? Just to understand how big is the industry, Carbon Steel, Home Furnishing segment?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveI really, unfortunately, do not have the answer to that. I know the ticket size or the buyer that we -- that our -- that the Home Furnishing nature will have is probably in excess of EUR 1.2 billion -- EUR 1.1 billion, EUR 1.2 billion. And India would be a very small part of that at the moment.
Aman Vij
analystAnd majority of this will be for Chinese as of now? Or is it developed geographically.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveNo, I think globally, steel furniture's mostly sourced from China. You also have some players in maybe less than a handful in Europe and some big names in North America and the U.S. but most supplies are from China.
Aman Vij
analystSure, sir. So as of now, it is a replacement of the China [indiscernible] product?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveNo, no, no. They started way before that. These initiatives started in 2017. Initial [indiscernible]. So this has nothing to do with the China plus 1 strategy.
Aman Vij
analystOkay. Okay. But we might be getting benefits because of that now?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveNo. China's raw material costs are far, far lower than India when it comes to steel.
Aman Vij
analystOkay. So what is our competitive advantage then, vis-à-vis be Chinese clear?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveObviously, we see benefit out of cost. But more than anything, we -- the businesses we developed, don't really work so much on just whether there is a cost advantage or not. Even if the cost is on par with China, it is about -- basically, it's about relationship with the more consistent performance, and it's about what you bring to the table in addition to price.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Ritesh Shah from Investec.
Ritesh Shah
analystCongratulations on good set of numbers. My first question is for Sanjay. First is, what are the MEIS rates that we were on and what will be the threshold that we would be looking at for the RoDTEP scheme?
Sanjay Shah
executiveSo we have different rates for different products. And at least from what we've looked at in the past, the RODTE rates, where MEIS rates have the -- not notified. The EV rates have been more or less in line with MEIS rates or higher than the MEIS rates except for the figures which have come in. So our expectation is to the RoDTEP rates as they get notified would be similar to the MEIS trades, but we will have to take a call once the RoDTEP rates come in.
Ritesh Shah
analystWould there be a broad ballpark number on MEIS number at company level from a P&L standpoint?
Sanjay Shah
executiveSo there will be. So that could be there in the numbers, which we report out. So yes, there would be number on MEIS.
Ritesh Shah
analystYes. So Sanjay, I just taken the annual report under other assets, I figure out the balances from government authorities. That number is there, but no one find it on the P&L. So if you can help quantify it post all, that would also be useful.
Sanjay Shah
executiveI'll get back to you on that Ritesh. No problem.
Ritesh Shah
analystMy second and third question is for Amit. Any update on U.K. subsidiary? And secondly, can you detail more on the pipeline for the pharma business?
Amit Sanghvi
executiveSo we are -- we have upcoming supplies to be made to customers for registration -- for their registration batches in the month of March for a particular molecule. But I mentioned in the speech was that we've developed an additional pen injector and the IP for it. We will be developing both the new pen injector as well as auto-injector, which we actually started development, I'd say, 2 quarters ago. One of the things I've mentioned in I think, February of 2020. March, February of 2020, our earnings call, had mentioned that we're going to go ahead with development of a new auto-injector. So that is in the pipeline. Auto-injector is a very complex product. It's going to take longer than what we would -- longer than what we would do on the pen injector. But at the end of FY '22, we should have 3 additional platforms commercialized and being sold through customers. From a revenue perspective, what you see between now and '24 is going to be one increase of our contract manufacturing businesses in addition to variance there. Second, you'll see revenue coming in from registration backed suppliers that we do to various customers on the platform that we have. But the real scale up you will see '24 onwards, when these registration batches are then -- have an approval to be sold commercially in the market. So our customers will start the process of ramp-up and launch from '24, '25, '26, '27. There's various date, different dates for different molecules when the patents, original patent expire. And therefore, we would see gradual ramp-up or a very significant ramp-up after '24. But I anticipate 5-year, 3x at least.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Abhishek Gupta from ABB. So as there is no response, we'll move to the next question, which is from the line of Ritesh [indiscernible] from [indiscernible].
Unknown Analyst
analystI just wanted to know one thing, we are very positive on the toy product. Sir, hope you could just tell me what are the -- there are around 2 to 3 customers of in that segment, if I am right. Sir, what is your revenue on those 3 guys put together if you can throw some light?
Anil Kalra
executiveRitesh, could you please repeat the question.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, I just wanted to know that what 3 customers, what we have in our toys segment. What is the total revenue of those 3 customers, sir?
Anil Kalra
executiveSo what I can tell you, Ritesh is the customers which we have are among the top 5 toy companies globally.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay but any revenue -- I mean, the revenue top line idea, sir, if you have any?
Sanjay Shah
executiveWe have that but, as I said, if i give you the revenue number, you'll know which these companies are. We have main one company. So the company will -- we're not able to name it right now. We will name it once we start supply and not...
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay, sir. And sir, my next question a bit bookkeeping question. Sir, what is the current quarter cash flow from operations, if you can give, sir? YTD number.
Sanjay Shah
executiveCash flow from operations has been given in the presentation which we have [indiscernible]. From cash accruals it was about INR 12.8 crores for the current quarter.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Is this a cash flow from operation right now?
Sanjay Shah
executiveYes. Cash we're taking.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And sir, what is a gross debt position at present time, 9 months?
Sanjay Shah
executiveTotal debt decrease is about 1.5.
Unknown Analyst
analyst1.5, 9 months, right, sir?
Sanjay Shah
executive9 months. yes.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, on absolute amount terms, sir, what is the gross debt, if you can...
Sanjay Shah
executiveI'll get back to you with the number, Ritesh.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo we are kind of doing a future CapEx as you had given a guidance of around INR 70 crores, INR 80 crores so -- and that would be to a mix of internal and debt. So I just wanted to know, our debt position is likely to remain going forward? Or would you like to be would like to be reduced. I mean I know that would be a bit early to say. But if anything you would like to share about that current debt position?
Sanjay Shah
executiveSo on the debt position, as I mentioned, the CapEx which we are doing will be financed by a mix of debt and internal cash accruals. The debt is already -- debt which has been sanctioned, which has not been drawn, which will be drawn. Part of it has been done in December, but the balance would be down in the current quarter. And that's what we will spend on CapEx. So that's what we are looking at. And the balance would be internal cash accrued. So internal cash accruals, which the company has generated in FY '19, FY '20 and projected FY '21 is what we will basically use to work the balance for CapEx for the year.
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, due to time constraints, that was the last question for today. I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.
Amit Sanghvi
executiveThank you, everyone, for joining on the call. We hope we've been able to answer your questions adequately. For any further information, I request you to get in touch with SGA, our Investor Relations adviser. Thank you very much, and season's greetings to all. Stay safe.
Operator
operatorThank you. On behalf of Shaily Engineering Plastics Limited, we conclude this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.
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